Cost and price indices

Cost and price indices

Engineering Costsand ProductionEconomics, 13 ( 1988) 157- 168 Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam - Printed in The Netherlands The latest ind...

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Engineering Costsand ProductionEconomics, 13 ( 1988) 157- 168 Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam - Printed in The Netherlands

The latest indices in Table 1 indicate that the erected costs of plants were still increasing as at July 1, 1987 in most countries. Japan is the outstanding exception to the general rule with virtually the same index since 1983, but West Germany and the Netherlands have had very small increases in the same period, and Canada and the U.S.A. show increases of 1% to 2% in the five-year period. In the year to July 1, 1987, Norway with 17.3%, Denmark with 8.8%, Australia with 7.5% and Sweden with 7.0% have had the largest increases. In the international comparison, Table 6, the dominant factor is the effect of the U.S. dollar revaluation relative to other currencies in the year to July 1, 1987. Apart from the Australian dollar which fell by about 3%, the currencies of the other eleven countries rose by from 6% to 22% relative to the U.S. dollar.

157

The method used to compile the indices has been described in previous articles [l-3]. In brief, a pseudo total erected cost is arrived at by calculating costs of materials, comprising 10 tonne cement, 1 tonne reinforcing bar, 3 tonne steel sections and 6 tonne steel plate, at basic ex-works prices, and calculating total labour costs for 300 hours of mechanical engineering and 230 hours of construction labour. These hours are assumed to be at 100% performance and apply to Japan and the U.S.A. For other countries lower performances for construction labour are assumed, 50% for the U.K., 60% for France, Italy and Norway, 70% for Denmark and Sweden, 75% for West Germany, 80% for Belgium and the Netherlands, 85% for Australia and 90% for Canada, all wih a resultant increase in the number of hours. The total of

TABLE 1 indices of erected costs of plantsa as at January 1st, unless otherwise stated ( 1975 = 1.001

Belgium Denmark France W. Germany Italy Netherlands U .K. Australia Canada Japan Norway Sweden U.S.A.

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1986 July 1

1987

1987 July 1

1.09 1.02 1.13 1.03 1.19 1.09 1.30 1.15 1.20 1.11 1.10 1.05 1.11

1.16 1.06 1.25 1.07 1.43 1.14 1.45 1.33 1.33 1.26 1.22 1.16 1.18

1.27 1.16 1.34 1.11 1.67 1.22 1.61 1.46 1.46 1.39 1.35 1.24 1.27

1.29 1.27 1.46 1.14 1.92 1.18 1.76 1.57 1.56 1.50 1.45 1.37 1.39

1.40 1.38 1.59 1.21 2.27 1.24 2.04 1.71 1.76 1.58 1.53 1.49 1.53

1.50 1.54 1.82 1.29 2.67 1.31 2.35 1.93 1.95 1.70 1.69 1.67 1.68

1.64 1.64 2.05 1.38 3.15 1.42 2.56 2.15 ‘2.24 1.79 1.79 1.81 !.85

1.89 1.99 2.50 1.53 3.89 1.54 2.78 2.58

1.99 2.14 2.73 1.52 4.38 1.54 2.92 2.77

2.01 2.19 2.84 1.56 4.71 1.57 3.10 2.91

2.06 2.32 2.97 1.60 5.12 1.59 3.34 3.15

2.09 2.38 3.04 1.61 5.26 1.61 3.48 3.21

2.07 2.41 3.10 1.60 5.31 1.63 3.56 3.36 2.57 1.87 2.73 2.77 2.10

2.10 2.59 3.17 1.61 5.53 1.61 3.67 3.45 2.61 1.86 2.99 2.89 2.12

2.46 2.42 2.47 2.52 2.55 1.84 2.07 2.05 1.96

1.84 2.18 2.26 2.09

1.84 2.20 2.37 2.13

1.89 2.43 2.57 2.19

1.85 2.55 2.70 2.08

“For method used to calculate costs and indices see Eng. Costs Prod. Econ., 6 ( E982 ) 272 and, 7 ( 1982 ) 18.

Ql67-188X/88/$03.40

@ I988 Elscvicr Scicncc

I

F.Fr.

I

France

Netherlands

1 II IV Guilder

Lire

1

Italy 11 111 IV

DM

I II III IV

W. Germany

II III IV

D.Kr

B.Fr.

I II IV

II III IV

Denmark

Belgium

Locai currency

70 780 830

10,700 181,000 153,000 177,000

67 700 640 740

120 1,080 1,040 1,320

190 1,610 1,950

920 11,500 9,800 13,900

1974 (Prices per tonne)

Price indices for: I Ordinary Portland cement II Steel re-inforcing bar 111 Steel sections (heavy) IV Steel plate

TABLE 2

119 76 105

134 75 105 118

110 85 105 95

112 96 100 113

116 95 81

112 75 90 78

1975

126 73 105

152 83 128 127

110 80 109 93

131 99 113 113

117 87 76

130 68 102 71

1976

132 78 105

188 104 154 136

116 78 106 91

135 105 124 105

122 97 81

140 77 109 76

1977

136 73 81

210 117 174 146

118 77 I01 85

148 108 141 106

129 88 88

144 72 103 70

1978

138 74 d3

246 135 188 165

120 76 108 91

172 113 144 110

133 93 91

150 74 116 76

1979

394 143 214 203 169 91 89

150 90 85

145 83 114 108

239 141 171 127

203 118 108

186 85 128 86

1981

321 146 207 188

131 84 106 96

205 136 157 121

167 ii7 104

168 85 117 83

1980

187 86 119

115

515 157 304 308

177 81 132 122

293 148 214 203

232 149 154

250 117 163 129

1983

183 107

468 155 302 270

167 104 164 127

27’3 168 227 182

214 146 147

237 115 173 113

1982

196 78 ii9

549 178 320 311

177 86 133 122

299 167 219 203

229 156 152

252 iO5 160 123

1984

202 93 120

584 209 338 339

183 91 133 125

315 175 220 204

242 158 154

270 ii5 160 127

1985

207 99 120

616 215 359 350

184 96 125 126

319 201 230 212

240 158 160

272 122 153 133

First half

1986

634 166 340 345 210 92 123

625 186 353 350 208 99 122 208 99 123

187 96 ii0 117

185 95 120 122 186 96 115 117 634 156 346 350

334 206 221 219

239 158 172

280 121 148 128

First half

324 204 226 216

240 158 160

272 122 153 130

average

Annual

1987

328 206 221 219

240 158 160

272 122 153 126

Second half

-

Can.$

I[

Canada

N.Kr.

SW.Kf

I II III I II III IV I II III IV

Norway

Sweden

U.S.A. 30.40 215 230 230

125 1,225 1,480 1,715

!72 1,450 1,550

8,570 77,750 47,750 75,250

32.00 205 194 188

26.50 165 155 160

10.5 96.0 90.0 96.0

119 99 121 117

115 98 80 72

117 104 92

106 67 102 66

120 125 121 125

119 12i 123 As III

I40 811 135 132

132 91 127 126

132 lOd\ 9% 73

128 101 102

112 71 122 84

:40 126 135 141

137 !43 842

173 136 157 141

I41 92 135 137

149 108 83 66

141 104 107

115 67 133 90

153 115 141 155

154 15? 156

205 144 178 154

155 103 152 154

163 113 94 78

152 99 107

126 76 140 103

170 121 156 170

168 166 169

231 142 183 167

174 128 167 171

178 128 103 81

168 112 114

133 87 145 113

191 142 184 193

180 180 184

277 153 236 176

191 136 184 190

201 147 116 87

192 124 127

174 95 150 109

217 150 212 216

199 206 211

357 183 248 186

233 145 165

185 79 153 104

202 137 206 213

209 117 235 248

281 157 172 152

262 148 165

183 80 147 98

306 168 262 266

218 127 240 247

302 157 172 149

273 140 132

183 86 146 98

315 164 262 270

316 284 283

443 206 285 230

223 129 241 244

324 166 177 153

280 145 156

183 87 143 96

329 171 262 273

328 291 298

449 228 307 240

221 130 232 188

343 180 179 170

280 159 174

183 74 121 87

338 174 269 270

345 304 317

462 226 313 250

21s 131 231 190

,248 188 182 175

280 169 181

183 68 119 77

338 176 265 267

353 313 331

462 221 329 260

218 131 232 189

346 184 181 173

280 164 178

183 71 120 82

338 175 267 269

349 309 324

462 224 321 255

214 128 233 195

356 189 174 178

290 176 177

180 60 116 74

340 176 266 269

361 326 338

462 212 331 260

prices given for all other countries. See Vol. 5, PP. 245-24cJ.

208 128 230 231

231 260 1139 157 122 165 90 125

215 128 129

185 86 156 108

294 177 262 266

300 2?7 272

229 ’ 268 228 254 236 267 252 162 243 243

443 203 278 214

443 203 279 214

405 183 248 186

For price variations and material specifications, see Vol. 5, pp. 159-l 6 1 and 247-254. aJapanese steel prices are “market” prices and are not directly comparable with the basic (producer)

I J.S.$

Yen

I II III IV

Japana

II III IV

A.$

I II II! IV

Australia

Pound

I II III FV

U.K.

160 TABLE 3 Indicesof averagehourly earningsof adulr manualaworkers in selected industries Country

ISICb

1974

( I974= 100 )

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

Oct. Local currency

Oct.

Oct.

Oct.

Oct.

Oct.

Oct.

Belgium

351 371 382 5

B.Fr.

157.25 171.89 133.94 130.07

118 I08 114 I16

131 122 125 132

147 132 137 146

152 137 142 150

165 157 156 167

183 172 169 180

France

351 371 382 5

F.Fr.

12.02 I1 71 11.04 10.08

II4 121 115 115

129 136 I35 137

145 I52 I53 I54

165 168 169 171

190 189 189 195

219 208 227 227

W. Germany

351 3ii 382 5

DM

!!.02 IO.05 9.89 10.00

106 105 I08 104

I15 113 114 110

124 120 I23 117

127 126 129 124

128 133 135 134

137 I41 146 144

Italy

351 371 382 5

Lire

I22 124 124 125

151 154 158 I58

190 183 188 187

232 205 210 218

191 255 262 279

351 313 321 327

Netherlands

351 37 382 5

GUlldtX

10.73 9.47 9.70

115 109 II2 114

123 120 120 123

134 130 130 135

141 139 137 148

148 147 143 162

155 I54 I53 170

U.K.

35112 371 382 5

Pound

1.17 1.16 1.10 I .04

I28 130 126 128

140 147 140 143

150 158 155 157

174 184 177 175

208 209 207 201

247 247 240 247

Australia’

35 t/2/3 37 3811213 5

A.%

3.79 3.73 3.42 3.55

I13 II2 I08 112

127 I28 123 I28

139 144 135 I41

150 I50 143 149

173 165 157 162

195 192 I75 181

Canada

35112 37112 382 5

Can.%

4.74 5.43 5.13 6.77

II3 116 II5 119

128 127 126 132

140 141 136 I48

150 152 147 I56

161 166 162 167

I86 183 176 I86

U.S.A.

351 371 382 5

U.S.$

I10 I10 I08 106

122 120 I15 113

133 I35 126 I18

142 149 136 127

I54 164 148 136

(3rdQr)

169 Id0 164 147 (3rdQr)

Denmark

35112 38212 5

D.Kr.

26.68 27.92 29.17

115 II9 114

129 131 129

143 542 144

I59 160 160

177 177 180

I89 191 195

Norway

35112 382 5

N.Kr.

22.12 23.39 26.39

113 118 116

137 140 136

153 I”5 151

165 168 165



3 173 I71

185 198 189

(4thQr)

(41hQr)

169 167 I61 170 ( -Dec.

I85 179 175 190 ( -Dec.

35 SW&. 371 382 5 (12 months to Dec. I974 35112 371 382 5

Yen

1486 I542 1325 1255 IO.60

18.50 20.90 19.37 22.45

) I 115.8 1126.1 940.8 722.8

121 120 II8 I19 ( -Dec. I975 )

135 132 130 133 ( -Dec. I976

112 II8 II4 117

I21 I26 122 132

)

145 141 141 149 (-Dec.1977)

153 151 149 I58 ( -Dec. I978

132 138 133 148

139 143 139 160

‘For Japan, manual and non-manual workers, including holiday pay ( see: Vol. 5, pp. 75-77 ) . bIntemational Standard Industrial Classification: ‘From 1983 onwards, indices apply to May and November. 35 Manufacture of chemicals 353 Petroleum refineries 35 I Manufacture of industrial chemicals 37 Basic metal industries 35i Manufacture of other chemicals 371 Iron and steel basic industries

)

154 150 150 172

)

165 I62 I61 183

1

161

Oct.

Apr.

198 186 189 194

Oct.

Apr.

208 200 200 202

Oct.

Apr.

Oct.

Apr.

Oct.

Apr.

Oct.

Apr.

221 204 212 210

223 224 216 215

226 226 219 218

229 230 220 220

233 232 224 223

235 233 228 226

235 233 228 226

239 236 231 231

247 249 253 263

272 273 276 289

284 289 289 296

300 304 306 317

323 308 323 329

334 327 337 340

340 330 340 350

353 346 356 359

361 355 364 370

368 360 372 379

374 364 378 386

376 368 385 392

146 149 153 151

149 I56 I58 153

I53 I54 I59 I56

I57 I61 162 I61

I59 160 164 162

162 I61 !64 I65

164 163 169 166

166 I71 177 166

I69 I71 178 168

I71 173 179 172

178 180 187 I72

180 183 189 176

414 385 395 406

443 409 419 448

477 442 453 484

512 476 490 518

543 507 523 547

578 542 559 585

605 557 580 602

629 590 610 631

659 614 636 661

662 619 639 664

697R 636R 6641 690

727 672 702 709

183 I75 172 188

190 177 I74 187

193 I80 176 189

194 180 I76 189

I93 I81 178 I95

196 183 179 I95

198 184 180 197

I97 I85 I81 199

325 342 306 309

335 369 319 323

352 380 328 328

363 393 345 338

378 406 358 349

384R 4llR 373 363

40@ 411 379 374

421 455 390 388

258 265 264 260

270 276 275 272

271 276 264 295

285 283 274 302

295 298 284 313

297 300 285 315

299 317 303 321

310 324 313 330

I75 172 I71 190

I65 164 162 180 275 272 263 266

283 291 282 283

210 214 204 215

295 296 286 289

313 332 301 306

246 249 244 250

209 214 202 212

221 226 209 216

228 240 216 228

232 240 219 207

240 252 222 202

244 256 224 207

253 265 231 203

254 272 230 211

260 277 233 204

265 276 234 211

273 2GO 240 i39

280 287 243 219

I91 197 178 I58

I95 203 182 162

204 208 183 169

206 196 186 170

215 218 192 172

(IstQr)

( 3rd Qr 1

(IstQr)

(3rdQr)

225 222 I97 174 (3rdQr)

228 229 200 I75 (JstQr)

234 230 205 177 (3rd Qr)

233 238 207 176 (IstQr)

238 237 207 181

(3rdQr)

220 226 I95 I71 (1st Qr)

(3rd OrI

243 238 210 180 (1st Qrl

246 241 252

258 250 261

263 259 271

269 261 282

270 264 285

272 266 287

271 267 295

301 284 320

233 248 235 (4thQr)

241 252 238 (2ndQr)

255 269 255 (4thQr)

258 272 260 (2ndQr)

268 281 269 (4thQr)

281 287 281 (2ndQr)

312 308 306 (4th QrI

329 345 337

295 285 276 269 (-June)

298 289 282 283 (-Dec.)

313 302 294 300 (-June)

213 200 192 227

216 203’ 196 233

219 202 197 237

210 208 211 199 211 204 ( 4th Or 1 203 194 194 203 (-Dec.)

233 232 240 196 209 209

222 232 230

(ZndQr)

( 4th Qr 1

216 209 206 213 (-June)

213 209 210 208 ( -Dec.

1

221 232 228 (2ndQr) 231 224 220 219 (-June)

236 228 225 223 (-Dec.)

194 186 177 173 177 I87 179 182 I79 I75 184 I81 I76 I71 176 213 201 201 205 198 _ 372 Non-ferrous metal basic industries 38 I Manufacture of fabricated metal products, excl. machinery 382 Manufacture of m;?chinery excl. electrical 383 Manufacture of electrical machinery 5 Construction

256 246 240 240 ( -June)

261 252 247 240 (-Dec.)

275 269 259 249 ( -June)

277 269 263 256 ( -Dec.)

197 189 186 219

202 189 190 223

206 194 192 224

209 I98 194 225

(2nd OrI

351 371 382 5 351 371 382 5 351 371 382 5 351 37 382 5 35 112 371 382 5

W. Germany

Italy

Netherlands

U.K. Pound

Guilder

Lire

DM

F.Fr.

1.60 1.24 1.41 1.30

17.28 19.53 16.38 17.27

2927 3084 2677 2334

18.18 17.09 16.32 15.30

20.43 22.25 18.99 17.24

32.28 33.50 34.42

129 157 126 129

116 110 114 115

126 130 127 125

108 109 109 104

143

126 127 118 115

143 181 142 143

124 122 !22 124

166 161 162 159

120 118 116 112

138 136

144

131 128 128

116 119 114

133 126 128 136

153 194 157 155

137 133 134 139

196 192 194 190

130 126 126 120

160 162 156 154

145 140 143

149 137 140 15C

178 231 180 172

143 141 141 150

240 2 14 220 233

133 131 133 128

188 182 172 172

163 157 159

155 145 148 155

214 265 214 200

150 151 145 163

303 264 272 282

136 139 140 139

209 205 193 195

180 174 179

169 166 160 172

254 312 252 246

158 156 135 172

365 324 333 334

145 149 152 151

242 239 232 227

192 190 196

187 180 173 187

France

D.Kr.

120 110 116 119

292 356 280 278

164 164 162 182

435 402 414 420

154 157 159 157

276 270 260 265

217 212 212

205 198 194 203

1981

35 l/2 38213 5

267.3 287.1 227.7 255.0

1979

Denmark ( 3rd Quarter of each year )

B.Fr.

1978

351 371 382 5

1977

Belgium

Local currency

1976

1980

1975

ISICb

Country

1974

( 1974 =: 100 )

Indices of average hourly labour costs of adult manuala workers in selected industries

TABLE 4

313 389 305 295

175 175 174 192

509 468 482 508

162 164 166 164

321 319 301 301

245 238 246

217 216 208 216

1982

347 452 329 325

180 178 175 190

579 537 556 574

168 171 172 170

355 347 330 338

264 255 265

230 220 221 222

1983

376 501 352 345

195 183 179 191

645 590 617 632

174 174 177 174

384 365 348 356

283 274 285

235 226 228 231

1984

405 544 391 3?2

197 185 182 193

703 65 1 677 693

180 182 187 177

408 393 373 378

294 284 304

243 250 233 235

1985

421 558 413 392

200 186 183 198

706 656 680 697

181 184 188 181

416 398 380 385

301 290 311

245 251 237 238

Apr.

1986

439 558 419 404

202 188 184 200

742R 674R 706R 724

189 192 196 181

423’ 402 387 392

299 292 320

245 251 237 238

Oct.

468 626 437 425

202 191) 186 204

782 722 754 751

191 195 198 186

429 411 398 404

336 312 350

249 254 241 244

Apr.

1987

Can.$

Yen

N.Kr.

35112 371/2 382 5 35112 371 382 5 351/2 382 5 35 371 382 5 351 371 382 5

Japan ( Annual averages )

Norway ( 3rd Quarter of each year )

Sweden ( 4th Quarter of each year )

U.S.A. 7.51 7.61 6.82 8.95

26.09 30.31 27.5 1 30.76

30.97 32.75 35.10

1295 1306 1092 839

5.93 6.79 6.21 7.99

4.81 4.74 4.34 4.51

129 129 123 129 128 133 127 134 123 131 123 133 139 142 138 146 138 138 141 125 123 115 114

113 112 108 112 113 118 116 120 113 121 113 117 114 120 118 126 123 122 123 112 112 108 108

Indices apply at October of each year unless othetwise stated. aand bSee Table 3. ‘First Quarter. dSecond Quarter. ‘From 1983 onwards, indices apply to May and November.

U.S.$

SW&.

A.$

35 l/2/3 37 38 l/2/3 5

Australia’

136 13g 126 122

161 148 154 162

155 157 154

134 144 135 151

140 150 139 151

141 145 136 142

145 152 136 129

174 162 167 175

167 171 168

144 151 143 164

150 165 149 157

152 153 ’ 145 152

157 168 149 140

192 176 184 192

165 176 174

159 159 155 178

161 182 168 174

176 168 160 164

172 197 166 151

217 205 206 219

188 201 192

171 172 167 189

186 199 183 192

198 195 180 184

198 226 182 166

237 218 223 241

202 214 207

181 187 178 207

218 237 213 223

219 222 213 224

212 252 188 177

249 235 244 251

227 237 235

196 196 190 216

241 269 232 244

258 260 255 262

230 267 203 188

278 256 263 268

241 255 242

208 207 198 234

257 286 242 219

278 281 281 276

246 263 213 190

294 278 291 284

262 277 263

216 207 202 238

271 301 252 220

287 293 281 313

260 272 224 200

339 312 320 314

278 291 280

225 219 209 242

283 319 258 225

319 321 306 337

259 287 227 202

352d 324d 330d 334d

293’ 300” 296’

230 221 207 244

288 318 259 232

321 323 308 340

264 286 228 207

370 341 331 350

325 321 322

233 224 211 251

297 322 265 230

325 344 329 349

270 287 231 206

390d 35gd 346d 366d

348’ 364’ 360’

235 223 212 255

305 330 270 242

337 352 340 358

1.50 1.42 1.39 1.42

1987 Jan 2 Apr. 1 Jul. 1 Oct. 1 39.9 37.6 37.9 38.3

50.1 47.0 44.6 42.0

1.38 1.31 1.33 1.31

1.40 1.39 1.38 1.39

7.26 6.85 6.92 7.10

8.60 8.09 7.63

8.90

6.35 6.04 6.09 6.15

7.50 7.17 6.95 6.62

4.77 4.29 4.71 4.94 4.53 4.21 4.19 5.30 6.52 7.60 8.81 8.81 6.92

F.Fr.

France

1.92 1.82 1.83 1.85

2.45 2.33 2.18 2.02

2.62 2.44 2.51 2.34 2.03 1.82 1.85 2.21 2.40 2.54 2.88 2.88 2.18

DM.

W. Germany

1328 1295 1323 1333

1674 1588 1495 1396

636 649 803 880 857 824 876 127 337 514 1768 1866 1496

Lira

Italy

58 46 ,47 147

99 78 63 54

285 298 298 275 215 213 217 219 244 235 239 233 170

Yen

Japan

2.16 2.06 2.06 2.08

2.75 2.63 2.45 2.28

2.72 2.62 2.67 2.45 2.19 1.99 2.01 2.44 2.65 2.85 3.24 3.25 2.45

Guilder

Netherlands

7.33 6.84 6.70 6.74

7.55 7.27 7.45 7.18

5.56 5.18 4.98 5.30 5.25 5.01 4.96 5.66 6.41 7.31 8.24 8.46 7.36

Krone

Norway

6.73 6.34 6.39 6.46

1 7.57 7.35 7.08 6.90

4.47 4.11 4.38 4.38 4.56 4.26 4.24 5.04 6.22 7.65 8.33 8.47 7.13

Krbna

Sweden

‘Annual rates are averages of rates on the first trading day in each of the four quarters in the year and of the first quarter in the following year.

1.47 1.38 1.52 1.59

1986 Jan. 2 Apr. 1 Jul. 1 Oct. 1

6.13 5.68 6.07 5.94 5.48 5.16 5.60 6.97 8.24 9.10 10.4 10.4 8.10

1.01 0.987 1.05 1.16 1.17 1.17 1.19 1.24 1.23 1.30 1.36 1.39

0.981

39.5 36.5 39.0 35.8 31.9 28.7 29.1 36.4 44.5 50.4 58.3 58.2 44.7

0.760 0.802 0.905 0.87 1 0.887 0.863 0.869 0.977 1.11 1.15 1.42 1.49

0.694

1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986

Krone

Can.$

B.Fr.

A.$

Denmark

Canada

Belgium

Australia

Currency exchange ratesa relative to U.S. Dollar

TABLE 5

0.670 0.623 0.619 0.620

0.68 1 0.646 0.692

0.692

Pound 0.4 1 0.448 0.545 0.579 0.527 0.472 0.426 0.49 1 0.572 0.663 0.763 0.77 1 0.676

U.K.

165 materials and labour costs give the erected costs and the resultant indices are based on January 1, 1975= 1.0. Previous articles, particularly one dealing with costs in the U.S.A. C4], have pointed up the possible variations in erected costs indices arising from differences between national and regional and local site costs. In the article on U.S.A. costs it was shown that variations for four selected regions ranged from 5% below to 20% above national averages. It was suggested too that it would be prudent to allow a margin of t 10%of the erected cost to cover local variations in rates of pay and construction productivity. This possibility of variatiocn;at specific sites relative to national averages should always be borne in mind. The increases in the indices of erected costs (Table 1) in the year to July 1, 1987 vary considerably from one country to another. Expressed as percentages they are as follows: Belgium Denmark France W. Germany Italy Netherlands U.K.

0.5 8.8 4,3 0.6 5.1 1.9 5.5

Australia Canada Japan Norway Sweden U.S.A.

7.5 2.4 0.5 17.3 7.0 1.9

The average percentage change is 4.9%. These changes are due largely to increased hourly labour costs (Table 4). All thirteen countries show increases, ranging from 2% to TABLE

20%, for mechanical engineering and construction, the two classifications used in compiling the indices. Materials prices (Table 2) on the other hand have been quite steady in the same period and most changes could be regarded as adjustments to bring prices into line with those of competitors. As Table 7 indicates there is a large degree of uniformity in prices for each of the four materials listed, except in the case of Italy. For Japan the indices quoted relate to “market” rather than basic, ex works, prices (see footnote to Table 2).

The relationship of the various currencies to the U.S. dollar in the first three quarters of 1987 are shown in Table 5. Using rates at April 1 to compare the first halves of 1986and 1987, all currencies listed have appreciated over the year relative to the U.S. dollar, except the Australian dollar. The percentage changes were as follows: Belgium Denmark France W. Germany Italy Netherlands

20.0 20.3 15.8 21.9 18.5 2 1.7

U.K. Australia Canada Japan Norway Sweden

8.5 -2.9 6.0 18.0 6.0 13.7

The average change is 15.5%. It will be seen there was a degree of stabilisation of the dollar against most of the other

6

Comparison

Belgium Denmark France W. Germany Italy Netherlands U.K. Australia Canada Japan Norway Sweden U.S.A.

of erected costs of plants with U.S.A. = I .O, as at January 1st unless otherwise stated 1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

I980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1986 July I

1987

1987 July I

1.07 1.06 0.85 1.02 0.86 1.04 0.77 0.92 0.92 0.58 I.16 1.24 -

I .oo 1.01 0.93 0.98 0.88 1.05 0.81 0.89 0.95 0.55 I.16 I.18 I.0

I.01 0.98 0.89 0.99 0.81 I .05 0.70 0.94 I .05 0.59 1.28 1.24 -

I.10 0.98 0.87 I .02 0.82 1.12 0.72 0.85 0.98 0.65 1.25 I.13

I.18 I.10 0.96 I.12 0.91 1.13 0.80 0.87 0.87 0.82 1.29 I.19

1.36 I.13 I .02 I .20 I.01 I.18 0.94 0.84 0.90 0.79 I.31 1.26

I.21 1.05 1.04 I.13 I.01 I.12 I .08 0.90 0.90 0.77 1.32 1.29

0.92 0.80 0.82 0.88 0.78 0.82 0.86 0.89 0.92 0.73 1.07 0.99

0.8 I 0.76 0.75 0.85 0.79 0.82 0.79 0.86 0.92 0.60 I .oo 0.90

0.72 0.72 0.68 0.76 0.74 0.73 0.68 0.80 0.86 0.62 0.92 0.76

0.60 0.62 0.58 0.64 0.65 0.61 0.59 0.76 0.8 I 0.58 0.82 0.70

0.68 0.7 I 0.67 0.73 0.72R 0.69 0.70 0.67 0.76 0.65 0.89 0.79

0.83R 0.87R 0.84 0.89 0.88 0.83 0.80 0.73 0.80 0.82 I.15 0.95

0.92 0.98 0.90 I.01 1.00 0.96 0.88 0.68 0.80 w.94 I.15 I .03 --

1.03 I.15 0.99 I.12 I.11 I.06 0.90 0.78 0.85 0.96 1.28 I.14

166 TABLE7 Comparisonofprices, withU.S.A.=l.O.for: IOrdinary Portlandcemenl IISteelre-inforcingbar 111 Steel sections (heavy) IV Sreelplate 1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987 isthaif

Isthalf

Zndhalf

Belgium

I ii iii IV

0.77 I.35 1.08 1.53

0.78 I.11 0.87 I.10

0.77 1.02 0.88 0.87

0.84 1.24 0.96 0.94

0.88 I.17 0.90 0.86

0.91 1.08 1.02 0.94

0.92 I.15 0.93 0.90

0.77 0.91 0.73 0.66

0.77 1.08 0.72 0.66

0.72 1.06 0.59 0.63

0.57 0.73 0.47 0.50

0.63 0.82 0.49 0.54

0.79 1.06 0.67 0.91

0.92 I.18 0.67 0.95

1.03 1.32 0.70 1.03

Denmark

I ii IV

1.02 1.22 1.38

1.07 1.26 1.03

0.92 I.18 0.84

0.91 I.32 0.85

0.95 I.16 0.88

0.93 1.05 0.87

1.05 I.15 0.82

0.90 0.93 0.62

0.77 1.03 0.65

0.82 1.05 0.64

0.59 0.85 0.49

0.65 0.88 0.52

0.80 1.07 0.92

0.91 1.19 0.93

1.00 1.32 1.07

France

I

0.83 1.05 0.94 1.20

0.86 I.13 0.87 1.29

0.84 1.16 0.85 1.09

0.77 I.16 0.83 0.89

0.83 1.25 0.92 0.87

0.93 1.05 0.92 0.88

I.01 I.19 0.92 0.87

0.88 0.98 0.70 0.65

0.80 I.01 0.68 0.69

0.73 0.84 0.54 0.62

0.59 0.73 0.44 0.52

0.64 0.77 0.47 0.54

0.79 I.08 0.67 0.90

0.91 I.19 0.65 1.00

1.00 I.31 0.70 1.05

ii iii IV

0.84 1.24 1.06 1.23

0.83 1.14 0.98 1.06

0.'4 I.13 0.94 0.94

0.77 I.17 0.93 0.91

0.83 1.20 0.90 0.87

0.84 1.06 0.98 0.93

0.82 1.08 0.86 0.87

0.72 0.90 0.69 0.73

0.74 1.10 0.82 0.73

0.73 C.88 0.62 0.63

0.59 0.73 0.47 0.53

0.63 0.79 0.54 0.57

0.79 1.03 0.65 0.94

0.93 I.17 0.68 0.98

1.03 1.31 0.70 1.04

I ii iii IV

0.55 1.32 1.04 1.21

0.61 0.98 0.89 1.19

0.51 0.95 0.83 0.96

0.53 1.09 0.86 0.87

0.56 1.12 0.88 0.85

0.64 1.08 0.91 0.90

0.68 1.03 0.86 0.87

0.61 0.78 0.61 0.65

0.59 0.76 0.65 0.67

0.57 0.75 0.57 0.63

0.48 0.62 0.48 0.53

0.49 0.73 0.50 0.57

0.62 0.88 0.65 0.90

0.74 0.71 0.71 1.01

0.79 0.83 0.74 1.04

I ii IV

0.85 1.33 1.33

0.88 1.06 1.24

0.83 1.09 I.13

0.88 1.26 1.13

0.92 I.16 0.86

0.92 1.06 0.88

0.90 I.20 0.81

0.79 0.98 0.62

0.76 1.14 0.68

0.72 0.93 0.61

0.61 0.66 0.52

0.64 0.80 0.55

0.83 1.03 0.88

0.97 I.20 1.02

1.08 1.25 1.09

I ii iii IV

0.70 1.05 0.92 0.98

0.78 I.11 0.98 1.05

0.72 1.22 0.89 0.85

0.75 1.20 0.89 0.81

0.84 1.17 0.89 0.86

1.00 I.13 I.17 0.91

1.30 1.41 1.23 0.96

I.21 1.22 1.07 0.74

I.10 1.23 0.83 0.68

0.95 I.17 0.70 0.59

0.74 0.90 0.58 0.49

0.78 1.03 0.65 0.54

0.92 I.15 0.78 0.82

0.95 I.13 0.83 0.86

1.00 I.16 0.87 0.88

I

1.25 I.11 0.97 1.00

I.14 1.23 0.90 0.96

I.13 1.50 0.94 0.98

1.05 1.45 0.86 0.88

I.08 1.42 0.86 0.88

1.02 1.23 0.84 0.84

1.06 1.35 0.90 0.90

1.14 1.47 0.89 0.88

1.15 1.56 0.80 0.82

I.12 1.64 0.70 0.68

1.06 I.41 0.67 0.67

0.90 I.21 0.59 0.60

0.93 1.23 0.63 0.80

0.93 1.20 0.63 0.79

1.06 I.41 0.70 0.87

ii iii IV

I.11 0.97 0.86 0.83

1.04 I.19 0.83 0.86

I.13 1.34 0.91 0.93

1.09 1.14 0.84 0.88

0.99 0.97 0.75 0.78

0.99 0.90 0.79 0.7e

1.02 0.92 0.83 0.79

I.10 0.95 0.84 0.78

1.20 1.06 0.78 0.76

I:25 1.11 0.76 0.71

I.15 0.88 0.69 0.68

I.15 0.93 0.68 0.68

I.16 0.92 0.70 0.84

I.19 0.93 0.70 0.83

1.25 0.98 0.72 0.84

Japan

I IV

0.99 0.77

0.84 0.75

0.81 0.83

0.84 0.92

I.06 I.14

1.02 1.04

1.19 0.98

1.18 0.91

1.03 0.73

1.05 0.73

0.96 0.70

0.98 0.74

1.30 1.24

1.52 I.41

1.58 1.37

Norway

I ii iii

1.02 I.21 I.21

1.07 1.37 0.99

I.11 1.50 1.08

1.07 1.43 I.01

1.05 1.22 0.90

1.09 1.17 0.92

I.15 1.24 0.94

1.07 1.12 0.75

0.99 1.19 0.76

0.97 I.16 0.65

0.81 0.85 0.43

0.84 0.89 0.51

0.97 1.11 0.68

0.97 I.19 0.72

I.11 1.33 0.74

Sweden

I

0.92 1.27 1.44 1.67

0.99 1.37 1.04 I.11

0.96 1.43 1.05 0.98

1.00 1.52 0.91 0.80

0.95 1.37 0.87 0.83

0.99 1.33 0.93 0.83

I.05 1.45 0.95 0.80

0.93 I.14 0.75 0.63

0.83 I.12 0.74 0.65

0.74 1.00 0.62 0.60

0.66 0.82 0.53 0.52

0.71 0.87 0.56 0.56

0.87 1.07 0.68 0.92

0.96 1.19 0.74 1.00

1.05 1.30 0.74 1.05

ii iii IV W.Germany

ilaiy

Netherlands

U.K.

Australia

I

ii iii iv Canada

I

ii iii IV

SeefootnoresinTable2.

TABLE

8

Comparison

of hourly labour costs, with U.S.A. = I .O ISH.?

1974

1975

1976

1977

1978

.979

I980

1981

I982

1983

I984

Ckt.

0.62 0.65 0.65 0.62

0.72 0.70 0.74 0.72

0.79 0.79 0.83 0.78

0.87 0.89 0.93 0.89

0.44 0.55 0.51

0.50 0.65 0.61

0.5gb 0.73b 0.69b

0.64 0.82 0.78

0.7gb 0.97b 0.95h

0.53 0.54 0.57 0.43

0.45 0.43 0.49 0.39

0.53 0.52 0.58 0.45

0.61 0.57 0.65 0.51

0.66 0.62 0.71 0.55

0.72 0.69 0.80 0.62

0.74 0.58 0.84 0.63

0.67 0.62 0.77 0.59

0.56 0.49 0.65 0.51

0.63 0.57 0.75 0.57

0.73 0.62 0.85 0.66

0.86 0.74 I .02 0.74

0.94 0.84 I.13 0.85

0.68 0.57 0.71 0.53

0.66 0.53 0.71 0.53

0.62 0.58 0.68 0.50

0.53 0.48 0.59 0.46

0.59 0.54 0.66 0.50

0.67 0.58 0.74 0.57

0.78R 7.691 ~.87R 0.65

0.87 0.79 0.99 0.73

I .06 I .04 1.22 I.1 I

0.69 0.67 0.77 0.86

0.69 0.64 0.80 0.76

0.61 0.65 0.71 0.68

0.53 0.32 0.59 0.57

0.58 0.59 0.65 0.62

0.67 0.64 0.74 0.72

0.77 0.74 0.85 0.82

0.84 0.82 0.99 0.93

0.64 0.56 0.65 0.45

0.75 0.62 0.75 0.57

0.58 0.17 0.58 0.45

0.53 0.43 0.57 0.41

0.48 0.43 0.50 0.37

0.40 0.39 0.42 0.33

0.47 0.46 0.51 0.38

0.52 0.48 0.55 0.41

0.51 0.46 0.55 0.41

0.59 0.57 0.63 0.48

0.78 0.73 0.78 0.69

0.8 I 0.70 0.77 0.67

0.85 0.70 0.82 0.72

0.8 I 0.67 0.79 0.72

0.71 0.61 0.81 0.68

0.69 0.59 0.79 0.68

0.62 0.59 0.73 0.64

0.56 0.52 0.62 0.60

0.58 0.51 0.62 0.61

0.50 0.47 0.58 0.53

0.56 0.54 0.66 0.62

0.75 0.90 0.94 I .03

0.69 0.81 0.84 0.91

0.72 0.84 0.89 1.04

0.73 0.77 0.86 0.97

0.72 0.77 0.88 0.99

0.72 0.77 0.91 0.99

0.72 0.87 0.88 0.85

0.67 0.79 0.83 0.79

0.63 0.76 0.76 0.73

0.63 0.71 0.75 0.74

0.64 0.72 0.76 0.71

0.68 0.78 0.8 I 0.80

0.57 0.61 0.57 0.37

0.62 0.65 0.63 0.42

0.80 0.79 0.78 0.56

0.82 0.76 0.?9 0.58

0.79 0.69 0.74 0.54

0.72 0.65 0.72 0.53

0.59 0.50 0.60 0.42

0.66 0.63 0.66 0.48

0.62 0.55 0.62 0.48

0.70 0.65 0.70 0.53

0.86 0.74 0.82 0.64

0.99 0.87 0.96 0.74

1.00 0.89 0.98 0.77

0.75 0.95 0.76

0.86 I.12 0.89

0.86 I .09 0.90

0.93 I.17 I .oo

0.89 I.17 I.10

0.93 I .20 I .02

0.71 0.96 0.83

0.64 0.87 0.75

0.59 0.82 0.69

0.50 0.71 0.62

0.56 0.79 0.72

0.64’ 0.87’ 0.79b

0.71 0.94 0.85

0.75b I .07b 0.97h

0.88 0.98 I .02 0.88

0.95 I .05 I.13 0.99

0.86 0.88 I .02 0.95

0.95 0.96 I.12 I .06

I .03 I.01 I.21 I.14

I .05 I .oo I.21 I .to

0.74 0.69 0.88 0.89

0.65 0.59 0.84 0.78

0.54 0.55 0.67 0.63

0.48 0.49 0.64 0.59

0.57 0.57 0.72 0.67

0.64’ 0.61’ 0.80’ 0.76

0.70 0.69 0.85 0.84

0.79’ 0.78’ 0.95’ 0.96’

351 371 382 5

0.9 I 0.94 0.85 0.73

0.97 0.94 0.9 I 0.80

I.01 I .03 0.99 0.90

I.10 I .05 I .04 0.98

-1.29 I.18 I.19 I.16

1.36 1.33 1.28 1.24

1.28 1.00 I.18 I.21

0.97 0.87 0.91 0.93

0.74 0.66 0.76 0.71

0.67 0.68 0.68 0.64

0.55 0.51 0.58 0.56

Denmark

35112 38213 5

0.70 0.80 0.63

0.73 0.89 0.67

0.77 0.93 0.73

0.75 0.89 0.74

0.90 I .06 0.89

0.97 I.13 0.97

0.89 I.01 0.90

0.63 0.76 0.65

0.56 0.70 0.59

0.52 0.65 0.57

France

351 371 382 5

0.58 0.62 0.59 0.41

0.69 0.74 0.68 0.46

0.63 0.67 0.68 0.47

0.66 0.70 0.71 0.50

0.80 0.80 0.81 0.59

0.89 0.83 0.89 0.74

0.91 0.85 0.89 0.69

0.68 0.63 0.73 0.55

0.58 0.52 0.63 0.46

W. Germany

351 371 382 5

0.91 0.85 0.90 0.64

0.90 0.83 0.92 0.63

0.95 0.88 0.99 0.69

I.01 0.89 1.05 0.74

I.15 1.00 I.21 0.88

1.23 1.07 I .30 I .02

I.12 0.94 I.21 0.94

0.81 0.68 0.90 0.70

Italy

351 371 382 5

0.59 0.61 0.60 0.40

0.64 0.69 0.67 0.44

0.61 0.C : 0.65 0.43

0.64 0.64 0.69 0.46

0.81 0.71 0.78 0.57

0.94 0.80 0.90 0.72

0.96 0.78 0.92 0.67

Netherlands

351 37 382 5

0.85 0.95 0.89 0.72

0.89 0.95 0.94 0.77

0.89 0.99 0.99 0.81

0.95 I.01 I .05 0.91

I .08 I.13 I.18 I .07

I.14 I .26 1.33 I .20

U.K.

35112 371 382 5

0.50 0.40 0.48 0.34

0.50 0.46 0.49 0.36

0.41 0.40 0.43 0.31

0.42 0.41 0.46 0.33

0.51 0.49 0.54 0.38

Australia

3511213 37 38 I/2/3 5

0.84 0.82 0.84 0.66

0.81 0.78 0.81 0.66

0.82 0.81 0.86 0.71

0.74 0.73 0.77 0.65

Canada

35112 37112 382 5

0.80 0.91 0.92 0.91

0.77 0.91 0.95 0.96

0.83 0.99 I .04 I.08

Japan (Annual averages

35112 371 382 5

0.60 0.60 0.56 0.33

0.58 0.62 0.56 0.34

35112 382 5

0.75 0.s7 0.71

35 371 382 5

0.78 0.90 0.91 0.77

Norway

( 3rd OrI Sweden (4thQr)

)

1987 Apr.

1986 Apr.

Belgium

(3rd Qr)

1985

Indices apply at October of each year unless otherwise stated. “International Standard Industrial Classifications: See footnote in Table 3. hFirst quarter. ‘Second quarter.

168 currencies from April t to October 1, 1987 but there was a further fall in the dollar value of about 10% in the last quarter of 1987. INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON ERECTED COSTS

OF

From Table 6 it will be seen that erected costs of plants, compared to those in the U.S.A., were higher in seven countries and lower in three. The main feature illustrated by the Table is the large increase in the relative costs in the year to July 1, 1987. This is due --.,ainly in most countries to the fall in the value of the U.S. dollar, but in the case of Norway the increase in the national index outweighed the’effect of currency changes.

creases approaching 10% per annum in the immediate future. The remaining five countries should continue at around 5% per annum increase although in the year to July 1, 1987, Denmark at 8.8% and Australia at 7.5% were considerably higher. Turning to the international comparison, the currency markets will continue in a state of flux until the U.S. dollar is stabilised. The average of the relative costs at July 1, 1987 shown in Table 6 is 1.03, and hence it could be argued that the dollar value in the first half of 1987 was at the right level relative to most other currencies. However in view of the further depreciation of the dollar in the last quarter of 1987 it is likely that, at January 1, 1988,relative costs in the other twelve countries will be at their highest at least since 1980/ 1, and for some, such as Australia and Japan, even earlier. REFERENCES

Previous trends would indicate that national indices of erected costs in Japan, West Germany, the Netherlands and Canada are unlikely to change appreciably in the next year or two. Belgium and the U.S.A. too are likely to remain fairly stable. At the other extreme Norway and Sweden look likely to have annual in-

Engineering Costs and Production Economics, 6( 3) ( 1982) 267-273. EngineeringCostsand Production Economics, 7( 1) ( 1982) 13-18. Engineering Costs and Production Economics, 8( 3) (1985) 137-144. Engineering Costs and Production Economics, 10( 4) (4 986) 267-270.