A Comparison Between Low-Dose-Rate Brachytherapy With or Without Androgen Deprivation, External Beam Radiation Therapy With or Without Androgen Deprivation, and Radical Prostatectomy With or Without Adjuvant or Salvage Radiation Therapy for High-Risk Prostate Cancer

A Comparison Between Low-Dose-Rate Brachytherapy With or Without Androgen Deprivation, External Beam Radiation Therapy With or Without Androgen Deprivation, and Radical Prostatectomy With or Without Adjuvant or Salvage Radiation Therapy for High-Risk Prostate Cancer

Accepted Manuscript A Comparison between Low Dose-Rate Brachytherapy +/- Androgen Deprivation, External Beam Radiotherapy +/- Androgen Deprivation, an...

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Accepted Manuscript A Comparison between Low Dose-Rate Brachytherapy +/- Androgen Deprivation, External Beam Radiotherapy +/- Androgen Deprivation, and Radical Prostatectomy +/- Adjuvant or Salvage Radiotherapy for High-Risk Prostate Cancer Jay P. Ciezki, M.D., Michael Weller, M.D., Chandana A. Reddy, M.S., Jeffrey Kittel, M.D., Harguneet Singh, Rahul Tendulkar, M.D., Kevin L. Stephans, M.D., James Ulchaker, M.D., Kenneth Angermeier, M.D., Andrew Stephenson, M.D., Steven Campbell, M.D., Georges-Pascal Haber, M.D., Ph.D., Eric A. Klein, M.D. PII:

S0360-3016(16)33554-4

DOI:

10.1016/j.ijrobp.2016.12.014

Reference:

ROB 23960

To appear in:

International Journal of Radiation Oncology • Biology • Physics

Received Date: 6 September 2016 Revised Date:

25 November 2016

Accepted Date: 7 December 2016

Please cite this article as: Ciezki JP, Weller M, Reddy CA, Kittel J, Singh H, Tendulkar R, Stephans KL, Ulchaker J, Angermeier K, Stephenson A, Campbell S, Haber G-P, Klein EA, A Comparison between Low Dose-Rate Brachytherapy +/- Androgen Deprivation, External Beam Radiotherapy +/Androgen Deprivation, and Radical Prostatectomy +/- Adjuvant or Salvage Radiotherapy for High-Risk Prostate Cancer, International Journal of Radiation Oncology • Biology • Physics (2017), doi: 10.1016/ j.ijrobp.2016.12.014. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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A Comparison between Low Dose-Rate Brachytherapy +/- Androgen Deprivation, External Beam Radiotherapy +/- Androgen Deprivation, and Radical Prostatectomy +/- Adjuvant or Salvage Radiotherapy for High-Risk Prostate Cancer

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Jay P. Ciezki, M.D.*, Michael Weller, M.D.*, Chandana A. Reddy, M.S.*, Jeffrey Kittel, M.D.*, Harguneet Singh*, Rahul Tendulkar, M.D.*, Kevin L. Stephans, M.D.*, James Ulchaker, M.D.**, Kenneth Angermeier, M.D.**, Andrew Stephenson, M.D.**, Steven Campbell, M.D.**, GeorgesPascal Haber, M.D., Ph.D.**, and Eric A. Klein, M.D.**

*Taussig Cancer Institute, Department of Radiation Oncology, Cleveland Clinic

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**Glickman Urological and Kidney Institute, Department of Urology, Cleveland Clinic

Correspondence:

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Jay P. Ciezki, M.D.

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JPC serves as Senior Editor of the GU Section, CAR serves as Statistical Editor, and RT serves as Continuing Medical Education Editor of The International Journal of Radiation OncologyBiologyPhysics.

Desk T-28

9500 Euclid Avenue

Cleveland, OH 44195 USA

PH (216) 445-9465 FAX (216) 445-1068 Email: [email protected]

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Abstract Purpose: We compare the efficacy and toxicity among the three major modalities available

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used to treat high-risk prostate cancer (HRCaP). Methods and Materials: From 1996-2012, 2557 HRCaP patients were treated: 734 external beam radiation (EBRT) +/- androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), 515 low-dose-rate prostate brachytherapy (LDR) +/- ADT, and 1308 radical prostatectomy (RP) +/- EBRT. Biochemical

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relapse-free survival (bRFS), clinical relapse-free survival (cRFS), and prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) were assessed. Toxicity was assessed using the Common Terminology

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Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.03 (CTCAE v4.03). The log-rank test compared bRFS and cRFS among the modalities, and Cox regression identified factors associated with bRFS and cRFS. Gray’s test compared differences in late toxicity and PSCM among the modalities. Competing risk regression identified factors associated with PCSM.

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Results: The median follow-up and age were 63.5 months and 65 years, respectively. The bRFS at 5 and 10 years, respectively, was 74% and 53% for EBRT, 74% and 52% for LDR, and 65% and 47% for RP (p=0.0001). The cRFS at 5 and 10 years, respectively, was 85% and 73%

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for EBRT, 90% and 76% for LDR, and 89% and 75% for RP (p=0.121). The PCSM at 5 and 10 years, respectively, was 5.3% and 11.2% for EBRT, 3.2% and 3.6% for LDR, and 2.8% and

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6.8% for RP (p=0.0004). The 10-year cumulative incidence of > grade 3 genitourinary toxicity was 8.1% for EBRT, 7.2% for LDR, and 16.4% for RP (p<0.0001). The 10-year cumulative incidence of > grade 3 gastrointestinal toxicity was 4.6% for EBRT, 1.1% for LDR, 1.0% for RP (p<0.0001).

Conclusion: HRCaP treated with EBRT, LDR, or RP yields efficacy showing better bRFS for LDR and EBRT relative to RP, equivalence for cRFS, and a PCSM advantage of LDR and RP over EBRT. The toxicity is lowest for LDR.

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Introduction There is no level I evidence comparing major treatment modalities that defines a standard-ofcare for high-risk prostate cancer (HRCaP) patients.1 The data available for guidance is most

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voluminous within the area of external beam radiotherapy plus androgen deprivation therapy (EBRT)2-11, somewhat available within the radical prostatectomy plus adjuvant/salvage

radiotherapy (RP) literature12,13, and least explored using low-dose-rate prostate brachytherapy (LDR)14-16. Perhaps because of the distribution of these data, the National Comprehensive

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Cancer Network® (NCCN) has excluded low-dose-rate prostate brachytherapy as monotherapy from its guidelines for the treatment of HRCaP, implying that a standard among major therapies

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exists and that LDR was found to be lacking in efficacy or had excessive toxicity.17 As noted above however, there is little information on outcomes following LDR as monotherapy for the treatment of HRCaP to support its exclusion from the NCCN guidelines. Recently, The ASCENDE-RT trial has shown superior biochemical outcomes from the

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combination of LDR with EBRT + ADT over EBRT + ADT alone for intermediate-risk or HRCaP.15 Similar to the results seen in the RTOG 0232 phase III trial for intermediate-risk prostate cancer assessing the effect of adding LDR to EBRT18,19, the ASCENDE-RT trial also

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demonstrated an increased toxicity with the combination of LDR with EBRT.20 In appealing to the first principles of radiotherapy, one finds that it is well within the capabilities of LDR

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techniques to encompass the microscopic extent of HRCaP within the region of the prostate, making LDR monotherapy a logical alternative treatment for HRCaP.21 The use of LDR monotherapy takes on more promise when noting that a combination of EBRT with LDR yields toxicity that is greater than that of either EBRT20 or that of LDR as monotherapy.14 In this manuscript, we present the results of an inception cohort study in which HRCaP patients were treated with RP, EBRT, or LDR. Both efficacy and toxicity is reported in the hope that LDR may be considered for incorporation into future clinical trials of HRCaP.

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Methods and Materials Since 1993 we have maintained an IRB-approved inception cohort study for all prostate cancer patients treated definitively at our institution. We queried this database to identify patients with

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NCCN-defined HRCaP treated definitively with RP, EBRT, or LDR from 1996 to 2012. The pathologic grading conformed to the 2006 update of the Gleason grading system.22 Gleason grading reported here is from biopsy tissue. All EBRT patients were required to have received

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at least 78 Gy at 2 Gy per fraction or 70 Gy at 2.5 Gy per fraction with image guidance

(ultrasound or cone beam CT). Patients treated with LDR were planned so that the prostate

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and proximal seminal vesicles received 144 Gy with a 5 mm margin laterally, anteriorly, and inferiorly. No margin was planned superiorly (bladder) and posteriorly (rectum). RP patients underwent either an open, a pure laparoscopic, or a robotic-assisted prostatectomy. For those RP patients who received adjuvant or salvage EBRT, the median dose was 70 Gy at 2 Gy/ fraction. Choice of treatment modality was determined by the patient after being counseled on

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all three treatment modalities.

The primary efficacy end points were biochemical relapse-free survival (bRFS), clinical relapsefree survival (cRFS), and prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM). Biochemical failure was

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defined as a PSA value of at least 0.4 ng/mL for RP patients23 and the Phoenix Definition24 was used for EBRT and LDR patients. If a patient received post-operative EBRT prior to the post-

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RP PSA exceeding 0.4 ng/mL, he was counted as a biochemical failure. We defined cRFS as metastases identified via medical imaging (with or without co-localizing symptoms) or as biopsyproven local recurrence. For post-EBRT and post-LDR biopsies, the biopsy had to show adenocarcinoma with no evidence of radiation effect for the patient to be coded as having a local failure. PCSM was defined as death due to prostate cancer as noted on the death certificate (corroborated with biochemical and clinical information prior to death) or the presence of uncontrolled metastatic disease at time of death.

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The primary toxicity endpoints were defined via the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 4.03 (CTCAE v4.03).25 A retrospective chart review is performed periodically to assess toxicity as documented in clinical notes contained in the electronic medical record as

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maintenance of the database, but a review specific to those subjects included here was completed for this report. We focused on gastrointestinal and genitourinary toxicity, but severe toxicity of any site was also recorded. We linked a clinical event as a toxicity if it was possibly,

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probably, or definitely associated with the initial treatment. Grade 2 toxicity was reported as any toxicity after 2 months from treatment (to exclude typical acute toxicity like catheter usage after

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RP) while grade 3 toxicity was reported at any time since therapy. Secondary malignancies were coded as being associated with treatment if they were within the treatment field. For all end points, factors thought or known to influence the endpoint were recorded and used in the analysis for the outcomes of interest. The Chi-square test and analysis of variance were used to evaluate differences in demographic and clinical characteristics among the modalities.

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The log-rank test was used to compare bRFS and cRFS among the modalities, and Cox regression was used to identify factors associated with bRFS and cRFS. The analyses for bRFS and cRFS were limited to patients who had at least two follow up PSAs post treatment.

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Gray’s test was used to compare differences in late toxicity and PSCM among the modalities. Competing risk regression was used to identify factors associated with PSCM. All analyses

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were done with SAS v. 9.4 (SAS Inst., Cary, NC) or R v. 3.3.1 (R Foundation, Vienna, Austria). A p-value of <0.05 was considered to be statistically significant.

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Results A total of 2557 patients were included comprising: 734 EBRT patients (29%), 515 LDR patients (20%), and 1308 RP patients (51%). The median follow-up for the entire group was 63.5

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months. The median age (years) of the patients was 65 overall and 68.5 for EBRT, 70 for LDR, and 62 for RP. At the last follow-up, 80% of patients were still alive. For the EBRT patients, 384 (52%) received 78 Gy at 2 Gy per fraction while 350 (48%) received 70 Gy at 2.5 Gy per

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fraction. For the RP patients, 732 (56%) received an open prostatectomy, 103 (7.8%) received a pure laparoscopic prostatectomy, and 473 (36.2%) received a robotic-assisted prostatectomy.

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The median 30-day D90 for the LDR patients was 149.39 Gy (one standard deviation = 21.31 Gy). Neoadjuvant or adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) was administered to 93% of EBRT patients, 53% of LDR patients, and 19% of RP patients. Descriptive statistics are shown in Table 1. Patients treated with EBRT had longer follow-up, higher iPSA, more advanced T stage, and a higher preponderance of ISUP 5 disease; however, there is also a higher

cohort.

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preponderance of International Society of Urologic Pathology (ISUP) 1 disease in the EBRT

The bRFS for the RP patients is lower than LDR and EBRT (Figure 1A). On multivariable

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analysis of the entire cohort, RP vs. EBRT, clinical stage T3, biopsy Gleason Score 8-10, higher pre-treatment PSA, shorter ADT duration, and more frequent PSA testing post-therapy were

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associated with significantly worse bRFS (Table 2). The multivariable model did not show a significant difference between Gleason 6 vs. Gleason 8-10 but this is likely an artifact of the small number of patients with Gleason 6 . The log-rank test was not significant for cRFS among the modalities (Figure 1B). On multivariable analysis, EBRT vs. RP and LDR vs. RP, clinical stage T3, and biopsy Gleason Score 8-10 were associated with significantly worse cRFS (Table 2).

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The cumulative incidence of PCSM was higher for EBRT patients than for patients treated with LDR and RP (Figure 1C). On multivariable analysis, EBRT vs. RP, higher clinical stage, higher pre-treatment PSA, biopsy Gleason Score 8-10, and younger age were associated with

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significantly worse PCSM (Table 2). Figure 2A shows the cumulative incidence of grade >3 GU toxicity. The 10-year cumulative incidence of > grade 3 genitourinary toxicity was 8.1% for EBRT, 7.2% for LDR, and 16.4% for As seen in Table 3, the majority of the GU toxicities result from minor

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RP (p<0.0001).

procedures necessary to manage incontinence or obstruction. In keeping with some literature,26

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we also note a lower early complication rate for grade >3 GU toxicity with robotic-assisted prostatectomy, but this advantage dissipates with further follow-up (Figure 2B). The EBRT group had a greater incidence of >3 gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity (Figure 2C). The 10-year cumulative incidence of > grade 3 gastrointestinal toxicity was 4.6% for EBRT, 1.1% for LDR, 1.0% for RP (p<0.0001).When examining grade >2 GI toxicities (more “bothersome” toxicities

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vs. those serious enough to require intervention) , one sees parallels with the PROST-QA trial in which near the 2-year mark, the EBRT patients experienced a greater amount of rectal bother (Figure 2D).27 The more “bothersome” GU toxicities are included in Figure 2E. In addition to

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the grade 5 GI and GU toxicities listed in Table 3, there were three other deaths resulting from some aspect of prostate cancertreatment: one fatal post-operative hemorrhage in the RP group,

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one neutropenic sepsis after salvage chemotherapy in the EBRT group, and one fatal case of diarrhea 8 hours after an infusion of chemotherapy in the EBRT group. The secondary malignancy rate is shown in Figure 2F.

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Discussion With the lack of prospective, randomized, comparative efficacy studies among modalities used to treat HRCaP, observational studies such as this serve as a significant source of clinical

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guidance. In addition to the efficacy data presented, we also supplemented our investigation with toxicity data. Our research effort forces us to conclude that LDR is highly competitive with EBRT and RP. We feel that a case can be made for considering all three major modalities for

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the treatment of HRCaP.

This report possesses several significant strengths. The two most important of which are its

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relatively long median follow-up and the use of modern treatment techniques. The 63.5-month median follow-up permits us to adequately assess all meaningful efficacy and toxicity end points. The use of high dose radiation in the EBRT arm and the fact that 93% of the EBRT patients received ADT, indicate that the EBRT techniques meet modern recommendations for this modality. All LDR patients were treated with an intraoperative planning technique

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minimizing set-up error.28 Most of the RP patients were offered adjuvant or salvage EBRT, but only 18.6% received it, similar to contemporary patterns of care.29,30 Finally, the percentage of high-risk patients treated at our institution over the period of this study has remained constant at

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15-20% of all newly-diagnosed CaP patients per year while the percentage of low-risk patients treated per year has decreased from ~50% to ~15%. This shift reflects our enthusiasm for

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active surveillance in appropriate patients as per most modern prostate cancer treatment guidelines.

The differences in the definition for biochemical failure in each modality make it a difficult end point to use for comparisons. Specifically, the bRFS for the RP patients is 43% at 10 years versus 52% and 53% for LDR and EBRT; we believe that this phenomenon is due to the more rigorous Phoenix definition of biochemical failure and not clinically significant. Comparisons between the ASCENDE-RT trial and this series for bRFS are challenging because only two-

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thirds of the patients in ASCENDE-RT had HRCaP while the remaining one-third had intermediate-risk disease. Yet, the control arm (EBRT+ADT) of ASCENDE-RT fared about 20% worse than the patients in any of the modalities in this series, depending on the bRFS definition

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used.15 The difference is difficult to explain because one would expect the reverse given the longer duration of ADT in ASCENDE-RT vs. this series (12 months vs. 6 months) and

underscores the hazards of using bRFS as an endpoint to evaluate treatment efficacy. Our

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shorter duration of ADT is primarily the result of the fact that most of our EBRT patients were treated 10 years ago when the optimal duration of ADT had not been as thoroughly

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investigated. As will be discussed in the following paragraphs, the ambiguous effect of ADT dosage on bRFS noted above is not observed when cRFS and PCSM are examined. This may be due to the higher doses of radiation in the LDR group overwhelming a positive effect of ADT or the vagaries of bRFS as an end point.

Overall, there was no significant difference among the modalities relative to cRFS (Figure 1).

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The surgical patients did have a better outcome in pair-wise comparisons (Table 2), and this may be due to differences in follow-up since many of the RP patients were followed from a distance while the EBRT and LDR patients were usually followed locally increasing the chance

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of knowing about a clinical failure. Also, due to the differences in definition for biochemical failure, it is possible that RP patients are observed to experience a biochemical failure sooner

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than EBRT or LDR patients, allowing for an earlier salvage therapy intervention. The PCSM results show that LDR is competitive with EBRT and RP. The slight differences seen between EBRT and RP in our series mimics that difference noted by Sooriakumaran P et al.31 Both investigations note that EBRT patients have an inferior PCSM compared to RP that persists after controlling for variables known to affect PCSM. In our series, one additional factor that may explain the difference in PCSM is that our EBRT patients had a longer median follow up than our LDR or RP patients. This results from our lower enthusiasm for EBRT over time

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because of the differences in rates of toxicity noted by ourselves and others.27 As a result, most of our EBRT patients were treated 10 years ago.

One assumes that the median follow-up did

not differ in Sooriakumaran P et al., but as far as can be determined from the manuscript, they

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did not include LDR, disclose the dose of EBRT, or note whether the EBRT patients in the highrisk group had ADT. It is unlikely that they would have known about the EBRT dose or ADT from their national database data source, but their omission of LDR could probably have been

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avoided. When LDR is included in an analysis of PCSM, as we have done here, one can see that the PCSM of LDR is equivalent to RP. Further, the disease aggressiveness of our RP and

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LDR groups are equally balanced and they have similar follow-up; the differences between LDR and RP vs. EBRT may be explained by the greater disease aggressiveness and longer followup in the EBRT group. In the EBRT cohort, 36% of patients had initial PSAs that were > 20ng/mL while the LDR cohort had and the RP cohort both had 15% of patients with an initial PSA > 20ng/mL. In addition, the EBRT group had a higher percentage of patients with a

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Gleason 9 or 10 (ISUP 5): 17% vs. 11.4% for LDR and 14.3% for RP. The EBRT group also had significantly more T3 patients (14%) vs. 0.4 % in LDR and 3% in RP. The longer PSA f/u in the EBRT patients could have biased the results against EBRT by knowing of biochemical

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failure more frequently than other groups, but we feel that we guarded against this eventuality (see Methods and Materials) by corroborating death certificate information with clinical data

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prior to death. The use of ADT did not improve the PCSM in the LDR group presented in this paper (p = 0.42; HR 1.97, 95% CI = 0.38-10.2, Figure 1D for cumulative incidence). Mirroring our results, D’Amico et al. noted that HRCaP patients treated with LDR alone had a PCSM similar to those treated with LDR plus ADT.16 Their report differs in that the PCSM rate at 5 years for their LDR-alone group is ~6% while our 5-year PCSM rate is 1.2% for the LDR-alone group. Our study lacks data on biopsy core positivity percent, but in high-risk disease this data appears to have limited significance.32

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The observed PCSM rates provide some insight into future directions for HRCaP clinical research. In particular, the question of local intensification vs. adjunctive systemic therapy gains importance. The local failure rate (Table 1) across all three cohorts is 2%. Since one of the

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three groups is RP +/- EBRT for adjuvant or salvage treatment, which is arguably the most intensive local treatment commonly used, it is unreasonable to expect much improvement of this end point. The equivalence of the local failure rates suggest that all three treatments are high

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on the “shoulder” of the classic dose-response curve for HRCaP. Additional effort to intensify locally in NRCaP patients, such as by combining EBRT with LDR, is likely to result in the same

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toxicity differences seen in RTOG 02-32 in which combining modalities (EBRT + LDR vs. LDR) for intermediate-risk prostate cancer was not noted to improve efficacy but did increase toxicity.19 When comparing combined modality therapy in HRCaP, as in ASCENDE-RT, to EBRT, again one sees increasing toxicity with the use of multi-modality treatment.20 In ASCENDE-RT, the multi-modaity arm did demonstrate an improved bRFS, but there has not

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been a reported advantage in PCSM.15 It has been recently noted that in the ISUP 5 category of HRCaP there is an advantage in cRFS with LDR + EBRT over EBRT and RP, but this did not translate into a PCSM improvement.33 This echos earlier data in which higher biologic effective

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dose, that the authors calculate as being higher in LDR + EBRT, shows better bRFS and cRFS but unfortunately did not assess PCSM.34 With unclear evidence for improvement in “hard”

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clinical outcomes like PCSM or local failure and the increased toxicity in multi-modality treatment, it seems more reasonable to focus on the other ~90% of treatment failures which we identify in this series as metastatic disease. Local intensification may affect metastatic spread, but this is not likely in a population with such good local control. The value of regional intensification such as nodal radiation, remains unknown after decades of study and this uncertainty has generated further studies to help clarify.35 Consequently, it seems that systemic therapy beyond the typical use of ADT should be the focus of attention for future investigation.

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Toxicity is important to note when making comparisons in observational studies. It is very difficult to compare toxicity using observational studies where data are sourced from a national database but, it is more readily performed from a single institution study such as this series.

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Here we compare GI and GU toxicities using CTCAE v4.03. The rate of grade 5 toxicity is very low. In addition, the rate of fistula formation after LDR is lower than prior reports although with such an uncommon event, comparisons are difficult.36 The overall grade 3 and higher GU

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toxicity is well within the expected range.37 The higher GI toxicity in the EBRT patients also tracks with prior reports and the assessment of the grade 2 GI toxicity (analogous to the “bothersome” toxicity noted in the EPIC questionnaire and shown here in Figure 2D) yields a

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very similar result to that noted in PROST-QA.27 In addition, despite the fact that they treated low and intermediate-risk patients, the grade 2 toxicity of our patients follows the toxicity profile of the patients treated on the ProtecT trial which scored toxicity in a manner similar to PROSTQA.38,39 We feel that this indicates that the larger margins that one expects when treating high-

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risk disease did not yield a toxicity profile that was substantially different from the population in ProtecT. The plateau seen in the RP and LDR patients’ cumulative incidence toxicity curves (Figure 2) may reflect the larger volume of tissue being irradiated vs. LDR and only 18.6% of the

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RP patients received EBRT which limited the potential of patients in that arm to express the late toxicity seen in the EBRT alone arm.

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The majority of both the higher grade >3 GI toxicity with EBRT and the higher grade >3 GU toxicity with RP only required minor procedures for treatment, but are still important to note. The use of robotic-assisted RP results in a transient reduction of GU toxicity, but this gap closes relative to the open and pure laparoscopic approaches with further follow-up (Figure 2B). The secondary malignancy rate is in keeping with prior reports.40

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Conclusions For HRCaP, there is no standard-of-care because of the near complete lack of randomized comparative efficacy studies. This report helps fill this gap by providing efficacy and toxicity

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outcomes in HRCaP patients treated with LDR, RP, or EBRT. They each have similar efficacy but different toxicity. Given the competitive LDR results reported here, it is reasonable to

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consider LDR for HRCaP.

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17. Mohler JL, Armstrong AJ, Bahnson RR, et al. Prostate cancer, Version 1.2106 Freatured updates to the NCCN Guidelines. J Natl Compr Canc Netw 2016;14:19-30. 18. Lawton CA, Yan Y, Lee WR, et al. Long-term results of an RTOG Phase II trial (00-19) of external beam radiation therapy combined with permanent source brachytherapy for intermediate-risk clinically localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate. Int J Radiation Oncology Biol Phys 2012;82:e795-801. 19. Prestidge BR, Winter K, Sanda MG, et al. Initial report of NRG Oncology/RTOG 0232: A phase 3 study comparing combined external beam radiation and transperineal interstitial permanent brachytherapy with brachytherapy alone for selected patients with intermediate-risk prostatic carcinoma. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2016;96:S4. 20. Rodda SL, Tyldesley S, Morris WJ. Toxicity outcomes in ASCENDE-RT: a multicenter randomized trial of dose-escalation trial for prostate cancer. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2015;93:S121. 21. Sohyada C, Kupelian PA, Levin HS, Klein EA. Extent of extracapsular extension in localized prostate cancer. Urology 2000;55:382-6. 22. Epstein JI, Allsbrook WC Jr, Amin MB, Egevad LL. Update on the Gleason grading system for prostate cancer: results of an international consensus conference of urologic pathologists. Adv Anat Pathol 2006;13:57-9. 23. Stephenson AJ, Kattan MW, Eastham JA, et al. Defining biochemical recurence of prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy: a proposal for a standardized definition. J Clin Oncol 2006;24:29738. 24. Roach M, Hanks G, Thames H, et al. Defining biochemical failure following radiotherapy with or without hormonal therapy in men with clinically localized prostate cancer: recommendations of the RTOG-ASTRO Phoenix consensus conference. Int J Radiation Oncology Biol Phys 2006;65:965-74. 25. Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 4.03. 2010. (Accessed June 1, 2016, at evs.nci.nih.gov/ftp1/CTCAE/CTCAE_4.03.) 26. Leow JJ, Chang SL, Meyer CP, et al. Robot-assisted versus open radical prostatectomy: a contemporary analysis of an all-payer discharge database. Eur Urol 2016. 27. Sanda MG, Dunn RL, Michalski J, et al. Quality of life and satisfaction with outcome among prostate-cancer survivors. N Engl J Med 2008;358:1250-61. 28. Wilkinson DA, Lee EJ, Ciezki JP, et al. Dosimetric comparison of pre-planned and or-planned prostate seed brachytherapy. Int J Radiation Oncology Biol Phys 2000;48:1241-4. 29. Sineshaw HM, Gray P, Efstathiou JA, Jemal A. Declining use of radiotherapy for adverse features after radical prostatectomy: results from the National Cancer Data Base. Eur Urol 2015;68:768-74. 30. Kalbasi A, Swisher-McClure S, Mitra N, et al. Low rates of adjuvant radiation in patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer with high-risk pathologic features. Cancer 2014;120:3089-96. 31. Sooriakumaran P, Nyberg T, Akre O, et al. Comparative effectiveness of radical prostatectomy and radiotherapy in prostate cancer: observational study of mortality ouotcomes. BMJ 2014;348:g1502. 32. Ellis CL, Partin AW, Han M, Epstein JI. Adenocarcinoma of the prostate with Gleason Score 9-10 on core biopsy: correlation with findings at radical prostatectomy and prognosis. J Urol 2013;190:206873. 33. Kishan AU, Shaikh T, Wang PC, et al. Clinical ooutcomes for patients with Gleason score 9-10 prostate adenocarcinoma treated with radiotherapy or radical prostatectomy: A multi-institutional comparative analysis. Eur Urol 2016. 34. Stone NN, Potters L, Davis BJ, et al. Multicenter analysis of effect of high biologic effective dose on biochemical failure and survival outcomes in patients with Gleason score 7-10 prostate cancer treated with permanent prostate brachytherapy. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2009;73:341-6. 35. Roach III M, DeSilvio M, Valicenti R, et al. Whole-pelvis, "mini-pelvis", or prostate-only external beam radiotherapy after neoadjuvant and concurrent hormonal therapy in patients treated in the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group 9413 trial. Int J Radiation Oncology Biol Phys 2006;66:647-53.

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36. Leong N, Pai HH, Morris J, et al. Rectal ulcers and rectoprostatic fistulas after I-125 low dose rate brachytherapy. J Urol 2016;195:1811-6. 37. Jarosek SL, Virnig BA, Chu H, Elliott SP. Propensity-weighted long-term risk of urinary adverse events after prostate cancer surgery, radiation, or both. Eur Urol 2015;67:273-80. 38. Hamdy FC, Donovan JL, Lane JA, et al. 10-year outcomes after monitoring, surgery, or radiotherapy for localized prostate cancer. N Engl J Med 2016;375:1415-24. 39. Donovan JL, Hamdy FC, Lane JA, et al. Patient-reported outcomes after monitoring, surgery, or radiotherapy for prostate cancer. N Engl J Med 2016;375:1425-37. 40. Abdel-Wahab M, Reis IM, Wu J, Duncan R. Secondary primary cancer risk of radiation therapy after prostatectomy for prostate cancer: an analysis of SEER data. Urology 2009;74:866-72.

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Figure Legends

Figure 1. Efficacy plots.

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A. Kaplan-Meier estimates of biochemical relapse-free survival for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR) plus/minus, external beam radiation plus/minus androgen deprivation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy plus/minus adjuvant or salvage external beam radiotherapy (RP). Analysis limited to patients with a least two posttreatment PSAs. B. Kaplan-Meier estimates of clinical relapse-free survival for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR) plus/minus, external beam radiation plus/minus androgen deprivation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy plus/minus adjuvant or salvage external beam radiotherapy (RP). Analysis limited to patients with a least two post-treatment PSAs. C. Cumulative incidence of prostate cancer-specific mortality for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR) plus/minus, external beam radiation plus/minus androgen deprivation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy plus/minus adjuvant or salvage external beam radiotherapy (RP). D. Cumulative incidence of prostate cancer-specific mortality for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR) by use of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). Figure 2. Toxicity plots.

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A. Cumulative incidence of grade 3 or higher genitourinary toxicity, assessed with the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.03 for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR), external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy (RP). B. Cumulative incidence of grade 3 or higher genitourinary toxicity among radical prostatectomy sub-types (open, pure laparoscopic, and robotic-assisted), assessed with the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.03. ( Lap RP = laparoscopic non-robotic prostatectomy; Open RP = open radical prostatectomy; Robotic RP = robotic prostatectomy). C. Cumulative incidence of grade 3 or higher gastrointestinal toxicity, assessed with the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.03 for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR), external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy (RP). D. Cumulative incidence of grade 2 or higher gastrointestinal toxicity, assessed with the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.03 for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR), external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy (RP). E. Cumulative incidence of grade 2 or higher genitourinary toxicity, assessed with the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.03 for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR), external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy (RP). F. Cumulative incidence of secondary malignancies for low-dose-rate brachytherapy (LDR), external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), and radical prostatectomy (RP). All secondary malignancies occurred within the radiation field except one spindle cell malignancy (histologically indistinguishable from spindle cell malignancies seen in EBRT fields) in an RP patient who did not receive EBRT. This may suggest that spindle cell cancers seen after radiation may not be radiation-induced, but simply a persistent variant of cancer

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detected after primary treatment. Because we want to apply the same standards to each modality this patient was coded as a secondary malignancy due to its histologic appearance and location.

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Table 1. Descriptive Statistics

Factor

EBRT*

LDR**

RP***

n/median

%/range

n/median

%/range

n/median

734

29

515

20

1308

p-value

%/range

Count 51 <0.0001

68.5

40-86

70

44-89

Risk Sub-Grouping

RI PT

Age (y)

62

43-79

<0.0001

2 intermediate factors

207

28

248

48

>1 high-risk factor

527

72

267

52

582

45

726

55

459

62

458

89

779

60

11

489

37

0.4

40

3

<0.0001

T1 or T2A T2B or T2C

174

24

55

T3

101

14

2

<4

22

3

4 - <10

185

25

10 - <20

255

34

>20

271

36

1

0.1

76

10

unknown Biopsy Gleason (ISUP) 6 (1)

M AN U

Initial PSA (ng/mL)

SC

Clinical Stage

<0.0001

15

3

134

10

161

32

527

40

257

50

451

35

81

15

196

15

1

0.2

0

0

31

6

70

5

<0.0001

354

48

278

54

662

51

8 (4)

178

24

147

28

394

30

9 (5)

117

16

57

11

178

14

10 (5)

9

1

2

0.4

4

0.3

7

241

47

1061

81

93

274

53

247

19

Androgen Deprivation

TE D

7 (2 or 3)

54

Yes

680

Duration ADT (m) 0

EP

No

<0.0001

<0.0001

54

7

241

47

1061

81

487

66

241

47

197

15

193

26

31

6

24

2

0

0

2

0.4

26

2

6

3-78

6

1-32

3

0.25-86

94.6

1.2-242

48.9

0.1-201

55.6

0.1-238.7

No

444

65

305

75

715

65

Yes

240

35

104

25

378

35

1-6

AC C

>6

unknown

Duration ADT^ (m)

<.00001

Follow-up Time

<.00001

Biochemical Failure#

#

Clinical Failure

No

542

79

366

90

955

87

Yes

142

21

43

10

138

13

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Local Failure No

670

98

401

98

1074

98

Yes

14

2

8

2

19

2

Distant Metastases 550

80

370

91

967

89

134

20

39

9

126

12

Alive

463

63

444

86

Dead Other Cause

192

26

60

12

Yes

79

11

11

2

Prostate Cancer Death

RI PT

No Yes

1139

87

120

9

49

4

AC C

EP

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*External beam radiotherapy; **Low dose-rate brachytherapy; ***Radical prostatectomy, † International Society of Urologic Pathology33, ^ADT duration for patients who received ADT; # analysis for biochemical and clinical failure limited to patients with >2 post-treatment PSAs

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Table 2. Univariate and Multivariable Analyses of Efficacy Factor

Univariate P-value HR* (95% CI**)

Multivariable P-value HR* (95% CI**)

Treatment

0.1257 0.1335 0.0003

0.83 (0.66-1.05) 1.22 (0.94-1.57) 1.43 (1.19-1.79)

1.05 (0.89-1.25) 1.73 (1.35-2.23) 1.64 (1.25-2.16)

0.1321 0.0001 0.0086

1.15 (0.96-1.37) 1.69 (1.29-2.20) 1.47 (1.10-1.96)

0.92 (0.69-1.23) 1.51 (1.14-2.00) 1.64 (1.40-1.90)

0.5478 0.1537 0.0003

0.92 (0.69-1.22) 1.24 (1.92-1.66) 1.36 (1.15-1.59)

1.01 (1.01-1.01)

<0.0001

1.01 (1.01-1.01)

0.99 (0.98-1.00)

0.0104

0.98 (0.97-1.00)

0.93 (0.79-1.08) 0.94 (0.73-1.21) 1.02 (0.79-1.31)

-

-

1.43 (1.38-1.48)

<0.0001

1.42 (1.38-1.48)

1.00 (1.01-1.01)

<0.0001

1.01 (1.01-1.01)

0.8455 0.1493 0.0668

0.97 (0.69-1.36) 0.78 (0.55-1.10) 0.80 (0.64-1.02)

0.0176 0.5278 0.0277

1.57 (1.08-2.27) 1.13 (0.78-1.65) 0.72 (0.54-0.97)

0.2436 <0.0001 0.0003

1.16 (0.90-1.49) 2.26 (1.62-3.14) 1.94 (1.35-2.79)

0.4610 <0.0001 0.0011

1.10 (0.85-1.44) 2.11 (1.48-3.00) 1.91 (1.30-2.81)

0.1191 <0.0001 <0.0001

1.56 (0.89-2.73) 4.12 (2.39-7.10) 2.64 (2.08-3.34)

0.0730 0.0001 <0.0001

1.68 (0.95-2.96) 3.03 (1.73-5.29) 1.81 (1.40-2.32)

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0.70 (0.56-0.87) 0.96 (0.76-1.21) 1.37 (1.17-1.61)

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LDR*** vs. RP† 0.0013 LDR*** vs. EBRT‡ 0.7214 RP† vs. EBRT‡ 0.0001 Clinical Stage T2B&C vs. T1&T2A 0.5546 T3 vs. T1&T2A < 0.0001 T3 vs. T2B&C 0.0004 Biopsy Gleason 7 vs. 6 0.5740 8-10 vs. 6 0.0044 8-10 vs. 7 <0.0001 Initial PSA <0.0001 ADT§ Duration (months) 0.1799 ADT§ Duration (months) 1-6 vs. 0 0.3422 >6 vs. 0 0.6497 >6 vs. 1-6 0.8899 PSA Frequency <0.0001 PSA Frequency x Time <0.0001

RI PT

Biochemical Relapse-Free Survival

Clinical Relapse-Free Survival Treatment

AC C

LDR*** vs. RP† LDR*** vs. EBRT‡ RP† vs. EBRT‡ Clinical Stage T2B&C vs. T1&T2A T3 vs. T1&T2A T3 vs. T2B&C Biopsy Gleason 7 vs. 6 8-10 vs. 6 8-10 vs. 7 Initial PSA

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0.0987

1.00 (1.00-1.01)

0.7134

1.00 (0.99-1.01)

0.0151

1.02 (1.00-1.03)

0.3797

0.99 (0.98-1.01)

0.0302 <0.0001 0.0121

1.31 (1.03-1.68) 1.96 (1.41-2.74) 1.49 (1.09-2.04)

-

-

<0.0001

1.56 (1.45-1.66)

<0.0001

1.54 (1.44-1.65)

<0.0001

1.01 (1.01-1.01)

<0.0001

1.01 (1.01-1.01)

ADT§ Duration (months) 1-6 vs. 0 >6 vs. 0 >6 vs. 1-6 PSA Frequency PSA Frequency x Time

SC

Prostate Cancer-Specific Mortality Treatment

ADT§ Duration (months)

0.68 (0.35-1.30) 0.37 (0.20-0.69) 0.54 (0.38-0.78)

0.6764 0.1069 0.0018

1.15 (0.60-2.23) 0.58 (0.30-1.13) 0.50 (0.32-0.77)

1.64 (1.13-2.39) 3.16 (2.00-4.98) 1.92 (1.18-3.12)

0.0038 0.0008 0.3033

1.77 (1.20-2.61) 2.33 (1.42-3.83) 1.32 (0.78-2.22)

2.23 (0.80-6.20) 6.06 (2.23-16.46) 2.72 (1.90-3.89)

0.0928 <0.0001 <0.0001

2.44 (0.86-6.92) 7.82 (2.80-21.89) 3.21 (2.22-4.61)

0.0009

1.01 (1.00-1.02)

0.0068

1.01 (1.00-1.01)

<0.0001

1.03 (1.03-1.04)

0.4906

1.01 (0.99-1.02)

<0.0001 <0.0001 0.0724

2.72 (1.75-4.22) 4.04 (2.35-6.92) 1.49 (0.96-2.29)

-

-

0.0026

0.97 (0.95-0.99)

0.0001

0.96 (0.94-0.98)

0.0089 <0.0001 0.0081 0.1259 0.0004 <0.0001

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0.2404 0.0018 0.0009

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LDR*** vs. RP† LDR*** vs. EBRT‡ RP† vs. EBRT‡ Clinical Stage T2B&C vs. T1&T2A T3 vs. T1&T2A T3 vs. T2B&C Biopsy Gleason 7 vs. 6 8-10 vs. 6 8-10 vs. 7 Initial PSA

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ADT§ Duration (months) 1-6 vs. 0 >6 vs. 0 >6 vs. 1-6 Age

RI PT

ADT§ Duration (months)

*Hazard ratio, **Confidence Interval, *** Low Dose-rate Brachytherapy, † Radical Prostatectomy, ‡ External Beam Radiotherapy, § Androgen Deprivation Therapy.

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Table 3. Tabulation of types of toxicity, grade >3, scored with Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.03. EBRT* % n % Genitourinary

LDR** n %

2 1 1 4

50.0 25.0 25.0

1 1 1 3

33.3 33.3 33.3

0 0 0 0

0.0 0.0 0.0

1 0 0 1

100.0 0.0 0.0

1 7 1 11 5 1 2 5 33

3.0 21.2 3.0 33.3 15.2 3.0 6.1 15.2

0 2 0 3 4 0 1 1 11

0.0 18.2 0.0 27.3 36.4 0.0 9.1 9.1

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0

1 5 1 8 1 1 1 3 21

4.8 23.8 4.8 38.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 14.3

2 47 4 117 1 1 1 1 30 204

1.0 23.0 2.0 57.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 14.7

0.0 2.0 0.0 57.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.8

0 1 0 15 0 0 0 0 4 20

0.0 5.0 0.0 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.

2 45 4 74 1 1 1 1 6 135

1.5 33.3 3.0 54.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 4.4

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Grade 5 fistula XRT‡ proctitis Total Grade 4 fistula obstruction perforation XRT‡ proctitis Total Grade 3 infection obstruction XRT‡ proctitis Total

0 1 0 28 0 0 0 0 20 49 Gastrointestinal

RP*** %

RI PT

n

2 1 3

66.7 33.3

2 1 3

66.7 33.3

0 0 0

0.0 0.0

0 0 0

0.0 0.0

8 4 2 1 22

53.3 26.7 13.3 6.7

4 1 0 1 6

66.7 16.7 0.0 16.7

1 0 0 0 1

100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

3 3 2 0 8

37.5 37.5 25.0 0.0

2 1 28 31

6.5 3.2 90.3

1 0 24 25

4.0 0.0 96.0

0 0 3 3

0.0 0.0 100.0

1 1 1 3

33.3 33.3 33.3

EP

Grade 5 fistula renal failure XRT† cystitis Total Grade 4 anastamotic leak fistula incontinence infection necrotic tissue obstruction renal failure XRT† cystitis Total Grade 3 hernia incontinence infection obstruction pain spermatocele testicular infarct urgency XRT† cystitis Total

TE D

n

SC

All

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Description

*external beam radiotherapy; **low-dose-rate brachytherapy; ***radical prostatectomy; † radiotherapy-induced cystitis; ‡ radiotherapy-induced proctitis.

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Biochemical Relapse Free Survival by Treatment

RI PT

100

SC M AN U Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 5-yr surv (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr surv (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr surv (%) 95% CI (%)

20

EBRT 684 329 74 70-77 107 53 48-58 14 39 31-47

LDR 409 124 74 68-79 12 52 42-62 0 na na

EP

40

TE D

60

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

RP 1093 306 65 61-68 85 47 43-52 12 39 33-46

P-value <0.0001

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

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Clinical Relapse Free Survival by Treatment

RI PT

100

SC M AN U

60

EBRT 684 384 85 83-88 152 73 68-77 24 59 51-67

LDR 409 155 90 86-93 20 76 66-86 0 na na

TE D

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 5-yr surv (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr surv (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr surv (%) 95% CI (%)

EP

40

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

RP 1093 431 89 86-91 145 75 71-80 27 67 60-74 P-value= 0.1205

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

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Cumulative Incidence for Prostate Cancer Specific Mortality by Treatment

SC

RP 1308 612 2.8 1.7-3.9 241 6.8 4.7-8.9 69 9.8 6.6-12.9

TE D

60

LDR 515 211 3.2 1.2-5.1 40 3.6 1.5-5.8 3 3.6 1.5-5.8

EP

40

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

EBRT 734 508 5.3 3.6- 7.1 261 11.2 8.6-13.9 77 15.8 12.3-19.3

M AN U

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

RI PT

100

P-value= 0.0004

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

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Cumulative Incidence for Prostate Cancer Specific Mortality by Use of ADT for Patients Treated with LDR

LDR + ADT 374 163 4.2 1.5-6.9 26 4.2 1.5-6.9 3 4.2 1.5-6.9

SC

LDR Alone 241 48 1.2 0.0- 3.5 14 3.3 0.0-7.9 0 na na

M AN U

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

TE D

60

EP

40

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

RI PT

100

P-value= 0.3393

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

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Cumulative Incidence for Grade >3 GU Toxicity (Excluding Secondary Malignancies) by Treatment

SC

RP 1308 1072 5.7 4.4-7.0 558 12.7 10.7-14.8 223 16.4 13.8-19.0 64 17.2 14.4-20.0

EP

40

M AN U

60

LDR 515 436 0.9 0.0-1.8 202 4.4 2.4-6.5 35 7.2 3.4-11.0 3 7.2 3.4-11.0

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

EBRT 734 699 0.3 0.0-0.7 491 4.4 2.8- 5.9 243 8.1 5.9-10.4 66 11.6 8.6-14.5

TE D

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 1-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

RI PT

100

P-value <0.0001

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

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Cumulative Incidence for Grade >3 GU Toxicity (Excluding Secondary Malignancies) by RP Technique

SC

Open RP 732 634 6.8 4.9-8.6 405 13.8 11.2-16.5 206 17.1 14.0-20.2 64 17.6 14.4-20.9

EP

40

M AN U

60

Robotic 473 359 3.5 1.8-5.3 106 11.3 7.9-14.8 3 15.5 8.1-22.9 0 na na

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

Lap RP 103 73 6.8 1.5-12.1 47 9.2 3.1-15.3 14 16.6 6.5-26.2 0 na na

TE D

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 1-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

RI PT

100

P-value= 0.6028

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

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Cumulative Incidence for Grade >3 GI Toxicity (Excluding Secondary Malignancies) by Treatment

SC

RP 1308 1124 0.4 0.1-0.7 615 0.7 0.2-1.2 244 1.0 0.4-1.7 69 1.5 0.4-2.6

EP

40

M AN U

60

LDR 515 439 0.0 0.0-0.0 211 1.1 0.0-2.2 40 1.1 0.0-2.2 4 1.1 0.0-2.2

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

EBRT 734 699 0.4 0.0-0.9 492 3.8 2.4- 5.2 253 4.6 3.0-6.2 76 5.7 3.6-7.7

TE D

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 1-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

RI PT

100

P-value <0.0001

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Cumulative Incidence for Grade >2 GI Toxicity (Excluding Secondary Malignancies) by Treatment

SC

EP

40

RP 1308 1121 0.6 0.2-1.0 615 1.0 0.4-1.5 244 1.8 0.8-2.8 69 2.2 0.9-3.6

M AN U

60

LDR 515 439 0.0 0.0-0.0 211 1.1 0.0-2.2 40 1.1 0.0-2.2 4 1.1 0.0-2.2

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

EBRT 734 692 1.5 0.6-2.5 475 7.0 5.1-8.9 246 8.4 6.2-10.5 72 9.9 7.3-12.5

TE D

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 1-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

RI PT

100

P-value <0.0001

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Cumulative Incidence for Grade >2 GU Toxicity (Excluding Secondary Malignancies) by Treatment 100

SC

RI PT

RP 1308 972 8.5 6.8-10.1 491 19.0 16.6-21.5 199 25.7 22.5-28.9 60 28.0 24.4-31.5

TE D

60

LDR 515 427 3.1 1.5-4.8 186 9.7 6.8-12.7 32 13.8 9.1-18.5 3 13.8 9.1-18.5

EP

40

20

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

80

EBRT 734 696 0.6 0.0-1.1 483 5.7 4.0-7.5 235 11.8 9.1-14.4 61 18.9 15.2-22.7

M AN U

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 1-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

P-value <0.0001

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Cumulative Incidence for Secondary Malignancies by Treatment

SC

M AN U

RP 1308 1129 0.1 0.0-0.3 616 0.2 0.0-0.4 244 0.2 0.0-0.4 68 0.9 0.0-2.0

EP

10

LDR 515 439 0.0 0.0-0.0 213 0.0 0.0-0.0 40 1.3 0.0-3.8 4 1.3 0.0-3.8

5

AC C

Cumulative Incidence (%)

15

EBRT 734 700 0.1 0.0-0.4 501 1.4 0.5-2.3 258 2.7 1.4-4.1 77 2.7 1.4-4.1

TE D

Treatment Number of Patients # at risk 1-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 5-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 10-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%) # at risk 15-yr cum inc (%) 95% CI (%)

RI PT

20

P-value= 0.0011

0 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Years

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Summary There is no level I evidence defining a standard of care for patients with high-risk prostate cancer. Clinical trials comparing treatment variations within a modality exist but none compare

RI PT

outcomes among modalities. We present an inception cohort study in which we compare

efficacy and toxicity among the three major therapeutic modalities for high-risk prostate cancer: radical prostatectomy plus/minus adjuvant or salvage radiotherapy, external beam radiotherapy

SC

plus/minus androgen deprivation, and low-dose-rate prostate brachytherapy plus/minus

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

androgen deprivation therapy.