Human-carnivore conflicts and mitigation options in Qinghai province, China

Human-carnivore conflicts and mitigation options in Qinghai province, China

Journal Pre-proof Human-Carnivore Conflicts and Mitigation Options in Qinghai Province, China Yunchuan Dai, Diqiang Li PII: S1617-1381(19)30182-7 DO...

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Journal Pre-proof Human-Carnivore Conflicts and Mitigation Options in Qinghai Province, China Yunchuan Dai, Diqiang Li

PII:

S1617-1381(19)30182-7

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jnc.2019.125776

Reference:

JNC 125776

To appear in:

Journal for Nature Conservation

Received Date:

17 May 2019

Revised Date:

17 November 2019

Accepted Date:

20 November 2019

Please cite this article as: Dai Y, Li D, Human-Carnivore Conflicts and Mitigation Options in Qinghai Province, China, Journal for Nature Conservation (2019), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jnc.2019.125776

This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2019 Published by Elsevier.

Human-Carnivore Conflicts and Mitigation Options in Qinghai Province, China

Yunchuan Dai, Diqiang Li* [email protected] Chinese Academy of Forestry

*Corresponding

author

Abstract Human-carnivore conflicts often result in reduced tolerance by local communities for

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long-term carnivore species conservation. Increasing conflicts and inefficient resolutions exacerbate fear for personal safety and loss of property. Effective resolution to mitigate conflict is of top

priority for carnivore management and conservation. Understanding human-carnivore conflict

patterns in highly affected areas is imperative for designing and implementing effective mitigation

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measures. We analyzed the current status and patterns of human-carnivore conflicts in Qinghai

province based on reported incidents from January 2014 through December 2017. The results show

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that: (1) a total of 7,494 incidents were reported, with $4,030,918 USD paid to victims as compensation over the 4 year period; (2) 27 counties reported incidents, primarily in Zhiduo (n =

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4,296, 57%); (3) conflict types consisted of livestock depredation, house break-ins and attacks on humans; (4) all attacks on humans and house break-ins were caused by brown bears, while most livestock depredation was caused by wolves; (5) autumn is the peak season for reports of livestock

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predation and house break-in incidents, while summer is the peak season for reports of attacks on humans; and (6) conflict areas were primarily found in or adjacent to national parks. We propose various measures and research options to mitigate human-carnivore conflicts with snow leopards,

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wolves and brown bears, including a wildlife damage compensation program, electric fences, bear spray, diversionary feeding and ceasing small mammal poisoning. If shown to be effective, these

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measures could be applied to conflict reduction efforts and wildlife conservation planning across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, particularly in regions with high biodiversity. Keywords coexistence; compensation; house break-ins; livestock depredation; brown bear; wolf

1 Introduction

Conflicts involving carnivore species are referred to as ‘human-carnivore conflicts’, and such conflicts were commonly partitioned into two components: (i) impacts that deal with the direct interactions between humans and carnivore species; and (ii) conflicts that centre on human interactions between those seeking to conserve species and those with opposing goals (Redpath et al., 2013). The human-carnivore conflicts threaten the livelihood of people and has significant consequences for species survival (Teel et al., 2010; Hewitt, 2004; Chase et al., 2017; Dai et al., 2019a; Dai et al., 2019b). This conflict is widely recognized as one of the most challenging issues for species preservation and is anticipated to increase in severity (Dickman, 2010; Kansky & Knight, 2014; Dai et al., 2019a; Dai et al., 2019b). Carnivore attacks on humans and their property are a primary driver of conflict and carnivore species decline globally (Miller et al., 2015 a, b).

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Although problems have been well known for many years, increasing conflict in regions with high biodiversity indicates that improved strategies are urgently needed (Dickman et al., 2010;

Dorresteijn et al., 2014; Goswami et al., 2015; Van et al., 2017; Morehouse et al., 2018). Humancarnivore conflicts emerge when humans and carnivores share the same limited habitats and

resources (Oseiowusu & Bakker, 2008; Dai et al., 2019b). Humans have greatly dominated these

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landscapes, with every ecosystem on earth being influenced by anthropogenic activities, causing

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carnivores to exploit new human resources to survive (Strum, 2010; Samojlik et al., 2018). Human-carnivore conflicts result in negative outcomes for humans or their resources, and carnivores and their habitats (Garshelis et al., 1999; Can et al., 2014; Lamichhane et al., 2018).

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Conflicts types occasionally include human injury and death (White & Ward, 2010; Pozsgai, 2017), livestock depredation (Peterson et al., 2010; Meinecke et al., 2018), crop raiding (Liu et al., 2010),

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and disease transmission (DeCandia et al., 2018). For carnivores, consequences include removal, retaliatory killing, and reduced tolerance for coexistence, which can lead to population decline, fragmentation (Proctor et al., 2012), and elevated conservation concerns (Dickman, 2010; Li et al.,

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2013). Human attacks by endangered carnivores that are legally protected are especially controversial (Prasad et al., 2016). Human-carnivore coexistence strategies are difficult to

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understand and manage, as they can be influenced by many factors, including religion, cultural and economic value of wildlife body parts, and the financial losses stemming from the conflict (Dickman, 2010; Li et al., 2013). Nonlethal responses such as insurance (Marino et al., 2016), compensation programs (Baker et

al., 2000; Karanth et al., 2013; Ravenelle & Nyhus, 2017; Morehouse et al., 2018; Bautista et al., 2019), and mitigation efforts such as physical deterrents (Huygens et al., 1999; Baker et al., 2000; Kioko et al., 2008; Van et al., 2016) have been proposed and implemented to foster human2

carnivore coexistence. For instance, wildlife damage compensation programs were introduced by the European Union to farmers to mitigate livestock losses from wolves (Fourli, 1999); Nagano prefecture in central Japan adopted electric fences to reduce Asiatic black bear (Ursus thibetanus) depredation during 1997 and 1998 (Huygens et al., 1999). Typically, efficacy of such measures is uncertain in practice due to lack of detailed knowledge regarding patterns and factors driving conflicts (Treves & Karanth, 2010). Carnivore managers should understand conflict patterns, investigate the drivers that cause conflict, and employ a mix of strategies involving nonlethal modification of carnivore behavior and encouragement of proactive community action to reduce conflicts (Treves & Karanth, 2010). For example, Proctor (2018) researched the causes of humanbear conflicts, applied a range of cause-specific reduction methods, and documented measurable

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conservation improvements for small threatened brown bear (U. arctos) populations in western North America. Use of such a step-wise assessment to understand patterns of human-carnivore conflicts is a crucial step towards determining solutions and developing specific conservation implications and policies (Dickman et al., 2010).

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On the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, conflicts between local communities and carnivores are frequent (Worthy & Foggin, 2008; Li et al., 2013; Alexander et al., 2015; Dai et al., 2019a; Dai et al., 2019b;

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Dai et al., 2019c). These are mainly associated with Tibetan brown bears (U. a. pruinosus), snow leopard (Panthera uncia), wolf (Canis lupus linnaeus), lynx (Felis lynx), Tibetan fox (Vulpes ferrilata), and red fox (Vulpes vulpes). Conflict types primarily include carnivores preying on

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livestock (Dawa et al., 2006; Li et al., 2013; Alexander et al., 2015; Dai et al., 2019a; Dai et al., 2019b) and brown bears breaking into herders’ houses and tents in search of food (Fiona & Foggin

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2008; Dai et al., 2019a; Dai et al., 2019b; Dai et al., 2019c). In Qinghai province, the majority of herders have expressed high concern for brown bears, as they pose the greatest threat to their physical safety (Worthy & Foggin, 2008; Dai et al., 2019c). With the goal of reducing human-

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carnivore conflict events in Qinghai province (Worthy & Foggin, 2008; Li et al., 2013; Alexander et al., 2015; Dai et al., 2019b; Dai et al., 2019c), we analyzed the current status of human-carnivore

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conflict events based on reported incidents, and proposed multi-pronged mitigation strategies to reduce conflict occurrence.

2 Material and Methods 2.1 Study area

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Qinghai province (between 89°35′ and 103°04′E, 31°39′ and 39°19′N) is located on the northeastern side of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in China (Figure 1). Much of Qinghai’s geography consists of mountains and high plateaus with an average elevation of approximately 3,000 m. The Yellow River originates in the southern part of the province, while the Yangtze and Mekong have their sources in the southwestern region. The area contains one of the greatest concentrations of biodiversity among the world’s high altitude regions. There are 103 mammal species nationally protected by the Chinese government. Representative ungulates include Tibetan antelope, Tibetan gazelle, Tibetan wild ass, wild yak, and blue sheep (Pseudois nayaur) (Han et al., 2018). Dominant carnivores include brown bear, snow leopard, wolf and dhole (Cuon alpinus) (Han et al., 2018). Sanjiangyuan National Park (SNP), China’s first pilot national park established in 2016, also lies

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here and encompasses about 123,000 km2, 14 times larger than Yellowstone National Park (Dai et al., 2019d). A variety of alpine flora and fauna are unique to this region (Shen & Tan, 2012). Hence the irreplaceability of local ecosystems, species, and genetic diversity makes the conservation of biodiversity in this region even more important. On the western side is the plateau basin; herds of cattle, yak, horse, and sheep represent the province’s major source of wealth. The population of

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Qinghai province is 5.29 million as of November 1, 2010, based on the sixth population census of

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China.

Qinghai is a province with high incidence of human-carnivore conflicts in China, and there were no wildlife damage compensation programs until 2012. In order to strengthen the protection of

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carnivores and reduce herders’ economic loss, the Qinghai provincial government and Qinghai Forestry and Grassland Administration launched the Wildlife Damage Compensation Program

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(WDCP) in 2012. The program was piloted in Delingha city, Wulan county, Tianjun county, Qilian county, Qumalai county, and Zaduo county. In 2013, the pilot areas covered Delingha city, Wulan county, Tianjun county, Qilian county, Chengduo county, and Qumalai county. WDCP expanded

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the program to all of Qinghai province in 2014. 2.2 Data source

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Data on human-carnivore conflict events (from January 2014 through December 2017) were

obtained from the WDCP database provided by the Qinghai Forestry and Grassland Administration. Victims or witnesses reported losses from carnivores through applications to the local wildlife reserve office or forest police station primarily to claim compensation. Investigation groups would then go to the field to collect evidence (bite mark, footprint, hair, etc.). Local authorities annually submitted these evidence and case files (records, photographs and damage assessment report, etc.) to higher authorities. Conflict incidents were finally verified by higher authorities and compensation 4

released as per the guidelines. We collected relevant data from the summarized case files. Compensation data included information on incident date, location, damage species, damage category, and compensation amount. Compensation was borne by three parties - provincial government (50 %), prefectural government (25 %), and county government (25 %). 2.3 Data analysis Conflict incidents reported from each region were summarized and analyzed in Excel 2010. Data were categorized into three types of losses - livestock depredation (yak, sheep, goat and horse), house break-ins (wall, doors, windows, furniture, food, and daily supplies), and attacks on

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human (death and injury).

3 Results

3.1 Overall patterns for human-carnivore conflict occurrences

Between January 2014 and December 2017, 7,494 human-carnivore conflict incidents were

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reported. Of these, 6,477 incidents were livestock attacks, 1,003 were house break-ins and 14 were human attacks. In total, $4,030,918 USD was paid to victims as compensation over the entire

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period. The number of counties/cities involved increased from 13 in 2014 to 22 in 2017 suggesting a geographical expansion in conflicts. Annual compensation increased from $145,048 USD in 2012

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to $2,263,227 USD in 2017, a 15 fold increase (Table 1).

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A total of 27 counties in Qinghai province reported conflict events, mainly in Zhiduo (n = 4,296, 57.3 %), Qumalai (n = 860, 11.5 %), Qilian (n = 796, 10.6 %), and Nangqian (n = 740, 9.9 %) (Table 2). Some areas of these counties are distributed within or close to national parks.

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Specifically, parts of Zhiduo and Qumalai are located in Sanjiangyaun National Park, and Nangqian county borders Sanjiangyaun National Park. Parts of Qilian county are located in Qilianshan

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National Park.

3.2 Livestock depredation The number of reported human-carnivore conflict incidents in Zhiduo was higher than other areas of Qinghai province. Livestock depredation was common at 3,606 incidents reported from January 2014 to December 2017, culminating in a total of 4,948 losses, including 2,917 5

sheep/goats, 1,988 yaks and 43 horses. Sheep/goat were most predated, accounting for 59.3% of total livestock loss, followed by yak and horse, which accounted for 40.4% and 0.9% of the total loss of livestock, respectively. The number of confirmed livestock losses to wolves was 4,849, which took 98.0% responsibility. Snow leopards and brown bears only caused 80 and 19 livestock losses, which contributed 1.6% and 0.4%, respectively (Table 3). The annual trend of reported livestock depredation incidents in Zhiduo followed an upward trajectory (Figure 2a). There were 210 reported livestock depredation incidents in 2014, 345 in 2015, 950 in 2016 and 2,101 in 2017. The number of reported livestock depredation incidents in 2017 was about 10 times that in 2014. The season with the highest reported rate was autumn (September, October and November; n = 1,515, 42.01 %), followed by summer (June, July and (December, January and February; n = 422, 11.7 %) (Figure 2b).

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3.3 House break-in damage

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August; n = 1,194, 33.11 %), spring (March, April and May; n = 475, 13.17 %) and winter

From January 2014 to December 2017, Zhiduo reported a total of 685 incidents of house

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break-ins caused by brown bears. The main losses were doors/windows (n = 243, 35.5%), followed by furniture (n = 144, 21.0%), daily supplies (n = 141, 20.6%), wall (n = 93, 13.6%), and food (n =

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64, 9.3%) (Table 4). Brown bears break into homes by destroying doors and windows and occasionally a wall. In the process of searching for food (e.g., flour, yak butter, meat, and livestock

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fodder), daily supplies (e.g., cabinets, shelves, teapots, bowls and calfskin bags) are damaged.

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The annual trend of house break-ins incidents in Zhiduo annually increased (Figure 3a). There were 84 reported house break-in incidents in 2014, 126 in 2015, 180 in 2016 and 295 in 2017. The

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number of reported house break-in incidents in 2017 was about 3.5 times that in 2014. The season with the highest reported rate was autumn (September, October and November; n = 294, 42.92 %), followed by summer (June, July and August; n = 229, 33.43 %), spring (March, April and May; n = 137, 20 %) and winter (December, January and February; n = 25, 3.65 %) (Figure 3b).

3.4 Human attacks 6

14 human attack incidents caused by brown bears were reported in Qinghai province from January 2015 and December 2017. Among them, 6 incidents occurred during house break-ins and 8 occurred on pasture. There was no obvious trend for human attack incidents (Table 1). The season with the highest reported rate was summer (June, July and August; n = 6, 42.86 %), followed by spring (March, April and May; n = 5, 35.71 %) and autumn (September, October and November; n = 3, 21.43 %). There was no human attack incidents reported in winter.

4 Discussion 4.1 Characteristics of human-carnivore conflicts

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4.1.1 Human-carnivore conflict types and incidents reporting season

According to the reported incidents from the database of WDCP, we found three representative types of human-carnivore conflicts in Qinghai province: livestock depredation, attacks on humans, and house break-ins. Compared with livestock losses attributed to wolves, snow leopards and brown

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bears caused much lower loss. Wolves clearly pose the most serious threat to livestock in Qinghai province. However, the number of reported incidents for livestock depredation may be biased by

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local herders' preference for wild animals. Local herders, for example, generally have higher tolerance for snow leopards than wolves (Li et al., 2013), so livestock depredation caused by snow

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leopards may be not fully reported. All attacks on humans and house break-ins were caused by brown bears, likely because brown bears are omnivorous and attracted to human-sourced foods unlike other carnivores who seek prey (Xu et al., 2006; Can et al., 2014). Brown bear raiding

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probability may be also directly related to the ready availability of accessible food. Herders in Qinghai province store food in their permanent winter houses over the summer while they are away. Over time, brown bears have learned to exploit this novel food resource.

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Autumn is the peak season for reports of livestock predation and house break-in incidents. This is because herders begin to move from summer pastures to winter pastures in autumn and livestock

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tend to stray during the movement, which gives carnivores hunting opportunities. In addition, since most of the permanent winter houses are uninhabited during the summer, the herders who live far away in the summer pastures do not know whether their houses are damaged or not. Although some herders would irregularly go back to the winter pasture to check the house for any damage, most herders would report the house damages to the government when they return to winter houses in the autumn. Summer is the peak season for reports of human attack incidents, as herders often move around in remote areas during the summer, while summer is also the season for digging Chinese 7

caterpillar fungus and picking mushrooms, increasing the chance that herders encounter brown bears in the mountains. 4.1.2 The most feared species threatening human life In Qinghai province, brown bears have been the most dangerous species for humans (Worthy & Foggin, 2008; Han et al., 2018; Dai et al., 2019c). They not only predate livestock, but also break into houses and occasionally attack people. Most local herders will tolerate wildlife preying on freerange livestock, but injury to people and personal homesteads are harder to accept (Dawa et al., 2006). Currently, local herders have adopted a variety of strategies to reduce conflict with bears, such as using herd dogs, setting up scarecrows, lighting firecrackers, strengthening doors and walls and building fences around homes (Han et al., 2018). When families move to their summer

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pastures, economic losses that could be caused by bears to their winter homes can be decreased in a number of ways. These include placing 24-hour solar-powered radios in winter homes to create the illusion that the house is inhabited, leaving doors and windows open, carrying all food with them when moving to summer pastures, asking relatives to keep watch of their houses, and putting iron

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nail plates around houses (Worthy & Foggin, 2008; Han et al., 2018; Dai et al., 2019b; Dai et al., 2019c).

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4.1.3 Primary conflict areas

Conflicts caused by carnivores are primarily found in counties within or adjacent to national

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parks, such as Zhiduo, Qumalai and Nangqian. This might be related to the richness of biodiversity in national parks, although these areas offer some degree of refuge to carnivores from human

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disturbance and are vital for carnivore species conservation, many have insufficient resources to harbor large populations of carnivore species (Dai et al., 2019c). Carnivores often find readilyavailable food sources in areas of herder settlement that border national parks (Teel et al., 2010).

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Meanwhile, Zhiduo, Qumalai and Nangqian county constitute a large proportion of continuous alpine meadow patches, which provided suitable habitat for large carnivores (Xu et al., 2006; Figure

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1). As a result, human-carnivore conflicts tend to be more common in these regions. 4.1.4 The trend in reported human-carnivore conflict events As WDCP expanded to the whole of Qinghai province in 2014, herders gradually realized that

they could minimize the financial burden of losses by reporting incidents. As herders’ consciousness of protection rights increased, the number of reported incidents likely intensified. In addition, changes in herders’ practices may have also contributed to an increase in conflict. Herders have gradually changed their grazing methods and lifestyle from nomadism to settlement. This has 8

induced the evolution from traditional (all-day guarding livestock) to semi-traditional (driving livestock back into fenced enclosures in the evening) management, which provide carnivores with more opportunity to prey on livestock and damage property. Alternatively, carnivore conflicts may have increased over the past few years as a result of the removal of guns from herders, plateau pika (Ochotona curzoniae) poisoning (starting in1958 the Chinese government launched a massive poisoning campaign aimed to control or eradicate populations of plateau pikas across the QinghaiTibet Plateau), heightened pressure on pasture quality through increased human livestock numbers, and effective wildlife management and conservation policies targeted at protecting threatened native species (Smith & Foggin, 1999; Dawa et al., 2006; Badingqiuying et al., 2016). Even though the number of reported incidents is growing, the true number of human-carnivore

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conflict incidents is likely higher. First, WDCP did not cover the entirety of Qinghai province until 2014. Second, some herders may not have reported incidents as they are influenced by their Tibetan buddhist faith, in which carnivores such as snow leopards are viewed favorably (Li et al., 2013), or

4.2 Conservation implications

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4.2.1 Wildlife Damage Compensation Program

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failed to obtain the evidence necessary for a successful compensation case.

Even though compensation programs are criticized (Alexander et al., 2015; Ravenelle &

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Nyhus, 2017) due to major flaw such as lack of clear guidelines, insufficient or delayed payments, inefficient administrative procedures, and failure to evaluate damage verification protocols (Nyhus et al., 2005; Alexander et al., 2015; Marino et al., 2016; Ravenelle & Nyhus, 2017; Bautista et al.,

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2019), it is still one potential avenue to increase tolerance for wildlife while minimizing financial losses people incur when wildlife prey on livestock and damage property (Baker et al., 2000; Boitani et al., 2010; Pettigrew et al., 2012; Karanth et al., 2013). For cases in which wild animals

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caused minor damage, there is lower probability for herders to report and call for compensation. Herders, however, could retaliate against wild animals once the damage goes beyond their scope of

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acceptance (Dawa et al., 2006). Hence, compensation programs play a particularly important role in supporting herders that live in high conflict areas within national park boundaries. Herders in Qinghai province currently receive relatively low compensation at about only half of the animals’ market value, and compensation claims are complex, so some victims may choose not to report incidents (Dai et al., 2019b). Low reporting rates are not conducive to wildlife protection (Miller et al., 2015).

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To avoid the flaws of traditional compensation programs, responsible agencies should involve multiple parties, improve the acquisition of evidence, guide herders to legally protect their rights and interests, and assess the monetary impact of livestock depredation and house break-ins in order to understand the consequences on loss of income and whether current compensation schemes are appropriate (Alexander et al., 2015; Dai et al., 2019b). In addition, local governments should be proactive, focus on prevention-based policies and periodically evaluate the effectiveness of compensation programs in an adaptive manner (Bautista et al., 2019). With this purpose and to identify further solutions for conflict mitigation, we call for a Qinghai-Tibet Plateau database of wildlife damage occurrence, management actions and associated costs. Furthermore, it should be noted that while compensation programs have a place in a more comprehensive conflict mitigation

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strategy, they do not directly implement actions that reduce conflicts in the first place, and thus need to be accompanied by management actions that provide effective means to prevent negative interactions between humans and wildlife.

4.2.2 Mitigation strategies for reducing human-carnivore conflict

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So far, no conservation conflict has ever been fully resolved in the sense that conflict is

eliminated (Redpath et al., 2013). However, there are a range of non-lethal measures that have to

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varying degrees been successful at minimizing human-carnivore conflicts (Woodroffe et al., 2005; Linnell et al., 2010; Smith et al., 2011; Proctor et al., 2018). Hence, we propose some potential

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mitigation options for diminishing the number and severity of incidents between local herders and carnivores, including effective electric fences, guard dogs, steel bins, bear spray, diversionary feeding and the halting of plateau pika poisoning. Such measures focus on mitigating conflicts with

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snow leopards, wolves, and brown bears.

Properly designed and constructed electric fences are affordable and effective at protecting

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houses (as well as the resources and individuals inside) from brown bear intrusions and can also protect penned livestock from snow leopard and wolf depredation (Smith et al., 2000; Baker et al., 2008). These have been effective in many parts of the world (Huygens & Hayashi, 2000; Ambarli &

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Bilgin, 2008; Proctor et al., 2018). Carnivores shocked by contact with such fences might also be dissuaded from approaching houses and corrals in the future. Failures of previous electric fencing trials on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau have been due to a number of technical issues (possibly grounding issues in the arid soils), not a failure of electric fences per se. We recommend that the fences have sufficient strands (e.g., 8 alternating hot and cold wires) so that carnivores cannot crawl under or go over, and that any contact with the fence yields a shock. Standard electric fencing is reliant on a ground stake to complete the circuit, but this may fail in arid conditions like those of 10

Qinghai province due to poor conductivity through the soil (from the carnivores’ feet to the ground stake). We therefore recommend a lower wire touching the ground along the whole fence, so the circuit is completed across just a few centimeters from where the carnivore species is standing when its nose touches the fence. We also recommend that an electric fencing professional be brought in to initially train the team of local people that will build and maintain the fences. Guard dogs are commonly used to protect livestock from predator attacks (Van & Johnson, 2015). The idea of using dogs to provide predator protection for livestock is an ancient concept (Smith et al., 2000). The actual techniques of using dogs as guardians are thoroughly described in a collection of papers written in 150 BC on Roman farm management (Coppinger & Coppinger, 1993). In contemporary society, livestock guardian dogs have been effectively used against bear,

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wolf and cheetah (Smith et al., 2000). However, the untrained Tibetan mastiffs have been used by herders on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau with limited success. This area would benefit from bettertrained dogs, such as German shepherd dog (Canis lupus familiaris) that could effectively protect free-ranging livestock and herders (Fuchs et al., 2005; Van & Johnson, 2015).

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Steel bins have been used in North America for protecting stored food from bears (Schirokauer & Boyd, 1998). Once purchased, bins require no maintenance or special training to operate. Bins

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could be small and used for each house, or large and shared by multiple families. Both would be effective at preventing bears from accessing food. However, bins would not deter bears from

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entering homes and destroying property inside. However, without a food reward inside of the home, break-in behavior may cease over time. Houses would benefit from the installation of electrical fences to prevent further invasions.

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Bear spray, containing capsaicin, a hot pepper that is incapacitating when sprayed into the nose and eyes, is a common effective bear deterrent in North America (Smith et al., 2011; Miller et al.,

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2019). It is an important safety measure for people working and recreating in areas occupied by brown bears (Smith et al., 2011). Bears are quickly repelled by the irritating hot pepper when sprayed directly into their eyes and nose. When used during a close encounter with a bear, the

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animal typically flees as opposed to fights. These interactions over time may alter future behavior by reducing boldness and propensity of the bear to approach people. Bear spray is not currently available (or legal) in China, but could be manufactured in country and made legal for use by local people. This would provide a protective measure from a bear attack, and would establish fear of people.

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Diversionary feeding is commonly used in some European countries to mitigate bear conflicts (Kubasiewicz et al., 2016). The concept is to provide a readily available food that substitutes for the sustenance bears seek in and around human dwellings. The provisioned food diverts the bears and retrains them to consume this resource instead. However, provisioned food must be continually available and of equal or higher value (calories and taste) than the food available in houses. Diversionary feeding would be a short-term strategy to alter bear behavior while deterrent mechanisms are put in place, or could be a longer-term strategy to ensure that bears stay away from people. Diversionary feeding must be used cautiously to avoid artificially increasing the numbers of bears in an area, and should provide a high-quality alternate food not normally found in people’s homes (e.g., corn). The devices should be applied in combination with other management tools such

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as electric fencing (Kaplan et al., 2011), or repellant devices (Conover, 2002), and patterned after programs used successfully elsewhere. We recommend careful attention to where such feeders are located (i.e., in places near perpetual problem sites, which need to be identified prior to

implementation). We also recommend that experiments initially be conducted with a few feeders to

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test whether they function to attract and divert bears.

The on-going pika poisoning program should cease, as there is no evidence suggesting that the

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objectives of the pika poisoning program have been achieved (Pech et al., 2007; Delibes-Mateos et al., 2011), and mounting research has shown that pikas provide important ecological services to local biodiversity and ecosystem functioning (Schaller, 1998; Smith & Foggin, 1999; Wilson &

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Smith, 2014). Being that natural food diversity for brown bears in Qinghai province is limited with virtually no natural fruits, it stands to reason that stopping the poisoning of plateau pikas (and

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marmots) would increase natural food availability for bears. This in turn should lessen bear motivation for human-related foods. This should be studied in more depth via a control area where plateau pika poisoning is stopped, and bear behavior is recorded. Further, it would be useful to map

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past plateau pika poisoning efforts and compare them to patterns of conflict sites. We believe it is imperative to not only initiate the above mitigation actions, but also to

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concurrently conduct more research of brown bears as they are the most feared species threatening human life in Qinghai province. Research efforts should specifically be aimed at: Gaining knowledge of the number (and percent) of bears involved in human-carnivore

conflicts. This information would be useful in understanding whether many or just a few bears need retraining. Methodology could include the use of camera traps (bears seem to have unique coat color patterns that make them recognizable) and hair-snares (e.g., strands of barbed wire to collect hair for DNA-based individual identification) to identify individuals. These noninvasive collection 12

tools could be placed at diversionary feeding sites, electric fencing sites, and across a larger area to estimate the percentage of conflict bears. Multi-year monitoring efforts would be useful in determining any changes in bear behavior. Monitoring brown bear population trends. This would be helpful in understanding impact of food-diversity and availability on bears abundance, and provide guidance for mitigation actions in the future. One way of accomplishing this would be noninvasive genetics to look at individual identification and abundance. Individuals could be identified by extracting DNA from samples of bear scat, urine and hair. Another method would be the implementation of sign surveys to document and estimate abundance based on recorded occurrences of bear scat, footprints, hair, and dens. A third method would be Mark and Recapture using camera trapping followed by individual

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identification of individuals via unique markings.

Testing the effectiveness of the mitigation actions. This would allow for an adaptive

management program whereby improvements can be made and failures readily addressed. Such especially on the spatial distribution of bear problems).

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5 Conclusions

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testing requires a solid understanding of the current situation (i.e., gathering baseline information,

The reported incidents of human-carnivore conflicts have soared in the past 4 years, inflicting

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significant economic losses on herding households victimized by this conflict. Therefore it is urgent that measures be taken to address these human-carnivore conflicts. While herders single out brown bears as the most serious wildlife problem on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, conflicts involve nearly all

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large predators (Dawa et al., 2006). As the widespread return of wildlife to suburban America in recent years has shown, it is possible for humans and many wildlife species to coexist with minimal conflict (DeStefano 2003; Dawa et al., 2006), however, much work will be required before a similar

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balance is achieved in Qinghai province. We proposed some specific measures to mitigate conflicts caused primarily by snow leopards, wolves and brown bears, and advocate that these measures

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could be applied to the wildlife conservation planning in other regions.

Declaration of interests

13

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

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The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests:

14

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20

-p

ro of Spring

700 600 500 400

Autumn

Winter

ur

800

Summer

300 200 100 0

2014

2015

2016

Year

2017

Number of repor ted livestock depredation incidents

(a) 900

na

1000

Jo

Number of repor ted livestock depredation incidents

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re

Figure 1 Map of Qinghai province, China

1600

(b)

1400

1200 1000 800

600 400

200 0 Spring

Summer

Autumn

Winter

Season

Figure 2 The annual (a) and seasonal (b) trend of livestock depredation by carnivores in Zhiduo from January 2014 to December 2017. 21

350

Spring

Summer

Autumn

Winter

120

100 80 60

40 20

(b) 300

250 200

150 100 50

0

0 2014

2015

2016

Spring

2017

ro of

(a)

Number of repor ted house break-ins incidents

Number of repor ted house break-ins incidents

140

Summer

Autumn

Winter

Season

Year

Figure 3 The annual (a) and seasonal (b) trend of house break-ins by brown bears in Zhiduo from

Jo

ur

na

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re

-p

January 2014 to December 2017.

22

Table 1 Statistics of reported human-carnivore conflict incidents in Qinghai province from January 2014 to December 2017.

Conflict areas*

No. of reported incidents Livestock depredation

No. of

House Human County/city name break-ins attacks

469

167

0

2015

781

229

4

counties

Delingha, Dulan, Gangcha, Haiyan, Ledu, Menyuan, Qilian, Qumalai, Tianjun, Wulan, Yushu, Zaduo, Zeku, Zhiduo Chengduo, Delingha, Dulan, Gangcha, Gonghe, Haiyan, Hualong, Ledu, Maqin, Menyuan, Nangqian, Qumalai, Qilian, Xinghai, Zeku, Zhiduo.

14

145,048

16

434,776

-p

2014

Compensation (US$)

ro of

Year

9

*

ur

3350

335

Jo

2017

15

1,187,867

Delingha, Datong, Qilian, Gangcha, Gonghe, Guinan, Guide, Haiyan, Huangyuan, Jiuzhi, Menyuan, Maduo, Maqin, Nangqian, Qumalai, Tianjun, Wulan, Xunhua, Yushu, Zeku, Zhiduo, Zaduo.

22

2,263,227

re

272

lP

1877

na

2016

Delingha, Gangcha, Gonghe, Haiyan, Menyuan, Maqin, Nangqian, Qilian, Qumalai, Tianjun, Wulan, Xinghai, Zeku, Zhiduo, Zaduo.

1

Conflict areas were calculated according to the reported data. Unreported and unverified incidents are not shown in this table.

23

Table 2 Summary of reported human-carnivore conflict incidents in different counties/cities of Qinghai province from January 2014 to December 2017. Percentage of reported incidents (%)

1

1

0.01

17

0

78

1.04

4

0

0

4

0.05

Datong

6

0

0

6

0.08

Gangcha

18

0

0

18

0.24

Gonghe

52

0

0

52

Guinan

1

0

0

1

Guide

1

0

0

1

Haiyan

92

0

0

92

Hualong

1

0

0

Huangyuan

0

0

1

Jiuzhi

6

0

0

Ledu

11

1

0

Menyuan

32

0

Maduo

0

13

Maqin

69

Nangqian

570

Qumalai

795

Livestock depredation

House break-ins

Human attacks

Chengduo

0

0

Delingha

61

Dulan

-p

County/city

ro of

Total reported incidents

na

No. of reported incidents

0.69 0.01 0.01 1.23

1

0.01

6

0.08

12

0.16

0

32

0.43

0

13

0.17

0

0

69

0.92

165

5

740

9.87

63

2

860

11.48

790

6

0

796

10.62

47

30

0

77

1.03

Wulan

80

11

0

91

1.21

Xunhua

1

0

0

1

0.01

Xinghai

2

0

0

2

0.03

Yushu

16

2

0

18

0.24

Zeku

171

0

0

171

2.28

Qilian

Jo

Tianjun

24

lP

re

0.01

ur

1

3,606

685

5

4,296

57.33

Zaduo

45

10

0

55

0.73

Jo

ur

na

lP

re

-p

ro of

Zhiduo

25

Table 3 Summary of livestock depredation by different carnivore species in Zhiduo from January 2014 to December 2017.

incidents

Depredation

Livestock loss* Yak

Sheep/Goat

Horse

Total loss

Percentage of total livestock loss responsibility (%)

Wolf

3503

1976

2830

43

4849

98.00

Snow leopard

97

12

68

0

80

1.62

Brown bear

6

0

19

0

19

0.38

3606

1988

2917

43

4948

100

Total

ro of

Cause

No. of Species reported

Jo

ur

na

lP

re

-p

* Livestock loss did not include losses caused by disease or other unknown reasons.

26

Table 4 Summary of house break-ins by brown bears in Zhiduo from January 2014 to December 2017. Damaged categories

Reported incidents

Doors/Windows Furniture

Food

Daily supplies

No. of reported incidents

93

243

144

64

141

Percentage of reported incidents (%)

13.58

35.47

21.02

9.34

20.58

Jo

ur

na

lP

re

-p

ro of

Wall

27