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Forecasting Empty Container Volumes
The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
ƔVolume 27
Number 2
August 2011
pp. 217-236 Ɣ
Forecasting Empty Container Volumes
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Abstract 7KH DFFXPXODWLRQ DQG UHSRVLWLRQLQJ RI HPSW\ FRQWDLQHUV KDYH EHFRPH DFXWHSUREOHPVIRUFRQWDLQHUSRUWVDQGDUHH[SHFWHGWRLQWHQVLI\LQWKHIXWXUH JLYHQWKHH[SHFWHGJURZWKLQWUDGHLPEDODQFHVDPRQJWUDGLQJQDWLRQV7KHVH SUREOHPV DUH PDMRU FRVWV DQG RSHUDWLRQDO FKDOOHQJHV IRU FRQWDLQHU SRUWV 0RUHDFFXUDWHIRUHFDVWLQJRIYROXPHVRISRUWHPSW\FRQWDLQHUVZLOOHQDEOH FRQWDLQHUSRUWVWRGHYHORSPRUHFRVWHI¿FLHQWSODQVIRUWKHUHSRVLWLRQLQJRI HPSW\FRQWDLQHUV7KLVSDSHUFRPSDUHVWKH7LRJD*URXS8QLWHG1DWLRQVDQG :LQWHUVPHWKRG XWLOL]LQJHPSW\FRQWDLQHUYROXPHVRIWKUHH86FRQWDLQHU SRUWV LQIRUHFDVWLQJYROXPHVRISRUWHPSW\FRQWDLQHUV7KH:LQWHUVPHWKRGLV IRXQGWRSURYLGHPRUHDFFXUDWHIRUHFDVWVRIYROXPHVRISRUWHPSW\FRQWDLQHUV WKDQWKH7LRJD*URXSDQG8QLWHG1DWLRQVPHWKRGV .H\ZRUGV (PSW\&RQWDLQHUV)RUHFDVWLQJ:LQWHUVPHWKRG
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