Clinical Outcomes of First-line Sunitinib Followed by Immuno-oncology Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients With Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

Clinical Outcomes of First-line Sunitinib Followed by Immuno-oncology Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients With Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

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Journal Pre-proof Clinical Outcomes of First-line Sunitinib followed by Immuno-oncology Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients with Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma J. Connor Wells, MD, Jeffrey Graham, MD, Benoit Beuselinck, MD, PhD, Georg A. Bjarnason, MD, FRCPC, Frede Donskov, MD, DMSci, Aaron R. Hansen, MBBS, Rana R. McKay, MD, Ulka Vaishampayan, MD, Guillermo De Velasco, MD, PhD, Mei S. Duh, MPH, ScD, Lynn Huynh, MPH, MBA, DrPH, Catherine Nguyen, MPH, Giovanni Zanotti, MSc, PharmD, Krishnan Ramaswamy, PhD, Toni K. Choueiri, MD, Daniel Y.C. Heng, MD, MPH, FRCPC PII:

S1558-7673(19)30380-5

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clgc.2019.12.007

Reference:

CLGC 1421

To appear in:

Clinical Genitourinary Cancer

Received Date: 25 October 2019 Revised Date:

2 December 2019

Accepted Date: 9 December 2019

Please cite this article as: Wells JC, Graham J, Beuselinck B, Bjarnason GA, Donskov F, Hansen AR, McKay RR, Vaishampayan U, De Velasco G, Duh MS, Huynh L, Nguyen C, Zanotti G, Ramaswamy K, Choueiri TK, Heng DYC, Clinical Outcomes of First-line Sunitinib followed by Immuno-oncology Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients with Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma, Clinical Genitourinary Cancer (2020), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clgc.2019.12.007. This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2019 Published by Elsevier Inc.

MICRO-ABSTRACT

Limited data are available on how first-line duration may impact clinical outcomes observed after subsequent immuno-oncology (IO) treatment among patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma. This retrospective cohort study of 161 patients found that first-line sunitinib duration may have minimal impact on subsequent IO therapy effectiveness. These findings may aid healthcare practitioners in the treatment decision process for sequencing therapies.

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TITLE PAGE

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Title

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Clinical Outcomes of First-line Sunitinib followed by Immuno-oncology Checkpoint Inhibitors

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in Patients with Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

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Authors and affiliations

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Bjarnason, MD, FRCPCd; Frede Donskov, MD, DMScie; Aaron R. Hansen, MBBSf; Rana R.

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McKay, MDg; Ulka Vaishampayan, MDh; Guillermo De Velasco, MD, PhDi; Mei S. Duh, MPH,

J. Connor Wells, MDa; Jeffrey Graham, MDb; Benoit Beuselinck, MD, PhDc; Georg A

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ScDj; Lynn Huynh, MPH, MBA, DrPHj; Catherine Nguyen, MPHj; Giovanni Zanotti, MSc,

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PharmDk; Krishnan Ramaswamy, PhDk; Toni K. Choueiri, MDl; Daniel Y C Heng, MD, MPH,

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FRCPCa

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a

University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada

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b

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c

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d

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e

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f

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g

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h

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i

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j

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k

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l

CancerCare Manitoba, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada

University Hospital Leuven, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Canada

Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark

Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Canada University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA Karmanos Cancer Institute, Detroit, MI, USA

University Hospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain Analysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA, USA Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, USA

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA 1

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Corresponding author:

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Daniel Y C Heng, MD, MPH, FRCPC

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Telephone: +1-403-521-3166

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Email: [email protected]

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Word count of the abstract: 246/250

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Word count of the text: 2,533

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Tables & Figures: 3 tables, 3 figures; in Supplementary File: 2 tables

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Keywords: sunitinib; real-world effectiveness; treatment outcomes; immuno-oncology; metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC)

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CONFLICT OF INTEREST

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J. Connor Wells: Travel support from Pfizer

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Jeffrey Graham: Author has no conflicts of interest

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Benoit Beuselinck: Research support from Pfizer; speaker fee from Ipsen, Amgen, Pfizer

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Georg A. Bjarnason: Honoraria from Pfizer, Novartis, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eisai, Ipsen;

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Research funding from Pfizer, Novartis, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eisai, Ipsen; Travel funding from

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Pfizer, Merck; Consultant for Pfizer, Novartis

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Frede Donskov: Research support from Pfizer, Novartis, Ipsen

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Aaron Hansen: Advisory board for Pfizer, Roche, Merck, AstraZeneca, Ipsen, Bristol-Myers

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Squibb; Research support from Genentech, Roche, Merck, GlaxoSmithKline, Bristol-Myers

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Squibb, Novartis

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Rana R. McKay: Research support from Pfizer, Bayer; Advisory board for Janssen, Novartis

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Ulka Vaishampayan: Research support, honoraria, and consultant for Pfizer, Bristol-Myers

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Squibb, Exelixis, and Bayer

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Guillermo De Velasco: Consultant or advisory role for Janssen, Pfizer, Novartis, Bayer, Astellas

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Medivation, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Pierre Fabre; Research support from Ipsen, Pfizer, Roche;

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Other relationship with Janssen; Funding by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (PI17/01728)

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Mei S. Duh: Employee of Analysis Group, Inc. Analysis Group, Inc. has received funding from

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Pfizer to conduct the research study and develop this manuscript.

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Lynn Huynh: Employee of Analysis Group, Inc. Analysis Group, Inc. has received funding from

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Pfizer to conduct the research study and develop this manuscript.

Funding: This study was sponsored by Pfizer, Inc., New York, NY, US.

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Catherine Nguyen: Employee of Analysis Group, Inc. Analysis Group, Inc. has received funding

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from Pfizer to conduct the research study and develop this manuscript.

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Giovanni Zanotti: Employee of Pfizer

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Krishnan Ramaswamy: Employee of Pfizer

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Toni Choueiri: Research support (Institutional and personal) from AstraZeneca, Alexion, Bayer,

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Bristol Myers-Squibb/ER Squibb and sons LLC, Cerulean, Eisai, Foundation Medicine Inc.,

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Exelixis, Ipsen, Tracon, Genentech, Roche, Roche Products Limited, F. Hoffmann-La Roche,

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GlaxoSmithKline, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Peloton, Pfizer, Prometheus Labs, Corvus, Calithera,

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Analysis Group, Sanofi/Aventis, Takeda. Honoraria from AstraZeneca, Alexion, Sanofi/Aventis,

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Bayer, Bristol Myers-Squibb/ER Squibb and sons LLC, Cerulean, Eisai, Foundation Medicine

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Inc., Exelixis, Genentech, Roche, Roche Products Limited, F. Hoffmann-La Roche,

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GlaxoSmithKline, Merck, Novartis, Peloton, Pfizer, EMD Serono, Prometheus Labs, Corvus,

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Ipsen, Up-to-Date, NCCN, Analysis Group, NCCN, Michael J. Hennessy (MJH) Associates, Inc

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(Healthcare Communications Company with several brands such as OnClive, PeerView and

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PER), L-path, Kidney Cancer Journal, Clinical Care Options, Platform Q, Navinata Healthcare,

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Harborside Press, American Society of Medical Oncology, NEJM, Lancet Oncology, Heron

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Therapeutics, Lilly. Consulting or Advisory Role for AstraZeneca, Alexion, Sanofi/Aventis,

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Bayer, Bristol Myers-Squibb/ER Squibb and sons LLC, Cerulean, Eisai, Foundation Medicine

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Inc., Exelixis, Genentech, Heron Therapeutics, Lilly, Roche, GlaxoSmithKline, Merck, Novartis,

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Peloton, Pfizer, EMD Serono, Prometheus Labs, Corvus, Lilly, Ipsen, Up-to-Date, NCCN,

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Analysis Group. Travel, accommodations, expenses, in relation to consulting, advisory roles, or

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honoraria. Medical writing and editorial assistance support may have been funded by

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Communications companies funded by pharmaceutical companies. The institution (Dana-Farber

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Cancer Institute) may have received additional independent funding of drug companies or/and

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royalties potentially involved in research around the subject matter.

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Daniel Heng: Consultant and honoraria from Pfizer, Novartis, Bristol-Myers Squibb

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ABSTRACT Limited data are available on how first-line duration may impact clinical outcomes observed

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after subsequent immuno-oncology (IO) treatment among patients with metastatic renal cell

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carcinoma. This retrospective cohort study of 161 patients found that first-line sunitinib duration

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may have minimal impact on subsequent IO therapy effectiveness. These findings may aid

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healthcare practitioners in the treatment decision process for sequencing therapies.

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Background: This retrospective, longitudinal cohort study assessed the association between

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first-line sunitinib treatment duration and clinical outcomes with second-line immuno-oncology

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(IO) therapy among patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC).

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Methods: mRCC patients treated with first-line sunitinib and subsequent IO from select

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International mRCC Database Consortium (IMDC) centers were included. Overall survival (OS),

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time to next therapy (TTNT), and time to treatment discontinuation (TTD), and real-world

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physician-assessed best response measured from IO therapy initiation were analyzed and

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compared between patients treated with first-line sunitinib ≥6 months vs. <6 months.

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Results: Among 161 patients, sunitinib-treated patients ≥6 months (n=116) tended to be older

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with better IMDC risk than those treated <6 months (n=45) (Favorable: 36% vs. 8%, p=0.001;

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Intermediate: 59% vs. 70%, p=0.21; Poor: 5% vs. 22%, p=0.007). Receiving sunitinib ≥6 months

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vs. <6 months was associated with longer survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.42 [95% confidence

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interval (CI): 0.21, 0.87], p=0.02). No significant association was observed between first-line

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sunitinib duration and second-line IO outcomes: TTNT (HR 0.89 [95% CI: 0.52, 1.51], p=0.66),

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TTD (HR 0.85 [95% CI: 0.54, 1.34], p=0.49), and tumor response (odds ratio [OR]: 0.73 [95%

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CI: 0.22, 2.49], p=0.62).

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Conclusions: There appears to be no significant association between first-line sunitinib duration

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and clinical outcomes in second-line IO. Patients receiving first-line sunitinib ≥6 months vs. <6

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months was associated with better OS, though there may be potential unadjusted confounders.

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These findings support the paradigm that prior therapy does not dictate the effectiveness of

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subsequent immunotherapy.

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INTRODUCTION

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cell carcinoma (mRCC), adding to standard therapies including tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs),

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anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antibodies, and mammalian target of rapamycin

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(mTOR) inhibitors.1,2 IO therapy includes immune checkpoint inhibitors such as nivolumab,

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which gained approval in 2015 for treatment of advanced RCC with prior antiangiogenic

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therapy.3,4 In 2018, combination nivolumab plus ipilumumab was approved for treatment-naive

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International mRCC Database Consortium (IMDC) intermediate or poor risk patients with

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advanced RCC.5,6 Additional first-line IO therapies combined with VEGF inhibitor therapies

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including avelumab plus axitinib and pembrolizumab plus axitinib were evaluated in clinical

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trials and approved in 2019.7,8

Immuno-oncology (IO) therapies have revolutionized the treatment paradigm for metastatic renal

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Limited data on how first-line duration and clinical response may impact clinical outcomes

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observed immediately after subsequent IO treatment exists. Prior studies have shown that

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sunitinib inhibits angiogenesis, has direct antitumor effects, and exacerbates intratumoral

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heterogeneity, and IO therapies may be more effective for tumors with a high mutational

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burden.9-11 A subgroup analysis of the phase 3 CheckMate 025 trial demonstrated that patients

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with ≥6 months of first-line therapy with sunitinib, pazopanib, or interleukin-2 versus those with

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<6 months had better median overall survival (OS) when subsequently treated with nivolumab

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(27.4 vs. 18.2 months) or everolimus (22.8 vs. 14.0 months).12 Further study on the impact of

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first-line treatment duration on second-line clinical outcomes is warranted given the changing

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treatment landscape.

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This study’s objective was to evaluate the effect of first-line sunitinib treatment duration (≥6

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months vs. <6 months) prior to IO therapy on clinical outcomes in a real-world setting using data

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from the IMDC.

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PATIENTS AND METHODS

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This retrospective, longitudinal cohort study used data from medical charts at select IMDC

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cancer centers representing Belgium, Canada, Denmark, and the United States. Uniform database

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templates and standardized definitions were used to ensure that data were collected

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consistently.13 Eligible patients were mRCC adults who initiated first-line sunitinib between

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2006-2018 and received subsequent IO therapy either alone or in combination with another

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therapy.

Study design and study population

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The observation period spanned from the date of IO therapy initiation (index date) to the date of

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last contact or death. The baseline period was defined as the time from mRCC diagnosis to the

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index date. Data on demographic and clinical characteristics during the baseline period and index

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date were collected. Sunitinib treatment duration was defined as the time from treatment

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initiation to discontinuation for any reason. The IMDC prognostic risk group was computed at

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time of sunitinib initiation and index date based on the presence of individual risk factors (i.e.,

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<1 year from RCC diagnosis to sunitinib initiation, Karnofsky performance status <80%, serum

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hemoglobin upper limit of normal [ULN], neutrophil

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count >ULN, platelet count >ULN), where those with no risk factors were deemed favorable

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risk, those with 1-2 risk factors were deemed intermediate risk, and those with 3+ factors were

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deemed poor risk.13 9

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Data on clinical characteristics, treatment patterns, and clinical endpoints in the follow-up period

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were collected. OS for IO therapy was defined as the time from IO therapy initiation to death.

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Time to next therapy (TTNT) was defined as the time from IO therapy initiation to initiation of

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the next line of therapy or death. TTNT was used as an objective proxy for progression-free

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survival (PFS) due to the difficulty in determining the true timing of progression on IO therapy,

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with many patients deriving clinical benefit from IO therapy even after discontinuing due to

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adverse events. Time to treatment discontinuation (TTD) for IO therapy was defined as the time

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from IO therapy initiation to IO therapy discontinuation for any reason. Reasons for treatment

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discontinuation were collected. Real-world physician-assessed best response was based on

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clinical or radiographic criteria using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors

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guidelines with imaging assessments occurring at clinically variable time points. Objective

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response rate (ORR) was reported as the proportion of patients with partial or complete

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response.14

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All data were de-identified and complied with the patient confidentiality requirements of the

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Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act. All study materials were

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approved by local Institutional Review Boards at each of the institutions.

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Statistical Analyses

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Patients were categorized into treatment groups based on duration of first-line sunitinib therapy.

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A six month threshold was chosen to reflect prior studies which looked at ≥6 months and <6

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months.12,15 Descriptive statistics were calculated using frequencies and proportions for

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categorical variables and means, standard deviations (SD), and medians for continuous variables. 10

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Differences between patients were compared using Pearson chi-squared tests (or Fisher's exact

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tests as appropriate) for categorical variables, while continuous variables were compared using t-

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tests or Wilcoxon rank-sum tests.

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Real-world treatment patterns were described using a flow chart with median (interquartile range

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[IQR]) and mean (SD) time between treatments. First-line sunitinib duration and second-line IO

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duration were calculated for each patient and plotted and compared on a scatter plot using the

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Pearson correlation coefficient. For the time-to-event analyses (i.e., OS, TTNT, and TTD),

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Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios

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(HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). For TTNT and TTD analyses, models adjusted for age,

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sex, and baseline IMDC risk group. For OS analysis, inverse probability weight (IPW) adjusted

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estimates were calculated.16 The model included time-varying weights to predict the probability

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of censoring, of discontinuing IO therapy, and of initiating a third-line therapy because these

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could influence OS and vary by first-line sunitinib duration. Weights were estimated using data

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on sunitinib duration, baseline IMDC risk group, age, sex, and IMDC risk group at the time of

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IO initiation.

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Real-world first-line sunitinib and second-line IO physician-assessed best tumor response were

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compared between groups using chi-square trend test. In addition, ORR for second-line IO

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therapy was assessed using multivariable logistic regression models. Odds ratios (ORs) with

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95% CIs and p-values were reported.

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All analyses were performed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC).

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RESULTS

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Demographic and Clinical Characteristics

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Of 161 mRCC patients, 116 patients had ≥6 months and 45 patients had <6 months of first-line

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sunitinib treatment (Table 1). Overall, the median duration of first-line sunitinib was 11.0 months

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(Figure 1). A higher proportion of patients treated ≥6 months versus <6 months with first-line

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sunitinib were older and had prior nephrectomy (mean age at index date: 63 vs. 58 years,

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p=0.004; prior nephrectomy: 92% vs. 71%, p<0.001). Patients with ≥6 months of first-line

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sunitinib treatment also tended to have better IMDC risk than patients with <6 months of

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treatment at the time of sunitinib initiation. At the time of second-line IO initiation, patients with

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≥6 months of first-line sunitinib had similar IMDC risk compared to those treated <6 months.

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From the start of first-line sunitinib to the start of second-line IO, 74 patients (53%) remained

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within the same IMDC risk group, 7 patients (5%) had improved IMDC group, and 41 patients

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(30%) had deteriorated IMDC risk group.

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Treatment patterns

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The majority of patients (n=154, 96%) received nivolumab as their second-line IO therapy, while

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others received avelumab, atezolizumab, or pembrolizumab as second-line IO therapy. A slightly

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higher proportion of patients with ≥6 months versus <6 months of first-line sunitinib treatment

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received third-line treatment (39% vs. 33%, p=0.52) (Supplementary Table 1). No significant

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association was observed between first-line sunitinib duration and second-line IO duration using

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scatterplot analysis among all patients (Pearson correlation coefficient: 0.040, p=0.62) (Figure

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2). Among patients who discontinued second-line IO therapy, there was also no significant

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association observed between first-line sunitinib treatment duration and second-line IO therapy

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duration using scatterplot analysis (Pearson correlation coefficient: 0.034, p=0.73).

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Clinical outcomes

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Unadjusted median OS was numerically higher among patients treated with ≥6 months of first-

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line sunitinib than those treated <6 months (24.9 [95% CI: 16.4, 47.8] vs. 17.5 [95% CI: 10.3,

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30.9] months). In adjusted OS analyses using IPW, patients treated with ≥6 months of first-line

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sunitinib had a significantly lower hazard of death compared to patients treated <6 months

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(adjusted HR 0.42 [95% CI: 0.21, 0.87], p=0.02) (Table 2). In unadjusted analyses, median

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TTNT was numerically higher for patients treated with ≥6 months of first-line sunitinib than

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those treated <6 months (9.2 [95% CI: 6.8, 11.3] vs. 8.0 [95% CI: 5.6, 10.8] months). Though,

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no significant association was observed in the adjusted analyses for TTNT (Table 2). While the

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unadjusted median TTD was numerically higher in the ≥6 months of first-line sunitinib treatment

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group than the <6 months treatment group (7.0 [95% CI: 4.7, 8.4] vs. 4.8 [95% CI: 3.0, 8.2]

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months), no significant association was observed in the adjusted analysis (Table 2).

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Reasons for treatment discontinuation are presented in Table 3. Numerically fewer patients with

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≥6 months of sunitinib versus <6 months discontinued sunitinib due to disease progression (76%

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vs. 85%, p=0.29) or discontinued IO therapy due to disease progression (64% vs. 74%, p=0.39).

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Patients with ≥6 months of first-line sunitinib versus <6 months had significantly higher ORR

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(30% vs. 6%, p=0.01) on sunitinib. During second-line IO, ORR was similar for patients with ≥6

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months of first-line sunitinib versus <6 months (18% vs. 23%, p=0.61) (Supplementary Table 2).

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There was no significant association observed between first-line sunitinib tumor response and

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second-line IO tumor response (p=0.48) (Figure 3).

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DISCUSSION

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In this real-world analysis of mRCC patients, TTNT, TTD, and tumor response to second-line IO

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therapy were not significantly different between patients with ≥6 months of first-line sunitinib

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treatment versus <6 months. These results suggest that first-line sunitinib therapy resistance does

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not preclude second-line IO therapy response, and that mechanisms of resistance are likely

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independent. This study also found that patients treated with first-line sunitinib ≥6 months versus

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<6 months had significantly better OS. This indicates that first-line sunitinib duration may serve

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as a disease prognosis marker. Results from this study and others provide information on how

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initial targeted therapy treatment decisions may affect clinical outcomes of subsequent IO

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therapies, though the selection of the optimal second-line therapy will require further research.

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Other studies have examined whether second-line treatment outcomes vary according to prior

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therapy duration.12,15,17 Stratified analysis of phase 3 trial INTORSECT data showed no

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significant PFS advantage for second-line sorafenib versus temsirolimus, regardless of prior

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sunitinib therapy duration.15 Median survival was significantly longer for patients treated with

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second-line sorafenib versus temsirolimus for patients who had first-line sunitinib treatment

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>180 days but not for those with ≤180 days.15 The authors proposed that this discrepancy

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between PFS and OS could relate to the unaccounted use of post-study anticancer therapy.15

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Another study which showed a differential effect of second-line therapy according to duration of

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first-line therapy was a phase 3 trial that compared sorafenib to axitinib.17 In the axitinib arm, 14

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patients with longer prior cytokine therapy had significant PFS and OS advantages; the same was

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true in the sorafenib arm where patients with longer prior cytokine or sunitinib treatment had

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better OS. Similarly, analysis of data from CheckMate 025, the phase 3 trial comparing second-

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line nivolumab to everolimus, found that for patients treated with second-line nivolumab, OS for

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those with ≥6 months versus <6 months of first-line therapy was 27.4 (95% CI: 23.2-NR) months

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vs. 18.2 (95% CI: 13.9-25.0) months.12 The current study, which focused on real-world patients,

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and improves on previous analyses by adjusting for confounding, similarly observed numerical

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favorability in TTD and TTNT for second-line IO therapy among patients with ≥6 months of

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first-line sunitinib versus <6 months and then significant OS benefit for those with ≥6 months

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first-line sunitinib versus <6 months.

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There are biological reasons why longer first-line treatment may be associated with better OS

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following second-line treatment.18-21 The association may partly reflect underlying tumor

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biology; patients with slower growing tumors may remain on initial treatment longer and survive

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longer with subsequent therapy, whereas patients with rapidly progressive disease and

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deterioration in IMDC risk factors have shorter survival. This association can also vary based on

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the type of first-line treatment used and tumor heterogeneity. Prior studies have suggested that a

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patient's response to nivolumab may be influenced by earlier TKI treatment that impact the

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tumor microenvironment.11,12,22 Sunitinib has been shown to have direct antitumor effects and

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exacerbate intratumoral heterogeneity, and checkpoint immunotherapies work best with high

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mutational burden tumors, although this is still being studied in mRCC.9,23,24

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The treatment landscape for mRCC has changed from the treatment paradigm where advanced

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RCC was treated with a VEGF inhibitor followed by mTOR-targeted therapy.3 The approval of

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combination nivolumab plus ipilimumab for front-line treatment for advanced RCC patients with

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intermediate or poor IMDC risk and avelumab plus axitinib or pembrolizumab plus axitinib for

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first-line treatment for all mRCC patients have led to a changed treatment landscape,5,7,8 where

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most of the patients in the current study may be treated differently today. However, patients will

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still initiate first-line sunitinib or TKI therapy for favorable risk or various reasons including the

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inability to use IO therapy due to autoimmune disease, steroid requirements, IO therapy costs, or

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access as many areas around the world may not have IO or combination therapies yet. Therefore,

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findings in the present study are important for patient counseling.

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There are some limitations of the current study. First, with any analysis of non-randomized

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treatment groups, unmeasured confounding and potential biases (e.g., selection bias) could

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account for observed associations. For TTNT, TTD, and physician-assessed best response, we

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attempted to reduce bias by adjusting for confounders including age, sex, and IMDC risk group.

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For OS, IPW analysis was used so that exposure was not associated with time-varying covariates

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and thus confounding by measured potential confounders was eliminated. Second, because this

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study took place from 2006-2018, sunitinib treatment practices may have changed over time and

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impacted results. However, this impact is likely minimal as the sunitinib initiation year was not

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significantly different between ≥6 months versus <6 months treatment groups (Table 1). Third,

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missing data exist and this may bias study results if the missingness is not completely random.

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Further analysis showed that only a small proportion of patients (25/161, 15%) had missing data

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for IMDC risk group. Thus, bias due to missing data may be minimal. Furthermore, in contrast to

16

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clinical trials with protocol-specified definitions of clinical events, progression and clinical

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response assessments in retrospective studies of real-world clinical practice may not be made

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consistently across patients and across physician practices. Lastly, the sample size of patients

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with <6 months of sunitinib treatment was limited.

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CONCLUSIONS

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This study showed that first-line sunitinib treatment duration may not be associated with TTNT,

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TTD, and tumor response in second-line IO. This suggests first-line sunitinib resistance does not

336

preclude second-line IO response, and mechanisms of resistance may not be overlapping. The

337

study also found patients receiving IO therapy with first-line sunitinib treatment for ≥6 months

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versus <6 months may have a survival advantage, though there may be other unmeasured

339

confounders. Current study findings may aid healthcare practitioners in deciding how to

340

sequence therapies, which involves both choice of therapy and duration. Findings from this study

341

support the paradigm that prior therapy does not dictate the efficacy of subsequent IO.

342 343

CLINICAL PRACTICE POINTS

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346 347 348

Prior therapy on sunitinib does not dictate the effectiveness of subsequent immunotherapy.



There appears to be no significant association between first-line sunitinib duration and clinical outcomes in second-line IO.

17



349

Findings from this study provide information on how initial targeted therapy treatment

350

decisions may affect clinical outcomes of subsequent IO therapies, though the selection

351

of the optimal second-line therapy is still warranted.

352 353

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

354 355

The authors would like to thank Caroline Korves, ScD and Rose Chang, MSPH, MS, ScD of

356

Analysis Group, Inc. for their assistance with developing this manuscript.

357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385

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Alsharedi M, Katz H. Check point inhibitors a new era in renal cell carcinoma treatment. Med Oncol. 2018;35(6):85. Choueiri TK, Motzer RJ. Systemic Therapy for Metastatic Renal-Cell Carcinoma. N Engl J Med. 2017;376(4):354-366. Xu JX, Maher VE, Zhang L, et al. FDA Approval Summary: Nivolumab in Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma After Anti-Angiogenic Therapy and Exploratory Predictive Biomarker Analysis. Oncologist. 2017;22(3):311-317. Agency EM. Assessment report OPDIVO International non-proprietary name: Nivolumab. 2015. Accessed January 30, 2019. FDA U. FDA approves nivolumab plus ipilimumab combination for intermediate or poor-risk advanced renal cell carcinoma. Accessed August 21, 2018. Agency EM. Positive opinion on the change to the marketing authorisation for Opdivo (nivolumab) and Yervoy (ipilimumab). 2018. Accessed January 30, 2019. Rini BI, Plimack ER, Stus V, et al. Pembrolizumab plus Axitinib versus Sunitinib for Advanced Renal-Cell Carcinoma. N Engl J Med. 2019;380(12):1116-1127. Motzer RJ, Penkov K, Haanen J, et al. Avelumab plus Axitinib versus Sunitinib for Advanced Renal-Cell Carcinoma. N Engl J Med. 2019;380(12):1103-1115. Huillard O, Alexandre J, Goldwasser F. Treatment of Advanced Renal-Cell Carcinoma. N Engl J Med. 2016;374(9):888. Le DT, Uram JN, Wang H, et al. PD-1 Blockade in Tumors with Mismatch-Repair Deficiency. N Engl J Med. 2015;372(26):2509-2520. Stewart GD, O'Mahony FC, Laird A, et al. Sunitinib Treatment Exacerbates Intratumoral Heterogeneity in Metastatic Renal Cancer. Clin Cancer Res. 2015;21(18):4212-4223. Escudier B, Sharma P, McDermott DF, et al. CheckMate 025 Randomized Phase 3 Study: Outcomes by Key Baseline Factors and Prior Therapy for Nivolumab Versus Everolimus in Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma. Eur Urol. 2017;72(6):962-971. 18

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Heng DY, Xie W, Regan MM, et al. External validation and comparison with other models of the International Metastatic Renal-Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium prognostic model: a population-based study. Lancet Oncol. 2013;14(2):141-148. US Department of Health and Human Services FaDA, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. Guidance for Industry: Clinical Trial Endpoints for the Approval of Cancer Drugs and Biologics. In:2007. Hutson TE, Escudier B, Esteban E, et al. Randomized phase III trial of temsirolimus versus sorafenib as second-line therapy after sunitinib in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma. J Clin Oncol. 2014;32(8):760-767. D'Agostino RB, Lee ML, Belanger AJ, Cupples LA, Anderson K, Kannel WB. Relation of pooled logistic regression to time dependent Cox regression analysis: the Framingham Heart Study. Stat Med. 1990;9(12):1501-1515. Escudier B, Michaelson MD, Motzer RJ, et al. Axitinib versus sorafenib in advanced renal cell carcinoma: subanalyses by prior therapy from a randomised phase III trial. Br J Cancer. 2014;110(12):2821-2828. Verbiest A, Renders I, Caruso S, et al. Clear-cell Renal Cell Carcinoma: Molecular Characterization of IMDC Risk Groups and Sarcomatoid Tumors. Clin Genitourin Cancer. 2019. Beuselinck B, Verbiest A, Couchy G, et al. Pro-angiogenic gene expression is associated with better outcome on sunitinib in metastatic clear-cell renal cell carcinoma. Acta Oncol. 2018;57(4):498-508. Beuselinck B, Job S, Becht E, et al. Molecular subtypes of clear cell renal cell carcinoma are associated with sunitinib response in the metastatic setting. Clin Cancer Res. 2015;21(6):1329-1339. McDermott DF, Huseni MA, Atkins MB, et al. Clinical activity and molecular correlates of response to atezolizumab alone or in combination with bevacizumab versus sunitinib in renal cell carcinoma. Nat Med. 2018;24(6):749-757. Flippot R, Escudier B, Albiges L. Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors: Toward New Paradigms in Renal Cell Carcinoma. Drugs. 2018. Miao D, Margolis CA, Gao W, et al. Genomic correlates of response to immune checkpoint therapies in clear cell renal cell carcinoma. Science. 2018;359(6377):801-806. Yarchoan M, Hopkins A, Jaffee EM. Tumor Mutational Burden and Response Rate to PD-1 Inhibition. N Engl J Med. 2017;377(25):2500-2501.

19

TABLES AND FIGURES Table 1. Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics among patients treated with first-line sunitinib for < 6 months and ≥ 6 months before second-line IO therapy1 Characteristics

< 6 months sunitinib N=45

≥ 6 months sunitinib N=116

p-value

Demographic characteristics Age (years) at index date, mean ± SD [median] 57.8 ± 10.7 [58.9] 63.4 ± 11.1 [65.0] 0.004* Race, n (%) 0.85 White 25 (75.8) 60 (74.1) Non-white 8 (24.2) 21 (25.9) Sex, n (%) 0.98 Male 35 (77.8) 90 (77.6) Female 10 (22.2) 26 (22.4) Tumor characteristics Pathology, n (%) 0.08 Clear cell 32 (76.2) 98 (87.5) Non-clear cell 10 (23.8) 14 (12.5) Sarcomatoid features, n (%) 0.54 3 (9.7) 12 (16.2) Yes No 28 (90.3) 62 (83.8) Number of metastases, n (%) 0.88 1 8 (19.5) 21 (20.6) >1 33 (80.5) 81 (79.4) Brain metastases, n (%) 0.67 1 (3.3) 5 (7.0) Yes No 29 (96.7) 66 (93.0) Prior treatment Prior nephrectomy, n (%) 0.0005* Yes 32 (71.1) 107 (92.2) No 13 (28.9) 9 (7.8) Prior interleukin-2 or interferon therapy, n (%) 0.67 Yes 1 (2.2) 6 (5.2) No 44 (97.8) 110 (94.8) Year of sunitinib initiation, n (%) 2006-2009 1 (2.2) 4 (3.4) >0.99 2010-2013 7 (15.6) 34 (29.3) 0.07 2014-2017 37 (82.2) 78 (67.2) 0.06 IMDC prognosis risk group at first-line, n (%) 37 99 Favourable 3 (8.1) 36 (36.4) 0.001* Intermediate 26 (70.3) 58 (58.6) 0.21 Poor 8 (21.6) 5 (5.1) 0.007* IMDC prognosis risk group at second-line, n (%) 41 98 Favourable 2 (4.9) 12 (12.2) 0.23 Intermediate 29 (70.7) 69 (70.4) 0.97 Poor 10 (24.4) 17 (17.4) 0.34 IMDC: International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium; IO: immuno-oncology; SD: standard deviation

20

1

For categorical variables, proportions were calculated after excluding patients with unknown values. * p-value <0.05

21

Figure 1. Flow diagram for first line sunitinib patients with second line IO therapy First line sunitinib treatment

Type of second line treatment

Second line treatment

IO Therapy

Number of patients on second line Nivo: N=154

Nivolumab N=148 (alone) N=6 (in combo) Number of patients on first line sunitinib: N=161 Time from advanced RCC diagnosis to first line treatment (months) Mean ± SD: 11.0 ± 22.5 Median [IQR]: 2.5 [1.0, 8.4] Duration of first line treatment (months)1 Median [95% CI]: 11.0 [8.8, 12.4]

Avelumab N=1 (alone) N=1 (in combo) Pembrolizumab N=1 (alone) N=1 (in combo) Atezolizumab N=3 (in combo)

Time from first line discontinuation to second line initiation (months) Mean ± SD: 1.9 ± 5.4 Median [IQR]: 0.8 [0.2, 1.6] Duration of second line treatment (months)1 Median [95% CI]: 7.0 [5.6, 8.2]

Number of patients on other second line IO: N=7 Time from first line discontinuation to second line initiation (months) Mean ± SD: 10.5 ± 25.2 Median [IQR]: 1.2 [0.5, 1.6] Duration of second line treatment (months)1 Median [95% CI]: 11.3 [0.03, 22.9]

CI: confidence interval; IO: immuno-oncology; IQR: interquartile range; Nivo: nivolumab; RCC: renal cell carcinoma; SD: standard deviation 1

Duration on first or second line treatment was calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis with treatment discontinuation as the event of interest. Patients were censored at the earlier date of death or lost to follow-up prior to treatment discontinuation.

22

Figure 2. Scatterplot analysis of treatment duration for first-line sunitinib vs. second-line IO therapy for all patients

First-line sunitinib vs. second-line IO therapy (N=161) 50

Second line treatment duration (months)

40

30

20

10

0 0

20

40

60

First line treatment duration (months)

IO: immuno-oncology

23

80

100

120

Table 2. Analysis of treatment outcomes among patients who received first-line sunitinib before second line IO therapy1 Overall Survival: HR [95% CI]

Time to next treatment of IO therapy: HR [95% CI]

Time to IO therapy discontinuation: HR [95% CI]

Objective Response Rate: OR [95% CI]

Duration of sunitinib ≥ 6 months (ref: duration < 6 months)

0.42 [0.21, 0.87]*

0.89 [0.52, 1.51]

0.85 [0.54, 1.34]

0.73 [0.22, 2.49]

Favourable/Intermediate IMDC prognosis risk group (ref: Poor group)

0.58 [0.19, 1.79]

0.52 [0.29, 0.96]

0.58 [0.34, 0.98]

0.46 [0.13, 1.64]

Age ≥ 60 years at index date (ref: age < 60)

1.99 [0.95, 4.19]

0.76 [0.46, 1.26]

0.89 [0.57, 1.38]

0.33 [0.11, 1.05]

Sex (ref: female) 1.64 [0.66, 4.12] 0.88 [0.48, 1.61] 0.78 [0.47, 1.28] 2.23 [0.44, 11.28] CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio; IMDC: International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium; IO: immuno-oncology; IPW: inverse probability weighting; OR: odds ratio ref: reference

24

Figure 3. Physician-assessed best response to second line IO therapy grouped by initial best response to first line sunitinib therapy1,2 80%

70%

Chi-squared trend test; Chi-squared trend test; p=0.48 p=0.48

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% CR1/PR1 to 1L Sunitinib (n=26)

SD1 to 1L Sunitinib (n=30)

PD1 to 1L Sunitinib (n=41)

CR2/PR2 to 2L IO SD2 to 2L IO PD2 to 2L IO 1L: first line; 2L: second line; CR1: complete response to first line; CR2: complete response to second line; IO: immunooncology; PD1: progressive disease to first line; PD2: progressive disease to second line; PR1: partial response to first line; PR2: partial response to second line; SD1: stable disease to first line; SD2: stable disease to second line 1

Based on patients’ best response to first line sunitinib therapy, patients were grouped into three categories: CR1/PR1, SD1, and PD1. Among those three groups, patient’s best response to second line IO therapy was assessed and presented numerically and in bar graph form. 2 Patients who had information on first and second line physician-assessed best response were included in the analysis.

25

Table 3. Reasons for treatment discontinuation among patients treated with first-line sunitinib for < 6 months and ≥ 6 months before second-line IO therapy < 6 months sunitinib

≥ 6 months sunitinib

N=45

N=116

45

116

28 (84.8)

73 (76.0)

Toxicity

3 (9.1)

15 (15.6)

Disease progression and toxicity

0 (0.0)

5 (5.2)

Other

2 (6.1)

3 (3.1)

31

75

17 (73.9)

41 (64.1)

Toxicity

2 (8.7)

12 (18.8)

Disease progression and toxicity

0 (0.0)

2 (3.1)

Death

4 (17.4)

7 (10.9)

Other IO: immuno-oncology

0 (0.0)

2 (3.1)

Characteristics

p-value

First-line treatment Patients who discontinued Reason for treatment discontinuation, n (%) Disease progression

0.29 0.56 0.33 0.60

Second-line treatment1 Patients who discontinued Reason for treatment discontinuation, n (%) Disease progression

1

Only patients who discontinued second-line treatment were included. * p-value <0.05

26

0.39 0.34 0.47 -

CLINICAL PRACTICE POINTS



Prior therapy on sunitinib does not dictate the effectiveness of subsequent immunotherapy.



There appears to be no significant association between first-line sunitinib duration and clinical outcomes in second-line IO.



Findings from this study provide information on how initial targeted therapy treatment decisions may affect clinical outcomes of subsequent IO therapies, though the selection of the optimal second-line therapy is still warranted.

AUTHORSHIP CONTRIBUTION

J. Connor Wells: Conception, Methodology, Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Original draft, Writing - Review & editing Jeffrey Graham: Conception, Methodology, Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Original draft, Writing - Review & editing Benoit Beuselinck: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing Georg A Bjarnason: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing Frede Donskov: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing Aaron R. Hansen: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing Rana R. McKay: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing Ulka Vaishampayan: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing Guillermo De Velasco: Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing Mei S. Duh: Conception, Methodology, Formal analysis, Writing - Original draft, Writing Review & editing Lynn Huynh: Conception, Methodology, Formal analysis, Writing - Original draft, Writing Review & editing Catherine Nguyen: Conception, Methodology, Formal analysis, Writing - Original draft, Writing - Review & editing Giovanni Zanotti: Conception, Writing - Review & editing Krishnan Ramaswamy: Conception, Writing - Review & editing Toni K. Choueiri: Conception, Methodology, Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Review & editing

Daniel Y C Heng: Conception, Methodology, Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing - Original draft, Writing - Review & editing

Supplementary Table 1. Treatment sequence of patients treated with first-line sunitinib for < 6 months and ≥ 6 months before second line IO therapy < 6 months sunitinib

≥ 6 months sunitinib

N=45 45

N=116 116

44 (97.8)

110 (94.8)

0.67

1 (2.2)

2 (1.7)

>0.99

0 (0.0)

2 (1.7)

>0.99

0 (0.0) 15 (33.3)

2 (1.7) 45 (38.8)

>0.99 0.52

1 (6.7) 1 (6.7)

2 (4.4) 0 (0.0)

>0.99 0.25

axitinib

5 (33.3)

18 (40.0)

0.65

everolimus

0 (0.0)

9 (20.0)

0.10

cabozantinib

2 (13.3)

6 (13.3)

>0.99

investigational drug

1 (6.7)

4 (8.9)

>0.99

sorafenib

1 (6.7)

3 (6.7)

>0.99

pazopanib

2 (13.3)

2 (4.4)

0.26

sunitinib

1 (6.7)

1 (2.2)

0.44

Characteristics Second-line treatment IO therapy nivolumab1 atezolizumab avelumab

2

3 4

pembrolizumab Third-line treatment IO therapy nivolumab5 atezolizumab2

p-value

Targeted therapy

temsirolimus 1 (6.7) 0 (0.0) 0.25 IO: immuno-oncology Notes: 1 Nivolumab in second-line included nivolumab treatment alone (n=148) and in combination with other therapy (n=6). 2 Atezolizumab was combined with other treatment. 3 Avelumab in second-line included avelumab treatment alone (n=1) and in combination with other therapy (n=1). 4 Pembrolizumab in second-line included pembrolizumab treatment alone (n=1) and in combination with other therapy (n=1). 5 Nivolumab therapy in third-line included nivolumab treatment alone (n=1) and in combination with other therapy (n=2). * p-value <0.05

1

Supplementary Table 2. Physician-assessed best response among patients who received first-line sunitinib for < 6 months and ≥ 6 months before second-line IO therapy < 6 months sunitinib

≥ 6 months sunitinib

N=45

N=116

2 (6.3)

31 (30.1)

0.01*

Complete response

0 (0.0)

3 (2.9)

-

Partial response

2 (6.3)

28 (27.2)

0.01*

Stable disease

7 (21.9)

38 (36.9)

0.12

Progressive disease

23 (71.9)

34 (33.0)

0.0001*

6 (23.1)

15 (18.5)

0.61

Complete response

0 (0.0)

3 (3.7)

-

Partial response

6 (23.1)

12 (14.8)

0.37

Stable disease

8 (30.8)

27 (33.3)

0.81

Progressive disease IO: immuno-oncology * p-value <0.05

12 (46.2)

39 (48.1)

0.86

Characteristics

p-value

First-line treatment (sunitinib) Physician-assessed best response, n (%) Complete/Partial response (ORR)

Second-line treatment (IO) Physician-assessed best response, n (%) Complete/Partial response (ORR)

2