Journal Pre-proof Application of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model for evaluating postoperative deep vein thrombosis in patients undergoing plastic and reconstructive surgery Hiroki Yago, Takashi Yamaki, Yumiko Sasaki, Kento Homma, Takatoshi Mizobuchi, Yuki Hasegawa, Atsuyoshi Osada, Hiroyuki Sakurai PII:
S0890-5096(19)30937-9
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.avsg.2019.10.082
Reference:
AVSG 4744
To appear in:
Annals of Vascular Surgery
Received Date: 22 March 2018 Revised Date:
2 September 2019
Accepted Date: 22 October 2019
Please cite this article as: Yago H, Yamaki T, Sasaki Y, Homma K, Mizobuchi T, Hasegawa Y, Osada A, Sakurai H, Application of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model for evaluating postoperative deep vein thrombosis in patients undergoing plastic and reconstructive surgery, Annals of Vascular Surgery (2019), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.avsg.2019.10.082. This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2019 Published by Elsevier Inc.
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Original Article
1 2 3
Application of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model for evaluating postoperative deep vein thrombosis in patients undergoing plastic and reconstructive surgery
4 5 6
Hiroki Yago, Takashi Yamaki, Yumiko Sasaki, Kento Homma, Takatoshi Mizobuchi,
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Yuki Hasegawa, Atsuyoshi Osada, Hiroyuki Sakurai
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Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Tokyo Women’s Medical University,
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Tokyo, Japan
10 11
Corresponding author:
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Hiroki Yago,
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Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Tokyo Women’s Medical University,
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8-1, Kawada-cho, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 162-8666, Japan
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Tel: +81-3-3353-8111
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Fax: +81-3-3225-0940
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E-mail:
[email protected]
19 20
Declarations of interest: none.
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1
22 1
Abbreviations
2
23
Abstract
24
Objective: The optimal approach for assessing the risk of venous thromboembolism
25
(VTE) in patients undergoing plastic surgery is yet to be established. This study aimed
26
to determine the validity of the Caprini Risk Assessment Scale in identifying patients
27
undergoing plastic surgery who are at a high risk of developing VTE.
28
Methods: Between December 2014 and November 2015, we enrolled 90 patients. Risk
29
factors for VTE were assessed at baseline. The Caprini Risk Assessment Model was
30
used to stratify patients into Caprini <4, Caprini 5–6, Caprini 7–8, and Caprini >8
31
groups before examination. We preoperatively screened for deep vein thrombosis
32
(DVT) using duplex ultrasound. During operation, surgical duration and blood loss
33
were recorded. Duplex ultrasound was repeated 2 and 7 days postoperatively to
34
evaluate for DVT. We used a univariate analysis to determine risk factors for
35
postoperative VTE. Confounding predictors were finally tested using a multivariate
36
logistic regression analysis.
37
Results: One patient had preoperative DVT and was excluded from the study.
38
Eighty-nine patients were included in the final analyses. Of the 89 patients, 7 (8%)
39
developed postoperative DVT. Mean age, body mass index, Caprini score, and surgical
40
duration were significantly higher in patients who developed postoperative DVT.
41
Variables associated with increased risk of postoperative DVT using univariate
42
analysis were Caprini scores of 7–8 and >8. Multivariate logistic regression analysis
43
finally identified Caprini scores 7–8 [odds ratio (OR) 13, 95% confidence interval (CI)
44
1.67–101.98, P =.014] and >8 (OR 19.5, 95% CI 1.02–371.96, P =.048) to be
45
independently associated with postoperative DVT.
3
46
Conclusions: Although the incidence of postoperative DVT is relatively low among
47
patients undergoing plastic surgery, Caprini scores can be used to predict postoperative
48
VTE complications.
49
4
50 51
1. Introduction
52
Recently, venous thromboembolism (VTE) has garnered much attention because of its
53
potential to cause death during surgery. However, VTE in the field of plastic and
54
reconstructive surgery has not been well examined. Therefore, we urge plastic surgeons
55
worldwide to discuss the risk of VTE in their patients. It is difficult to stratify patients
56
as the risk varies relative to heterogeneous operation methods and surgical blood loss.
57
There are several reports of preoperative VTE risk assessment using the Caprini Risk
58
Assessment Model (RAM) in plastic and reconstructive surgery.1-3 (Table I)The
59
American College of Chest Physicians (ACCP) guidelines for preventing VTE have
60
long been the gold standard for stratifying surgical patients into low-, moderate-, and
61
high-risk groups. Recent additions to the guidelines recommend using the Caprini
62
RAM for individual patients undergoing surgery.4 Using the Caprini RAM, Pannucci et
63
al.2 found that the risk of developing VTE was 0.61% in patients with a Caprini score of
64
3–4, 1.27% in those with a Caprini score of 5–6, 2.69% in those with a Caprini score of
65
7–8, and 11.3% in those with a Caprini score of >8 60 d postoperatively. They
66
concluded that Caprini scores could predict the risk of postoperative VTE. However,
67
because the clinical study involved a retrospective review of electronic charts and only
68
collected data on symptomatic patients, accurate predictors of deep vein thrombosis
69
(DVT) after plastic surgery remain uncertain. As even an isolated, asymptomatic calf
70
VTE can cause severe pulmonary thromboembolisms5, identification of patients with
71
asymptomatic DVT is critically important. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the
5
72
validity of the Caprini RAM for identifying patients undergoing plastic surgery who are
73
at a high risk of developing VTE.
74 75 76
2. Materials and Methods
77 78
For this prospective, single-centered study, we enrolled 90 patients between December
79
2014 and November 2015. Patients’ preoperative characteristics, including age, sex,
80
body mass index (BMI, kg/m2), and presence of active cancer, congestive heart disease,
81
hormone replacement therapy, inflammatory bowel disease, central venous catheter
82
placement, previous history of DVT, and renal failure were all evaluated. The Caprini
83
RAM was used to classify patients into Caprini <4, Caprini 5–6, Caprini 7–8, and
84
Caprini >8 groups before operation. The presence of DVT was preoperatively screened
85
using duplex ultrasound.
86
All patients used graduated thigh-high compression stockings, and a
87
pneumatic compression device was intermittently applied during the operation. In this
88
study, all patients used graduated compression stockings, and pneumatic compression
89
devices were applied intermittently while patients were confined to bed. Although
90
patients were encouraged to walk on postoperative day 1. They wore class II thigh-high
91
stockings.Surgical duration and blood loss volume were recorded. Repeat duplex
92
ultrasound examinations were performed 2 and 7 days postoperatively to evaluate for
93
DVT. In this study, no patients were on prior anticoagulants or received prophylactic
94
anticoagulants. The study protocol and informed consent form were approved by the
95
local institutional review boards of the respective clinics.
6
96 97
2. 1. Venous duplex ultrasound
98
Compression ultrasound was used to detect the presence of DVT. A color duplex
99
scanner (LOGIQ 7 PRO, GE Yokogawa Medical Systems, Tokyo, Japan) with a 5- to
100
10-MHz transducer was used. Initially, each patient was in the reverse Trendelenburg
101
position at 15°. Examinations were initiated at the external iliac vein, common femoral
102
vein, and then moved to the femoral vein at the adductor canal. The anterior and
103
posterior tibial veins were also examined. Subsequently, the patient was placed prone
104
with the knee flexed at 30°, and the popliteal, peroneal, gastrocnemius, and soleal veins
105
(SV) were examined. The diagnosis of DVT was based on both noncompressibility of
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the vein in B-mode and lack of spontaneous flow on color Doppler imaging. A
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diagnosis of iliofemoral DVT was established if the proximal veins showed venous
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thrombus extending proximally to the external iliac vein. A diagnosis of
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femoropopliteal DVT was established if the proximal veins showed thrombus without
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iliac involvement. Finally, a diagnosis of calf vein thrombosis was established if a
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thrombus was detected only in the calf veins.All venous duplex ultrasound
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examinations were performed by experienced clinical vascular technologists.
113
The primary endpoint of this study was the development of DVT in the first seven days,
114
as identified by compression ultrasound of the lower extremities, 2 and 7 days
115
postoperatively. The secondary endpoint was the predictor of DVT.
116 117
2.2. Statistical analysis
7
118
All data were analyzed using the JMP Pro (Version 12.1, SAS Institute, Cary, North
119
Carolina, USA). We made between-group comparisons using Student’s t test and used a
120
Χ2 test to evaluate differences. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression
121
analysis were used to determine possible risk factors for postoperative VTE.
122
Continuous data were expressed as mean ± standard deviation. Statistical significance
123
was defined as P <.05.
124
3. Results
125 126
Ninety patients were enrolled. One patient was excluded, leaving 89 patients
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(49 males and 40 females) with a mean age of 58 years (range, 16–85 years), who were
128
eligible for the study (Fig.1). All cases were performed under hospitalization.
129
The average length of a hospital stay for study patients was 5 days.Among the 89
130
patients surgical procedures included surgical funnel chest correction using pectus bar
131
(n = 30), surgical flaps (n = 17; 15 free flaps and 2 pedicled flaps), stripping (n = 7),
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scar revision (n = 7), benign tumor removal (n = 6), lymphaticovenous anastomosis for
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lymphedema (n = 5), tissue expander insertion (n = 3), breast implant insertion (n = 3),
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skin grafting (n = 3), facial bone fixation (n = 2), and “other” operations (n = 6). We
135
were doing stripping operations for patients with primary varicose veins for 3-day
136
admission. Now, less invasive endovenous laser ablations are performed for these
137
patients on an ambulatory basis. Seven (7.9%) patients had postoperative DVT. The
138
distribution of postoperative DVT is shown in Table II. DVT was detected in five
139
patients 2 days postoperatively, and isolated SV thrombosis was detected in two
140
patients 7 days postoperatively. Table III shows that the procedures performed on the 7
8
141
patients who suffered a DVT.
In this study, 12 patients who underwent free flap
142
transfer had cancer resection.
143
No patient developed symptomatic DVT, and no further VTE-related complications
144
were encountered during the follow-up period.
145
Table IV shows the baseline results grouped according to the presence or
146
absence of postoperative DVT. There were no significant differences in mean age, BMI,
147
or sex distribution between patients with DVT and without. Regarding risk factors for
148
DVT, significant differences in mean age (P =.01), BMI (P =.04), Caprini risk
149
assessment score (P =.01), or surgical duration (P = 0.03) were observed in patients
150
who developed DVT.
151
Table V shows the relationship between Caprini score and the presence or
152
absence of DVT. To analyze this relationship, patients were stratified into Caprini ≤4
153
(low risk), Caprini 5–6 (moderate risk), Caprini 7–8 (high risk), and Caprini >8 (highest
154
risk) groups. Eighty-seven percent of patients were classified as Caprini ≤4, and none
155
of these patients developed DVT. DVT was detected only in patients with a Caprini
156
score of >5.
157
To identify risk factors for postoperative DVT, we transformed continuous data
158
elements including age, BMI, sex, surgical duration, and Caprini score into categorical
159
data. Age was categorized into <40, 40–59, and ≥60 years. BMI was categorized into
160
<18.5, 18.5–24.9, 25.0–29.9, and ≥30 kg/m2. Surgical duration was categorized into
161
<60, 60–119, and ≥120 min. Caprini scores were categorized into 2, 3–4, 5–6, 7–8, and
162
>8 points. Initial risk factors were tested by univariate analysis (Table VI ). Variables
163
associated with the greater risk factors for postoperative DVT were Caprini scores of
9
164 165 166
7–8 (P =.006) and >8 (P =.025). Multivariate logistic regression analysis finally revealed that Caprini scores of 7–8 [odds ratio (OR) 13, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.67–101.98, P =.014] and >8
167
(OR 19.5, 95% CI 1.02–371.96, P =.048) were independently associated with
168
postoperative DVT (Table VII).
169 170
4. Discussion
171
At first we select the Caprini score because of its usefulness in patients who underwent
172
plastic and reconstructive surgery. It is difficult to stratify patients as the risk varies
173
relative to heterogeneous operation methods in plastic and reconstructive surgery. There
174
are several reports of preoperative VTE risk assessment using the Caprini Risk
175
Assessment Model (RAM) in plastic and reconstructive surgery. The American College
176
of Chest Physicians (ACCP) guidelines for preventing VTE have long been the gold
177
standard for stratifying surgical patients into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups.
178
Recent additions to the guidelines recommend using the Caprini RAM for individual
179
patients undergoing surgery.We think caprini score is very easy to use by anyone in
180
plastic and reconstructive surgery. We need some laboratory data if we use Roger's
181
score . But we don't need it to use caprini score.In addition because we cover lots of
182
ground of surgery, It is not usefull to stratify patients by operation type in Roger's score.
183
This study investigated the relationship between preoperative variables and the
184
development of DVT after plastic and reconstructive surgery. Although there was no
185
statistical significance, patients who underwent lengthy free-flap operations tended to
186
develop DVT. However, postoperative DVT was also detected among patients who
10
187
underwent short-duration surgeries, including skin grafting and facial bone fixation. In
188
this study, Caprini scores of ≥7 were significantly associated with higher DVT
189
incidence. Other risk factors, such as age, sex, BMI, or surgical duration, were not
190
independently associated with postoperative DVT.
191
ACCP guidelines propose group VTE prophylaxis with “risk of symptomatic
192
VTE” and “risk and consequences of major bleeding complications” (i.e., “average
193
risk” and “high risk or severe consequences,” respectively). Risk of symptomatic VTE
194
is classified as “very low,” “low,” “moderate,” and “high-risk” in these guidelines.4,6 As
195
per these guidelines, the majority of patients undergoing plastic and reconstructive
196
surgeries are considered to have an average risk of bleeding complications. The Caprini
197
RAM calculates an individualized risk assessment score on the basis of the presence or
198
absence of VTE risk factors. In addition, this model’s ability to predict VTE risk has
199
been validated for patients undergoing general, urologic, and vascular surgery.7-9
200
Pannucci et al. used the Caprini RAM to determine the risk of developing
201
postoperative VTE in patients undergoing plastic and reconstructive surgery.2 They
202
reported that a Caprini score of >8 was associated with increased risk of VTE compared
203
with patients with a Caprini score of 3–4 (OR 20.9, P <.001), 5–6 (OR 9.9, P <.001) or
204
7–8 (OR 4.6, P =.015).
205
VTE prophylactic measures include mechanical and chemical methods that are
206
assigned from risk stratification.10-19 The risk of wound hematoma on
207
chemoprophylaxis ranges from 0.5% to 1.8% in patients undergoing plastic and
208
reconstructive surgeries.4,20-23 A meta-analysis of bleeding complications in general
209
surgery patients showed that hematoma requiring a second operation occurred in only
11
210 211
1% of patients.24 Pannucci et al.2 completed a retrospective study of 1,126 plastic and
212
reconstructive patients. Inclusion criteria were a Caprini score of ≥ 3, surgery under
213
general anesthesia, and postoperative hospital admission. Patients who received
214
chemoprophylaxis were excluded. Dependent variables included symptomatic DVT or
215
pulmonary embolism (PE) within the first 60 days postoperatively and time to DVT or
216
PE. Overall DVT incidence was 1.26% and overall PE incidence was 0.89%. Patients
217
with both DVT and PE comprised 0.44% of the total number of patients. VTE incidence
218
increased dramatically with increased Caprini score. Approximately one in nine (11.3%)
219
patients with a Caprini score of >8 had a VTE event. Patients with Caprini score >8
220
were significantly more likely to develop VTE when compared to patients with Caprini
221
score of 3-4 (OR 20.9, p<0.001), 5-6 (OR 9.9, p<0.001), or 7-8 (OR 4.6, p=0.015).
222
Additionally, patients with Caprini score 7-8 were significantly more likely to develop
223
VTE when compared to patients with Caprini score 3-4 (OR 4.5, p=0.04)
224
Pannucci et al.6 also investigated postoperative enoxaparin for preventing
225
symptomatic VTE in plastic surgery patients, based on Caprini RAM. In that study,
226
patients with a Caprini score of ≥3 received postoperative enoxaparin prophylaxis
227
starting 6–8 hours after surgery and continued chemophylaxis for the duration of their
228
inpatient stay. Control patients who underwent surgery between 2006 and 2008 did not
229
receive chemoprophylaxis for 60 d after the surgery. The primary study outcome was
230
symptomatic 60-day VTE in 3,334 (1,876 controls and 1,458 enoxaparin patients)
231
patients. Notable risk reduction was observed in patients with Caprini scores of >8
232
(8.54% vs. 4.07%, P =.182) and 7–8 (2.55% vs. 1.15%, P =.230) who received
12
233 234 235
postoperative enoxaparin. Logistic regression was limited to the highest-risk patients (Caprini ≥ 7) and demonstrated that a length of stay (LOS) of ≥4 days (adjusted OR 4.63, P =.007) and Caprini score of >8 (OR 2.71, P =.027) were independent predictors
236
of VTE. In high-risk plastic surgery patients, postoperative enoxaparin prophylaxis is
237
protective and LOS of ≥4 days is also an independent risk factor for VTE.3
238
The Caprini RAM was developed more than a decade ago, and several
239
modifications of the model have been validated in surgical patients. Because of the
240
unavailability or high cost associated with the original Caprini scoring paradigm, Bilgi
241
et al.25 excluded expensive lab parameters including factor V Leiden, serum
242
homocysteine, anti-cardiolipin antibodies, prothrombin 20210A, and
243
lupus-anticoagulant, only including the clinical criteria. Using this adapted Caprini
244
score, they found that the risk of developing VTE was significantly higher among
245
patients undergoing elective or emergency surgery, those under regional or general
246
anesthesia, and those with a Caprini score of >8. They concluded that the adapted
247
Caprini score was an economical, practical, and effective tool for assessing
248
perioperative VTE risk in surgical patients.25
249
Because previous studies only included data concerning symptomatic patients,
250
we included asymptomatic DVT patients who underwent plastic and reconstructive
251
surgery. In the present study, patients with a Caprini score of ≥7 were more likely to
252
develop VTE than those with a Caprini score of <7. Although there was no statistical
253
significance (P =.627), DVT was found in three patients with a Caprini score of 5–6.
254
DVT was also found in patients undergoing skin graft or facial bone fixation,
255
previously considered low-risk patients.
13
Similarly, Konoeda et al.26 reported that chemoprophylaxis should be
256 257
considered in patients undergoing breast reconstruction with a Caprini score of >5,
258
regardless of operative procedures, as VTE complications were not noted in patients
259
undergoing breast construction with a Caprini score of <4. Pannucci et al.5 reported that among high-risk plastic surgery patients with a
260 261
Caprini score of ≥7, postoperative enoxaparin prophylaxis protects against a 60-day
262
VTE risk. Patients with a Caprini score of >11 can be identified as a subgroup of
263
patients at extremely high risk. These patients need a more effective prophylactic
264
regimen.27 At this moment, few investigators have found the usefulness of the
265 266
intraoperative venous ultrasound in the prediction of postoperative DVT. Melnyk et al
267
report as a case report that intraoperative venous ultrasound is low-cost and rapid
268
assessment tool and played a crucial role in both making a rapid diagnosis and altering
269
patient management. 28More investigations are needed to validate a use of intraoperative
270
venous ultrasound for DVT detection. This study was limited by its small sample size, which may have introduced a
271 272
potential for type II statistical error. Future studies should include a larger cohort of
273
surgical patients. Additionally, our follow-up period was relatively short. Recent studies
274
have demonstrated that VTE risk may remain substantially elevated for at least 90 days
275
after surgery.29 Despite these limitations, we believe that our findings have important
276
implications for perioperative VTE prophylaxis in the field of plastic and reconstructive
277
surgery.
278
Although the incidence of postoperative DVT is relatively low among patients
14
279
undergoing plastic and reconstructive surgery, Caprini scores can be used to predict
280
possible postoperative thromboembolic complications. Because most plastic and
281
reconstructive surgery patients are at average risk for bleeding complications during
282
chemoprophylaxis, it should be considered in patients with a Caprini score of ≥7.
283
5. Conclusions
284
Our results indicate that the Caprini RAM effectively risk-stratifies patients with plastic
285
and reconstructive surgeries for postoperative DVT risk.
286 287
6. Acknowledgments
288 289
7. Funding
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This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public,
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commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
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Legends Figure 1. Study flow diagram Ninety patients were enrolled and 89 patients were eligible for inclusion in the study. Of the 89 patients evaluated, 7 (7.9%) had postoperative DVT. DVT was detected in five patients 2 d postoperatively, and isolated soleus venous thrombosis was detected in two patients 7 d postoperatively.
Tables Table I. Caprini Risk Assessment Model
Table II. Distribution of postoperative DVT Distribution of DVT
Postoperative day 2
Postoperative day 7
n = 5 patients
n = 5 patients
Iliofemoral DVT
0
0
Femoropopliteal DVT
0
0
PV+SV
0
0
PTV alone
0
0
SV alone
5
2
Calf DVT
DVT; deep vein thrombosis, PTV; posterior tibial vein, PV; peroneal vein, SV; soleal vein
Table III. The procedures performed on the 7 patients who suffered a DVT.
Case
Diagnosis
Surgical procedure
Caprini score
Postoperative DVT POD 2
POD 7
1
breast cancer
Deep inferior epigastric perforator flap
5
Positive
Negative
2
decubitus
Split thickness skin graft
11
Positive
Positive
3
cancer of the maxillary sinuses
Vascularized scapular osteocutaneous flap with subscapular vessels
7
Positive
Positive
4
breast cancer
Deep inferior epigastric perforator flap
7
Positive
Positive
5
zigomatic bone fracture
Open reduction and internal fixation
7
Positive
Positive
6
breast cancer
Latissimus dorsi musculocutaneous flap
5
Negative Positive
7
breast cancer
Free perforator flap
5
Negative Positive
DVT; deep vein thrombosis
Table IV.Baseline characteristics grouped by presence or absence of postoperative DVT
DVT
No DVT
n = 7 patients
n = 82 patients
p value
Demographic data Mean age (years)
58.38 ± 14.75
40.07 ± 19.39
0.01
BMI (kg/m2)
23.20 ± 2.63
21.31± 3.88
0.04
6.75 ± 1.98
3.0 ± 1.8
0.01
Surgical duration
7.46 ± 4.93
2.89 ± 2.96
0.03
Blood loss
147.6 ± 160.3
47.6 ± 107.29
0.24
Caprini risk assessment score Risk factors for DVT associated with operation
DVT; deep vein thrombosis; BMI, body mass index
Table V. The relationship between Caprini score and the presence or absence of DVT Low score
Moderate
High score
Highest
(≤4)
score (5–6)
(7–8)
score (≤8)
DVT (−)
71(86.6%)
16(19.5%)
2(2.4%)
1(1.2%)
82
DVT (+)
0
3(43%)
2(28.5%)
2(28.5%)
7
DVT; deep vein thrombosis;
total
Table VI. The relationship between patient characteristics and the presence or absence of DVT p value DVT
No DVT
n = 7 patients
n = 82 patients
<40
2
41
0.276
40–59
3
24
0.453
≤60
2
18
0.687
<18.5
2
19
0.747
18.5–24.9
3
49
0384
25–29.9
2
12
0.331
≤30
0
2
0.676
4
45
0.908
<60 min
1
9
0.790
60–119 min
2
31
0.627
≤120 min
4
42
0.763
<2
2
40
0.304
3–4
0
21
0.126
5–6
2
17
0.627
7–8
2
3
0.006
>8
1
1
0.025
BMI
Male sex Surgical duration
Caprini score
BMI, body mass index
Table VII. The result of a multivariate logistic regression analysis. Caprini
Wald
Odds ratio
95% CI
P-value
7–8
6.002
13
1.67–101.98
0.014
>8
3.899
19.5
1.02–371.96
0.048
score
CI, confidence interval
90 patients were enrolled
Preoperative DVT (+)
Preoperative DVT (−)
1 patient
89 patients
Postoperative day 2 Postoperative day 2 DVT (−) 84 patients DVT (+) 5 patients
Postoperative day 7
Postoperative day 7
DVT (+)
DVT (−)
2 patients
82 patients
Fig.1 Study flow diagram