Fiber optic data networks to reach $823M by 1996

xpansion of milit a r y fibre optic data links boomed in 1991, due in part to the Gulf War upgrade of Patriot and other systems. Military fibre optic datacoms deployment will maintain substantial growth, after a 1992-93 dip from the 1991 peak, but at a slower rate than general commercial data communications and specialty applications (automatic/vehicular and intra-enclosure). The tactical military data systems share will slide from 32% in 1991 to 19% in 1996 and 15% or $266M in 2001. This excludes military fibre optics use in strategic (base) installations, tethered weapon systems, sensor and other miscellaneous applications. The study shows that fibre optics use in data networks over the next decade will be dominated by FDDI networks and

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Fiber Optic Data N e t w o r k s to

Reach $823M by 1996 According to the Fiber Optic Data Communications Forecast report from ElectroniCast Corp., North American consumption of fibre optic components in datacoms will expand at an average 13% per year, from $453M in 1991 to $823M in 1996 in spite of the impact of wireless datacoms and twisted pairs.

higher data rate lines, up into the multigigabit range. Except for long campus or metropolitan runs, copper lines and wireless links will dominate data distribution below 100 Mbits/sec., short to medium distance. Wireless LAN (in-building) product North American sales will climb from $3.5M in

1991 to $89M in 1996 and $775M in 2001, according to the ElectroniCast study. Wireless nodes will climb to 5% of total deployment by 2001, while fibre will gain a 42% share. The average length of fibre links between optoelectronic transmitters and receivers will drop steadily

over the next decade, as fibre increasingly is extended from wiring closets to desktops and workstations. The cable share of data communications fibre optic components in 1991 was 50% , or $225M. The cable share will slide to 44% in 1996, and 38% in 2001. Finally, while most telecom fibre optic components are sold direct to the end user, a major share of data communications fibre optic c o m p o n e n t s will move through distributors and value-added assemblers and installers., The Fibre Optic Data Communications Forecast 585-page report and associated database software is available now at $7,500. Contact: Stephen Montgomery, EleetroniCast, 2121 S. E1 Camino Real, Suite 1215, San Mateo, CA 94403 USA. Tel~fox: [1] 415 572 1800 / 0519.

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