Are Revision Hip Arthroplasty Patients at Higher Risk for Venous Thromboembolic Events Than Primary Hip Arthroplasty Patients?

Are Revision Hip Arthroplasty Patients at Higher Risk for Venous Thromboembolic Events Than Primary Hip Arthroplasty Patients?

Accepted Manuscript Are revision hip arthroplasty patients at higher risk for venous thromboembolic events than primary hip arthroplasty patients? P. ...

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Accepted Manuscript Are revision hip arthroplasty patients at higher risk for venous thromboembolic events than primary hip arthroplasty patients? P. Maxwell Courtney, MD, Anthony J. Boniello, MD, Brett R. Levine, MD, MS, Neil P. Sheth, MD, Wayne G. Paprosky, MD PII:

S0883-5403(17)30644-7

DOI:

10.1016/j.arth.2017.07.028

Reference:

YARTH 56008

To appear in:

The Journal of Arthroplasty

Received Date: 29 April 2017 Revised Date:

29 June 2017

Accepted Date: 17 July 2017

Please cite this article as: Courtney PM, Boniello AJ, Levine BR, Sheth NP, Paprosky WG, Are revision hip arthroplasty patients at higher risk for venous thromboembolic events than primary hip arthroplasty patients?, The Journal of Arthroplasty (2017), doi: 10.1016/j.arth.2017.07.028. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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Are revision hip arthroplasty patients at higher risk for venous thromboembolic events than primary hip arthroplasty patients?

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P. Maxwell Courtney MD,1 Anthony J. Boniello MD,2 Brett R. Levine MD, MS,3 Neil P. Sheth MD,4 Wayne G. Paprosky MD3

Study Conducted at Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 1

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Rothman Institute, Thomas Jefferson University Hospital, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery 2 Drexel University College of Medicine, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery 3 Rush University Medical Center, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery 4 University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery

Source of Funding Each author certifies that he or she, or a member of his or her immediate family, has no funding or commercial associations (eg, consultancies, stock ownership, equity interest, patent/licensing arrangements, etc) that might pose a conflict of interest in connection with the submitted article.

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Disclosure The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program and the hospitals participating in the ACS NSQIP are the source of the data used herein; they have not verified and are not responsible for the statistical validity of the data analysis or the conclusions derived by the authors.

Corresponding author: P. Maxwell Courtney, MD Rothman Institute, Thomas Jefferson University Hospital Department of Orthopaedic Surgery 925 Chestnut St, 5th Floor Philadelphia, PA 19107 Email: [email protected]

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Are revision hip arthroplasty patients at higher risk for venous thromboembolic

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events than primary hip arthroplasty patients?

3 Abstract:

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Introduction: The purpose of this study was to determine whether revision total hip

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arthroplasty (THA) is associated with increased rates of deep venous thrombosis (DVT)

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and pulmonary embolism (PE) when compared to primary THA.

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Methods: We queried the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality

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Improvement Program database for all primary and revision THA cases from 2011-2014.

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Demographic data, medical comorbidities, and venous thromboembolic (VTE) rates

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within 30 days of surgery were compared between the primary and revision THA groups.

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Results: Revision THA had a higher rate of DVT than the primary THA (0.6% vs. 0.4%,

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p=0.016), but there was no difference in rate of PE (0.3% vs. 0.2%, p=0.116). When

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controlling for confounding variables, revision surgery alone was not a risk factor for

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DVT (OR 0.833, 95% CI 0.564-1.232) or PE (OR 1.009, 95% CI 0.630-1.616).

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Independent risk factors for DVT include age > 70 years, malnutrition, infection,

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operating time > 3 hours, general anesthesia, ASA classification 4 or greater, and kidney

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disease (all p<0.05). Probability of DVT ranged from 0.2% with zero risk factors to 10%

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with all risk factors. Independent risk factors for PE included age > 70 years, African

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American ethnicity, and operating time > 3 hours (all p<0.05) with probabilities of PE

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postoperatively ranging from 0.2% to 1.1% with all risk factors.

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Conclusion: Revision surgery alone is not a risk factor for VTE after hip arthroplasty.

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Surgeons should weigh the risks and benefits of more aggressive anticoagulation in

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certain high-risk patients.

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Keywords: Total hip arthroplasty; complications; revision arthroplasty; pulmonary

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embolism, deep vein thrombosis

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Are revision hip arthroplasty patients at higher risk for venous thromboembolic

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events than primary hip arthroplasty patients?

47 Introduction

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Venous thromboembolic events (VTE), including deep vein thrombosis (DVT)

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and pulmonary embolism (PE), remain one of the most common complications following

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total hip arthroplasty (THA).[1] While the clinical significance of lower extremity DVT

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has been contested, recent studies report the rate of DVT following THA to be around

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8%,[2] whereas the incidence of in-hospital PE has been reported to be 0.36%.[3] There

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currently exists a great variability in the exact pharmacologic agents utilized,[1,4–7]

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however the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons (AAOS) and American

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College of Chest Physicians (ACCP) recommend that some form of VTE prophylaxis be

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administered routinely following THA.[8] While rates and risk factors for VTE after

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primary THA are well studied in the literature,[1,2,5–7,9–11] little has been written about

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DVT and PE following revision THA. Clinical concerns exist about an increased rate of

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VTE following revision surgery due to increased surgical exposure, protected weight

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bearing postoperatively, and poor mobilization postoperatively.

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Historically there exist conflicting philosophies between the AAOS and ACCP

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regarding the necessity of and overall safety profile of pharmacoprophylactic

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regimens.[12] The AAOS has recently raised concerns of postoperative bleeding,

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hematoma, infection, and potential reoperation with the use of more potent

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thromboprophylactic medications such as low molecular weight heparin.[13,14] More

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aggressive anticoagulation in revision patients could lead to poorer outcomes, as revision

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THA is inherently associated with increased rates of bleeding and increased

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complications.[9] In 2007, the AAOS developed its first clinical practice guideline,

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focusing on prevention of symptomatic VTE events and limiting perioperative morbidity

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caused by anticoagulants. As part of this guideline the AAOS recommended risk

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stratification for VTE events.[13,14] Such stratification may enable physicians to

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prescribe better-tolerated pharmacoprophylactic regimens with lower adverse affects, and

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better safety profiles to lower risk individuals.[6] Identifying at-risk patients for VTE

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events following revision THA remains difficult and has yet to be addressed in the

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literature.

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The purpose of this study is to determine 1) Is revision THA associated with

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higher rates of postoperative venous thromboembolic events than primary THA?

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Secondary study questions included 2) What are the independent risk factors for VTE

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after THA to identify patients who may benefit from more aggressive anticoagulation and

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3) Can a simple risk score be used to predict the probability of DVT and PE after THA?

82 Methods

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We retrospectively queried the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical

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Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database for all patients who underwent

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primary or revision total hip arthroplasty from January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2014.

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Patients in the database were identified based on the primary procedure consisting of

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Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes for elective primary THA (27130) and

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revision THA (27134, 27137, and 27138). Emergent cases were excluded. Patients

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undergoing hip arthroplasty with other procedures listed as the primary surgery were also

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excluded from the study. This study was exempt from Institutional Review Board (IRB)

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approval as all data was de-identified. No external funding was received for this study.

93 The NSQIP database is a validated, national database including cases from over 650

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hospitals.[15] Demographic variables, medical comorbidities, operative time, deep

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venous thrombosis, and pulmonary embolism rates were noted from the database. The

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International Classification of Diseases, 9th edition (ICD-9) code for primary diagnosis

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was also documented. Deep venous thrombosis was defined as a “new diagnosis of blood

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clot or thrombus within the venous system (superficial or deep) which may be coupled

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with inflammation and requires treatment.”[16] Pulmonary embolism was defined as “A.

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New diagnosis of a new blood clot in a pulmonary artery AND B. The patient has a V-Q

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scan interpreted as high probability of pulmonary embolism or a positive CT exam, TEE,

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pulmonary arteriogram, CT angiogram, or any other definitive imaging modality

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(including direct pathology examination such as autopsy).”[17] Days from surgery to the

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VTE were also recorded. Complications, reoperations, and readmissions within 30 days

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of surgery were noted. Complete NSQIP methodology has been reported previously in

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the literature.13

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We defined malnutrition as any patient with a preoperative albumin less than 3.5

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g/dL and preoperative kidney disease as any patient with a preoperative creatinine greater

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than 1.5 mg/L. Patients requiring prior coronary intervention were classified as have a

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history of cardiac disease. Low hematocrit was defined by a preoperative value of less

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than 33%. Complications, reoperations, and readmissions within 30 days of surgery were

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noted. We defined complications from the database within 30 days of surgery as any

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patient having a recorded surgical site infection, pneumonia, respiratory complication

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requiring reintubation, pulmonary embolism, deep venous thrombosis, renal insufficiency

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or failure, urinary tract infection, stroke, cardiac arrest, bleeding requiring transfusion,

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sepsis or septic shock. Specific definitions are found in the NSQIP participant use data

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file.[16]

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119 Statistical Analysis

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An a priori power analysis was first conducted to determine the appropriate

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sample size. Our primary outcome variable was whether revision THA was associated

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with a higher 30-day DVT and PE rate than primary THA. Based upon prior data

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suggesting a 1.5% VTE rate among revision hip arthroplasty,[4] in order to detect a 0.5%

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difference in the incidence of DVT and PE, we would need to enroll a total of 70,528

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patients assuming a type I error rate of 0.05 to achieve a power of 0.80.

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Data analysis was first performed comparing patients undergoing revision TJA

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with those who had a primary THA. Categorical variables were analyzed using chi-

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square analyses. Continuous variables such as age and BMI were analyzed using

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unpaired, two-tailed, Student’s t-tests. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05.

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Multivariate regression was then performed to identify independent risk factors for DVT

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and PE. A forward, stepwise, multiple logistic regression analysis was then performed to

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create a model to identify high-risk risk factors for DVT and PE. We started with the

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most significant variable and added risk factors in order of ascending p-values. The

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model was rechecked after each addition and any alpha > 0.10 was removed from the

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analysis. In order to design this model for practical use, we developed a simplified score

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weighted by the coefficients and odds ratios of each independent variable. Statistical

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analysis was performed using Microsoft Excel (Bellvue, WA) and IBM SPSS version

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24.0 (Armonk, NY).

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140 Results

Of the 74,405 patients included in the study, there were 7,566 revision THA

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procedures (10%). The mean age for all patients was 64.9 years (Standard deviation [SD]

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1.7), while the mean body mass index (BMI) was 29.8 kg/m2 (SD 7.0). There were

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33,058 males (44%) with the majority of all patients being of Caucasian ethnicity (59,034

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patients, 79%). There were 324 patients (0.4%) who experienced a DVT within 30 days,

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while 208 patients (0.3%) had a PE. The mean time from surgery to DVT was 9.1 days

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(SD 9.1) and to PE was 13.2 days (SD 8.5). Complete descriptive statistics and

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demographic data of the study population are detailed in Table 1.

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Revision THA had a higher incidence of DVT than primary THA (0.6% vs. 0.4%,

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p=0.016), but there was no statistical difference in the rate of PE (0.3% vs. 0.2%,

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p=0.116). There was no difference in the mean time to DVT (12.9 vs. 14.8 days,

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p=0.890) or PE (9.2 vs. 8.6 days, p=0.215). Among all revision patients, there was no

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difference in DVT rate between the both component revisions, acetabular component

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only, and femoral component only groups (0.7% vs. 0.4% vs. 0.3%, p=0.128). Similarly,

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there was no difference in the rate of PE between the types of revision groups (0.4% vs.

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0.3% vs. 0.6%, p=0.474). The revision group was older (mean age 65.8 years vs. 64.7

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years, p<0.001) and had more medical comorbidities than the primary group, including

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diabetes, kidney disease, cardiac disease, and higher ASA classification (all p<0.001).

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Mortality (0.7% vs. 0.2%, p<0.001) and complication rates (37% vs. 17%, p<0.001) were

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higher in revision THA as well. Data comparing the revision and primary THA groups is

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shown in Table 2. Multivariate analysis identified independent risk factors for DVT as age over 70

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years (OR 1.455, 95% CI 1.157-1.829, p=0.001), general anesthesia (OR 1.305, 95% CI

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1.030-1.654, p=0.028), arthroplasty procedure for infection (OR 4.163, 95% CI 2.180-

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7.951, p<0.001), operating time over three hours (OR 1.735, 95% CI 1.179-2.553,

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p=0.005), and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) Class IV or greater (OR

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1.734, 95% CI 1.056-2.848, p=0.030). Independent risk factors for PE included age over

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70 years (OR 1.701, 95% CI 1.271-2.277, p<0.001) and operating time over three hours

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(OR 1.845, 95% CI 1.124-3.026, p=0.015). Revision surgery was not an independent risk

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factor for DVT (OR 0.833, 95% CI 0.564-1.232, p=0.360) or PE (OR 1.009, 95% 0.630-

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1.616, p=0.971). Complete regression analysis is listed in Table 3.

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Based upon the coefficients of the forward, stepwise multivariate logistic

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regression analysis, we created a weighted risk score to calculate the probability of DVT

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after THA. A statistically significant risk factor’s weighted risk score was based on the

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odds ratio and assigned a corresponding ordinal value to generate a simple, easy to use

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score which is more practical or surgeons estimating VTE risk following THA. Risk

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factors included age over 70 years, general anesthesia, kidney disease, malnutrition,

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operating time over three hours, ASA IV classification or greater (all one point), and

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infection (three points). The risk score was significantly associated with probability of

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DVT after THA (OR 1.527, 95% CI 1.396-1.671, p<0.001). Probability of DVT ranged

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from 0.2% with zero risk factors to 10% with all risk factors (Figure 1). Multivariate risk

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factors for PE included Age (should this be caps?) > 70 years, African American

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ethnicity, and operating time > three hours (all one point) and the score was significantly

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associated with the probability of PE after THA (OR 1.802, 95% CI 1.448-2.241,

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p<0.001). The probability of PE postoperatively ranges from 0.2% with zero risk factors

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to 1.1% with all risk factors (Figure 2).

188 Discussion

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While rates and risk factors for VTE after primary hip arthroplasty are well

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studied in the literature,[1,2,5–7,9–11] little has been written about DVT and PE

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following revision THA. Clinical concerns exist about an increased rate of VTE

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following revision surgery due to increased surgical exposure, protected weight bearing

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postoperatively, and poor mobilization postoperatively. However, more aggressive

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anticoagulation in revision patients could lead to poorer outcomes, as revision THA is

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inherently associated with increased rates of bleeding and increased complications.[9]

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We present a large series from a validated, multi-center, national database suggesting that

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revision surgery alone is not a risk factor for VTE following total hip arthroplasty.

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While there are limitations to data drawn from large databases, the NSQIP is a

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validated, accurate national database. NSQIP collects large patient numbers from over

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650 hospitals nationwide, which helps make findings generalizable to most physicians

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across the country considering instituting an outpatient TJA protocol. The NSQIP

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database is stronger than data derived from billing codes in other administrative databases.

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Data collectors are certified each year, and random audits have found rates of discrepancy

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less around 2% within each site.[17] One such limitation is in the availability of baseline

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comorbidities. Information regarding history of DVT and PE was unavailable. In the

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current paper “cardiac disease” was characterized by a history of percutaneous coronary

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intervention. This excludes a variety of clinically significant cardiac diseases that have

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been shown to effect outcomes.

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The NSQIP database only includes complications, reoperation and readmission

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information for 30-days, which may under-report complications when compared to 90-

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day follow up. Additionally, the database lacks orthopaedic specific complications

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including dislocation, fracture, and poor functional outcome scores. The database did not

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track which VTE prophylaxis was administered to each patient. As some data suggests a

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trend toward less aggressive anticoagulation,[4,7] the variability in chemoprophylaxis

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could affect VTE rates. Weight-bearing status following revision surgery was also not

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reported. Patients with restricted weight bearing may be at risk for higher VTE rates

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because of prolonged immobilization. There is no differentiation regarding diagnostic

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modalities for DVT in the NSQIP database, therefore only clinically symptomatic DVTs

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and DVTs identified by ultrasound were included in the same group. In the absence of

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routine ultrasound screening, asymptomatic DVTs were likely overwhelmingly

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underreported. While we tracked types of revisions by CPT code, there could still be

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variability in the surgical procedures ranging from a simple head and liner exchange to a

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more complex both component revision requiring an extended trochanteric osteotomy.

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Caution should also be made when interpreting certain differences between the primary

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and revision groups such as age, which is statistically different but not clinically different.

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Our study found a higher prevalence of DVT in revision versus primary THA, but

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no difference in the rate of PE. While a higher prevalence of DVT existed in revision

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THA, the most significant finding of the present study is that revision THA is not an

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independent risk factor for DVT and PE. These findings agree with previous finding by

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Wakabayashi et al, which concluded that the prevalence of DVT was higher in the

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revision THA than for the primary cases, however following a multivariate analysis,

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revision THA was not an independent risk factor.[11] These findings suggest that

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confounding variables exist such as increased age, comorbidities, and increased operative

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time that are associated with revision surgery. While revision THA is not itself an

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independent risk factor, many of these confounding variables associated with revision

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THA were found to increase the risk of DVT, and must be considered when selecting,

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counseling and treating this patient population.

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arthroplasty or higher risk primary arthroplasty patients may have chosen more

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aggressive chemoprophylaxis, which could explain the comparable VTE rates. We also

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did not find any difference in DVT or PE rate based on type of revision surgery (both

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component, acetabular only, femoral only). There is a lack of consensuses in the current

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literature regarding optimal DVT prophylaxis following THA.[1,2,5–7,9–11] While the

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optimal prophylaxis for revision surgery is not clear, one study by Deirmengian et al did

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not find a difference in incidence of VTE between aspirin and warfarin following

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revision THA.[4] Patients undergoing revision THA without further risk factors for VTE

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may benefit from less aggressive anticoagulation without being at increased risk for DVT

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and PE.

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Surgeons also treating revision

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The present study found that independent risk factors for DVT were age over 70

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years, general anesthesia, arthroplasty procedure for infection, operating time over three

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hours, and ASA IV or greater. Furthermore, independent risk factors for PE included age

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over 70 years, and operating time over three hours. These results are consistent with

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previous studies. One such national study by Dua et al found that patients with diagnosed

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DVT following primary TJA were older, more likely to be African American and more

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likely to have significant comorbidities including congestive heart failure, peripheral

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artery disease, and end-stage renal disease.[1] Another previous study found an

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association with anesthesia time with an increased risk of DVT.[5]

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We present an easy to use risk score for VTE events following revision THA. An

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optimal cutoff has not been established and will depend on each patient and surgeon’s

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tolerance for risk.

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anticoagulation have been shown to be effective in primary THA and TKA.13 Our study

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identifies patients that are at-risk for DVT and PE that may benefit from stronger

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anticoagulation. The primary limitation of the current VTE risk score presented is that it

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does not account for differences in VTE prophylaxis protocols in the patients studied.

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Historically surgeons have treated revisions as high risk cases, and therefore may have

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prophylactically treated such patients with more aggressive forms of DVT prophylaxis.

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One notable risk factor missing from the scoring system is history of DVT or PE, as this

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data was not available in the NSQIP database. Despite this limitation the the present

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authors conclude that while aggressive anticoagulation is associated with increased

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adverse events following revision THA, surgeons should consider stratifying their

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revision THA patients when considering pharmacoprophylaxis against VTE.

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prospective studies are needed to validate the VTE risk score and subsequent treatment

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recommendations.

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Conclusion

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Revision THA alone is not an independent risk factor for DVT and PE when

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compared to primary hip arthroplasty.

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operating time > 3 hours, and age > 70 years are at higher risk for VTE events. Surgeons

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should weigh the risks and benefits of more aggressive anticoagulation in these high-risk

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patients. Further study is needed to determine the effectiveness of risk stratification

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protocols for thromboprophylaxis following revision THA.

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2007;22:317–24. doi:10.1016/j.arth.2007.01.007. [13]

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Mont MA, Jacobs JJ. Preventing Venous Thromboembolic Disease in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip and Knee Arthroplasty Guideline. vol. 19. 2011.

[14]

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Barrack RL, Burnett RSJ. Deep Vein Thrombosis Prophylaxis: Protecting the Patient or the Surgeon? Semin Arthroplasty 2008;19:109–11.

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doi:10.1053/j.sart.2007.12.013.

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[15]

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American College of Surgeons. ACS National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) n.d.

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American College of Surgeons. NSQIP participant use data file 2014.

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American College of Surgeons. Data collection, analysis, and reporting n.d.

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Figure 1. A DVT risk score predicting probability of having a DVT within 30 days of total hip arthroplasty (p<0.001)

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Figure 2. A PE risk score predicting probability of having a PE within 30 days of total hip arthroplasty (p<0.001)

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59034 (79) 5002 (7) 1060 (1.4) 7566 (10) 4865 (6.5) 1663 (2.2) 1038 (1.4) 8691 (12) 1840 (3) 2490 (3) 4618 (3) 407 (0.5) 80 (0.1) 2130 (2.9) 3440 (5)

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Number 64.9 (11.7) 29.8 (7.0) 33058 (44)

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Demographic Data (N=74,405) Mean age (years) (SD) Mean BMI (kg/m^2) (SD) Male Gender (%) Ethnicity (%) White African American Asian Revision Arthroplasty (%) Both components Acetabulum only Femur only Diabetes Mellitus (%) Smoking History (%) Malnourished (%) Kidney Disease (%) Cardiac Disease (%) History of Stroke (%) Kidney Disease (%) Low Preoperative Hematocrit (%) ASA Classification (%) I II III IV V Mean Operative Time (minutes) (SD) Operative Time > 3 hours (%) Return to Operating Room (%) Readmission within 30 days (%) Mortality (%) Any Complication (%) Deep Venous Thrombosis (%) Pulmonary Embolism (%) Mean time to PE (days) (SD) Mean time to DVT (SD)

3039 (4) 39752 (53) 29751 (40) 1773 (2) 5 (<0.1) 99.8 (49.9) 4195 (6) 268 (0.4) 452 (0.6) 220 (0.3) 14200 (19) 324 (0.4) 208 (0.3) 13.2 (8.5) 9.1 (9.1)

Table 1. Descriptive statistics and demographic data on the entire patient population

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Revision THA N=7,566 65.8 (12.5) 29.1 (8.0) 3383 (45)

P value

53007 (79) 4502 (7) 978 (1) 7706 (12) 37261 (56) 1574 (2) 1762 (3) 1813 (3) 344 (0.5) 64 (0.1) 1813 (3) 2467 (4)

6027 (80) 500 (7) 82 (1) 985 (13) 5464 (72) 266 (4) 728 (10) 317 (4) 63 (0.8) 16 (0.2) 317 (4) 973 (13)

0.028

2887 (4) 36585 (55) 25909 (39) 1373 (2) 4 (<0.1) 94.4 (42) 2233 (3) 189 (0.3) 356 (0.5) 166 (0.2) 11411 (17) 278 (0.4) 180 (0.2) 9.2 (9.1) 12.9 (8.5)

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<0.001 <0.001 0.601

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Mean age (years) (SD) Mean BMI (kg/m^2) (SD) Male Gender (%) Ethnicity (%) White African American Asian Diabetes Mellitus (%) General Anesthesia (%) Smoking History (%) Malnourished (%) Kidney Disease (%) Cardiac Disease (%) History of Stroke (%) Kidney Disease (%) Low Preoperative Hematocrit (%) ASA Classification (%) I II III IV V Mean Operative Time (minutes) (SD) Operative Time > 3 hours (%) Return to Operating Room (%) Readmission within 30 days (%) Mortality (%) Any Complication (%) Deep Venous Thrombosis (%) Pulmonary Embolism (%) Mean time to PE (days) (SD) Mean time to DVT (days) (SD)

Primary THA N=66,839 64.7 (11.6) 29.8 (6.9) 29675 (44)

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152 (2) 3167 (420 3842 (51) 400 (5) 1 (<0.1) 147.0 (79) 1962 (26) 79 (1) 96 (1) 54 (0.7) 2789 (37) 46 (0.6) 28 (0.3) 8.6 (9.3) 14.8 (7.9)

<0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.004 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001

<0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.016 0.116 0.215 0.890

Table 2. Comparison of patient characteristics between the primary THA and revision THA groups.

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95% Confidence Interval 0.665-1.051 0.731-1.675 0.564-1.232 1.157-1.829 1.030-1.654 0.864-1.502 0.749-1.440 0.759-2.581 0.225-3.805 0.995-2.660 0.905-2.315 2.180-7.951 1.179-2.553 0.889-2.080 1.056-2.848

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Odds Ratio 0.836 1.107 0.833 1.455 1.305 1.139 1.039 1.400 0.925 1.626 1.447 4.163 1.735 1.360 1.734

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Risk Factor Male Gender African American Ethnicity Revision Arthroplasty Age > 70 years General Anesthesia BMI > 35 kg/m2 Diabetes Mellitus Smoking History Cardiac Disease Kidney Disease Malnutrition Infection Operating Time > 3 hours Low Preoperative Hematocrit ASA IV or greater

P value 0.125 0.632 0.360 0.001 0.028 0.355 0.819 0.281 0.913 0.053 0.123 <0.001 0.005 0.156 0.030

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Table 3. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identifying independent risk factors for deep venous thrombosis within 30 days of hip arthroplasty.

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95% Confidence Interval 0.702-1.253 0.988-2.534 0.630-1.616 1.271-2.277 0.887-1.606 0.686-1.435 0.806-1.817 0.592-3.022 0.450-2.137 0.785-2.767 0.379-4.337 1.124-3.026 0.817-2.484 0.312-1.934

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Odds Ratio 0.938 1.582 1.009 1.701 1.193 0.993 1.210 1.337 0.981 1.474 1.281 1.845 1.424 0.777

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Risk Factor Male Gender African American Ethnicity Revision Arthroplasty Age > 70 years General Anesthesia BMI > 35 kg/m2 Diabetes Mellitus Smoking History Kidney Disease Malnutrition Infection Operating Time > 3 hours Low Preoperative Hematocrit ASA IV or greater

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Table 4. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identifying independent risk factors for pulmonary embolism within 30 days of hip arthroplasty.

P value 0.665 0.056 0.971 <0.001 0.244 0.968 0.357 0.485 0.961 0.227 0.690 0.015 0.213 0.587

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Odds Ratio 1.452 1.314 1.651 1.571 3.818 1.668 1.782 1.527

95% Confidence Interval 1.162-1.816 1.038-1.664 1.021-2.672 1.003-2.461 2.132-6.837 1.155-2.407 1.089-2.915 1.396-1.671

P value 0.001 0.023 0.041 0.048 <0.001 0.006 0.021 <0.001

PE Risk Score 1 1 1 3

Odds Ratio 1.744 1.657 2.040 1.802

95% Confidence Interval 1.314-2.315 1.038-2.646 1.294-3.216 1.448-2.241

P value <0.001 0.034 0.002 <0.001

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Risk Factor for PE Age > 70 years African American Ethnicity Operating Time > 3 hours TOTAL

DVT Risk Score 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 9

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Risk Factor for DVT Age > 70 years General Anesthesia Kidney Disease Malnutrition Infection Operating Time > 3 hours ASA IV or greater TOTAL

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Table 5. Forward, stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis identifying simple risk score for VTE events after total hip arthroplasty.

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