Accepted Manuscript Reducing risks in the investigation, design and construction of large concrete dams E.T. Brown
PII:
S1674-7755(16)30221-9
DOI:
10.1016/j.jrmge.2016.11.002
Reference:
JRMGE 292
To appear in:
Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering
Received Date: 13 June 2016 Accepted Date: 10 November 2016
Please cite this article as: Brown ET, Reducing risks in the investigation, design and construction of large concrete dams, Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering (2016), doi: 10.1016/ j.jrmge.2016.11.002. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Reducing risks in the investigation, design and construction of large concrete dams E.T. Brown Golder Associates Pty. Ltd., Brisbane, Australia
RI PT
Received 13 June 2016; received in revised form 8 November 2016; accepted 10 November 2016
Abstract: An overview of the GeoSafe 2016 Symposium topic is provided using the example of large concrete dams for purposes of illustration. It is essential that the risks associated with large dams be evaluated rigorously and managed proactively at all stages of their lives so that the risk of failure remains As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP). Rock engineering features of large concrete dams that require particular attention, assessment and monitoring during the investigation, design, construction, initial filling, in-service operation, and subsequent repair and upgrade stages of the lives of concrete dams are identified and illustrated by examples from recorded experiences. A number of major concrete dam failures, including that of the
SC
St. Francis dam, California, U.S.A., in 1928, have led to significant developments in rock mechanics and rock engineering knowledge and techniques, as well as in dam design and review processes. More recent advances include a range of analytical, numerical modelling, probabilistic, reliability, failure mode and risk assessment approaches.
1.
M AN U
Keywords: concrete dam failure; dam engineering; risk assessment; rock engineering design; site investigation
The definition of large dams has varied over time. In the context of
Introduction
concrete dams, the International Commission on Large Dams (ICOLD)
This paper seeks to provide an overview of the GeoSafe 2016
defines a large dam as one which is “more than 15 metres in height
Symposium topics, Reducing Risks in Site Investigation, Modelling and
measured from the lowest point of the general foundations to the
Construction in Rock Engineering, using the example of the
“crest” of the dam”. This definition will be adopted here. The types of concrete dam to be considered here are generally gravity
While the rock engineering aspects of large concrete dams are
or arch dams, but may also include buttress dams and combined types.
generically similar to those of other types of projects involving
Concrete-faced rockfill dams will not be considered. Arch dams may be
engineering in rock, dams have a number of features which make them a
thin or thick and may be singly or doubly curved; some gravity dams
particularly important and rewarding topic of study. Because of their
may also be curved in plan. Generally, the concrete is placed in mass
sizes, their importance to society, and the potentially disastrous
concrete blocks, although more recently roller compacted concrete
consequences of their failure, it is essential that the risks associated with
(RCC) has been used to dam heights of about 200 m. Concrete gravity
large dams be assessed rigorously and managed proactively at all stages
dams rely on the weight of the concrete to withstand the forces imposed
of their lives so that the societal risk of dam failure remains As Low As
on the dam. Arch dams transmit these forces into the abutment
Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) (ANCOLD, 2003; Barker, 2011).
foundations by the structure’s arching action and, as a result, generally
EP
TE D
investigation, design, construction and operation of large concrete dams.
impose higher loads on the foundations. Modern concrete gravity and
the planning, site investigation, design (including, but not restricted to,
arch dams have galleries in the dam from which grout holes may be
modelling), construction, operation, and repair and upgrade stages of the
drilled to reduce the permeability of the foundation. A combination of
AC C
It is necessary to recognise at the outset that the full consideration of
lives of concrete dam projects, involves a wider range of engineering
grouting and drainage reduces the uplift pressures within the dam
and scientific knowledge and skills than those usually represented in the
foundation and at the dam-foundation contacts (Fell et al., 2014).
disciplines of rock mechanics and rock engineering alone. Attention
Table 1 lists the key features of a number of large concrete dams. It
here will be focused, in the main, on rock mechanics and rock
includes the world’s highest concrete dams that either exist or are under
engineering considerations. A broad international perspective will be
construction, as well as a number of other historically important dams
taken having recourse to the extensive literature on the subject.
and dams referred to in this paper, listed in decreasing order of height.
However, it must be recognised that the writer’s personal experience of
The highest dams listed are arch dams. It will be noted that a significant
the engineering of large concrete dams is restricted to his home country
number of the highest concrete dams are in China. In fact,
of Australia.
approximately 20% of the world’s large dams are Chinese. As indicated in the caption, the data in Table 1 were assembled by the author from a
2.
Large concrete dams
variety of sources; accordingly, their absolute accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
Corresponding author. Email:
[email protected]
1
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Table 1. Key features of some large concrete dams (data assembled by the author from a variety of sources, including Wikipedia and the referenced papers). Height (m)
Type
Country
Construction completed
References
Bakhtiari
315
Double curvature arch
Iran
Unknown
Agharazi et al. (2012), Haftani et al. (2014)
Jinping I
305
Double curvature arch
China
2013
Song et al. (2011), Feng and Song (2015)
Xiaowan
292
Double curvature arch
China
2010
Wu et al. (2009), Wang et al. (2011), Lin et al. (2015)
Xiluodu
285.5
Double curvature arch
China
2013
Fan et al. (2015), Lin et al. (2016)
Grande Dixence
285
Gravity
Switzerland
1964
Herzog (1999)
Baihetan
277
Double curvature arch
China
2019-2020
Jiang et al. (2014)
Inguri
271.5
Double curvature arch
Georgia
1980
Savich et al. (1974), Mgalobelov and Lomov (1979)
Vaiont (disused)
261.6
Double curvature arch
Italy
1959
Müller (1968), Hendron and Patton (1987) Herzog (1999), Straubhaar et al. (1994) Wieland et al. (2008)
RI PT
Name
250
Double curvature arch
Switzerland
Deriner
249
Double curvature arch
Turkey
2012 (?)
Wudongde
240
Gravity
China
~2020
Hoover
221.5
Gravity arch
U.S.A.
1935
Malpasset (disused)
196.9
Double curvature arch
France
1954
Itaipu
196
Hollow gravity
Brazil/Paraguay
1984
de Barros et al. (1978), Cabrera (1988)
Three Gorges
181
Gravity
China
2006
Fan et al. (2011), Liu et al. (2003a, b)
St. Francis (disused)
62.5
Curved gravity
U.S.A.
1926
Rogers (1992, 2006), Nuss and Hansen (2014)
Xu et al. (2014)
Cadbury (2003), Giroux (2010), Rogers (2010) Londe (1987), Duffaut (2013)
M AN U
3.
SC
Mauvoisin
1957 (to 237 m); 1991 raised to 250 m
dams differ from many other rock engineering projects for which the
Key rock engineering risks associated with large concrete dams
flowchart of Fig. 1 is developed in that they are subjected to an
additional range of risks throughout their decades-long post-
3.1. General rock engineering risk framework
construction operating lives. This period includes the initial filling
TE D
Risk factors will be identified and discussed within the governing framework for the identification, assessment and management of rock
engineering risk developed by Hudson and Feng (2015) (see Fig. 1). This flowchart treats the risks in two groups – those that may be reduced
before construction starts through site investigation and design measures
(referred to only as “modelling” in the flowchart), and those that may be
AC C
EP
reduced through construction procedures or adaptations. Large concrete
2
period (usually measured in years), in-service operation and, almost invariably, repair, strengthening and upgrade for a range of reasons (ANCOLD, 1992; Xu and Benmokrane, 1996; Brown, 2015). In this paper, the risks associated with this post-construction period will be treated as an additional category to the two main risk categories shown in Fig. 1.
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Fig. 1. Governing flowchart of rock engineering risk factors enabling the development of risk-reduced design and risk-reduced construction (Hudson and Feng, 2015). 3.2. Key failure modes of concrete dams
•
Large concrete dams are designed to withstand a range of static,
Overtopping from extreme flood events or from reservoir slope failures, leading to structural failure, spillway failure or excessive
hydrological (or flood) and earthquake loadings (Engemoen et al., 2014;
scour.
Fell et al., 2014; Brown, 2015). Although the key failure modes of arch
•
and gravity dams may differ, accumulated experience (e.g. Gillan et al.,
Downstream sliding on pre-existing planes of weakness (see Fig. 2).
•
Abutment instability (see Fig. 2).
main, failures of concrete dams arise from one, or a combination, of the
•
Foundation seepage or erosion.
following:
•
Concrete cracking and fracture due to overstressing.
•
Seismically-induced stresses and displacements in the concrete
•
Overturning under the action of water, silt or ice pressures, including uplift pressures.
RI PT
2011; Warren, 2011; Nuss and Hansen, 2014) indicates that, in the
TE D
M AN U
SC
and/or the foundation.
EP
Fig. 2. Discontinuity-controlled sliding in the foundations and abutments of concrete dams (Wittke, 2014). Material deficiencies
Table 2 lists some generic causes of near-miss incidents and failures in both concrete and embankment dams. It will be noted that these
Operational errors
AC C
causes arise from deficiencies in each of the planning, site investigation, design, construction (including material deficiencies) and operation stages of the life of a dam (Warren, 2011).
Table 2. Some generic causes of structural failure of dams (Warren, 2011). Generic cause Project planning Site investigation
• Design errors
• • • • • • •
Construction errors
• • •
Excessive construction loads Material inconsistency Premature deterioration Fabrication defects Structural alterations Operation beyond the scope of the design Change in structure use Inadequate surveillance, monitoring or maintenance
The risk factors leading to these various modes of failure can be
Examples • Lack of clear scope • Conflicting client expectations •
• • • • • • • •
identified and their effects are assessed during the design, construction and operational stages of the life of a dam. The sources of risk and
Inadequate scope or extent of ground investigations Misinterpretation of information
causes of failure may be obvious or may be more subtle. From a rock
Conceptual design errors Lack of redundancy Failure to identify all loads and load combinations Calculation errors Detailing deficiencies Specification deficiencies Failure to consider surveillance, monitoring and maintenance
persistence, shear strength and infilling of discontinuities in the
Inappropriate temporary works Improper sequencing Improper methods or timing of construction
and hydraulics of the catchment and the dam environs, including dam
engineering perspective, they relate mainly to the location, geometry, foundation and abutment rock masses (see Section 5), but they can include less obvious factors such as the shear and tensile strengths of concrete-rock interfaces (Lemos and Antunes, 2011; Krounis et al., 2015). In addition to the rock mechanics and rock engineering issues being concentrated on here, a range of issues related to the hydrology breach analyses (Begnudelli and Sanders, 2007; Veale and Davison,
3
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 2013), and the placement, properties, temperature- and stress-related
of techniques, including Failure Modes Assessment or Analysis (FMA),
cracking and deterioration with age of the concrete must also be taken
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) or Potential Failure Modes
into account (Nuss et al., 2008; Gillan et al., 2011; Lin et al., 2015;
Assessment (PFMA), often within a risk analysis and management
Quirion, 2015). The vitally important risk of rock scour represents a
framework (Ghanaat, 2004; Lund et al., 2014; Rogers et al., 2014). Fig.
combination of hydraulic and rock engineering issues (George and
3 shows a simple event tree illustrating a potential failure mode within
Annandale, 2006; Bollaert et al., 2012; George et al., 2014).
the context of a PFMA.
During all stages of the life of a dam project, the influence of these
M AN U
SC
RI PT
factors on the possible failure of the dam may be assessed using a range
Fig. 3. Event tree illustrating potential failure mode of a section of a gravity dam (Lund et al., 2014). 3.3. Frequency of occurrence and consequences of dam failures
of acceptable societal risk of dam failure to be ALARP. For major
In quantitative risk analyses for large engineering projects, it is
dams, this level may be set at a risk level of two orders of magnitude
standard practice to prepare a risk register listing hazards and risk
lower than, or one hundredth of, the individual risk tolerability limit, i.e.
factors (often in categories) and estimates of the frequency of
1:1,000,000 per annum for existing dams (e.g. DSC, 2006). 3.4. Examples of concrete dam failure
occurrence and the consequences of any resulting incidents (Brown and
As have others, the author has argued elsewhere that the study of
number of other engineering and societal activities, it is common
concrete dam failures, notably those of the Malpasset Dam (Londe,
practice to evaluate the frequency of occurrence in terms of the annual
1987; Duffaut, 2013) and the Vaiont reservoir slope (Müller, 1968;
probability of failure, F, and the associated annual number of fatalities,
Hendron and Patton, 1987) in December 1959 and October 1963,
N. Probability of failure calculations using a range of techniques have
respectively, provided great impetus for much needed advances being
become well-established in geotechnical and other branches of
made in rock mechanics knowledge and techniques (Brown, 2011).
engineering in recent years. Making estimates of the annual numbers of
More recently, Nuss and Hansen (2014) studied the failures of nine
expected fatalities has often relied on less formal procedures involving
concrete dams dating from 1928 to 2002, providing details of each dam,
EP
TE D
Booth, 2009). When carrying out risk analyses for large dams and for a
its failure, the result and an assessment of the causes. The nine cases
methods are now being introduced (Fiedler et al., 2014; Meneses et al.,
studied include examples of all of the major types of failure listed in
2015).
AC C
historical data and engineering judgement, although more formal
Section 3.2. The earliest of Nuss and Hansen’s (2014) case histories,
As illustrated in Fig. 4, F-N charts are plotted on log-log scales, with
that of the St. Francis dam, California, U.S.A., is not often referred to in
levels of risk indicated by the diagonal lines. Risk acceptability criteria
the modern rock mechanics and rock engineering literature, but has
or limits of tolerability for a range of engineering and societal activities
significant implications for dam engineering and civil engineering more
have been established by relevant authorities. Both individual risk and
broadly, particularly in the U.S.A. (Rogers, 1992, 2006; Petroski, 2003;
societal risk are often assessed (ANCOLD, 2003; Barker, 2011). A
Iglesia et al., 2008; Jackson, 2010). The following account is
number of examples, including dams, are shown in Fig. 4. The annual
paraphrased and abbreviated from that given by Nuss and Hansen
probabilities of failure of dams are generally less than 10-4 (White and
(2014).
Anderson, 2014) and, using the U.S.A. data shown on Fig. 4 may
The St. Francis dam was a curved concrete gravity dam, completed in
decrease to 10-6 for major dams for which the number of fatalities
May 1926. It had a structural height of 62.5 m, a crest length of 213 m,
associated with the dam failure may be in the order of 10,000. The
a crest width of 4.9 m, and a base width of 53.3 m (these dimensions
current Australian National Committee on Large Dams (ANCOLD)
have been converted to metres from those given in feet by Nuss and
individual risk tolerability limit is 1:10,000 per annum for existing dams
Hansen (2014)). As illustrated in Fig. 5a showing the dam on
(this corresponds to the lower limit of acceptable risk for open pit slope
completion, the face of the dam was stepped. Construction commenced
design shown in Fig. 4), and 1:100,000 per annum for new dams and
in 1924, but after a re-examination of the water supply requirements for
major upgrades (ANCOLD, 2003). It is standard practice to set the level
the growing city of Los Angeles, in July 1924 the dam height was
4
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT increased by 3 m. In July 1925, after concrete had been placed for 11
drains only under its centre section. As shown in Fig. 5d, the centre section remained intact following the failure. There was no peer review
base width of the dam. The dam had no vertical contraction joints, no
of the design, and Rogers (1992) has suggested that the dam was
inspection galleries, no pressure grouting in the foundation and had
designed without any allowance being made for uplift.
M AN U
SC
RI PT
months, the height was increased by another 3 m without changing the
Fig. 4. Comparison of risk acceptability criteria with statistics (Steffen et al., 2006). The foundation consisted of two rock types. The canyon floor and the
assessment of the causes of the failure. As noted above, Rogers (1992) found that the dam was designed without appreciation of uplift theory
schistosity being essentially parallel to the canyon wall and dipping
which was known to dam engineers at the time (Igelsia et al., 2008). He
towards the canyon at about 35°. The upper half of the right side of the
also found that the dam base was not as wide as previously assumed,
TE D
left abutment were of a relatively uniform schist with the planes of
foundation was in the Sespe Formation, a red conglomerate. The contact
that the designers were not aware of the left abutment paleo-mega-
between the two formations was provided by the San Francisquito Fault
landslide (Fig. 5b), or that the Sespe Formation on the right abutment
(Fig. 5d). The dam was placed on the fault with full knowledge of its
would slake when submerged. Failure was most plausibly due to the
existence.
reactivation of approximately 380,000 m3 of paleo-slide material. As the dam filled and uplift pressures developed under the left abutment, the slide probably began to move. The dam became increasingly unstable
EP
The St. Francis dam failed at 11:58 p.m. on 12 March 1928 during initial filling with no unusual weather conditions and no seismic
and the movements loaded the dam obliquely, permitting the inflow of
the reservoir depth was at 54 m, just 1 m below the spillway crest.
reservoir water along the heel of the dam, increasing the uplift
During this time, several upstream to downstream cracks appeared in
pressures. In short, many of the risks associated with the site and the
the dam, but they were dismissed as concrete cooling cracks and were
design were not recognised and reduced.
AC C
activity. Reservoir filling began on 1 March 1926 and by 10 May 1927
cement grouted. In February 1928, a number of leaks developed in the
Following the disaster, outcry led to the formation of the California
right abutment within the Sespe conglomerate and along the fault. On
Division of Safety of Dams and the requirement that there be more
10 March, 1928, large tension cracks were noted in the left abutment.
geological reviews of new designs which would be reviewed by an
Within 70 minutes of the initial failure, the entire reservoir had emptied
independent review board. The Civil Engineers Registration Bill
and an estimated 470 lives were lost, although it is still not certain that
requiring engineers to obtain licences to practice became law in August
this represents the total number (Petroski, 2003).
1929. All Federal and State of California dams higher than 15.2 m were
After the disaster, 13 separate panels investigated the cause of the
reviewed. Hoover dam almost did not get approved for construction
failure. More recent detailed investigations by J. David Rogers (Rogers,
because of the St. Francis Dam failure (Jackson, 2010; Nuss and
1992, 2006; Petroski, 2003) have now provided a more complete
Hansen, 2014).
5
M AN U
SC
RI PT
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Fig. 5. (a) St. Francis dam on completion; (b) paleo-mega-landslide; (c) failure scenario; and (d) failure aftermath (Nuss and Hansen, 2014).
4.
engineering design approaches developed by Feng and Hudson (2004,
The overall planning, investigation, design, construction and post-construction processes
2011).
As noted in Section 3.1, the post-construction stages involving initial
filling, in-service operation and usual repair, strengthening and upgrade,
construction and post-construction processes followed for large concrete
do not always have the same significance in other types of rock
TE D
In the author’s experience, the overall planning, investigation, design, dams, may be regarded as a combination of the processes illustrated and
engineering projects. Another significant difference is the nature of the
discussed by Bieniawski (1993) and Feng and Hudson (2004, 2011).
total design and documentation process which goes well beyond the analysis and modelling stage of Feng and Hudson’s rock mechanics modelling and rock engineering design flowchart.
AC C
EP
Fig. 6 reproduces the flowchart of rock mechanics modelling and rock
Fig. 6. Flowchart of rock mechanics modelling and rock engineering design approaches (Feng and Hudson, 2004, 2011).
6
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Because of the difficulty of including all of the elements of the
al. (2008), Shaffner et al. (2009), Friz et al. (2011), Shaffner (2011), Fell
overall process and the interactions of those elements in one flowchart,
et al. (2014), and Haftani et al. (2014).
the key steps in the overall process for large concrete dams will simply
Some specific geological, geotechnical and hydrogeological factors
be listed and, in some cases, outlined briefly here. Some of these stages
that may require consideration in any given case include:
will then be discussed in more detail in Sections 5-8 to follow. It should
•
be noted that the overall process does not proceed in a linear fashion as
the geological history of the site, including the presence of paleoslips (Müller, 1968; Macfarlane, 2009; Nuss and Hansen, 2014);
•
the following list might suggest. Several of the stages may proceed in parallel with a range of interactions between them and with other
the presence of geological risk factors such as karst and rocks that are susceptible to slaking (Rogers, 1992);
•
engineering disciplines, most notably hydraulic and structural engineering in the present case. It should also be noted that risk
in situ stresses, particularly in incised river valleys (Wu et al.,
RI PT
2009; Xu et al., 2014; Lin et al., 2015);
assessment and risk management processes are usually used and
•
the depth and degree of rock mass weathering;
updated almost continuously throughout the overall process, including
•
the locations and characteristics of faults, shear zones and other
during in-service operation (Stewart, 2000; Barker, 2011; Scott, 2011;
major discontinuities in the dam foundations and abutments (de
Sanz-Jiménez et al., 2012). The key steps in the overall process are:
Barros et al., 1978; Cabrera, 1988; Allen and Cluff, 2000;
Project purpose and objectives – identify the project’s purpose and
Sadowski, 2015);
performance objectives, establish project management approaches. •
the locations and shear strengths of sheeting joints (Hencher et al.,
2011; Jiang et al., 2014); 2011; Sadowski, 2015);
M AN U
•
•
Design concept – select dam type and system components,
•
Design approach – establish design methods and acceptance
formations such as columnar basalt (Wei et al., 2011; Jiang et al., 2014);
•
Design analysis and numerical modelling (see Section 6).
•
Detailed design and documentation – design optimisation and
•
TE D
construction materials, establish operating protocols, internal and external review, including by regulators (at this and other stages). •
Construction (see Section 7).
•
Initial filling – observation and monitoring, further feed-back to In-service operation – inspection, monitoring, maintenance, feed-
concrete-concrete and rock-concrete shear and tensile strengths (Lemos and Antunes, 2011; Krounis et al., 2015);
•
water pressure and in situ permeability testing (Barton and Quadros, 1997; Quiñones-Rozo, 2010; Farinha et al., 2011);
•
grouting tests and groutability assessment (Quadros and Correa
EP
Filho, 1995; Lopez-Molina et al., 2015; Zolfaghari et al., 2015);
Repair, strengthening and upgrade (see Section 8).
and
Site investigation and characterisation
AC C
5.
rock mass strength and bearing capacity (Goodman and Ahlgren, 2000; Lawrence and Martin, 2007; Mehinrad et al., 2011);
•
back to design modification (see Section 8). •
rock mass deformation moduli (Read and Richards, 2007; Brown
and Marley, 2008; Quirion, 2015; Vibert and Ianos, 2015);
assessment, safety in design, construction planning, source
detailed design.
potential rock mass deformation and failure mechanisms (Deible
et al., 2010; Agharazi et al., 2012);
performance assessment, design documentation, constructability
•
the presence, properties and responses of particular rock mass
criteria, develop work packages, allocate work tasks, select consultants. •
the nature, geometries and shear strengths of joint sets (Friz et al.,
Geological, geotechnical and hydrogeological site investigation
including preliminary sizing. •
•
1967; Alonso et al., 2014; Sanei et al., 2015);
and characterisation (see Section 5). •
the locations and shear strengths of bedding planes (Maddox et al.,
Site selection – evaluate alternatives, select the site, identify key features and constraints of the site.
•
•
SC
•
•
monitoring uplift pressures under the dam (Spross et al., 2014).
6.
Analysis and design approaches
Adequate and effective geological, geotechnical and hydrogeological site investigation and site characterisation are essential to the success of
Almost all of the modelling approaches identified in Fig. 6 are, or
any rock engineering project. This is particularly the case with dams for
have been, used in large concrete dam analysis and modelling with the
which historical experience has shown that seemingly quite minor
possible exception of some systems and internet-based approaches. In
geological, geotechnical and hydrogeological details can have major
addition, a range of probabilistic, safety- and risk-based approaches are
impacts on the performance and stability of the dam (Terzaghi, 1929).
used. It is important to note that design analyses for dams are usually
In addition, the design and construction of large concrete dams requires
carried out for a number of particular load cases, often called normal or
consideration
and
usual, unusual and extreme (Brown, 2015). As well as static structural
hydrogeological factors that are not always of such significance in other
of
a
number
of
geological,
geotechnical
and water pressure loads for these cases, dynamic earthquake loading
rock engineering projects. Identifying and allowing for these factors in
may also be taken into account. Clearly, these various approaches and
the planning and design stages can be expected to reduce the levels of
load cases are intended to identify, assess and treat inherent risks. Fig. 7
risk associated with them. A number of these factors will be listed
shows a typical risk assessment process used for dams in Australia
below with references being given to examples of their occurrence and
(ANCOLD, 2003).
evaluation. Useful accounts of approaches to concrete dam site
Following the approach used in Section 5, the following is a list of
investigation and characterisation are given by FERC (2002), Powell et
some of the analysis and modelling approaches that have been used in large concrete dam design, commencing with traditional methods and
7
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT •
then proceeding through numerical methods to probabilistic and riskbased approaches:
element methods (Kottenstette, 1997; Chen et al., 2003, 2004; Su
traditional 2D (two-dimensional) and 3D (three-dimensional)
et al., 2013);
static analyses of gravity dams (Herzog, 1999; FERC, 2002;
•
numerical hydromechanical analyses (Gimenes and Fernándes,
•
dynamic numerical analyses allowing for earthquake loading
Bretas et al., 2012; Fell et al., 2014); •
•
2006; Bretas et al., 2013; Hosseinzadeh et al., 2013);
traditional static analyses for arch dams, including abutment and thrust block stability analyses (USBR, 1977; Herzog, 1999;
(Lemos and Gomes, 2007; Scott and Mills-Bria, 2008; Chopra,
Dickson and Loar, 2011);
2012); •
allowance for uplift pressures in static analyses (Ebeling et al., 2000; Iglesia et al., 2008; McKay and Lopez, 2013);
•
physical model tests (Fumagalli, 1968; Liu et al., 2003b; Lin et al.,
2013); •
2015); •
static continuum and equivalent continuum numerical (FEM,
risk- and safety-based methods, including failure modes, fault tree and uncertainty analyses (Ghanaat, 2004; Barker, 2011; Scott,
FDM) methods (Herzog, 1999; Liu et al., 2003a; Wittke, 2014); •
probability, reliability and fragility methods (Ellingwood and Tekie, 2001; Peyras et al., 2012; Westberg Wilde and Johansson,
RI PT
•
discontinuum analyses including block theory, DDA and block
2011; Lund et al., 2014); and •
discontinuum numerical (DEM) methods (Lemos, 2011, 2014; Farinha et al., 2012);
dam breach (or break) and consequence or impact analyses (Begnudelli and Sanders, 2007; QDEWS, 2012; Veale and
AC C
EP
TE D
M AN U
SC
Davison, 2013).
Fig. 7. Typical risk assessment process for a dam (ANCOLD, 2003). 7.
A significant feature of the stress and deformation analyses carried out for large concrete dams is the need to check for cracking of the dam-
Construction As shown in Hudson and Feng’s (2015) flowchart for the
foundation interface at the heel of the dam (McKay and Lopez, 2013).
identification and assessment of rock engineering risk factors (Fig. 1), in
Among other things, this can modify the distribution of uplift pressures
the general case, it may be expected that during construction, further
under the dam (Fell et al., 2014).
risk factors will be identified and the associated risks reduced. This has
8
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT certainly been the experience with large concrete dams. For example,
interfaces. An important part of the foundation preparation process is
geological features in the dam foundation may only be detected and
grouting, usually in the form of consolidation grouting closer to the
their properties fully evaluated following river diversion during
foundation surface and deeper curtain grouting (Fell et al., 2014). In
construction (Souza Lima and Abrahão, 1982). Fig. 8 shows one of a
addition, drainage holes are generally installed. The second major stage
number of potential sliding surfaces in the foundation of a RCC dam
which may bring its own risks is the placement of the concrete.
identified, confirmed or adjusted during foundation excavation (Ginther
The following are some examples of specific construction issues and
et al., 2014). On the other hand, as illustrated in Table 2, inadequate
their treatments:
construction practices and materials deficiencies can contribute to dam
•
foundation excavation, preparation and clean-up (Savich et al.,
•
treatment of fissures and faults, for example, by replacement or
incidents and failures.
RI PT
1974; Fell et al., 2014; Fan et al., 2015);
Following construction planning and site establishment, the first stage of the construction process proper is the excavation and preparation of
reinforcement with concrete (Carlile, 1966; Song et al., 2013;
the foundation (Fell et al., 2014). It is in this process that some
Feng and Song, 2015); •
previously unidentified risk factors may be identified and treated (the author has had recent experience of such a case in a dam upgrade
identification or confirmation of potential sliding surfaces (Ginther et al., 2014);
M AN U
SC
project). Special treatments are sometimes required at the rock-concrete
•
TE D
Fig. 8. Potential sliding surface identified in the foundation of the Wyaralong Dam, Queensland, Australia, during construction (Ginther et al., 2014). treatment of rock-concrete interfaces to prevent sliding, for
• meet changes in safety standards;
example, by the use of shear keys or concrete plugs (Souza Lima
• overcome deficiencies in design and construction;
and Abrahão, 1982; Cabrera, 1988; Hatton et al., 1991; Yu et al.,
• recover loss of strength due to concrete deterioration; and
2005);
• raise the heights of dams.
control of seepage during construction (Malyshev et al., 1979);
consolidation and curtain grouting (Weaver and Bruce, 2007; Fan
•
concrete
EP
• •
Xu and Benmokrane (1996) had found that most of the reasons for
et al., 2011; Lin et al., 2016);
8.
including
temperature
strengthening existing concrete dams did not arise from rock control
and
engineering risk factors, although remedying deficiencies in the original
construction joint formation (Cadbury, 2003; Giroux, 2010; Wang
design (e.g. not allowing adequately for uplift) and strengthening dam
AC C
•
placement,
et al., 2011); and
foundations and abutments did. Concrete deterioration arising from
monitoring during construction and initial filling (Song et al.,
alkali-aggregate reaction and freeze-thaw cycles has been discussed by
2011; Hu et al., 2012; Chen et al., 2016).
Nuss et al. (2008) and Wieland (2010). Christensen (1974) reported an unusual case in which leaching of calcite from the concrete and from the
Operation, repair, strengthening and upgrade
consolidation grouting and grout curtains, caused the blocking of
The time taken for the initial filling of large concrete dams may be
foundation drains with resulting increases in uplift pressures. More
measured in years and then their operational lives will generally stretch
recently, Brown (2015) has discussed the issue of meeting changes in
for several decades. It is essential that during this time, the dam be kept
safety standards. A wide range of measures may be used to upgrade and improve the
under surveillance, monitored and repaired as necessary. Recent
performance of existing concrete dams. They include:
examples of monitoring during the life of a dam are given by Wittke et al. (2012), Rogers et al. (2014), and Spross et al. (2014). At some stage
•
raising the heights of dam walls;
in the dam’s life, it is likely that it will require strengthening or
•
raising the heights of parapet walls on the dams or spillways, including spillway training walls;
upgrading. Xu and Benmokrane (1996) carried out a major review of •
the then state-of-the-art of the strengthening of existing concrete dams using post-tensioned anchors. They listed the main reasons for strengthening existing dams as being to:
9
increasing spillway widths and/or depths;
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT •
anchoring gravity dams or the bases of arch dams by posttensioned anchors to increase resistance to downstream sliding and/or overturning;
Reference
•
thickening and concrete buttressing of dam walls;
•
improving the thrust capacities of thrust blocks by post-tensioned
Agharazi A, Tannant DW, Martin CD. Characterizing rock mass deformation mechanisms during plate load tests at the Bakhtiary dam project. International
anchors; and •
Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 2012, 49(1): 1-11.
stabilising plunge pools and other erosion features.
Allen CR, Cluff LS. Active faults in dam foundations: An update. In: Proceedings of the 12th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. Auckland, New Zealand. Paper
The use of post-tensioned anchors for these purposes was reviewed
2490, 2000: 8. Alonso EE, Pinyol NM, Pineda JA. Foundation of a gravity dam on layered soft rock:
given by Wittke et al. (2003), George and Annandale (2006), Iso-Ahola
shear strength of bedding planes in laboratory and large “in situ” tests. Geotechnical
RI PT
recently by Brown (2015). Examples of other approaches have been et al. (2008), Noret et al. (2012), Anderson and Vitharana (2013) and
and Geological Engineering 2014, 32(6): 1439-50.
Humeny et al. (2014). A practical issue to be aware of in carrying out
Australian National Committee on Large Dams (ANCOLD). Guidelines on strengthening and raising concrete gravity dams. Sydney: ANCOLD, 1992.
additional site investigations for these purposes, and in implementing
Australian National Committee on Large Dams (ANCOLD). Guidelines on risk
these improvements, is the need to be careful of encountering water
assessment. Sydney: ANCOLD, 2003.
under pressure while drilling under or at the toe of the dam (Johnson et
Anderson N, Vitharana N. Design considerations in the continuous concrete buttressing
SC
al., 2013).
of existing concrete gravity dams. In: Multiple Use of Dams & Reservoirs: Needs,
9.
Conclusions
Benefits & Risks. Proceedings of NZSOLD/ANCOLD Conference. Rotorua, New Zealand. Wellington: IPENZ Proceedings Professional Groups, 2013: 434-46.
Historically, large concrete dams have provided important and
M AN U
Barker M. Australian risk approach for assessment of dams. In: The 21st Century Dam
instructive examples of the identification, assessment and management
Design – Advances & Adaptations. Proceedings of the 31st Annual USSD
of rock engineering risk. Because of their sizes, their importance to
Conference, San Diego, CA. Denver, US: Society on Dams, 2011: 69-91 (CD-
society, and the potentially disastrous consequences of their failure, it is
ROM).
essential that the risks associated with large dams be assessed rigorously
Barton N, Quadros EF. Joint aperture and roughness in the prediction of flow and
and managed proactively at all stages of their lives so that the societal
groutability of rock masses. In: Kim K. editor. Linking Science to Rock
risk of dam failure remains ALARP. These risks may arise, and be
Engineering. Proceedings of the 36th U.S. Symposium on Rock Mechanics & International Symposium of the International Society for Rock Mechanic, New
addressed, in the planning, investigation, design, construction, and
York, NY. New York: Columbia University, 1997: 907-16.
operational stages of the life of a dam. Large numbers of practical
Begnudelli L, Sanders BF. Simulation of the St. Francis dam-break flood. Journal of
examples are given in the body of the paper and in the extensive list of
Engineering Mechanics 2007, 133(11): 1200-12.
TE D
references. Importantly, in order to satisfy changes in safety standards, lower risk tolerability, and overcome the effects of initial design
Bieniawski ZT. Principles and methodology of design for excavations in geologic media. Research in Engineering Design 1993, 5(1): 49-58.
deficiencies and of deterioration with time, it is also generally necessary
Bollaert EFR, Duarte R, Pfister M, Schleiss A, Mazvidza D. Physical and numerical
to maintain, repair and, quite often, upgrade large concrete dams, after
model study investigating plunge pool scour at Kariba Dam. In: Transactions of the
decades, or in some cases approaching a century, of their operational
24th Congress on Large Dams, Kyoto, Japan. Paris: ICOLD, Q.94 – R.17, 2012:
Conflict of interest
foundations using the limit equilibrium method. Computers and Geotechnics 2012, 44: 147-56. Bretas EM, Lemos JV, Lourenço PB. Hydromechanical analysis of masonry gravity
AC C
The author wishes to confirm that there are no known conflicts of
dams and their foundations. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering 2013, 46(2):
interest associated with this publication and there has been no
327-39.
significant financial support for this work that could have influenced its outcome.
241-8. Bretas EM, Léger P, Lemos JV. 3D stability analysis of gravity dams on sloped rock
EP
lives.
Brown ET, Marley M. Estimating rock mass properties for stability analyses of new and existing dams. In: Proceedings of the International Symposium on Operation, Rehabilitation and Up-grading of Dams. The 76th Annual Meeting of ICOLD.
Acknowledgements
Sofia, Bulgaria: Paper 2-48. 2008: 10 (CD-ROM).
The author wishes to thank the GeoSafe 2016 organisers for having
Brown ET, Booth A. Risk management. In: Read J, Stacey P. editors. Guidelines for
invited him to prepare and present this paper. Special thanks are due to
Open Pit Design. Melbourne: CSIRO Publishing, 2009: 381-400.
Dr. Yan Guo for her assistance in making the arrangements for the
Brown ET. Fifty years of the ISRM and associated progress in rock mechanics. In: Qian
author’s participation. He thanks the Principals and management of the
QH & Zhou YZ. editors. Harmonising Rock Engineering and the Environment.
Brisbane, Australia, Office of Golder Associates Pty. Ltd. for the
Proceedings of the 12th International Congress on Rock Mechanics, Beijing, China. Leiden: CRC Press/A.A. Balkema, 2011: 29-45.
support provided during the preparation of the paper, and Jo-Anne
Brown ET. Rock engineering design of anchors for dams – A review. Journal of Rock
Sandilands for her assistance in preparing the paper for publication. He
Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering 2015, 7(1): 1-13.
also thanks Dr. Yi-Feng Chen, Dr. Hong Liu, Mike Marley and Stuart
Cabrera JG. Foundation investigation and treatment for the Main Dam, Itaipu Project. In:
Read for providing materials used in the preparation of the paper and
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Case Histories in Geotechnical
the associated presentation.
Engineering. St Louis, MO: Paper 2.34, 1988: 185-94.
10
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Cadbury D. The Hoover dam. In: Cadbury D. editor. Seven Wonders of the Industrial
Feng X, Song S. Research and practice of the strengthening treatment of geological
World. London, Fourth Estate, 2003: 289-330.
defects in foundation of 305 meters high arch dam in Jinping I hydropower station
Carlile JL. The strengthening of Ridgeway dam, Hobart, Tasmania. ANCOLD Bulletin
in the Yalong River. In: Innovations in Applied & Theoretical Rock Mechanics.
1966, 21: 17-22.
Proceedings of the 13th International Congress on Rock Mechanics. Montréal,
Chen SH, Li YM, Wang WM, Shahrour I. Analysis of a gravity dam on a complicated
Canada: Paper 330, 2015: 11 (USB).
rock foundation using an adaptive block element method. Journal of Geotechnical
Feng XT, Hudson JA. The ways ahead for rock engineering design methodologies.
and Geoenvironmental Engineering 2004, 130(7): 759-63.
International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 2004, 41(2): 255-73.
Chen SH, Xu MY, Shahrour I, Egger P. Analysis of arch dams using coupled trial load
Feng XT, Hudson JA. Rock engineering design. Leiden: CRC Press/A.A. Balkema,
and block element methods. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental
2011.
Engineering 2003,129(11):977-86.
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). Engineering guidelines for the evaluation of hydropower projects. Washington, D.C.: Federal Energy Regulatory
leakage into a drainage tunnel in Jinping-I arch dam foundation in Southwestern
Commission, 2002.
China: A case study. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering 2016, 49(3): 1-19.
RI PT
Chen YF, Hong JM, Zheng HK, Li Y, Hu R, Zhou CB. Evaluation of groundwater
Fiedler W, Osmun D, Engemoen W, Feinberg B. Reclamation’s new life loss estimating
Christensen DL. Unusual foundation developments and corrective action taken. In:
methodology. In: Dams & Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure
Foundations for Dams. Proceedings of Engineering Foundation Conference, Pacific
Under Extreme Conditions. Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San
Grove, CA. New York: ASCE, 1974: 343-70.
Francisco, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:1383-96.
Chopra AK. Earthquake analysis of arch dams: Factors to be considered. Journal of
Friz PC, Curtis D, Rutherford JH, Hart S, Johnston DC, Orbison D. Blue Lake Dam left abutment geological modelling for dam raise. In: The 21st Century Dam Design –
SC
Structural Engineering 2012,138(2):205-14. de Barros FP, Read SAL, Cabrera JG. Discontinuities in basalt flows and their
Advances and Adaptations. Proceedings of the 31st Annual USSD Conference, San
importance in geomechanical models. In: Proceedings III Congress. International
Diego, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2011: 147-61.
Association of Engineering Geology. Madrid, Spain, 1978:121-30.
Fumagalli E. Model simulation of rock mechanics problems. In: Stagg KG, Zienkiewicz OC. editors. Rock Mechanics in Engineering Practice. London: John Wiley,
M AN U
Deible J, Herweynen R, Dow G. Challenges associated with identifying and analysing potential failure mechanisms in dam foundations – Taun Sauk Upper Reservoir and
1968:353-84.
Wyaralong Dam case studies. In: Dam Decisions: Past Experiences, Future
George MF, Annandale GW. Dam failure by rock scour: evaluation and prevention (a
Challenges. Proceedings of ANCOLD 2010. Hobart, Australia, 2010: 10 (CD-
case study). In: Yale DP, Holtz SC, Breeds C, Ozbay U. editors. Golden Rocks
ROM).
2006, Proceedings of the 41st U.S. Symposium on Rock Mechanics: 50 Years of
Dickson PA, Loar TN. Abutment stability analysis and design solutions for Tekeze Dam,
Rock Mechanics. Golden, CO: Paper ARMA/USRMS 06-992, 2006: 8 (CD-ROM).
Ethiopia. In: Proceedings of the 45th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics
George MF, Sitar N, der Kiureghian A. System reliability analysis of rock scour. In:
Symposium. San Francisco, CA: Paper 11-315, 2011: 9 (CD-ROM).
Dams & Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure Under Extreme
Dam Safety Committee (DSC). Risk management policy framework for dam safety. Sydney: Dam Safety Committee, New South Wales Government, 2006.
Conditions. Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San Francisco, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:477-94.
Ghanaat Y. Failure modes approach to safety evaluation of dams. In: Proceedings of the
TE D
Duffaut P. The traps behind the failure of Malpasset arch dam, France, in 1959. Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering 2013, 5(5): 335-41.
Ebeling RM, Nuss LK, Tracy FT, Brand B. Evaluation and comparison of stability
13th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. Vancouver, Canada: Paper No. 1115, 2004: 16.
analysis and uplift criteria for concrete gravity dams by three Federal Agencies.
Gillan C, Lund G, Weldon J. Three predominate failure modes of thin arch dams. In:
Report ERDC ITL TR-00-01. Vicksburg: Information Technology Laboratory, U.S.
21st Century Dam Design – Advances & Adaptations. Proceedings of the 31st
Army Engineer Research and Development Center, 2000.
Annual USSD Conference, San Diego, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams
Ellingwood B, Tekie PB. Fragility analysis of concrete gravity dams. Journal of
2011:173-87. Gimenes E, Fernández G. Hydromechanical analysis of flow behaviour in concrete
EP
Infrastructure Systems 2001,7(2):41-8.
Engemoen W, Osmun D, Fiedler W. What is the most important loading condition for
gravity dam foundations. Canadian Geotechnical Journal 2006, 43(3): 244-59. Ginther C, Deible J, Rizzo PC. Treatment of gravity dam foundations during
Under Extreme Conditions. Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San
construction. In: Dams & Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure
AC C
dam safety? In: Dams & Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure
Francisco, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:1255-65.
Under Extreme Conditions. Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San
Fan Q, Zhu H, Chen X. Key issues in rock mechanics of the Three Gorges Project in
Francisco, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:1539-52.
China. Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering 2011, 3(4):32942.
Giroux RP. Building Hoover Dam (men, machines, methods). In: Wiltshire RL, Gilbert DR, Rogers JR. editors. Proceedings of Hoover Dam: The 75th Anniversary History
Fan Q, Zhou S, Yang N. Optimization design of foundation excavation for Xiluodu
Symposium, Las Vegas, NV. Reston, VA: ASCE, 2010: 360-410.
super-high arch dam in China. Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical
Goodman RE, Ahlgren CS. Evaluating the safety of concrete gravity dam on weak rock:
Engineering 2015,7(2):120-35.
Scott Dam. Journal of Geotechnical & Geoenvironmental Engineering 2000,
Farinha MLB, Bretas EM, Lemos JV. Hydromechanical analysis for the safety
126(5):429-42.
assessment of a gravity dam. In: Innovative Dam & Levee Design & Construction
Haftani M, Gheshmipour AA, Mehinrad A, Binazadeh K. Geotechnical characteristics of
for Sustainable Water Management. Proceedings of 32nd Annual USSD
Bakhtiary dam site, SW Iran: the highest double-curvature dam in the world.
Conference, New Orleans, LA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2012: 363-77.
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment 2014,73(2):479-92.
Farinha MLB, Lemos JV, Maranha das Neves E. Numerical modelling of borehole
Hatton JW, Foster PF, Thomson R. The influence of foundation conditions on the design
water-inflow tests in the foundation of the Alqueva arch dam. Canadian
of the Clyde Dam. ANCOLD Bulletin 1991, 89:12-26.
Geotechnical Journal 2011,48(1):72-88.
Hencher SR, Lee SG, Carter TG, Richards LR. Sheeting joints: characterisation, shearing
Fell R, MacGregor P, Stapledon D, Bell G, Foster M. Geotechnical Engineering of
strength and engineering. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering 2011, 44(1): 1-22.
Dams. 2nd edition. Leiden: CRC Press/A.A. Balkema, 2014.
11
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Hendron AJ, Patton FD. The Vaiont slide – a geotechnical analysis based on new
Lemos JV, Antunes NS. Modelling of arch dam foundation failure scenarios – case
geologic observations of the failure surface. Engineering Geology 1987, 24(1-
studies of Baixo Sabor and Alto Ceira dams. Dam Engineering 2011, 21(4):299-
4):475-91.
312.
Herzog MAM. Practical dam analysis. London: Thomas Telford, 1999.
Lemos JV. Representation of rock discontinuities in safety analysis of large dams. In:
Hosseinzadeh A, Nobarinasab M, Soroush A, Lotfi V. Coupled stress-seepage analysis
Alejano LR, Perucho A, Olalla C, Jiménez R. editors. Rock Engineering & Rock
of Karun III concrete arch dam. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers –
Mechanics: Structures in and on Rock. Proceedings of Eurock 2014, European
Geotechnical Engineering 2013,166(GE5):483-501.
Regional Symposium of the International Society for Rock Mechanics, Vigo, Spain.
Hu B, Wu Z, Liu G, Zhao B, Xu B. Safety evaluation of replacement reinforcement
Leiden: CRC Press/A.A. Balkema, 2014:29-38.
quality in abutment contact zones of ultra-high arch dam in first impoundment
Lin P, Zhou W, Liu H. Experimental study on cracking, reinforcement, and overall
period based on prototype monitoring. Water Science and Engineering
stability of the Xiaowan super-high arch dam. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering 2015, 48(2): 819-41.
Hudson JA, Feng XT. Rock engineering risk. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press/A.A.
RI PT
2012,5(2):210-18.
Lin P, Zhu X, Li Q, Liu H, Yu Y. Study on optimal grouting timing for controlling uplift
Balkema, 2015.
deformation of a super high arch dam. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering
Humeny M, Mavroudis T, Czarnecki M, Liu C, Wong N. Lower Crystal Springs Dam
2016, 49(1): 115-42.
improvement project. In: Dams & Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging
Liu J, Feng XT, Ding XL. Stability assessment of the Three Gorges Dam foundation,
Infrastructure Under Extreme Conditions, Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD
China, using physical and numerical modeling – Part II: numerical modeling.
Conference, San Francisco, CA. Denver, U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:741-54.
International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 2003a,40(5):633-52. Liu J, Feng XT, Ding XL, Zhang J, Yue DM. Stability assessment of the Three Gorges
Francis Dam collapse. In: The Sustainability of Experience – Investing in the
dam foundation, China, using physical and numerical modeling – Part I: physical
Human Factor. Proceedings of the 28th Annual USSD Conference, Portland, OR.
model tests. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences 2003b,
SC
Iglesia GR, Staidy JL, Shoaf JA. Further insight into the hydraulic uplift that led to the St
Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2008:13-25.
40(5):609-31.
Londe P. The Malpasset dam failure. Engineering Geology 1987,24(1-4):295-329.
M AN U
Iso-Ahola V, Tarbox G, Wade DL. Big Tujunga Dam seismic rehabilitation and spillway modification project. In: The Sustainability of Experience – Investing in the Human
Lopez-Molina JA, Valencia-Quintanar JA, Espinosa-Guillen JA. Rock mass grouting for
Factor. Proceedings of the 28th Annual USSD Conference, Portland, OR. Denver:
dams, an observational design approach. In: Innovations in Applied & Theoretical
U.S. Society on Dams, 2008: 57-71.
Rock Mechanics. Proceedings of the 13th International Congress on Rock
Jackson DC. Politics and dam safety: The St. Francis dam disaster and the Boulder
Mechanics. Montréal, Canada: Paper 472, 2015:12 p (USB).
Canyon Project Act. In: Wiltshire RL, Gilbert DR, Rogers JR. editors. Proceedings
Lund GS, Christman B, Yow G. A risk assessment with FERC. In: Dams & Extreme
of Hoover Dam: 75th Anniversary History Symposium, Las Vegas, NV. Reston,
Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure Under Extreme Conditions.
VA: ASCE, 2010:1-24.
Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San Francisco, CA. Denver:
Jiang Q, Feng XT, Hatzor JH, Hao XJ, Li SJ. Mechanical anisotropy of columnar jointed
U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:1237-53.
basalts: an example from the Baihetan hydropower station, China. Engineering
Macfarlane DF. Observations and predictions of the behaviour of large, slow-moving landslides in schist, Clyde dam reservoir, New Zealand. Engineering Geology
TE D
Geology 2014,175:35-45. Johnson L, White A, Topham C. Uplifting foundation experiences: borehole blowout,
uplift concerns and foundation modelling at Clark Dam. In: Multiple Use of Dams
2009,109(1-2):5-15. Maddox JM, Kinstler FL, Mather RP. Meadowbank dam – foundations. Civil
& Reservoirs: Needs, Benefits & Risks. Proceedings of NZSOLD/ANCOLD
Engineering Transactions, Institution of Engineers, Australia 1967,9(2): 321-29.
Conference, Rotorua, New Zealand. Wellington: IPENZ Proceedings of
Malyshev LI, Maksimov KI, Sokolovskii PS. On-site investigations of seepage in the
Professional Groups, 2013:259-68.
Kottenstette JT. Block theory techniques used in arch dam foundation stability analysis.
foundation of the Inguri dam during construction. Hydrotechnical Construction 1979, 13(12):1174-81. McKay M, Lopez F. Practical methodology for inclusion of uplift and pore pressures in
U.S. Symposium on Rock Mechanics and International Symposium of the
analysis of concrete dams. In: Multiple Use of Dams & Reservoirs: Needs, Benefits
International Society for Rock Mechanics, New York, NY. New York: Columbia
& Risks. Proceedings of NZSOLD/ANCOLD Conference, Rotorua, New Zealand. Wellington: IPENZ Proceedings of Professional Groups, 2013:552-61.
AC C
University, 1997:741-750.
EP
In: Kim K. editor. Linking Science to Rock Engineering, Proceedings of the 36th
Krounis A, Johansson F, Larsson S. Effects of spatial variation in cohesion over the
Mehinrad A, Binazadeh K, Gheshmipour A, Hamzehpour H, Chehreh H, Haftani M. The
concrete-rock interface on dam sliding stability. Journal of Rock Mechanics and
role of rock mechanics investigations in Bakhtiary dam and hydropower plant
Geotechnical Engineering 2015,7(6):659-67.
project. In: Qian, QH, Zhou YZ. editors. Harmonising Rock Engineering and the
Lawrence MS, Martin CD. Estimating rock mass strength for a concrete dam founded on
Environment. Proceedings of the 12th International Congress on Rock Mechanics,
good rock: Blind Slough Dam, British Columbia, Canada. In: Eberhardt E, Stead D,
Beijing, China. Leiden: CRC Press/A. A. Balkema, 2011:1953-8.
Morrison T. editors. Rock Mechanics: Meeting Society’s Challenges & Demands.
Meneses C, Lang S, Hill P, Arnold M. Towards consistency in potential loss of life
Proceedings of the 1st Canada – U.S. Rock Mechanics Symposium, Vancouver,
estimates: testing the new Reclamation consequence estimating methodology. In:
Canada. London: Taylor & Francis, 2007:1007-14.
Contemporary Challenges for Dams. Proceedings of the 2015 ANCOLD
Lemos JV, Gomes JP. Modeling seismic failure scenarios of concrete dam foundations.
Conference. Brisbane, Australia, 2015: 8 p (USB).
In: Ribeiro e Sousa L, Fernandes MM, Vargas Jr EA. editors. Applications of
Mgalobelov YB, Lomov IE. Stabilization of the Inguri arch dam rock foundation. In:
Computational Mechanics in Geotechnical Engineering V. Proceedings of the 5th
Proceedings of the 4th International Congress on Rock Mechanics, Montreux,
International Workshop, Guimaraes, Portugal. London: Taylor & Francis,
Switzerland. Rotterdam: A.A. Balkema, 1979:433-8.
2007:341-50.
Müller L. New considerations on the Vajont slide. Rock Mechanics and Engineering
Lemos JV. Discontinuum models for dam foundation failure analysis. In: Qian, QH,
Geology 1968,6(1/2):4-91.
Zhou YZ. editors. Harmonising Rock Engineering and the Environment.
Noret C, Girard JC, Munodawafa MC, Mazvidza DZ. Kariba Dam on Zambezi River:
Proceedings of the 12th International Congress on Rock Mechanics, Beijing, China.
stabilizing the natural plunge pool. In: Proceedings of the 6th International
Leiden: CRC Press/A.A. Balkema, 2011:91-8.
12
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Conference on Scour & Erosion, Paris, France. Paris: Societe Hydrotechnique de
Savich AI, Yashchenko ZG, Kereselidze SB, Gorbunov AA, Grigoriants EA. Seismic
France, 2012: 9.
survey of the Inguri Arch Dam pit. In: Advances in Rock Mechanics. Proceedings
Nuss LK, Dolen TP, Jones M. Risks associated with deteriorating concrete dams. In: The
of the 3rd International Congress on Rock Mechanics, Denver, CO. Washington,
Sustainability of Experience – Investing in the Human Factor. Proceedings of the
D.C.: National Academy of Sciences, 1974:922-7.
28th Annual USSD Conference, Portland, OR. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams,
Scott GA, Mills-Bria BL. Nonlinear, 3-D, dynamic, coupled dam-foundation analyses for
2008:213-27.
estimating risks at Hungry Horse Dam. In: The Sustainability of Experience –
Nuss LK, Hansen KD. Lessons learned from concrete dam failures since St. Francis dam.
Investing in the Human Factor. Proceedings of the 28th Annual USSD Conference,
In: Dams & Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure Under
Portland, OR. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2008:135-50.
Extreme Conditions. Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San
Scott GA. The practical application of risk assessment to dam safety. In: Juang CH,
Francisco, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:1179-202.
Phoon KK, Puppala AJ, Green RA, Fenton GA. editors. Proceedings of the GeoRisk 2011: Geotechnical Risk Assessment and Management, Atlanta, GA.
RI PT
Petroski H. St Francis dam. American Scientist 2003,91(2):114-8. Peyras L, Carvajal C, Felix H, Bacconnet C, Royet P, Becue JP, Boissier D. Probability-
Reston, VA: ASCE, 2011:129-68 (CD-ROM).
based assessment of dam safety using combined risk analysis and reliability
Shaffner P, Heisler R, Krosley L, Kottenstette J, Wright J. Characterization of dam
methods – application to hazards studies. European Journal of Environmental and
foundation blocks using digital photogrammetric mapping and borehole geophysical
Civil Engineering 2012,16(7):795-817.
logging to create comprehensive 3D foundation models. In: Managing Our Water
Powell CN, Shaffner PT, Wright J. Exploration and geotechnical characterization for
Retention Systems. Proceedings of the 29th Annual USSD Conference, Nashville,
evaluating the stability of Hungry Horse Dam. In: The Sustainability of Experience
TN. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2009:473-505.
Shaffner P. Geologic data and risk assessment: improving geologic thinking and
SC
– Investing in the Human Factor. Proceedings of the 28th Annual USSD Conference, Portland, OR. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2008:115-33.
products. In: 21st Century Dam Design - Advances and Adaptations. Proceedings of
Quadros EF, Correa Filho D. Grouting efficiency using directional (3-D) hydraulic tests
the 31st Annual USSD Conference, San Diego, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams,
in Pirapora Dam, Brazil. In: Fuji T. editor. Proceedings of the 8th International
2011:545-69.
6.
Song S, Cai D, Feng X, Chen X, Wang D. Safety monitoring and stability analysis of left
M AN U
Congress on Rock Mechanics, Tokyo, Japan. Rotterdam: A.A. Balkema, 1995:823-
abutment slope of Jinping I hydropower station. Journal of Rock Mechanics and
Queensland Department of Energy and Water Supply (QDEWS). Guidelines for failure
Geotechnical Engineering 2011,3(2):117-30.
impact assessment of water dams. Brisbane: Queensland Department of Energy and Water Supply, 2012.
Song S, Feng X, Rao H, Zheng H. Treatment design of geological defects in dam foundation of Jinping I hydropower station. Journal of Rock Mechanics and
Quiñones-Rozo C. Lugeon test interpretation, revisited. In: Collaborative Management
Geotechnical Engineering 2013,5(5):342-9.
of Integrated Watersheds. Proceedings of the 30th Annual USSD Conference, Sacramento, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2010: 405-14.
Souza Lima V, Abrahão RA. Two practical examples of numerical approaches for solving discontinuity problems in dam design. International Journal for Numerical
Quirion M. Daniel-Johnson multiple arch dam, Québec, Canada – rock foundation safety
and Analytical Methods in Geomechanics, 1982,6(4):461-81.
assessment. In: Innovations in Applied & Theoretical Rock Mechanics. Proceedings
Spross J, Johansson F, Larsson S. On the use of pore pressure measurements in safety reassessment of concrete dams founded on rock. Georisk: Assessment and
TE D
of the 13th International Congress on Rock Mechanics. Montréal, Canada: Paper 423, 2015:10. (USB)
Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards 2014,8(2):117-28.
Read S, Richards L. Design inputs for stability assessment of dams on New Zealand
Steffen OKH, Terbrugge PJ, Wesseloo J, Venter J. A risk consequence approach to open
greywackes. In: McSaveney ER. editor. Dams – Securing Water for Our Future.
pit slope design. In: Proceedings of the International Symposium on Stability of
Proceedings of the NSOLD ANCOLD 2007 Conference, Queenstown, New
Rock Slopes in Open Pit Mining & Civil Engineering, Cape Town, South Africa.
Zealand. Wellington: IPENZ Proceedings of Technical Groups, 2007:319-29.
Johannesburg: SAIMM, 2006:81-96. Stewart RA. Dam risk management. In: Proceedings of the GeoEng 2000, International
monitoring plans following a potential failures modes assessment. In: Dams &
Conference on Geotechnical & Geological Engineering, Melbourne, Australia.
EP
Rogers BR, Stateler JN, Sundaram M. Updating existing instrumented and visual
Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure under Extreme
Lancaster, PA: Technomic Publishing Co., 2000:721-48.
Conditions. Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San Francisco, CA.
Straubhaar R, Feuz B, Haegli H. Raising of Mauvoisin dam. General aspects and treatment of the interface between old and new section. Transactions of the 18th
AC C
Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:939-47.
Rogers JD. Reassessment of the St Francis dam failure. Los Angeles Association of
International Congress on Large Dams, Durban, South Africa. Paris: ICOLD,
Engineering Geologists Special Publication No. 4, 1992:629-66.
1994:21-34.
Rogers JD. Lessons learned from the St Francis dam failure. Geo-Strata, 2006, 6(2):14-7.
Su H, Hu J, Li J, Wu Z. Deep stability of high-gravity dam under combining action of
Rogers JD. Hoover Dam: evolution of the dam’s design. In: Wiltshire RL, Gilbert DR,
powerhouse and dam. International Journal of Geomechanics 2013,13(3):257-72.
Rogers JR. editors. Proceedings of Hoover Dam: the 75th Anniversary History
Terzaghi K. Effect of minor geological details on the safety of dams. American Institute
Symposium, Las Vegas, NV. Reston, VA: ASCE, 2010:85-123.
of Mining, Metallurgical, and Petroleum Engineers, Technical Publication,
Sadowski GR. Problems of large relief or weathered shear joints in granites and basalts
1929:31-46.
in Brazilian dam foundations. In: Innovations in Applied & Theoretical Rock
U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR). Guide for preliminary design of arch dams.
Mechanics. Proceedings of the 13th International Congress on Rock Mechanics.
Washington, D.C.: U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, 1977.
Montréal, Canada: Paper 866, 2015:12. (USB)
Veale B, Davison I. Estimation of gravity dam breach geometry. In: Multiple Use of
Sanei M, Faramarzi L, Fahimifar A, Goli S, Mehinrad A, Rahmati A. Shear strength of
Dams
discontinuities in sedimentary rock masses based on direct shear tests. International
&
Reservoirs:
Needs,
Benefits
&
Risks.
Proceedings
of
the
NZSOLD/ANCOLD Conference, Rotorua, New Zealand. Wellington: IPENZ
Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences 2015,75:119-31.
Proceedings of Professional Groups 2013:613-26.
Sanz-Jiménez D, Escuder-Bueno I, Silva-Tulla F. Quantitative risk analysis for a dam
Vibert C, Ianos S. Moving towards a reliable assessment of deformability of rock
under construction in Spain. In: Innovative Dam & Levee Design & Construction
masses: examples from large dam foundations. In: Innovations in Applied &
for Sustainable Water Management. Proceedings of the 32nd Annual USSD
Theoretical Rock Mechanics. Proceedings of the 13th International Congress on
Conference, New Orleans, LA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2012:263-85.
Rock Mechanics. Montréal, Canada: Paper 533, 2015:10 (USB).
13
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Wang W, Ding J, Wang G, Zou L, Chen S. Stability analysis of the temperature cracks in
10th International Congress on Rock Mechanics, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Xiaowan arch dam. Science China Technological Sciences 2011,54(3):547-55.
Johannesburg: SAIMM, 2003:1321-7.
Warren AL. Investigation of dam incidents and failures. Proceedings of the Institution of
Wittke W, Wittke M, Kiehl JR. Interaction of a masonry dam and the rock foundation.
Civil Engineers – Forensic Engineering 2011,164(FE1):33-41.
Geotechnical & Geological Engineering 2012,30(3):581-601.
Weaver KD, Bruce DA. Dam foundation grouting. Reston, VA: ASCE Press, 2007.
Wittke W. Rock mechanics based on an anisotropic jointed rock model. Berlin: Ernst &
Wei Y, Wang W, Shi A, Tang M, Ye Z. Feasibility of columnar jointed basalt used for
Sohn, 2014.
high-arch dam foundation. Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical
Wu F, Liu T, Liu J, Tang X. Excavation unloading destruction phenomena in rock dam
Engineering, 2011, 3(Supp.):461-8.
foundations. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment 2009,68(2):257-
Westberg Wilde M, Johansson F. System reliability of concrete dams with respect to
262.
foundation stability: application to a spillway. Journal of Geotechnical and
Xu H, Benmokrane B. Strengthening of existing concrete dams using post-tensioned anchors: A state-of-the-art review. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering 1996,23(6):1151-71.
RI PT
Geoenvironmental Engineering 2013,139(2):308-19. White KA, Anderson DW. Pine Creek dam risk management plan process and decision. In: Dams & Extreme Events – Reducing Risk of Aging Infrastructure Under
Xu WY, Zhang JC, Wang W, Wang RB. Investigation into in situ stress fields in the
Extreme Conditions. Proceedings of the 34th Annual USSD Conference, San
asymmetric V-shaped river valley at the Wudongde dam site, southwest China.
Francisco, CA. Denver: U.S. Society on Dams, 2014:1217-35.
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment 2014,73(2):465-77.
Wieland M. Life-span of storage dams. International Water Power and Dam Construction,
2010.
Yu X, Zhou YF, Peng SZ. Stability analyses of dam abutments by 3D elasto-plastic
http://www.waterpowermagazine.com/features/featurelife-
finite-element method: a case study of Houhe gravity-arch dam in China.
Wieland M, Aemmer M, Ruoss R. Design aspects of Deriner dam. International Water
Zolfaghari A, Sohrabi Bidar A, Maleki Javan MR, Haftani M, Mehinrad A. Evaluation
International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences 2005,42(3):415-30.
SC
span-of-storage-dams/
Power and Dam Construction 2008,60(7):19-23.
of rock mass improvement due to cement grouting by Q-system at Bakhtiary dam
Wittke W, Schröder D, Polczyk H. Upgrading the stability of three masonry dams in
site. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 2015,74:38-44.
AC C
EP
TE D
M AN U
different ways. In: Technology Roadmap for Rock Mechanics. Proceedings of the E.T. (Ted) Brown is a graduate of the Universities of Melbourne (BE 1960; MEngSc 1964), Queensland (PhD 1969) and London (DSc (Eng) 1985). He began his engineering career in the then State Electricity Commission of Victoria’s brown coal mining operations in 1960. After several years at what became James Cook University in Townsville, he joined the staff of the Royal School of Mines, Imperial College of Science and Technology, London, in 1975. He was appointed Professor of Rock Mechanics in 1979, and served as Dean of the Royal School of Mines (1983-1986) and Head, Department of Mineral Resources Engineering (1985-1987). In October 1987, Professor Brown returned to Australia as the University of Queensland’s first full-time Dean of Engineering. He became Deputy Vice-Chancellor of the University in October 1990 and Senior Deputy ViceChancellor in January 1996. Since retiring early from that position in early 2001, he has worked as a Senior Consultant to Golder Associates Pty Ltd. and had served on a number of Boards. Professor Brown has wide international experience as a researcher, teacher, consultant and writer on rock mechanics and its applications in the mining, civil engineering and energy resources industries. He served as Chairman of the British Geotechnical Society in 1982 and 1983, and as President of the International Society for Rock Mechanics from 1983 to 1987. He was elected an International Fellow of The Royal Academy of Engineering, UK, in 1989, and a Fellow of the Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering in 1990. In 2001, he was appointed a Companion in the Order of Australia for “services to the engineering profession as a world expert in rock mechanics and to scholarship through promotion of the highest academic and professional standards.” He was awarded the Consolidated Gold Fields Gold Medal of the then Institute of Mining & Metallurgy in 1984; a Centenary Medal by the Australian Government in 2003 “for service to Australian society in mining and civil engineering”; the John Jaeger Memorial Award of the Australian Geomechanics Society in 2004; the President’s Award of the Australasian Institute of Mining & Metallurgy for 2006; the International Society for Rock Mechanics’ highest honour, the Müller Award, in 2007; the SME Rock Mechanics Award in 2010; and the Douglas Hay Medal of the Institute of Metals, Minerals & Mining in 2013.
14
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Conflict of interest
RI PT
The authors wish to confirm that there are no known conflicts of interests
associated with this publication and there has been no significant financial support
SC
for this work that could have influenced its outcome.
Dr. E.T. Brown
AC C
EP
TE D
M AN U
13 June 2016