00470 Economic, energy, and environmental impact of the Louisiana Energy Fund

00470 Economic, energy, and environmental impact of the Louisiana Energy Fund

17 Energy (suppfies, policy, economics, forecasts) 15% of total energy used, and maintain the occupant dissatisfaction rate of thermal comfort and ind...

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17 Energy (suppfies, policy, economics, forecasts) 15% of total energy used, and maintain the occupant dissatisfaction rate of thermal comfort and indoor air quality at around 20%. The incentive of the BEPM can be deduced from a simple life cycle costing analysis. It assumes an inflation rate and bank interest rate of 8 and 10%, respectively, the total net present value (NPV) for the original airside system is higher than that employing the BEPM by HK$19,700,000 for 20 years of operation.

curve but post-1997, the trend is upward looking. At the overall industry level, the activity effect was the major factor affecting energy demand, followed by the energy intensity effect. Changes in the food and beverage industry and non-metallic industry have significantly influenced the energy demand of the industrial sector.

06•00462 Applying support vector machines to predict building energy consumption in tropical region

Mahlia, T. M. I. et al. Energy and Buihlings, 2005, 37, (6), 573 578. This study projects electricity savings, cost-benefit analysis and emission reduction of lighting retrofits in the Malaysian residential sector. The cost-benefit is determined as a function of energy savings due to retrofit of more efficient lighting system. The energy savings were calculated based on 25, 50 and 75% of potential retrofits of inefficient lighting in residential sector. The study found that, this strategy save a significant amount of energy and consumers money. However, an effort to create energy efficiency awareness among consumers and subsidies efficient lighting should be identified, because this efficient lighting is quite expensive in Malaysia.

Dong, B. et al. Energy and Buildings, 2005, 37, (5), 545 553. The methodology to predict building energy consumption is increasingly important for building energy baseline model development and measurement and verification protocol (MVP). This paper presents support vector machines (SVM), a new neural network algorithm, to forecast building energy consumption in the tropical region. The objective of this paper is to examine the feasibility and applicability of SVM in building load forecasting area. Four commercial buildings in Singapore are selected randomly as case studies. Weather data including monthly mean outdoor dry-bulb temperature (To), relative humidity (RH) and global solar radiation (GSR) are taken as three input features. Mean monthly hmdlord utility bills are collected for developing and testing nlodels. In addition, the performance of SVM with respect to two parameters, C and c, was explored using stepwise searching method based on radial-basis function (RBF) kernel. Finally, all prediction results are found to have coefficients of wlriance (CV) less than 3% and percentage error (°/,,error) within 4%.

06•00463 Assessing policies towards sustainable transport in Europe: an integrated model Zachariadis, T. Energy Policy, 2005, 33, (12), 1509 1525. A transport simulation and forecast model is presented, which is designed for the assessment of policy options aiming to achieve sustainability in transportation. Starting from a simulation of the economic behaviour of consumers and producers within a microeconomic optimization framework and the resulting calculation of the modal split, the allocation of the vehicle stock into vintages and technological groups is modelled. In a third step, a technology-oriented algorithm, which incorporates the relevant state-of-the-art knowledge in Europe, calculates emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases as well as appropriate indicators for traffic congestion, noise and road accidents. The paper outlines the methodology and the basic data sources used in connection with work done so far in Europe, presents the outlook according to a 'reference case' run for the 15 current European Union Member States up to 2030, displays aggregate results from a number of alternative scenarios and outlines elements of future work.

06•00464 Challenges of agro-biotechnologies, intellectual property rights and globalisation: role of academic institutions in achieving the millennium development goals Desai, P. N. WoHd Review qf Science, Technology and Sustainable Development, 2005, 2, (1), 60 71. The present paper is an attempt to analyse the role of academic institutions in meeting the challenges posed by agro-biotechnologies, IPRs, globalization and its implications for achieving the millennium development goals. The problems of implementing the MDGs are certainly intertwined and the entire nexus requires attention. However, serious doubts are being raised by many that these daunting goals would be achieved in the present international system, with an uneven 'globalization' and conflicts generated by the TRIPS. Moreover, given the nature of agro-biotechnologies and the fact that commercial interests are found to be predominant, it is doubtful whether it will have any impact on food security, bio-safety or poverty reduction. The preceding context demands that the academic institutions pay greater attention to socio-economic and environmental objectives, IPR training and documenting traditional knowledge. This necessitates adoption of an active role in the development process rather than merely developing a node in a knowledge network.

06•00465 Changes in energy demand in Thai industry between 1981 and 2000 Ussanarassamee, A. and Bhattacharyya, S. C. Energy, 2005, 30, (10), 1845 1857. Industrial demand accounts for about 30% of total final energy demand in Thailand, which experienced rapid increases in energy demand in the past two decades. This paper analyses the changes in industrial energy demand over a period of 20 years from 1981 to 2000 by considering changes in demand pattern, fuel consumption and energy intensities. It identifies the factors affecting the energy consumption by employing the factor decomposition technique using Laspeyres approach. It is found that the share of food and beverage industry declined in terms of value addition and energy demand, while the shares of chemical and non-metallic minerals industries have increased. The energy intensity of industry has followed a U-shaped

06100466 Cost-benefit analysis and emission reduction of lighting retrofits in residential sector

06•00467 Cyprus energy system and the use of renewable energy sources Koroneos, C. et al. Energy, 2005, 30, (10), 1889 1901. Cyprus is an island state whose energy production is almost completely dependent on imported hydrocarbon fuels. Its electricity production sector is more than 90% dependent on oil products while the remaining 9% are covered by imports of coal (4.5%) and by solar energy (4.5%). Because Cyprus will become a full member of the European Union (EU), it becomes essential to follow the EU white paper rules and insert renewable energy sources (RES) as part of its energy production system. Solar, wind energy and biomass are the three available forms of RES. This paper will examine and analyse the energy system of Cyprus. It will examine the RES available and the extent of the energy needs could be satisfied by them.

06100468

Development of solar thermal systems in China

Yin, Z. Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells, 2005, 86, (3), 427 442. China has an abundant solar energy resource. Solar thermal conversion systems have been studied for 25 yr, and solar thermal industry has developed rapidly for 10 yr. There are various solar thermal systems, with an area of around 10 million m2 in 2002. These systems mainly provide domestic hot water, but some other applications are under extensive study and development as well. The purpose of this paper is to present the developments that have taken place and that are under way.

06•00469 Economic reform, energy, and development: the case of Mexican manufacturing Aguayo, F. and Gallagher, K. P. Energy Policy, 2005, 33, (7), 829 837. Given increasing concern over global climate change and national security there is a burgeoning interest in examining the relationship between economic growth and energy use in developed and developing countries. More specifically, decoupling energy use per unit of gross domestic product (GDP) has fast come to be seen as in the interests of national economies and the world as a whole. Recent attention has been paid to the dramatic decreases in the energy intensity of the Chinese economy, which fell by 55% between 1975 and 1995. Do other developing economies follow similar trajectories? This paper examines the energy intensity of the Mexican economy for the period 1988-1998. Although the long-term trend in Mexican energy intensity is rising, the energy intensity of the Mexican economy began to decline in 1988. This paper explores the factors that have contributed to this reduction. Diminishing Mexican energy use per unit of GDP has been driven by significant decreases in industrial energy intensity. The results show that these changes have resulted from changes in the composition of Mexican industrial structure, and technological change.

06•00470 Economic, energy, and environmental impact of the Louisiana Energy Fund Kaiser, M. J. et al. Energy Policy, 2005, 33, (7), 873 883. The Louisiana Energy Fund is a public-private cooperative endeavour created by the Louisiana Department of Natural Resources in partnership with the Louisiana Public Facilities Authority, Hibernia National Bank and Lehman Brothers to provide publicly funded institutions in the state with low cost, tax exempt financing to implement energy and water conservation projects. In September 2002, the Louisiana Bond Commission authorized the issuance of $15.3 million dollars in tax-exempt bonds to fund seven energy and water retrofit performance contracts. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the expected economic, energy, and environmental impact of the performance contracts. An input-output model is developed to quantify the expected total economic benefit, and based on the terms of the performance contracts, the expected energy and environmental impacts of the program are estimated.

Fuel and Energy Abstracts

January 2006

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