Impact of inland shipping emissions on elemental carbon concentrations near waterways in The Netherlands

Impact of inland shipping emissions on elemental carbon concentrations near waterways in The Netherlands

Accepted Manuscript Impact of inland shipping emissions on elemental carbon concentrations near waterways in the Netherlands M.P. Keuken , M. Moerman ...

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Accepted Manuscript Impact of inland shipping emissions on elemental carbon concentrations near waterways in the Netherlands M.P. Keuken , M. Moerman , J. Jonkers , J. Hulskotte , H.A.C. Denier van der Gon , G. Hoek , R.S. Sokhi PII:

S1352-2310(14)00454-3

DOI:

10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.06.008

Reference:

AEA 13032

To appear in:

Atmospheric Environment

Received Date: 23 January 2014 Revised Date:

2 June 2014

Accepted Date: 3 June 2014

Please cite this article as: Keuken, M.P, Moerman, M, Jonkers, J, Hulskotte, J, Denier van der Gon, H.A.C, Hoek, G, Sokhi, R.S, Impact of inland shipping emissions on elemental carbon concentrations near waterways in the Netherlands, Atmospheric Environment (2014), doi: 10.1016/ j.atmosenv.2014.06.008. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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Impact of inland shipping emissions on elemental carbon concentrations near

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waterways in the Netherlands

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Keuken, M.P.1, Moerman, M.1, Jonkers, J1, Hulskotte, J.1, Denier van der Gon, H.A.C.1,

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Hoek, G2, Sokhi, R.S3

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5 (1) Netherlands Organization for Applied Research (TNO), Utrecht, the Netherlands

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(2) Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), University of Utrecht, the Netherlands

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(3) Centre for Atmospheric and Instrumentation Research (UH-CAIR), University of Hertfordshire,

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Hatfield, United Kingdom

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Corresponding author: [email protected]

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ABSTRACT

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This study aims to quantify the impact of black carbon from inland shipping on air quality,

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expressed as elemental carbon (EC) near inland waterways in the Netherlands. Downwind

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measurements of particle numbers and EC were used to establish emission factors for EC

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from inland shipping using inverse modelling. These emission factors were combined with

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data on energy consumption to derive annual average emissions rates for all Dutch

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waterways. A line source model was applied to compute the contribution of inland

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shipping to annual average EC concentrations for around 140 000 people living within 200

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m of busy waterways in the Netherlands. The results showed that they are exposed to

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additional EC concentrations of up to 0.5 µg EC per m3 depending on the shipping volume

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and distance from the waterway. In view of the envisaged growth in water transport, this

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underlines the need to reduce combustion emissions from inland shipping. Targeting

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“gross” polluters may be the most effective approach since 30% of ships cause more than

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80% of the total emissions.

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Keywords: black carbon, elemental carbon, inland shipping, emission factors

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1.

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The transport of goods over Europe’s 37,000 kilometres of waterways amounted to 7% of

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the total inland goods transport in Europe in 2010 (EC, 2012). What is more, this share is

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increasing because CO2 emissions per ton-kilometres over water are lower than those for

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land transport by a factor of six (EC, 2012). Research into emissions from shipping and the

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likely wider impact on air quality and climate change has been mainly directed at sea-

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INTRODUCTION

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT going ships (Eyring et al., 2010; Bond et al., 2013). This impact relates to gaseous

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emissions of CO2, SO2 and NOx, and particulate matter (PM) consisting of elemental and

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organic carbon, sulphates and ash (Petzold et al., 2008; Moldanová et al., 2009). In urban

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areas near harbours too, the likely impact on air quality has been the subject of attention

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(Hulskotte and Denier van der Gon, 2010a; Tzannatos, 2010; Keuken et al., 2012a). Less

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research has been conducted into emissions from inland waterways, probably because their

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contribution to total shipping emissions is limited. However, inland shipping emissions

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may be significant for air quality and the related health impact for people living nearby.

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This may be particularly relevant in the Netherlands where 40% of goods were transported

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over inland waterways in 2008 and 2009 (EC, 2012). The Netherlands has the largest

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inland freight fleet in Western Europe with 5,815 vessels out of 11,546 (IVR, 2013).

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PM emissions from inland shipping fuelled by diesel oil are lower by about a factor of five

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per kWh (Trozzi and De Lauretis, 2013) than those from seagoing vessels, which are

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mainly fuelled by residual fuel oil. However PM emission factors per kWh from inland

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ships are considerably higher than diesel truck engines due to less stringent emission

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standards for inland ships. For the Netherlands, it has been estimated that PM emissions

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per ton-kilometre (i.e. one ton of goods transported one kilometre) from water transport are

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typically five times higher than from road transport (Hulskotte and Denier van der Gon,

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2010b).

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Most studies into PM emissions from shipping have been performed by making

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measurements on-board or in ship exhaust plumes of seagoing ships, very often fuelled by

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residual fuel oil (Petzold et al., 2008; Moldanová et al., 2009).

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This paper presents a study to model the impact of inland shipping on air quality and health

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near inland waterways in the Netherlands. This requires emission factors for inland ships

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as an input for the model. However, these are not established on a routine basis, since there

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are no regulatory obligations in this area, such as those that apply to road transport.

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Emission factors for inland ships were derived from measurements using test banks of ship

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engines. This resulted in an average emission factor of 0.5g of PM per kWh in 2000 and

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0.4g of PM per kWh in 2010 (Klein et al., 2007; Hulskotte and Denier van der Gon,

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2010b). However, there are some reservations about applying these emission factors in

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dispersion modelling. Firstly, average emission factors may not be representative because

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shipping emissions may vary considerably according to actual shipping conditions.

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Secondly, black or elemental carbon (EC) is a more sensitive indicator for combustion

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particles than PM due to the relatively high background concentrations of PM (Keuken et

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al., 2012b). In our study, emission factors for elemental carbon from inland shipping were

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derived by measuring the black carbon in shipping plumes and using inverse modelling.

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Finally, the contribution to annual average EC concentrations within 200m of busy inland

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waterways in the Netherlands was estimated.

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2.

EXPERIMENTAL METHODS

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2.1 Monitoring periods

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Concentrations of black carbon and the total number of particles (PN) were monitored near

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two major Dutch waterways, as well as the wind speed and direction. The two sites are

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shown in Fig. 1, which also shows other important waterways in the Netherlands and

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Europe. Also shown is a typical inland water vessel in the Netherlands. The average length

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of these vessels is 110 m with a width of 11 m and a loading capacity of 3,000 tons (IVR,

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2013).

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Figure 1: Important inland waterways in Europe and the Netherlands and the two

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measurement sites: east of the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal (1) and north of the river Waal (2);

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a typical inland water vessel on the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal.

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The first monitoring campaign took place at a site east of the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal,

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four kilometres north of the town Breukelen. The water is kept at a fixed level and there is

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hardly any water flow. Consequently, the average speed (“speed over ground”) of ships is

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similar in both directions. The date of this monitoring campaign was selected because of

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forecasted favourable meteorological conditions for inverse modelling (see: section 2.3):

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wind directions which carried exhaust plumes perpendicularly across the canal, wind

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speeds with limited temporal variability and no rainfall. The monitoring equipment was

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located directly on the side of the canal with the sampling inlet about 4.5m above the

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surface of the water. The distance down-wind of the exhaust plume and the height of the

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exhaust pipe were measured manually on-site with a laser. The speed of each ship was

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retrieved on-line from a website (www.marinetraffic.com).

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The second monitoring campaign was at a site north of the river Waal about seven

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kilometres east of the city of Nijmegen. The Waal is the main of the three distributaries

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that the river Rhine splits into after crossing the Dutch border. Unlike the Amsterdam-

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Rhine Canal, the Waal has a current and consequently ships use more power going

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT upstream than vice versa. The second monitoring campaign was from 25 to 28 July 2013.

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The measurements were taken directly on the side of the river with the sampling inlet

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about 6.5 m above the water surface. In the first monitoring campaign the shipping data

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were measured on-site manually, which is laborious and costly. Therefore, in the second

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monitoring campaign, the relevant data from passing ships were retrieved and stored on-

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line from the Automatic Identification System (AIS). The AIS is compulsory for all ships

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over 300 gross tonnage and reports the GPS position and speed of a ship every second.

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Passing ships were detected automatically, which enabled exhaust plumes from a large

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number of ships to be measured unattended. The meteorological data and shipping data

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were matched after the monitoring campaign to select passing ships during favourable

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meteorological conditions. Only on 28 July were the meteorological conditions favourable

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for downwind plume detection at the monitoring site. Due to the relatively large amount of

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shipping traffic on the Waal exhaust plumes of passing ships mixed regularly and therefore

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from the AIS data, only ships were selected where exhaust plumes of could be detected

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separately. The details of the two monitoring campaigns are summarized in Table 1.

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2.2 Monitoring equipment

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The concentration of the total number of particles (PN) were measured with a condensation

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particle counter – CPC (TSI, type 3775) with a 50% cut-off at 4 nm, a measurement

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frequency of 1 s and an accuracy of ± 10%. Black carbon (BC) concentrations were

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measured with a multi-angle absorption photometer - MAAP (Thermo Scientific, model

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5012) with a temporal resolution of 1 minute and a detection limit of 0.1 µg m-3. The BC

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data were converted to elemental carbon (EC) with a conversion factor of 0.75. This

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correction was applied because the MAAP overestimates EC when compared to

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measurements with the reference thermal-optical method (Petzold and Schönlinner, 2004;

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Chow et al., 2009; Keuken et al., 2013). The meteorological parameters were measured

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with a Vaisala, weather transmitter WXT 510 (www.vaisala.com) for wind speed and

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direction with a response time of 1 s. The distance between the monitoring equipment and

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passing ships was measured manually with a laser during the first monitoring campaign

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(Leica, CRF 1200) with an accuracy of ± 1 m up to 350 m. Hence, the uncertainty due to

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measuring the distances and height of the exhaust pipe is less than 1%. The AIS data on

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passing ships were collected during the second monitoring campaign with an AIS receiver

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(COMAR systems). All the data collected were stored on a laptop computer.

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2.3 Inverse modelling

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The well-known Gaussian plume model provides the following relationship between the

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concentration (C) of a pollutant directly downwind at ground level and the emission factor

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(Q) from a stack emission:

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Q = (C * π * σy * σz * v)/(exp[-1/2 (H/σz)2])

(1)

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with Q in µg s-1, C in µg m-3 and σy and σz the lateral and vertical plume standard

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deviations in m, v the wind speed at height H in m s-1 and H the effective height of the

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plume emission in metres.

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The above equation (1) was used to derive emission factors of EC from the PN and BC

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concentrations measured in the shipping plumes at the monitoring sites during the two

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monitoring campaigns. The background concentrations measured before and after a

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shipping plume passed over the monitoring sites were averaged and subtracted from the

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measured concentrations. The effective plume height was the sum of the exhaust pipe on

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the ship and the plume rise. These were estimated manually by a laser for each ship during

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the first monitoring campaign. The averages were 2.5 m (exhaust pipe) and 4 m (plume

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rise). These figures were also applied to all ships during the second monitoring campaign

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since the fleet composition is similar on both waterways. The plumes downwind of the

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ships may be characterized by the standard deviations of the plume concentrations in the

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lateral and vertical directions (σy and σz). These are a function of the distance downwind of

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the ship and atmospheric stability. The latter can be defined by the Pasquill Stability

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Classes relating to wind speed and cloud cover during daytime (Pasquill, 1971). The

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meteorological conditions (i.e. daytime, half cloud cover and wind speed over 2 m s-1)

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during both monitoring campaigns were similar and classified as class B. The related

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plume standard deviations may be computed from the following equations (2) and (3):

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σy = a * X * exp(b) + c

(2)

σz = α * X * exp(β)

(3)

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with a: 0.038, b: 1.149, c: 3.3, α: 0.275, β: 0.903 and X the downwind distance from the

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ship to the monitoring site (Pasquill, 1971). The results from the two monitoring sites are

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presented in Table 2.

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Because wind directions during the monitoring campaigns were almost perpendicular to

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the two waterways (75o for the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and 60o for the Waal), the ship

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plumes passed over the monitoring sites with the speed of the passing ships. Consequently,

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the concentrations of PN and BC were measured over a cross-section of the passing plume.

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In this cross-section, the concentrations follow a normal distribution in accordance to the

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Gaussian plume model. The width of this cross-section may be estimated from four times

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the lateral dispersion (σy) of a plume at the monitoring locations. The factor “four” takes

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into consideration the fact that 95% of the observations in a normal distribution are

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between the average and plus-and-minus two times the standard deviation. From Table 1, it

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was derived that the width of the plumes during the first monitoring campaign are in the

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order of 48 m: four times the average σy of 9 m and 14 m for northbound and southbound

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ships respectively. For the second monitoring campaign, the width of the plumes was in the

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order of 104 m: four times the average σy of 23 and 28 m for ships moving at the river

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Waal downstream and upstream respectively. Considering the speed of the ships during the

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first and second monitoring campaign – of around 3 and 4 m s-1 respectively – the time for

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the passage of the plumes over the first and second monitoring sites was in the order of 16

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and 26 s respectively.

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The PN measurements were performed at a frequency of once every second, while the BC

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measurements, which were converted to EC concentrations (see: section 2.2) had a

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frequency of once every minute. Hence, the average concentration of EC in the plume may

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be measured but the maximum concentration in the cross-section of the shipping plume

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passing over the monitoring equipment was missing. Since the latter is required for inverse

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modelling with equation (1), the maximum concentration per second of EC (EC-max) was

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inferred from the ratio between the maximum PN peak per second (PN-max) and the

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average PN concentration (PN-avg) by equation 4:

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EC-max = (PN-max/PN-avg) * EC-avg

(4)

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with EC-max and EC-avg in µg m-3, and PN-max and PN-avg in # cm-3. The ratio of the

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maximum and average concentration in the cross-section of a plume is equal for all

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pollutants. Because, this ratio is a function of atmospheric dilution during atmospheric

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transport of the exhaust plume. Dilution (“the size of the plume”) is characterized by sigma

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y and sigma z. It depends on atmospheric conditions and the downwind distance of the

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plume from the exhaust pipe. The concentration of a pollutant in a plume may also change

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by other processes such as condensation or deposition. This is relevant for PN but it is

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assumed that these additional processes both affect PN-max and PN-avg and therefore with

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a limited effect on their ratio. After determining EC-max in each shipping plume, inverse

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modelling was applied

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waterways have been estimated.

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2.4 Shipping emissions and dispersion modelling

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The average emission factors at the two waterways (see: Section 2.3) were combined with

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the number of ships per year to derive emission rates for EC in µg per meter and per

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second for each of the two waterways. In the next step, available data for the energy

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consumption at all waterways in the Netherlands were used to determine emission rates of

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EC for these waterways. Finally, the annual contribution to EC concentrations within 200m

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of the waterways was estimated with a line source model. Further details on the method

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and the uncertainty are provided in the Sections 3.2-3.6.

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and emission factors of EC for individual ships at the two

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

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3.1 PN and BC monitoring data

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The PN and BC concentrations were measured during the two monitoring campaigns. The

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average one-minute results are presented in Figure 2 with the results for EC as converted

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from the BC concentrations, multiplied by ten for presentational reasons. The passage of

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ships during the monitoring campaigns are also indicated..

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Figure 2: One minute average number of particles (#/cm3) (“PN”) and elemental carbon

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(10*ng/m3) (“EC”) during the first (Amsterdam-Rhine Canal) and second (Waal)

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monitoring campaign and passing ships in both directions.

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Fig. 2 illustrates that the plume concentrations near the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal are higher

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than near the Waal mainly because the down-wind distances of the exhaust plume to the

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monitoring site was shorter(see: Table 1). In the first monitoring campaign all passing

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ships were included in the data analysis but in the second campaign specific ships were

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selected from the AIS data. This was required as the shipping intensity at the Waal resulted

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in mixing of exhaust plumes and not all exhaust peaks could be detected due to the larger

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distances to the ships and variability in the wind direction. The data indicate that emissions

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of black carbon and PN vary considerably between ships, as well as the ratio of PN

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emissions to BC emissions. These measurements have been used to determine the EC-max

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per shipping plume as presented in Table 3.

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3.2 EC emission factor per ship

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The PN and EC measurements were combined with shipping data to link the plume

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concentrations to specific ships. After subtracting

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measured before and after a plume passage over the monitoring equipment, the maximum

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and average PN concentration and the average EC concentrations in each plume were

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calculated. Subsequently, the maximum EC concentration in each plume was inferred, as

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described in section 3.1. The maximum EC concentration and the plume characteristics σy

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and σz (see: Section 2.3) for each plume were used to calculate the emission factor per ship

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of EC in µg s-1, using equation (1). The average values are presented in Table 4 for each

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waterway and each shipping direction.

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The average emission factors in both directions at the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal are very

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similar. This was expected because there is hardly any flow in the canal. The average

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emission factor for ships going downstream on the Waal was in line with ships on the

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Amsterdam-Rhine Canal, but by contrast ships travelling upstream on the Waal have

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higher emission factors which is attributed to the use of more engine power.

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The data in Table 4 show a large range in emission factors between ships. For both

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directions on the two waterways, it was found that around 30% of all ships emit over 80%

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of the total emissions. This may be related to parameters such as engine power, the age of

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the engine, maintenance, and loaded versus unloaded vessels. In the Netherlands, the

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BIVAS database has been established which combines traffic and freight data and includes

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shipping activities on all inland waterways in the Netherlands related to the number of

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ships and engine power (http://bivas.chartasoftware.com). Therefore, it is known that the

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number of unloaded ships is considerably less than two-thirds of all vessels, which would

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indicate that “loaded versus unloaded” ships is unlikely to explain the variation in emission

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factors completely. Engine type and maintenance are other likely important factors in

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explaining the variation in emission factors. This indicates that one out of three ships is a

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“gross” polluter. This conclusion has implications for measures to reduce shipping

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emissions by targeting a limited number of ships rather than the whole fleet.

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the background concentrations

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The impact of shipping emissions on air quality near waterways was modelled with a line-

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source model analogous to the dispersion of traffic emissions on air quality near

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motorways (Wesseling et al., 2003; Beelen et al., 2010; Keuken et al., 2012a). As well as

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meteorological parameters, the emission rate for air pollutants is required as an input for

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the model. The emission rate was derived from the product of the emission factor for each

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ship and the number of ships on the waterway during a specific time period. The emission

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rate (E) may be computed from equation 5:

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E = (N/3600 * EF)/V

(5)

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with E in µg m-1 s-1, N the number of ships per hour, EF the emission factor per ship in µg

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s-1 and V the speed over ground of each ship in m s-1. From the BIVAS data base, it was

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known that in 2011 the average numbers of ships on the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and the

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Waal were 105,000 and 175,000 ships, respectively or 12 and 20 ships per hour.

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Subsequently, the average EC emission rates (EEC) at the monitoring sites near the

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Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and the Waal in each shipping direction have been calculated

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using equation 5. The emission factor for each ship (EF in equation 5) was computed as

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described in Section 3.2. The average EC emission rates (EEC) are presented in Table 5.

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The next step was to generalize these derived emission rates at the monitoring sites near

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the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and the Waal in Table 5 to all Dutch waterways. The BIVAS

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data base provided the annual energy consumption for a specific length of a waterway: at

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the monitoring sites near the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal 0.024 TJ m-1 and near the Waal 0.05

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TJ m-1 respectively. Considering the average EC emission rates at both locations in Table

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5, a conversion factor may be derived between EC emission rates and energy consumption.

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At the monitoring sites near the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and the Waal, the conversion

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factors are 0.0074 and 0.0058 µg EC per TJ energy consumption per s. This provides an

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average conversion factor of 0.0066 between annual EC emission rates and energy

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consumption on Dutch inland waterways.

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3.4 Uncertainty of the established emission factors and rates

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The emission factors have been derived from measurements during the two monitoring

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campaigns of about 2% of the total number of Dutch inland vessels. Whether the size of

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this sample was representative for the fleet has been assessed as follows. During the first

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monitoring campaign, twenty seven and twenty eight

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southbound, respectively at the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal were measured. The ships going

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in both directions are assumed to be similar in fleet composition. Also, it is expected that

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the engine load in both directions is similar as there is no current in the canal and the wind

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direction was almost perpendicular to the shipping direction. The similarity in established

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emission factors for both directions at the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal was tested with two

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nonparametric statistical tests: the Wilcoxon’s T-test and Spearman’s correlation

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coefficient. These nonparametric tests have been applied, as the large range in emission

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factors presented in Table 4 suggests that the emission factors may not be normally

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distributed. The result of the Wilcoxon test with a T value of 0.939 at a 95 percentage

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confidence interval, indicates that the emission factors for both shipping directions at the

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Amsterdam-Rhine Canal are similar. Also, the Spearman’s correlation coefficient of 0.999

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shows that the established emission factors in both shipping directions are highly

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correlated. Both statistical tests confirm that there is no difference in emission factors

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derived from two samples of twenty seven and twenty eight

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concluded that the number of fifty five

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adequate to estimate shipping emissions at the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal.

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The uncertainty to apply the established emission factors at other waterways than the

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Amsterdam-Rhine Canal has been investigated as follows.

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Canal, the annual energy consumption is 0.024 TJ m-1 (http://bivas.chartasoftware.com)

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and the average emission rate is 3.2 µg EC m-1.s-1 (see: Table 5). This provides a ratio of

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0.0074 between the energy consumption and the emission rate of EC. This ratio has been

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applied to derive an emission rate of EC for the Waal from its energy consumption of 0.05

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TJ m-1 near the monitoring location. This results in an emission rate of 6.8 µg EC m-1 s-1

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which is 78% of the established emission rate of 8.7 µg EC m-1.s-1 (see: Table 5). From the

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conversion ratios at the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and the Waal, an average conversion ratio

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was established of 0.0066 with a relative standard deviation of 17%. The latter provides an

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estimate of the uncertainty to apply the average conversion factor to all Dutch waterways.

ships. It is therefore

ships in the first monitoring campaign was

At the Amsterdam-Rhine

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ships going northbound and

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3.5 Contribution from inland shipping emissions to EC concentrations near waterways

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The conversion factor was applied to the BIVAS data base on energy consumption to

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derive the annual average EC emission rates from inland waterways in the Netherlands.

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These emission rates were projected at two line sources for each waterway as an input for

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT the line-source model (Wesseling et al., 2003; Beelen et al., 2010; Keuken et al., 2012a). It

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is based on a Gaussian plume model which takes into account vehicle-induced turbulence,

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the upwind roughness of the terrain and atmospheric stability. This model for road traffic

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was applied to model the dispersion of black carbon shipping emissions but the vehicle-

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induced turbulence was not included in the model. For canals, the emission rates of the two

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line sources are similar while for rivers the emission rates differ for upstream and

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downstream ships in accordance with the results for the Waal. The annual contribution to

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EC concentrations were modelled for the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and the Waal in 2011.

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The results are presented as a function of the distance to the middle of the waterway in

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Figure 3. For the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal, the line-sources are situated at 35 m and 60 m

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from the eastern bank of the waterway and for the Waal at 165 m (downstream) and 195 m

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(upstream) from the northern bank of the waterway. The reason that the down-wind

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distances of the exhaust pipe to the monitoring stations in Table 2 are longer than the

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distances of the line sources to the board of the waterway, is the angle between the wind

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direction and the orientation of the waterway was not exactly perpendicular during the two

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campaigns (see: Table 1) but 75o (Amsterdam-Rhine Canal) and 60o (Waal),

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Figure 3: The annual average contribution of shipping emissions to EC concentrations in

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µg m-3 on both sides of the Waal (left = north; right = south) and the Amsterdam-Rhine

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Canal (left = west; right = east) in 2011; straight (Waal) and dotted (Amsterdam-Rhine

355

Canal) lines indicate the banks of both waterways.

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Fig. 3 illustrates that the contribution of shipping emissions to air quality is not identical on

358

both sides of the two waterways as a result of prevailing wind directions and wind speeds

359

in the Netherlands. Accordingly, the impact on air quality is different north and south of

360

the Waal, and east and west of the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal. Fig. 3 also shows that the

361

concentration of shipping emissions beyond 200 m of the banks of the waterways is less

362

than 5% of the concentrations in the middle of the waterway. Hence, the contribution of

363

shipping emissions beyond 200 m from the waterway to the annual average concentrations

364

of EC may be regarded as insignificant. Using the line-source model, the contribution of

365

shipping emissions to annual average EC at each residential address within 200 m of the

366

inland waterways was calculated for the year 2011. The results at a spatial resolution of

367

25*25 m for each household are shown in Figure 4 for busy Dutch waterways. Busy

368

waterways in this study being defined as having - according to the BIVAS database - 78%

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of the total emissions from inland shipping in the Netherlands. These waterways represent

370

8% of the total length of waterways and 140 000 people live within 200 m of these

371

waterways. The black carbon emissions at these busy waterways are over 3 µg EC per s

372

per km, as derived from this study.

373

Figure 4: Additional annual average EC concentrations in µg m-3 for the population living

375

within 200 m of busy Dutch waterways. and the measurement sites near the Amsterdam-

376

Rhine Canal (1) and the Waal (2).

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Fig. 4 illustrates that near the Waal the additional on annual average EC concentrations is

379

in the range of 0.2 to 0.3 µg m-3 while further downstream and near the Amsterdam-Rhine

380

Canal the contribution is in the range of 0.01 to 0.1 µg m-3 EC. In Figure 5, the percentages

381

of the population are presented in accordance with different levels of additional EC

382

concentrations due to shipping emissions.

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383 384

Figure 5: The percentage of households (%) within 200 m from busy waterways in the

385

Netherlands exposed to additional annual average EC (µg m-3) due to shipping emissions.

386

4.

387

A method has been presented to derive EC emission factors for individual ships and EC

388

emission ratesfrom inland waterways. The method is based on downwind measurements

389

of PN and black carbon which were converted to EC concentrations in shipping plumes

390

near waterways followed by inverse modelling. In this approach, it is assumed that

391

atmospheric dilution of PN and BC is similar in the few minutes of transport time from the

392

ship’s exhaust pipe to the monitoring location. Cooling of the exhaust plume will result in

393

particle formation (Fernández-Camacho et al., 2010) and change in PN concentration other

394

than dilution. However, it is assumed that this process does not affect significantly the

395

ratio of the maximum and average PN concentrations which enables to infer the maximum

396

EC concentration in the plume from PN and BC measurements.

397

The method was applied near the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and the Waal in the Netherlands

398

during two monitoring periods under specific meteorological conditions (e.g. wind speeds

399

of over 2 m s-1 and a wind direction almost perpendicular to the waterway). Despite the

400

more labour-intensive strategy in the first campaign to collect on-site shipping data, it is

401

preferred over the automatic AIS system in the second campaign near a waterway with

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CONCLUSION

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403

ships which is mainly attributed to differences in engine age and maintenance. The average

404

emission factors were 4.1 and 6.6 mg EC per s for ships going downstream and upstream

405

on the Waal and 3.6 and 3.8 mg EC per s for southbound and northbound ships on the

406

Amsterdam-Rhine Canal. The reproducibility of the method was better than 96% as

407

estimated from the emission factors derived separately for southbound and northbound

408

ships on the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal. The accuracy was 78% based on comparison of the

409

emission rates for the Waal by the method presented and by energy consumption.

410

The energy consumption data for busy Dutch waterways was converted into annual

411

average emission rates for EC. These emission rates were used as an input for a line source

412

model to calculate the contribution

413

concentrations up to 200 m from busy waterways. The shipping volume and the distance of

414

ships to the bank of a waterway are important parameters for the air quality near

415

waterways. The Waal, with about 175,000 ships per year, is the busiest waterway in the

416

Netherlands with an EC emission rate similar to that of a motorway with more than

417

120,000 vehicles per day. However, the distance of the ships from the bank of the river is

418

in the order of 135 m and therefore shipping emissions are considerably dispersed before

419

reaching the side of the waterway. The contribution to air quality near a waterway ranged

420

from 0.2 to 0.3 µg m-3 EC for a busy but wide waterway (360 m) such as the river Waal,

421

and from 0.01 to 0.1 µg m-3 EC for a less busy but relatively narrow waterway (110 m)

422

such as the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal.

423

The emissions factors measured in this study were compared to the emission factors used

424

in the official Netherlands emission inventory where an average emission rate of 36 kg

425

PM10 per TJ is applied for inland shipping (BIVAS). With an average contribution of 40%

426

EC in exhaust PM in diesel engines for road traffic, this would result in an emission rate of

427

9 kg EC per TJ or 14.4 µg EC m-1.s-1 at the Waal. This is about 50% higher than in this

428

study. PM emissions are known to be uncertain and a 50% discrepancy is not extreme.

429

However, it suggests that our exposure calculations will be a lower estimate, as the

430

emission factors used were lower than currently in-use emission factors. Therefore,

431

monitoring EC concentrations near waterways, as well as additional emission factor

432

measurements are recommended to verify the modelling results in this study.

433

Emission standards for shipping still lag behind the strict standards in place for road

434

transport. Such measures could be the introduction of LNG and low(er) sulphur content

435

fuels in this sector. In view of the relatively limited number of ships that likely cause more

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of shipping emissions on annual average EC

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than 80% of the EC emissions, identifying and targeting “gross” polluters may be another

437

successful mitigation option. Follow-up research is recommended to detect these gross

438

polluters and understand the cause for their relatively high emissions. The long-term

439

monitoring of EC concentrations in cities near busy waterways with docking locations for

440

inland ships is also recommended to determine the actual exposure of people.

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5.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

443

This work was supported by The Netherlands Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment

444

and the 7th European Framework project: TRANSPHORM directed to emissions,

445

dispersion and health impact of transport-related PM (Grant Agreement No. 243406).

446

We gratefully thank Ernst Bolt of the Ministry for Infrastructure and Environment

447

(Rijkswaterstaat Water, Verkeer en Leefomgeving) for access to the BIVAS data.

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6.

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451 452

Bond, T.C., Doherty, S.J., Fahey, D.W., Forster, P.M., et al., 2013. Bounding the role of

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Chow, J.C., Watson, J.G., Doraiswamy, P., Antony Chen, L-W, Sodeman, D.A.,

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Eyring, V., Köhler, H.W., van Aardenne, J., Lauer, A., 2005. Emissions from international

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Grainger, R.G., Moldanova, J., Schlager, H., Stevenson D.S., 2010. Transport impacts

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Fernández-Camacho, R., Rodríguez, S., de la Rosa, J., Sánchez de la Campa, A.M., Viana,

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M., Alastuey, A., Querol, X., 2010. Ultrafine particle formation in the inland sea

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breeze airflow in Southwest Europe. Atmopsheric Chemistry and Physics, 10, 9615-

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Hulskotte, J., Denier van der Gon, H.A.C., 2010a. Fuel consumption and associated

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emissions from seagoing ships at berth derived from an on-board survey. Atmospheric

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Environment 44, 1229-1236

485 486

Hulskotte, J., Denier van der Gon, H.A.C., 2010b. Methodologies for estimating shipping emissions in the Netherlands. RIVM, Bilthoven, the Netherlands. BOP-report

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http://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/500099012.pdf

489

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IVR,

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IVR



Total

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Keuken, M.P., Henzing, J.S., Zandveld, P., Elshout van den, S., Karl, 2012a. Dispersion of

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the Netherlands. Atmospheric Environment 54, 320-327

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Keuken, M.P., Jonkers, S., Zandveld, P., Voogt, M., Elshout van den, S., 2012b. Elemental

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health. Atmospheric Environment 61, 1-8

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Visschedijk, A., Elshout van den, S., Panteliadis, P., Velders, G.J.M., 2013. Modelling

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elemental carbon at regional, urban and traffic locations in the Netherlands.

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512

emissions from a low-speed marine diesel engine. Aersol Science and Technology 41,

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Focsa, C., 2009. Characterisation of particulate matter and gaseous emissions from a

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large ship diesel engine. Atmospheric Environment 43, 2632-2641

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Pasquill, F., 1971. Atmospheric dispersion of pollution. Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 97, 369-395

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Petzold, A., Schönlinner, M., 2004. Multi-angle absorption photometry – a new method for

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the measurement of aerosol absorption and atmospheric black carbon. Aerosol Science

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35, 421-441

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Petzold, A., Hasselbach, J., Lauer, P., Baumann, R., Franke, K., Gurk, C., Schlager, H.,

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Weingartner, E., 2008. Experimental studies on particle emissions from cruising ship,

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their characteristic properties, transformation and atmospheric lifetime in the marine

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boundary layer. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8, 2387-2403

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535 536 537 538 539 540 541

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Tzannatos, E., 2010. Ship emissions and their externalities for the port of Piraeus – Greece. Atmospheric Environment 44, 400-407

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Trozzi, C. and De Lauretis, R., 2013. International navigation, national navigation, national

Wesseling, J.P., Visser, G.Th., 2003. An inter-comparison of the TNO Traffic Model, field data and wind tunnel measurements. TNO, Utrecht, The Netherlands. Report 2003/207

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Table 1: Details of the two monitoring campaigns near the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal and

544

the river Waal.

545 First campaign

Second campaign Waal river

547

Waterway

Amsterdam-Rhine Canal

548

Width/Orientation

110 m/north-south

549

Current

550

Monitoring period

07-09-2012; 09-15 h

551

Wind direction/speed

240-270o/3 m s-1

552

Collection shipping data

553

Number of ships/direction

554

Shipping speed

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360 m/east-west 0.5-1.5 m s-1

none

27 (N-S)/28 (S-N) 3.2 m s-1

555 556

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185-250o/2.7 m s-1 automatic (AIS)

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manual (on-site)

28-07-2013; 09-18 h

24 (down-stream)/15 (up-stream) 4.4 m s-1 (down)/ 3.7 m s-1 (up)

Table 2: Distances of the exhaust plume downwind from the passing ships to the

558

monitoring equipment (X) in m and the lateral (σy) and vertical (σz) dispersion in m of

559

shipping plumes at the monitoring sites during the first and second monitoring campaigns.

561

X

σy

σz

(m)

(m)

(m)

563

first campaign (northbound)

51

9

7

564

first campaign (southbound)

76

14

9

565

second campaign (downstream)

233

38

23

566

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second campaign (upstream)

277

44

28

567 568 569 570

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Table 3: The measured maximum PN, average PN and average EC concentrations (PN-

572

max, PN-avg and EC-avg) and the inferred maximum EC (EC-max) in the shipping plumes

573

(n) near the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal (ARC) and the Waal.

574 575

average and 10th-90th percentile

576

ARC

577

(n=55)

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Waal (n=39)

578

PN-max (# cm-3)

580

PN-avg (# cm-3)

581

Ratio

582

EC-avg (µg m-3)

22,044 (8,555-41,879)

18,483 (10,431-31,525)

14,812 (5,803-27,855)

2.9 (1.2-5.4) 1.6 (0.6-2.8)

-3

EC-max (µg m )

4.2 (1.4-7.6)

584 585

1.5 (1.1-2.1)

0.7 (0.3-1.0)

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53,712 (14,887-133,199)

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1.0 (0.4-1.7)

586

Table 4: The average and range of emission factors for EC of ships on the Amsterdam-

587

Rhine Canal (ARC) and the Waal.

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EC (µg s-1) per ship

589

number of ships

590

(n)

average

27

3,800

300 – 11,000

28

4,000

400 – 11,000

10th - 90th percentile

ARC (northbound)

592

ARC (southbound)

593

Waal (downstream)

24

4,100

500 – 16,400

594

Waal (upstream)

15

6,600

500 – 23,500

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Table 5: The average number of ships N in # h-1, speed V in m s-1 and emission rates EEC in

597

µg m-1 s-1 for the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal (ARC) and the Waal in 2011.

598

N

V

(# h-1)

600

EEC

(m s-1)

601

ARC (northbound)

6

3.8

602

ARC (southbound)

6

3.6

ARC (total)

12

3.7

604

Waal (downstream)

10

4.4

605

Waal (upstream)

10

3.7

606

Waal (total)

20

4.1

1.5

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(µg m-1 s-1)

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599

1.7

3.2

2.7

6.0

8.7

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Figure 5: The percentage of households (%) within 200 m from busy waterways in the Netherlands exposed to additional annual average EC (µg m-3) due to shipping emissions.

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Figure 1: Important inland waterways in Europe and the Netherlands and the two measurement sites: east of the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal (1) and north of the river Waal (2); a typical inland water vessel on the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal.

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Figure 2: One minute average number of particles (#/cm3) (“PN”) and elemental carbon (10*ng/m3) (“EC”) during the first (Amsterdam-Rhine Canal) and second (Waal) monitoring campaign and passing ships in both directions.

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Figure 3: The annual average contribution of shipping emissions to EC concentrations in µg m-3 on both sides of the Waal (left = north; right = south) and the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal (left = west; right = east) in 2011; straight (Waal) and dotted (Amsterdam-Rhine Canal)

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lines indicate the banks of both waterways.

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Figure 4: The impact of shipping emissions to EC concentrations in µg m-3 on the population living within 200 m of Dutch waterways with more than 3 µg EC emissions per m and per s. The measurement sites are also indicated near the Amsterdam-Rhine Canal (1) and the Waal (2).

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Inland shipping important source of black carbon emissions



Additional annual average black carbon near busy waterways up to 0.5µg EC per m3



30% of the ships contribute to 80% of the total shipping emissions

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