How Is Third Molar Status Associated With the Occurrence of Mandibular Angle and Condyle Fractures?

How Is Third Molar Status Associated With the Occurrence of Mandibular Angle and Condyle Fractures?

Accepted Manuscript How is third molar status associated with the occurrence of mandibular angle and condyle fractures? Shuai Xu, Ph.D, Resident, Jun-...

407KB Sizes 1 Downloads 77 Views

Accepted Manuscript How is third molar status associated with the occurrence of mandibular angle and condyle fractures? Shuai Xu, Ph.D, Resident, Jun-jie Huang, MS, Resident, Yu Xiong, Associate Professor, Ying-hui Tan, Professor PII:

S0278-2391(17)30339-7

DOI:

10.1016/j.joms.2017.03.021

Reference:

YJOMS 57711

To appear in:

Journal of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery

Received Date: 24 November 2016 Revised Date:

14 March 2017

Accepted Date: 14 March 2017

Please cite this article as: Xu S, Huang J-j, Xiong Y, Tan Y-h, How is third molar status associated with the occurrence of mandibular angle and condyle fractures?, Journal of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery (2017), doi: 10.1016/j.joms.2017.03.021. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

How is third molar status associated with the occurrence of mandibular angle and condyle fractures?

RI PT

Authors and Affiliations Shuai Xu, Resident, Ph.D1, Jun-jie Huang, Resident, MS2, Yu Xiong, Associate Professor3, and Ying-hui Tan, Professor4*.

M AN U

Medical University, Chongqing, China

SC

1. Resident, Department of Stomatology, Xinqiao Hospital, Third Military

2. Resident, Department of Stomatology, Xinqiao Hospital, Third Military Medical University, Chongqing, China

3. Associate Professor, Department of Stomatology, Southwest Hospital,

TE D

Third Military Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China 4. Professor, Department of Stomatology, Xinqiao Hospital, Third Military

EP

Medical University, Chongqing, China *Correspondence Author: Ying-hui Tan

AC C

Address: Department of Stomatology, Xinqiao Hospital, Third Military Medical University, 183 Xinqiaozhengjie St, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China E-mail :[email protected]

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Abstract Purpose: The third molars (M3s) have been hypothesized to be associated with the risk of mandibular angle fracture and mandibular condylar fracture. We systematically

RI PT

estimated the relative risk of M3 status for the development of mandibular angle fracture and mandibular condylar fracture through a meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Methods: In this systematic review, PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library

SC

were searched from inception to October 2016. The predictor of risk was the presence

M AN U

or absence of M3s. The primary outcome was the relative risk of mandibular angle or condylar fracture. Either a fixed or a random-effects model was applied to evaluate the pooled risk estimates. Sensitivity analysis was also performed to identify the potential sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was assessed by the Begg’s and Egger’s

TE D

tests.

Results: Overall, 13 retrospective cohort studies were included. Of these, 13 reported the association between M3s and mandibular angle fracture, while 5 reported the

EP

association with mandibular condylar fracture. Patients with M3s had an increased risk

AC C

of mandibular angle fractures (RR = 2.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.15–3.21) but a decreased risk of mandibular condylar fractures (RR = 0.47, 95% CI 0.25–0.86). Substantial heterogeneity in the risk estimates was revealed. No evidence of publication bias was found. Conclusion: The current meta-analysis provides further evidence that the presence of M3s is associated with an increased risk of mandibular angle fractures and a simultaneously decreased risk of mandibular condylar fracture. Due to the potentially

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT more serious complications associated with condylar fracture, clinicians should carefully consider the decision to remove M3s for the purpose of decreasing the risk of

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

mandibular angle fracture.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Introduction The mandible is the largest and the strongest bone in the facial skeleton. However, it is very frequently fractured because of its prominent and exposed location. According to

RI PT

previous biomechanical and epidemiologic studies, the incidence of mandibular fracture varies from 15.5 to 59% of all facial fractures, for patients between the age of 16 and 30 years1, 2. Ellis et al.1 also found that mandibular angle fracture is common and

SC

comprises approximately 30% of all mandibular fractures. The occurrence of

M AN U

mandibular angle fracture is usually related to many factors such as the direction and severity of the impact, presence of soft tissue bulk, and occlusal loading pattern, as well as biomechanical characteristics, such as the bone density, mass, and weak regions of anatomic structures3. As the mandibular angle forms the junction between the ramus

TE D

and the body, it is commonly associated with the third molars (M3s). In other words, the status of the M3s affects the risk of mandibular angle fracture4. Various studies have reported that the presence of M3s is associated with an

EP

increased risk for angle fracture, especially when these M3s are partially erupted or

AC C

unerupted5. Iida et al.6 showed that incompletely erupted M3s had a high risk for mandibular angle fracture. Antic et al.7 also observed that there was a 3.6-fold increased risk for mandibular angle fracture when M3s were present, compared with M3s being absent. Safdar et al8 reported that impacted M3s increased the likelihood of angle fractures by reducing the bone quality and bone mass in the mandibular angle region. Accordingly, some authors recommend the early extraction of asymptomatic M3s to decrease the risk of mandibular angle fracture.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT However, more recent studies9 observed that patients without M3s were more likely to develop another type of mandibular fracture, mandibular condyle fracture, compared with those who had M3s. The treatment of condyle fracture is more

RI PT

challenging, with a higher risk of postoperative complications compared to angle fracture. Therefore, the decision to remove M3s as a means of preventing mandibular angle fracture might not be as straightforward as previously thought. These disputes

M AN U

mandibular angle and condylar fracture.

SC

require further systematic analysis on the relationship between M3 status and the risk of

Therefore, this systematic review aimed to pool data from individual studies, and a meta-analysis was performed to quantify the association between M3 status and the incidence of mandibular angle as well as condyle fracture. The investigators

TE D

hypothesize that patients with M3s are at an increased risk of mandibular angle fracture, compared to those without, and that removal of M3s will decrease this risk,

AC C

Methods

EP

while increasing the risk of condylar fracture.

Literature search and study selection We conducted a systematic literature search by using the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library Database to identify relevant studies from the earliest available data to October 2016. To identify relevant studies, the search strategy combined MeSH terms and key words. The search was restricted to studies conducted on human subjects and published in English and Chinese. The following key words or MeSH terms were

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT used in our search strategies: (“mandibular fracture” OR “mandibular angle fracture” OR “mandibular condyle fracture”) AND (“third molar” OR “wisdom tooth”) (Supplementary Table 1). All reference lists from the main reports and relevant

RI PT

reviews were hand searched for additional eligible studies. The search strategy was conducted according to the recommendations of the Meta-analysis of Observational

Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement11.

SC

Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE)10 and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic

M AN U

The studies were considered eligible for analysis if they met the following criteria: 1. prospective or retrospective cohort study; 2. the association the between presence of M3s and the risk for mandibular angle or condyle fracture was mentioned, with sufficient data to estimate an effect size in the form of a relative risk (RR) or odds ratio

TE D

(OR) with the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI); 3. sample size over 100. In cases where separate publications reported on the same population, either the most recent or the one with the longest follow-up period was included.

EP

Two independent reviewers (S. Xu and J.J. Huang) screened the full text of each

AC C

prospective article to determine if they met the inclusion criteria. Disagreement was settled by consensus.

Data collection and quality assessment The same two reviewers independently extracted the data from all included studies. Any discrepancies or uncertainties were resolved by consensus after rechecking the source and discussing with a third reviewer (Y.H. Tan). A standard electronic form was used to compile the extracted study information and included the following items: first

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT author’s surname, publication year, country, study design (prospective vs retrospective cohort study), sample size, age, years of data collected, number of mandibular fractures and third molars, status of third molar, mandibular angle fracture and mandibular

RI PT

condylar fracture parameters (number with M3s, number without M3s, total, adjusted OR/RR and their 95% CI, P values), data source, study quality, and main cause for mandibular fracture.

SC

Mandibular angle fracture was defined as a fracture located posterior to the second

M AN U

molar and extending from any point on the curve formed by the junction of the body and ramus in the retromolar area to any point on the curve formed by the inferior border of the body and posterior border of the ramus of the mandible, given by Kelly and Harrigan6 in1975. Mandibular condyle fracture was defined as a fracture with the

TE D

fracture line extending over the sigmoid notch9. The Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale (NOS)12 was used to evaluate the quality of the cohort studies, with

Data analysis

EP

scores as follows: low quality = 0–4; moderate quality = 5–7; high quality = 8–9.

AC C

The relative risk (RR) and odds ratio (OR) are common means of measuring the association between M3s and the risk of mandibular angle and condyle fracture. In cohort studies, RR and OR can be considered to be equivalent. Therefore, the RR/OR from each study was converted to logRR to stabilize the variances and normalize the distributions. Then, the data were pooled together. The heterogeneity among studies was evaluated by Cochran’s Q statistic and quantified as I2 metric to establish whether it was reasonable to assume that the estimate

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT of relative risk across studies was consistent13. For the Q statistic, a P-value < 0.1 was considered statistically significant. For the I2 statistic, the following cutoff points were used: a value < 30% was considered little or no heterogeneity, 30–75% was moderate

RI PT

heterogeneity, and above 75% was high heterogeneity14. When there was high heterogeneity among studies, a random-effect model was used to calculate the pooled estimation. Otherwise, a fixed-effect model was applied.

SC

Potential publication bias was assessed by both Begg’s rank correlation test and

M AN U

Egger’s linear regression method. A sensitivity analysis was conducted by sequentially removing one study at a time with the metaninf algorithm in STATA (version 12.0; STATA Corporation, College Station, TX, USA).

All analyses were performed using the STATA statistical software. P values were

Results

TE D

two-tailed and P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Study selection process

EP

Overall, there were 515 articles identified from the PubMed (247 articles), EMBASE

AC C

(266 articles), and Cochrane Library database (two articles) search. After evaluating the titles and abstracts, we excluded 445 records, while the remaining 70 studies were chosen for further review by reading the full text. Among them, 57 were excluded because 17 had no association with study outcomes; 32 had no OR/RR values; four had no original data; and four presented mechanical assays with computer simulation. Finally, 13 studies were included in the present meta-analysis3,6,7,15-24. The study selection process is shown in Fig. 1.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Study and patient characteristics The characteristics of the selected studies are presented in Table 1. The 13 selected articles consisted exclusively of retrospective cohort studies based on the review of

RI PT

hospital records and radiographic files. All 13 studies dealt with M3s and mandibular angle fracture, and five compared M3s with mandibular condyle fracture7,21-24. In the 13

studies

accepted

for

the

main

analysis,

seven

were

conducted

in

SC

America3,15,16,18,20,22,24, three in Asian countries19,21,23, two in African countries7,17, and

M AN U

1 in a European country6. All the studies were published between 1995 and 2016. The duration of follow-up ranged from 1 to 21 years. The average age of the participants ranged from 15 to 55 years. The most frequent cause was physical assault, followed by road traffic accidents. Studies on road traffic accidents originated in Asian and African

TE D

countries, and those on physical assaults came from Western countries such as the USA, Germany, and Canada. The total number of patients was 6,066. There were 2,462 mandibular halves with mandibular angle fracture, 823 with condyle fracture, and

EP

6,312 with M3s. Regarding the NOS scores, one study20 had a score of 9, eight

AC C

studies3,6,7,15,17,19,21,24 had a score of 7, and the remaining four studies16,18,22,23 had a score of 6 (Supplemental Table 2). M3s and risk of mandibular angle fracture The 13 retrospective cohort studies were pooled and analyzed as presented in Fig. 2. Overall, our analysis suggested that participants with M3s experienced a significantly increased risk for mandibular angle fracture (RR = 2.63, 95% CI, 2.15-3.21). A moderate statistical heterogeneity among studies was observed (P < 0.001, I2 = 73.7%).

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT By removing one study at a time, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the influence of each study on the pooled RR; the pooled RR and 95% CI were not modified significantly, with a range from 2.15 (2.05–2.19) to 3.2 (2.80–3.40) (Fig. 3).

RI PT

This sensitivity analysis indicated that the results of this meta-analysis were stable and reliable. Additionally, no evidence of publication bias was observed, according to

M3s and risk of mandibular condyle fracture

SC

Begg’s test (P = 0.100) and Egger’s method (P = 0.307) (Fig. 4).

M AN U

The OR/RR from the five relevant retrospective cohort studies were pooled and analyzed as presented in Fig. 5. This analysis included 1,865 participants and 823 mandibular halves with condylar fractures. The findings suggested that participants with M3s experienced a significantly decreased risk for mandibular condyle fracture

TE D

(RR = 0.47, 95% CI, 0.25–0.86). A severe statistical heterogeneity among studies was observed (P < 0.001, I2 = 93.8%). The sensitivity analysis found similar risk estimates, none of the studies modified the pooled RR significantly (Fig. 6). This sensitivity

EP

analysis indicated that the results of this meta-analysis were stable and reliable. The

AC C

publication bias analysis was not carried out because the number of included studies was less than 10.

Discussion

This current meta-analysis confirmed an increased risk of mandibular angle fractures in the presence of M3s and a simultaneously decreased risk of mandibular condylar fractures, compared to patients without M3s. M3s and mandibular angle fracture

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT The association between M3s and mandibular angle fracture is believed to be because impacted M3s occupy more osseous space in the jaw that would otherwise be occupied by bone, thereby decreasing the quantity of bone and weakening the

RI PT

mandibular angle24. This hypothesis was supported by the study of Reitzik et al.25 They showed that vervet monkey mandible sides containing incompletely erupted M3s fractured at about 60% of the force required to fracture mandible sides containing

SC

normally erupted M3s. Rahimi-Nedjat et al.26 also showed that fractures of the

M AN U

mandibular angle were more likely to appear in patients with retained M3s, which might be due to the reduced bone mass. Iida et al.6 revealed that the highest incidence of angle fractures was observed in the group in which M3s decreased the amount of bone by more than 20%, especially in cases with a mesioangular M3. The present study

TE D

showed that the relative risk of mandibular angle fracture was 2.63 times higher in patients with M3s, compared to those without. This is in accordance with a previous meta-analysis, which found that the presence of M3s results in a 2.4 times higher

EP

relative risk of mandibular angle fractures27.

AC C

Furthermore, the presence of M3s significantly diminishes the tensile strength of the bone and encourages the propagation of the fracture along the least resistant path28. The external oblique ridge provides a pillar of strength for the mandible in that region of the jaw. When M3s are completely in occlusion, the external oblique ridge remains intact. However, when the M3s are partially impacted, the tension line may be disrupted, weakening the mandibular angle and making it more susceptible to fracture29.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT In addition, the risk of mandibular angle fracture depends on the position of the M3s. Although the present study did not analyze this issue, many studies have found that M3 position or angulation is associated with a variable risk for angle fractures.

RI PT

Specifically, deeper impactions are associated with an increased risk of fractures. According to Fuselier et al.,18 angle fractures are more common in subjects with mesioangular M3s. In contrast, Ma ́aita et al.5 found that a higher risk was associated

SC

with the vertical and distoangular angulations. Choi et al.30 reported that the risk of

M AN U

mandibular angle fractures was the highest in Class II and position B. Gaddipati et al.23 reported that the risk of mandibular angle fractures was the highest in position A. Regarding the vertical position, these authors suggested that deeply impacted M3s were the main factor behind the higher risk of angle fractures. However, Tevepaugh’s15 study

TE D

failed to confirm that more deeply impacted M3s led to an increased risk for angle fracture. They observed an association between a higher incidence of angle fractures and partially impacted M3s, specifically those of Class IIB and a mesioangular

EP

position. Halmos et al.20 confirmed this observation and added that superficial

AC C

impactions (positions II-A and II-B of the Pell and Gregory system) may be more frequently associated with an increasing risk of these fractures. Lee et al.16 provided data showing an increase in the frequency of mandibular angle fractures associated with the position of the impacted third molar. The authors found that compared to the erupted M3s, all positions presented an increasing risk, except for completely impacted M3s. These findings are contrary to the conventional hypothesis that the deepest impactions should be associated with an increasing risk of mandibular angle fracture.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Iida et al.31 also found there was no significant difference between the position or angulation of the M3s and the risk of mandibular angle fractures. M3s and mandibular condylar fracture

RI PT

More recent studies have found that patients without M3s are more susceptible to mandibular condylar fracture, compared to those with impacted M3s9,21,32,33. This was confirmed by the present study, which found that the risk of sustaining a condylar

SC

fracture in patients with M3s was 0.47 times that in patients without M3s. Thangavelu

M AN U

et al.21 reported that in the absence of impacted mandibular M3s, the condyle was 2.5 times more prone to injury, compared with cases where impacted M3s were present. Zhu et al.9 postulated that the presence of impacted M3s reduced the incidence of condyle fractures. Gaddipati et al.23 demonstrated that patients are more likely to have

TE D

both parasymphysis and angle fractures when unerupted M3s were present. In the absence of unerupted M3s, the patient’s injuries tended to be symphysis or mandibular condyle fractures. These findings suggest that, in the absence of unerupted M3s, much

EP

of the force may be transmitted to the condylar region, which might increase the

AC C

incidence of associated fractures. Almost all condylar fractures are caused by indirect injury forces, because the condyle is usually protected by the zygomatic arch, muscles, and the structures of the temporomandibular joint(TMJ)28. The impact forces that cause the condylar fractures must transmit to the mandibular angle on the same side, which is biomechanically stronger than the condyle. Iida et al.31 also found that an incompletely erupted M3 decreased the risk of condylar fractures but increased the risk of mandibular angle fractures. Meanwhile, no relation appeared to exist between M3

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT position and condylar fracture pattern. Those findings support the hypothesis that the M3s help to prevent mandibular condylar fractures. Clinical significance

RI PT

Based on these findings, some investigators have advocated for the early removal of impacted M3s, particularly in young athletes involved in contact sports or other activities, as a prophylactic measure to prevent the possibility of mandibular angle

SC

fractures29. However, it is more difficult to treat mandibular condylar fractures than

M AN U

mandibular angle fractures, mainly because of difficulties in repositioning the condylar fragments, and performing accurate placement of the plates and screws34. In addition, there are many associated operative and postoperative complications, such as pain, restricted mandibular movement, muscle spasm, deviation of the mandible,

TE D

malocclusion and pathological changes the in the TMJ, facial nerve injury, and ankylosis35. In contrast, excellent reduction and stable fixation in angle fractures are easily achieved because the access and visibility for plating are much better. Therefore,

EP

the prophylactic removal of symptom-free M3s may not be appropriate as a means of

AC C

reducing the chances of angle fracture in patients at risk of maxillofacial trauma. Other factors

Other factors may influence the risk of angle fractures and condylar fractures, such as root of the M3s, the age of patients, occlusion, the character of the soft tissues adjacent to the mandible, and the state of the remaining dentition16.The single conical root of the M3s also showed a significant association with angle fractures. The reason is probably due to concentrated stress around the single root apex that overcomes the bone

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT strength.7 In the present study, the highest incidence of angular fracture and condylar fracture was found in patients aged 32 years, similar to previous findings15,20,29. This might be related to some specific behavior tendencies of young subjects, irrespective of

RI PT

M3 status. Similarly, Hasegawa et al.36 found that the presence of occlusal support was associated with mandibular angle and condylar fractures because of its buffering ability,

SC

and that this factor may be more important than the position of the M3s.

Strengths and limitations

M AN U

The present meta-analysis had strict inclusion criteria and well-defined variables of interest, which led to reliable and stable results. However, several limitations of this meta-analysis should be considered. First, only retrospective studies were included, because it is not ethically feasible to obtain prospective data regarding the impact of

TE D

M3s on the prevalence of mandibular fractures. Second, we did not determine the effects of different individual conditions and different types of M3 position or

EP

angulation. Third, we found moderate heterogeneity regarding the data on mandibular angle fracture (I2 = 41.7%; P < 0.001) and high heterogeneity in the data on mandibular

AC C

condyle fracture (I2 = 93.8%; P < 0.001). However, our sensitivity analysis did not find large changes to the pooled RR. Thus, the heterogeneity might be a result of variation between study populations, study design, follow-up, measurement methods, and statistical methods. A meta-regression or dose-response analysis might further explain the prognostic value and the source of heterogeneity. Finally, the underlying mechanisms of the relationship between the M3s and the risk of mandibular angle fracture and mandibular condylar fracture still need further investigation.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT conclusion This current meta-analysis provides further evidence that the presence of M3s is associated with an increased risk of mandibular angle fracture and a simultaneously

RI PT

decreased risk of mandibular condylar fracture. As condylar fracture carries more potentially serious complications, the decision to extract M3s to decrease the risk of

Ellis E 3rd, Moos KF, el-Attar A: Ten years of mandibular fractures: an analysis

AC C

1.

EP

References

TE D

M AN U

SC

angle fracture requires careful consideration by the clinician.

of 2,137 cases. Oral Surg Oral Med Oral Pathol 59:120, 1985

2.

Zix JA, Schaller B, Lieger O, Saulacic N, Thor en H, Iizuka T: Incidence,

aetiology and pattern of mandibular fractures in central Switzerland. Swiss Med Wkly 141:w13207, 2011

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 3.

Meisami T, Sojat A, Sandor GK, Lawrence HP, Clokie CM: Impacted third molars and risk of angle fracture. Int J Oral Maxillofac Surg 31:140, 2002

4.

Menon S, Kumar V, Srihari V, Priyadarshini Y: Correlation of third molar status

RI PT

with incidence of condylar and angle fractures. Craniomaxillofac Trauma Reconstr 9:224, 2016

Ma'aita J, Alwrikat A: Is the mandibular third molar a risk factor for mandibular

SC

5.

angle fracture? Oral Surg Oral Med Oral Pathol Oral Radiol Endod 89:143,

6.

M AN U

2000

Iida S, Hassfeld S, Reuther T, Nomura K, Mühling J: Relationship between the risk of mandibular angle fractures and the status of incompletely erupted

7.

TE D

mandibular third molar. J Craniomaxillofac Surg 33:158, 2005

Antic S, Milicic B, Jelovac DB, Djuric M: Impact of the lower third molar and

EP

injury mechanism on the risk of mandibular angle and condylar fractures. Dent

8.

AC C

Traumatol 32:286, 2016

Safdar N, Meechan JG: Relationship between fractures of the mandibular angle and the presence and state of eruption of the lower third molar. Oral Surg Oral

Med Oral Pathol Oral Radiol Endod 79:680, 1995

9.

Zhu SJ, Choi BH, Kim HJ, Park WS, Huh JY, Jung JH, et al: Relationship between the presence of unerupted mandibular third molars and fractures of the mandibular condyle. Int J Oral Maxillofac Surg 34:382, 2005

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 10.

Stroup DF, Berlin JA, Morton SC, Olkin I, Williamson GD, Rennie D, et al: Meta-analysis of observational studies in epidemiology: a proposal for reporting. Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE)

11.

RI PT

group. Jama 283:2008, 2000

Liberati A, Altman DG, Tetzlaff J, Mulrow C, Gotzsche PC, Ioannidis JP, et al:

SC

The PRISMA statement for reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses of studies that evaluate healthcare interventions: explanation and elaboration.

12.

M AN U

BMJ 339:b2700, 2009

Stang A: Critical evaluation of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale for the assessment of the quality of nonrandomized studies in meta-analyses. Eur J Epidemiol

13.

TE D

25:603, 2010

Higgins JP, Thompson SG: Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta-analysis. Stat

14.

EP

Med 21:1539, 2002

Chen GC, Zhang ZL, Wan Z, Wang L, Weber P, Eggersdorfer M, et al:

AC C

Circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D and risk of lung cancer: a dose-response meta-analysis. Cancer Causes Control 26:1719, 2015

15.

Tevepaugh DB, Dodson TB: Are mandibular third molars a risk factor for angle fractures? A retrospective cohort study. J Oral Maxillofac Surg 53:646, 1995

16.

Lee JT, Dodson TB: The effect of mandibular third molar presence and position on the risk of an angle fracture. J Oral Maxillofac Surg 58:394, 2000

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 17.

Ugboko VI, Oginni FO, Owotade FJ: An investigation into the relationship between mandibular third molars and angle fractures in Nigerians. Br J Oral Maxillofac Surg 38:427, 2000

Fuselier JC, Ellis EE, 3rd, Dodson TB: Do mandibular third molars alter the risk

RI PT

18.

of angle fracture? J Oral Maxillofac Surg 60:514, 2002

Kasamatsu A, Watanabe T, Kanazawa H: Presence of the Third Molar as a Risk

SC

19.

Factor in Mandibular Angle Fractures. ASIAN J Oral Maxillofac Surg 15:176,

20.

M AN U

2003

Halmos DR, Ellis E, 3rd, Dodson TB: Mandibular third molars and angle fractures. J Oral Maxillofac Surg 62:1076, 2004

Thangavelu A, Yoganandha R, Vaidhyanathan A: Impact of impacted

TE D

21.

mandibular third molars in mandibular angle and condylar fractures. Int J Oral

Luria JS, Campbell JH: Fracture patterns associated with the presence of

AC C

22.

EP

Maxillofac Surg 39:136, 2010

mandibular third molars. J Oral Maxillofac Surg 71:e100, 2013

23.

Gaddipati R, Ramisetty S, Vura N, Kanduri RR, Gunda VK: Impacted mandibular third molars and their influence on mandibular angle and condyle fractures--a retrospective study. J Craniomaxillofac Surg 42:1102, 2014

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 24.

Naghipur S, Shah A, Elgazzar RF: Does the presence or position of lower third molars alter the risk of mandibular angle or condylar fractures? J J Oral Maxillofac Surg 72:1766, 2014

Reitzik M, Lownie JF, Cleaton-jones P, Austin J: Experimental fractures of monkey mandibles. Int J Oral Surg 7:100, 1978

Rahimi-Nedjat RK, Sagheb K, Jacobs C, Walter C: Association between

SC

26.

RI PT

25.

eruption state of the third molar and the occurrence of mandibular angle

27.

M AN U

fractures. Dent Traumatol 2016

Hanson BP, Cummings P, Rivara FP, John MT: The association of third molars with mandibular angle fractures: a meta-analysis. J Can Dent Assoc 70:39,

28.

TE D

2004

Kober C, Sader R, Thiele H, Bauer HJ, Zeilhofer HF, Hoffmann KH, et al:

EP

Stress analysis of the human mandible in standard trauma situations with

AC C

numerical simulation. Mund Kiefer Gesichtschir 5:114, 2001

29.

Meisami T, Sojat A, Sandor GK, Lawrence HP, Clokie CM: Impacted third molars and risk of angle fracture. Int J Oral Maxillofac Surg 31:140, 2002

30.

Choi BJ, Park S, Lee DW, Ohe JY, Kwon YD: Effect of lower third molars on the incidence of mandibular angle and condylar fractures. J Craniofac Surg 22:1521, 2011

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 31.

Iida S, Nomura K, Okura M, Kogo M: Influence of the incompletely erupted lower third molar on mandibular angle and condylar fractures. J Trauma 57:613, 2004

Duan DH, Zhang Y: Does the presence of mandibular third molars increase the

RI PT

32.

risk of angle fracture and simultaneously decrease the risk of condylar fracture?

33.

SC

Int J Oral Maxillofac Surg 37:25, 2008

Patil PM: Unerupted lower third molars and their influence on fractures of the

34.

M AN U

mandibular angle and condyle. Br J Oral Maxillofac Surg 50:443, 2012

Gali R, Devireddy SK, Venkata KK, Kanubaddy SR, Nemaly C, Dasari M: Preauricular transmasseteric anteroparotid approach for extracorporeal fixation

35.

TE D

of mandibular condyle fractures. Indian J Plast Surg 49:59, 2016

Brown AE, Obeid G: A simplified method for the internal fixation of fractures

Hasegawa T, Sadakane H, Kobayashi M, Tachibana A, Oko T, Ishida Y, et al: A

AC C

36.

EP

of the mandibular condyle. Br J Oral Maxillofac Surg 22:145-50, 1984

multi-centre retrospective study of mandibular fractures: Do occlusal support and the mandibular third molar affect mandibular angle and condylar fractures?

Int J Oral Maxillofac Surg 2016

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Table 1 Characteristics of the retrospective cohort studies of the relationship between third molars (M3s) and mandibular angle fracture and

Country

Study design

Sample size (M/F)

Age (years)

Years of data collection

Mandibular fracture and third molars

SC

Author, year

RI PT

mandibular condylar fracture included in this meta-analysis.

110 (95/15)

M AN U

33.67 ± 14.94

18–55

2000– 2013

Canada

Retrospective cohort study

AC C

Naghipur S et al.,24 2014

Retrospective cohort study

615 (527/88)

2011– 2013

EP

Gaddipati R et al.,23 India 2014

Retrospective cohort study

TE D

Antic S et Serbia al.,7 2016

615 patients obtained 1035 mandibular fractures: Mandibular angle fractures (276), Mandibular condylar fracture (237), 403 mandibular halves without M3 and 827 with M3

446 (377/69) 29.3 ± 11.3

2007– 2012

110 patients with 125 mandible fractures, with 118 mandible fractures having M3s 446 patients with 731 mandibular fractures: Mandibular angle fractures (247), Mandibular condylar fracture (130), 394 mandible fracture sides had an impacted M3

Data source

Main cause for mandibular fracture

Assault (339), fall (145), Medical traffic accident (85), records and sport accident (24), work panoramic injury (16), iatrogenic radiographs injury (6)

Patient Traffic accident (98), records and assault (7), radiographs fall (5)

Hospital charts and panoramic radiographs

Assault (362), falls (31), sports injuries (20), other causes (20), traffic accident (13)

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

460 (345/115)

NS

29.3 ± 10.8

2001– 2008

RI PT

Retrospective cohort study

234 (NS)

2010– 2012

460 patients with 870 mandibular fractures: Mandibular angle fractures (175), Mandibular condylar fracture (187), 442 fracture side had an unerupted M3 (260 patients)

Hospital charts and NS panoramic radiographs

Hospital case Road traffic accident records and (49%), assault (35%), fall panoramic (16%) radiographs

Retrospective cohort study

218 (169/48) 15–40

1997– 2001

218 mandibular fracture patients with 436 mandibular halves: Mandibular angle Panoramic Assault (85), fall (42), fractures (72), 282 radiographs bicycle accidents (30). mandibular fracture sides had M3 (161 patients)

Halmos D. R et al.,20 2004

USA

Retrospective cohort study

AC C

EP

Iida S et Germany al.,6 2005

TE D

M AN U

Thangave lu A et India al.,21 2010

Retrospective cohort study

SC

Luria J. S et al.,22 USA 2013

Mandibular angle fractures halves (123), Mandibular condylar fracture halves (81), 132 mandible fracture side had an impacted M3

1450 (1182/268)

30.6

1993– 2001

1,969 hemimandibles had M3d present (982 patients), Angle fractures were present in 733 of the hemimandibles (292 patients)

Clinical records and NS radiographs

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Lee J. T et al.,16 2000

Ugboko V. I et al.,17 2000

USA

Nigeria

Retrospective cohort study

Retrospective cohort study

Retrospective cohort study

1210 (981/229)

30.8 ± 10.4

367 (290/77) 31.7 ± 10

490 (369/121)

30 ± 9

RI PT

413 mandibular fractures in 214 patients, 127 angle fractures, Left M3 n=241, Right M3 n=229

SC

1995– 2000.

NS

240 mandibular fractures in 151 patients, 53 patients had mandibular angle fractures, 111 patients with M3

M AN U

USA

214 (NS)

1993– 2002.

1990 – 2000

TE D

Fuselier J. C et al.,18 2002

Canada

Retrospective cohort study

151 (121/30) 29.9±14.9

EP

Meisami T et al.,3 2002

Retrospective cohort study

AC C

Kasamats u A et Japan al.,19 2003

1993– 1998

1976– 1997

558 mandibular fractures in 1210 patients,326 patients had mandibular angle fractures,837patients with M3 196 mandibular fractures in 367 patients,99 patients had mandibular angle fractures,249patients with M3

490 patients sustained 572 fractures of the mandible 76 patients had mandibular angle fractures, 408 patients with M3

Medical records and panoramic X-rays

Fight (37), fall (41) sports(5), motor vehicle accident (62), others (6)

Physical assault (221), falls Hospital (98), sports (39), motor charts and vehicle accident (26), panoramic pathologic (7), radiographs other/unknown (22)

Panoramic NS radiographs

Altercation (212), motor Medical vehicle accident (38), fall records and (26), gunshot wound (21), radiographs occupation (1), others (11)

Case Road traffic accident (304),
 records and fight or assault (75), fall radiographs (57), sports (19), gunshot (22), others (13)

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Tevepaug h, D. B, USA et al.,15 1995

Retrospective cohort study

101 (80/21)

31.7 ± 9.2

1993– 1994

33 patients had mandibular angle fractures, 73 patients with M3

RI PT

NS: not stated

Medical records and Altercation (74), fall (12), panoramic others (13) radiographs

Iida S et al.,6 2005

<0.001

60

12

72

37.27 12.77-108.78

150

101

251

1.88 1.51-2.33

93

30

123

2.09 1.31-3.35

150

50

200

66

16

82

171

TE D

Antic S et al.,7 2016 Gaddipati R et al.,23 2014 Naghipur S et al.,24 2014 Luria J. S et al.,22 2013 Thangavel u A et al.,21 2010

Number P value with M3s

2.51 2.10-3.00 2.16 1.23-3.78

Mandibular condyle fractures Number OR/RR without Total (95% CI) M3s 0.584 109 280 0.474-0.719


 P value

Study quality

<0.05

7

10

43

53

0.027 0.009-0.078

<0.001

6

46

102

148

0.570 0.413-0.787

<0.001

7

NS

39

42

81

2.08 1.30-3.32

NS

6

<0.000 1

89

172

261

0.43333 0.336-0.5629

<0.0001

7



7

<0.001

EP

Author, year

Mandibular angle fractures Number Number OR/RR with without Total (95% CI) M3s M3s 3.55 228 59 287 2.73-4.59

<0.001

AC C



M AN U

fracture and mandibular condylar fracture included in this meta-analysis.

SC

Table 1 (continued) Characteristics of the retrospective cohort studies of the relationship between third molars (M3s) and mandibular angle

0.0025







ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

2.80 2.30-3.40

<0.000 1









9

48

5

53

3.50 1.70-6.90

0.0004









7

50

14

64 (left)

2.80 1.49-5.27 left)

<0.001







7

269

57

326

2.10 1.62-2.72

<0.001









6

79

20

99

1.90 1.20-2.90

0.03









6

65

11

76

1.98 1.30-4.40

0.002









7

30

3

33

3.80 1.30-11.60

0.04







7



RI PT

733

SC



M AN U

TE D

Ugboko V. I et al.,17 2000 Tevepaug h, D. B, et al.,15 1995

128

EP

Lee J. T et al.,16 2000

605

AC C

Halmos D. R et al.,20 2004 Kasamatsu A et al.,19 2003 Meisami T et al.,3 2002 Fuselier J. C et al.,18 2002

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Figure legends Figure 1. Flow chart of study selection

RI PT

Figure 2. Meta-analysis of cohort studies examining third molars (M3s) and relative risk (RR) of mandibular angle fracture

M AN U

Figure 4. Funnel plot of the included studies for publication bias assessment

SC

Figure 3. Sensitivity analysis of the meta-analysis of M3s and mandibular angle fracture, with estimated RR and corresponding 95% confidence intervals

Figure 5. Meta-analysis of cohort studies examining M3s and risk of mandibular condylar fracture

AC C

EP

TE D

Figure 6. Sensitivity analysis of the meta-analysis of M3s and mandibular condylar fracture, with estimated RR and corresponding 95% confidence intervals

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Supplemental Tables Supplemental Table 1. Search Strategy.

RI PT

Search Terms 1. “mandibular fracture [MeSH Terms]” OR “mandibular angle fracture [MeSH Terms]” OR “mandibular condyle fracture [MeSH

Terms]”

SC

2. “third molar [MeSH Terms]” OR “wisdom tooth [MeSH Terms]”

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

3. 1 AND 2

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Supplemental Table 2. Methodological quality of studies included in the final analysis based on the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for assessing the quality of retrospective cohort studies

1

1

1

1

1

1

1 1

EP

Halmos D. R et al.,20 2004 Kasamatsu A et al.,19 2003 Meisami T et al.,3 2002 Fuselier J. C et al.,18 2002

1

1

0

1

1

1

7

AC C

Iida S et al.,6 2005

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

Outcome Control Follow-up of for long Adequacy retrospective Representativeness Selection of interest Ascertainment important Assessment enough of cohort of the exposed non-exposed was not Total of exposure factor or of outcome for follow-up studies(n=13) cohorts cohort present additional outcomes of cohorts at start factor to occur of study Antic S et al.,7 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 7 2016 Gaddipati R et 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 6 al.,23 2014 Naghipur S et 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 7 al.,24 2014 Luria J. S et 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 6 al.,22 2013 Thangavelu A 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 7 et al.,21 2010

1

1

2

1

1

1

9

1

1

0

1

1

1

7

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

7

0

1

1

0

1

1

1

6

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

1

0

1

0

1

1

1

6

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

7

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

7

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

1

AC C

Lee J. T et al.,16 2000 Ugboko V. I et al.,17 2000 Tevepaugh, D. B, et al.,15 1995

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure 1. Flow chart of study selection Articles identified from PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library search (n=515)

SC

RI PT

Excluded by title and abstract (n = 445) - Duplicate records - Reviews or Meta-analysis or Case report or Letters - No relevant outcomes and exposure - Not cohort studies

M AN U

Full-text articles assessed for eligibility (n = 70)

TE D

Excluded by full text screening (n = 57) - No association with study question (n = 17) - No odds ratio/relative risk reported (n = 32) - No original data (n = 4) - Mechanical assays with computer simulation (n = 4)

AC C

EP

Articles included for final meta-analysis (n = 13)

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure 2. Meta-analysis of cohort studies examining third molars (M3s) and

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

relative risk (RR) of mandibular angle fracture

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure 3. Sensitivity analysis of the meta-analysis of M3s and mandibular angle fracture, with estimated RR and corresponding 95% confidence intervals

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

(CI)

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure 4. Funnel plot of the included studies for publication bias assessment

Egger's publication bias plot

Begg's funnel plot with pseudo 95% confidence limits

RI PT

4

10

SC

2

M AN U

lo g r r

5

0

5 precision

EP

0

TE D

1

AC C

s ta n d a r d iz e d e ffe c t

3

10

0 0

.2

.4 s.e. of: logrr

.6

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Figure 5. Meta-analysis of cohort studies examining M3s and risk of mandibular

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

condylar fracture

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Figure 6. Sensitivity analysis of the meta-analysis of M3s and mandibular condylar fracture, with estimated RR and corresponding 95% confidence

RI PT

intervals

Meta-analysis estimates, given named study is omitted Lower CI Limit Estimate Upper CI Limit

SC

Antic S et al., 2016

TE D

Naghipur S et al., 2014

M AN U

Gaddipati R et al., 2014

Luria J. S et al., 2013

EP

Thangavelu A et al., 2010

AC C

0.15 0.25

0.47

0.86

1.16