Human threats to sandy beaches: A meta-analysis of ghost crabs illustrates global anthropogenic impacts.

Human threats to sandy beaches: A meta-analysis of ghost crabs illustrates global anthropogenic impacts.

Accepted Manuscript Human threats to sandy beaches: A meta-analysis of ghost crabs illustrates global anthropogenic impacts. Thomas A. Schlacher, Sere...

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Accepted Manuscript Human threats to sandy beaches: A meta-analysis of ghost crabs illustrates global anthropogenic impacts. Thomas A. Schlacher, Serena Lucrezi, Rod M. Connolly, Charles H. Peterson, Ben L. Gilby, Brooke Maslo, Andrew D. Olds, Simon J. Walker, Javier X. Leon, Chantal M. Huijbers, Michael A. Weston, Alexander Turra, Glenn A. Hyndes, Rebecca A. Holt, David S. Schoeman PII:

S0272-7714(15)30147-5

DOI:

10.1016/j.ecss.2015.11.025

Reference:

YECSS 4964

To appear in:

Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science

Received Date: 23 October 2015 Revised Date:

20 November 2015

Accepted Date: 28 November 2015

Please cite this article as: Schlacher, T.A., Lucrezi, S., Connolly, R.M., Peterson, C.H., Gilby, B.L., Maslo, B., Olds, A.D., Walker, S.J., Leon, J.X., Huijbers, C.M., Weston, M.A., Turra, A., Hyndes, G.A., Holt, R.A., Schoeman, D.S., Human threats to sandy beaches: A meta-analysis of ghost crabs illustrates global anthropogenic impacts., Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science (2015), doi: 10.1016/ j.ecss.2015.11.025. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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* SCHLACHER, Thomas A. School of Science and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Q-4558 Maroochydore, Australia; [email protected]

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LUCREZI, Serena TREES—Tourism Research in Economic Environs and Society, North-West University, Potchefstroom, South Africa; [email protected]

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CONNOLLY, Rod M. Australian Rivers Institute - Coast & Estuaries, and School of Environment, Gold Coast Campus, Griffith University, Queensland, 4222, Australia; [email protected]

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PETERSON, Charles H. Institute of Marine Sciences, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, Morehead City, NC 28557, USA; [email protected]

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GILBY, Ben L. School of Science and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Q-4558 Maroochydore, Australia; [email protected]

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MASLO, Brooke Department of Ecology, Evolution and Natural Resources Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey; [email protected]

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OLDS, Andrew D. School of Science and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Q-4558 Maroochydore, Australia; [email protected]

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WALKER Simon J. School of Science and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Q-4558 Maroochydore, Australia; [email protected]

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LEON, Javier X. School of Science and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Q-4558 Maroochydore, Australia; [email protected]

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HUIJBERS, Chantal M. School of Science and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Q-4558 Maroochydore, Australia; [email protected]

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WESTON, Michael A. Centre for Integrative Ecology, School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Deakin University, Burwood, VIC 3125, Australia; [email protected]

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TURRA, Alexander Departamento de Oceanografia Biológica, Instituto Oceanográfico, Universidade de São Paulo, Praça do Oceanográfico, 191, CEP 05508-120 São Paulo, SP, Brasil; [email protected]

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HYNDES, Glenn A. Centre for Marine Ecosystems Research, Edith Cowan University, WA, Australia; [email protected]

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HOLT, Rebecca A. Australian Rivers Institute - Coast & Estuaries, and School of Environment, Gold Coast Campus, Griffith University, Queensland, 4222, Australia; [email protected]

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SCHOEMAN, David S. School of Science and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Q-4558 Maroochydore, Australia; [email protected]

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* corresponding author: [email protected]

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Human threats to sandy beaches: A meta-analysis of ghost crabs illustrates global anthropogenic impacts.

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Abstract

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1.

Human Beach Impacts

Beach and coastal dune systems are increasingly subjected to a broad range of anthropogenic pressures that on many shorelines require significant conservation and mitigation

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interventions. But these interventions require reliable data on the severity and frequency of

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adverse ecological impacts. Such evidence is often obtained by measuring the response of

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‘indicator species’.

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Ghost crabs are the largest invertebrates inhabiting tropical and sub-tropical sandy shores and are frequently used to assess human impacts on ocean beaches. Here we present the first

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global meta-analysis of these impacts, and analyse the design properties and metrics of

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studies using ghost-crabs in their assessment. This was complemented by a gap analysis to

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identify thematic areas of anthropogenic pressures on sandy beach ecosystems that are

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under-represented in the published literature. 3.

Our meta-analysis demonstrates a broad geographic reach, encompassing studies on shores

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of the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic Oceans, as well as the South China Sea. It also reveals what

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are, arguably, two major limitations: i) the near-universal use of proxies (i.e. burrow counts to

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estimate abundance) at the cost of directly measuring biological traits and bio-markers in the

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organism itself; and ii) descriptive or correlative study designs that rarely extend beyond a

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simple ‘compare and contrast approach’, and hence fail to identify the mechanistic cause(s) of

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observed contrasts.

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Evidence for a historically narrow range of assessed pressures (i.e., chiefly urbanisation, vehicles, beach nourishment, and recreation) is juxtaposed with rich opportunities for the

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broader integration of ghost crabs as a model taxon in studies of disturbance and impact

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assessments on ocean beaches. Tangible advances will most likely occur where ghost crabs

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provide foci for experiments that test specific hypotheses associated with effects of chemical,

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light and acoustic pollution, as well as the consequences of climate change (e.g. species range

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shifts).

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Key-words: meta-analysis; ecological indicator species; sandy shores; coastal dunes; impact

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assessments; Hoplocypode; Ocypode.

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1. Introduction

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“I'll try you on the shore”

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William Shakespeare: Antony and Cleopatra (1606) Accelerating environmental impacts on ocean beaches and coastal dunes call for effective

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environmental planning and biological conservation. These interventions should meet two cardinal

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criteria: 1.) environmental values and conservation goals must be clearly identified for broad and

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inclusive segments of the population (Harris et al., 2014; Vivian and Schlacher, 2015); and 2.)

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management decisions must be based on impact assessments that produce defensible and

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biologically relevant information (Harris et al., 2015).

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A sizeable part of this information comes from documenting the response of organisms (at various

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levels of ecological organisation ranging from individuals to ecosystems) to human activities or

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anthropogenic habitat change (Defeo et al., 2009; Schlacher et al., 2007a). On ocean shores, a broad

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range of animals (e.g. benthic invertebrates, birds, marine turtles) has been used to detect biological

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effects attributed to an equally diverse spectrum of anthropogenic pressures, ranging from vehicle

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impacts to urbanisation (e.g. Huijbers et al., 2015b; Marshall et al., 2014; Reyes-Martínez et al., 2015;

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Walker and Schlacher 2011).

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Ghost crabs (Genera Ocypode and Hoplocypode) are perhaps the most widely-studied invertebrate

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indicator species on ocean-beaches (e.g. Barros, 2001). Ghost crabs are attractive as ecological indicators for a number of reasons: i) they are widespread in the subtropics and tropics; ii) they occur

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on both the non-vegetated beaches and in the dunes backing beaches; iii) they are relatively large,

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often locally abundant, arguably charismatic, and require no specialised tools to sample; iv) their

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taxonomy is well known and identification not overly difficult; and v) they construct semi-permanent

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burrows with clearly visible openings at the beach surface (Lucrezi and Schlacher, 2014; Schoeman et

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al., 2015). It is the fossorial habits of ghost crabs, in particular, that has led to their widespread

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adoption as ecological indicators, chiefly because estimates of abundance and body size can be made

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from counts and measurements of burrow sizes without the need to physically collect the organisms

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(Barros, 2001).

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Given the extensive use of ghost crabs as ecological indicators on ocean beaches, a formal review and

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meta-analysis of this practice is warranted. To this end, here we synthesise the literature and address

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five broad questions:

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1) What are the types of human pressures acting on beach-dune systems that have been assessed with

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ghost crabs?

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2.) What is the magnitude of reported ecological effect sizes for different stressors?

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3.) Which metrics (response variables) have been used?

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4.) What are the gaps in terms of human pressures currently not adequately assessed using ghost

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crabs?

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5.) What opportunities exist to advance the use of ghost crabs as ecological indicators on ocean

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beaches?

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2. Methods

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Studies that examined the response of ghost crabs to anthropogenic activities (sensu lato) were

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obtained by first searching the Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar using “ghost crabs” OR

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“Ocypode OR Hoplocypode ” as key words. From this pool we identified studies reporting on human

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impact assessments by reading the original documents. Sources from literature searches were

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supplemented by examining the cited reference lists of publications in hand; this yielded several

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additional reports from government agencies (e.g. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, Natal Parks Board). No

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filter was applied with respect to the types of impacts. Nevertheless, all studies were required to meet

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two minimum criteria for inclusion in the meta-analysis: peer-review or an equivalent quality control

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was likely to have been completed, and quantitative data on changes / differences of at least one

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response variable could be extracted from a publication (e.g. contrasts in burrow counts between

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beach sections with and without vehicle traffic). In all cases, we classified the intensity of human use or

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habitat modification by following the original descriptions provided by the authors of each study,

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usually representing a ‘high impact/use treatment’ condition that was compared with a ‘low

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use/reference/control’ condition. In most cases it was not possible to quantify or rank the intensity or

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level of pressure from the original descriptions; hence, all analyses here are performed using a binary

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classification of ‘impact’ vs. ‘reference’, irrespective of differences in impact intensity that may have

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existed among studies.

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We quantified the magnitude of effects on measured ghost crab biological metrics by using the log-

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response ratio, lnR, which is a common statistic of ecological effect sizes in meta-analyses:

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lnR = ln(mean impact / mean control)(Borenstein et al., 2009). ‘Impact’ refers to sites or beaches that were

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categorised by authors as being evidently more influenced by a particular human stressor of interest

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and hence usually represent values from ‘impact’ groups or ‘treatments’. Conversely, ‘control’ values

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usually represent localities where the stressor of interest was judged (by the original study authors) to

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be substantially less influential or absent and hence represent ‘reference conditions’ in the context of

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individual studies. Half of the studies in our database did not report sufficient details on samples sizes,

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variances, statistical tests used, or P-values; in other papers these statistics could not be reliably

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extracted or inferred from graphs or tables. These omissions precluded the calculation of standardised

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effect-size statistics such as Cohen’s d and Hedges’ g (Harrison, 2011) for the majority of studies. For

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these reasons, we limit our analysis to unweighted one-sample t-tests of the hypothesis that the mean

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log-response ratio is 0 (i.e., that there is, on average, no effect; raw response ratio = 1).

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The term ‘indicator species’ has multiple meanings in ecology and environmental science, with little or

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no consistency of usage amongst authors. Broadly, five main types of usage can be identified to: 1.)

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measure the biological responses to anthropogenic stressors, pollutants, human activities,

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management actions, or restoration efforts (i.e. ‘indicator species’ are used as biological monitors that

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are thought to react in predictable ways to changes in the environment) (Carignan and Villard, 2002; Page | 4

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Diekmann and Dupré, 1997; Jonsell and Nordlander, 2002; Krmpotić et al., 2015; Siddig et al., 2016); 2.)

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characterize assemblages or habitats (i.e. ‘indicator species’ are those that are viewed as 'typical'

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species, showing consistent fidelity to a set of biological or environmental attributes) (Antonelli et al.,

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2015; De Cáceres et al., 2010; Dufrêne and Legendre, 1997; Hogle et al., 2015; Hwang et al., 2015;

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Peterken, 1974; Ricotta et al., 2015; Sarrazin et al., 2015); 3.) reflect more than one process, condition,

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or biological attribute that may or may not be linked to human interventions (i.e. ‘indicator species’

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serve as multiple proxies, the specific meaning being often dependent on the study context)

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(Lindenmayer, 1999; Niemi et al., 1997; Regehr and Montevecchi, 1997); 4.) act as surrogates for

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species that are difficult to detect or sample or to reflect specific environmental conditions (i.e.

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‘indicator species’ are functionally closely associated with other species or environmental attributes

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required by those species) (Pérez-García et al., 2015; Schaefer and Hocking, 2015; Turner and McGraw,

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2015; Weaver, 1995); and 5.) serve as surrogates for biodiversity at the assemblage or ecosystem level

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(i.e. ‘indicator species’ are surrogates for biological diversity at higher levels of ecological organisation)

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(Morelli, 2015). Historically, indicator species were often used in the context of biodiversity surrogates

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or being other proxies, whereas modern studies predominantly use indicator species to describe

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habitats or assemblages, or to assess biological effects of environmental change, generally linked to

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human stressors (Siddig et al., 2016). In this paper the term ‘indicator species’, as applied to ghost

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crabs, represents usage to assess anthropogenic threats and environmental change.

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3. Results

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3.1 Coverage, Variables, Replication, Scale

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In terms of geographic provenance, just over half (53%) of studies are from Atlantic beaches, nearly a

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third from the Pacific (32%), with the remainder coming from the Indian Ocean (13%), and the South

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China Sea (3%; Table 1, Fig. 1). Papers from Australia (34%) and the USA (32%) make up the bulk of

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publications examining human impacts on ghost crabs, complemented by significant contributions

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from Brazil (13%) and South Africa (8%; Table 1). All studies reviewed here were conducted in the

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tropics (74%) and subtropics (26%), with the average latitude being 26.1º (s = 9.35º; Fig. 1). With

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respect to usage as an ecological indicator, Ocypode quadrata was most often studied (18 studies),

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followed by O. cordimanus (13) and O. ceratophthalma (10); other species, including Hoplocypode

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occidentalis, the single species in this genus, are rarely used. Low coverage of species in the literature

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should, however, not be interpreted as inferring that certain under-sampled species perform more

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poorly as ecological indicators.

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The number of response variables measured per study is limited. Most authors measured only one

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(47%) or two (29%) variables, usually abundance and diameter of burrow openings (Table 1). We also

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found a surprisingly narrow range of the type of variables measured by authors and a dominance of

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indirect proxies. Indeed, only four of the 38 studies reviewed by us have measured the response of

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ghost crabs to human disturbance directly, rather than extrapolating from proxies related to burrow

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metrics. Schlacher and Lucrezi (2010a) tracked crabs to test whether disturbance by vehicles affected

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home-range size and habitat use. Body condition of individuals was used to predict the availability

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and quality of food resources, as this metric indicates altered trophic conditions for ghost crabs, as

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occurs where food scraps are discarded by campers in coastal dunes abutting beaches (Schlacher et

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al., 2011a). Wolcott and Wolcott (1984) and Schlacher et al. (2007c) used an experimental approach to

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measure the rate at which vehicles driven on beaches injure and crush individuals, both whilst crabs

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were inside burrows at various depths and whilst they were active on the beach surface at night.

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All study designs contained some element of spatial replication. On average, five sites were sampled

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(se = 0.67), ranging up to a maximum of 21 sites (Schlacher et al., 2011a). However, half of the studies

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sampled fewer than four sites, with ten studies (26 %) having sampled two sites only (mostly a classic

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unreplicated 'compare and contrast' approach), and eight studies (21 %) having examined three sites.

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The mean spatial extent over which sites were dispersed was relatively large at 39 km (se = 11). This

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statistic is, however, attributable to three studies that had sites extending over 200 km or farther: i)

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Barros (2001) assessed the effects of seawalls on urban beaches in south-eastern Australia, measuring

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burrow densities on three beaches dispersed along ca. 310 km of coast; ii) Ocaña et al. (2012)

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estimated the consequences of coastal development for ghost crabs at eight beaches along 200 km of

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the NE coast of Cuba; iii) Fisher and Tevesz (1979) worked over a similar spatial range, surveying the

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response of O. quadrata to urbanisation and trampling at 13 sites ranging over 200 km from Cape

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Henry, Virginia to Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Notwithstanding a few relatively large-scale designs,

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half of the studies were completed over less than 15 km. Small-scale (<10 km) studies are not

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uncommon in the ghost crab literature: 7 papers (18 %) sampled sites covering less than 1 km and

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15 papers (39 %) surveyed sites over less than 10 km.

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Ten studies (26 %) were ‘spot measurements’, lacking temporal replication in their design. In studies

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that made repeated estimates of ghost crab responses, the average number of temporal replicates

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was 8.89 (se = 1.28), ranging up to 27 temporal replicates (Lucrezi et al., 2010). Studies that were

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particularly well replicated in time include: Moss and McPhee (2006) assessed vehicle effects on ghost

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crabs in Eastern Australia (n = 20); Peterson et al. (2014) quantified the consequences of beach

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nourishment in North Carolina (n = 20); and Irlandi and Arnold (2008) report on nourishment effects

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in Florida (n = 22). The average duration of temporally replicated impact studies was 180 days

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(se = 53), and only four studies spanned less than a week. By contrast, the duration of four studies was

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close to a year or longer: Robertson and Kruger (1995) who gauged the effects of artisanal fisheries on

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ghost crabs in South Africa (330 days), and Christoffers’ (1986) work on the effects of recreational

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activities at Assateague Island (488 days). The two papers with the longest duration both dealt with

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nourishment impacts: Irlandi and Arnold (2008) spanning 640 days, and Peterson et al. (2014) lasting

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1370 days.

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3.2 Effect Sizes

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The reported responses of ghost crabs to human activities and associated habitat changes on beaches

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generally show consistently negative impacts of human pressures on the number of burrow openings

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(a proxy for abundance), but highly variable or non-significant effects on burrow diameter (a proxy for

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body size; Table 2; Fig. 2).

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Response ratios of abundance denote a significant (t = 6.32, df = 36, P < 0.001) mean density

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decrease (lnR = -1.35 ± 0.21se),at impacted locations for all stressors combined (Table 2; Fig. 2); mean

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response ratios significantly smaller than unity are evident for the effects of vehicles (lnR = -

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1.42 ± 0.45se, P <0.01), nourishment (R = -1.27 ± 0.36se, P = 0.038), and urbanisation (R = -

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1.52 ± 0.30, P <0.001). Fewer individuals associated with more intense human use (e.g. more vehicles

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or trampling) or greater habitat conversions (e.g. seawalls, development, nourishment) were reported

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in 35 of the 37 papers that measured abundance (via burrow counts). Of the 26 studies (70%) that

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undertook some form of statistical test, or adequately described the results of such tests between

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control and impact conditions, 23 (88%) report significant differences in burrow counts between

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'impact' and ‘control’ sites, 21 studies (81%) reported fewer burrows, whilst only two studies (8%)

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reported more burrows associated with putative human pressures.

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In contrast to the largely significant and negative effects on crab abundance (assessed by proxy using

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burrow counts), responses of the diameter of burrow openings (a proxy for crab size) are inconsistent,

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both in terms of the direction and magnitude of responses to tested pressures (Table 2, Fig. 2).

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Although sample size was limited, the mean response ratio (lnR = -0.15 ± 0.09) suggests that burrows

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tended to be slightly smaller at impacted sites. This effect was, however, not consistent among

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studies. Thirteen out of 38 (34%) studies measured changes in burrow size, which allowed calculation

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of response ratios. Of these, 12 (92%) tested for differences between mean diameter, with eight

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reporting significant differences in burrow diameter: two studies document smaller diameter burrows,

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whilst six document larger ones at impact sites (Table 2, Fig. 2).

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Limited (one or two papers depending on the type of pressure) information is available on abundance

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changes attributable to stressors other than vehicles, nourishment, or urbanisation. Notwithstanding

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this limitation, lower burrow counts appear to be associated with oil spills (lnR = -4.61), invasive plants

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(lnR = -2.81), subsistence harvesting (lnR = -0.42), mining (lnR = -0.97), and trampling (lnR = -0.14).

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Conversely, a greater number of burrows have been reported from dune areas frequented by campers

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(lnR = 0.44) and following human controls on the crabs’ predators (i.e. culling of racoons to protect

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turtle eggs and hatchlings; lnR = 0.38) (Barton and Roth, 2008).

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The three papers that measured variables other than the number and diameter of burrow openings

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report decreases in the extent of daily home range (lnR = -0.80), trail length (lnR = -0.31), burrow

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depth (lnR = -0.20), burrow volume (lnR = -0.11), and burrow angle (lnR = -0.36). A single paper

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describes a 50 % increase in body condition of crabs collected from camp grounds in dunes relative to

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reference sites without camping (Schlacher et al., 2011a).

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3.3Addressing Pressures: Gaps and Opportunities

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In terms of how ghost crabs can be used to assess ecological effects arising from the main types of

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human stressors acting on sandy beaches, six clusters emerge based on the degree of missing

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information (‘data deficiency’) and the likely reliability of ghost-crabs as indicator species to deliver

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these data (‘suitability’) in the future (Table 3, Fig. 3).

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1.) Pressures that both lack data regarding their ecological impacts and can be readily addressed

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using ghost crabs as suitable indicators in future studies: five aspects of pollution (artificial night light,

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chemical pollutants, marine debris, noise, and sewage) and warming of the atmosphere and oceans

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associated with climate change.

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2.) Pressures that lack data and can be gauged with ghost-crabs, albeit at slightly lower confidence or

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scope than those in the first cluster: altered current regimes and upwelling under climate change, the

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effects of invasive algae, and thermal-discharge impacts.

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3.) A broad suite of pressures for which some data on their ecological effects do exist (i.e. moderate

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data deficiency) and for which ghost crabs would be good ecological indicators for future

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assessments: urbanisation stressors (armouring, urbanisation, grooming), invasive carnivores and dune

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plants, fisheries and mining impacts, and the consequences of sea-level rise and altered storm

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regimes.

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4.) Three pressures that have both moderate data availability and can be measured with ghost crabs at

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moderate levels of indicator performance: dune camping, recreational fishing, and trampling.

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5.) Ghost crabs are very well suited to assess the biological effects of vehicles and sand nourishment

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on beaches and this is reflected by an adequate level of available information for these two pressures.

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6.) Few or no data currently exist for the biological effects of ocean acidification, altered precipitation,

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and motorised watercraft in beach systems; however, ghost crabs will rarely be the indicator taxon of

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first choice in impact assessments targeting these specific stressors (Table 3, Fig. 3).

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4. Discussion

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4.1 Time for New Directions?

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A sizeable body of evidence is now available that strengthens arguments for the use of ghost crabs as

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indicator species to assess the biological and ecological consequences of human activities and habitat

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changes on sandy beaches (Table 1, Fig. 2). In addition, there is a reasonably broad geographic

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distribution of published studies (Fig. 1) and coverage of issues (Fig. 2), suggesting that the use of Page | 8

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ghost crabs as ecological indicator species is widely applicable and versatile. Much of this reach stems

311

from the ease with which population estimates can be made by counting burrow entrances. However,

312

what is – in a technical sense – a fortuitous trait of ghost crabs, has also led to a prevalence of simple

313

‘compare and contrast designs’ that usually fail to measure response variables of the organisms

314

directly, instead relying overwhelmingly on burrow numbers and sizes as proxies (Table 1).

315 Notwithstanding the broad usage of the technique, there are, in our opinion, five new directions that

317

future environmental studies using ghost crabs should take. 1.) Establishing the mechanistic links that

318

account for observed spatial contrasts (‘processes’). 2.) Adopting more diverse designs, especially

319

those that encompass experiments aimed at discerning causality in the relationship between

320

functional responses and the intensity and nature of putative stressors on one hand, and the resulting

321

biological effects on the other (‘dose-response studies’). 3.) Separating individual causative agents

322

among suites of putative predictors (‘specificity and un-confounding’). 4.) Including modern genetic,

323

bio-chemical and physiological biomarkers and assays that reflect the state of the art in ecotoxicology

324

and behavioural ecology. 5.) Broadening the scope of environmental pressures that are addressed in

325

future impact assessments using ghost-crabs as “canaries in the mine” (‘scope and thematic ambit’).

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Resolving the first four issues above will essentially be a question of aligning ghost-crab studies with

328

modern statistical and eco-toxicological design principles that will yield more robust and reliable

329

attribution and inference. Expanding the thematic ambit to be truly reflective of the diverse nature of

330

anthropogenic stressors acting on sandy beach and dune systems is potentially a very large

331

undertaking, but offers, in our opinion, rich opportunities - we sketch these prospects and their

332

rationale in the following sections.

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4.2 Addressing Significant Anthropogenic Beach Stressors Using Ghost Crabs as

335

Indicators

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4.2.1 Climate-Change-Associated Effects: Sea-level rise, Warming, Current and Rainfall

338

Changes, Ocean Acidification

339

Beaches are malleable and dynamic landscapes, responding readily to changes in external physical

340

forcing (Schlacher et al., 2015b). The key physical beach controls that are modified by climate change

341

are accelerated sea-level rise (IPCC, 2013), altered wave and large-scale weather regimes (Barnard et

342

al., 2015; Hemer et al., 2013; Johnson et al., 2015), possibly augmented by storminess (Emanuel, 2013).

343

These can have dramatic impacts on beach and dune geomorphology, resulting in greater erosion and

344

shoreline retreat, and more widespread and frequent coastal flooding during storms (Johnson et al.,

345

2015; Woodruff et al., 2013).

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Changes to the beach and coastal morphology attributable to global change can be accurately

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consequences of these habitat alterations are less well understood; in this context, ghost crabs can be

350

useful indicators to gauge these consequences. For example, it is possible that local populations of

351

ghost crabs will become extinct in extreme cases of beach or dune erosion, especially where the upper

352

beach habitat near the strandline is lost and where high and persistent beach scarps are formed that

353

block movement of crabs between the non-vegetated beach and the dunes. Local extirpations of

354

invertebrates inhabiting the upper beach and lower dunes have already been reported for Californian

355

beaches under high urbanisation pressure (Hubbard et al., 2014). Ghost crabs may respond in a similar

356

fashion on sub-tropical and tropical beaches that have undergone recent extreme or repeated erosion

357

events: such effects may be exacerbated by delayed recovery on beaches with seawalls or similar

358

structures on the landward margin (Lucrezi et al., 2010).

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Rising temperatures associated with climate change are predicted to cause a broad range of biological

361

and ecological responses in marine organisms, including altered physiology, phenology, demography,

362

behaviour, and shifts in distributions and species ranges (Burrows et al., 2014; García Molinos et al.,

363

2015; Poloczanska et al., 2013; Sunday et al., 2015). We predict that several of the temperature effects

364

recorded in other marine species at the land-ocean interface will be detectable in ghost crabs, and

365

these can be tested experimentally. In fact, ghost crabs are good model organisms for such tests

366

because they are abundant, widespread, usually not of significant or legal conservation concern, and

367

relatively large bodied. These traits particularly favour their use in physiological studies (laboratory

368

and field-based) and in investigations examining geographic range shifts of beach species (Schoeman

369

et al., 2015). Interestingly, temperature will likely also affect larvae by increasing metabolic and

370

therefore development rates – earlier metamorphsis is likely to result, potentially reducing time in the

371

plankton, and therefore dispersal (Gerber et al., 2014; O'Connor et al., 2009).

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Altered oceanographic current regimes and greater variability or intensity in oceanographic forcing,

374

such as upwelling (Black et al., 2014; Sydeman et al., 2014), may affect the dispersal and survivorship

375

of larvae, and are predicted to modify the geographic patterns and magnitude of ghost-crab

376

recruitment onto beaches. It is certainly feasible to measure recruitment dynamics in relation to

377

changes in oceanographic forcing, and this can be combined with genetic work to examine changes in

378

connectivity amongst populations and beaches (e.g. Austin et al., 2015). Effects associated with altered

379

primary productivity, upwelling intensity, or the availability of marine carrion deposited on the shore

380

may be more varied, but some expectations are plausible. Ocean currents, and their nearshore

381

compensatory counter-currents, are more important in terms of dispersal of recruits, whereas storms

382

are more likely to generate wrack and carrion. One interesting exception here is the eastern boundary

383

current upwelling systems, with evidence suggesting upwelling might intensify, and perhaps shift

384

poleward (Sydeman et al., 2014; Wang et al., 2015). Ghost crabs currently do not occur in sizeable

385

numbers on beaches bordering some of the strongest and most persistent eastern boundary

386

upwelling areas, except in the Humboldt (Lucrezi and Schlacher, 2014). Thus, shifts in ghost crab

387

distributions may be a sensitive indicator to gauge the broader ecological impacts of altered

388

upwelling for sedimentary shore ecosystems.

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Notwithstanding uncertainties and large geographic variation in response, higher rainfall is possible in

391

response to climate change (Thorpe and Andrews, 2014). Plausible consequences for beach and dune

392

systems are altered dune vegetation (e.g. increased cover, shifts in species composition) and changes

393

in aquifers underlying dunes and beaches (e.g. increased height of water table, wider low-salinity

394

zones in the intertidal, increased discharge of groundwater to surf-zones) (Feagin et al., 2005; Werner

395

et al., 2013). Both are expected to affect ghosts crabs, and several predictive hypotheses can be tested

396

in the future: i) moderate increases in vegetation cover may enhance habitat stability of dunes, leading

397

to increased population abundance of crabs; ii) very dense vegetation, especially species with

398

extensive root networks, will impede burrowing and lead to lower crab abundance; iii) because crabs

399

avoid constructing burrows that reach the water table, higher ground-water levels might limit crab

400

populations (this effect is hypothesized to be strongest at the poleward edge of the range where deep

401

burrows are thought to provide a thermal refuge during winter; Schoeman et al., 2015).

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Ocean acidification has profound and varied impacts at multiple levels of biological and ecological

404

organisation; it affects organismal physiology, health, growth, survivorship, and abundance, and these

405

effects can propagate to changes at the assemblage and system scale (Byrne and Przeslawski, 2013;

406

Gaylord et al., 2015; Kroeker et al., 2013; Nagelkerken and Connell, 2015). Acidification is predicted to

407

affect ghost crabs during their larval phase, which could depress recruitment to beaches if growth

408

and/or survivorship are impaired. Recruitment could be monitored, but it is unlikely that this would be

409

considered an efficient variable to measure to assess the effects of ocean acidification in beach

410

ecosystems.

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4.2.2 Recreation Effects: Vehicles, Trampling, Camping, Motorised Watercraft,

413

Recreational Fishing & Bait Collecting

414

The environmental impacts of vehicles on beach-dune ecosystems are mostly well documented. A

415

solid body of evidence clearly demonstrates widespread, and often massive, environmental harm

416

caused by vehicles driven on beaches and in dunes, including adverse impacts on ghost crabs (Groom

417

et al., 2007; Moss and McPhee, 2006; Schlacher et al., 2013c; Walker and Schlacher 2011). Vehicle

418

effects are also among the few stressors for which the mechanisms of impacts (i.e. crushing, collisions

419

with wildlife) have been identified or quantified (Schlacher and Lucrezi, 2010b; Schlacher et al., 2007c;

420

Schlacher et al., 2008b). What is generally not known, but of great importance to management and

421

conservation, are the thresholds of use (e.g. traffic volumes, allowed vehicle types, distribution across

422

shores) above which negative biological effects rise steeply or become irreversible (Schlacher et al.,

423

2008b). In this context, more and better-designed impact studies that determine the ‘dose-response

424

curves’ for ghost crabs and other beach species (including charismatic flagship species such as turtles

425

and birds provided that ethical and permitting issues can be overcome for these vertebrates) for a

426

variety of stressors are a critical information gap to inform ecologically responsible management

427

actions.

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Trampling is a near-ubiquitous disturbance agent in sandy shore systems, having multiple effects on

430

biota. These effects have been documented for species and assemblages in both the dunes (Brunbjerg

431

et al., 2014) and the non-vegetated beach seawards of the dunes (Reyes-Martínez et al., 2015;

432

Schlacher and Thompson, 2012). Surprisingly, given how common trampling is on many shores

433

worldwide, only a single paper has examined the short-term changes to ghost-crab burrow density

434

and size distribution following intense trampling by people on an urban beach (Lucrezi et al., 2009a).

435

Effects were small and crabs do not appear to be strongly affected by intense trampling over a period

436

of three days (Lucrezi et al., 2009a). Effects may well be stronger if trampling is particularly extreme at

437

small scales (~100m ; e.g. beach volleyball games) or sustained over much of the year (Turra et al.,

438

2005). Several papers have ostensibly measured the effects of 'trampling', but tests are invariably

439

confounded with other stressors superimposed at the same site, most often shore armouring and

440

urbanisation of the supratidal and the dunes. Thus, carefully designed studies are needed that

441

separate the impacts caused by trampling from other human pressures.

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Camping in coastal dunes close to beaches is a popular leisure activity. Whilst the environmental

444

impacts of ‘beach-camping’ are likely to be diverse, significant clearing of vegetation and vehicle-

445

associated impacts (e.g. tracks, erosion) are the most prominent and frequent adverse effects. Food

446

discarded by campers can provide additional resources for ghost crabs and other scavengers

447

(Schlacher et al., 2011a); whether this is a benign, positive, or negative practice is debatable and will

448

largely depend on the population of scavengers that is ‘subsidised’ (i.e. larger numbers of crows,

449

foxes, or racoons attracted to campground are predicted to increase predation pressure on ground-

450

nesting shorebirds and possibly also on ghost crabs). Populations of ghost crabs in dunes are

451

negatively impacted by vehicle tracks (Schlacher et al., 2011a), whilst benefiting – in terms of better

452

body condition - from food subsidies (Schlacher et al., 2011a). This illustrates that applications of

453

ghost crabs in environmental assessments can fruitfully extend beyond simple burrow counts. For

454

example, they may encompass tissue stable isotope measurements to test for the uptake of fecal

455

matter deposited by beach campers or the tissue analysis of hydrocarbons typical of off-road vehicle

456

emissions (Schlacher pers. obs.).

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The use of personal motorised watercraft (e.g. jet skis, water scooters, inflatable boats) in the surf-

459

zone is a popular leisure activity globally. However, there are numerous, often severe, environmental

460

consequences arising from this practice, poignantly summarised by Josephson (2007): “These

461

machines cannot be operated without loss of life or habitat”. Broad types of environmental impacts

462

encompass direct strikes on wildlife, bioacoustic impacts on fauna, chemical pollution (fuel spillages,

463

exhaust emissions, antifouling paints), and alterations to wave climates and turbidity (Erbe, 2013;

464

Whitfield and Becker, 2014). Ghost crabs generally enter the surf-zone only when gravid females

465

release eggs in the swash. Thus, impacts of watercraft on ghost crabs are expected to be much smaller

466

than for truly marine species (e.g. mammals, fish, and seabirds). However, chemical pollution arising

467

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468

beach erosion, crushing of crabs during launching and retrieval of boats and jet skis, and bioacoustic

469

impacts.

470 Beaches, especially their surf-zones, are important sites for coastal fisheries (Gutiérrez et al., 2011;

472

McLachlan et al., 1996). Many beach fisheries are small-scale (artisanal, subsistence), particularly in

473

less-developed countries, but recreational angling is widespread irrespective of socio-economic

474

conditions (Sowman, 2006). Where ghost crabs are harvested as part of subsistence fisheries, they are

475

susceptible to population impacts that can be measured using standard fishery-assessment

476

techniques (Kyle et al., 1997). On beaches without direct harvests of ghost crabs, ecological impacts

477

caused by fishing may still be detectable. Because a large fraction (on some beaches the vast majority)

478

of beach vehicle traffic is attributable to recreational fishers, impacts on ghost crabs often arise

479

indirectly from shore-based angling via vehicles. Discards of bait, by-catch, and fish frames are readily

480

consumed by birds on beaches (Rees et al., 2014). Consequently, it is possible that carrion subsidies

481

provided by fisherman enhance food intake in ghost crabs in similar ways. Arguably, this may be a

482

positive effect. Conversely, discarded fishing line may kill individuals that become entangled in it.

483

Hypotheses concerning impacts of carrion subsidy or fishing-line mortality have not been tested for

484

ghost crabs to date.

485

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4.2.3 Pollution: Sewage and Storm-water, Debris, Thermal discharges, Chemicals,

487

Noise, Artificial Night Light

488

Contamination of beaches with sewage and storm-water is a worldwide problem. The issue is regularly

489

managed for human health risks (Brownell et al., 2007; Sabino et al., 2014), but very rarely in the

490

context of its biological impacts (Mearns et al., 2014; Schlacher et al., 2006). Disregarding the broader

491

environmental consequences of sewage inputs to dunes and beaches ignores, however, the facts that

492

transfers of sewage-derived matter to beach invertebrates has been demonstrated on ocean shores

493

(Schlacher and Connolly, 2009), and that wastewater can have numerous detrimental impacts on the

494

health of organisms (Ings et al., 2012; Schlacher et al., 2007b). Ghost crabs are likely to be exposed to

495

human waste material via direct contact with solid waste and via water-borne material contained in

496

the aquifer and, to a small degree, the swash. Because pathogens (viruses, bacteria, fungi) and

497

xenobiotics are not restricted to the water, but are also found in beach sands (Sabino et al., 2014), the

498

intense contact of crabs with the sediment during burrow construction and maintenance and feeding,

499

increases the likelihood of exposure, uptake, and detrimental effects. A broad arsenal of biomarkers

500

(e.g. genetic, hormonal, immunological, cytological, enzymatic, histological) is available to assess such

501

health effects (e.g. Gillis et al., 2014), but surprisingly, biomarkers in ghost crabs have not been used

502

for ecological assessments; this line of enquiry thus offers multiple opportunities to better assess the

503

status of dune and beach systems in biologically more meaningful ways using a suite of different

504

biomarkers.

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Man-made debris, mostly plastics, is now one of the most common, widespread and persistent

507

pollutants in marine waters and beaches worldwide (Moore, 2008). The last decade has seen an

508

exponential rise in the number of scientific papers examining the biological impacts of marine debris,

509

reflecting a growing recognition of severe environmental harm arising mostly from plastics (Gall and

510

Thompson, 2015). Detrimental effects of larger marine debris on marine wildlife are often dramatic

511

(e.g. whales entangled in fishing nets, turtles succumbing from ingested plastic bags, seabirds

512

ingesting large volumes of floating plastics) (Vegter et al., 2014). Evidence is also rapidly accumulating

513

that smaller debris, microplastics (< 5 mm), has equally deleterious effects in a broad range of marine

514

organisms, ranging from toxicant magnification to incorporation of microspheres into consumers’

515

tissues (Ivar Do Sul and Costa, 2014; Law and Thompson, 2014). Beaches are deposition sites for

516

floating marine debris, accumulating both larger litter items and high concentrations of microplastics

517

up to 2 m deep into the sediments (Fisner et al., 2013; Turra et al., 2014). Alarmingly, beach deposits

518

can contain the toxic break-down products of styrofoam in large quantities (Kwon et al., 2015).

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Accurately measuring and predicting the environmental risks that marine debris poses for wildlife is a

521

research priority for beaches and beyond (Brennecke et al., 2015; Vegter et al., 2014). Because beaches

522

are prime sites for accumulation of debris, they are ideal model sites to test the ecological effects of

523

debris. These effects are likely to differ between larger litter items and microplastics (Law and

524

Thompson, 2014). Hypothetically, large debris may add habitat complexity and heterogeneity to

525

beach environments and increase sediment stability at small, patchy scales; these habitat

526

modifications may propagate to greater abundance and/or longevity of crab burrows and other

527

invertebrates. Conversely, ingestion and tissue transfer of microplastics and associated toxicants by

528

ghost crabs is possible (Brennecke et al., 2015), with potential knock-on effects on the health and

529

fitness of organisms that may propagate to impacts (untested) at the assemblage and system level

530

(Brennecke et al., 2015; Browne et al., 2015).

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The few available studies on the ecological effects of marine debris are often correlational or lack

533

empirical data on mechanisms, making the interpretation of reported conclusions somewhat

534

problematic (Browne et al., 2015). We propose that ghost crabs are suitable organisms to undertake

535

such experiments on biological debris effects, given that their distribution overlaps with the stranding

536

zone of most marine debris and that they can be relatively easily manipulated and enumerated in

537

experiments (e.g. Schlacher et al., 2007c).

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In addition to the global effects of climate change, localised human modifications to the thermal

540

environment in coastal areas arise mainly from discharges of cooling water required in power plants,

541

typically at temperatures 8–12.5 °C above the intake water (Wither et al., 2012). Altered temperature

542

affects the behaviour, phenology, distribution, reproduction and movement of many marine

543

organisms subjected to thermal effluents (Mazik et al., 2013; Wither et al., 2012). On beaches, patterns

544

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localised density effect may be possible (Hussain et al., 2010), but attribution was highly uncertain, and

546

impacts on high-energy coasts are likely to be limited to 100s of metres (Cardoso-Mohedano et al.,

547

2015). Because ghost crabs rarely enter the swash post settlement they are not routinely exposed for

548

significant periods to thermal discharges where these occur in the surf-zone of beaches. Hence ghost

549

crabs are unlikely to show strong and persistent temperature responses to this particular stressor. It is

550

possible, however, that thermal plumes may modify larval behaviour, dispersal and recruitment to

551

beaches. Also, traces of biocides (added to cooling water to prevent bio-fouling) may have broader

552

effects on the condition of exposed individuals close to discharge points (Mazik et al., 2013).

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Chemical contaminants, toxicants, and xenobiotics are a major class of anthropogenic stressor in

555

marine ecosystems. The biological effects, and their ecological ramifications, of chemical contaminants

556

are as diverse as their sources, and new threats are continually being identified (Mearns et al., 2014).

557

The issue of chemical pollution in dune-beach systems is treated very cursorily (Defeo et al., 2009; Nel

558

et al., 2014); however, there is no reason to suspect that species and dune-beach ecosystems are less

559

susceptible to inputs of toxic chemicals than other marine ecosystems. The one exception to the

560

dearth of data on chemical pollution effects in beach systems is crude oil spills. Probably due to the

561

high public profile of spill events, short-term ecological changes in beach systems following shipping

562

accidents and well failures have been reported for several incidents globally (de la Huz et al., 2005;

563

Engel and Gupta, 2014; Schlacher et al., 2011b; Stevens et al., 2012), although questions about

564

recovery remain mostly unanswered (Peterson et al., 2003). The biological impacts of many chemicals

565

are truly global, but they are often most evident near cities in developed countries. Ghost crabs occur

566

regularly in dunes and beaches in and near coastal cities, making them appropriate sentinel species to

567

monitor ecological effects in these settings. Also, ghost crabs are the apex invertebrate predators on

568

sandy shores, creating opportunities to measure chemical contaminant transfers through food webs.

569

How oil spills affect ghost crabs has also not been quantified, representing an obvious opportunity to

570

include them in future spill assessments. Furthermore, ghost crabs may directly consume toxic flakes

571

of antifouling paint where small boats are scrapped and re-painted directly on the beach.

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Humans emit a range of chemical and physical stimuli that disturb animals and interfere with the

574

perceptual processing of important signals and cues, creating sensory pollution in many ecosystems

575

(Halfwerk and Slabbekoorn, 2015). Man-made noises have become near ubiquitous (Radford et al.,

576

2014), creating an acoustic environment that presents novel challenges to many animal species

577

(Morley et al., 2014; Shannon et al., 2015). Whilst the biological effects arising in this altered acoustic

578

landscape are manifold, they most often encompass shifts in physiology (e.g. impaired hearing,

579

elevated stress hormone levels), changes to key behaviours (e.g. foraging, mating, vigilance,

580

movement), interference with the ability to detect important natural sounds (e.g. vocalisations of

581

conspecifics, acoustic signals of prey or predators), and direct fitness consequences (e.g. survival,

582

reproduction)(Morley et al., 2014; Shannon et al., 2015). Vertebrates (especially birds, mammals and

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583

fish) are by the far most-studied group in terms of noise pollution, but impacts are equally detectable

584

– and arguably of comparable biological significance – in invertebrates (Morley et al., 2014).

585 Hearing and sound production in brachyuran crabs provides essential environmental information

587

(Hughes et al., 2014) and facilitates channels for communication, which can be in the form of

588

elaborate audio-visual displays in ghost crabs (Clayton, 2008). Crabs are also sensitive to noise

589

pollution, detectable as physiological stress (Wale et al., 2013b), altered development (Pine et al.,

590

2012), shifts in foraging behaviour (Wale et al., 2013a), or impaired predator avoidance (Chan et al.,

591

2010). Contemporary beach and dune habitats present strongly altered acoustic landscapes for ghost

592

crabs and other species, so the potential exists for biological and ecological impacts arising from man-

593

made noise in sandy shore systems.

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Two aspects of ghost crab biology appear particularly intriguing to us in the context of assessing

596

noise pollution on beaches: behavioural shifts in responses to predation risks as a result of altered

597

acoustic landscapes and distorted acoustic settlement cues. Man-made noise can reduce an animal’s

598

fitness by impairing its ability to respond normally to a potential predator; such altered risk

599

assessment to predation has been experimentally demonstrated for hermit crabs exposed to boat

600

noise (Chan et al., 2010). Significantly, hermit crabs share several traits with ghost crabs, most notably

601

being conspicuous, semi-terrestrial animals displaying a distinct predator avoidance behaviour that

602

relies on hiding (hermit crabs retreat into their shells whilst ghost crabs flee into their burrows). This

603

offers the intriguing possibility of assessing noise pollution in beach animals using ‘behavioural

604

acoustic bio-assays’ in ghost crabs. Because brachyuran shore crabs use habitat-specific acoustic cues

605

for settlement, acoustic sensory pollution may impact on recruitment intensity and patterns, as

606

suggested for estuarine crabs based on limited lab experiments (Pine et al., 2012). It is possible, but

607

untested, that noise from personal watercraft may interfere with settlement cues important for late-

608

stage larvae of ghost crabs in the surf-zone off beaches. Anthropogenic noise may also mask the

609

acoustic signals produced by prey that predators use during foraging (Halfwerk and Slabbekoorn,

610

2015). Ghost crabs are omnivorous predators and scavengers of catholic tastes (Lucrezi and Schlacher,

611

2014), and it is thus possible, but untested, that prey detection and foraging efficiency in ghost crabs

612

in altered acoustic landscapes changes - this offers intriguing possibilities for acoustic bio-assays.

613

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Global light regimes have changed profoundly in intensity, spectral signatures, spatial patterns, and

615

periodicity (Kyba et al., 2015). Such changes to the light environment experienced by organisms are

616

amplified in the coastal fringe where a growing part of the human population is concentrated in

617

expanding coastal cities (Davies et al., 2014). How organisms respond to these new illumination

618

domains created by artificial night light, and the ecological ramifications of their responses, are

619

equally profound; they include changes to gene expression, physiology, behaviour, distributions, and

620

the composition of communities (Davies et al., 2015; Gaston et al., 2013; Gaston et al., 2014).

621 Page | 16

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The adverse effects of artificial night light on beach biota are well publicised for marine turtles: fewer

623

nests generally occur on more brightly lit sections of sandy coasts where hatchlings become

624

disorientated by shore-based lights (Kamrowski et al., 2014; Mazor et al., 2013; Verutes et al., 2014).

625

With the exception of a single study on beach mice, impacts of artificial night light on other beach

626

species, including ghost crabs remain untested, but are certainly plausible. For example, navigation in

627

mobile beach invertebrates (e.g. amphipods, isopods) can be complex and relies on multiple cues that

628

can include moonlight. It follows that artificial night light has the potential to disrupt orientation and

629

movement in sandy-shore animals (Scapini, 2014); it is not known whether ghost crabs also use light

630

cues to orient (e.g. homing behaviour), but effects of light pollution on movement and orientation

631

cannot be precluded and hence could be measured using behavioural assays.

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Moonlight is important in determining activity in many animal species, mainly related to changes in

634

predation risk and reproductive cycles (Kronfeld-Schor et al., 2013). Many beaches are artificially

635

illuminated at night (in addition to the more diffuse but widespread skyglow) potentially interfering

636

with natural cycles of lunar signals that are particularly important in nocturnally-foraging species. In

637

beach mice, nocturnal movement is modulated by moon phases, presumably in response to higher

638

predation risk during full-moon nights (Wilkinson et al., 2013). Consequently, beach mice exposed to

639

artificial light feed significantly less and exploit fewer food patches (Bird et al., 2004). Ghost crabs have

640

a functionally similar foraging behaviour (i.e. regular nocturnal excursion from burrows). Their foraging

641

behaviour and activity rhythms may therefore be equally sensitive to artificial light at night and could

642

possibly have fitness implications (e.g. body condition, fertility etc.). Artificial light may also extend the

643

foraging window of visually-orientated predators into the nocturnal activity period of ghost crabs, and

644

facilitate prey detection by both native consumers (e.g. shorebirds) and feral or invasive carnivores

645

(e.g. foxes, cats). Thus, changes to foraging behaviour and predation risk in ghost crabs that are

646

associated with artificial night light could be used to gauge the biological implications of light

647

pollution in sandy shore species.

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4.2.4 ‘URBANISATION’: Buildings, Grooming, Armouring, Nourishment

650

At least half of the global human population lives in cities, and these urban populations will grow

651

exponentially in the coming decades, fuelling an escalating expansion of cities globally, many of which

652

border the ocean (Seto et al., 2012; Strauss et al., 2015). Coastal cities are hotspots of current and

653

future urbanisation, including in Australia, where most (> 80%) of the population is concentrated in

654

urban centres, which are mostly located near beaches (Hallegatte et al., 2013). Pervasive ecological

655

changes in cities commonly include biotic homogenisation, biodiversity declines, altered population

656

dynamics of species, and shifts in the species composition of assemblages (Aronson et al., 2014; Sol et

657

al., 2014).

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Because beaches represent highly attractive and valuable nodes for coastal development, coastal

660

urbanisation is frequently intense along sandy coastlines (Mills et al., in press; Nordstrom et al., 2000). Page | 17

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The ecological ramifications of this ‘beach urbanisation’ span a broad ambit of reported impacts,

662

ranging from impediments to turtle nesting to local extirpations of invertebrates and functional losses

663

of key vertebrate groups (Hubbard et al., 2014; Huijbers et al., 2015b; Huijbers et al., 2013; Schlacher et

664

al., 2015a). ‘Urbanisation effects’ have also been reported for ghost crabs in several urban beach

665

studies (e.g. Barros, 2001). Except for a few isolated cases (e.g. habitat loss caused by urban seawall

666

construction; Dugan et al., 2008), the underlying causes and mechanisms that produce the observed

667

biological responses to urbanisation remain, however, largely unresolved. Failures to isolate, and

668

mechanistically explain, the causative stressors in urban beach studies arise either from employing

669

inadequate study designs, or from simply reflecting the multiple nature of man-made pressures in

670

these environments where noise pollution, artificial night light, shore-defences, trampling, grooming,

671

and nourishment often coincide in space and time (Acuña and Jaramillo, 2015). From a conservation

672

perspective it is, however, critical to resolve which of the putative factors causes the most

673

environmental harm as this will guide prioritisation of management interventions. It is also unknown

674

how, and to which degree, these urban pressures interact to produce the observed ecological effects

675

on urban beaches (but see Lucrezi et al., 2010).

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Many urban beaches are regularly cleaned (‘groomed’ or ‘raked’) to remove beach-cast algae and

678

seagrass (‘wrack’) and litter, mainly for aesthetic and public-health reasons. Wrack constitutes,

679

however, an important habitat and food resource in beach ecosystems (Colombini and Chelazzi, 2003).

680

Consequently, beach cleaning operations have multiple ecological flow-on effects: loss of upper beach

681

habitat and strandline vegetation (Dugan and Hubbard, 2010); reduced abundance and diversity of

682

invertebrates reliant on wrack (Gilburn, 2012; Llewellyn and Shackley, 1996); and diminished

683

abundance, density, and fitness of beach-nesting birds and beach-spawning fishes (Dugan et al., 2003;

684

Martin et al., 2006; Pietrelli and Biondi, 2012).

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Beach cleaning targets mainly the upper shore, which is the main habitat of ghost crabs. Expectations

687

are therefore that cleaning will adversely impact ghost crabs, but this has not been explicitly tested.

688

From a management perspective, it will be important to develop best practices for beach cleaning

689

operations (assuming a continued public mandate to clean beaches) that reduce ecological impacts; in

690

this context, ‘dose-response’ type studies using ghost crabs, combined with experiments that compare

691

techniques and procedures (e.g. manual removal, different equipment, depth of raking, etc.) in terms

692

of their ecological impacts will be useful. Since abundance estimates for ghost crabs via counts of

693

burrows are less costly than sampling other beach invertebrate, they provide an advantage by

694

allowing more treatment types and replication levels.

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Shoreline recession is a major risk to public and private assets located on eroding sedimentary

697

coastlines (Johnson et al., 2015). Conventional approaches to combat beach erosion are to replace the

698

lost sand volumes (‘dredge-and-fill’, ‘nourishment’) or to stabilise shore position with fixed, hard

699

structures (‘seawalls’, ‘shore armouring’). With respect to adverse environmental impacts, nourishment Page | 18

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has traditionally been viewed as a less harmful option than armouring, but adverse ecological

701

outcomes of beach filling are not uncommon. These include significant reductions in the abundance

702

of infaunal organisms, resulting from a combination of limited recruitment, unsuitable new sediment,

703

and direct mortality from crushing and burial (Manning et al., 2014; Peterson et al., 2006). Impacts of

704

nourishment on invertebrates propagate upwards to shorebirds and fishes through loss of prey

705

organisms and deteriorating feeding conditions on nourished beaches (Manning et al., 2013; Peterson

706

et al., 2006). These effects can be long-lasting, with recovery from nourishment impacts taking several

707

years or longer (Peterson et al., 2014; Schlacher et al., 2012).

708

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Nourishment impacts are well documented for ghost crabs in a few locations, where significant

710

declines in population density have been detected following sand placement, and reduced

711

recruitment has been recorded at nourished sites (Peterson and Bishop, 2005; Peterson et al., 2000).

712

There remains, however, considerable scope to use ghost crabs in targeted experiments that establish

713

threshold levels of nourishment procedures that are less damaging than current practices (e.g.

714

acceptable depth of burial, frequency of application, spatial extent of single sand placement, etc.).

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Engineered structures aimed at stabilising shorelines are widely constructed to protect human assets

717

on soft, sedimentary shorelines, particularly in response to beach erosion (Nordstrom, 2014). Whilst

718

the practice of ‘shore armouring’ with seawalls and similar structures has occurred for millennia, its

719

ecological impacts have been recognised only in the last two decades (Dugan et al., 2011). In brief,

720

shore armouring significantly diminishes habitat extent and quality, resulting in severe reductions and

721

local extirpations of animal and plant species inhabiting the interface between the dunes and the

722

beach on armoured beaches (Dugan et al., 2008; Hubbard et al., 2014); these impacts propagate to

723

shorebirds and are publicly well recognised for turtles where seawalls create significant barriers to

724

nesting (Witherington et al., 2011).

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Although the adverse effects of shore armouring have been relatively well documented for ghost

727

crabs (e.g. Barros, 2001; Lucrezi et al., 2010), there remains a great potential for studies that identify

728

the biological returns from creative alternatives to traditional shore defence (e.g. structures that are

729

smaller, or below ground, or constructed from materials that improves habitat values, etc.; Nordstrom,

730

2014) and biological returns from restoration of habitats by removing armouring structures (Toft et al.,

731

2014). Biota can respond relatively quickly to habitat restoration on beaches (Toft et al., 2014), but

732

wider uptake of environmentally less destructive practices will require broad political and public

733

acceptance (Nordstrom, 2014). Demonstrating positive biological responses of key biota is imporant

734

to achieve better acceptance, and species of public appeal are central in this process (Huijbers et al.,

735

2015b). Arguably, amongst the beach invertebrates, ghost crabs (as a taxonomic group) are a prime

736

candidate to be used in this context, particularly as the basic patterns of their response to traditional

737

shore armouring is already known (e.g. Barros, 2001; Lucrezi et al., 2010).

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4.2.5 Invasive Species: Non-native Carnivores, Dune Plants and Seaweeds

740

Invasive, predominantly non-native, species have the potential to significantly alter the architecture

741

and function of ecosystems (Ehrenfeld, 2010). Traditional views concerning the effects of invasive

742

species have emphasised major adverse impacts (Courchamp et al., 2003; Norton, 2009), but a more

743

nuanced view is emerging (Davis et al., 2011; Pysek et al., 2012; Strayer, 2012). Whilst invasive species

744

effects are highly topical in the broader ecological literature (Moran and Alexander, 2014; Yelenik and

745

D'Antonio, 2013), beach ecology is somewhat lagging in this respect.

746

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Information on the effects of non-native species in coastal dune and beach systems is largely

748

restricted to: i) trophic impacts of exotic mammalian carnivores (Brown et al., 2015; Huijbers et al.,

749

2015a; Huijbers et al., 2015b; Huijbers et al., 2013; Maslo and Lockwood, 2009; Schlacher et al., 2013a;

750

Schlacher et al., 2013b); ii) how exotic vegetation modifies dune geomorphology and habitat quality

751

for dune-associated species (Johnson and De León, 2015; Nordstrom et al., 2011; Zarnetske et al.,

752

2012); and iii) the implications of fire ants for nesting success in marine turtles (Allen et al., 2001).

753

Much less is known about the effects of invasive species on the non-vegetated part of the beach and

754

in the surf-zone. However, non-native species of macroalgae that are invading the nearshore zone off

755

beaches alter wrack composition and quality, resulting in changes to animal use of wrack and possible

756

flow-on effects on feeding and fitness of wrack-associated consumers (Lastra et al., 2008; Rodil et al.,

757

2015; Rodil et al., 2008).

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Effects of invasive species on ghost crabs have been documented in only a single study reporting

760

lower density of O. cordimanus in areas dominated by exotic vegetation (Brook et al., 2009). Other

761

effects are, however, plausible, involving any of the mechanisms above (e.g. top-down control by

762

exotic and feral carnivores, infestation with fire ants) and hence can be fruitfully measured.

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4.2.6 Fishing and Mining

765

A pivotal ecosystem service provided by sandy beaches on many shorelines globally is the provision of

766

harvestable species for human consumption. These ‘beach fisheries’ target both vertebrates (i.e. bony

767

fishes, sharks, rays) and invertebrates, mostly benthic bivalves (McLachlan et al., 1996). The economic

768

nature of beach fisheries ranges from the occasional collection of individuals for subsistence to true

769

commercial operations (Castilla and Defeo, 2001), and are subject to the same problems (e.g. over-

770

harvesting, social conflicts, socio-economic cohesion) as are often evident in open-water finfish

771

operations (Gutiérrez et al., 2011). Species in both the intertidal and the surf-zone are harvested (Turra

772

et al., 2015), and such harvests are not limited to ‘less developed’ economies but occur globally (Gray

773

et al., 2014; Gutiérrez et al., 2011).

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There exist very few data on ghost crab harvesting with respect to species targeted, geographic

776

distribution, frequency and population impacts. The single ghost crab fishery for which published data Page | 20

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are available (e.g. eastern KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa) appears to have, historically, had few adverse

778

population-level effects under low intensities of subsistence collecting (Beckley et al., 1996; Kyle et al.,

779

1997; Robertson and Kruger, 1995). However, these are historical estimates and human population

780

growth, coupled with changing economic conditions, may have increased harvesting pressures

781

considerably. It is also very plausible that ghost crabs are harvested for subsistence purposes in many

782

other small-scale artisanal fisheries (A. Turra pers. comm.); whether these artisanal harvests constitute

783

significant ecological impacts is unknown.

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Sand and gravel (aggregates) are among the globe’s most valuable mineral resources, being mined

786

world-wide and account for the largest volume of solid material extracted (Peduzzi, 2014). Most of the

787

mined aggregates are used for construction and land reclamation, complemented by applications in

788

road embankments, asphalt pavements, and manufacturing (glass, electronics; (Peduzzi, 2014). Two

789

developments in aggregate extractions have particularly dramatic repercussions for sandy beaches: i)

790

the volumes of mined marine sand exceed the volumes of sand delivered by rivers to the ocean; and

791

ii) as inland sources of aggregates are becoming exhausted, mining has increasingly shifted to

792

shorelines (Peduzzi, 2014).

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Not surprisingly, removing often large volumes of sand from beaches can lead to significant changes

795

in landforms and sediment properties, and can accelerate erosion (Jonah et al., 2015) to the point

796

where mining on sandy-shores has been labelled as effectively constituting “active destruction” of

797

beaches (Pilkey and Cooper, 2014). Further geo-morphological impacts arise from the disposal of

798

tailings or slurries on the beach or into the nearshore zone (Castilla, 1983). Habitat alterations caused

799

by mining operations on beaches and in dunes translate into significant ecological harm, generally

800

manifested as reductions in abundance, biomass, and diversity of beach-associated species, local

801

extirpations, and major shifts in the species composition of assemblages exposed to mining (Pulfrich

802

and Branch, 2014; Simmons, 2005). Ghost crabs can respond in a similar pattern to habitat changes

803

arising from sand extraction, but the generalisations about biological impacts are impossible to make

804

from a single study (Jonah et al., 2015). Thus, ecological cause-and-effect studies of beach and dune

805

mining using ghost crabs as ecological indicator species in more locations, and using more response

806

variables, have future potential.

807

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808

5. Conclusions

809

Notwithstanding the sizeable number of studies that have examined ‘urbanisation effects’ on ghost

810

crabs, generalisations that can be developed into credible conservation actions in this domain remain

811

largely very unsatisfactory, chiefly because knowledge about mechanistic links are poorly known.

812

Whilst this situation is not unique to beach science, bedevilling urban ecology more widely

813

(McDonnell and Hahs, 2013), we contend that it presents an opportunity rather than a malaise: future

814

urban beach studies can build on the considerable knowledge about ghost crab biology and use the Page | 21

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815

design principles established for ecological experiments to employ logically consistent and powerful

816

designs that will yield stronger inference and attribution about urban effects; such experiments will

817

also need to draw upon more refined predictor and response variables that better match the

818

hypotheses tested (Browne et al., 2015; McDonnell and Hahs, 2013).

819 Whereas ghost crabs have proven to serve well to monitor conditions of sandy beaches throughout

821

the tropical and subtropical latitudes, standard assessment metrics currently involve inferring

822

abundances from numbers of burrows and sizes from burrow diameters. The failure to observe and

823

make direct measurements on the crabs themselves, including modern biomarkers, inhibits strong

824

inference about the mechanistic process or processes that cause differences in burrow counts or in

825

burrow diameters. It also limits our ability to identify critical biological harm where it may occur.

826

Nevertheless, sampling of individual ghost crabs and using them in experiments that test explicit

827

hypotheses is feasible and could expand the range of process-oriented inferences about specific

828

drivers of observed burrow abundance differences. While some manipulative experiments could be

829

piggybacked on field studies of real-world coastal impacts, especially if these studies can be initiated

830

in advance of the putative impact, much could also be learned by fundamental experimental work in

831

the laboratory. Thus, further progress is contingent on a better mechanistic understanding of what

832

drives observed responses in ghost crabs, from the individual to the population levels, and more

833

rigorous attribution to specific anthropogenic stressors.

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In any respect, ghost crabs lend themselves almost ideally to such studies, therefore representing a

836

powerful model organism for detection of ecological impacts in warm-temperate to tropical coastal

837

systems. The scope of anthropogenic impacts on ocean beach ecosystems promises more and

838

growing needs for impact evaluations. Ghost crabs can continue to provide a strong indicator of

839

impact from studies of counting and/or sizing burrows. However, these widespread dune dominants

840

may be used to provide even more specific indicators of process and causation as they are further

841

used in future experiments.

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Aheto, D., Asare, C., Mensah, E., Aggrey-Fynn, J., 2011. Rapid Assessment of Anthropogenic Impacts of Exposed Sandy Beaches in Ghana using Ghost Crabs (Ocypode Spp.) as Ecological Indicators. Momona Ethiopian Journal of Science 3, 93-103.

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Allen, C.R., Forys, E.A., Rice, K.G., Wojcik, D.P., 2001. Effects of fire ants (Hymenoptera: Formicidae) on hatching turtles and prevalence of fire ants on sea turtle nesting beaches in Florida. Florida Entomologist 84, 250-253.

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Antonelli, L., Foata, J., Quilichini, Y., Marchand, B., 2015. Influence of season and site location on European cultured sea bass parasites in Corsican fish farms using indicator species analysis (IndVal). Parasitology Research.

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Aronson, M.F., La Sorte, F.A., Nilon, C.H., Katti, M., Goddard, M.A., Lepczyk, C.A., Warren, P.S., Williams, N.S., Cilliers, S., Clarkson, B., Dobbs, C., Dolan, R., Hedblom, M., Klotz, S., Kooijmans, J.L., Kühn, I., Macgregor-Fors, I., McDonnell, M., Mörtberg, U., Pysek, P., Siebert, S., Sushinsky, J., Werner, P., Winter, M., 2014. A global analysis of the impacts of urbanization on bird and plant diversity reveals key anthropogenic drivers. Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 281, 20133330.

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Austin, J.D., Gore, J.A., Greene, D.U., Gotteland, C., 2015. Conspicuous genetic structure belies recent dispersal in an endangered beach mouse (Peromyscus polionotus trissyllepsis). Conservation Genetics 16, 915-928.

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Barnard, P.L., Short, A.D., Harley, M.D., Splinter, K.D., Vitousek, S., Turner, I.L., Allan, J., Banno, M., Bryan, K.R., Doria, A., Hansen, J.E., Kato, S., Kuriyama, Y., Randall-Goodwin, E., Ruggiero, P., Walker, I.J., Heathfield, D.K., 2015. Coastal vulnerability across the Pacific dominated by El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Nature Geoscience 8, 801-807.

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Barros, F., 2001. Ghost crabs as a tool for rapid assessment of human impacts on exposed sandy beaches. Biological Conservation 97, 399-404.

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Barton, B.T., Roth, J.D., 2008. Implications of intraguild predation for sea turtle nest protection. Biological Conservation 141, 2139-2145.

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Beckley, L.E., Fennessy, S.T., Fielding, P.J., Robertson, W.D., Tomalin, B.J., van der Elst, R.P., 1996. Informal fisheries on the east coast of South Africa (HSRC project). . Oceanographic Research Institute, Durban, South Africa.

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Bisson, K.W., 2007. Spatial distribution in relation to disturbance of the Atlantic ghost crab, Ocypode quadrata, along Assateague Island, VA. Master Thesis, Shippensburg University of Pennsylvania.

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Black, B.A., Sydeman, W.J., Frank, D.C., Griffin, D., Stahle, D.W., García-Reyes, M., Rykaczewski, R.R., Bograd, S.J., Peterson, W.T., 2014. Six centuries of variability and extremes in a coupled marine-terrestrial ecosystem. Science 345, 1498-1502.

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Blankensteyn, A., 2006. O uso do caranguejo maria-farinha Ocypode quadrata (Fabricius) (Crustacea, Ocypodidae) como indicador de impactos antropogênicos em praias arenosas da Ilha de Santa Catarina, Santa Catarina, Brasil. Revista Brasileira De Zoologia 23, 870-876.

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Borenstein, M., Hedges, L.V., Higgins, J.P.T., Rothstein, H.R., 2009. Introduction to Meta-Analysis. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, United Kingdom.

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Brennecke, D., Ferreira, E.C., Costa, T.M.M., Appel, D., da Gama, B.A.P., Lenz, M., 2015. Ingested microplastics (>100μm) are translocated to organs of the tropical fiddler crab Uca rapax. Marine Pollution Bulletin 96, 491-495.

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Brown, M.B., Schlacher, T.A., Schoeman, D.S., Weston, M.A., Huijbers, C.M., Olds, A.D., Connolly, R.M., 2015. Invasive carnivores alter ecological function and enhance complementarity in scavenger assemblages on ocean beaches. Ecology 96, 2715-2725.

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Browne, M.A., Underwood, A.J., Chapman, M.G., Williams, R., Thompson, R.C., Van Franeker, J.A., 2015. Linking effects of anthropogenic debris to ecological impacts. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 282.

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Brownell, M.J., Harwood, V.J., Kurz, R.C., McQuaig, S.M., Lukasik, J., Scott, T.M., 2007. Confirmation of putative stormwater impact on water quality at a Florida beach by microbial source tracking methods and structure of indicator organism populations. Water Research 41, 3747-3757.

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Brunbjerg, A.K., Svenning, J.C., Ejrnæs, R., 2014. Experimental evidence for disturbance as key to the conservation of dune grassland. Biological Conservation 174, 101-110.

895 896 897 898

Burrows, M.T., Schoeman, D.S., Richardson, A.J., Molinos, J.G., Hoffmann, A., Buckley, L.B., Moore, P.J., Brown, C.J., Bruno, J.F., Duarte, C.M., Halpern, B.S., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Kappel, C.V., Kiessling, W., O'Connor, M.I., Pandolfi, J.M., Parmesan, C., Sydeman, W.J., Ferrier, S., Williams, K.J., Poloczanska, E.S., 2014. Geographical limits to speciesrange shifts are suggested by climate velocity. Nature 507, 492-495.

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Byrne, M., Przeslawski, R., 2013. Multistressor impacts of warming and acidification of the ocean on marine invertebrates' life histories. Integrative and Comparative Biology 53, 582-596.

901 902 903

Cardoso-Mohedano, J.G., Bernardello, R., Sanchez-Cabeza, J.A., Ruiz-Fernández, A.C., Alonso-Rodriguez, R., Cruzado, A., 2015. Thermal impact from a thermoelectric power plant on a tropical coastal lagoon. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution 226.

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Carignan, V., Villard, M.A., 2002. Selecting indicator species to monitor ecological integrity: A review. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 78, 45-61.

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7. Figure Captions

Fig. 1 Distribution of studies reporting effects of human pressures on ghost crabs on ocean beaches. Fig. 2 Effect sizes attributed to different types of human pressures on the abundance (left panel) and size (right panel) of ghost crab burrow openings on ocean beaches. Plotted values are response ratios

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ln(R), calculated as the log of the quotient of the mean value recorded for impact sites, divided by the mean value at corresponding reference sites in individual studies: lnR = mean impact / mean control

(Borenstein et al., 2009). Dots represent response ratios from individual studies. Vertical lines are

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means and horizontal lines are the 95% confidence intervals for data groups with n ≥ 3.

Fig. 3 Classification of ecological impact assessment for specific human pressures with respect to the amount of information that is currently available about their effects on ghost crabs (y axis) and how

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sensitive and reliable ghost crabs are likely to be as indicator species in impacts studies targeting a particular pressure (x axis). Pressures in the top right are both information-poor (i.e. high data

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deficiency) and may be best quantified using ghost crabs (i.e. good suitability).

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Table 1 Attributes of reviewed publications that measured the response of ghost crabs to human activities or anthropogenic habitat changes on ocean-exposed sandy beaches. (Details for individual publications are provided in Table 1 of the supplementary material).

1 - Geographic Distribution Ocean Basin / Sea (No. studies) Pacific

Indian

South China Sea

20

12

5

1

Australia

USA

Brazil

13

12

5

min

max

mean

1.30

38.24

26.10

Tropics

Subtropics

28

10

Countries (No. studies)

South Africa

Others#

3

5

sd

9.35

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Latitude (º)

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Atlantic

2 - Species Species

No. Studies

O. quadrata

Species

18

O. cordimanus O ceratophthalma

No. Studies 2

13

O. africana O. madagascariensis

10

O. cursor

1

2

4

3 - Response Metrics

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O ryderi

3.1 No. metrics measured per study min

max

mean

sd

6

1.95

1.27

1 Metric

2 Metrics

3 Metrics

>3 Metrics

18

11

6

3

1

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3.2 No. studies using x metrics

3.3. Types of metrics used

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3.3.1 - Direct (Organism)

No. studies

3.3.2 - Indirect (Burrows)

No. studies

Mortality

2

Abundance

38

Home Range

1

Diameter

19

Body Condition

1

Depth

3

Trail Length

1

Length

3

Turns in Trail

1

Angle

2

Weight

2

Orientation

1

4 - Replication and Scale Spatial min

max

mean

sd

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No. sites (n) 2

21

5.16

4.11

0.05

310

38.69

66.10

min

max

mean

sd

2

27

8.89

6.77

1

1370

158.47

Spatial ambit (km) Temporal

Duration (days)

267.34

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# Ghana: 2, Cuba: 1, Seychelles: 1, Singapore: 1

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No. times measured (n)

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1392 15 16 1393 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

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Table 2 Summary statistics of response ratios lnR in ghost crabs, testing the biological effects of human pressures on ocean beaches in terms of changes to the abundance and size of crab burrows. Response ratios, lnR, are the log quotient of the mean value at impact sites divided by the mean at reference sites: lnR = mean impact / mean control (Borenstein et al., 2009). Values of lnR < 0 denote decreases in abundance or size, whilst iR > 0 signifies more or larger burrows at sites classified as ‘impacted’ by authors. (Tabulated lnR values are for stressor

xxx

Abundance (burrow counts)

RI PT

assessed by at least three studies; for all full listing of all studies refer to Table S1 and Fig. 2.).

Size (burrow diameter)

n

mean

(95% CI)

P

n

mean

(95% CI)r

P

All stressors

37

-1.35

(-1.78 - -0.92)

<0.0001

13

-0.15

(-0.35 - 0.05)

0.1327

Vehicles

11

-1.43

(-2.42 - -0.43)

0.0095

5

-0.07

(-0.27 - 0.13)

0.3772

Nourishment

4

-1.27

(-2.41 - -0.13)

0.0378

0

na

na

na

Urbanisation & Recreation

13

-1.52

(-2.16 - -0.87)

-0.19

(-1.23 - 0.84)

0.5064

M AN U

SC

Stressor

3

EP

TE D

0.0003

AC C

1394 1 1395 2 3 1396 4 1397 5 6 1398 7 1399 8 9 1400 10 1401 11 1402 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 1403 26 27 1404 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

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Table 3 Gap analysis of the application of ghost crabs as indicator species to quantify the ecological consequences of human pressures on ocean beaches and coastal dunes. 1

Habitat & Environmental Changes / Effects 1 (predicted)

Expected Response(s) of Ghost Crabs

CLIMATE CHANGE

Suitability of Ghost Crabs as Indicator 2 Species

Data Deficiency (Lack of Published Evidence for 3

Ghost Crabs)

RI PT

Main Pressures

Sea-level rise, storms

Erosion, shoreline retreat, elimination of upper beach and frontal dune habitats.

Population decrease(s), local extirpations, delayed recovery from erosion events, limited recruitment in beaches with (seasonal) scarps.

Warming

Temperature (increase).

Altered physiology, phenology, demography, geographic range, behaviour.

 (good)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Currents, upwelling

Altered organism dispersal, primary productivity, marine carrion availability, wrack deposition.

Changes to recruitment and geographic distribution, altered nutritional status, condition and physiological performance.

 (acceptable)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Altered precipitation

Changes to dune vegetation, height of water table, thermal environment of sand wedge, aquifer outcrops on beach.

Possibly, altered distribution and population size, but direction and magnitude difficult to predict.

 (poor)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Diverse biological effects on marine organisms (e.g. decreased survival, calcification, growth, development, abundance in response to acidification and altered life histories).

Multiple detrimental developmental and survivorship effects during larval (fully marine) phase possible, possibly lowering recruitment to beaches.

 (poor)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Substantially lower habitat quality, direct kills of individuals, behavioural changes.

Lower abundance, altered habitat use, population structure, and behaviour.

 (good)

Δ (low)

 (good)

SC

M AN U

TE D

EP

Acidification

AC C

1405 1 1406 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

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ΔΔ (moderate)

RECREATION Vehicles

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Lower habitat quality, direct kills of individuals, behavioural changes.

Lower abundance, altered habitat use & behaviour.

 (acceptable)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Camping (dunes)

Increased food resources, altered habitat quality, behavioural changes..

Changed abundance, altered habitat use & behaviour

 (acceptable)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Motorised Watercrafts

Noise and chemical pollution, wildlife strikes.

Altered behaviour and time budgets, toxicity, kills, etc.

 (poor)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Population impacts on target species, bycatch, fauna impacts and habitat changes associated with vehicle-based access by fishers.

Individuals crushed by vehicles; food subsidies from fisheries discards.

 (acceptable)

ΔΔ (moderate)

M AN U

Recreational fishing & bait collecting

SC

(jet skis, boats)

RI PT

Trampling

POLLUTION

Changes to interstitial chemistry, inputs of toxicants, nutrient enrichment.

Uptake of sewagederived nutrients and pollutants via direct exposure and foodweb transfers.

 (good)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Debris

Ingestion (microplastics) or entanglement (larger litter), changes to structural attributes of beach habitat.

Physiological and other health impairment from ingestion of microplastics, altered distribution and higher abundance in areas of abundant larger litter items deposited on shore.

 (good)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Increased habitat temperature and thermal variability.

Altered recruitment dynamics, possible health effects from anti bio-fouling treatment.

 (acceptable)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Chemicals

Toxicity from contaminants; (e.g. crude oil spills).

Multiple and varied consequences of toxicity, from sub-lethal physiological and behavioural effects to impairment of reproduction and population persistence.

 (good)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Noise

Acoustic environment (altered intensity and frequency spectrum).

Behavioural changes, altered behavioural time budgets and predation risks,

 (good)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Thermal discharges

EP

TE D

Sewage and Stormwater

AC C

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT endocrine disruptions.

Artificial Night Light

Light environment (altered intensity and frequency spectrum).

Behavioural changes, altered behavioural time budgets and predation risks, endocrine disruptions.

 (good)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Buildings, infrastructure, roads

Conversion or loss of natural habitat, especially the upper shore and dunes.

Smaller population sizes, shifts in distributions and possibly species interactions.

 (good)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Grooming (raking, cleaning)

Habitat losses (upper beach), impedes dune formation, lowers beach stability, fewer food resources.

Smaller population sizes, shifts in distributions and possibly species interactions.

 (good)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Nourishment

Mortality of fauna (crushing, burial), reduced habitat suitability.

Smaller population sizes, shifts in distributions and possibly species interactions.

 (good)

 (low)

Armouring (seawalls, groins, revetments, breakwaters)

Loss of habitat, increased rates of beach erosion and habitat instability.

Smaller population sizes, shifts in distributions and possibly species interactions.

 (good)

ΔΔ (moderate)

SC

M AN U

TE D

INVASIVE SPECIES

RI PT

URBANISATION'

Predation, possible competition for carrion.

Smaller population sizes, altered pop. structure

 (good)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Invasive dune plants

Altered habitat quality and stability.

Altered population sizes and/or structure

 (good)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Modified wrack composition and properties.

Unknown, but possibly negative if exotic wrack material lowers habitat use of strandline by ghost crabs.

 (acceptable)

ΔΔΔ (high)

Fisheries

Overfishing of target species.

Smaller population sizes, altered pop. structure

 (good)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Mining

Contamination and/or loss of habitat, direct mortality, habitat modification through exacerbated erosion.

Smaller population sizes, altered pop. structure, toxic effects

 (good)

ΔΔ (moderate)

Exotic algae and seagrass species

EP

Exotic predators and feral animals

AC C

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

FISHING AND MINING

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1

Pressures and their environmental effects are adapted from Defeo et al. (2009) and Schlacher et al. (2007a; 2014a; 2008a; 2014b; 2006). Suitability as ecological indicator:  – POOR (Responses to specific environmental change(s) or human activities IMPROBABLE because mechanistic links are biologically implausible or unknown);  – ACCEPTABLE (Responses to specific environmental change(s) or human activities PLAUSIBLE, but mechanistic links are incompletely known in many cases);  – GOOD (Responses to specific environmental change(s) or human activities are PROBABLE IN MOST CASES, consistent with expectations derived from known biological effects or mechanistic links).

3

Data Deficiency (Lack of Published Evidence for Ghost Crabs) ΔΔΔ – High (No published information on response(s) to specific pressures); ΔΔ – Moderate (Few (<3) papers documenting response(s) to specific pressures); Δ – Low (Three or more papers documenting response(s) to specific pressures).

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

2

AC C

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 1407 20 1408 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

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Electronic Appendix – Supplementary Material Table S1 Publications summarised in this paper that estimated the effects of human stressors on ghost crabs on ocean-exposed sandy beaches. 1

Species

Locality

Main 2 pressure(s)

(Florschuts and Williamson, 1978) (Fisher and Tevesz, 1979) (Wolcott and Wolcott, 1984) (Christoffers, 1986)

O. quadrata

USA, North Carolina

VEH

O. quadrata

URB#

O. quadrata

USA, North Carolina / Virginia USA, North Carolina

O. quadrata

USA, Maryland

URB#

(McGwynne, 1988)

O. ryderi, O. madagascariensis, O. ceratophthalma O. ryderi, O. madagascariensis, O. ceratophthalma O. quadrata

South Africa, KwaZulu Natal, Maputaland

VEH

(Peterson et al., 2000)

O. cordimanus

(Blankensteyn, 2006)

O. quadrata

(Moss and McPhee, 2006) (Neves and Bemvenuti, 2006) (Peterson et al., 2006)

USA, North Carolina

3

RI PT ABU

ABU, DIAM, CRUSH ABU, DIAM, DEPTH ABU

HARV

ABU

NOU

ABU

#

URB

ABU

URB#

ABU

O. cordimanus

Australia, New South Wales Brazil, Santa Catarina Island Australia, Queensland

VEH

ABU

O. quadrata

Brazil, Rio Grande do Sul

URB#

ABU

O. quadrata

USA, North Carolina

NOU

ABU

(Bisson, 2007)

O. quadrata

USA, Virginia

URB#

ABU

(Foster-Smith et al., 2007) (Maccarone and Mathews, 2007) (Schlacher et al., 2007c) (Barton and Roth, 2008) (De Araújo et al., 2008) (Hobbs et al., 2008)

O. spp.

Australia, Western Australia USA, Texas

VEH

ABU

URB#

ABU, DIAM, ORI

O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma O. quadrata

Australia, Queensland

VEH

ABU, DIAM, CRUSH

USA, Florida

PRED

ABU, DIAM

O. quadrata

Brazil, Espírito Santo

CLEAN

ABU, DIAM

O. quadrata

USA, Virginia

VEH

ABU, DIAM, LENGTH

O. quadrata

USA, Florida

NOU

ABU

O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma, O. ryderi O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma O. quadrata

Australia, Queensland

VEH

ABU, DIAM

Seychelles,

INV

ABU

Australia, Queensland

URB#

ABU, DIAM

Australia, Queensland

TRAMP

ABU, DIAM

Brazil, Bahia

URB#

ABU

O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma

Australia, Queensland

URB#

ABU, DIAM

Australia, Queensland

VEH

ABU, DIAM, DEPTH, LENGTH, WEIGHT, ANGLE

TE D

(Barros, 2001)

South Africa, KwaZulu Natal

VEH

SC

(Robertson and Kruger, 1995)

Metric(s) ABU

M AN U

Source

EP

O. quadrata

AC C

1409 1 2 1410 3 1411 4 5 1412 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

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(Irlandi and Arnold, 2008) (Thompson and Schlacher, 2008) (Brook et al., 2009)

(Lucrezi et al., 2009b) (Lucrezi et al., 2009a) (Magalhaes et al., 2009) (Lucrezi et al., 2010) (Lucrezi and Schlacher, 2010)

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O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma

Australia, Queensland

VEH

Australia, Queensland

VEH

(Aheto et al., 2011)

O. africana, O. cursor

Ghana, Central Ghana

URB#

ABU, TRAIL, AREA, TURN ABU, DIAM, DEPTH, LENGTH, WEIGHT, ANGLE ABU, DIAM

(Schlacher et al., 2011a) (Noriega et al., 2012)

O. cordimanus

Australia, Queensland

CAM

ABU, DIAM, BCI

Australia, Queensland

URB#

ABU, DIAM

(Ocaña et al., 2012)

O. cordimanus, O. ceratophthalma O. quadrata

Cuba, NE Coast

URB#

ABU

(Guilherme, 2013)

O. quadrata

Brazil, Paraná

CLEAN

ABU, DIAM

(Lucrezi et al., 2014)

South Africa, KwaZuluNatal

VEH

ABU, DIAM

(Peterson et al., 2014)

O. ceratophthalma, O. madagascariensis, O. ryderi O. quadrata

USA, North Carolina

NOU

(Jonah et al., 2015)

O. africana, O. cursor

Ghana, Cape Coast

MINE

(Lim and Yong, 2015)

O. ceratophthalma

Singapore,

OIL

SC

1

RI PT

(Schlacher and Lucrezi, 2010a) (Schlacher and Lucrezi, 2010b)

ABU

ABU, DIAM ABU

Criteria for inclusions were that a) some form of peer review was likely to have been in place, and b) that at least means for

2

M AN U

controls and reference conditions could be extracted from a publication to estimate effects sizes for at least one variable. - CLEAN - cleaning / grooming (manual and mechanical); HARV - harvesting, subsistence fishing; INV - invasive species

(plants); MINE - mining for beach sand; NOUR - nourishment, re-profiling, beach bulldozing etc.; OIL - oil spill; PRED - predator control (racoon culling); TRAMP - trampling (short-term, intense); URB - 'urbanisation & recreation' (includes shore armouring, trampling, dune conversions, erosion etc.); VEH - vehicles (ORV - off-road vehicles, 4WD - four wheel drives, quad bikes, etc.). 3

- ABU - Abundance (density) of burrow openings at the beach surface; ANGLE - inclination of main shaft of burrow; BCI - Body

Condition Index; CRUSH - mortality caused by vehicles; DEPTH - vertical penetration of burrow into the sediment; DIAM diameter of burrow opening at / close to beach surface; HOME - size of daily home range; LENGTH - dimension of longest axis

TE D

of burrow; ORI - orientation of main shaft / compass direction; TRAIL - length of trails between turns during nocturnal movement; TURN - number of turns in movement path during nocturnal activity; WEIGHT - of burrow cast made with plaster of Paris or similar. #

-‘urbanisation’ is used as a collective term, intended to encompass multiple pressures associated with the intensive human use

EP

of beaches and development of dunes backing beaches. Because in many cases, two or more threats are spatially superimposed (e.g. sections of beach with seawalls are usually more heavily trampled than non-armoured sections) or pressures act sequentially or repeatedly (e.g. beach cleaning activities alternating with recreational use), past study designs failed to identify the effects of individual pressures un-confounded from other.

AC C

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 1413 45 1414 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

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AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

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AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

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AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Mitigating threats to sandy beaches requires accurate assessments of condition.

2.

Ghost crabs are widely used as indicator species in ecological beach assessments.

3.

Human impacts detected with ghost crabs are globally evident for sandy shores.

4.

Applied conservation needs experiments that yield defensible cause-effect evidence.

5.

Priority areas are acoustic and light pollution, debris, climate change effects.

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

1.