Factors controlling seasonal CO2 and CH4 emissions in three tropical mangrove-dominated estuaries in Australia

Factors controlling seasonal CO2 and CH4 emissions in three tropical mangrove-dominated estuaries in Australia

Accepted Manuscript Factors controlling seasonal CO2 and CH4 emissions in three tropical mangrovedominated estuaries in Australia Judith A. Rosentrete...

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Accepted Manuscript Factors controlling seasonal CO2 and CH4 emissions in three tropical mangrovedominated estuaries in Australia Judith A. Rosentreter, D.T. Maher, D.V. Erler, R. Murray, B.D. Eyre PII:

S0272-7714(18)30568-7

DOI:

10.1016/j.ecss.2018.10.003

Reference:

YECSS 5993

To appear in:

Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science

Received Date: 11 July 2018 Revised Date:

3 October 2018

Accepted Date: 8 October 2018

Please cite this article as: Rosentreter, J.A., Maher, D.T., Erler, D.V., Murray, R., Eyre, B.D., Factors controlling seasonal CO2 and CH4 emissions in three tropical mangrove-dominated estuaries in Australia, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science (2018), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2018.10.003. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1

Title: Factors controlling seasonal CO2 and CH4 emissions in three tropical mangrove-

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dominated estuaries in Australia

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Authors: Judith A. Rosentreter a,*, D.T. Maher b, D.V. Erler a, R. Murray a, B.D. Eyre a

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Affiliations: a Centre for Coastal Biogeochemistry, School of Environment, Science and Engineering, Southern Cross University, Lismore, New South Wales, Australia b

Southern Cross Geoscience, Southern Cross University, Lismore, New South Wales, Australia

*

corresponding author: [email protected]

Graphical abstract

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Highlights - Emissions were within or at the high end of estuaries from Australia and globally - CO2 and CH4 fluxes were higher in the wet season compared to the dry season - Factors controlling CO2 and CH4 emissions varied spatially and seasonally - The riverine contribution determined whether CO2 and CH4 were exported to the ocean - Groundwater, terrestrial and coastal carbon inputs contributed to estuary emissions

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Keywords Carbon dioxide Methane Carbon stable isotopes Groundwater Estuary Season

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Abstract

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CO2 and CH4 emissions from estuaries of the Southern Hemisphere are greatly under-

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represented in global estuary emission estimates. This study quantifies seasonal pCO2 and

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CH4 concentrations and emissions along the salinity gradient of three tropical mangrove-

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dominated estuaries in Australia. A combination of approaches (i.e. carbon stable isotopes,

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groundwater inputs, riverine contribution, freshwater flushing times) was used to assess the

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spatial and seasonal variable factors that controlled the estuary surface water CO2 and CH4

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concentrations and hence emissions. Overall, CO2 and CH4 emissions ranged from 21.6 to

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110.4 mmol m-2 d-1 and 40.3 to 1,047.1 µmol m-2 d-1, respectively, and were within or at the

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high end compared to estuaries in Australia and globally. In the Johnstone River estuary, high

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emissions were predominantly driven by groundwater and riverine carbon inputs with exports

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of CO2 and CH4 to the ocean expected in the wet season. In the Fitzroy River estuary and

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Constant Creek estuary, in situ production and terrestrial carbon inputs were likely the main

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factors controlling CO2 and CH4 emissions. The contribution of riverine CO2 may be more

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important to overall CO2 emissions than the riverine CH4 to overall CH4 emissions in

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estuaries. The relative contribution of in situ production, the exchange with adjacent coastal

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habitats (i.e. mangroves, inter-tidal flats), and terrestrial, riverine and groundwater inputs in

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the wet and in the dry season determined whether CO2 and CH4 were fully ventilated within

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the estuaries or exported to the open ocean. The revised global estimate for estuary CO2

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emission of the latitude 0 to 23.5 ˚S is 52.1 ± 16.1 mmol m-2 d-1, which is 15% higher than a

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recent estimate of this latitudinal region.

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1. Introduction

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Estuaries are dynamic ecosystems that connect terrestrial, riverine, oceanic and atmospheric

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carbon cycles. They receive large inputs of terrestrial organic matter, dissolved organic and

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inorganic carbon from upstream rivers, groundwater discharge, and carbon inputs via coastal

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wetlands such as salt marshes and mangroves, and the ocean (Bauer et al., 2013; Cole et al.,

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2007; Cole and Caraco, 2001; Eyre et al., 2011; Lagomasino et al., 2015; Ralison et al.,

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2008). Along the land-ocean aquatic continuum, carbon (in its different forms) is

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biogeochemically processed, sequestered in sediments or exchanged with the atmosphere or

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the ocean (Chen et al., 2013; Regnier et al., 2013; Ward et al., 2017). The oxidation of

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organic matter in estuarine waters and sediments generally result in supersaturation of CO2

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and CH4, and a subsequent flux of these greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. However, CO2

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emissions from estuaries show high temporal and spatial variability, resulting in high

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uncertainties in global annual estimates (0.094 to 0.6 Pg C y-1) (Abril and Borges, 2004;

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Bauer et al., 2013; Borges et al., 2005; Cai, 2011; Chen et al., 2013; Chen and Borges, 2009;

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Laruelle et al., 2010; Regnier et al., 2013). CO2 fluxes have been studied predominantly in

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urbanised and disturbed estuaries of the Northern Hemisphere including the U.S. (e.g.

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Raymond et al. 2000; Caffrey 2004; Joesoef et al. 2015), India (e.g. Mukhopadhyay et al.

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2002; Sarma et al. 2011), China (e.g. Chen et al. 2008; Zhai and Dai 2009), and Europe (e.g.

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Frankignoulle et al. 1998; Gazeau et al. 2004; Borges et al. 2006). A recent global estimate

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further included data from Asia and the Artic, which significantly lowered the global annual

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emissions to 0.094 Pg C y-1 (Chen et al. 2013). However, there is still a great under-

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representation in global estimates of emissions from estuaries of the Southern Hemisphere,

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especially from Australia. Of the 165 estuaries in a recent review, only 13 were from the

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Southern Hemisphere and no estuaries from Australia were included in the global annual

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emission estimate (Chen et al., 2013). Similarly, the global CO2 flux estimate for estuaries

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT from Laruelle et al. (2013) included only 10 studies from the Southern Hemisphere and also

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no data from Australia.

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CH4 emissions are much lower than CO2 emissions from estuaries, however, the global

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warming potential of CH4 is 34 to 86 times greater than CO2 (based on a 100 year and 20

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year time frame, respectively), thus CH4 is an important greenhouse gas (Shindell et al.,

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2009; Stocker et al., 2013). But CH4 flux studies are scarce compared to CO2 flux studies and

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global CH4 emissions from estuaries have even larger uncertainties varying by an order of

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magnitude (0.8 to 6.6 Tg CH4 y-1) (Bange et al., 1994; Borges and Abril, 2011; Middelburg et

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al., 2002; Upstill-Goddard et al., 2000). The high-end emission estimate of 6.6 Tg CH4 yr-1

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includes CH4 sediment-atmosphere fluxes from inter-tidal areas (Borges and Abril, 2011).

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But global emission estimates of CH4 may be even larger if accounted for CH4 ebullition and

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gas flaring, which has been shown to be a significant source in marine coastal environments

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(Borges et al., 2016; Borges et al., 2018a). Although Australia has a coastline of 35,877 km

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(Commonwealth of Australia, Geoscience Australia 2018) with 974 estuaries defined by the

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National Land and Water Resource Audit (NLWRA) (Heap et al., 2001), CO2 and CH4 fluxes

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from Australian estuaries (and the Southern Hemisphere) are greatly underrepresented in

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global annual estimates (Cai, 2011; Chen et al., 2013; Laruelle et al., 2010).

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The spatial gradient of pCO2 and the seasonal variability are much higher in estuarine waters

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compared to other coastal environments and linked to high variability of organic carbon

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production, variability of degradation processes, and changing hydrological conditions

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(Borges and Abril, 2011). The mixing of estuarine surface waters with low- pCO2 shelf and

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oceanic waters, riverine derived carbon and nutrient inputs, groundwater discharge, water

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temperature, tidal pumping, and flushing times are the major factors controlling pCO2 in

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estuaries (Borges and Abril, 2011; Chen et al., 2013; Pennino et al., 2016). Of the various

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estuaries (Battin et al., 2008; Bauer et al., 2013; Dai et al., 2012). Similarly as pCO2, CH4

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concentrations in estuaries are driven by various lateral inputs and can exhibit high spatial

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and seasonal variability (Maher et al., 2015; Nirmal Rajkumar et al., 2008; Zhang et al.,

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2008). Physical and microbial processes, such as temperature and salinity gradients, water

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depth and water mixing, submarine groundwater discharge, organic matter respiration rates

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and the availability of terminal electron acceptors are factors controlling production and

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oxidation of CH4 in estuaries (Borges and Abril, 2011; Huttunen et al., 2003). Therefore, CH4

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production rates are higher in freshwater sediments than in marine sediments where sulphate-

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reducing bacteria outcompete methanogens (Bartlett et al., 1985; Kelley et al., 1990;

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Middelburg et al., 1996). As a result, CH4 production in estuaries usually decrease towards

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the ocean (Middelburg et al., 1996).

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Whether the carbon emitted from the estuary to the atmosphere derives from the estuarine

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system itself (autochthonous) or has its origin from outside the estuarine system

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(allochthonous) has implications for coastal carbon budgets. Because of the highly variable

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environmental conditions (e.g. tidal regime, river discharge) and biogeochemical processes,

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carbon cycling in estuaries is complex and it is not yet sufficiently understood how CO2 and

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CH4 exchange in estuaries is controlled. Recently, the exchange of groundwater or porewater

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with surface water has been highlighted as an important source of CO2 and CH4 in coastal

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environments (Faber et al., 2014; Maher et al., 2015; Sadat-Noori et al., 2015b). Although

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inputs may be volumetrically low, groundwater can be highly enriched in dissolved

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constituents and should therefore be considered as a driver of CO2 and CH4 concentrations in

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estuarine surface waters and hence fluxes to the atmosphere. The stable isotopic composition

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of dissolved carbon constituents has been used in previous studies to assess carbon dynamics

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT in estuarine surface waters (Adiyanti et al., 2016; Fry, 2002; Kaldy et al., 2015; Maher et al.,

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2015; Miyajima et al., 2009). In particular, the combined approach of carbon stable isotopes

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of CH4 (δ13C-CH4) and CO2 (δ13C-CO2) can give important insights into production and

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consumption pathways, and isotopic pairs are distinct in marine and freshwater environments

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(Whiticar, 1999; Whiticar and Faber, 1986).

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In this study, we combine measurements of continuous pCO2, CH4 concentration, δ13C-CH4,

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δ13C-CO2, Radon (a natural tracer of groundwater) concentrations with hydrological drivers

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(e.g. freshwater flushing times, riverine contribution to overall estuary emission), dissolved

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organic and inorganic carbon components, and physico-chemical parameters (e.g. salinity

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mixing) to assess the main drivers that control CO2 and CH4 emissions in three tropical

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mangrove-fringed estuaries in Australia. Longitudinal surveys were conducted in the wet and

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in the dry season in 2014 where concentrations, stable isotopes, and physico-chemical

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parameters were measured along the salinity gradient of each estuary. We hypothesized that

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the three estuaries will be a source of CO2 and CH4 to the atmosphere and that emissions will

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decrease along a salinity gradient towards the ocean. We further hypothesized that estuary

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concentrations and emissions will be higher in the wet season due to increased groundwater

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discharge enriched in pCO2 and CH4, as well as enhanced upstream riverine inputs that fuel

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net heterotrophy within the estuaries. As a result, we expected estuary carbon exports to the

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adjacent open ocean during the rainy season.

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2. Material and methods

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2. 1. Study sites

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Transect surveys were conducted in three semi-diurnal river-dominated mangrove-lined

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estuaries in Queensland, Australia: the Johnstone River (JR) estuary (17.509 ˚S, 146.066 ˚E),

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT the Fitzroy River (FR) estuary (23.523 ˚S, 150.875 ˚E), and the Constant Creek (CC) estuary

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(20.982 ˚S, 149.031 ˚E). The studied estuaries are typical of the wet and dry tropical to

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subtropical climate zone, dominated by summer floods and winter droughts. During the wet

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season and under high flow conditions, freshwater can extend to the mouth of the estuaries

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but because of low discharge and high evaporation rates during the dry season an inverse

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circulation can occur (Eyre, 1995). The conditions of the JR and FR estuaries are categorised

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as moderately modified, while the CC estuary is categorised as largely unmodified (NLWRA,

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2001).

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The Johnstone River catchment (1,674 km2) is dominated by two large river systems, the

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North Johnstone and the South Johnstone, which meet in a single estuary before discharging

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into the Coral Sea. The catchment of the JR is located in the Wet Tropics and is one of the

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wettest catchments in Australia with annual rainfalls ranging from 1,800 mm to 5,000 mm

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per year (Furnas, 2003). The JR estuary is influenced by nutrient loads and fine sediment

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transport, a sewage treatment plant (STP), and by land use being predominantly sugar cane

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plantation in the catchment (Furnas, 2003). Mangrove forest is patchy (2.72 km2) along the

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JR estuary.

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The Fitzroy River has the largest river catchment (142,733 km2), dominated by agriculture,

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predominantly grazing (82%), but also dry land cropping (7%), horticulture, and mining

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(mainly coal) (Turner et al., 2012). Four STPs in the FR catchment, treating wastewater from

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domestic and industrial sites, discharge into the Fitzroy River. Although the FR catchment is

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moderately disturbed, wetland coverage (including mangroves) is extensive along the estuary

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and mangrove forests are dense (129.35 km2). The water surface area of the FR estuary

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significantly larger (38.1 km2) than the water surface area of the JR estuary (2.6 km2) and CC

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estuary (2.3 km2).

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT The Constant Creek catchment is relatively small (139 km2) compared to the other

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catchments and located in the bioregion of the Central Queensland Coast. Grazing, forestry as

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well as sugar cane cultivation are the main land uses in the CC catchment area. The CC

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estuary has a similar water surface area to the JR estuary, but mangrove coverage along the

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CC estuary is far more extensive (8.36 km2).

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In each estuary, two longitudinal transect surveys along the salinity gradient were conducted

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in 2014: one survey in the wet season (February/March) and one survey in the dry season

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(September/October). A small research vessel with instrumentation installed was driven from

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the outer estuary mouth to upstream freshwater regions just after the high-tide to avoid

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sampling of the same water parcel. Surface water was pumped continuously by a submerged

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bilge pump from a water depth of approximately 30 cm into a water-air gas equilibrator

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device. The air head-space of the main equilibrator was vented to a secondary equilibrator to

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minimize artificial pressure build-up and atmospheric air contamination (Pierrot et al., 2009).

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In a closed air loop, the dried gas stream (< 0.1%) (Drierite desiccant) was pumped from the

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equilibrator head-space to a Cavity-Ring-Down-Spectroscopy (CRDS) analyser (Picarro,

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G2201-i), where CO2 and CH4 concentrations (precision 210 ppb + 0.05% and 60 ppb +

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0.05% for CO2 and CH4, respectively) and carbon stable isotopes (δ13C-CO2 precision of <

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0.12‰, δ13C-CH4 precision of < 0.16‰) were measured continuously at a ~1 sec interval

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(Maher et al., 2013). The dry molar fractions of CO2 and CH4 were corrected for water vapor

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pressure (Pierrot et al., 2009), temperature and salinity dependent solubilities (Weiss, 1974).

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The carbon stable isotopes of CO2 and CH4 were converted to standard δ13C notation by the

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instrument based on the ratio of sample

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Belemnite (VPDB)

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C and

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C to the standard Vienna Pee Dee

C/12C and are reported in per mille (‰). Radon (222Rn) was measured

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every 10 minutes using a radon-in-air analyser (RAD7, Durridge), which was connected by

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tubing to the equilibrator device (Santos and Eyre, 2011).

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the dry season transect surveys. Surface water salinity, temperature, pH and dissolved oxygen

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(DO) were measured in a flow-through chamber on board every 5 minutes using a calibrated

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Hydrolab water quality multiprobe (DS5X, Aqualab). Discrete DOC, DIC and alkalinity

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(data not shown) samples were collected every 1 to 2 units of salinity. Water samples for

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DOC and DIC were filtered through 0.7 µm (Whatman GF/F) into acid-rinsed pre-combusted

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glass vials containing 200 µL 85% H3PO4 and 100 µL HgCl2, respectively, and stored at 4 °C

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until return to the laboratory. DOC concentrations were determined using an Aurora 1030W

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total organic carbon analyser. DIC concentrations were measured using a Vindta 3C

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Instrument (Marianda, Germany). Alkalinity samples were filtered (0.45 µm Whatman GF/F)

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and total alkalinity was determined via gran titration using a Metrohm Titrando automatic

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titrator, pH electrode and pre-standardized 0.01 mol L-1 HCl as titrant. Wind speed data (1-

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minute average) was obtained from weather stations close by the three estuaries provided by

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the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) (station 039083 near Rockhampton, station 033045 near

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Mackay, station 032037 near Innisfail).

Rn data was only available for

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2.3. Calculations

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2.3.1. Water to atmosphere CO2 and CH4 fluxes

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CO2 and CH4 fluxes (F) were calculated at 1-minute intervals using the equation:

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F (mmol m-2 d-1) = k

(Cwater - Cair)

(1)

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where k is the gas transfer velocity (m d-1),

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(Wanninkhof, 2014), and Cwater and Cair is the partial pressure (µatm) of a given gas in the

is the solubility coefficient of CO2 and CH4

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT water and atmosphere, respectively. For atmospheric concentrations, we assumed 400 ppm

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CO2 and 1.8 ppm CH4. The accuracy of the CO2 and CH4 fluxes greatly depend upon the gas

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transfer velocity used. Because k was not determined in situ and current velocity data was not

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available, we used wind speed estuary-specific parameterizations to calculate k. The kCO2

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was determined (1) from the revised parameterization of Wanninkhof (2014) (Eq. 2), (2) the

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parameterization of Carini et al. (1996) based on a SF6 release experiment in the Park River

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estuary (Eq. 3), and (3) the estuary specific parameterization of Jiang et al. (2008) that

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extends the commonly used exponential parameterization of Raymond and Cole (2001) for

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better flux estimates at wind speeds > 6 m s-1 (Eq. 4).

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= 0.251

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(W14)

(2)

(C96)

(3)

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− 0.436

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(J08)

(4)

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where k is the gas transfer velocity in cm h-1 and

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of 10 m above the water surface (m s-1) (Amorocho and DeVries, 1980). k600-CH4 has been

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found to be higher than k600-CO2 because of a non-Fickian diffusion component (microbubble

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flux) that enhances the CH4 flux relative to the CO2 flux (McGinnis et al., 2015; Prairie and

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del Giorgio, 2013; Rosentreter et al., 2017). To estimate the total CH4 flux (FCH4) in our three

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estuaries we combined the diffusive flux (FD) estimate of CH4 with a non-diffusive

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microbubble flux (FMB).

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is the wind speed corrected to a height

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FCH4 (µmol m-2 d-1) = FD + FMB

(5)

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with

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FMB = -1.166 + 0.0028 CH4sat + 0.042 T

(6)

260 where CH4sat is the saturation of CH4 in the water column (pCH4water/ pCH4air) and

is the

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temperature in °C. The FMB used here is slightly different from the FMB model that has been

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proposed to predict the microbubble flux in mangrove tidal creeks (Rosentreter et al., 2017).

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The original model includes CH4 saturation, water temperature and current velocity, but

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because current velocity data is not available for the estuary surveys, in this study we account

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only for CH4 saturation and water temperature (R2 = 0.39, n = 72, p < 0.001).

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In estuarine systems, the distribution of pCO2, CH4 and carbon stable isotopes can be

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determined by the conservative mixing of riverine and oceanic water depending on salinity

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(Fry, 2002; Kaldy et al., 2015; Miyajima et al., 2009). Conservative mixing of a solute was

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estimated according to Fry (2002):

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CMIX = f CR + (1 – f) CO

(7)

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where CMIX is the concentration of a solute expected by the conservative mixing model, CR is

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the concentration of the riverine end-member and CO is the concentration of the oceanic end-

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member. The freshwater fraction (f) is calculated as:

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f = (SO – S)/ (SO – SR)

(8)

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where S is the measured salinity at the estuary section, and SO and SR are the salinity of the

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oceanic and riverine end-members, respectively. To account for a buffering effect of

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT alkalinity in the lower estuary when freshwater mixes with oceanic water, CO2 mixing lines

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were estimated as a function of the conservative mixing models (CMIX) of alkalinity and DIC

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(estimated from pCO2 and alkalinity) using the CO2SYS Microsoft Excel macro version 2.1

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(Pierrot et al., 2006). Concentrations of CO2 (µmol L-1) and CH4 (nmol L-1) were calculated

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from the gas partial pressure and solubility coefficient K0 (depending on temperature and

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salinity).

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Mixing curves of the isotopic ratios of CO2 and CH4 were calculated by using concentrations

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to weight the end-member riverine (δR) and oceanic (δO) isotopic composition (Fry, 2002):

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δ

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= !" #$ δ$ + %1 − "& #' δ' (/ #*+,

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(9)

Salinity based conservative mixing models for isotopes usually result in curvilinear mixing

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(Fry, 2002). The mixing curves show an increased function if δO > δR and a decreased

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function if δO < δR.

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2.3.3. Freshwater flushing times

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The freshwater flushing time is defined as the time required to replace the existing freshwater

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accumulated in the estuary by the river discharge. Freshwater flushing times for the FR and

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for the JR were estimated using the fraction of freshwater method, where the freshwater

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replacement time is calculated by summing the daily river discharges prior to the sampling

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date until the volume of freshwater is equal the total freshwater volume in the estuary (Eyre,

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2000; Kaul and Froelich, 1984; Kennish, 1986). The total freshwater volume in each estuary

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was estimated using the QGIS ‘raster calculator’ function, where the freshwater fraction

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values were multiplied by the depth and the width of each estuary. River discharge data was

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT obtained from one upstream gauging station of the Fitzroy river (station 130005A) and two

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gauging stations of the Johnstone river (112004A and 112101B) authorised by the Water

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Monitoring Information Portal of the Queensland Department of Natural Resources and

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Mines. Freshwater flushing times could not be calculated for the CC due to the absence of

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available river discharge data for the CC estuary.

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2.3.4. Contribution of riverine CO2 and CH4 to overall estuary emissions

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The relative contribution of the riverine ventilation of a gas to the overall emissions from an

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estuary was calculated as:

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Riverine contribution (%) = (FRiver/ FEstuary × 100)

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(10)

where FRiver is the riverine flux or load of a dissolved gas to the estuary calculated from the

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river discharge and riverine excess CO2 or dissolved CH4 concentration (in mol d-1), and

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FEstuary is the area-weighted estuary flux to the atmosphere of a gas (from Eq. 1) (in mol d-1).

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The riverine excess CO2 (expressed in µmol L-1) is defined as the quantity of DIC that is

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transferred as CO2 after water-atmosphere equilibration, and was calculated after Abril et al.,

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(2000):

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Riverine excess CO2 = DICIn situ − DICEquilibrium

(11)

is the DIC river end-member (µmol L-1) measured at the most upstream

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where DICIn

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freshwater section of each estuary, and DICEquilibrium is the DIC in atmospheric equilibrium

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calculated as a function of the alkalinity river end-member (unpublished) and atmospheric

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CO2 (400 ppm) using the CO2SYS Microsoft Excel macro version 2.1 (Pierrot et al., 2006). A

situ

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT riverine ventilation contribution of < 100% indicates that the riverine CO2 or CH4 is fully

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ventilated to the atmosphere within the estuary and the remaining contribution is derived

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from net heterotrophy of the estuary itself or another external carbon source (e.g.

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groundwater). In contrast, a riverine ventilation contribution > 100% suggests that the

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riverine contribution of CO2 or CH4 exceeds the total emissions from within the estuary and

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the remaining CO2 or CH4 is exported to the open ocean. As for the contribution of riverine

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CO2 to overall estuary emissions, the carbonate chemistry in the estuary is affected by the

341

change of pH and salinity as riverine water mixes with oceanic water. By using riverine

342

excess CO2 (Eq. 11) over river DIC, the shift of inorganic carbon species (towards CO2)

343

during the mixing of river and ocean water is accounted for and should give a better estimate

344

of the riverine CO2 contribution to overall estuary emissions.

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345 3. Results

347

3.1. Estuarine conditions

348

During the wet season field campaign, water temperature ranged from 24 to 30 °C in the

349

three estuaries (Australian summer), and from 21 to 28 °C during the dry season field

350

campaign (Australian winter) (Table 1). Salinity was higher in the dry season than in the wet

351

season in the three estuaries. In the FR estuary in the wet season and in the JR in the dry

352

season, surveys were conducted over a whole salinity gradient (0 to 35). During all other

353

surveys, freshwater was either flushed to the estuary mouth (JR estuary wet season) or

354

oceanic water was pushed to the upstream river regions (e.g. CC estuary dry season). Overall,

355

wind speed (U10) ranged from 0 to 10.3 m s-1 during the wet and the dry season field

356

campaigns and was slightly higher in the wet season (Table 1). Wind speed was generally

357

lower in the JR estuary compared to the JR and FR estuaries. Dissolved oxygen

358

concentrations (DO) were similar in the JR estuary (74 to 114%), CC estuary (85 to 104%)

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT and FR estuary (86 to 114%) (Table 1). pH in the three estuaries ranged from 5.95 to 7.90

360

with no clear seasonal trend (Table 1). Overall DIC concentrations ranged from 134 to 4,387

361

µmol L-1 and were on average 66%, 52% and 29% higher in the dry season compared to the

362

wet season in the JR, FR, and CC estuary, respectively (Table 1). DOC concentrations were ~

363

50% higher in the wet season compared to the dry season in all three estuaries and ranged

364

from 1.2 to 9.9 mg L-1 in the FR estuary, from 0.8 to 5.5 mg L-1 in the CC estuary and were

365

lowest in the JR (0.5 to 2.3 mg L-1). A positive correlation was found between DOC and

366

pCO2 and between DOC and CH4 in the FR and in the CC estuary. However, DOC remained

367

low with increasing pCO2 or CH4 in the JR estuary (Figure 1).

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3.2. Estuarine pCO2 and CH4 concentrations

370

During the wet and dry season field campaigns, the three estuaries were supersaturated in

371

CO2 and CH4 with respect to atmospheric equilibrium concentrations (Table 1, Figure 2).

372

Overall, pCO2 ranged from 409 to 2,924 µatm and dissolved CH4 concentrations ranged from

373

3.8 to 529.7 nmol L-1. Both, pCO2 and CH4 concentrations were higher in the JR estuary

374

compared to the FR and CC estuaries. During all surveys and in both seasons, pCO2 and CH4

375

concentrations increased from the estuary mouth to the upstream riverine sections and were

376

generally higher in the wet season compared to the dry season (Figure 2 and 3). An exception

377

was the pCO2 in the CC estuary. In the dry season, an unknown source caused an increase of

378

pCO2 at the estuary mouth. The longitudinal distribution of CH4 along the salinity gradient

379

was lower than predicted by the conservative mixing of riverine and oceanic end-members,

380

hence a loss (or sink) of CH4 along the three estuaries (Figure 3). The longitudinal

381

distribution of pCO2 in the three estuaries was less distinctive. In the JR estuary, pCO2

382

followed conservative mixing in the dry season but showed a sink of pCO2 during the wet

383

season. In the CC estuary, there was a source of CO2 along most of the estuary, in both

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 384

seasons. In the FR estuary, pCO2 followed conservative mixing in the upper estuary and

385

changed to a source (wet season) or sink (dry season) in the lower estuary.

386 3.3. Carbon stable isotopic composition of CO2 and CH4

388

Overall, δ13C-CO2 values ranged from -18.67 to -8.84 ‰, and δ13C-CH4 values ranged from -

389

70.01 to -37.45 ‰ (Table 1). The oceanic end-member δ13C-CO2 was relatively enriched

390

compared to riverine δ13C-CO2 in the three estuaries, hence the mixing curves show an

391

increased trend (Figure 4). δ13C-CO2 versus salinity suggests conservative behaviour in the

392

dry season and non-conservative behaviour with less negative values in the wet season. An

393

exception was the JR in the dry season, where δ13C-CO2 values showed high variation along

394

the salinity gradient. In the FR dry season, a notable peak scattered around the oceanic end-

395

member was found with distinct depleted δ13C-CO2 values. δ13C-CH4 mixing showed more

396

variability along the salinity gradient between the estuaries and seasons with reference to the

397

relative enrichment or depletion of the two end-members. The isotopic ratio of CH4 was

398

however generally depleted compared to the oceanic and riverine end-members. An

399

exception was the JR in the wet season, where δ13C-CH4 was relatively enriched compared to

400

the conservative mixing curve.

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402

3.4. Water to atmosphere CO2 and CH4 fluxes

403

Generally, the empirical models of C96 and J08 showed good agreement (Table 2). The W14

404

model always estimated a lower CO2 or CH4 flux compared to C96 and J08 but with a

405

discrepancy of < 50%, therefore fluxes are presented as an average of the three empirical

406

models (Table 2). Overall, average wet and dry season CO2 fluxes were similar in the JR

407

estuary (75.3 ± 5.2 mmol m-2 d-1) and in the FR estuary (70.0 ± 6.7 mmol m-2 d-1), and were

408

approximately 50% lower in the CC estuary (36.1 ± 5.0 mmol m-2 d-1). Average wet and dry

16

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT season CH4 fluxes were also highest in the JR estuary (779.3 ± 44.9 µmol m-2 d-1), and lower

410

in the CC estuary (118.8 ± 27.8 µmol m-2 d-1) and FR estuary (99.2 ± 7.1 µmol m-2 d-1). The

411

microbubble flux (FMB) contributed more to total CH4 fluxes (FCH4) in the wet season

412

compared to the dry season in the three estuaries. In the FR in the dry season, the estimated

413

microbubble flux showed slightly negative values due to the lower CH4 saturation and

414

temperature, hence was insignificant or absent in the FR dry season (Table 2). Average CO2

415

and CH4 fluxes were approximately 50% higher in the wet season compared to the dry season

416

in the three estuaries. An exception was the CO2 flux in the CC estuary, where an inverse

417

trend was found with an average CO2 flux approximately 60% higher in the dry season

418

compared to the wet season, which was related to the increased pCO2 at the CC estuary

419

mouth in the dry season (Figure 2).

420

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3.5. Groundwater observations

422

Radon concentrations were only available for the dry season and ranged from 1,198 to 24,661

423

dpm m-3 in the JR estuary, from 476 to 3,910 dpm m-3 in the FR estuary, and from 2,803 to

424

4,230 dpm m-3 in the CC estuary (Figure 5). Because 222Rn was measured every 10 minutes,

425

only three

426

estuary is excluded from the graphical illustration in Figure 5. An inverse trend was found

427

between

428

towards lower salinities in the JR and FR (Figure 5), and likely in the CC estuary. In the JR

429

estuary, a positive relationship was found between

430

0.001) and between

222

431

relationship between

222

432

pronounced (pCO2: R2 = 0.24, n = 44, p < 0.001; CH4: R2 = 0.29, n = 44, p < 0.001) and

433

elevated pCO2 was observed around low 222Rn concentrations (Figure 5).

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Rn measurements were available for the CC estuary, therefore

Rn concentration and salinity, showing generally higher

222

222

Rn in the CC

222

Rn concentrations

Rn and pCO2 (R2 = 0.60, n = 29, p <

Rn and CH4 (R2 = 0.89, n = 29, p < 0.001). In the FR estuary, the Rn and pCO2 and between

222

Rn and CH4 was also positive but less

17

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 434 3.6. Flushing times and the contribution of riverine ventilation to total emissions

436

The freshwater flushing and the tidal currents greatly influence the freshwater fractions in

437

each estuary and season. The tidal amplitude was low (2.1 m) in the JR and approximately

438

4.0 m in the FR and CC estuaries. The daily river discharge was significantly higher during

439

the surveys of the wet season (FR: 6,356 ML d-1; JR: 10,863 ML d-1) compared to the surveys

440

of the dry season (FR:139 ML d-1; JR: and 2,192 ML d-1). The freshwater flushing time in the

441

FR was 72.8 days in the dry season and 5.7 days in the wet season. In the JR estuary, the

442

flushing times were significantly shorter with 2.3 days in the dry season and 0.6 days in the

443

wet season. The riverine contribution was < 100% in all cases except the JR wet survey,

444

indicating that overall emissions of CO2 (JR dry: 38.1%; FR wet: 12.9%; FR dry: 1.5%) and

445

CH4 (JR dry: 52.9%; FR wet: 5.4%; FR dry: 0.9%) were partially related to processes within

446

the estuary or groundwater inputs rather than from riverine ventilation. In the JR estuary in

447

the wet season, the contribution of riverine ventilation of CO2 (311.0%) and CH4 (174.7%)

448

exceeded 100% suggesting that the remaining CO2 and CH4 was exported to the coastal

449

ocean (Figure 6). The contributions of riverine CO2 and CH4 to total estuarine emissions in

450

the three estuaries were higher in the wet season compared to the dry season (Figure 6).

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4. Discussion

453

4.1. Comparison of seasonal CO2 and CH4 emissions with global and other Australian

454

estuaries

455

The three mangrove-dominated estuaries in tropical Queensland have distinct differences in

456

catchment size, hydrology and geomorphology, thus cover a large range of estuarine and

457

coastal settings. The supersaturated levels in the surface water and the water to atmosphere

458

fluxes showed that the three estuaries were a source of CO2 and CH4 to the atmosphere

18

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT during the wet and dry season field campaigns. CO2 emissions from the JR, FR, and CC

460

estuaries were within the range or towards the upper end of global average CO2 emissions

461

from estuaries (7.74 to 35.71 mol m-2 y-1; Abril and Borges, 2005; Borges, 2005; Borges et

462

al., 2005; Cai, 2011; Chen et al., 2013, 2012; Chen and Borges, 2009; Laruelle et al., 2010)

463

(Table 3). Emission of CO2 in the CC estuary were similar to the average CO2 emission

464

proposed for subtropical and tropical estuaries (16.8 mol m-2 y-1; Borges et al., 2005),

465

whereas the JR and the FR estuaries showed slightly higher emissions (Table 3). Similar to

466

CO2, CH4 emissions from the FR and CC estuaries were also within the range of global

467

estuary emissions, whereas the emissions from the JR estuary were at the high end of global

468

estimates (Bange et al., 1994; Borges and Abril, 2011; Middelburg et al., 2002; Upstill-

469

Goddard et al., 2000). An overall average of ~ 200 mmol m-2 yr-1 from the three mangrove-

470

dominated estuaries in Queensland fits well with the higher estimate of 266 mmol m-2 y-1 for

471

all estuarine types suggested by Borges and Abril (2011).

472

A comparison of estuary CO2 emissions over latitudinal regions showed CO2 emissions can

473

vary significantly (Chen et al., 2013). Estuaries between the latitudes 23.5 and 50 °N have

474

higher CO2 emissions (63.3 ± 100.7 mmol m-2 d-1) compared to low latitudinal regions (0 to

475

23.5 °S: 44.1 ± 29.3 mmol m-2 d-1; 0 to 23.5 °N: 38.8 ± 55.4 mmol m-2 d-1), and are the lowest

476

at latitudes > 50 °N and °S (Chen et al., 2013). Including the three tropical mangrove-

477

dominated estuaries from this study, the revised global estimate for the latitudinal region 0 to

478

23.5 °S is 52.1 ± 16.1 mmol m-2 d-1, which is an increase of 15% compared to the estimate of

479

Chen et al. (2013). No such latitudinal estimates are available for estuary CH4 emissions and

480

combined CH4 emissions of estuaries, lakes, oceans, streams and wetlands did not show any

481

significant trends across latitudes and climatic zones (Ortiz-Llorente and Alvarez-Cobelas,

482

2012). However, CH4 emissions from sediments and waters in coastal mangrove tidal creeks

483

showed increased emissions at mid latitudes between 20 and 25 °N and °S, which is similar

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT to the latitudinal area of the three studied estuaries here (17.5 to 23.5 °N and °S) (Rosentreter

485

et al., 2018b).

486

Since these global estimates of estuary CO2 and CH4 emissions, a number of new studies

487

have been published from the eastern coast of Australia (Table 3). The CO2 and CH4

488

emissions from the JR, FR and CC estuaries lay within the range or at the top end for

489

Australian estuaries. The degree of disturbance and stress factors in the river catchment

490

influences overall emissions of an estuary, because increased riverine and terrestrial organic

491

carbon inputs fuel net heterotrophy in the estuary zone. The large range of CO2 (-11.2 to

492

869.4 mmol m-2 d-1) and CH4 (7 to 25,800 µmol m-2 d-1) emissions between estuarine systems

493

in Australia can be attributed to the various features that characterise these estuaries. For

494

example, in the highly urbanised Sydney Harbour estuary, the CO2 efflux to the atmosphere

495

ranged from 1.2 to 5 mmol m-2 d-1 (Tanner et al., 2017) and in the urbanised Brisbane estuary

496

CH4 emissions ranged from 136 to 2,603 µmol m-2 d-1 (Sturm et al., 2017, 2016). In contrast,

497

three relatively undisturbed seagrass-dominated estuaries in Australia were net autotrophic

498

and a sink for atmospheric CO2 (-3 to -11.2 mmol m-2 d-1; Maher and Eyre, 2012). In

499

estuaries, net autotrophy is mainly related to aquatic submerged vegetation and water surface

500

area, and has been mostly observed in shallow estuaries (Caffrey, 2004; Eyre et al., 2011;

501

Ferguson and Eyre, 2010; Maher and Eyre, 2012; Santos et al., 2004). Exceptional high

502

emissions of CO2 (and CH4) in Australia were found in estuarine systems adjacent to

503

modified acidic floodplain wetlands (Ruiz-Halpern et al., 2015) or estuaries with a significant

504

contribution of groundwater inputs (Atkins et al., 2013; Sadat-Noori et al., 2015a). Korogoro

505

Creek, for example, is a surface expression of a wetland groundwater table (Sadat-Noori et

506

al., 2015a) and the North Creek study was conducted near headwaters (Atkins et al., 2013),

507

thus groundwater inputs were elevated at these study locations. The relatively high emissions

508

from the three mangrove dominated JR, FR an CC estuaries are likely controlled by a

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 509

combination of factors, which appear to shift along different parts of the estuary along the

510

salinity gradient and between seasons, and will be discussed separately for CO2 and CH4 in

511

the following sections.

512 Seasonal variability of carbon components was prominent in the mangrove-dominated

514

estuaries. CO2 and CH4 emissions were higher in the wet season compared to the dry season

515

in the JR and FR estuaries and driven by higher wind speeds and higher surface water gas

516

concentrations in the wet season. In contrast, surface water pCO2 and CO2 emissions in the

517

CC estuary were lower in the wet season than in the dry season (Figure 2). The increased

518

pCO2 in the CC in the dry season was likely derived from organic matter decomposition on

519

the extensive inter-tidal mud flats, which are found at the outer estuary mouth. This was the

520

only location where pCO2 and CO2 emissions were found elevated at the downstream transect

521

of the estuary surveys (Figure 2). DIC showed an opposite trend with significantly higher

522

concentration in the dry season in the three estuaries. High dry season DIC values were also

523

found in the Pearl River estuary in China and related to a dilution effect during the wet

524

season due to higher river discharge (Guo et al., 2008). The shifting between two mixing

525

regimes and the variation of end-member DIC (and alkalinity) between the dry and wet

526

season were responsible for complex inorganic carbon patterns in the estuarine waters. DOC

527

concentrations were higher in the wet season in the three estuaries, indicating higher

528

terrestrial carbon inputs most likely due to enhanced surface runoff in the rainy season

529

(Figure 1). Similarly, the contribution of riverine CO2 and CH4 to total emissions was higher

530

in the wet season. Distinct seasonal differences of CO2 and CH4 emissions can be of

531

importance for annual estimates. For example, CO2 and CH4 in the JR estuary was fully

532

ventilated within the estuary in the dry season but exported to the ocean in the wet season

533

(Figure 6).

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 534 4.2. Factors controlling estuarine CO2 emissions

536

In estuaries, CO2 cycling is more complex than in headwater streams and rivers because of

537

the various lateral inputs from rivers, groundwater and surface runoff, as well as in situ

538

production and the exchange with the atmosphere and the adjacent coastal ocean. In the dry

539

season, the relationship between pCO2/δ13C-CO2 and salinity suggests that mixing of

540

freshwater rich in CO2 and oceanic water rich in DIC and alkalinity was an important driver

541

of the distribution of pCO2 along the three estuaries (Figure 3 and 4). In the wet season,

542

however, sources and sinks of pCO2 and the stable isotopic ratio were more variable along

543

the estuarine salinity gradients, which highlights the different controls on CO2 cycling

544

between seasons. The positive relationship between

545

(Figure 5) further suggests that high surface water pCO2 in the upper estuaries was likely

546

driven by CO2 enriched groundwater inputs, although another co-varying factor such as

547

mixing cannot be excluded. Both, 222Rn and pCO2 increased with decreasing salinity towards

548

upstream riverine freshwater sections (Figure 3 and 5). The relationship between

549

pCO2 was more pronounced in the JR estuary (R2 = 0.60, p < 0.001) than in the FR estuary

550

(R2 = 0.24, p < 0.001). The elevated pCO2 at low

551

peaking around mid-salinities suggests that groundwater inputs were relatively low in the

552

upper FR estuary (where pCO2 was high) and inputs were higher in the mid-estuary (Figure

553

5). Although 222Rn was only available for the dry season in this study we expect an enhanced

554

contribution of groundwater inputs in the wet season in the three estuaries (Sadat-Noori et al.,

555

2015b).

556

Freshwater CO2 in this study showed depleted δ13C values around ~ -17 ‰, which reflects

557

the isotopic effect of the terrestrial carbon cycle, whereas the marine CO2 was more

558

distributed around a mean of ~ -10 ‰ (Table 1, Figure 4). The fairly abrupt change and

222

222

Rn (groundwater tracer) and pCO2

222

Rn and

Rn concentrations along with

222

Rn

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22

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT distinct depletion of δ13C-CO2 values scattered around the end-member in the FR dry season

560

may be indicative of mixing with other carbon sources i.e. benthic macroalgae (-23.1 to -16.4

561

‰), marine phytoplankton (-22.0 to -20.0 ‰), or a mangrove-derived carbon source (-35 to -

562

25 ‰) (Bouillon et al., 2008, 2007). Indeed, pCO2 and CO2 emissions from mangrove tidal

563

creeks in the JR and FR estuaries were significantly higher than from the adjacent main

564

estuary channel (64.4 to 205.2 mmol m-2 d-1; Rosentreter et al., 2018a) and tidal exports of

565

mangrove waters enriched in inorganic carbon components were likely a carbon source to the

566

main estuaries. However, non-conservative changes in δ13C-CO2 may also be related to

567

equilibrium and kinetic isotope fractionation i.e. dehydration and degassing of CO2 into the

568

atmosphere (Marlier and O’Leary, 1984; Miyajima et al., 2009; Zhang et al., 1995). Other

569

naturally occurring processes associated with kinetic fractionation, such as abiotic or

570

biogenic precipitation of CaCO3 (Romanek et al., 1992; Turner, 1982), or photosynthetic CO2

571

fixation into organic matter (Descolas-Gros and Fontugne, 1990), may also be responsible for

572

a relative enrichment of δ13C-CO2 compared to conservative mixing.

573

DOC and pCO2 have been found to have a consistent positive relationship in several

574

temperate and tropical tidal rivers and can be indicative of terrestrial organic matter inputs or

575

lateral inputs from surface runoff driving net heterotrophy and CO2 production (Borges and

576

Abril, 2011). While a strong positive relationship between DOC and pCO2 suggests a

577

connection between terrestrial organic carbon and surface water pCO2 in the FR and CC

578

estuaries, terrestrial OM inputs were not an important factor controlling CO2 emissions in the

579

JR estuary (Figure 1). In fact, the contribution of riverine CO2 to overall CO2 emissions was

580

higher in the JR estuary compared to the FR estuary. This is likely related to the short

581

residence time, which enhances the relative importance of riverine CO2 to total emissions.

582

The particular short freshwater flushing times in the JR estuary in the wet season (0.6 days),

583

freshwater flushing to the estuary mouth (salinity ~12) in combination with the high

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT contribution of riverine CO2 (311.0%) suggests that riverine excess CO2 was exported to the

585

adjacent ocean. The difference of riverine excess CO2 and the emitted CO2 within the estuary

586

is 6.13 × 105 mol d-1, or in other words, 32% of the riverine CO2 was lost via gas exchange

587

within the estuary and the remaining 68% were likely exported to the ocean. In contrast,

588

flushing times in the FR estuary were long, particularly in the dry season (72.8 days), and

589

CO2 derived from the upstream river was fully ventilated within the estuary. The three

590

tropical estuaries are characterised by episodic and large freshwater inputs during the wet

591

season and low or no discharge and high evaporation rates during the dry season. Therefore,

592

the contribution of riverine CO2 to overall emissions was distinct in the wet and dry season

593

but within the range of nine other European and two U.S. estuaries (Figure 6). Borges and

594

Abril (2011) proposed that the contribution of riverine CO2 to total estuary emissions is about

595

10%, and the remaining 90% of the estuary emissions may be attributed to net heterotrophy.

596

Similarly, an average riverine contribution of 18% (range 2 to 38%) was found for the FR

597

estuary and the JR estuary in the dry season. We attribute the remaining contribution to a

598

combination of in situ production within the estuary, groundwater discharge enriched in CO2,

599

and tidal export from adjacent coastal ecosystems. The exceptional high contribution of

600

riverine CO2 in the JR in the wet season is similar to that of the Rhine in Europe with similar

601

short residence times of 1 to 3 days, which implies that most of the organic matter was

602

flushed to the estuary mouth before it could be mineralized within the estuary. Unfortunately,

603

flushing times and riverine contributions of CO2 could not be estimated for the CC estuary

604

because of the lack of river discharge data. However, we expect relatively short freshwater

605

flushing times < 5 days because of the smaller catchment size relative to surface area in the

606

CC estuary and moderate exports of CO2 to the ocean in the wet season.

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607 608

4.3. Factors controlling estuarine CH4 emissions

24

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT The downstream decrease of CH4 concentrations along the salinity gradient found in the JR,

610

CC and FR (Figure 3) is typical for estuaries and related to the loss of riverine CH4 due to

611

estuary emissions, microbial oxidation, and the mixing of riverine water with oceanic water

612

low in CH4 (Borges and Abril, 2011; Borges et al., 2018b; Rhee et al., 2009; Upstill-Goddard

613

and Barnes, 2016). With regard to estuary emissions, there are several pathways for CH4 to

614

reach the atmosphere from the sediment and the water column. The dominant process -

615

passive diffusion- occurs at the sediment-water and water-atmosphere interface. However,

616

there are also several non-diffusion processes. Firstly, a microbubble flux across the water-

617

atmosphere interface induced by microbubble entrainment of surface waters or formed in situ

618

under surface films or on suspended particles in supersaturated environments has been

619

highlighted recently (Beaulieu et al., 2012; McGinnis et al., 2015; Prairie and del Giorgio,

620

2013; Rosentreter et al., 2017; Woolf et al., 2007). The microbubble flux has been proposed

621

to explain an enhanced gas transfer velocity of CH4 relative to CO2 in mangrove dominated

622

estuaries (Rosentreter et al., 2017) and an increased transfer velocity up to 2.5-fold in lakes

623

(McGinnis et al., 2015; Prairie and del Giorgio, 2013). The total CH4 emissions in the JR, FR

624

and CC estuaries account for the contribution of a microbubble flux, but the microbubble flux

625

may still be underestimated as we could not include current velocity as a factor in the

626

equation (Eq.6, Table 2). An enhanced microbubble flux contribution in the wet season in the

627

three estuaries can be explained by the higher CH4 surface water concentrations, higher wind

628

speeds and increased water temperature (Australian summer). Furthermore, ebullition (rising

629

gas bubbles from sediments), active or passive plant-mediated transport, and the process of

630

tidal pumping can be important pathways of CH4 to reach the atmosphere in estuaries (Barber

631

et al., 1988; Kelley et al., 1995, 1990; Maher et al., 2015; Purvaja et al., 2004). These

632

pathways were not determined in this study and total CH4 emissions must be seen as a lower

633

limit.

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT There was a positive correlation between pCO2 and CH4 in all three estuaries, suggesting a

635

common source of the two gases (Figure 7). For similar pCO2, the CH4 concentrations were,

636

however, higher in the JR estuary compared to the FR estuary and the CC estuary in the dry

637

season. STPs can be found in both, the JR and the FR catchments but the STP in the JR is

638

geographically much closer to the estuarine section surveyed, thus sewage discharge may

639

have also contributed to the increase of CH4 concentrations (and pCO2) in the JR estuary. The

640

strong relationship between

641

groundwater inputs highly enriched in CH4. Diffusive CH4 fluxes in the upper section in three

642

surveys in the North Creek estuary were also driven by CH4 enriched groundwater, either

643

directly or indirectly (Maher et al. 2015). But as mentioned above, co-variance with mixing

644

cannot be excluded. The relationship between DOC and CH4 concentrations was weak in the

645

JR estuary, but similarly to the relationship between DOC and pCO2, stronger in the FR and

646

CC estuaries, suggesting that CH4 concentration in the surface water of these estuaries was

647

also driven by terrestrial carbon inputs (Figure 1).

648

The isotopic ratio of CH4 is different for freshwater and marine environments. A rough

649

boundary around -60 ‰ can be drawn, with a mean of -59 ‰ for biogenic CH4 in freshwater

650

and a mean of -68 ‰ for marine sedimentary environments (Whiticar et al., 1986). Co-

651

existing CO2-CH4 carbon stable isotope pairs indicate methane production was derived from

652

hydrogenotrophic or acetoclastic methanogenesis, with a shift towards methane oxidation in

653

the wet season (Figure 7). Methanogenesis by carbonate reduction has a larger CO2-CH4

654

isotope separation (saline or marine region), whereas acetoclastic methanogenesis (methyl-

655

type fermentation) or CH4 consumption have a smaller isotope separation, hence lower

656

carbon fractionation factor values (freshwater region) (Whiticar, 1999). Indeed, a clear

657

separation of isotope pairs was found between the two seasons in the JR estuary. While in the

658

dry season, carbonate reduction indicative of a more saline/marine environment was the

Rn and CH4 concentrations in the JR estuary suggests

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT dominant CH4 producing process, methyl-fermentation indicative of a freshwater/riverine

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environment was the dominant process in the wet season. The same seasonal separation

661

although less pronounced was found in the FR and CC estuaries. However, without further

662

evidence from hydrogen isotopes (δD-H2O, δD-CH4&, this result must be taken with caution

663

because of the isotopic fractionation during diffusion (kinetic, equilibrium fractionation),

664

advection, transport, and mixing with other carbon sources (Whiticar and Schaefer, 2007;

665

Whiticar et al., 1986).

666

The riverine contribution of CH4 to overall CH4 emissions was generally less pronounced

667

than the riverine contribution of CO2 to total CO2 emissions in the JR and FR estuary (Figure

668

6). In the dry season in the JR estuary and in both seasons in the FR estuary, riverine CH4

669

was fully ventilated within the estuary, suggesting that the remaining 80% (range 47 to 99%)

670

of the total emissions were driven by in situ processes within the estuary, and/or lateral

671

groundwater inputs. High CH4 concentrations and emissions were found in adjacent tidal

672

mangrove creeks in the JR and FR estuaries (average CH4 flux ranged from 96.5 to 1,049.8

673

µmol m-2 d-1; Rosentreter et al., 2018b) suggesting tidal exports from mangrove creeks to the

674

estuary main channel may have further contributed to overall emissions in the estuaries. Only

675

in the wet season in the JR estuary, an export of riverine CH4 to the open ocean is expected.

676

A comparison of the excess riverine CH4 and the emitted CH4 within the JR estuary suggests

677

that 57% of the riverine CH4 was lost via gas exchange in the estuary, and the remaining 43%

678

(or 2.06 × 103 mol d-1 CH4) was exported to the adjacent ocean. The relative enriched δ13C-

679

CH4 values compared to the conservative mixing support the hypothesis of enhanced riverine

680

CH4 contribution in the rainy season in the JR, as these values indicate a more riverine origin

681

(Figure 4 and 7). Furthermore, the salinity of the oceanic end-member at the estuary mouth

682

was relatively fresh (~ 12), which also indicates a strong freshwater source from upstream.

683

This is the first time that the riverine CH4 contributions to overall CH4 emissions are

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estimated for estuaries and it remains to be established if the lower contribution of CH4

685

compared to riverine CO2 contribution to overall emissions is a general pattern.

686 5. Conclusion

688

The three tropical mangrove-fringed estuaries at the north-eastern coast of Queensland were

689

supersaturated in CO2 and CH4 with respect to the atmosphere. Emissions were higher in the

690

wet season compared to the dry season and within or at the upper end of the range for

691

estuaries in Australia and globally. Factors controlling the CO2 and CH4 emissions varied

692

spatially and seasonally. Groundwater inputs and riverine carbon inputs were likely the main

693

factors controlling CO2 and CH4 emissions in the JR estuary, while in situ production and

694

terrestrial carbon inputs were the more important drivers of emissions in the FR and CC

695

estuaries. The exchange with adjacent coastal tidal ecosystems (mangroves, inter-tidal flats)

696

likely contributed to overall CO2 and CH4 emissions in all three estuaries. The estimation of

697

the percent contribution of riverine ventilation to overall estuary emissions suggests that the

698

riverine contribution is more important for estuarine CO2 than CH4. The seasonal and inter-

699

site variability of CO2 and CH4 emissions as well as the various carbon sources controlling

700

the emissions from the three mangrove-dominated estuaries emphasises the need for further

701

studies on carbon cycling in estuaries in Australia, and globally. This will help to better

702

predict the amount of CO2 and CH4 that is ventilated within the estuary and/or exported to the

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open ocean – a prediction of great importance for the coastal global ocean under future

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climate change scenarios.

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6. Acknowledgments

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We thank Mitchell Call and Ashly McMahon for their assistance in the field. This project

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was funded by the Great Barrier Reef Foundation’s Resilient Coral Reefs Successfully

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Adapting to Climate Change research and development program in collaboration with the

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Australian Government, and by Australian Research Council Grants DE150100581,

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DP160100248, and LP150100519.

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Table 1 Average (range) of temperature, salinity, pH, DO, wind speed (U10), DOC, DIC, pCO2 and CH4 concentration and stable isotopes in the three estuaries. Salinity

pH

LDO (%)

U10 (m s-1)

DOC (mg L-1)

DIC (µmol L-1)

pCO2 (µatm)

δ13C-CO2 (‰)

CH4 (nmol L-1)

δ13C-CH4 (‰)

25.0 (24.2 - 25.8)

0.9 (0.1 - 12.3)

6.28 (5.95 - 6.99)

81 (74 - 89)

3.8 (0 - 6.1)

1.8 (1.5 - 2.3)

348 (134 - 1,025)

2,275 (502 - 2,924)

-15.77 (-16.88 - -11.66)

420.4 (185.4 - 529.7)

-47.72 (-49.92 - -46.06)

27.4 (26.2 - 28.3)

14.1 (0.03 - 34.4)

7.27 (6.69 - 7.70)

98 (93 - 114)

3.1 (0 - 5.8)

0.6 (0.5 - 1.3)

1,038 (361 - 1,982)

1,113 (409 - 2,880)

-15.00 (-17.34 - -9.95)

179.0 (3.8 - 507.8)

-50.67 (-62.52 - -45.96)

26.8 (26.2 - 27.9)

27.8 (11.6 - 35.0)

7.10 (6.80 - 7.90)

90 (85 - 99)

4.7 (3.1 - 6.1)

25.7 (25.4 - 25.9)

33.1 (30.7 - 34.4)

7.32 (7.07 - 7.51)

98 (89 - 104)

6.3 (4.7 - 7.2)

12.9 (0.2 - 28.8)

7.63 (7.36 - 7.84)

92 (86 - 97)

29.8 (21.6 - 34.6)

7.04 (6.79 - 7.28)

99 (93 - 114)

JR wet

CC wet

FR wet 28.0 (26.9 - 30.1)

980

704 (449 - 1,216)

-11.10 (-15.86 - -8.84)

52.8 (9.6 - 459.0)

-61.96 (-70.01 - -49.43)

1.5 (0.8 - 3.7)

2,870 (2,426 - 3,287)

942 (590 - 1,632)

-12.04 (-15.33 - -9.21)

26.2 (6.5 - 95.4)

-58.74 (-61.54 - -52.84)

6.3 (2.9 - 9.9)

4.7 (1.4 - 8.3)

2.6 (1.2 - 4.0)

1,842 (576 - 4,387)

2,305 (2,230 - 2,349)

1,095 (618 - 2,505)

1,139 (710 - 1,672)

-13.29 (-18.67 - -9.67)

-13.29 (-17.28 - -10.75)

27.5 (12.9 - 50.0)

25.6 (3.3 - 96.5)

-52.76 (-57.85 - -37.45)

-54.78 (-61.23 - -50.05)

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21.8 (21.2 - 22.3)

2,043 (1,790 - 2,124)

7.1 (3.6 - 10.3)

EP

FR dry

3.1 (2.2 - 5.5)

TE D

CC dry

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JR dry

RI PT

Temp (°C)

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Table 2 Estuary CO2 and CH4 water to atmosphere fluxes (± C.I. 95%) in the wet and in the dry season. JR dry

CC wet

CC dry

Wanninkhof (2014)

70.8 ± 4.5

25.5 ± 3.3

16.1 ± 2.4

Carini et al. (1996)

136.5 ± 6.6

49.7 ± 5.7

25.0 ± 3.5

Jiang et al. (2008)

124.0 ± 6.0

45.4 ± 5.3

23.7 ± 3.4

Average

110.4 ± 5.6

40.2 ± 4.7

Wanninkhof (2014) + FMB

792.4 ± 34.3

398.0 ± 38.8

Carini et al. (1996) + FMB

1,212.7 ± 46.5

Jiang et al. (2008) + FMB

FR dry

43.1 ± 5.9

87.7 ± 11.2

31.2 ± 1.4

51.9 ± 7.0

90.4 ± 10.3

51.7 ± 2.0

56.3 ± 7.6

109.6 ± 13.5

49.3 ± 1.9

21.6 ± 3.1

50.5 ± 6.8

95.9 ± 11.6

44.1 ± 1.8

130.0 ± 29.9

65.4 ± 16.5

148.3 ± 9.7

27.4 ± 3.3

584.8 ± 55.6

180.5 ± 40.2

78.7 ± 20.0

152.4 ± 8.6

48.4 ± 5.2

1,136.3 ± 42.1

551.71 ± 52.3

173.3 ± 38.7

84.8 ± 21.1

173.8 ± 10.8

45.1 ± 4.9

Average

1,047.1 ± 40.8

511.5 ± 48.9

161.3 ± 36.3

76.3 ± 19.2

158.1 ± 9.7

40.3 ± 4.4

(Microbubble flux contribution)

(345.4 ± 11.6)

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Average CO2 flux (mmol m-2 d-1)

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FR wet

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JR wet

(39.5 ± 11.6)

(2.4 ± 2.2)

(47.9 ± 4.6)

-

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Average CH4 flux (µmol m-2 d-1)

(201.7 ± 17.6)

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Table 3 Comparison of CO2 and CH4 flux studies in Australian estuaries from low to high latitudes. pCO2 (µatm)

CO2 flux (mmol m-2 d-1)

CO2 flux (mol m-2 y-1)

Johnstone River Estuary

17° S

mangroves

409 - 2,924

40.2 - 110.4

15 - 40

Constant Creek Estuary

20° S

mangroves

449 - 1,632

21.6 - 50.5

8 - 18

Fitzroy River Estuary

23° S

mangroves

618 - 2,505

44.1 - 95.9

16 - 35

Shark Bay

26° S

hypersaline

350 - 420

2.0

0.7

Brisbane River Estuary

27° S

urban

Brisbane River Estuary

27° S

urban

Brisbane River Estuary

27° S

urban, 2013

Brisbane River Estuary

27° S

urban, 2014

Broadwater Estuary

27° S

urban

Caboolture River Estuary

27° S

modified, wetlands

Caboolture River Estuary

27° S

modified, wetlands

North Creek Estuary

28° S

Richmond River Estuary

29° S

Coffs Creek Estuary

CH4 flux (µmol m-2 d-1)

M AN U

CH4 flux (mmol m-2 y-1)

Reference

3.8 - 530

512 - 1,047

187 - 382

This study

6.5 - 459

76 - 161

28 - 59

This study

3.3 - 97

40 - 158

15 - 58

This study Smith and Atkinson, (1983)

48 - 687

193 - 775

70 - 283

Sturm et al., (2016)

81 - 647

136 - 578

50 - 211

Sturm et al., (2017)

119 - 908

246 - 2,603

90 - 950

Sturm et al., (2017)

31 - 578

19 - 1,744

7 - 637

Musenze et al., (2014)

2.9 - 13.7

1-5

Macklin et al., (2014)

0.1 - 0.3

0.04 - 0.1

Adiyanti et al., (2016)

37 - 278

14 - 102

Jeffrey et al., (2018b)

TE D

28° S

373 – 7,136 501 - 11,151

799

292

500 - 12,000

19.3 - 69.7

7 - 25

acidic wetlands

380 - 1,196

252.1

92

30° S

urban

403 – 7,920

24.1 – 94.9

9 - 35

Camden Haven

31° S

seagrass

166 - 757

-3 - -8

-1.8

Maher and Eyre, (2012)

Hasting River Estuary

31° S

seagrass

210 - 1,823

-3 - -5

-0.4

Maher and Eyre, (2012)

Korogoro Creek Estuary

31° S

mangroves, groundwater

248 - 25,135

869.4

317

Wallis Lake

32° S

seagrass

142 - 791

-11.2 - 3.5

-2

Sydney Harbour Estuary

33° S

urban

173 - 5,650

1.2 - 5

0.4 - 1.8

Yarra River Estuary

37° S

salt wedge

519 – 3,395

17.5 – 39.0

6 - 14

EP

North Creek Estuary

342 - 5,928

agriculture, mangroves agriculture, mangroves

CH4 (nmol L-1)

RI PT

Feature

SC

Latitude

Estuary

AC C

983

Atkins et al., (2013) 1.8 - 150

7 - 51

3 - 19

Maher et al., (2015) Ruiz-Halpern et al., (2015)

2 - 687

3-5

39 - 193

25,800

14 - 70

9,417

Jeffrey et al., (2018a)

Sadat-Noori et al., (2015a) Maher and Eyre, (2012) Tanner et al., (2017)

47 – 1,303

110 - 840

40 - 307

Tait et al., (2017)

984

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Figure 1 DOC concentrations versus (a) pCO2 and (b) CH4 concentrations in the JR estuary, CC estuary and FR estuary. The lines represent the linear regression lines.

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1001

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1003 1004 1005 1006 1007

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Figure 2 pCO2 and CH4 concentration gradients in the JR estuary, the CC estuary and the FR estuary. The left panel shows the wet season, the right panel shows the dry season, respectively. Average CO2 and CH4 emissions over the estuary surveys from Table 2 are presented in each graph.

1008

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1017

Figure 3 Longitudinal distribution of pCO2 and CH4 along the salinity gradient in the JR estuary, CC estuary and FR estuary. pCO2 and CH4 concentrations lower than predicted by the conservative mixing lines (black dotted line) indicate a sink (or loss) along the salinity gradient. Concentrations above the mixing lines indicate a source of CO2 or CH4.

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Figure 4 Longitudinal distribution of δ13C-CO2 and δ13C-CH4 along the salinity gradient in the JR estuary, CC estuary and FR estuary. The conservative mixing curves (black dotted line) show an increased function if δO > δR and a decreased function if δO < δR. δ13C-CO2 and δ13C-CH4 values in the three estuaries follow conservative mixing, are depleted (below) or enriched (above) relative to the freshwater and oceanic end-members.

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1030 1031 1032 1033 1034

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Figure 5 Groundwater (222Rn) over the salinity gradient a) in the JR estuary and b) in the FR estuary, and the correlation between 222Rn and pCO2 and CH4 c) in the JR estuary and d) in the FR estuary in the dry season. The 222Rn concentrations in the CC estuary are not illustrated in this figure because only three data point were available for 222Rn.

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Figure 6 Contribution (as in %) of the riverine ventilation of a) CO2 and b) CH4 to the overall emissions in the JR estuary (dark green) and FR estuary (light green) in the wet and dry season. The percent contribution is calculated from the riverine load and the estuary areaweighted emissions (see Eq. 10). The data of the nine European estuaries and two US estuaries are derived from Borges and Abril (2011): Rhine (Rh), Randers Fjord (Ra), Loire (Lo), Elbe (El), Sado (Sad), Ems (Em), York River (YR), Thames (Th), Gironde (Gi), Satilla (Sat), and Scheldt (Sch). If the riverine contribution exceeds the total emissions from within the estuary (above 100% line), the remaining CO2 or CH4 is exported to the open ocean. The graph 6a) was adapted from Borges and Abril (2011).

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Figure 7

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Figure 7 Comparison of a) pCO2 versus CH4 concentrations in the JR estuary, in the CC estuary and in the FR estuary in the wet and dry season, and b) δ13C-CO2 versus δ13C-CH4. The dashed lines are the carbon fractionation factor lines that indicate the proposed boundaries between hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis (saline, marine region), acetoclastic methanogenesis (freshwater region), and methane oxidation (Whiticar, 1999; Whiticar and Faber, 1986).The concentrations and δ13C data in the JR are shown for the main arm and south arm surveys.

TE D

1060 1061 1062 1063 1064 1065 1066 1067

M AN U

1059

1068

EP

1069 1070

1072 1073 1074

AC C

1071

1075 1076 1077 1078

End of Article

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