Dietary antioxidant capacity and risk for stroke in a prospective cohort study of Swedish men and women

Dietary antioxidant capacity and risk for stroke in a prospective cohort study of Swedish men and women

Accepted Manuscript Dietary Antioxidant Capacity and Risk of Stroke in a prospective cohort study of Swedish Men and Women Luca Colarusso, MSc, Mauro ...

712KB Sizes 5 Downloads 76 Views

Accepted Manuscript Dietary Antioxidant Capacity and Risk of Stroke in a prospective cohort study of Swedish Men and Women Luca Colarusso, MSc, Mauro Serafini, PhD, Ylva Trolle Lagerros, MD PhD, Olof Nyren, MD PhD, Carlo La Vecchia, MD, Marta Rossi, ScD, Weimin Ye, MD PhD, Alessandra Tavani, ScD, Hans-Olov Adami, MD PhD, Alessandra Grotta, PhD, Rino Bellocco, ScD PII:

S0899-9007(16)30129-0

DOI:

10.1016/j.nut.2016.07.009

Reference:

NUT 9805

To appear in:

Nutrition

Received Date: 8 April 2016 Revised Date:

11 July 2016

Accepted Date: 16 July 2016

Please cite this article as: Colarusso L, Serafini M, Lagerros YT, Nyren O, La Vecchia C, Rossi M, Ye W, Tavani A, Adami H-O, Grotta A, Bellocco R, Dietary Antioxidant Capacity and Risk of Stroke in a prospective cohort study of Swedish Men and Women, Nutrition (2016), doi: 10.1016/j.nut.2016.07.009. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1

Dietary Antioxidant Capacity and Risk of Stroke in a prospective cohort study of

2

Swedish Men and Women

3

Luca Colarusso MSc*1, Mauro Serafini PhD*2, Ylva Trolle Lagerros MD PhD3,4, Olof

4

Nyren MD PhD5, Carlo La Vecchia MD6, Marta Rossi ScD7,8, Weimin Ye MD PhD5,

5

Alessandra Tavani ScD7, Hans-Olov Adami MD PhD5,8, Alessandra Grotta* PhD5,

6

Rino Bellocco* ScD5,9.

39

1

RI PT

Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy. 2

Functional food and metabolic stress prevention laboratory, Center for Food and Nutrition, Council for Agricultural Research and Economics CREA, Rome, Italy. 3

SC

Department of Medicine, Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. 4

M AN U

Department of Medicine, Clinic of Endocrinology, Metabolism and Diabetes, Karolinska University Hospital Huddinge, Stockhlom, Sweden. 5

Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. 6

Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy. Department of Epidemiology, Mario Negri Institute, Milan, Italy.

8

Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA.

TE

D

7

9

*

EP

Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.

These authors contributed equally to the manuscript.

AC C

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38

Correspondence to: Rino Bellocco, Sc.D., Department of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.

40

E-mail [email protected]; phone number: +39 02 64485831; fax number: +39

41

02 64485899

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Abstract

43

Objective: Both observational studies and randomized trials have shown that a diet

44

rich in antioxidants can reduce systemic inflammation and oxidative stress, two

45

conditions that, together with obesity and smoking, are established risk factors for

46

stroke. However, the association between antioxidant intake and risk of stroke is

47

poorly understood, particularly when studying possible interaction with gender. We

48

investigated the relationship of Non Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity (NEAC) on risk

49

of stroke in a large Swedish prospective cohort.

50

Methods: This cohort study included 34,555 men and women from the Swedish

51

National March Cohort. NEAC was assessed using a detailed food frequency

52

questionnaire, collected at baseline. We achieved complete follow-up from enrolment

53

in 1997 through 2010 by record linkage to nation-wide registers.

54

We identified 1,186 incident cases of a first stroke, of which 860 were ischemic, 201

55

hemorrhagic and 125 unspecified. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards

56

models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

57

Results: Compared to women in the lowest quartile of NEAC women in the highest

58

quartile had a 27% lower incidence of total stroke (HR=0.73; 95% CI: 0.53-0.99; p

59

for trend = 0.03) and 35% lower incidence of ischemic stroke (HR=0.65; 95% CI:

60

0.43-0.99; p for trend =0.01). Among men, the relationship between NEAC and risk

61

of stroke was not statistically significant and all HRs were close to unity.

62

Conclusion: Our findings suggest that dietary antioxidant capacity from different

SC

M AN U

D

TE

AC C

EP

65 66

Atherosclerosis; Risk Factors; Cohort Studies.

63 64

RI PT

42

foods and beverages is inversely associated with risk of stroke, more specifically ischemic stroke, in women. Keywords: Stroke; Antioxidant Effect; Dietary Habits; Epidemiology;

2

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Introduction

68

Stroke is the second leading cause of death in the world [1]. Well-known modifiable

69

risk factors for this neurovascular emergency include hypertension, obesity, physical

70

inactivity, an unhealthy diet and smoking [2]. Furthermore, oxidative and

71

inflammatory stress promotes atherosclerosis [3] that ultimately can lead to stroke [2,

72

4]. A high consumption of flavonoids and phytochemicals with antioxidant properties

73

contained in fruits and vegetables is associated with reduced oxidative stress [5] and

74

reduced systemic inflammation [6, 7]. Antioxidants in fruits, vegetables, and other

75

foods and beverages may therefore prevent stroke and other cardiovascular diseases

76

by reducing excessive production of free radicals induced by oxidative and

77

inflammatory stress [8-15].

SC

RI PT

67

M AN U

78

However, few observational studies have investigated the association between total

80

antioxidant capacity from diet and risk of stroke [10, 11, 16]. Two studies found an

81

inverse association between consumption of antioxidants and risk of stroke. A third

82

study did not find any evidence of neither a positive, nor a negative association [16].

83

Therefore, the association remains open for discussion. Moreover, a possible

84

interaction with gender has not been investigated yet. However, previous studies have

85

suggested a possible gender difference in antioxidant status [17], which may in turn

86

lead to a potential different effect of dietary antioxidants on the risk of stroke.

TE

EP

90

AC C

87

D

79

91

capacity assays such as ferric reducing antioxidant potential (FRAP) [20].

88 89

Non Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity (NEAC), also known as total antioxidant capacity (TAC), is a measure proposed to assess the cumulative power offered by all antioxidant sources from diet [18, 19]. NEAC can be estimated through antioxidant

3

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 92 93

We investigated the relationship of NEAC, estimated using food item-specific

94

antioxidant FRAP values, on risk of stroke in a large Swedish prospective cohort of

95

women and men.

96

Methods

98

The Swedish National March Cohort (SNMC) is a prospective study established in

99

Sweden in 1997 during a four-day national fund-raising event promoted by the

RI PT

97

Swedish Cancer Society. Participants in the SNMC were invited to fill out a 36-page

101

questionnaire concerning socio-demography, lifestyle, diet and medical history at

102

baseline. An 85-item food frequency questionnaire (FFQ), a slightly abbreviated

103

version of a validated 96-item questionnaire [21], was used to estimate individual

104

intake of common Swedish food items. The participants were asked to indicate how

105

often, on average in the previous year, they had consumed these foods and beverages.

106

Eight response categories ranged from “never/seldom” to “3 or more times per day”.

107

We computed body mass index (BMI) by dividing reported weight (kg) by the

108

squared height (m) and categorized it according to the World Health Organization

109

classification (underweight: <18.5; normal weight: 18.5 to < 25 kg/m2; overweight: 25

110

to < 30 kg/m2; obese: ≥ 30 kg/m2). Physical activity was assessed by a validated

111

questionnaire [22]; time spent on each of nine predefined intensity levels of physical

112

activity during a typical weekday was self-estimated, and the estimates were

114 115

M AN U

D

TE

EP

AC C

113

SC

100

multiplied by their respective metabolic equivalent (MET) values [22]. Finally, the products were summed up and total physical activity was reported in terms of METh/day.

116 4

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Non-Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity

118

Food item-specific antioxidant capacity values were obtained from a database with

119

“in vitro” measurements using the FRAP assay [20, 23]. A total of 66 out of the

120

original 85 FFQ items had FRAP values in the database and were used for dietary

121

NEAC computation. These values were multiplied by the reported frequency of

122

consumption taking the portion size into account. Coffee consumption was left out

123

when computing NEAC due to the observed discrepancy between the “in vivo” and

124

“in vitro” effects of the Maillard products [24, 25]. Other foods, such as chocolate and

125

whole grains, were not excluded in the antioxidant computation since they have a

126

lower content of melanoidins. Moreover, these foods have a high level of other

127

bioactive ingredients such as flavonoids. We have followed the same approach in a

128

previous study [26]. Since FRAP values for dietary supplements were not available,

129

antioxidant supplements were left out of NEAC computation.

130

The reproducibility and validity of NEAC values derived from food frequency

131

questionnaire data combined with FRAP assays are reported in the paper from

132

Rautiainen et al. [21]; the correlation between NEAC was adjusted for total energy

133

intake using the residual method [27], since estimated NEAC correlated with total

134

energy intake (ρ=0.4; p <0.05). The validity of the dietary food items contributing to

135

NEAC compared to food record was acceptably good in a similar Swedish cohort.

136

The estimated Pearson correlation coefficients ranged from 0.4 to 0.8 (A. Wolk,

137

unpublished data).

139

SC

M AN U

D

TE

EP

AC C

138

RI PT

117

Follow-up

5

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT A total of 43,863 men and women completed the questionnaire and consented to

141

follow-up through record linkages with multiple national registries using the

142

individually unique national registration numbers to ensure perfect matching. We

143

excluded from the analyses 1,740 participants under the age of 18, 19 participants

144

with invalid national registration number or conflicting answers, 457 who were

145

recorded as emigrated before the start of follow-up, and 4,045 with any recorded

146

cardiovascular diagnosis (e.g., stroke, myocardial infarction, heart failure, angina

147

pectoris, and atrial fibrillation; International Classification of Diseases, [ICD7] 330-

148

334, 400-468, [ICD8] 390-458, [ICD9] 390–459, and [ICD10] I00-I99 before the start

149

of follow-up. We also excluded 2,652 participants with a previous history of cancer

150

recorded in the Swedish Cancer Register (except non-melanoma skin cancer), and 406

151

participants with extreme values for total energy intake (± 3 standard deviations for

152

the mean value of loge transformed energy, ≤927 or >5,311 kcal for men, and ≤870 or

153

>4,348 kcal for women). The remaining 34,555 participants were followed from

154

October 1, 1997 until time of first hospitalization for stroke, emigration, death, or

155

December 31, 2010, whichever occurred first. Incident stroke cases were identified in

156

the nationwide and essentially complete registers of Inpatient Care and Causes of

157

Death using the following ICD10 codes: I63.0-I63.5, I63.8-I63.9 (cerebral infarction);

158

I61 (intracerebral haemorrhage); I60 (subarachnoid haemorrhage); I64 (unspecified

159

stroke).

SC

M AN U

D

TE

EP

162

AC C

160

RI PT

140

163

variable. Descriptive statistics were presented for the whole cohort according to sex-

164

specific quartiles of NEAC intake. We used Cox proportional hazards regression

161

Statistical Analysis

Dietary NEAC values were categorized in quartiles, but also analyzed as a continuous

6

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT models to assess the association between dietary NEAC intake and stroke risk. Hazard

166

ratios (HRs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained

167

using age as the underlying time scale; they were calculated for categorical NEAC

168

sex-specific quartiles using the lowest quartile as the reference category. The

169

multivariable models were adjusted for the following potential confounders: sex, BMI

170

(<18.5, 18.5-24.9, 25.0-29.9, 30+ kg/m2), alcohol consumption (never, low: ≤1 times

171

per week, medium: >1 to 6 times per week and, high: ≥7 times per week, based on the

172

frequency of drinking), smoking status (never, former and current smokers), physical

173

activity (METh/day), educational level (<12 years or ≥12 years), dietary supplement

174

use (yes/no), self-reported hypertension (yes/no), self-reported diabetes (yes/no),

175

coffee consumption (daily consumption in quartiles), aspirin use (yes/no), self-

176

reported lipid disturbance (yes/no) and, only for women, hormone replacement

177

therapy use (yes/no). Moreover, we repeated our analyses by adjusting for self-

178

reported menopausal status. To assess the proportional hazards assumption, we used

179

the deviance test based on scaled Schoenfeld residuals. The proportional hazards

180

assumption was satisfied in almost all multivariable models; when this assumption

181

was not fulfilled, stratified Cox regression models were fitted.

SC

M AN U

D

TE

182

RI PT

165

We assessed a linear trend across quartiles of NEAC using the median value of each

184

NEAC category and including the resulting series of values in the models as a

185

continuous variable. The validity of the assumption of a linear relationship between

188

AC C

EP

183

189

subgroup analyses according to sex, age (≤60, >60 years), BMI (<25, ≥25 kg/m2),

186 187

NEAC and the stroke incidence was evaluated in Cox regression by adding a quadratic term and testing its significance. We also used a restricted cubic spline with 3 knots corresponding to the 5th, 50th and 75th percentiles [28]. We performed

7

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 190

hypertension (yes/no), diabetes (yes/no), smoking (yes/no) and dietary supplement

191

use (yes/no). We tested for statistical significance of effect modification on a

192

multiplicative scale. Deviation from multiplicativity was evaluated using the

193

likelihood ratio (LRT) test to compare nested models.

194

The proportion of missing data on covariates were the following: 11.9% for total

196

physical activity, 7.7% for smoking status, 4.9% for self-reported diabetes, 4.9% for

197

BMI, 4.2% for self-reported lipid disturbance, 3.2% for self-reported hypertension;

198

for the other covariates the proportion of missing information was below 2%.

RI PT

195

SC

199

We used multiple imputation techniques to assess the robustness of estimates based

201

on complete data to the presence of missing values. Under the assumption of data

202

missing at random, we fitted multiple imputation models based on chained equations

203

[29, 30], generating five imputed datasets from the initial cohort. HRs from the

204

imputed datasets were combined using Rubin’s rules producing the pool effect

205

estimate and relative estimated standard errors.

D

M AN U

200

TE

206

To investigate the possible impact of reverse causality on the results we excluded

208

cases during the first 3 years of follow-up to account for changes in dietary habits due

209

to undiagnosed cardiovascular disease. We also repeated our main analyses using

210

calendar time as time scale and adjusting for age.

212

AC C

211

EP

207

All probability values were presented as two-sided and p-values < 0.05 were

213

considered statistically significant. All statistical analyses were performed using Stata

214

(Version 13.1; StataCorp LP). 8

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 215 216

The Regional Ethics Review Board at the Karolinska Institutet approved the study.

217 218

Results

220

Table 1 shows baseline characteristics of the cohort according to sex-specific quartiles

221

of NEAC. Median NEAC intake was slightly lower in men compared to women. The

222

major contribution to NEAC came from fruit and vegetable consumption (27.6% in

223

women, 22.5% in men), tea (29.0% in women, 24.0% in men), whole grains (8.7% in

224

women, 11.3% in men) and chocolate (9.3% in women and 10.3% in men). Men and

225

women in the highest quartile of dietary NEAC were on average older than those in

226

the lowest quartile. They were also more likely to use dietary supplements, to

227

consume more fruits and vegetables, less coffee, to be non-smokers, and to have a

228

higher education.

M AN U

SC

RI PT

219

229

During 438, 272 person-years of follow-up 1,186 participants had a first stroke (657

231

women, 529 men). Of these stroke events, 860 were ischemic, 201 hemorrhagic and

232

125 unspecified. Table 2 and Table 3 report results from separate Cox regression

233

models for each of the subtypes as well as total stroke, adjusted for age and potential

234

confounders and stratified according to sex (p for interaction on the multiplicative

235

scale between sex and NEAC for total stroke=0.02). Among women, an inverse

237

TE

EP

AC C

236

D

230

association between NEAC intake and total stroke incidence was found. Females in the highest quartile of NEAC had a 27% (95% CI: 0.53-0.99) lower incidence of total

238

stroke, compared with those in the lowest quartile with a statistically significant linear

239

trend in risk (p for trend=0.03). The observed inverse association with NEAC intake 9

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 240

in women was driven mainly by the trend observed for ischemic stroke. Women with

241

the highest NEAC intake had a 35% lower incidence of ischemic stroke (95% CI:

242

0.43-0.99; p for trend=0.01) while no clear associations were found with hemorrhagic

243

stroke or unspecified stroke, admittedly based on small numbers. After adjusting for

244

menopausal status, results did not change substantially. Among men, we were unable

245

to confirm any association between dietary NEAC and stroke of any type (Table 3).

RI PT

246

The association between NEAC and risk of stroke in women did not change

248

significantly by age, history of diabetes, hypertension, alcohol consumption, and

249

dietary supplement use.

SC

247

250

When re-running the same statistical analyses to assess the potential impact of the

252

missingness on the observed associations, HRs based on multiple imputed datasets

253

confirmed findings from complete data analysis (data not shown). In addition, we

254

observed similar patterns when the exposure was treated as a continuous variable.

M AN U

251

255

Finally, when we excluded cases occurring in the first 3 years of follow-up, results did

257

not change materially: women in the highest, as compared with the lowest quartile of

258

NEAC intake had a 27% and 34% lower hazard of total stroke (HR=0.73; 95% CI:

259

0.53-1.00; p for trend: 0.05) and ischemic stroke (HR=0.66; 95% CI: 0.39-0.98; p for

260

trend=0.04), respectively. We observed the same results when using calendar time as

262

TE

EP

AC C

261

D

256

time scale and adjusting for age at recruitment.

263 264 10

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 265

Discussion

266

In this large prospective study, dietary NEAC intake was associated with a reduced

268

incidence of stroke, more specifically ischemic stroke, in women. Compared with

269

women in the lowest quartile of dietary NEAC, those in the highest quartile had a

270

35% lower incidence of ischemic stroke, and a 27% lower incidence of total stroke.

271

No consistent association was found in men.

RI PT

267

272

Epidemiological studies have found an inverse association between risk of stroke and

274

single food items such as tea [31], chocolate [32, 33], fruits and vegetables [8] and

275

cereals [34-36]. Further, randomized intervention studies [37, 38] have highlighted

276

the role of antioxidants from diet in preventing or mitigating systemic inflammation,

277

oxidative stress and atherosclerosis.

278

Therefore, the concept that dietary antioxidant capacity may play a role in stroke

279

incidence is not completely new. However, to our knowledge, only three previous

280

studies [10, 11, 16] investigated the association between the overall antioxidant

281

capacity, rather than individual contributions from single food items, and the risk of

282

stroke.

M AN U

D

TE EP

283

SC

273

Our results are consistent with two of these studies showing a marginally significant

285

inverse association between NEAC and the risk of stroke [10, 11]. The first one, the

288

AC C

284

289

that a high NEAC intake was inversely associated with total stroke among women

286 287

Italian section of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), found that dietary NEAC was inversely related to ischemic stroke, but not with hemorrhagic stroke. The second one, the Swedish Mammography Cohort, found

11

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT free of cardiovascular disease with a risk reduction of 17% for the highest vs lowest

291

quartile of NEAC (HR=0.83; 95% CI: 0.70-0.95). Our data suggest a role of NEAC in

292

preventing stroke in women. A greater role of dietary NEAC on the relative risk of

293

stroke in women compared to men is conceivable, considering the difference in

294

background incidence, and the higher levels of NEAC in women’s diet. An unclear

295

increase in the incidence of ischemic stroke is found among men with the highest

296

NEAC intake. This result is not straightforward to interpret and indicates the need for

297

further studies investigating different effects of NEAC by gender.

RI PT

290

298

The stronger association found with ischemic rather than hemorrhagic stroke is not

300

surprising, since diet and lifestyle have been shown to be stronger associated with

301

ischemic than hemorrhagic stroke [15, 39, 40]. The reduction in stroke incidence

302

observed among women with a high dietary antioxidant intake can be related to the

303

antioxidants’ ability to counteract the circulating levels of free radicals that are

304

involved in the systemic inflammation and oxidative stress. Another important aspect

305

to take into account involves the homeostatic redox process and its balancing

306

mechanism between endogenous and exogenous antioxidants. When oxidative stress

307

is absent, endogenous defenses are sufficient to hinder the production of free radicals.

308

But when oxidative stress is ongoing, endogenous antioxidants are not able to inhibit

309

the production of free radicals efficiently. Therefore, the contribution of exogenous

310

antioxidants from diet may be crucial to support the endogenous redox machinery.

312 313

M AN U

D

TE

EP

AC C

311

SC

299

A third study, the Rotterdam Study [16] did not find an association between NEAC intake and risk of stroke. This may depend on several factors, including a smaller

12

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 314

sample size and different exclusion criteria, other major sources of NEAC, and a

315

higher mean age.

316

The fact that the consumption of the most important dietary sources of antioxidants in

318

our study (fruits and vegetables, and tea) was lower among men than among women

319

reduces our power to detect an association. When considering the 19 food items not

320

included in the NEAC computation, there were no particular differences between men

321

and women in the food frequency consumption that could somewhat explain the

322

observed association among women, but not among men.

323

NEAC computation originates from the hypothesis that antioxidants from foods may

324

work as antioxidants in vivo, which is an extremely complex aspect of the dietary

325

modulation of oxidative stress and disease prevention; measurements of biological

326

biomarkers would be needed in order to better understand the mechanism. However,

327

we believe that in vitro NEAC estimates can be useful to guide researchers to better

328

understand the antioxidant effect on humans, but further studies on plasma NEAC

329

could help to understand the real mechanism of antioxidant action.

330

Our study has several strengths. The most important one is the use of NEAC as a

331

measure of the overall antioxidant potential from the diet. Other important strengths

332

are the prospective design, the detailed data on diet and potential risk factors and the

333

large sample size. Furthermore the large number of stroke cases and record linkage to

334

nation-wide registers allowed us for a nearly complete follow-up of study outcomes.

336

AC C

EP

TE

D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

317

337

information on bioavailability. Foods with the highest content of antioxidants may not

335

The most important limitation is due to the fact that, although dietary assessment of NEAC is correlated with plasma antioxidant levels [21], it does not provide direct

13

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT necessarily be those leading to the highest concentrations of active metabolites in

339

vivo. In fact, the use of a coefficient of absorption based on previous evidences from

340

ingestion studies, has recently been proposed in the literature [12], but this approach

341

could be questionable. Another limitation is the use of only one semi-quantitative

342

food frequency questionnaire which allow assessment of the frequencies of

343

consumption, but not the exact amount of food consumption, and it does not consider

344

the use of antioxidant supplements. Finally, the use of FRAP values calculated from a

345

non-Swedish food database items [20, 23]. It should be noticed that geographic

346

location and growing conditions might not entirely explain the observed within study

347

variability and therefore, using antioxidant values from countries with eating habits

348

similar to those in Sweden may not be more appropriate than using an Italian food

349

items database.

350

Another limitation could be represented by the fact that FRAP values for dietary

351

supplements were not available and our results cannot be related to antioxidant

352

supplements, but only to food items.

353

Conclusion

354

In conclusion, this study shows that a high-NEAC diet is associated with a reduced

355

risk of ischemic (and total) stroke in women, and suggests a potential role of a diet

356

rich in fruit, vegetables and, food with antioxidant properties in the prevention of the

357

disease.

359

SC

M AN U

D TE

EP

AC C

358

RI PT

338

Acknowledgments

360

This work was conducted with the contribution of the Italian Ministry of University

361

and Research (PRIN 2009 X8YCBN), the Swedish Cancer Society (Grant CAN 14

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 2012/591), Karolinska Institutet Distinguished Professor Award to Hans-Olov Adami

363

(Dnr: 2368/10-221); and the regional agreement on medical training and clinical

364

research between Stockholm County Council and Karolinska Institutet for Ylva Trolle

365

Lagerros. The authors would like to thank Keith Humpreys (Associate Professor of

366

Biostatistics, Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska

367

Institutet) for language editing.

368

Conflict of Interest: none.

RI PT

362

369

References

371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401

[1] Lopez A, Mathers C, Ezzati M, Jamison D, Murray C. Global and regional burden of disease and risk factors, 2001: systematic analysis of population health data. Lancet. 2006;367:174757. [2] McColl BW, Allan SM, Rothwell NJ. Systemic inflammation and stroke: aetiology, pathology and targets for therapy. Biochemical Society Transactions. 2007;35:1163-5. [3] Lee R. Evaluating Oxidative Stress in Human Cardiovascular Disease: Methodological Aspects and Considerations. Current Medicinal Chemistry. 2012;19:2504-20. [4] Allen CL, Bayraktutan U. Oxidative stress and its role in the pathogenesis of ischaemic stroke. International Journal of Stroke. 2009;4:461-70. [5] Dragsted LO, Pedersen A, Hermetter A, Basu S, Hansen M, Haren GR, et al. The 6-a-day study: effects of fruit and vegetables on markers of oxidative stress and antioxidative defense in healthy nonsmokers.[see comment]. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 2004;79:1060-72. [6] Devaraj S, Tang R. Effect of high-dose α-tocopherol supplementation on biomarkers of oxidative stress and inflammation and carotid atherosclerosis in patients with coronary artery. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 2007;86:1392-8. [7] Wannamethee SG, Lowe GDO, Rumley A, Bruckdorfer KR, Whincup PH. Associations of vitamin C status, fruit and vegetable intakes, and markers of inflammation and hemostasis. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 2006;83:567-74; quiz 726-7. [8] He FJ, Nowson CA, MacGregor GA. Fruit and vegetable consumption and stroke: Metaanalysis of cohort studies. Lancet. 2006;367:320-6. [9] Voko Z, Hollander M, Hofman A, Koudstaal PJ, Breteler MM. Dietary antioxidants and the risk of ischemic stroke: the Rotterdam Study. Neurology. 1273;61:1273-5. [10] Del Rio D, Agnoli C, Pellegrini N, Krogh V, Brighenti F, Mazzeo T, et al. Total antioxidant capacity of the diet is associated with lower risk of ischemic stroke in a large Italian cohort. Journal of Nutrition. 2011;141:118-23. [11] Rautiainen S, Larsson S, Virtamo J, Wolk A. Total antioxidant capacity of diet and risk of stroke: A population-based prospective cohort of women. Stroke. 2012;43:335-40. [12] Rautiainen S, Levitan EB, Orsini N, Åkesson A, Morgenstern R, Mittleman Ma, et al. Total Antioxidant Capacity from Diet and Risk of Myocardial Infarction: A Prospective Cohort of Women. American Journal of Medicine. 2012;125:974-80.

AC C

EP

TE

D

M AN U

SC

370

15

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

EP

TE

D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

[13] Rautiainen S, Levitan EB, Mittleman MA, Wolk A. Total antioxidant capacity of diet and risk of heart failure: a population-based prospective cohort of women. American Journal of Medicine. 2013;126:494-500. [14] Kim K, Vance TM, Chun OK. Greater Total Antioxidant Capacity from Diet and Supplements Is Associated with a Less Atherogenic Blood Profile in U.S. Adults. Nutrients. 2016;8. [15] Rossi M, Praud D, Monzio Compagnoni M, Bellocco R, Serafini M, Parpinel M, et al. Dietary non-enzymatic antioxidant capacity and the risk of myocardial infarction: a casecontrol study in Italy. Nutrition, Metabolism and Cardiovascular Diseases. 2014;24:1246-51. [16] Devore EE, Feskens E, Ikram MA, den Heijer T, Vernooij M, van der Lijn F, et al. Total antioxidant capacity of the diet and major neurologic outcomes in older adults. Neurology. 2013;80:904-10. [17] Brunelli E, Domanico F, La Russa D, Pellegrino D. Sex differences in oxidative stress biomarkers. Current Drug Targets. 2014;15:811-5. [18] Serafini M, Del Rio D. Understanding the association between dietary antioxidants, redox status and disease: is the Total Antioxidant Capacity the right tool? Redox Report 2004;9:145-52. [19] Serafini M, Miglio C, Peluso I, Petrosino T. Modulation of plasma non enzimatic antioxidant capacity (NEAC) by plant foods: the role of polyphenols. Current Topics in Medicinal Chemistry. 2011;11:1821-46. [20] Pellegrini N, Serafini M, Colombi B, Del Rio D, Salvatore S, Bianchi M, et al. Total antioxidant capacity of plant foods, beverages and oils consumed in Italy assessed by three different in vitro assays. Journal of Nutrition. 2003;133:2812-9. [21] Rautiainen S, Serafini M, Morgenstern R, Prior RL, Wolk A. The validity and reproducibility of food-frequency questionnaire-based total antioxidant capacity estimates in Swedish women. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2008;87:1247-53. [22] Ainsworth BE, Haskell WL, Herrmann SD, Meckes N, Bassett DR, Jr., Tudor-Locke C, et al. 2011 Compendium of Physical Activities: a second update of codes and MET values. Medicine and science in sports and exercise. 2011;43:1575-81. [23] Pellegrini N, Serafini M, Salvatore S, Del Rio D, Bianchi M, Brighenti F. Total antioxidant capacity of spices, dried fruits, nuts, pulses, cereals and sweets consumed in Italy assessed by three different in vitro assays. Molecular nutrition & food research. 2006;50:1030-8. [24] Delgado-Andrade C MFJ. Unraveling the contribution of melanoidins to the antioxidant activity of coffee brews. Journal of Agricultural and Food Chemistry 2005:1403-7. [25] Morales FJ, Somoza V, Fogliano V. Physiological relevance of dietary melanoidins. Amino Acids. 2012;42:1097-109. [26] Serafini M, Jakszyn P, Lujan-Barroso L, Agudo A, Bas Bueno-de-Mesquita H, van Duijnhoven FJ, et al. Dietary total antioxidant capacity and gastric cancer risk in the European prospective investigation into cancer and nutrition study. International Journal of Cancer. 2012;131:E544-54. [27] Willett WC, Howe GR, Kushi LH. Adjustment for total energy intake in epidemiologic studies. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 1997;65:1220S-8S; discussion 9S-31S. [28] Harrell FE, Lee KL, Pollock BG. Regression models in clinical studies: determining relationships between predictors and response. Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 1988;80:1198-202. [29] Royston P. Multiple imputation of missing values. Stata Journal. 2004;4:227-41. [30] van Buuren S, Boshuizen HC, Knook DL. Multiple imputation of missing blood pressure covariates in survival analysis. Statistics in Medicine. 1999;18:681-94. [31] Arab L, Liu W, Elashoff D. Green and black tea consumption and risk of stroke: a metaanalysis. Stroke. 2009;40:1786-92.

AC C

402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451

16

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

SC

RI PT

[32] Buijsse B, Weikert C, Drogan D, Bergmann M, Boeing H. Chocolate consumption in relation to blood pressure and risk of cardiovascular disease in German adults. European Heart Journal. 2010;31:1616-23. [33] Mink PJ, Scrafford CG, Barraj LM, Harnack L, Hong C-P, Nettleton JA, et al. Flavonoid intake and cardiovascular disease mortality: a prospective study in postmenopausal women. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 2007;85:895-909. [34] Ascherio A, Rimm EB, Hernan MA, Giovannucci EL, Kawachi I, Stampfer MJ, et al. Intake of potassium, magnesium, calcium, and fiber and risk of stroke among US men. Circulation. 1998;98:1198-204. [35] Larsson SC, Männistö S, Virtanen MJ, Kontto J, Albanes D, Virtamo J. Dietary fiber and fiber-rich food intake in relation to risk of stroke in male smokers. European Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2009;63:1016-24. [36] Oh K, Hu FB, Cho E, Rexrode KM, Stampfer MJ, Manson JE, et al. Carbohydrate intake, glycemic index, glycemic load, and dietary fiber in relation to risk of stroke in women. American Journal of Epidemiology. 2005;161:161-9. [37] Brighenti F, Valtuena S, Pellegrini N, Ardigo D, Del Rio D, Salvatore S, et al. Total antioxidant capacity of the diet is inversely and independently related to plasma concentration of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein in adult Italian subjects. British Journal of Nutrition. 2005;93:619-25. [38] Valtueña S, Pellegrini N, Franzini L, Bianchi MA, Ardigò D, Del Rio D, et al. Food selection based on total antioxidant capacity can modify antioxidant intake, systemic inflammation, and liver function without altering markers of oxidative stress. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 2008;87:1290-7. [39] Misirli G, Benetou V, Lagiou P, Bamia C, Trichopoulos D, Trichopoulou A. Relation of the traditional mediterranean diet to cerebrovascular disease in a mediterranean population. American Journal of Epidemiology. 2012;176:1185-92. [40] Miglio C, Peluso I, Raguzzini A, Villaño DV, Cesqui E, Catasta G, et al. Fruit juice drinks prevent endogenous antioxidant response to high-fat meal ingestion. British Journal of Nutrition. 2013:1-7.

M AN U

452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481

AC C

EP

TE

D

482

17

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 483 484

Table 1: Age-standardized baseline characteristics of participants in the Swedish

485

National March Cohort: A) women B) men

Women (n=22,712)

RI PT

Non-Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity* Q1 (n=5,678)

Q2 (n=5,678)

Q3 (n=5,678)

Q4 (n=5,678)

5.8 (5.1-6.6)

8.3 (7.8-8.9)

10.8 (10.1-11.6)

15.2 (13.6-17.9)

Age, years, mean(SD)

48.0 (15.0)

48.9 (15.2)

48.8 (15.2)

49.7 (15.0)

>12 years of education,

36.0

42.3

46.9

55.8

8.5

7.6

6.1

24.6 (3.8)

24.3 (3.7)

24.1 (3.5)

23.9 (3.5)

TE

(A)

37.5 (11.6)

37.7 (11.6)

37.7 (11.9)

Median NEAC (IQR)

SC

(mmol/d)

% 11.6

D

Current smokers, % Body Mass Index, mean kg/m2(SD)

37.2 (11.9)

EP

Total Physical Activity

M AN U

Baseline characteristics

(SD)

AC C

Score (MET*h/d), mean

Aspirin use, %

65.4

66.2

65.9

64.5

Dietary supplement use,

50.4

53.1

55.1

57.0

%

18

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Self-reported

10.7

10.4

9.9

11.0

Self-reported diabetes, %

1.7

1.7

1.8

2.0

Self-reported lipid

2.8

2.3

2.6

2.2

0.7

1.0

1.1

1.7

24.9

25.8

1948.8 (496.4)

2048.0 (496.3)

hypertension, %

Alcohol consumption

RI PT

disturbance, %

(high), % Hormone replacement

27.0

Total energy intake

SC

use %

3.6 (1.7)

4.6 (2.0)

5.2 (2.4)

5.6 (2.9)

1.2 (0.4)

1.3 (0.5)

1.4 (0.5)

1.4 (0.5)

1.3 (0.7)

1.8 (0.9)

3.1 (2.0)

Foods, mean (SD) Fruits and vegetables, servings/d

D

Whole Grains,

TE

servings/d

1.0 (0.2)

EP

Tea, servings/d

1961.1 (511.7)

M AN U

(kcal/d), mean (SD)

2065.1 (500.0)

29.0

0.8 (0.7)

1.1 (1.1)

1.3 (1.5)

1.4 (2.0)

Coffee, servings/d

3.3 (1.6)

3.0 (1.5)

2.6 (1.4)

2.0 (1.6)

25.6 (8.7)

25.9 (8.5)

25.4 (8.4)

23.5 (8.5)

AC C

Chocolate, servings/wk

Nutrients, mean(SD) Saturated fatty acids, gr/day

19

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Monounsaturated fatty

18.6 (5.8)

19.1 (5.9)

19.0 (5.9)

17.5 (5.8)

6.0 (2.0)

6.5 (2.0)

6.6 (2.1)

6.3 (2.1)

acids, gram/day Polyunsaturated fatty acids, gram/day

Non-Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity*

RI PT

(B) Men (n=11,843)

Q1 (n=2,961)

Q2 (n=2,961)

Q3 (n=2,961)

Q4 (n=2,960)

Median NEAC (IQR)

5.4 (4.7-5.9)

7.4 (6.9-7.9)

9.4 (8.9-10.1)

13.2 (11.8-15.2)

SC

(mmol/d)

M AN U

Baseline characteristics Age, years, mean(SD)

46.8 (17.9)

49.5 (17.5)

51.7(16.7)

54.4 (15.1)

>12 years of education,

36.7

41.4

47.6

55.0

7.8

5.6

4.9

25.1 (3.2)

24.9 (3.3)

24.6 (3.2)

44.1 (17.5)

44.0 (15.9)

42.9 (15.3)

42.3 (15.4)

Aspirin use, %

60.8

60.9

61.3

58.9

Dietary supplement use,

30.7

35.5

40.0

43.0

%

EP

kg/m2(SD)

25.4 (3.3)

TE

Body Mass Index, mean

10.5

D

Current smokers, %

Total Physical Activity

(SD)

AC C

Score (MET*h/d), mean

20

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT % Self-reported

9.1

9.1

9.5

9.3

Self-reported diabetes, %

3.0

2.6

2.3

2.3

Self-reported lipid

2.2

2.3

2.6

2.5

2.6

2.2

2227.8 (616.0)

2344.5 (585.6)

hypertension, %

Alcohol consumption (high), %

(kcal/d), mean (SD)

Fruits and vegetables,

2.7 (1.4)

2358.3 (618.3)

2269.9 (653.9)

3.5 (1.7)

4.0 (2.0)

4.3 (2.3)

1.5 (0.5)

1.6 (0.5)

1.6 (0.6)

1.0 (0.2)

1.3 (0.5)

1.8 (0.7)

3.1 (1.5)

0.7 (0.7)

1.1 (1.1)

1.4 (1.5)

1.7 (2.2)

4.7 (1.8)

4.4 (1.8)

4.0 (1.8)

3.5 (2.0)

29.5 (10.7)

29.5 (9.8)

29.0 (10.3)

27.4 (10.6)

21.0 (6.9)

21.7 (6.6)

21.5 (6.9)

20.5 (7.3)

servings/d Whole Grains,

1.4 (0.5)

EP

TE

D

servings/d

Chocolate, servings/wk

4.7

M AN U

Foods, mean (SD)

Tea, servings/d

3.5

SC

Total energy intake

RI PT

disturbance, %

Coffee, servings/d

AC C

Nutrients, mean(SD) Saturated fatty acids, gr/day

Monounsaturated fatty

21

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT acids, gram/day Polyunsaturated fatty

6.6 (2.3)

7.2 (2.3)

7.3 (2.5)

7.1 (2.6)

acids, gram/day *NEAC was estimated through ferric reducing antioxidant power (FRAP); Q, quartile; MET, metabolic equivalents.

AC C

EP

TE

D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

486

22

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 487 488

Table 2: Dietary Non-enzymatic antioxidant capacity (NEAC) and risk of

489

stroke in the Swedish National March Cohort among women.

WOMEN

Non-Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity* Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

p for

Total Stroke

RI PT

trend

168

182

163

Person-years,

72,876

72,650

72,794

Age-adjusted HR

1.0

0.99 (0.81-1.22)

0.89 (0.72-1.11)

Multivariable HR†

1.0

0.99 (0.75-1.31)

No. of cases

116

Age-adjusted HR Multivariable HR†

0.93 (0.69-1.24)

0.73 (0.53-0.99)

0.03

144

108

99

1.0

1.13 (0.89-1.44)

0.85 (0.66-1.11)

0.73 (0.56-0.95)

<0.01

1.0

1.20 (0.85-1.68)

D

0.93 (0.65-1.34)

0.65 (0.43-0.99)

0.01

M AN U

<0.01

TE EP

No. of cases

72,652

0.74 (0.59-0.92)

Ischemic

Haemorrhagic

144

SC

No. of cases

34

24

38

29

1.0

0.67 (0.40-1.13)

1.01 (0.67-1.68)

0.77 (0.47-1.27)

0.61

1.0

0.58 (0.30-1.21)

1.1 (0.62-1.95)

0.85 (0.45-1.60)

0.97

No. of cases

18

14

17

16

Age-adjusted HR

1.0

0.71 (0.35-1.42)

0.86 (0.44-1.67)

0.74 (0.38-1.46)

0.53

Multivariable HR†

1.0

0.74 (0.32-1.72)

0.49 (0.19-1.29)

0.84 (0.35-2.02)

0.71

AC C

Age-adjusted HR

Multivariable HR† Unspecified

23

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 490

* NEAC was estimated through ferric reducing antioxidant power (FRAP); Q, quartile (Q1

491

reference).

492

† Adjusted for age, education level, smoking status, body mass index, physical activity, self-

493

reported hypertension, self-reported diabetes, aspirin use, dietary supplement use, coffee

494

consumption, alcohol consumption, self-reported lipid disturbance, and total energy intake.

495

AC C

EP

TE

D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

496

24

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 497

498

Table 3: Dietary Non Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity (NEAC) and risk of stroke in the Swedish

499

National March Cohort among men.

Non-Enzymatic Antioxidant Capacity* Q1

RI PT

MEN

Q2

Q3

106

Person-years,

37,116

Age-adjusted HR

1.0

Multivariable HR†

1.0

trend

168

36,942

36,779

36,585

1.0 (0.77-1.29)

0.97 (0.75-1.25)

1.10 (0.87-1.41)

0.36

1.19 (0.85-1.67)

0.99 (0.70-1.40)

1.35 (0.96-1.89)

0.11

93

98

129

1.0

1.08 (0.80-1.47)

1.04 (0.77-1.41)

1.22 (0.92-1.63)

0.17

1.0

1.27 (0.86-1.88)

1.08 (0.73-1.61)

1.55 (1.07-2.33)

0.05

No. of cases

18

18

16

24

Age-adjusted HR

1.0

0.88 (0.46-1.70)

0.72 (0.37-1.41)

0.97 (0.53-1.79)

0.99

Multivariable HR†

1.0

1.0 (0.41-2.51)

0.74 (0.29-1.89)

0.91 (0.37-2.25)

0.81

EP

Age-adjusted HR

TE

73

AC C

No. of cases

p for

131

D

Ischemic

124

M AN U

No. of cases

SC

Total Stroke

Q4

Multivariable HR† Haemorrhagic

25

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Unspecified No. of cases

15

13

17

15

Age-adjusted HR

1.0

0.73 (0.35-1.54)

0.88 (0.44-1.77)

0.69 (0.34-1.42)

0.43

Multivariable HR††

1.0

0.80 (0.29-2.24)

0.68 (0.24-1.95)

0.56 (0.18-1.76)

0.34

* NEAC was estimated through ferric reducing antioxidant power (FRAP); Q, quartile (Q1

501

reference).

502

†Adjusted for age, education level, smoking status, body mass index, physical activity, self-

503

reported hypertension, self-reported diabetes, aspirin use, dietary supplement use, coffee

504

consumption, alcohol consumption, self-reported lipid disturbance, and total energy intake.

505

†† Adjusted for age, education level, smoking status, body mass index, physical activity, self-

506

reported hypertension, self-reported diabetes, dietary supplement use, coffee consumption,

507

alcohol consumption, self-reported lipid disturbance, and total energy intake and stratified by

508

aspirin use because the proportionality assumption did not hold.

M AN U

SC

RI PT

500

509 510

514 515 516 517 518

TE EP

513

AC C

512

D

511

26

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT HIGHLIGHTS: Dietary NEAC is a measure of the overall antioxidant capacity of diet. Dietary NEAC takes into account synergistic interactions among dietary antioxidants. The relationship between dietary NEAC and risk of stroke has been not extensively explored. High levels of dietary NEAC are associated with a decreased risk of ischemic stroke among women.

AC C

EP

TE

D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

1. 2. 3. 4.