Development and assessment of a pictorial guide to improve accuracy of visual estimation of blood loss of small animals

Development and assessment of a pictorial guide to improve accuracy of visual estimation of blood loss of small animals

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Journal Pre-proof Development and assessment of a pictorial guide to improve accuracy of visual estimation of blood loss of small animals Scott H. Cumming, BVSc (Hons) MCom MANZCVS, Fernando Martinez-Taboada, LV CertVA PGCert(Biostats) DipECVAA PII:

S1467-2987(20)30008-8

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaa.2019.10.007

Reference:

VAA 472

To appear in:

Veterinary Anaesthesia and Analgesia

Received Date: 28 May 2019 Revised Date:

23 August 2019

Accepted Date: 6 October 2019

Please cite this article as: Cumming SH, Martinez-Taboada F, Development and assessment of a pictorial guide to improve accuracy of visual estimation of blood loss of small animals, Veterinary Anaesthesia and Analgesia, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaa.2019.10.007. This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2020 Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of Association of Veterinary Anaesthetists and American College of Veterinary Anesthesia and Analgesia.

RESEARCH STUDY

Development and assessment of a pictorial guide to improve accuracy of visual estimation of blood loss of small animals.

Running title: Estimating blood loss with a pictorial guide

Authors: Scott H. Cumminga* BVSc (Hons) MCom MANZCVS Fernando Martinez-Taboadaa LV CertVA PGCert(Biostats) DipECVAA

Affiliation: a

Anaesthesia Department, The Veterinary Teaching Hospital Sydney, The University of

Sydney, 65 Parramatta Rd, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia

* Corresponding Author. Email address: [email protected] Postal address: Rm 338, Evelyn Williams Building No. B10, The University of Sydney, New South Wales, 2006, Australia.

Author contributions: SHC: Idea development, study design, data and statistical analysis, manuscript preparation and writing. FMT: Idea development, study design, data and statistical analysis, manuscript preparation and revision, and overall supervision of work.

Conflict of interest statement The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Acknowledgement The Authors would like to thank Alexander Philp for his assistance during the early phases of this project, especially during the production of the images for this study.

1

Abstract

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Objective To investigate the accuracy of visual blood loss estimation of small animals

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amongst veterinary staff and final-year veterinary students, and the development and

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utility of a pictorial guide to improve estimation, in a veterinary hospital.

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Study Design Online anonymous voluntary survey

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Methods A two-part online survey was circulated to voluntary participants at the

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University Veterinary Teaching Hospital Sydney, The University of Sydney, including

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students, nurses, interns, residents, general practitioners, and specialists. The survey

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consisted of visual and brief descriptive depictions of blood loss scenarios involving

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small animals, principally including images of common surgical items and receptacles

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containing a blood-like substance. Each participant estimated the blood volume (in mL)

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for each scenario twice, initially [Pre-Guide (PGD)] and then with the aid of a pictorial

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guide [With-Guide (WGD)]. The pictorial guide used similar images labelled with

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corresponding volumes. Data were analysed for normality with Shapiro-Wilks test,

15

corrected to absolute error and compared for statistical significance using the Wilcoxon

16

signed-ranks test or the Kruskal-Wallis test as appropriate (p < 0.05).

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Results A total of 59 participants provided 288 responses. The raw median PGD error

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was -16 mL (range -105 to 443), indicating a tendency toward underestimation of the

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actual volume. The WGD median error was 18 mL (range -91 to 191) indicating a

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tendency toward overestimation when using a pictorial guide (p < 0.0001). Data

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corrected to absolute error showed a PGD median error of 34 mL (range 0 to 443) and

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WGD median error of 23 mL (range 0 to 191) (p < 0.0001). There were differences

23

between the participant roles in the PGD phase but not when using the Guide.

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Conclusion and clinical relevance Participants generally underestimated surgical

25

blood loss, with a wide variation, when visually estimating scenarios involving small

26

animals. A pictorial guide improved estimation by reducing the absolute median error

27

and narrowing the range.

28 29

Keywords: blood loss; blood loss estimation; haemorrhage; pictorial guide

30 31 32 33 34

2

35

Introduction

36

Intraoperative haemorrhage contributes to patient morbidity and mortality (Budair et al.

37

2017). Appropriate management and response to haemorrhage requires both monitoring

38

haemodynamic variables such as mean arterial pressure (MAP) and pulse pressure

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difference (dPP) as well as accurate measurement of lost blood volume (Pestel et al.

40

2010; Adkins et al. 2014). Acute haemorrhage may necessitate a blood transfusion, and

41

this decision is informed by accurately estimating the volume of blood loss (Weingart et

42

al. 2004; Godinho-Cunha et al. 2011). Inaccuracy of blood loss estimation can have

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multiple detrimental effects. Overestimation, for example, can lead to unnecessary

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blood transfusion which wastes finite resources, incurs risk to the recipient and has also

45

been correlated with increased mortality in humans and animals (Hébert et al. 1999;

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Beattie et al. 2009; Glance et al. 2011; Wang et al. 2014). Underestimation, conversely,

47

can lead to hypovolaemic shock and reduced tissue oxygen delivery, increasing the risk

48

of morbidity and mortality (Beattie et al. 2009; Porter et al. 2013).

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In the medical literature, estimation of blood loss is well established as a

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challenging and inherently inaccurate undertaking (Cole 1953; Razvi et al. 1996;

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Schorn 2010; Ashburn et al. 2012; Adkins et al. 2014; Ali Algadiem et al. 2016;

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Rothermel & Lipman 2016). A wide variety of methods for assessing blood loss has

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been published including gravimetry, direct measurement, visual estimation,

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colorimetry and use of formulae (Lee et al. 2006; Clark et al. 2010; Schorn 2010;

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Lopez-Picado et al. 2017). Recently, recognising the impracticality of the more accurate

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methods (such as colorimetry), studies have focused on developing reference guides for

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assisted estimation of blood loss in the surgical setting (Zuckerwise et al. 2014; Ali

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Algadiem et al. 2016; Rothermel & Lipman 2016).

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In the veterinary literature, Lee et al (2006) examined the correlation between

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gravimetric and colorimetric measurement of blood loss. That study demonstrated a

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positive correlation between the weight of materials and the gold-standard colorimetric

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method, suggesting gravimetry would be a viable clinical option. Both gravimetric and

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colorimetric methods have recognised limitations owing to evaporation error,

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intraoperative utility and timely execution (Lee et al. 2006). A more recent study

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compared a formulaic method utilising haemoglobin concentrations of suction-collected

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fluid with a gravimetric and direct measurement method (Clark et al. 2010). These

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methods, however, are neither timely nor comprehensive.

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To our knowledge, there have been no studies assessing the accuracy of

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veterinary practitioners in visual estimation of blood loss in the surgical setting. Nor

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have there been investigations using pictorial guides to improve accuracy.

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In this study our primary aim was to investigate the degree of accuracy when

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estimating blood loss by observation. We hypothesised that there would be a significant

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difference, or error, when estimating blood volume from images. Secondly, we sought

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to evaluate the utility of a pictorial guide to improve accuracy. Our hypothesis was that

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a pictorial guide would assist and therefore reduce the error in the estimation. As a

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tertiary aim, we evaluated the impact of role on the accuracy of measuring blood loss.

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Role as a variable was selected to encompass professional experience, qualifications,

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and years of work. We hypothesised that there would have been no difference between

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roles.

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Materials and Methods

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This project was approved by the University of Sydney Medical Ethics Research

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Committee (number 2018/633).

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A series of images were created simulating blood collected in a variety of

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commonly used surgical blood collection devices including swabs, laparotomy sponge,

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kidney dish, and suction pot. Several different measured volumes of artificial blood

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(‘Fake Blood’, Face and Body Paint, Derivan, NSW, Australia) were added to each of

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these items to create different stages of saturation or filling. Measured volumes of blood

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were also used to create ‘puddles.’ All puddles, surgical items, and devices were then

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photographed (Canon EOS-400D, Canon Inc. Japan).

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A selection of these images, together with a brief fictional background case

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description for each scenario including species, weight and procedure, were used to

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create five ‘Scenarios’. The scenarios consisted of: 1) a suction pot containing 66 mL of

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artificial blood; 2) a kidney dish containing 105 mL of artificial blood; 3) a puddle of 50

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mL and swab with 7 mL of artificial blood; 4) a puddle of 17 mL and laparotomy

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sponge with 40 mL of artificial blood; and 5) a laparotomy sponge with 100 mL, a swab

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with 6 mL, and a swab with 3 mL of artificial blood (Appendix 1). The background and

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volumes represented in the images were designed to be a realistic reflection of common

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small animal surgical situations. The scenarios increased in complexity with more

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components presented in each scenario in comparison with the preceding image.

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Other images were used to create a pictorial guide (the ‘Guide’) in which items

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and receptacles containing different levels of filling or saturation were described and

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labelled. The Guide, consisting of one page, was hosted on the online platform Wix

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(wix.com, Israel) (Appendix 2).

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A

survey

was

created

and

hosted

online

using

Survey

Monkey

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(surveymonkey.com, CA, USA). The survey, consisting of four sections, complied with

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the guidelines detailed in the ‘Checklist for Reporting Results of Internet E-Surveys

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(CHERRIES)’ (Eysenbach 2004). The first section gathered demographic and

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professional information including role and years of experience. The second section

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consisted of the five ‘scenarios’, displaying an image or images and the background

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information, giving information as to the size of the item or receptacle, but without the

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volume of blood, and included a text input box. The third section provided a link to the

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online Guide on a separate browser tab. The fourth section repeated the scenarios from

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section two in the same order with a similar text input box.

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The survey was hosted on a local tablet device (Apple iPad, Apple Inc, CA,

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USA) within the physical premises of the University Veterinary Teaching Hospital

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Sydney, The University of Sydney. Staff and students were contacted via email and

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invited to take part in the survey by accessing the tablet. This was therefore a ‘closed’

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survey (Eysenbach 2004). No incentives were offered for participation. Individually

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accessing the tablet, all respondents gave digital written consent prior to commencing

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the survey. In accordance with CHERRIES Guidelines, all information was anonymous

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and no identifying data were collected (Eysenbach 2004).

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Respondents progressed through the survey by assessing each scenario and

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inputting an estimated volume of blood as a numerical value (in mL). Respondents

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initially assessed each scenario with only the information presented in the survey, and

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then reassessed each scenario with the aid of the Guide. In this way, each respondent

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provided one set of responses prior to the Guide [Pre-Guide (PGD)] and one set of

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responses using the Guide [With-Guide (WGD)]. All respondents completed the survey

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in a single session. Review and alteration of responses was possible within the phases

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(PGD and WGD), but not between the phases once the participant had progressed to the

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next phase.

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Statistical methods

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A minimum sample size of 36 individuals providing 360 observations was calculated in

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order to detect a 10 mL difference between the PGD and WGD responses using a power

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of 90% and significance level of 5%.

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To achieve an equivalent basis of comparison, each given numerical estimation

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response was converted into an estimate error value by subtracting the actual value from

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the given response (the ‘raw error’). This allowed assessment of either under- or

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overestimation of the responses, necessary for practical clinical application. The raw

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error values were then corrected to absolute values by removing the sign. This

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eliminated the confounding effects of negative values, and achieved an improved and

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more comparable representation of error magnitude and the effect of the Guide. Both

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raw error values and absolute error values were analysed and compared. Initially,

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descriptive statistics were used to assess the data. Then, the data were assessed for

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normality using a Shapiro-Wilk test. The statistical significance of the effect of the

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Guide was assessed using the Wilcoxon signed rank test.

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The Kruskal-Wallis test was used to assess the effect of the role on the responses

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for both the PGD and WGD phases using the post hoc Dunn’s Test with Bonferroni

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post hoc correction.

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To investigate the effect of the complexity of the scenario on the utility of the

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Guide, a Wilcoxon signed ranks test was conducted on error values for the PGD and

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WGD phases, for both the raw error and the absolute error, on each of the scenarios

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individually. Assessment was then made as to the nature of the error change (better or

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worse), if present. Significance levels were set at p < 0.05. Values are reported as

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median (range), negative raw error values indicate underestimation, while all other

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values are considered overestimation. All analyses and calculations were undertaken in

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RStudio Version 1.1.463 for Mac OS 10.14.4 (The R Foundation for Statistical

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Computing, Austria).

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Results

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Population Data

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The initial distribution list consisted of 140 individuals, from which a total of 59

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individuals responded, giving a participation rate of 41.4%. The participants were

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spread across a variety of roles including General Practitioner, Advanced General

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Practitioner, Intern, Nurse, Student, Specialist, and Resident/residency trained. The

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General Practitioners and Advanced General Practitioners were combined into a single

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group due to low numbers of each. The survey could only be accessed by one physical

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device and while it was possible for a participant to abort or abandon the survey during

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participation, in practice this did not occur. Hence the view rate was 100% of those

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individuals, who registered to participate in the survey. A total of 588 responses from a

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theoretical maximum of 590 were provided to the five scenarios, queried twice. Two

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invalid responses were provided in the With-Guide (WGD) phase and this data was not

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retained for final analysis (Table 1). Therefore, the completion rate was 99.7%.

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Pre-Guide Phase.

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Overall

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The initial PGD phase median raw error was -16 mL (range -105 to 443 mL). An

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average of the median deviations across all of the scenarios was - 15.8 mL or 23%

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underestimation of the actual volume of blood represented in the images. When

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converted to absolute values, the absolute median error was 34 mL (range 0 to 443 mL),

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and an average of the median error of 39.4 mL or 53%.

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Role

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When the PGD raw error responses were grouped according to ‘Role’, there was a

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difference between the groups (p < 0.0001). The ‘Resident/Residency Trained’ group

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[median error 8.5 mL (range -49 to 291)] was the only group to overestimate and had a

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smaller error than both the ‘Specialist’ group [median error -37 mL (range -94 – 34

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mL), p = 0.0026] and ‘General practitioner’ group [median error -35 mL (range -99 –

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266 mL), p <0.0001]. The ‘Intern’ group had the smallest median error of -5 mL (range

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-97 to 443 mL) and was smaller than the ‘General practitioner’ (p = 0.0045).

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When the raw error values were converted to absolute error, while the General

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Practitioner group (median error 7 mL, range 0 to 94 mL) had the smallest error, and the

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‘Specialist’ group (median error 46 mL, range 0 to 266 mL) had the largest error, there

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was no significant difference between the groups (p = 0.1063). Complete results can be

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found in Table 1.

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Scenarios

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There was a difference between the scenarios for both the raw PGD error (p = 0.0272)

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and the absolute PGD error (p < 0.0001). For the raw error, Scenario 1 (median -6 mL,

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range -32 to 64 mL) and Scenario 2 (median -5 mL, range -95 to 115 mL) the median

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error was less than Scenario 3 (median -32 mL, range -55 to 293 mL). When converted

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to absolute values, Scenario 1 (median 34 mL, range 0 to 62 mL) was again less than

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Scenario 3 (median 37, range 3 to 293), and Scenario 5 (median 64, range 9 to 391) was

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larger than Scenarios 1, 2 (median 25, range 5 to 115), 3 (median 37, range 3 to 293)

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and 4 (median 37, range 3 to 443).

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With-Guide Phase

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Overall

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With use of the Guide, the pooled responses had a median error of 18 mL (range -99 –

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191 mL), with an average of the median errors of the scenarios 21.8 mL or 29%

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overestimation. When converted to absolute values, the median error was 23 mL (range

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0 – 191 mL), with an average of the median errors of the scenarios 26 mL or 35%.

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Role

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Using the Guide, there was no difference between the groups according to role for either

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the raw error (p = 0.2461) or the absolute error (p = 0.4771).

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Scenarios

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There was a difference between the scenarios for both the raw error values (p < 0.0001)

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and the absolute error value (p = 0.0003). For the raw error values, Scenario 3 (median

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8, range – 53 – 73 mL) had a smaller error than Scenario 1 (median 34 mL, range -26 –

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74 mL) and Scenario 2 (median 35 mL, range -25 – 95mL). Similarly, Scenario 4

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(median 23 mL, range -55 – 73 mL) and Scenario 5 (median 9 mL, range -99 – 191 mL)

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had a smaller error than Scenario 2. The absolute error values showed that Scenario 2

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(median 35 mL, range 5 – 95ml) had a greater error than Scenario 3 (median 19 mL,

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range 0- 133 mL), Scenario 4 (median 23 mL, range 2- 73) and Scenario 5 (median 19

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mL, range 1 – 191 mL).

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Comparison Pre-Guide phase to With-Guide phase

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Overall

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Comparing the error values between the PGD responses and WGD responses, there was

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a difference for both raw error (p < 0.0001) and absolute error (p < 0.0001) values. For

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the raw values the median error increased from -16 mL (range -105 – 443 mL) (PGD) to

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18 mL (range -91 – 191 mL) (WGD). When these data are converted to absolute error

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values, there was a reduction in the median value of 34 mL (range 0- 443 mL) (PGD) to

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23 mL (range 0- 191 mL) or a 32% reduction in the magnitude of the error compared

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with the initial response (Fig. 1)

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Role

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All roles showed a difference between PGD and WGD raw error values, with both

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increased and reduced median error values between the phases (see Fig. 2). For the

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absolute error values, only the Student (p <0.0001), Nurse (p < 0.0354), and Specialist

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(p = 0.0004) groups showed a difference between PGD and WGD phases (see Fig. 3).

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The median and range is displayed in Table 2.

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Scenarios

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Scenarios 1, 2, and 4 had increased raw median error values (p < 0.0001), and Scenario

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3 (p < 0.0001) had reduced raw median error WGD compared to PGD. All raw median

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error changed from underestimation to overestimation. Scenarios 3 (p < 0.0001), 4 (p =

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0.0110), and 5 (p < 0.0001) had reduced absolute error values WGD phase compared to

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PGD phase (p < 0.0001). The median and range is displayed in Table 2.

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Discussion

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Pre-Guide accuracy

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The results indicate that there was a general underestimation of blood volume compared

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with the actual volume. Underestimation of blood loss adversely impairs true

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assessment of an animal’s circulatory requirements during anaesthesia, potentially

250

leading to impaired oxygen delivery and increasing morbidity and mortality (Gutierrez

251

et al. 2004). Our findings agree with those reported in the medical literature, which

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indicate that underestimation with visual estimation is very common (Bose et al. 2006;

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Schorn 2010; Rothermel & Lipman 2016). However, our findings differ from those

11

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described by Razvi et al (1999), who found that larger volumes of blood were

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associated with a greater magnitude of underestimation error, and smaller volumes

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tended to be overestimated. In addition, (Yoong et al. 2010) specifically found that

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overestimation occurred when estimated volumes were low. The volumes used in our

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study were comparatively small, reflecting this animal population and therefore

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interpretation and comparisons with medical findings may have limited value. As this is

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the first study of its kind in the veterinary literature, we cannot compare our findings

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with previous work in this field.

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The construction of each scenario had an impact on accuracy, where accuracy

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decreased with increasing scenario components and difficulty. As the clinical surgical

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situation is likely to involve multiple items for blood collection, it is logical to conclude

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that inaccuracy will be even greater in a clinical setting.

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In the PGD phase of the study role had an impact on estimation accuracy. The

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‘Resident/Residency Trained’ group and the ‘Intern’ group were more accurate than the

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‘Specialist’ and ‘General Practitioner’, and the ‘General Practitioner’ groups

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respectively. This was unexpected since it might be assumed that more senior

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practitioners would be better at assessing blood loss than more junior colleagues. This

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contrasts with data reported by (Ashburn et al. 2012), who found that attending

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physicians had a tendency towards reduced error compared with residents, although this

273

trend was not significant. Within the General Practitioner group, our results may have

274

been influenced by the low sample numbers for this group, which could have

275

contributed to the narrow range of values. Examining the absolute error values and

276

comparing the magnitude of error, there was no significant difference between the

277

groups. These absolute error results are more consistent with the medical literature

12

278

which typically found no difference in role or experience between different groups

279

(Meiser et al. 2001; Dildy et al. 2004; Adkins et al. 2014; Rothermel & Lipman 2016).

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With-Guide accuracy

281

The use of a pictorial guide reduced the absolute median error and narrowed the range

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of responses. This suggests that respondents were able to estimate volumes more

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effectively they used a tool that closely resembled the test images. This finding is

284

similar to medical studies where improvements in accuracy occurred when a pictorial

285

guide was used (Dildy et al. 2004; Zuckerwise et al. 2014; Homcha et al. 2017).

286

Conversely, analysis of the raw error values showed a small increase in WGD median

287

error compared with PGD median error. However, the range of values was again

288

narrower for WGD compared to PGD. While these results appear to contradict the

289

ability of the Guide to reduce the estimation error, the narrowed range supports a

290

finding of improved accuracy.

291

Using the Guide also improved accuracy in more complex scenarios. Without

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the Guide, the scenarios with fewer items were more accurate and the scenarios with

293

more items were less accurate. With the Guide, Scenarios 3, 4, and 5 showed

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improvements in accuracy in terms of magnitude of error, while Scenarios 1 and 2

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showed a decrease in accuracy between the PGD and WGD phases. Given that real-life

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surgical situations are likely more reflective of the multi-component scenarios, this

297

supports the clinical application of the Guide. The construction of the ‘simple scenarios’

298

may have contributed towards a tendency to overestimation. Scenarios 1 and 2 consisted

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of one image, each of which was drawn from the pool of created images and therefore

300

similar to images presented in the Guide. This possibly created a shortcut whereby the

301

estimate of the similar image exactly matched one of the Guide images and is a

302

limitation of the study.

13

303

There was no difference between the groups with use of the Guide, suggesting

304

that the impact of role and experience is lessened with assistance from a pictorial guide.

305

This agrees with the medical literature where preintervention differences in groups did

306

not persist postintervention (Zuckerwise et al. 2014). Comparing the PGD and WGD

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phases of the groups showed mixed results. Only the ‘Specialist’ and ‘Nurse’ groups

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showed improvements in both raw and absolute error, while the ‘Intern’ and

309

‘Resident/Residency Trained’ groups, with the most accurate Pre-Guide values,

310

deteriorated or did not change. This finding suggests that the Guide is most useful for

311

the more inaccurate estimators. Again, the ranges of WGD responses for most of the

312

groups were much narrower than the PGD ranges, supporting improved estimation

313

accuracy when the Guide is used.

314

There are several limitations to this study. For ease of direct comparison, the

315

same scenarios were used for the Pre-Guide and With-Guide phases of the study, which

316

may have led to a degree of recognition between phases. The images used for the Guide

317

were very similar to those used for scenarios which may limit the broader application

318

and usefulness of the Guide for situations which have different items. The scenarios

319

were presented with images only, and displayed in an online digital format, limiting the

320

interaction and possible assessment of the receptacles which would occur in a real-life

321

situation. The images were created with an artificial blood substitute, which, despite

322

gross physical similarity to real blood, may behave differently when in contact with

323

material substrates and may confound assessment. The relatively small blood volumes

324

we used may have exaggerated small differences in estimation within the scenarios,

325

while making comparison between scenarios more challenging. There were a wide

326

variety of responses to all of the scenarios, which possibly questions the integrity of

327

some of the data. For example, the wide range of responses for Scenario 1 involving the

14

328

suction pot was unexpected given the visible graduation mark depicted in the image.

329

However, these data were retained as the integrity, or otherwise, of these responses is

330

unknown. The signalment of the cases may have biased the estimation based on

331

individual interpretation of each case background. The scenarios only involved cats and

332

dogs therefore no conclusions can be drawn for other species. All of the participants

333

were sourced from the same facility, and despite being from a variety of roles and

334

backgrounds, this may not be representative of the wider population. The study

335

occurred solely at a single institution, and it may be that the utility of this Guide is

336

confined to the facility in which the study took place. Other institutions may find it

337

useful to develop their own pictorial guide customised to their own setting (e.g surgical

338

items, type of containers, etc). The low group sample numbers may have contributed to

339

the lack of significance within all of the groups between phases. Finally, there was no

340

ability to differentiate between departmental role, which prevented an evaluation of any

341

impact that field of work may have had.

342

In conclusion, visual estimation of blood loss is inaccurate and varied. For

343

scenarios involving small animals, the use of a pictorial guide improved the accuracy of

344

estimation of blood loss in both reduction of median error and narrowing of spread of

345

estimation across all groups, while reducing the variation between groups. In particular,

346

the pictorial guide proved most useful in more complex scenarios. In the future, similar

347

investigations, drawn from a broader disciplinary and geographical population, could be

348

considered. Further analysis of the Guide’s utility in the actual surgical setting and

349

comparison with other measurement techniques is also indicated.

350 351 352

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353

References

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Adkins AR, Lee D, Woody DJ et al. (2014) Accuracy of blood loss estimations among

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anesthesia providers. AANA journal 82, 300-306. Ali Algadiem E, Aleisa AA, Alsubaie HI et al. (2016) Blood Loss Estimation Using Gauze Visual Analogue. Trauma Monthly 21. Ashburn JC, Harrison T, Ham JJ et al. (2012) Emergency physician estimation of blood loss. The western journal of emergency medicine 13, 376-379. Beattie SW, Karkouti NK, Wijeysundera ND et al. (2009) Risk Associated with

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Preoperative Anemia in Noncardiac Surgery: A Single-center Cohort Study.

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Anesthesiology 110, 574-581.

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Bose P, Regan F, Paterson Brown S (2006) Improving the accuracy of estimated blood

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19

Figure 1 All pooled responses displaying error (median and range) pre-Guide (PGD) and with-Guide *WGD), both raw and absolute data. The ‘raw’ values represent the difference between the estimate minus the actual volume. The absolute values represent the raw values with the sign removed to assess magnitude of error. Boxes represent 25th to 75th percentile and whiskers represent 5th to 95th percentile of error responses; the middle line represents the median. The dots indicate outliers beyond the percentile limits.

Figure 2 Raw error responses grouped according to role, displaying pre-Guide (PGD) and with-Guide (WGD) results. The ‘raw’ values represent the difference between the estimate minus the actual volume. The absolute values represent the raw values with the sign removed to assess magnitude of error. Boxes represent 25th to 75th percentile and whiskers represent 5th to 95th percentile of error responses; the middle line represents the median. The dots indicate outliers beyond the percentile limits.

Figure 3. Absolute error responses grouped according to role, displaying pre-Guide (PDG) and with-Guide (WGD) results. The ‘raw’ values represent the difference between the estimate minus the actual volume. The absolute values represent the raw values with the sign removed to assess magnitude of error. Boxes represent 25th to 75th percentile and whiskers represent 5th to 95th percentile of error responses; the middle line represents the median. The dots indicate outliers beyond the percentile limits.

1

Table 1 The number of respondents (n) grouped according to role comparing median

2

(range) error in mL of both raw and absolute values initially for the Pre-Guide (PGD)

3

phase and With-Guide (WGD) phase, with accompanying p – value. Raw WGD Raw PGD Median Median (range) (range) mL mL n

Responses

p - value Absolute WGD Absolute PGD Median Median (range) (range) mL mL

All

General

59 588

6

60

Practitioner Intern

Student

Nurse

Resident/

9

90

15 150

10 100

10 99

Residency trained Specialist

4 5

9

89

-16 (-105 – 443)

18 (-199 – 191)

< 0.0001

34 (0 – 443)

23 (0 – 191)

< 0.0001

-37 (-94 – 34)

15.5 (-41 –141)

< 0.0001

7 (5 – 94)

23 (3- 141)

0.0784

-5 (-97 – 443)

20 (-32 – 93)

0.0036

29 (3 – 443)

23 (1 – 93)

0.3032

-16 (-101 – 291)

17 (-39 – 95)

< 0.0001

46 (3-291)

21 (1 – 133)

< 0.0001

-16 (-105 – 391)

14.5 (-79 – 95)

0.0036

35.5 (3 – 391)

21 (1 – 95)

0.0354

8.5 (-49 – 291)

23 (-89 – 191)

0.0483

27 (3 – 291)

24 (1 – 191)

0.8583

-32 (-99 – 266)

15 (-39 – 95)

< 0.0001

46 (0 – 266)

20 (0 – 95)

0.0004

6

Table 2 Comparison of the different scenarios’ median (range) error in mL, of both raw

7

and absolute values initially for the Pre-Guide (PGD) phase and With-Guide (WGD)

8

phase, with accompanying p – value. Scenario

Raw PGD Median

Raw WGD Median

(range) mL

(range) mL

Absolute PGD

Absolute WGD

Median (range)

Median (range) mL

p-value

mL 1

2

3

4

5

-6 (-62 – 34)

34 (-26 – 74)

< 0.0001

34 (0-62)

34 (4, 74)

0.8195

-5 (-95 – 115)

35 (-25 – 95)

< 0.0001

25 (5 -115)

35 (5 – 95)

0.4714

-32 (-55 – 293)

8 (-53 – 133)

< 0.0001

37 (3 – 293)

19 (0 – 133)

< 0.0001

-17 (-55 – 443)

23 (-55 – 73)

< 0.0001

37 (3 – 443)

23 (2 – 73)

0.01103

-19 (-105 – 391)

9 (-99 – 191)

0.05691

64 (9 – 391)

19 (1 – 191)

< 0.0001

9 10

2