orporate Planning in an Engineering 5usiness H. J. Booth Divisional Commercial Control Components G.E.C. A.E.I. Control Rugby.
Manager, Division, Rectifiers Ltd.,
In the British Engineering Industry, overthe last ten years, in a basically buyers’ market, there has been a drive by management to find new ways to augment the growth of earnings from existing resources. There is also an increasing emphasis on the search for new ideas and new products to provide a contribution to size, growth, and stability of future company profits. The author illustrates the Eharacter of planning in the engineering Business with the aid of a detailed case history from a small division of G.E.C./ A.E.I. selling starters for electric motors.
I
1
THL
BKITISH
EYGIKEERING
INDUSTKY.
there is a very great need for forward planning, based on comprehensive and formal company procedures and disciplineh. All Companies must plan and it can be seen that with increasing costs. the nzcd for nev, markets and more rnrenyive product development. long range is becomlnp more necessary, especially Tn the technology based industries. -4s an introduction. it IS important to consider those factors which influence the need for companies to adopt some form of Long Ranpc- Planning. They can be broad11 di\,ided into two parts: 1. External Pressures 2. lnrernal Benefits 1. External
Pressures
In respect of external pressures. the) represent those aspects which influence
SEPTEMBER,
1970
an already established Company polic) and make necessary changes to that policy in the form of forward plans. Syuer:e 017Prqfits Continual Government influence through fiscal policies. Imposition of Purchase Tax-Fuel Tax-Selective Employment Tax-Corporation Tax. Ma&et Emironrnerir (a) The last 20 years has seen significant sociological changes. (b) increasing number of old people. (c) Increase in leisure time. (d) Population movement. Nell, Tehologies Many new products have come into being only after many years of research, and the need for planning Company research and de\ielopment is a fundamental requirement which not only provides new product development but also enables existing products to remain competitive. Iutegrarion iu IndrrstrJ, The increasing trend to vertical and horizontal integration in industry is affecting the competitive pattern in major sectors of industry. With the pace of industrial integration and the creation of larger Industrial Units now being forced by Government policy,. the urgencv for Company top management to appieciate the benefits of Long Range Planning cannot be overstressed.
2. Internal Benefits The internal benefits are those aspects which Long Range Planning provides for Company direction and strategy. such as: Bole/it to rhr Board q/ Direcrors Long Ranse Planning can establish the essential criteria for Company Directors to evalr;ate the operationa! performance of rhe total Company functions--Sales. Engineering, Manufacturing or Finance.
Benqfit to Middle Management Goals can be set and achieved for the future growth of the Company. This can be established on a Divisional basis or for the total Company, but middle management will know the objectives to be attained and what performance is expected from them. Benqfits to Persomel Motivation Because Long Range Planning stresses future development and growth, the existence of a practical corporate plan can contribute to greatly enhance morale among personnel at all levels of the Company organization. Such a plan also helps to attract and hold capable management personnel, and assists in labour relations and in community relations. Shareholders A sound forward plan outlining directions of growth for increased profits strengthens management’s position with both present and new stockholders.
CORPORATE
PLANNING
dealing with Corporate Plans in Business, there are basically two types of Corporate Planning which can be adopted by businesses. 1. Profit Improvement Planning. 2. Broad Spectrum Planning. Profit Improvetnenf Planning This type of planning is in essence, nothing more than an extension of the profit budget for present products to cover the next five years. Sub-tending from such an extension of existing planned budgets must be the development of accurate profit and sales forecasting of present product lines. This would involve product rationalization, making possible additions and deletions of products processes and marhets. The Profit Improvement Planning In
67
method presumes a market orientation of Company pianning acrivitres. it demands. the establishment of a marketing strategy. that is directed at the customer. It demands, a total rcappraisal of the Company’s present it demands and therefore positron detailed market analysis in order to assess the direction of the selling distribution and product planning activities of the Company. Broad Spectrwn
P/arming
This aspect of corporate planning considers the possible new directions for Company growth and increase in profits over 5, IO and even 20 years. Broad Spectrum Planning would lay down long range programmes of: (a) Research and Development. (b) Factory expansion at home and abroad. (c) Possible merger and acquisition prospects. What is important, in attempting total corporate planning, is the necessity to ensure that all functional activities understand the requirements and disciplines involved. It is possible that such comprehensive planning may inevitably establish a totally new organisation structure in order to achieve the corporate objectives. Establishment of Corporate Objectives Whatever the time span of the profit plan, the vital first requirement is the establishment of corporate objectives. In order to determine these objectives, six things are important.
(1)
%arket
A&raisal
It is essential
to know whether the market for the companies’ products is a growth or declining market. An analysis of such a market should determine : (ni Size (b) Market leaders (c) Market trends (d) Market shares
!a
Analysis
of Company
Records
A review of present orders and examination of customer product buying patterns plus a survey of selling effort and its relation to customer business. (3) Profit Growth An industry financial index can be checked to see the average annual growth earnings per share for a particular industrial sector, against which a standard can be set and it can be assumed that profit growth will come to those companies that are successfully established in growth markets.
(3) Prqtfr Lewis Setting future protit standards may Involve 3 iomparrson of the return on investment over the past ten years
with
other
known
planning involved. the first essential is the present po>itr,>n and environmental audit ,)t‘ the resources avaiiabic. to determine the strengths and weaknesses at’ :hr:
zorn-
petitors. (5)
oi corporate
For\t,artr’ Projecriotl
Profit planning involves projections and this forward evaluation means sales-cost of sales-pro!its---_apital. (6) ,Veir Product .-lppraisal Another aspect of major sienificance is the total appraisal o? the need for new products. This will require close review of products. not only sales. but comparison of product features with those of competitors. A careful look at product costs as well as R & D programme expenditures is necessary to stay with the competition or keeping ahead. Long Range Profit Planning Long Range Planning is not simply a means of predicting future results, but a process of controlling and guiding the forward business activities beyond the not mal tinancial year. In considering the long range plan, we are concerned with the integration of the short term action, covering a period of perhaps, a year, with the long term strategic and operational objectives which could influence the Company‘s future in 3, 5 or 10 years. Ideally, the first year of any long range plan, should be the current financial year and the plan should be updated annually. Whatever the type
company or diviston. Completrn~ this audrt is an absolutely v~tai part of the corporate or Long Range Plan and ideally. should be undertaken by an independent group Sub-tending from such an atrdrt must be the identrhcation of the sales and protits required plus the projection of the constituent parts over the full pertod of the plan. In fact, the corporate profit plan will combine together the individual functional plans of the SalesEngineering and Manufacturing organizations. Every business needs to identify if possible an area where it leads, what opportunities it wants to pursue, plus what risks it ii willing and able to accept. To tllustrate a number of aspects of Short and Long Range Plannmg as related to the engineering business the following case history may prove useful. CASE HISTORY Basic Philosophy We are concerned with a Trading Division manufacturing a wide range OI light engineering products, i.e. el;ctrtc motor starters-contactors and relavs. The overall approach adopted by the operation presented diagrammatically rn Figure I. was to undertake an external and internal appraisal of the diviston establishing basic objectives: preparation of an action plan and a total commitment to the implementation of the findings.
THE
r -------Market
and
I I
PROBLEM I Product
analysis
t MARKETING
Market reaction feedback
STRATEGY
Implementation
of
Objectives
1 i
CAMPAIGN
I
i
L
DEVELOPMENT
-------B-s
FIGURE
1. MARKETING
CONCEPT.
LONG
RANGE
PLANNING
The
Problem
requirement was to put on paper the problems. which were detailed .ind quantified. However. in broad terms ihese could be stated to be: The
first
( a 1 The business
had too many out-ofdate products and a v’ery narrow range of modern and acceptable de\ Ices.
(b) A verv’ small motor CC)
starter
share market.
(2 “,,) of the
verv low customer awareness factor -tn the engineering industry.
A
Cd) rZr1 unsattsfactory
sales and
profit
performance.
The
Analysis
The .Ila~Xet--Gloll.til am/ Cott7pefitim The first requirement was to examine the total market of the U.K. Control Gear Industry. to determine the industry trend. This 1s illustrated in Figure 2. showing the trend since 1954, as a market of significant growth potential and based on forward eiectrical energy predictions, should continue to expand for at least another decade. Figure 2 also shows the increase in the number of major competitors within the industry rising from Ii in 1954 to 46 in 1964.
In view of the increase in the number of competitors in this sector of the industrial market. the top sixteen companies were carefully evaluated assessing turnover, return on capital and product range capability. There was also a close product and Continental rev iew of American competition. Having first established an overall assessment of the market and competition. it was necessary to re-appraise the division and its standing _ azainst the overall market _ trends and product competttion
OEM’s*
z m v) Wholesalers
A detailed sales analysis was undertaken of the order input. establishing the main business sources by grouping- sales into industry categortes Users
-1.C.I. -Dunlop
--Ingersoll Rand (b) Original Equipment Head Wrightson Makers (OEM) (c)
Wholesalers
_’5%
Users
Sales Analysis
(a)
111
T e
--Newey & Eyre -Electrical Conduits -Hathaways Electrical
15%
Export
15% I
* Original FIGURE
Selhg
equipment
manufacturers
3. ANALYSIS
OF SALES.
&fort Analysis
Having established a sales analysis it was decided to confirm the selling effort which is shown in by checking the call record salesman
pattern, expected Figure 4 of each
(d) Export The analysis of the sales gave the distribution pattern shown in Figure 3.
OEM’s
>65%
Users
‘25%
40 -
Others
FIGURE
4. SELLING
EFFORT
I
10%
ANALYSIS.
Pr@itahilitJ ‘4 further aspect of consideration was the necessity to investigate the product profitability, presenting an analysis of material! labour overheads, and thus providing a product profit pattern against each product and the industrial buying category. Producr Range 0 1964
1954
FIGURE
SEPTEMBER,
1970
2. THE
U.K. CONTROL
GEAR
INDUSTRY.
Having looked in some depth at the sales pattern, the whole product range was then reviewed. Plotting product range against turnover a ‘pareto’ curve was produced, (Figure 5). which established the familiar
69
Short
Term
Actions
Objectives
Having established the areas requiring attention. the first essential was to !a> down the basic management objectlves. to meet the short term requirements. The objectives
the Company inore forcefully in the Control Gear Starter market. (Philosophical objective). (bi To obtain at least a IO”,, share of the standard starter market in J years. ot the proportion (cl To increase starter and component sales \ 1;~ wholesalers to 25 “,) of turnover. ,’ L , IO”,, return on capital (d) To obtain employed. (e) To double the divisional turnover wlthin 4 years. (f) Set up over a 2 year period a National network of80 Distributors. (g) To create a small team of ‘specialist’ representatives.
80%
Sales
FIGURE
5. THE
PRODUCT
80-20 relationship-80 “1: of the turnover being derived from 200’, of the product range. After dividing the products into ‘fast moving’ and ‘slow moving’, the manufacture of over 70 products was stopped. A side effect of this decision was that the number of stock parts was reduced by several thousand which, in turn, reduced storage area and clerical staff. After this rationalization of product range. the remaining products formed only a narrow range and somewhat incomplete range compared with other American and German competitors. It was essential, therefore, that the management should find now a product or group of products which could form the basis for developing a new approach to the market. and which could form the basis of improving the customer awareness factor with a greatly increased number of new potential customers. The overall survey had, in fact, provided the ‘big picture’, showing the essential growth trends of the market. the competition and the division’s main strengths and weaknesses. It was from this survey that five main considerations demanded attention :
70
laid down were:
f a ) To re-establish
RANGE
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
ANALYSIS.
Management objectives Product development Channels of distribution Specialist sales force Presentation and marketing campaign of products to the Industrial customer.
FIGURE
6. THE
Product Derelopmetlt The second urgent consideration was thz establishment of a priority period to implement the decision to modernize and extend the two most acceptable electrical motor starters available and evolve our sales growth as a Control Component specialist. initially around this new range of products. A market study showed that to gain customer acceptance required at least eight motor starters to meet the various motors starting methods for electric (Direct-on-line, and Star-Delta) and also the means of Isolating the motor and starter From the electrlclty supply.
REDEVELOPED
PRODUCT
RANGE.
LONG
RANGE
PLANNING
The final result was a range of twelve starters based on only two contactors and one standard overload relay. thus keeping manufacturing costs low and the minimum number of parts (see Figure 6).
The nest major consideration was the preparation of a new policy in respect of the channels of distribution and the selection of suitable product outlets. A main factor of sales growth is service to customer. It was essential therefore to commence an appraisal of possible channels of distribution which from a preliminar! surve!’ had showed that up to 15 per cenr of the Control Gear market potential went via wholesalers. A concentrated drive was undertaken to appoint certain wholesaling organizations as distributors of the neu range of starters and to establish a national network of 80 distributors holding stocks and giI+n_r a fast service to a wide range of customers in their immediate localities. In establishing a nattonal network. required careful evaluatlon on a reglonal basis of the market potential appraisal of iocai wholesalers in respect of turnover. stock capability, whether the wholesaler was domestic or industrially biased.
Wirh the establishment of a small team of specialist representatives. a region by reeion sales campaign was launched. utihzing direct mail shots. local exhibitions and a T.Y. ‘commercial’ being shown re~ularl\~ during the period of the campalpn. ihe total effect of all these short term mo\es has enabled the motor starter sales to treble o\ler a period of three years achieve an 8 per cenr market share and a great-r customer awareness in the engincerlng industry resulting in a better basis from Mhich to operate in the future.
Long
Term
Proposals
Th~c cease histor) deals with the immediate remedial actions necessary to effect a reorlentatlon of a small manufacturing dt\ i~oi:. If in llnc with the requirements c-f L~n_r Range Planning. we extend this short tern1 case history to the longer term pn~ihlllties. be
clearl!
two
main
considerations
must
specified.
The sales and profit trend and the Justlficarion of ne\+ product dr\elnpment.
, 3 I SlllL’.CTdi/lg 4
possible
Prol?r Pm;cctiorl
for\vard trading account preccnIaIIc,n would be as illustrared in Figure s. 4?0~1n,o tile next five years’ home marl,e: pn:ential. sales and profit contrihtiii:)!~ ai weii as taking into account
SEPTEMBER.
1970
FIGURE
7. STARTER
SALES
certain annual adjustments affecting the contribution. An equally detailed forecast of forward sales could be made, showing the breakdown into the markets and industrial categories from which sources, the business is to emanate.
E(OOOs) Market & Sales Home Market Market Share Home Sales Export Sales Total Sales
OVER
YEAR
1964.
Added to all tabulations, must be reasons for any significant movements of specific figures and there should be a list of published planning assumptions. What cannot be overstressed is the importante of the inter-relationship of all profit planning documents.
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
4000
4200 37.5% 1800 230 2120
4400 40% 2020 360 2380
4600
4800
35% 1600 300 1900
Contribution Home Export Total inflation Cost Inc. Eficiency Improvement
GROWTH
480 75 555
48% 2250 2640
2650 450 3100
540 80 620 (45) 15
544 85 629 (52) 25
Improvement by new products Selling Price Changes
(27)
25 18
Total
(57)
16
555
563
654
692
790
Period Costs Factory Commerclai Other
(200) (265) (25)
(205) (265) (15) --
(215) (260) (20)
(230) (270) (20) -.
(235) (295) (30)
Total
(490)
(485)
(515)
(530)
(560)
65
78
130
162
230
Changes
Modified
Contrlbutlon
Net Profit
FIGURE
8. FORWARD
TRADING
ACCOUNT
-
652 90 742 (60) 10
742 108 850 (70) -
-
-
(50)
10
-
(60)
PRESENTATION.
71
In respect of Research and Development programmes it is important to create, forward product development objectives in order to maintain the growth pattern expected from the short term acttons. For example, in the case history, the product development objectives were envisaged as shown in the phased plan covering an Y-year period (see Figure 9). Such a development programme was designed to be a logical sequence for product growth but taking into account possible technological changes. (Electromechanical to semi-conductor applications.) Each phase of the development programme wtthin the period of the j-year profit plan, would require careful analysis and expenditure evaluation. A typtcal justification. showing the anticipated profit contribution of new products would be projected as in Figure 10. The projection shown in Figure 10 shows the monetary contribution from a forecast of new product sales compared to the anticipated decline from existing products. In addition to this type of data, would be a detailed cost breakdown of the product development project into Engineering/Draughting time, models and testing.
Preparation of a Forward Profit Plan It is important in the implementation planning procedures, that there must be the minimum of documents involved, so that, an unnecessary growth of financial planning staff is not a concomittant factor with forward profit planning. The preparation of a profit plan will inevitably require the financial staff of the Company to play an important role in the final collation and presentation of the information to top management. The responsibility for planning the profitable growth of the Company or Division must remain with the General Manager or Chief Executive. Profit Planning procedures must be designed to ensure that the required standard and evaluation of information is presented uniformly to the Company top management. The Long Range profit plan should be prepared at the same time as the annual profit budget and exhibit consistency of information in each. The profit plan must reflect clearly the full implications of any major items of expenditure, particularly capital expenditure, in the forecast of fixed and working capital, the effect on revenue and production costs. 1. Planning Assumptions that in the preparation
It is essential
72
of
Phase
1 /
Phase II
I /
Modernisation of existing products
Phase III
Newbasic Range of Components
New Range of Starters
1966
1968
Phase IV
i
Solid State Devices
I 1964
FIGURE
9. PRODUCT
DEVELOPMENT
any profit budget or forward profit plan, the assumptions upon which the plan is based are fully stated. A useful check list of planning assumptions is shown in Figure 11.
New Product New Product
Sales Variable
New Product Contribution
Profit
Existing Product Contribution
Profit
cost
OBJECTIVES.
3. Manpower Another aspect of vital concern to the Company operation is Manpower. The manpower plan may be presented as illustrated in Figure I2 which shows the actual manpower across the Company Departments split between hourly paid and salaried staff. The current position
1968 300 150
1969 450 210
1970 650 280
1971 750 340
150
240
370
410
90
105
75
40
60
135
295
370
Profit
Advantage
0.909
D.C.F. Factors Actual
1972
Similarly a document is required to present the Overseas markets also 111 relation to size and share. This territortal analysis may not be easy to complete and major exporting companies will probably have undertaken a number of market research studies in their important business territories.
2. lMarkets As stressed under the earlier comments on establishing corporate profit objectives, the analysis of the market in which the Company is operating is of vital concern in the credibility of the profit plan. A document is required to present the Home Market size and share in financial values. categorized into Public and Private Enterprise users of the company products, and projected over the period of the plan.
ww
1970to
Worth
0,826
54
Total
0.751
111
222
Contribution
0683 253
630
Development Cost of New Products
105 -
Advantage investment
525 Cover
630 -
=
6:l
105
FIGURE
10. TYPICAL
PRODUCT
DEVELOPMENT
JUSTIFICATION.
LONG
RANGE
PLANNING
15 therl profit Marketing Assumptions
Manufacturing Assumptions
Economic Assumptions
(a) Market
Size
(b) Product
Range
Comments on growth or decline of the market potential
Comments on present product lines: new developments in design stage
(a) Factory Location State any proposed re-iocatlon oi manufacture, plant or manoower
(b) Methods of Manufacture Detail changes in manufacturing techniquesNew automated plant
(a) Material Prices Comment on the trend of material pnce levels and state prices of specific major Items of materlal
Procurement Proposals
(a) Manufacturing Licence State any forward plans for buying a manufacturing licence
Organization
(a) Restructure State any proposed changes in the organization structure or specific management responsibilities
FIGURE
(b) Labour
Costs
Indicate average earnings per employeechanges in piece-work rates etc.
11. PLANNING
ASSUMPTIONS.
(c) Selling
Prices
Comments on competition pnce levels; price changes proposed on new products at home and abroad
projected plan.’
be prepared
cwer
Associated showin_c
the
1970
period
average
ot‘ the can
also
earnln_es
per employee projecting forward the current earnings rate and splitting the projection into Male and Female earnings. 4. Plofit P/a,1 .su!W?K?rt. The Profit Plan Summary presents 111a single document the salient statisttcs of the Company and are of dtrect concern to the Board of Directors. As shown tn Figure 13. forward projections are collated from the other detailed documents. A stmpte graph of net trading profit can be drawn to show at a glance the past. present and future trend of profit. CONCLUSIONS There is sometimes a confuston between long range or corporate planning and straightforward profit planning. From the many’ case histories in small and medium sized businesses, it is clear that detailed opportunistic corporate planning is, in the initial two or three years, difficult, and a mtxture of both aspects of planning is necessary. simply because of the constant inter-relationship of the short and long term needs. In Long Range Planning we are involved with the attitudes prevailing in the various functional activities of the CompanySales. Engineering and Manufacturing, We are also concerned with the procedures adopted in formally preparing the total plan. It is important to remember that Long Range Planning is not a technique. it is simply the development of forward company strategy, utilizing management techniques to bring together relevant information from al! the functional activities of the business. SC that decisions can be made. Long Range Planning is in effect the total planning of the Co:npany resources to ensure the achievement of management objectives in a specific period of time. n
Figures
SEPTEMBER,
the
schedules
12 and 13 overleaf.
73
74
FIGURE
13. FiVE
YEAR
PROFIT
PLAN-PLAN
SUMMAKY.