Emergent diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes: Today's challenges and tomorrow's possibilities

Emergent diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes: Today's challenges and tomorrow's possibilities

Resuscitation (2008) 78, 13—20 available at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/resuscitation REVIEW Emergent diagnosi...

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Resuscitation (2008) 78, 13—20

available at www.sciencedirect.com

journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/resuscitation

REVIEW

Emergent diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes: Today’s challenges and tomorrow’s possibilities夽 Richard Body ∗ Emergency Department, Manchester Royal Infirmary, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9WL, United Kingdom Received 17 September 2007; received in revised form 14 November 2007; accepted 11 February 2008

KEYWORDS Myocardial infarction; Acute coronary syndromes; Diagnosis; Angina; Unstable

Summary Prompt diagnosis and effective early management of acute coronary syndromes within the Emergency Department are imperative. Arguably the most important step in the management of the acute coronary syndromes is identifying the problem in the first place. This narrative review explores the significant but under-recognised limitations to current diagnostic strategies and addresses both contemporary and possible future solutions in a rapidly evolving field. © 2008 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

Contents Background................................................................................................................ The ECG .............................................................................................................. Clinical features........................................................................................................... Cardiac troponins..................................................................................................... Risk stratification ......................................................................................................... Rapid rule out protocols................................................................................................... Pre-discharge exercise testing............................................................................................. Future directions .......................................................................................................... Conclusions ............................................................................................................... Conflict of interest ........................................................................................................ References ..............................................................................................................

夽 A Spanish translated version of the summary of this article appears as Appendix in the final online version at doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2008.02.006. ∗ Tel.: +44 7880 712 929; fax: +44 161 276 6925. E-mail address: [email protected].

0300-9572/$ — see front matter © 2008 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2008.02.006

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Background Coronary heart disease remains the single biggest killer in the United Kingdom, accounting for around one in five deaths in men and one in six deaths in women.1 Approximately 3% of patients who attend the ED have chest pain that we suspect may be cardiac in origin.2 74—88% of these patients are admitted to hospital, making up one in five of all medical admissions.2—4 Ultimately only a quarter of these patients will be diagnosed with an acute coronary syndrome (ACS), which implies that we adopt a very cautious approach to the problem. Despite this fact, up to 6% of the patients who are discharged from the ED actually have myocardial damage that is of prognostic significance.5 This poses a question: why do we admit so many patients who do not have ACS but still miss the diagnosis in so many patients who do? In order to answer this question, this review aims to summarise the use and limitations of diagnostic strategies that are currently employed in the ED.

The ECG American Heart Association and European Society of Cardiology guidelines recommend that all patients who present to the ED with chest pain should have a 12-lead ECG recorded within 10 min of arrival.6,7 This is based upon evidence that longer delays are associated with adverse prognosis.8 The high specificity (at least 94%) of ECG criteria makes it the diagnostic test of first choice for establishing a diagnosis of STEMI and enables confident early institution of measures to achieve revascularisation.9 In patients who do not have STEMI but are suspected to have NSTE-ACS, the ECG is still an important diagnostic tool. 32% of patients with T wave inversion and 48% of patients with ST depression will have AMI, as diagnosed using serum creatine kinase (CK). Regardless of whether these patients have AMI, T wave inversion and ST depression are powerful prognostic markers (Figure 1). ST depression is an independent predictor of 30-day mortality, even among troponin-negative patients.10—14 These patients should have aggressive initial management and further investigation should be strongly considered regardless of troponin levels. The ECG is, however, an insensitive tool and cannot be used to exclude the diagnosis of AMI. Among patients who

R. Body present to the ED with suspected cardiac chest pain and have a normal ECG, 6% will have AMI.15 In fact, the sensitivity of the ECG for establishing a diagnosis of AMI is as low as 25—50%.16,17 Further, for establishing a diagnosis of acute cardiac ischaemia the ECG is less sensitive still, even using serial ECG’s (sensitivity 21—25%).18 Even during episodes of myocardial ischaemia as demonstrated on thallium scanning, 25% of patients with known left main stem or triple vessel disease will have a normal ECG.19

Clinical features Traditional teaching that 90% of diagnoses can be established by history and examination alone does not apply to ED patients with suspected ACS. Clinical features are notoriously unreliable for establishing this diagnosis. Over half of patients with unstable angina and a third of patients with AMI will report atypical symptoms.20,21 Up to one-third of patients with ACS do not experience any chest pain. They may present with dyspnoea, syncope, diaphoresis, pain in the epigastrium, arms or neck or they may report no symptoms at all. As a result, up to one-third of AMI’s are initially unrecognised.22,23 The prognosis for these patients is no better than patients with AMI that is initially recognised. Given the high prevalence of atypical symptoms in patients with ACS, it is no surprise that systematic review has failed to identify any atypical features that help to exclude the diagnosis of ACS. On multivariate analysis, pleuritic pain carries an odds ratio of 0.6 (95% confidence intervals 0.2—1.7) for the diagnosis of ACS, while a tender chest wall also has an odds ratio of 0.6 (0.3—1.2) far from excluding the diagnosis.24 Many atypical clinical features that physicians often believe help to ‘exclude’ the diagnosis of ACS may actually be positive predictors of the diagnosis. Among ED patients with an 18% prevalence of AMI, pain that radiates to the right shoulder may shift the post-test probability of AMI to 39%.15 Burning or indigestion-like pain may yield a post-test probability of 43%.24 Despite these statistics, a careful history remains an important diagnostic tool for the prudent physician who has a good appreciation of Bayesian principles. While no combination of clinical features has shown to accurately exclude ACS, combinations of typical or atypical features will shift the probability of the diagnosis. Among patients with suspected stable angina, combinations of typical symptoms give a very high probability of significant coronary artery disease (at least 90%) whereas combinations of decidedly atypical symptoms in low-risk groups such as young women are associated with low probability (about 5%) of disease.25,26

Cardiac troponins

Figure 1 Prognostic value of the admission electrocardiogram.10

The troponins are subunits of the thin filament associated troponin—tropomyosin complex, which helps to regulate muscle contraction. Genetic differences between skeletal and cardiac muscle have enabled the development of monoclonal antibodies to the cardiac troponins, which enables their quantification in peripheral blood.27,28 Contemporary assays are available for troponins T and I, which are essentially equivalent.29 Troponins represent the most sensitive

Emergent diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes: Today’s challenges and tomorrow’s possibilities and specific biochemical markers of AMI30—32 and confer prognostic information that is convincingly superior to other biochemical markers of myocardial necrosis.29,33 In addition to being extremely sensitive and specific markers of myocardial necrosis, cardiac troponins are excellent independent markers of prognosis.29,34—37 There is a positive correlation between troponin levels and risk of mortality.38,39 Notably, however, even minimal troponin elevations may be important markers of adverse prognosis in patients with ACS. In the CAPTURE trial, 14.7% of patients with troponin T between 0.05 and 0.12 ng/ml developed death or AMI within 6 months, compared with 10.1% of patients with troponin T between 0.02 and 0.04 ng/ml and 6.5% in patients whose troponin T was ≤0.01 ng/ml.40 The troponins too have significant disadvantages as a diagnostic test for ACS. Firstly, although troponins are extremely sensitive markers of myocardial necrosis, the rise in concentrations may not be detectable for several hours after necrosis has occurred. A meta-analysis of 10 studies involving 2497 patients found that troponin levels at presentation have a sensitivity of less than 40% for the diagnosis of AMI.30 Even using serial estimations, troponins are insufficiently sensitive until at least 6 h after the onset of pain41 and sensitivity remains suboptimal until 12 h after the onset of pain (Figure 2).42,43 The disadvantages of this are clear. The majority of patients are admitted to hospital to await diagnostic blood tests, at considerable expense to the Health Service and inconvenience to the patient. Further, many patients in whom the diagnosis has neither been established nor excluded are ineligible for early intensive treatment at a time when it is likely to be most beneficial.44—49 Alternatively, many patients who have non-cardiac chest pain may receive unnecessary treatment with co-existent risks. Finally, troponins are markers of myocardial necrosis, the end-point in the pathophysiological evolution of ACS. Patients with unstable angina are, by definition, troponin negative. Perhaps it is not surprising, therefore, that normal troponin levels do not uniformly equate with a favourable prognosis. A large meta-analysis including a total of 11,963 patients who were investigated for suspected NSTE-ACS found those who tested negative for troponin (T or I) had a 1.6% incidence of death and a 5.9% incidence of death or AMI after a median of 12 weeks follow-up (mean 24 weeks).29 As such, one-third of patients who went on to develop death or AMI were not identified by troponin testing. Further, while a negative troponin does not exclude ACS a positive troponin does not indisputably prove the diagnosis.

Figure 2

Sensitivity of troponin T by time of presentation.43

Table 1

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Non-coronary causes of troponin elevations7

Heart failure (acute or chronic) Aortic dissection Valvular heart disease Cardiomyopathies Cardiac contusion Myocarditis Hypertensive crisis Pulmonary embolism Renal failure Subarachnoid haemorrhage Infiltrative diseases, e.g. amyloidosis, haemochromatosis, sarcoidosis, scleroderma Drug toxicity, e.g. adriamycin, 5-fluorouracil, herceptin, snake venoms Burns (>30% body area) Critically ill patients (sepsis, respiratory failure)

Because of the high specificity of modern assays a positive troponin almost universally indicates myocardial necrosis but tells us nothing regarding the aetiology. There are therefore many non-coronary causes of troponin elevations, many of which may present with chest pain (Table 1). Elevation of troponins is also frequently found in patients with chronic renal failure even in the apparent absence of myocardial injury. In this context troponin I may yield fewer false positives than troponin T although the reasons for this are not entirely clear.50 The importance of serial troponin estimation should be emphasised in this population, as sequential changes support a diagnosis of myocardial injury. Troponin levels that remain unchanged over a period of time are more consistent with a chronic disease state.6 It is important to emphasise that troponin elevations are powerful markers of adverse prognosis regardless of the aetiology.33,51 However, the diagnosis of ACS cannot be established or excluded using troponin levels alone. Careful consideration of other clinical information is crucial.

Risk stratification As has been demonstrated clinical features, ECG findings and cardiac troponins when measured at the time of presentation are actually fairly insensitive tools for exclusion of ACS. Further, many patients must wait in hospital for an appropriately timed troponin test, which enables highly sensitive detection of myocardial necrosis but does not identify unstable angina. Risk stratification is a simple contemporary method of addressing this problem. Successful risk stratification will identify populations of patients who are at high and low risk of being diagnosed with AMI and of developing adverse events in the near future. The aims of this are threefold. First, by identifying a high-risk population more aggressive early treatment may be instituted without subjecting lower risk patients to the risks of unnecessary treatment.48,49 Second, the population who are at higher risk of adverse events should be considered for further in-patient investigation and treatment regardless of their troponin result. Finally, a population with a low pretest probability of AMI and at low risk of adverse cardiac

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R. Body

Table 2

The TIMI risk score for NSTE-ACS100

The TIMI risk score Age ≥65 years ≥3 risk factors for coronary artery disease Significant coronary stenosis (e.g. prior coronary stenosis ≥50%)a Use of aspirin in last 7 days Severe anginal symptoms (e.g. ≥2 anginal events in last 24 h) ST segment deviation Elevated serum cardiac markers

1 point 1 point 1 point 1 point 1 point 1 point 1 point

a

For ED purposes, this may be modified to prior coronary stenosis ≥50%, past history of MI or past history of coronary intervention.56

events in the near future may be suitable for investigation in an ED observation ward. There are multiple risk stratification algorithms available. Many have been validated in large cohorts of patients yet have not been universally adopted. In the absence of direct comparisons between these algorithms in ED cohorts, an outright recommendation cannot be provided for a single algorithm. It is currently reasonable for a risk stratification algorithm to be locally agreed. Perhaps the most widely known algorithm is the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score for non-ST elevation ACS (NSTE-ACS). This score was originally derived using data from 7081 patients with confirmed NSTE-ACS who were enrolled in trials of low molecular weight versus unfractionated heparin.52,53 It is a simple seven-point score that combines historical, ECG and biochemical data and can be easily calculated at the bedside (Table 2). Several studies have shown that the TIMI risk score is a powerful tool for risk stratification of undifferentiated ED patients with suspected ACS.54—58 While the TIMI risk score is correlated with the incidence of adverse events it cannot, alone, be used to guide patient disposition. ED patients with low (0—2) TIMI risk score still have a 5% risk of significant adverse events within 30 days.55,56 A further disadvantage of the TIMI risk score is that it incorporates ECG and troponin results, factors that are already known to independently identify high-risk populations.12—14 Finally, many elements of the TIMI risk score have a fixed value for a particular patient. Thus a high-risk patient is always likely to be high risk, regardless of their current symptoms. Despite these limitations the TIMI risk score is a popular and commonly used risk stratification algorithm. Several other risk stratification algorithms have been described. The Global Registry of Acute Events (GRACE) score incorporates eight independent variables. It has been derived and validated for predicting prognosis among patients with a discharge diagnosis of ACS and in ED patients with undifferentiated chest pain.59—63 Its accuracy appears to be similar to the TIMI risk score.63 Again the GRACE score cannot be used to guide disposition as patients in the bottom quintile still have a 4% risk of adverse events within 1 month. Further, as the score is calculated using a rather complex unequal weighting of variables, a computer pro-

Figure 3

The Goldman risk stratification algorithm.65

gram is necessary for calculation, limiting the applicability within the ED. A computer protocol derived in the pre-troponin era using data from the Multicentre Chest Pain Study was shown to exclude AMI with a sensitivity of 88% (negative predictive value 85%).64 Clearly this is insufficient to facilitate early patient discharge but the algorithm did appear to marginally improve accuracy of triage to a Coronary Care Unit when compared with physician judgement. Using the same patient cohort a second algorithm was also derived, which has arguably had greater clinical impact (Figure 3).65 The algorithm accurately categorised patients into four risk groups according to their probability of developing a major adverse cardiac event within 72 h. While the algorithm itself does not enable early discharge, it may be used to accurately triage patients to an appropriate level of care within the hospital.

Rapid rule out protocols In recent years there has been growing interest in developing rapid rule out protocols that will enable accurate exclusion of AMI earlier than standard troponin testing, thus reducing unnecessary admissions. Several have been described. Serial estimation of CK-MB is a commonly used strategy in clinical practice. However, a meta-analysis of 11,625 patients found that the strategy has a disappointing sensitivity of only 79% for the diagnosis of AMI.18 The concept of multi-marker strategies has also become increasingly popular in recent years. In particular, combinations of three biochemical markers of myocardial necrosis (troponins, CK-MB and myoglobin) have been investigated. Such strategies are theoretically promising as myoglobin and CK-MB are known to rise and fall within hours of onset of AMI. Troponins are not released until several hours following the onset of AMI but the elevated levels are sustained for much longer.18,30,66 While these multi-marker strategies have already been adopted in a number of ED’s, high-quality evidence is still

Emergent diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes: Today’s challenges and tomorrow’s possibilities lacking for their efficacy.67 Even using serial estimations, sensitivity may be below 90% for the detection of AMI, below 80% for the detection of all ACS and around 70% for the prediction of adverse events within 1 month.68—70 Although several other groups have reported high sensitivities and negative predictive values with similar protocols many of them utilised now outdated gold standard criteria for diagnosing AMI and several did not uniformly subject included patients to appropriately timed robust gold standard investigations.71—78,16—26 Current guidelines from the International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation based upon their own systematic review do not recommend the use of rapid rule out protocols within the first 4—6 h of ED evaluation.67 It is important that future research should mandate appropriately timed troponin testing and AMI should be diagnosed according to current guidelines.79 Evaluation of cost-effectiveness is also important. Finally and importantly, it is important to be aware that protocols incorporating markers of myocardial necrosis alone can only, at best, exclude AMI. Patients with unstable angina, who have no significant myocardial necrosis, will not be identified. Protocols incorporating novel markers of alternative aspects of the disease process may help to address this problem.69

Pre-discharge exercise testing The exercise ECG or exercise tolerance test (ETT) is a well-established investigation. It carries a sensitivity of approximately 68% and specificity of 77% for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease.80—82 It is a relatively safe investigation but death and AMI have been reported in up to 1 per 2500 tests.83 Early research suggested that the use of pre-discharge ETT in a Chest Pain Unit (CPU) was associated with a similar rate of complications to routine care but reduced admissions, leading to cost savings.84—86 However, a recent large multicentre randomised controlled trial of CPU versus routine care (the ESCAPE trial) found that CPUs led to an increase in ED attendances for chest pain with no change in the proportion admitted. CPU care was associated with small increases in re-attendances and re-admission.87,88

Future directions There are presently two great challenges in this area: to identify those patients with NSTEMI without needing to wait for the 12-h troponin and to identify those patients with unstable angina who have a normal ECG and troponin but are still at risk of adverse events in the near future. Enhanced understanding of the pathophysiological evolution of ACS is likely to yield growing numbers of imaginative diagnostic strategies. Coronary atherosclerosis is not the bland lipid storage disease it was once thought to be. It is in fact a dynamic inflammatory disease, often characterised by alternating periods of stability and instability with swift and sudden increases in plaque size.89—92 Indeed, two thirds of AMI’s are provoked by plaques that cause less than 50% stenosis on angiography.93 Through intravascular ultrasound it has been possible to characterise the morphology of the vulnerable or unstable plaque.89,94—99

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While present techniques rely upon identification of the downstream effects of the disease, future research may focus upon diagnostic techniques that identify the unstable or ruptured plaque itself. Novel biochemical markers could potentially identify coronary inflammation (e.g. selectins, myeloperoxidase and C-reactive protein), plaque vulnerability (e.g. pregnancy-associated plasma protein A, choline and soluble CD40 ligand) and activation of the coagulation cascade (e.g. P-selectin, thrombospondin and D-dimer). Their incorporation into multi-marker strategies and clinical decision rules may facilitate earlier and more sensitive diagnosis or exclusion of ACS. The rapid evolution of imaging technologies including computed tomography could soon enable sensitive visualisation of coronary disease. If such techniques are successful they may open up a whole new world of possibilities for the recognition and management of this important disease.

Conclusions The diagnosis of ACS is fraught with difficulty. All of the currently available diagnostic strategies have limitations and it is inevitable that a small proportion of discharged patients will experience adverse events in the near future. Recognition of these limitations and the need for further risk stratification to complement current diagnostic strategies will help the cautious emergency physician to minimise this probability. In order to overcome these limitations and to open up new therapeutic possibilities, future research may focus upon novel diagnostic strategies that aim to directly identify the processes involved in plaque instability and rupture.

Conflict of interest Richard Body has accepted honoraria from Bristol Myers Squibb and PASTEST for lectures given at sponsored meetings. Richard Body is the lead investigator for research into novel biochemical markers of acute coronary syndromes, which is supported by a collaborative agreement with Biosite.

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