Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database

Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database

EUF-34; No. of Pages 12 EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX available at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.europeanurology.com Prost...

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EUF-34; No. of Pages 12 EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX

available at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.europeanurology.com

Prostate Cancer

Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database Alexandros Tsikkinis a, Nikola Cihoric a, Gianluca Giannarini b, Stefan Hinz c, Alberto Briganti d, Peter Wust e, Piet Ost f, Guillaume Ploussard g, Christophe Massard h, Cristian I. Surcel i, Prasanna Sooriakumaran j, Hendrik Isbarn k, Peter J.L. De Visschere l, Jurgen J. Futterer m, Roderick C.N. van der Bergh n, Alan Dal Pra a, Daniel M. Aebersold a, Volker Budach e, Pirus Ghadjar e,* a

Department of Radiation Oncology, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital and University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; b Department of Urology, University of

Udine, Udine, Italy;

c

Department of Urology, Charite´ Universita¨tsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany;

d

Unit of Urology/Division of Oncology, Ospedale

San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; e Department of Radiation Oncology, Charite´ Universita¨tsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany; f Department of Radiation Oncology and Experimental Cancer Research, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium; g Department of Urology, Saint-Louis Hospital, Paris, France;

h

Institut Gustave

Roussy, University of Paris Sud, Villejuif, France; i Centre of Urological Surgery, Dialysis and Renal Transplantation, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania; j Surgical Intervention Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Surgical Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; k Regio Clinicum Wedel, Department of Urology and Martini-Clinic, Prostate Cancer Center, Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany; l Department of Radiology, Division of Genitourinary Radiology, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium; m Department of Radiology, Radboud University, Nijmegen Medical Centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands; n Department of Urology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands

Article info

Abstract

Article history: Accepted May 5, 2015

Background: It is not easy to overview pending phase 3 trials on prostate cancer (PCa), and awareness of these trials would benefit clinicians. Objective: To identify all phase 3 trials on PCa registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov database with pending results. Design and setting: On September 29, 2014, a database was established from the records for 175 538 clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov. A search of this database for the substring ‘‘prostat’’ identified 2951 prostate trials. Phase 3 trials accounted for 441 studies, of which 333 concerned only PCa. We selected only ongoing or completed trials with pending results, that is, for which the primary endpoint had not been published in a peer-reviewed medical journal. Results and limitations: We identified 123 phase 3 trials with pending results. Trials were conducted predominantly in North America (n = 63; 51%) and Europe (n = 47; 38%). The majority were on nonmetastatic disease (n = 82; 67%), with 37 (30%) on metastatic disease and four trials (3%) including both. In terms of intervention, systemic treatment was most commonly tested (n = 71; 58%), followed by local treatment 34 (28%), and both systemic and local treatment (n = 11; 9%), with seven (6%) trials not classifiable. The 71 trials on systemic treatment included androgen deprivation therapy (n = 34; 48%), chemotherapy (n = 15; 21%), immunotherapy (n = 9; 13%), other systemic drugs (n = 9; 13%), radiopharmaceuticals (n = 2; 3%), and combinations (n = 2; 3%). Local treatments tested included radiation therapy (n = 27; 79%), surgery (n = 5; 15%), and both (n = 2; 2%). A limitation is that not every clinical trial is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov. Conclusion: There are many PCa phase 3 trials with pending results, most of which address questions regarding systemic treatments for both nonmetastatic and metastatic

Associate Editor: James Catto Keywords: Prostate cancer Trials ClinicalTrials.gov Prospective

* Corresponding author. Department of Radiation Oncology, Charite´ Universita¨tsmedizin Berlin, Augustenburger Platz 1, 13353 Berlin, Germany. Tel. +49 30 450 657055; Fax: +49 30 450 7527152. E-mail address: [email protected] (P. Ghadjar). http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003 2405-4569/# 2015 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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disease. Radiation therapy and androgen deprivation therapy are the interventions most commonly tested for local and systemic treatment, respectively. Patient summary: This report describes all phase 3 trials on prostate cancer registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov database with pending results. Most of these trials address questions regarding systemic treatments for both nonmetastatic and metastatic disease. Radiation therapy and androgen deprivation therapy are the interventions most commonly tested for local and systemic treatment, respectively. # 2015 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1.

Introduction

trials were still considered as having pending results and included in the analysis.

Changes in clinical practice are commonly driven by results from randomized phase 3 trials. While published trial results are summarized by guideline recommendations and textbooks with a certain time delay, it is less easy to overview phase 3 trials that have not yet reported their primary endpoint(s), that is, ongoing trials or trials that have completed accrual but need additional follow-up time for data maturity and manuscript development and publication. Awareness of these pending trials could help avoid duplication of trials and a waste of scarce resources. It might also provide clinicians with an idea of important questions to be answered in the near future and questions that have not yet been asked, and at the same time acknowledge which phase 3 trials have failed and the reasons that led to such failure. To the best of our knowledge, this is the most comprehensive assessment of ongoing phase 3 research in prostate cancer. ClinicalTrials.gov is the most robust of the international public clinical trial registries and has already proven useful for systematic analyses [1]. Completed and ongoing European phase 3 trials on prostate cancer have recently been reviewed according to expert opinion [2]. In the present study we attempt to build on these results using a worldwide approach that involves a systematic analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov database. 2.

Materials and methods

The records for 175 538 clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov were downloaded on September 29, 2014 and a database was established. We searched this database for the substring ‘‘prostat’’. In total, 2951 prostate trials were identified. Phase 3 trials accounted for 441 studies, of which 333 concerned only prostate cancer. Trials covering multiple tumor entities, as well as prostate cancer prevention trials, were excluded. We then identified (1) trials that were active but not yet recruiting; (2) trials that were active and recruiting; and (3) trials that had been completed for which the primary endpoint had not been objectively published in a peer-reviewed medical journal (Fig. 1). This process was achieved via manual crosschecking on with www.pubmed.org by searching for English peer-reviewed original publications describing results for the primary trial endpoint using appropriate follow-up duration and sample size. Completed trials for which accrual had finished >10 yr previously were excluded, as it was assumed that results for these trials will never be published. In addition, the Internet was browsed for conference abstracts and the ClinicalTrials.gov registry was searched for uploaded references or trial results for the primary trial endpoint. If a conference abstract was found or trial results were available within the registry, but no peerreviewed original publication was identified, this was noted and such

The location in which each trial was conducted was noted from the ClinicalTrials.gov database according to the location of the principal investigator or the corporate headquarters of the leading sponsor agency. Trials were also grouped according to the primary intervention (systemic vs local vs both systemic and local treatments) and disease stage (metastatic vs nonmetastatic disease). Trials testing local treatments (radiation therapy, surgery, or a combination of the two) were subclassified according to patient risk profile (low-risk vs intermediaterisk vs high-risk). All trials were then further subclassified according to clinical states model recommended by the Prostate Cancer Clinical Trials Working Group (PCWG2). The clinical states model categorizes the disease continuum and allows more detailed characterization of prostate cancer patients according to five different groups. This was done to provide readers with an overview of the different disease states investigated in the trials (Supplementary Table 1) [3].

3.

Results

We identified 123 phase 3 trials with pending results. The trial characteristics are summarized in Table 1. Results concerning the primary trial endpoint have been presented in abstract form for seven of these trials. The trials were predominantly performed in North America (n = 63; 51%). More than one third of trials were carried out in each of the USA (n = 50; 41%) and Europe (n = 47; 38%). France (n = 14; 11%) and Switzerland (n = 6; 5%) together accounted for almost half of all European trials. Only nine trials were conducted in Asia (7%) and four in Australia (3%) (Fig. 2). Industry funding was almost exclusively for systemic treatments (31 trials). By contrast, industry funding was provided for just one trial investigating radiation therapy and no surgery trials. There was a more even distribution of funding by universities, hospitals, and research groups and agencies (79 trials), with funding for 44 trials investigating systemic therapies and 38 trials assessing local therapies. The 123 trials were supported by 82 individual sponsors. The Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) sponsored the greatest number of trials (n = 10; 8%), followed by the privately funded French Unicancer Group (n = 7; 6%). The majority of trials were conducted for patients with nonmetastatic disease (n = 82, 67%), followed by patients with metastatic disease (n = 37, 30%). The remaining four trials (3%) tested both metastatic and nonmetastatic disease. Among the 123 trials, 71 (58%) tested some form of systemic treatment (Table 2), 34 (28%) tested local

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX

Complete ClinicalTrials.gov database n = 175 538

29.09.14

Trial identification using the substring "prostat" within the subset "Conditions"

All prostate-related trials n = 2 951

Prostate "phase 3" trial identification

All phase 3 prostate trials n = 441

Prostate "cancer" trial identification

Excluded

Other non–cancer-related prostate trials or multiple tumor entities

n = 108

All phase 3 Prostate cancer trials n = 333

02.11.14

Manual categorization

Excluded

Excluded

Terminated/suspended/nonrandomized trials with primary endpoint/s not published

Completed trials with published primary endpoint/s n = 141

Randomized phase 3 trials with primary endpoint/s not published

n = 69

n = 123

Fig. 1 – Flow diagram of the database search.

treatment (Table 3), and 11 (9%) tested both systemic and local treatments (Table 4). The disease state according to PCWG2 recommendations is listed for treatment interventions in Supplementary Table 1. In total, 101 882 patients

were expected to be randomized, with more than half of these randomized in trials testing systemic therapies (n = 54 754; 54%). Trials testing local treatments accounted for 27% of all patients (n = 27 306) and the remaining

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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Table 1 – Trial characteristics

a

Trial attribute

Trials, n (%) All (n = 123)

Lead sponsor Industry University Hospital or center Group or agency Other Masking Open Single blind Double blind NA Number of arms 1 2 3 4 NA Enrollment 0–100 101–500 501–1000 >1000 Location North America Europe Asia Oceania a

Systemic therapy (n = 82)

Radiation therapy (n = 39)

Surgery (n = 9)

Others (n = 7)

32 20 25 34 12

(26) (16) (20) (28) (10)

31 11 11 22 7

1 5 11 15 7

0 3 1 4 1

0 3 0 3 1

83 6 26 8

(67) (5) (21) (7)

50 1 24 7

35 3 0 1

7 2 0 0

5 0 2 0

2 94 7 7 13

(2) (76) (6) (6) (10)

2 59 7 5 9

0 28 3 4 4

0 7 1 1 0

0 4 0 1 2

9 54 30 31

(7) (44) (24) (25)

5 32 22 23

3 16 8 12

1 3 1 4

0 5 2 0

63 47 9 4

(51) (28) (7) (3)

39 33 8 2

22 15 1 1

4 5 0 0

3 3 0 1

Some trials included more than one intervention, so the number of trials summed for interventions may be greater than the total number of trials.

19% were randomized in trials testing both systemic and local treatments (n = 19,822). Radiation therapy was tested alone or as a component in 39 (32%) trials. The majority of these 39 trials used intensity-modulated radiation therapy (n = 27; 69%); seven

(18%) trials investigated hypofractionated treatment schedules (data not shown). Surgery was a component in nine (7%) trials. Seven trials (n = 7; 6%) tested miscellaneous activities that could not be assigned to any specific category (Table 1, Fig. 3).

Fig. 2 – Heat map describing the locations where trials were conducted. An interactive version of the map can be accessed at http://jsfiddle.net/ pvpnz41o/6/embedded/result/.

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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Table 2 – Trials investigating systemic treatments (n = 71; total accrual expected 54 754) ClinicalTrials.gov

Short name

Chemotherapy (n = 15; 7316 patients) Patient preference between NCT02044354 cabazitaxel and docetaxel in MCRPC NCT00796458 NCT00436839 NCT01522443

NCT00764166

ADT with or without docetaxel for advanced PCa Taxotere PCa new indication registration trial in China Cabozantinib (XL184) vs mitoxantrone + prednisone in men with previously treated symptomatic CRPC Prospective randomized phase 3 study comparing ADT  docetaxel

Start date (D/M/Y)

Planned accrual

1/1/2014

174

4/5/2014

200

1/1/2007

228

3/1/2012

246

6/1/2003

254

NCT00132301

Chemotherapy after prostatectomy (CAP) for high-risk PCa

6/1/2006

298

NCT00116142

ADT and RT for 6 mo  docetaxel for high-risk PCa

6/1/2005

350

NCT00653848

Treatment of PCa with docetaxel + ADT vs ADT alone in patients treated with RP Docetaxel compared with observation in treating patients who have undergone RP for PCa Efficacy study evaluating chemotherapy In PCa

5/1/2007

378

10/1/2005

396

11/12/2014

400

ADT + RT or ADT + RT followed by docetaxel and prednisone in treating patients with localized PCa Comparison of cabazitaxel/ prednisone alone or with custirsen for second-line chemotherapy in PCa CHAARTED: chemohormonal therapy vs ADT randomized trial for extensive disease in PCa Cabazitaxel vs docetaxel both with prednisone in patients with MCRPC

12/1/2005

612

8/12/2014

630

7/1/2006

780

5/1/2011

1170

Cabazitaxel 20 mg/m2 compared to 25 mg/m2 with prednisone for the treatment of MCRPC ADT (n = 34; 35 604 patients) NCT00553878 Comparing 0.5 mg dutasteride vs placebo daily in men receiving ADT for PCa

4/11/2014

1200

NCT00376792

NCT01978873

NCT00288080

NCT01578655

NCT00309985

NCT01308567

NCT01308580

3/1/2007

100

NCT01398657

Cryotherapy with or without shortterm adjuvant ADT in PCa

7/1/2011

182

NCT01492972

Hypofractionated proton RT with or without ADT for intermediate-risk PCa Study of abiraterone acetate plus prednisone in MCRPC patients after failed docetaxel chemotherapy

1/1/2012

192

8/12/2014

214

Study to compare the effect of ASP3550 with goserelin in patients with PCa Effect of Enantone LP 11.25 mg (leuprorelin) on histologic progression of indolent PCa

8/13/2014

230

3/1/2013

240

NCT01695135

NCT01964170

NCT02085252

Question addressed

Evaluate patient preference between cabazitaxel and docetaxel in first-line chemotherapy for MCRPC Evaluate BPFS for ADT + docetaxel vs ADT alone in advanced PCa Compare docetaxel + prednisone vs mitoxantrone + prednisone in MCRPC Compare pain and bone scan responses for cabozantinib vs mitoxantrone + prednisone in CRPC Evaluate PFS of high-risk metastasisfree PCa in patients treated with ADT for 1 yr  docetaxel after prior RP or RT Evaluate efficacy of early adjuvant chemotherapy for PCa potentially cured by RP but at high risk of relapse Determine if there is an OS benefit when adding docetaxel to ADT and RT for high-risk PCa Effectiveness of adjuvant docetaxel after RT to prevent early relapse in intermediate- and high-risk PCa Compare BPFS for docetaxel vs surveillance after RP with positive margins Is there a benefit of adding cabazitaxel before ADT vs ADT alone in metastatic or high-risk PCa Compare OS for ADT and RT followed by docetaxel and prednisone vs ADT and RT alone for localized PCa Addition of custirsen to cabazitaxel/ prednisone slows tumor progression and enhances OS vs cabazitaxel/ prednisone alone in MCRPC ADT with or without chemotherapy in treating patients with metastatic PCa Improved OS with cabazitaxel + prednisone vs docetaxel + prednisone in chemo-naive MCRPC OS noninferiority of cabazitaxel 20 mg/m2 vs 25 mg/m2 in docetaxeltreated MCRPC Daily dutasteride 0.5 mg could increase the off-treatment interval in men under intermittent ADT for localized PCa Compare PFS for cryoablation alone vs cryoablation plus ADT in high-risk localized PCa Examine the benefit of adding ADT To hypofractionated proton RT vs proton RT alone with regard to failure Evaluate safety and BPFS efficacy of abiraterone acetate plus prednisone in Asian MCRPC patients after failed docetaxel-based chemotherapy Compare the safety and efficacy of degarelix vs goserelin in patients with PCa Assess leuprorelin vs active surveillance without ADT for indolent PCa and compare their therapeutic benefit for low-risk localized PCa

Status

Recruiting

Recruiting Completed Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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Table 2 (Continued ) ClinicalTrials.gov

Short name

Start date (D/M/Y)

Planned accrual

Question addressed

Status

Compare the efficacy and safety of degarelix for 1 mo vs goserelin in Chinese patients with PCa requiring ADT Compare BPFS for abiraterone acetate plus prednisone vs placebo in MCRPC

Active, not recruiting

Evaluate the potential additional impact on BPFS of 2 yr of ADT with goserelin vs goserelin for 4 mo plus daily bicalutamide for 2 mo for highrisk PCa Investigate the safety and BPFS efficacy of intermittent vs continuous degarelix for PCa with prior treatment failure after localized treatment Study whether additional adjuvant GnRH agonist therapy improves BPFS

Active, not recruiting

NCT01744366

1-mo degarelix/comparator treatment for PCa in a Chinese population

1/1/2013

280

NCT01591122

Study of abiraterone acetate plus prednisone in patients with chemonaive MCRPC Trial of adjuvant ADT in combination with 3D-conformal RT doses in high- and intermediaterisk localized PCa.

3/1/2012

313

11/5/2014

358

NCT00928434

Study of degarelix in patients with PCa

5/1/2009

405

NCT00664456

Neoadjuvant GnRH agonist therapy and permanent 125I implants  adjuvant GnRH agonist therapy in previously untreated intermediaterisk PCa Triptorelin, flutamide, and EBRT or EBRT alone in treating stage II or III PCa RT with or without goserelin for patients who have undergone surgery for recurrent or refractory PCa ADT in treating patients with stage I or II PCa

4/8/2014

420

7/1/2004

450

Studying the efficacy of NA ADT with EBRT vs EBRT alone

Recruiting

10/1/2006

466

Compare OS for adjuvant RT with ADT vs without ADT in recurrent or refractory PCa

Recruiting

6/1/1999

496

Determine the effectiveness of ADT for 1 yr vs no ADT for PCa at high risk of recurrence after RP OS comparison of ADT withdrawal vs maintenance and intermittent vs continuous chemotherapy in CRPC Compare survival for 18 mo vs 36 mo of ADT combined with pelvic RT in high-risk PCa Compare BPFS for intermittent vs continuous ADT in relapsing and locally advanced PCa Compare the BPFS effectiveness of RT with ADT vs without ADT in localized PCa Compare OS for RT with ADT vs without in stage II,III, or biochemically recurrent PCa after RP Compare the efficacy and safety of 3mo degarelix dosing regimen vs goserelin acetate Compare OS for dose-escalated RT and standard ADT (GnRH agonist) vs enhanced ADT (GnRH agonist+TAK700) Compare OS for orteronel + prednisone vs placebo + prednisone in MCRPC Comparing Time To Androgen Independent Disease Of Immediate Vs Deferred ADT For Recurrent PCa After RP Compare OS for Abiraterone acetate plus low-dose prednisone plus ADT vs ADT alone in MCRPC Evaluate the efficacy and safety of ARN-509 vs placebo in high-risk nonMCRPC Compare OS for enzalutamide alone vs enzalutamide, abiraterone acetate and prednisone in MCRPC

Active, not recruiting

NCT02175212

NCT00104741

NCT00423475

NCT00003645

NCT01224405

PCa ADT withdrawal and intermittent chemotherapy

4/10/2014

600

NCT00223171

Duration of ADT combined with pelvic RT in PCa

10/1/2000

650

NCT00378690

Phase 3b study of intermittent vs continuous ADT with ELIGARD

3/1/2006

706

NCT00021450

RT with or without bicalutamide and goserelin in treating patients with PCa RT with or without bicalutamide in treating patients with stage II, III, or recurrent PCa A trial of degarelix in patients with PCa

4/1/2014

800

2/1/1998

840

6/1/2009

859

900

NCT00002874

NCT00946920

NCT01546987

ADT, RT, and steroid 17-amonooxygenase TAK-700 in treating high-risk PCa

5/1/2012

NCT01193257

Study comparing orteronel plus prednisone in patients with MCRPC

11/10/2014

1099

NCT00439751

Immediate vs deferred ADT for recurrent PCa after radical RT

4/7/2014

1100

NCT01715285

Study of abiraterone acetate plus low-dose prednisone plus ADT vs ADT alone for MCRPC Study of ARN-509 in men with nonMCRPC

2/1/2013

1200

9/13/2014

1200

1/1/2014

1224

NCT01946204

NCT01949337

Enzalutamide with or without abiraterone acetate and prednisone in treating patients with MCRPC

Active, not recruiting

Completed

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Completed

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Completed

Recruiting

Completed

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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Table 2 (Continued ) ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01193244

NCT01809691

NCT02200614

NCT00936390 NCT02003924

NCT00005044

NCT00110162

Short name

NCT02111577

Question addressed

Status

Evaluate PFS and OS for orteronel + prednisone vs placebo + prednisone in MCRPC Compare OS in metastatic PCa randomly assigned to ADT plus orteronel vs ADT plus bicalutamide Comparing metastasis-free survival for OMD-201 vs placebo in high-risk non-MCRPC Compare OS for RT with ADT for 6 mo vs without ADT Compare metastasis-free survival for enzalutamide vs placebo in nonMCRPC Disease-specific survival for ADT for 8 wk vs 28 wk followed by RT with concurrent ADT in intermediate-risk PCa Compare the timing of intervention with ADT in PCa with rising Evaluating metastasis-free survival for 24-mo adjuvant ADT vs surveillance after RP

Active, not recruiting

10/1/2010

1454

3/1/2013

1486

Efficacy and safety study of ODM201 in men with high-risk nonMCRPC RT with or without ADT in treating patients with PCa Safety and efficacy study of enzalutamide in patients with nonMCRPC ADT And RT in treating patients with PCa

9/14/2014

1500

9/9/2014

1520

12/1/2013

1560

2/1/2000

1579

10/1/2004

2000

1/6/2011

700

5/1/2010

600

9/11/2014

711

11/9/2014

760

6/1/2012

960

ADT in treating patients with PCa

Benefit evaluation of adjuvant ADT for 24 mo after RP in patients with high risk of recurrence Immunotherapy (n = 9; 8281 patients) Phase 3 study of immunotherapy to NCT01057810 treat advanced PCa Study of ProstAtak immunotherapy NCT01436968 with standard RT for localized PCa

NCT01605227

Planned accrual

Study comparing orteronel plus prednisone in patients with chemotherapy-naive MCRPC S1216, ADT + orteronel vs ADT + bicalutamide for metastatic PCa

NCT01442246

NCT00925600

Start date (D/M/Y)

Compare lens opacification in nonmetastatic PCa receiving denosumab for bone loss due to ADT Study of cabozantinib (XL184) vs prednisone in men with MCRPC previously treated with docetaxel and abiraterone or MDV3100 Study of DCVAC added to standard chemotherapy for men with MCRPC

4/14/2014

1170

NCT01234311

A study of tasquinimod in men with MCRPC

3/1/2011

1200

NCT02057666

Study of tasquinimod in Asian chemo-naive patients with MCRPC

1/1/2014

300

Efficacy trial of PROSTVAC-V/F  GM-CSF in men with asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic MCRPC Prevention of symptomatic skeletal NCT02051218 events with denosumab administered every 4 wk vs 12 wk Radiopharmaceuticals (n = 2; 825 patients) NCT00024167 Chemotherapy with or without strontium-89 in treating patients with PCa Phase 3 radium-223 MCRPC-PEACE NCT02194842 3 Trial NCT01322490

Other systemic drugs (n = 9; 1808 patients) GTN therapy on biomarkers of NCT01704274 immune escape in men with biochemical recurrence of PCa Zoledronic acid for the prevention NCT00058188 of bone loss in men with PCa on long-term ADT NCT01006395

Prevention of microarchitectural bone decay in males with nonmetastatic PCa receiving ADT

11/11/2014

1200

7/1/2014

1380

4/2/2014

265

12/1/2014

560

4/12/2014

60

3/1/2003

70

1/1/2011

100

Compare OS for ipilimumab vs placebo in MCRPC Evaluate the effectiveness of ProstAtak immunotherapy + RT vs placebo + RT for localized PCa Compare lens opacification in nonmetastatic PCa receiving denosumab for bone loss due to ADT vs placebo Evaluate the effect of cabozantinib vs prednisone on OS in men with previously treated MCRPC Evaluate the OS efficacy and safety of DCVAC with standard chemotherapy vs placebo in MCRPC Confirm the effect of tasquinimod on delaying disease progression compared with placebo in MCRPC Confirm the effect of tasquinimod in delaying disease progression or death vs placebo in chemo-naive MCRPC Determine whether PROSTVAC alone or combined with GM-CSF can prolong OS in MCRPC Test if the benefit of denosumab is maintained if administered every 12 wk vs every 4 wk

Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting Recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting Recruiting

Recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Compare OS for chemotherapy with strontium-89 vs chemotherapy alone for bone-metastasized PCa Compare PFS for enzalutamide vs a combination of radium 223 and enzalutamide in MCRPC

Completed

Effect of transdermal GTN on biomarkers of immune escape in biochemically recurrent PCa Comparing the effectiveness of zoledronic acid combined with calcium vs calcium alone in preventing bone loss Compare bone microarchitectural changes when administering zoledronic acid vs placebo

Recruiting

Not yet recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX

Table 2 (Continued ) ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00887432

NCT00426777

NCT00685646

NCT01864096

Short name Cholecalciferol supplement in treating patients with localized PCa undergoing observation Efficacy study of risedronate to prevent cancer treatment–induced bone loss in PCa ADT with or without zoledronic acid in treating patients with PCa and bone metastases Metformin Active Surveillance Trial (MAST) Study

NCT02220829

Comparative study of use of alphablockers to treat symptoms in PCa patients undergoing RT Study of zoledronic acid for patients NCT00242567 with hormone-sensitive bone metastases from PCa Combinations (n = 2; 920 patients) EBRT concurrent with docetaxel NCT01811810 and adjuvant short-course ADT NCT02043678

Radium-223 dichloride and abiraterone acetate compared to placebo and abiraterone acetate for PCa

Start date (D/M/Y)

Planned accrual

12/1/2009

100

1/1/2007

160

5/1/2008

200

10/1/2013

408

10/1/2014

188

12/1/2005

522

3/1/2013

120

3/1/2014

800

Question addressed

Status

Evaluate how well cholecalciferol supplementation works in regard to PSA response in localized PCa Evaluate the effect of risedronate vs placebo on bone mineral density in men undergoing ADT Study the time to treatment failure for ADT + zoledronic acid vs ADT alone in bone-metastasized PCa Can metformin can delay the time to progression in men with low-risk PCa vs placebo Compare standard of care in treating patients undergoing RT vs preventive treatment with Rapaflo Determine if early treatment with zoledronic acid is more efficacious than delayed treatment

Recruiting

Compare adverse effects of RT with docetaxel and short-course ADT vs RT with long-course ADT Determine if addition of radium-223 dichloride to standard treatment can prolong life and delay events specific for bone-metastasized PCa

Recruiting

Completed

Active, not recruiting

Recruiting

Not yet recruiting

Completed

Recruiting

PCa = prostate cancer; RT = radiotherapy; OS = overall survival; EBRT = external beam RT; LDR = low dose rate; RP = radical prostatectomy; ADT = androgen deprivation therapy; PSA = prostate-specific antigen; GnRH = gonadotropin-releasing hormone; BPFS = biochemical progression-free survival; NA = neoadjuvant; CRPC = castration-resistant prostate cancer; MCRPC = metastatic CRPC; DCVAC = dendritic cell vaccination; GTN = glyceryl trinitrate; GM-CSF = granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor.

Of the 71 trials testing systemic treatments alone, 34 (48%) tested androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). ADT duration was the question most commonly addressed, followed closely by optimal timing of ADT administration. This was followed by trials testing different types of chemotherapy (n = 15; 21%), immunotherapy (n = 9; 13%), and radiopharmaceutical (n = 2, 3%). Nine trials (13%) tested other systemic drugs and two (3%) tested a combination of systemic treatments (Table 2). In total, 23 trials were conducted on castration-resistant prostate cancer. Among the 34 trials investigating local treatments, radiation therapy was tested in 27 (79%), surgery alone in five (15%), and both radiation therapy and surgery in two (6%) trials (Table 3). The majority of trials on local treatments were conducted in intermediate-risk disease (n = 20; 59%), followed by low-risk (n = 15; 44%) and highrisk (n = 15; 44%) disease (data not shown). 4.

Discussion

Our results confirm that there is intense clinical trial activity on prostate cancer, with 123 phase 3 trials with pending results registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov database. Most trials identified were performed in North America or Europe and were designed to improve treatments for nonmetastatic prostate cancer (67%). More than half of all trials identified tested the effects of systemic treatment, some in patients with nonmetastatic disease. Given the awareness of the potential risks of overtreatment for

indolent prostate cancers [4,5], cure is not always achieved in patients with either aggressive localized, locally advanced, or locally recurrent disease [6]. This might be because at least some patients with nonmetastatic disease harbor micrometastatic disease. By contrast, patients with metastatic castration-resistant disease require more aggressive systemic therapy. Thus, improvements in systemic treatments even in the nonmetastatic setting are very important and might positively impact cancer control rates. Beside this clinical rationale, our finding that trials testing systemic treatments tended to be supported by industry may be another reason for the high rate of trials focusing on systemic treatments (even in nonmetastatic patients), reflecting certain company interests. Given the heterogeneity of patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer, there is a need for improved patient stratification using novel biomarkers for prognostic and predictive guidance in deciding which patients would benefit most from which treatment approach, similar to the situation for breast and lung cancer. Unfortunately, it seems that phase 3 trials currently registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov database are not designed to improve this problem in the future, and are still only based on the TNM classification and Gleason grading systems. Trials focusing on local treatment methods much more commonly involved radiation therapy than surgery. This can be explained in part by technological innovations during the last two decades and the desire to validate

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX

Table 3 – Trials investigating local treatments (n = 34; total accrual expected 27 306) ClinicalTrials.gov

Short name

Surgery (n = 5; 2392 patients) Obese patient during RARP: NCT01868347 preemptive ventilator strategy NCT01825642 NCT01613651 NCT01555086 NCT01407263

Seminal vesicle–sparing and nervesparing RP RALP with or without pelvic drain placement Extended vs limited pelvic lymphadenectomy during RP Trial of modifications to RP

Multiple interventions (n = 2; 8800 patients) PREFERE trial NCT01717677 Surgery vs RT for locally advanced PCa Radiation therapy (n = 27; 16 114 patients) 3D-conformal RT vs tomotherapy NCT00326638 NCT02102477

Start date (D/M/Y)

Planned accrual

2/1/2013

40

9/6/2014

140

8/12/2014

312

1/8/2011

500

7/1/2011

1400

1/10/2012

7600

1/10/2014

1200

11/5/2014

72

Question addressed

Preemptive PEEP vs PEEP after pneumoperitoneum and Trendelenburg Seminal vesicle–sparing vs nervesparing RP RALP with pelvic drain vs without Extended vs limited pelvic lymphadenectomy Fascial suturing RP vs lymph node template RP

3/1/2013

75

NCT01411345

MRI-mapped dose-escalated salvage RT

6/1/2011

80

NCT01230866

Hypofractionated proton RT For low-risk PCa HDR vs LDR brachytherapy

11/10/2014

192

10/1/2013

200

NCT00084552

IMRT with decreased radiation dose to erectile tissue vs without

12/1/2003

200

NCT01538628

SpaceOAR system pivotal study

1/1/2012

222

NCT00667888

IMRT dose escalation using hypofractionation Hypofractionated, dose escalation RT ADT with elective nodal and doseescalated RT Proton therapy vs IMRT

1/1/2001

225

1/1/2012

250

5/1/2004

400

7/1/2012

400

6/1/2003

588

10/1/2005

600

1/1/1998

602

4/6/2014

1115

5/1/2006

1204

3/1/2002

1532

7/1/2011

2580

1/1/2011

350

6/1/2013

350

10/1/2008

500

Finding the optimal dose

NCT01617161

NCT00063882 NCT00247312

Brachytherapy with or without EBRT 103 Pd dose de-Escalation brachytherapy

NCT00494039

125

NCT00331773

RT in treating patients with stage II PCa Profit: prostate fractionated irradiation trial RT In treating patients with stage II PCa ADT and RT in treating patients with PCa

NCT00304759 NCT00033631 NCT01368588

NCT01272050 NCT01839994

NCT00967863

I vs

103

Pd brachytherapy

RT in treating patients with relapsed PCa after surgery Conformal RT alone vs conformal RT combined with HDR brachytherapy or SBRT for PCa RT in treating patients receiving ADT for PCa

Recruiting Recruiting Recruiting

Recruiting

Hypofractionation via extended vs accelerated RT

NCT00175396

Completed

Recruiting

NCT01794403

NCT01444820

Recruiting

Active surveillance vs RP vs EBRT vs brachytherapy RP vs RT

Side effect reduction through IMRT compared to 3D-conformal RT Accelerated hypofractionated regimen will not be inferior to the standard treatment An increased dose to the MRI-defined lesion in the prostate bed will result in better initial CR Compare hypofractionation to standard proton RT HDR boost will achieve better PFS compared to LDR with a better toxicity profile and QoL Erectile dysfunction rate reduction when restricting the dose to erectile tissue Safety and reduction of toxicity using the SpaceOAR system Is hypofractionated IMRT as good or better than conventional RT Safety evaluation of dose-escalated hypofractionated RT Is a brachytherapy boost better than an EBRT boost Evaluation of whether fewer side effects occur for proton therapy compared to EBRT Brachytherapy better with or without EBRT for intermediate-risk PCa A 10% reduction in applied dose could reduce side effects while still being adequate The shorter half-life of 103Pd vs 125I will increase the rate of tumor eradication Comparison of different RT regimens, hypofractionation results Evaluation of hypofractionation results Compares the effectiveness of two different IMRT doses Better overall survival OS When the RT Volume Is Increased On The Whole Pelvis Comparison of two salvage doses for biochemically recurrent PCa Outcome comparison

NCT01936883

Status

Not yet recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting Not yet recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting Active, not recruiting Recruiting Active, not recruiting Recruiting

Active, not recruiting Recruiting

Active, not recruiting

Active, not recruiting Active, not recruiting Active, not recruiting Recruiting

Active, not recruiting Not yet recruiting

Recruiting

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX

Table 3 (Continued ) ClinicalTrials.gov

Short name

Start date (D/M/Y)

Planned accrual

FLAME: investigate the benefit of a focal lesion ablative microboost in PCa Triptorelin and RT after surgery for intermediate-risk stage III or IV PCa

9/9/2014

566

12/1/2007

718

10/1/2002

2163

NCT00860652

IMRT in treating patients with localized PCa Trial to evaluate RT followed by ADT vs ADT alone for PSA failure after RP Adjuvant vs early salvage RT

NCT01550237

Curative image-guided RT for PCa

NCT01168479

NCT00667069

NCT00392535 NCT00138008

5/1/2004

200

3/1/2009

470

1/10/2012

260

Question addressed SIB to the focal lesion could produce better results without increased toxicity Compare the results of ADT + RT immediately after surgery vs delaying treatment Comparison of the side effects of three IMRT schedules Comparison of RT with ADT to ADT alone after biochemical recurrence Comparing adjuvant vs early salvage RT in PCa with positive margins or extraprostatic disease following RP Investigate whether cone beam IGRT and consequently reduced safety margins can reduce rectal side effects

Status Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

PCa = prostate cancer; RP = radical prostatectomy; RARP = robot-assisted RP; PEEP = positive end expiratory pressure; RT = radiotherapy; SBRT = stereotactic body RT, IMRT = intensity-modulated RT; IGRT = image-guided RT; EBRT = external beam RT; HDR = high dose rate; LDR = low dose rate; SIB = simultaneous integrated boost; ADT = androgen deprivation therapy; PSA = prostate-specific antigen; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; NA = neoadjuvant; CR = complete response; QoL = quality of life.

Table 4 – Trials investigating both local and systemic treatments (n = 11, total expected accrual 19 822) ClinicalTrials.gov

Short name

Start date (D/M/Y)

Planned accrual

NCT01546623

Comparative study of TAP-144-SR in PCa patients previously treated with ADT

3/1/2012

164

NCT02044172

ProtecT trial: prostate testing for cancer and treatment Single-dose local RT compared with ibandronate in treating patients with localized metastatic bone pain

6/1/2001

1500

4/3/2014

580

Cabazitaxel and pelvic RT in localized PCa and high-risk features of relapse STAMPEDE trial: systemic therapy in advancing or metastatic PCa: evaluation of drug efficacy RT with or without bicalutamide and goserelin in treating patients with PCa Study on the role of hormonal treatment for two dosage levels of prostate RT vs prostate RT alone A phase 3 trial of ADT  local RT  abiraterone in metastatic hormonenaı¨ve PCa Prostate RT or short-term ADT and pelvic lymph node RT with or without prostate RT in treating patients with rising PSA after surgery for PCa RADICALS: RT And ADT in treating patients who have undergone surgery for PCa Surgery with or without docetaxel and leuprolide or goserelin for highrisk localized PCa

9/13/2014

1048

9/5/2014

8100

5/1/2003

400

12/1/2000

600

10/1/2013

916

NCT00082927

NCT01952223

NCT00268476

NCT00067015

NCT00223145

NCT01957436

NCT00567580

NCT00541047

NCT00430183

2/1/2008

1764

10/1/2007

4000

12/1/2006

750

Question addressed

Hormone dynamics, pharmacokinetics, safety and efficacy of TAP-144-SR for 6 mo vs 3 mo Active surveillance vs RP vs RT plus ADT Comparing pain response of ibandronate vs single-dose local RT with 8 Gy in treating patients with localized metastatic bone pain Assess the effect on clinical PFS of NA cabazitaxel and pelvic RT with ADT vs prostate-only RT with ADT Assessment of 5 treatments usually held for CRPC used sooner in combination with ADT Comparing QoL of high-dose IMRT to 86.4 Gy alone vs IMRT To 75.6 Gy plus NA/adjuvant ADT Would adding 6 mo of ADT lead to local failure reduction when using 70 or 76 Gy vs 76 Gy alone Compare the clinical benefit of ADT  local RT  abiraterone acetate and prednisone in metastatic PCa Comparing prostate RT to shortterm ADT with pelvic lymph node RT  prostate RT in biochemically recurrent PCa RT timing (adjuvant vs early salvage) and ADT duration after local surgery Comparing NA docetaxel and ADT vs surgery alone in patients with high-risk localized PCa

Status

Recruiting

Active, not recruiting Completed

Recruiting

Recruiting

Completed

Active, not recruiting

Not yet recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

Recruiting

PCa = prostate cancer; RT = radiotherapy; IMRT = intensity-modulated radiotherapy; RP = radical prostatectomy; CRPC = castration-resistant PCa; ADT = androgen deprivation therapy; PSA = prostate-specific antigen; PFS = progression-free survival; NA = neoadjuvant; QoL = quality of life.

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

EUF-34; No. of Pages 12 EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX

11

Fig. 3 – Circle diagram characterizing the trials identified.

these advances in clinical trials. Surprisingly, the heavily debated topic of focal therapy is being analyzed in just two phase 3 randomized clinical trials that we identified, NCT01168479 (one of the seven uncategorized trials) and NCT01310894. An additional search in the original database of 2951 prostate trials identified revealed more than 30 phase 1 and phase 2 trials on focal therapy that are ongoing or completed. This supports the previously expressed concern that focal therapy remains in its infancy and should thus only be regarded as an experimental approach [7]. Technological advances in robotics and its application in localized disease have not yet been verified in phase 3 randomized clinical trials. Only two trials directly compared surgery to radiation therapy, the ProtecT trial (NCT02044172) and the PREFERE trial (NCT01717677).

Our analysis is not without limitations. Not every clinical trial is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov; registration is obligatory for all US studies, but not for non-US trials. Therefore, possible selection bias regarding our findings for trial locations is possible. Nevertheless, as ClinicalTrials.gov is the largest global trials registry database available, with 52% of all registered trials non–US-based, our findings provide a representative, if not complete, picture of current research in prostate cancer. Some trials might have been incorrectly registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov registry. Moreover, we cannot exclude the possibility of errors whereby certain trials were not captured for the analysis and/or were misclassified during the selection process. In addition, the data sets for all trials in the database are not always complete and up to date. However, we took great care to minimize these limitations: two authors

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003

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EUROPEAN UROLOGY FOCUS XXX (2015) XXX–XXX

(A.T. and P.G.) crosschecked all trials identified and the trial selection steps. We believe that our analysis is unique and important, and that the comprehensive tables provide researchers and clinicians with a realistic picture of the future of prostate cancer treatment. 5.

Conclusions

Our analysis demonstrates strong ongoing clinical research activity that will undoubtedly impact on the future of prostate cancer treatment worldwide. Most of the phase 3 trials with pending results address questions regarding systemic treatments for both nonmetastatic and metastatic disease. In the subgroup of trials testing local treatments, radiation therapy is the focus of the majority of investigations and shows the greatest potential for further improvement.

relevant to the subject matter or materials discussed in the manuscript (eg, employment/affiliation, grants or funding, consultancies, honoraria, stock ownership or options, expert testimony, royalties, or patents filed, received, or pending), are the following: None. Funding/Support and role of the sponsor: None.

Appendix A. Supplementary data Supplementary data associated with this article can be found, in the online version, at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j. euf.2015.05.003.

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[2] Fizazi K, Abrahamsson PA, Ahlgren G, et al. Achievements and

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[3] Scher HI, Halabi S, Tannock I, et al., Prostate Cancer Clinical Trials

Ghadjar.

Working Group. Design and end points of clinical trials for patients

Acquisition of data: Tsikkinis, Cihoric, Ghadjar, Giannarini.

with progressive prostate cancer and castrate levels of testoster-

Analysis and interpretation of data: All authors.

one: recommendations of the Prostate Cancer Clinical Trials Work-

Drafting of the manuscript: Tsikkinis, Ghadjar.

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Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors.

[4] Schwartz LM, Woloshin S, Fowler Jr FJ, Welch HG. Enthusiasm for cancer screening in the United States. JAMA 2004;291:71–8.

Statistical analysis: None.

[5] Schro¨der FH, Hugosson J, Roobol MJ, et al. Screening and prostate

Obtaining funding: None.

cancer mortality: results of the European Randomised Study of

Administrative, technical, or material support: None.

Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) at 13 years of follow-up.

Supervision: Giannarini.

Lancet 2014;384:2027–35.

Other: None. Acknowledgements: We would like to thank Branislav Trninic and Tomislav Cuk from KapitalSoft - Trebinje for technical support and advices for data processing.

[6] Kuban DA, Levy LB, Cheung MR, et al. Long-term failure patterns and survival in a randomized dose-escalation trial for prostate cancer. Who dies of disease? Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2011;79: 1310–7. [7] Giannarini G, Gandaglia G, Montorsi F, Briganti A. Will focal therapy

Financial disclosures: Pirus Ghadjar certifies that all conflicts of interest,

remain only an attractive illusion for the primary treatment of

including specific financial interests and relationships and affiliations

prostate cancer? J Clin Oncol 2014;32:1299–301.

Please cite this article in press as: Tsikkinis A, et al. Clinical Perspectives from Randomized Phase 3 Trials on Prostate Cancer: An Analysis of the ClinicalTrials.gov Database. Eur Urol Focus (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.05.003