Accepted Manuscript Implications of seasonal control of PM2.5-bound PAHs: An integrated approach for source apportionment, source region identification and health risk assessment Sihong Chao, Jianwei Liu, Yanjiao Chen, Hongbin Cao, Aichen Zhang PII:
S0269-7491(18)34249-0
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2018.12.074
Reference:
ENPO 12014
To appear in:
Environmental Pollution
Received Date: 19 September 2018 Revised Date:
23 December 2018
Accepted Date: 23 December 2018
Please cite this article as: Chao, S., Liu, J., Chen, Y., Cao, H., Zhang, A., Implications of seasonal control of PM2.5-bound PAHs: An integrated approach for source apportionment, source region identification and health risk assessment, Environmental Pollution (2019), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.envpol.2018.12.074. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
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coal combustion
vehicle emission
RH
petroleum volatilization, natural gas and biomass combustion
Spring
Autumn
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Summer
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O3
Rainfall
Heating season
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Source apportionment by PMF Source region analysis by PSCF-CPF
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PM2.5-bound PAHs
source-attributed cancer risk was a better index for ranking priority control sources
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Title Page Implications of seasonal control of PM2.5-bound PAHs: An integrated
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approach for source apportionment, source region identification and
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health risk assessment
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Sihong Chao#, Jianwei Liu#, Yanjiao Chen, Hongbin Cao*, Aichen Zhang
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Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
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#
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authors
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These authors contributed equally to this work and should be regarded as co-first
9 E-mail address:
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Sihong Chao:
[email protected]
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Jianwei Liu:
[email protected]
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Yanjiao Chen:
[email protected]
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Aichen Zhang:
[email protected]
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* Corresponding author: Hongbin Cao
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Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
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E-mail address:
[email protected].
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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Implication of seasonal control of PM2.5-bound PAHs: An integrated approach
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for source apportionment, source region identification and health risk
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assessment
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Abstract: PM2.5-bound PAHs are ubiquitous in urban atmospheres and are characterized as
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carcinogenic, teratogenic and mutagenic upon inhalation. A total of 218 daily PM2.5 samples were
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collected during one year in the urban district of Beijing, China. Analysis showed that the annual
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mean concentration of total PAHs (TPAHs) was 66.2 ng/m3, with benzo(a)pyrene (BaP)
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accounting for 12.4%. High-molecular-weight (HMW, 4-6 rings) PAHs were the dominant
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components. Seasonal TPAH concentrations decreased in the order of heating season (156 ng/m3) >
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autumn (20.4 ng/m3) > spring (16.0 ng/m3) > summer (12.5 ng/m3) and were related to
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meteorological conditions and source emission intensity. The source-attributed mass contribution
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and source regions of three sources (i.e., (1) vehicle emissions; (2) coal combustion; and (3)
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petroleum volatilization, natural gas and biomass combustion) were identified by integrating the
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positive matrix factorization (PMF), potential source contribution function (PSCF) and conditional
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probability function (CPF). Vehicle emissions contributed the most mass (54.6%), followed by
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coal combustion (29.8%), on an annual basis. Combined with actual regional emissions, vehicle
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emissions were mainly derived from local sources, while coal combustion mainly came from
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regional transport from surrounding areas. Vehicle emissions and coal combustion have much
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higher mass contributions in the heating season. The source-attributed cancer risk was further
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evaluated based on source profiles and inhalation unit risk. Vehicle emissions contributed the
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largest risk (2.8×10-6, accounting for 71%) as a result of 30 years of exposure for local residents,
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exceeding the acceptable level (10-6). The heating season showed the most risk, especially in
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response to vehicle emissions and coal combustion. Overall, the source-attributed cancer risk was
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regarded as the better index for the development of a control strategy of PM2.5-bound PAHs for
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protecting residents. Based on this index, priority control sources in each season were identified to
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supply a more effective management solution.
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Capsule
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An integrated PMF-PSCF-CPF model was proposed to decrease the uncertainty of quantitative
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source apportionment of PM2.5-bound PAHs and identify potential source regions, and
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priority control sources of PM2.5-bound PAHs.
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Keywords
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PAHs, Seasonal variation, Positive matrix factorization, Source-attributed cancer risk, Source
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region
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1. Introduction
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PAHs are ubiquitous in urban atmospheres. Low-molecular-weight (LMW) PAHs are
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predominantly present in the gaseous phase. With the increase of molecular weight, PAHs tend to
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exist in particulate phase (Chen et al., 2018). PM2.5 (aerodynamic dia. ≤2.5 µm)-bound PAHs can
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penetrate deep into the lungs and blood streams unfiltered, inducing various adverse effects on the
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human body, such as causing skin, bladder, lung and kidney cancer (Armstrong et al., 2004; Abbas
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et al., 2018; Zhang et al., 2009). PAHs can be derived from multiple sources of predominantly
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incomplete combustion and pyrogenic decomposition, such as coal combustion, vehicle emissions,
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coking, biomass burning, and petroleum volatilization (Wang et al., 2013; Peng et al., 2011). It is
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important to identify the sources, potential source regions, and health risk contributions for the
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efficient control of PAH emissions from different sources.
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Multiple methods can be used to identify these sources (Larsen et al., 2003). For example,
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positive matrix factorization (PMF) has many advantages over other methods (e.g., principal
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component analysis (PCA), principal component analysis/absolute principal component scores
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(PCA/APCS), Unmix and chemical mass balance (CMB)), such as applying non-negative
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constraints to the factor matrixes, setting up uncertainty profiles of the input data, presenting no
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limitations on source numbers, requiring no specific emission profiles of sources prior to analysis,
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and allowing better treatment of missing values or values below the detection limit (Paatero and
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Tapper, 1993; Heo et al., 2009; Gao et al., 2014). Thus, PMF has been widely used in the source
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apportionment of atmospheric PAHs (Callén et al., 2014; Liu et al., 2015; Yu et al., 2018). Because
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atmospheric PAHs can reach the receptor site via regional transport (Lang et al., 2008; Macdonald
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et al., 2000; Sofowote et al., 2011), to improve pollutant emission management, source region
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identification according to the conditional probability function (CPF) and the potential source
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contribution function (PSCF) is essential but has rarely been reported in the above studies.
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Furthermore, combined with the actual source emissions, the CPF and PSCF are useful tools for
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validating the PMF results (Wang et al, 2016; Sofowote et al., 2011; Chen et al., 2016). Different PAH sources can release distinct profiles. Low-molecular-weight (LMW, 2-3 rings)
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PAHs originate mainly from volatilized oil (De Luca et al., 2004; Marr et al., 1999; Liu et al.,
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2015). Large amounts of 3-4 ring PAHs are released mainly from coal combustion (Bragato et al.,
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2012; Larsen and Baker, 2003) and biomass combustion (Sun et al, 2018). Higher concentrations
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of high-molecular-weight (HMW, 4-6 rings) PAHs are emitted from vehicles than from other
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sources (Harrison et al., 1996; Guarieiro et al., 2014; Marr et al., 1999). Different PAH species
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possess different toxicities (Nisbet and LaGoy, 1992), and 16 PAHs have been listed as priority
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pollutants by the US EPA (see Table 1). Among them, seven HMW PAH compounds have been
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classified
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benzo(b)fluoranthene,
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indeno(1,2,3-cd)pyrene (USEPA, 2002, 2008). Consequently, even when the mass contribution to
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PM2.5-bound PAHs of one source is the same as another, their contribution to health risk may be
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substantially different because of the variability in emission profile. Therefore, the
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source-attributed health risk, rather than the source-specific mass contribution, is vital to
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determining the priority of emission sources for control and management in terms of protecting
human
carcinogens:
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benz(a)anthracene,
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benzo(k)fluoranthene,
chrysene,
benzo(a)pyrene,
dibenz(ah)anthracene,
and
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public health (Liu et al, 2018).
Seasonal variations of PAHs have been widely reported (Callén et al., 2014; Kong et al., 2010;
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Ma et al., 2018). These studies focused on PAH concentrations, sources, atmospheric behavior and
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interactions under specific source emission and meteorological conditions. However, the
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source-attributed health risk in different seasons has received little attention.
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Beijing suffers from serious atmospheric PAH pollution, which has led to health burdens in
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recent years, especially during cold or heating seasons (Cao et al., 2018; Lin et al., 2015; Yin et al.,
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2018). Source apportionment indicated that coal combustion, vehicle emission and biomass
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burning were the main sources due to the high fossil fuel consumption and large number of
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vehicles in the region (Lin et al., 2015; Yin et al., 2018; Yu et al., 2018). The above studies mainly
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focused on severe pollution periods, such as haze days or the heating season (Cao et al., 2018; Yin
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et al., 2018; Zhang et al., 2017a), specific months (Jiang et al., 2009) or major events, such as the 4
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APEC meeting (Xie et al., 2017; Yu et al., 2018; Zhang et al., 2017b) and the Beijing Olympic
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Games (Wang et al., 2011), seldom covering an entire year or the whole seasons, and the missing
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information will inevitably hinder accurate source apportionment and health risk assessment as
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well as the realization of providing priority control emission sources strategies for different
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seasons. This study investigated 16 priority PAHs bound on PM2.5 in a typical urban site in Beijing,
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China. A total of 218 daily PM2.5 samples were collected, covering all months for a one-year
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period in 2016. The uncertainty of the source apportionment was reduced by the application of the
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PMF-PSCF-CPF model. Seasonal variations of PAHs in terms of concentration, source, and
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source mass contribution were systematically analyzed. Finally, the source-attributed health risks
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in different seasons were estimated and the priority control sources in each season were
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determined.
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2. Materials and Methods
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2.1 Sampling site and sample collection
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Beijing is a typical northern mega-city in China with 21.73 and 12.48 million inhabitants in
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the entire administrative district and urban district, respectively, and the number of motor vehicles
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reached 5.72 million in 2016 (BMBS., 2017). The sampling site was a typical urban site under the
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impact of residential, traffic and commercial activities (see Fig. S1). In Beijing, the heating season
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spans from the middle of November to the middle of the following March, during which each day
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has analogous meteorological conditions and energy use structures. Therefore, the entire year was
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divided into four seasons, namely, heating season (Jan. 1st to Mar. 15th and Nov. 15th to Dec. 31st),
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spring (Mar. 16th to May 31st), summer (Jun. 1st to Aug. 31st) and autumn (Sep. 1st to Nov. 14th).
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The PM2.5 sampling method is described in detail in our previous study (Liu et al., 2018). In
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brief, a total of 218 daily PM2.5 samples were collected from Jan. 14th to Dec. 31st in 2016 by a
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high-volume aerosol sampler (TH-1000CⅡ, Wuhan Tianhong Co., Wuhan, China), except for the
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days of extreme weather events, sampler failure and cleaning. A quartz-fiber filter (QFF;
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area=8×10 in) was used for daily sampling. The PM2.5 mass was determined by weighing the QFF
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before and after sampling using an electronic analytical balance with an accuracy of 0.01 mg 5
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(AX205, Mettler-Toledo International Trading Co., Ltd.).
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2.2 Chemical analysis Each filter was cut into small pieces, which were then extracted with n-hexane and acetone
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(1:1, v/v). Then, the extracts were concentrated using a vacuum rotary evaporator (R-201, IKA,
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Germany) before being transferred to an alumina silica gel column for purification. The
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pretreatment of samples followed the procedure introduced in our previous study (Cao et al., 2016)
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(see Supporting Information (Text S1) for the details). The 16 PAHs (Table 1) were detected using
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a gas chromatograph with a mass spectrometer detector (Bruker 450GC-320MS). A mix of
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internal standard PAHs (2-fluoro-1,1’-biphenyl and Phenanthrene-d10, each 0.2 µg/mL in
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n-hexane) was used for quantification. The IDL (Instrumental Detection Limits), MDL (Method
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Detection Limits) and blank of each PAH congener are shown in Table S1 (Supporting
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Information). A mixture of deuterated surrogate compounds, including anthracene-D10,
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chrysene-D12 and perylene-D12, was used to determine the recovery ratio. The PAH recoveries of
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the surrogates and the sixteen PAHs standard-spiked matrix recoveries were all within the
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acceptable range from 70% to 130%.
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2.3 PMF method
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The EPA PMF model (PMF 5.0, USEPA, 2014) was applied to 218 samples to identify the
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main PAH source profiles and quantify their contributions. NAP was not used in the PMF model
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for more undetectable values. Further details on parameter determination and species
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categorization by data quality were included in our previous study (Cao et al., 2016). Overall,
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three-factor analysis yielded the most robust run, and the detailed dataset and calibration
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parameters for the PAHs are provided in Tables S2-3. Model uncertainties were estimated using
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displacement (DISP) error estimation and bootstrap (BS) error estimation (Tables S4-5). The
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correlation between the observed and predicted values is shown in Fig. S2.
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2.4 Regional and directional contributions of apportioned sources
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PSCF and CPF methods were employed to identify the contributions of apportioned sources
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of PM2.5-bound PAHs on regional and directional scales, respectively. These methods have been 6
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT introduced in detail in our previous study (Liu et al., 2018). In brief, air mass trajectories were
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calculated in the selected domain over the sampling period and the PSCF value was the proportion
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of trajectory endpoints that exceeded criteria out of the total number of trajectory endpoints for
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each domain cell. Likewise, the CPF value was the proportion of the number of hours during
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which wind moved from one direction sector that exceeded the criterion out of the total number of
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hours during which wind moved from the same sector. Related parameters and applicability for
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these two methods are included in the Supporting Information (Text S2).
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2.5 Source-attributed cancer risk
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The source-attributed health risk of PAHs, i.e., the incremental lifetime lung cancer risk
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(ILCR) of PAHs attributed to a specific source, was evaluated based on source profiles and
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inhalation unit risk (IUR=6×10-7 per ng/m3 via inhalation exposure) (USEPA, 2017). The general
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residents of Beijing were taken as the evaluation objects. It was assumed that PM2.5-bound PAHs
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were maintained at the current level for the next 30 years (USEPA, 2009). Cancer risks caused by
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long-term exposure to PAHs emitted by individual sources via the inhalation pathway were
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evaluated based on the models developed by the US EPA (US EPA, 2011). The detailed
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calculation method and parameters of ILCR are provided in the Supporting Information (Text S3).
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2.6 Meteorological parameters, point-source distribution and statistical methods
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Daily surface meteorological data, including temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), O3,
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wind speed (WS) and wind direction (WD), were used for the correlation analysis. WS and WD
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were also used for the CPF analysis. Reanalysis meteorological data were used in the PSCF
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analysis. Point-source data, including fire points of straw burning, coal-fired thermoelectric plants
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and petrochemical plants, were simulated using spatial distribution by vectoring in ArcMap
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(ESRI® ArcGIS 10.1). Data sources of the above data are shown in Table S6.
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SPSS (IBM SPSS® software 20.0) was used for statistical analysis, including Pearson
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correlation analysis, one-way ANOVA and LSD test.
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3 Results and Discussion
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3.1. PM2.5 and PAH concentrations
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The annual mean concentration of PM2.5 was 104 ± 70.6 µg/m³, which exceeds the National 7
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Environment, PRC, 2012) and the interim target-1 standard (10 µg/m3) recommended by the WHO.
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In the present study, the annual mean concentration of a total of 16 priority PM2.5-bound PAHs
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(TPAHs) was 66.2 ± 111 ng/m3, which is less than the values reported for cities in northern China,
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e.g., 113 ng/m3 in Beijing (Li et al., 2013) and 174 ng/m3 in Zhengzhou (Wang et al., 2015), but
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much higher than other values measured in Hong Kong (1.9 ng/m3, Liu et al., 2013), Malaysia
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(2.79 ng/m3, Khan, et al., 2015), the USA (3.16 ng/m3, Li et al., 2009; 1.19 ng/m3, Pleil et al., 2004;
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0.78 ng/m3, Fraser et al., 2002), and South Korea (26.3 ng/m3, Park et al., 2002). For individual
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PAHs, HMW PAHs, i.e., BbF, BaP, BghiP, FLA, IcdP, CHR and PYR, were much more abundant
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than LMW PAHs, i.e., NAP, ACY, ACE, FLO and ANT.
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For seasonal trends, the PAH concentration was significantly higher in the heating season
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than in the other three seasons (one-way ANOVA, p < 0.05, see Fig. S3). No significant difference
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was observed among the other three seasons. Overall, the values decreased in the order of heating
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season (156 ng/m3) > autumn (20.4 ng/m3) > spring (16.0 ng/m3) > summer (12.5 ng/m3). This
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trend is consistent with those reported in previous studies in northern China (Ma et al., 2018;
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Zhang et al., 2016a; Yan et al., 2017) and other cities in the world (Callén et al., 2014; Sin et
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al.,2003; Lodovici et al., 2003). As shown in Fig. 1 and from the Pearson correlation analysis
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(Table S7), meteorological factors (T, WS and O3) may have a critical influence on the
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concentration of atmospheric PAHs; the other impact factor was seasonal variation in sources. The
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detailed discussion is provided in Section 3.4.
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As a carcinogenic congener, BaP ranks eighth in ATSDR’s substance priority list (SPL,
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updated 2017) due to its frequency of occurrence, high toxicity and potential threat to human
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health (https://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/spl/). In our study, its annual mean concentration was 8.19
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ng/m3, accounting for 12.4% of TPAHs. The mean BaP concentration was much higher in the
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heating season (20.4 ng/m3) than those in other seasons (spring: 1.59 ng/m3; summer: 0.84 ng/m3;
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and autumn: 1.85 ng/m3). Moreover, BaP concentration exceeded the class-2 limit of 1 ng/m3
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recommended by NAAQS, especially during the heating season.
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3.2 Source identification of PAHs using diagnostic ratios
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related to different sources. Four diagnostic ratios were chosen, and the value ranges of different
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sources were determined by referring to several widely cited references (Zhang et al., 2015;
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Yunker et al., 2002; Liu et al., 2009) (Fig. 2). For the one-year samples, the ratios of
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FLA/(FLA+PYR) were mostly greater than 0.5 and those of BaA/(BaA+CHR) were greater than
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0.35, showing that biomass and coal combustion was the largest source of PAHs (Pongpiachan,
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2017a). However, the proportion of mixed source (petroleum or combustion) was non-negligible.
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Moreover, the ratios of ANT/(ANT+PHE) indicated that combustion was the dominant source of
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PAHs. The values of IcdP/(IcdP+BghiP) of most samples between 0.2 and 0.5 suggested that
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liquid fossil fuel combustion was the most abundant source (Pongpiachan, 2017b).
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3.3 Source apportionment of PAHs by PMF
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Full-year PAH data were introduced into the PMF model, and three factors were identified
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(Fig. 3): vehicle emissions (54.6%); coal combustion (29.8%); and volatilization of petroleum,
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natural gas and biomass combustion (15.6%).
Factor 1 explained 54.6% of the total PAHs. The profile was mainly characterized by BbF
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(53%), BkF (92%), BaP (63%), IcdP (88%), DahA (86%) and BghiP (84%). BbF, BkF and BaP are
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markers of gasoline emissions (Ravindra et al., 2008). BghiP is the main tracer of gasoline engines
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(Duval and Friedlander, 1981), and BbF and BkF are markers of diesel emissions (Harrison et al.,
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1996). Guarieiro et al. (2014) also suggested that HMW PAHs can be substantially emitted by
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diesel engines. Therefore, this factor was attributed to vehicle emissions. Although PAHs
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attributed to vehicle emission may be somewhat influenced by regions of Northwest China (Fig.
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4a), local sources were considered the major contributors, as the number of vehicles, the highway
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freight traffic volume, and the highway passenger traffic volume per sq. km. in Beijing are much
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higher than those in Inner Mongolia and Shanxi (Liu et al., 2018). Zhang et al. (2016b) also
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reported that the PAH emission intensity from transportation in the Beijing-Tianjin area was much
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higher than in other areas in North China. The atmospheric PAH emission inventory also
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confirmed this conclusion (Shen et al., 2013). However, because the sampling site is located in an
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urban center with a dense traffic network, PAHs can be released from vehicles in a wide range of
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wind directions, and thus, no dominant contribution directions were identified in the CPF plots
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(Fig. 5a). Factor 2 explained 29.8% of the total PAHs. The profile was mainly characterized by large
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quantities of FLA (52%), PYR (50%), BaA (48%), CHR (49%), BbF (36%), and BaP (30%). FLA
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and PYR are typical markers of coal combustion (Harrison et al., 1996). PYR, BaA, CHR and BaP
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are markers of coal combustion (Larsen and Baker, 2003; Ravindra et al., 2008). Therefore, factor
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2 was attributed to coal combustion. From the PSCF plot (Fig. 4b), areas including northern
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Shannxi, Hebei, Shanxi, and northwestern Inner Mongolia were the potential source regions.
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These areas are well known for large-scale coal industries and contain numerous coal-fired
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thermoelectric plants (Fig. S4). According to the CPF plot (Fig. 5b), coal combustion from WSW,
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SW and NNE were the major source directions. From these directions, residential coal combustion
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in rural Beijing was the major contributor, although limited residential coal combustion existed
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within urban areas.
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Factor 3 explained 15.6% of the total PAHs. This factor mainly consisted of FLO (96%),
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PHE (76%), ANT (94%), FLA (23%), and PYR (19%). FLO, PHE, ANT and FLA are LMW PAHs
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and likely originate from petroleum spills (Hu et al., 2013). PHE, FLA and PYR are markers of
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biomass combustion (McGrath et al., 2001; Singh et al., 2013). Jenkins et al. (1996) suggested that
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high concentrations of PHE may be related to biomass burning. FLO, PHE, ANT and PYR are
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related to natural gas combustion (Li et al., 1999). Therefore, factor 3 is attributed to sources
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involving petroleum volatilization, natural gas and biomass combustion. Numerous sub-sources
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can contribute to this source. Petrol stations and petrochemical plants can volatilize PAHs (mainly
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LMW PAHs) during refueling and transportation processes. Natural gas is burned for residential
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cooking and heating, public transportation (e.g., compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquified
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natural gas (LNG) buses) and petrochemical plants in Beijing. Straw burning is also an important
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sub-source of this factor. The only large petrochemical plant (Yanshan Petrochemical) in Beijing is
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located southwest of the sampling site (Fig. S4). The contribution from this direction was limited,
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as the CPF value was only 0.23 (Fig. 5c); therefore, this source is considered to be influenced by
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these sub-sources jointly at the local scale. The PSCF plot (Fig. 4c) and the spatial distribution of
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straw burning (Fig. S5) suggest that Beijing exhibits limited biomass burning, whereas regional
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transport from surrounding areas, i.e., Hebei, Shandong, Henan and Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, was
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identified as a major contribution. Zhang et al. (2016b) also indicated the contribution of biomass
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burning to Beijing-Tianjin mainly from surrounding areas based on emission inventory and
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back-trajectory analysis.
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3.4 Seasonal variations in source-attributed mass contributions Seasonal source-attributed mass contributions of PM2.5-bound PAHs were also analyzed (Fig.
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6 and Fig. S6). Seasonal trends mainly depend on differences in meteorological conditions and
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source emission intensities among different seasons and hence vary from season to season (Zhang
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et al., 2017b). In the heating season, the mass contribution of each source was higher than that in
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the other seasons (i.e., spring, summer and autumn), particularly for vehicle emissions and coal
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combustion.
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Low temperature in the heating season can impact the PAHs gas/particle distribution, and
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PAHs tend to exist in particle phase (Tasdemir et al., 2007; Tsapakis et al., 2005). Adverse
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horizontal and vertical diffusion in the heating season can also lead to high PAH concentrations
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(Kong et al., 2010; Tang et al., 2016). By contrast, in the other three seasons, as the temperature
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increased, particulate PAHs were easier to volatilize and photo-chemical reaction of PAHs into
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nitro-PAHs and oxy-PAHs was enhanced. O3 is an important oxidant in the photochemical
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degradation of PAHs (Balducci et al., 2018; Khan et al., 2018). A higher average level of O3 (69.5
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µg/m3), compared to 33.5 µg/m3 in the heating season, can further strengthen the photodegradation
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reaction in the other three seasons. Rainfall washout can also reduce the PAH concentration (Kong
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et al., 2010). A higher three-season average daily precipitation (0.9 mm) was observed compared
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to 0.1 mm in the heating season. In addition, a higher WS (0.79 m/s vs. 0.59 m/s) was also
303
exhibited. All the above factors may decrease the concentration of PAHs in these three seasons.
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The above findings were further verified by significant negative correlations (p < 0.01) between
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meteorological factors (i.e., T, WS and O3) and source-attributed daily mass contribution
306
according to correlation analysis in our study (Table S7).
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The source emission intensity was another important influencing factor. The daily average
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mass contribution from vehicle emissions was 102.0 ng/m³ in the heating season, which is
309
approximately 50-fold higher than that in the other three seasons (less than 2. 0 ng/m³). Although
310
the sampling site was located in the urban center and no obvious seasonal variation in traffic 11
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT volume was expected, more PAHs would be emitted due to low combustion efficiency resulting
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from the cold start of motor vehicles and poor performance of the engine exhaust emission control
313
devices under low temperatures during the heating season (Li et al., 2009; Yang et al., 2005; Zhou
314
et al., 2005). Moreover, ratios of (3+4) ring PAHs/(5+6) ring PAHs were commonly used as the
315
indicator of the origin of particulate PAHs in previous studies (Zhang, 2017b; Kong, 2015; Tan,
316
2011). The higher ratio implies a longer distance of transport, while a lower ratio suggests
317
emissions from local areas. In our study, the average ratio was 6.31 in the other three seasons and
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0.83 in winter (heating season). The higher ratio during the other three seasons indicated a longer
319
transport distance of PAHs and a larger emission region than during the other three seasons, while
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the lower ratio in the heating season suggested that most PAHs were likely from local emissions or
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relatively short-range transport. Beijing is a well-known traffic-congested city in China, with over
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5.72 million motor vehicles according to statistical data in 2016 (BMBS, 2017). Therefore, with
323
more relatively local emissions in winter, vehicle emissions were understandably proportionally
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higher than in the other three seasons. In fact, for the same reasons noted above, a higher ratio of
325
winter/summer vehicle emissions contribution has been observed in another study (Wang, 2014).
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In the similar trend, coal combustion contributed a higher concentration of PAHs (48.1 ng/m³)
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in the heating season than in the other three seasons (less than 8 ng/m³). Coal combustion in
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Beijing and northern China was amplified in the heating season for approximately four months.
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Although three of the four largest coal-fired power plants (Gaojing, Shijingshan and Guohua
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coal-fired power plants) have been shut down or converted to natural gas-fired power plants in
331
Beijing, coal is still the major fuel used during the heating season in most parts of North China.
332
Nevertheless, according to the PSCF and CPF plots (Fig. S7 and Fig. S8), southern areas of
333
Beijing were one of the major contributors to coal combustion-attributed PAHs. In addition,
334
residential coal combustion was a major contributor to atmospheric pollutants in these areas
335
(Zhang et al. 2017b), and in view of the high pollutant emission rates under limited control
336
measures (Xue et al., 2016), this source should not be ignored.
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However, the seasonal variation in petroleum volatilization, natural gas and biomass
338
combustion sources was relatively low (spring: 3.9 ng/m³; summer: 9.7 ng/m³; autumn: 8.0 ng/m³;
339
heating season: 17.9 ng/m³). Gas stations can release LMW PAHs and can be regarded as the 12
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT major source of petroleum volatilization in urban areas (Taghvaee et al., 2018). In this study, SSE,
341
S, and SSW from the sampling site were identified as the major contribution directions, which
342
resulted in a large mass contribution of this source in summer due to sector-specific high wind
343
frequencies, high wind speed and the corresponding high average daily concentration of LMW
344
PAHs; see Table S8 and Fig. S9. In 2016, Beijing had three natural gas-fired power stations
345
producing heat and electric power. Statistical data showed that 9.74 billion cubic meters of natural
346
gas (60.8% of total consumption) was consumed for heat and power production in 2016 (BMBS.,
347
2017), and most natural gas was combusted for heat during the heating season
348
(http://www.sohu.com/a/203599512_257724). In addition, the cold start of CNG and LNG buses
349
in the heating season can also increase the contribution (Li et al., 2009; Zhou et al., 2005). As one
350
of the major sources of biomass combustion, straw burning during spring plowing is a universal
351
phenomenon in the surrounding areas of Beijing (Fig. S5). Moreover, from the straw burning
352
distribution, the trend was more intense in spring than in the other seasons in the surrounding areas
353
of Beijing (Fig. S5). Although we cannot separate these sub-sources well, it was speculated that
354
natural gas combustion contributed more during the heating season, biomass combustion during
355
the spring, and petroleum volatilization may contribute the most during the summer.
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3.5 Source-attributed cancer risk
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As shown in Table 2, the annual cancer risk was ranked in order of vehicle emissions (2.8 ×
358
10-6) > coal combustion (7.5 × 10-7) > petroleum volatilization, natural gas and biomass
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combustion (3.8 × 10-7). Vehicle emissions contributed the most to cancer risk (71%) with the
360
highest BaPeq concentration contribution (11.2 ng/m³) due to high HMW PAH (e.g., BkF, BaP,
361
IcdP, DahA, BghiP) emissions. The cancer risk was higher than the acceptable level (1 × 10-6) and
362
showed approximately 34 additional cancer cases in urban Beijing (a total of 1.25 million people
363
in the urban area of Beijing).
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Seasonally, the heating season showed a much higher cancer risk than the other three seasons
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for all three sources due to the higher contribution of BaPeq concentration and the relatively long
366
exposure duration (4 months long) (Fig. 1). Vehicle emissions in the heating season had the largest
367
cancer risk (2.5 × 10-6) and exceeded the acceptable level, followed by coal combustion, which
368
provided a risk close to the acceptable level (5.8 × 10-7). By contrast, cancer risk due to exposure 13
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT in spring, summer and autumn were within the acceptable level, i.e., on the order of 1 × 10-6. For
370
the purpose of protecting public health, the source-attributed cancer risk was set as the criterion in
371
the source control priority ranking in this study, although the corresponding risk was relatively low.
372
The ranking showed that coal combustion in spring, petroleum volatilization, natural gas and
373
biomass combustion in both summer and autumn, as well as vehicle emission in the heating
374
season, were the priority control sources.
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4. Conclusions
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Analysis of 218 daily PM2.5 samples in 2016 showed that the heating season had a much
377
higher PAH concentration, especially HMW PAHs, than the other three seasons because of the
378
seasonal variability in meteorological conditions (WS, T and O3) and source emission intensity.
379
The PMF-PSCF-CPF integrated method has been successfully employed in source apportionment
380
and source region identification, verified by the actual regional emissions. Among the three
381
identified sources, vehicle emissions was the greatest contributor (54.6%) and was mainly
382
influenced by the local scale in the heating season. Coal combustion (29.8%) was mostly
383
explained by regional transport from surrounding areas. Petroleum volatilization, natural gas and
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biomass combustion (15.6%) were influenced by both local and regional transport. The emission
385
control strategy should be refined by season and by source.
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The source-attributed cancer risk was further estimated based on the source profiles by
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season, that is, vehicle emissions (71.2%); coal combustion (19.1%); and petroleum volatilization,
388
natural gas and biomass combustion (9.7%). Vehicle emissions produced a much higher cancer
389
risk contribution than mass contribution due to the high proportion of relatively more toxic PAHs
390
(i.e., BbF, BkF, BaP, IcdP, DahA and BghiP) released by this source. Seasonally, vehicle emissions
391
contributed the least mass with only 8.1% in the summer, while the corresponding cancer risk
392
ranked second and rose to 15%. Thus, to protect public health, the source-attributed cancer risk
393
rather than the mass contribution was considered a better index for the development of a priority
394
source control strategy.
395
Acknowledgements
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (40871231) funded the research. Many 14
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT thanks to Prof. G.F. Wang for his support on samples collection and Prof. X.G. Liu for his sharing
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of surface meteorological data.
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Table 1. Annual and seasonal concentrations (mean ± SD) of PM2.5 (µg/m3), 16 PAHs (ng/m3) and
2
BaPeq (ng/m3) in Beijing.
Abbreviation
PAH
Rings
Annual
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Heating season
(n=218)
(n=55)
(n=47)
(n=38)
(n=78)
0.89 ± 1.87
0.13 ± 0.26
TEFi
Naphthalene
2
0.001
0.31 ± 0.88
0.15 ± 0.32
0.32 ± 0.42
ACY
Acenaphthylene
3
0.001
0.06 ± 0.18
0.00 ± 0.01
0.00 ± 0.00
n.d.
0.16 ± 0.27
ACE
Acenaphthene
3
0.001
0.54 ± 1.31
0.78 ± 1.87
1.49 ± 1.51
0.02 ± 0.11
0.05 ± 0.09
FLO
Fluorene
3
0.001
0.46 ± 2.66
0.85 ± 5.22
0.27 ± 0.45
0.30 ± 0.42
0.38 ± 0.43
PHE
Phenanthrene
3
0.001
3.66 ± 4.30
1.95 ± 2.57
2.07 ± 1.17
2.38 ± 2.49
6.46 ± 5.57
ANT
Anthracene
3
0.01
0.57 ± 1.13
0.31 ± 1.40
0.36 ± 0.22
0.44 ± 0.99
0.95 ± 1.20
FLA
Fluoranthene
4
0.001
6.01 ± 9.34
1.47 ± 2.29
1.28 ± 1.43
2.26 ± 2.53
13.9 ± 11.8
PYR
Pyrene
4
0.001
5.02 ± 7.96
1.21 ± 2.04
0.90 ± 1.26
1.82 ± 2.10
11.75 ± 10.0
BaA
Benz(a)anthracene
4
0.1
4.17 ± 7.02
0.89 ± 2.16
0.38 ± 1.33
0.99 ± 1.31
10.3 ± 8.58
CHR
Chrysene
4
0.01
5.66 ± 8.87
1.47 ± 3.10
0.74 ± 2.05
1.98 ± 2.43
13.4 ± 10.7
BbF
Benzo(b)fluoranthene
5
0.1
14.1 ± 24.3
3.65 ± 6.78
2.34 ± 6.02
5.07 ± 5.32
33.0 ± 32.1
BkF
Benzo(k)fluoranthene
5
0.1
4.36 ± 8.67
0.31 ± 2.27
0.32 ± 2.14
1.05 ± 3.36
11.3 ± 11.1
BaP
Benzo(a)pyrene
DahA
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NAP
1
8.19 ± 14.9
1.59 ± 4.29
0.84 ± 3.62
1.85 ± 2.57
20.4 ± 19.0
Dibenzo(a,h)anthracene
5
5
5.72 ± 13.0
0.56 ± 2.60
0.47 ± 1.81
0.61 ± 0.60
15.0 ± 18.3
IcdP
Indeno(1,2,3-cd)pyrene
6
0.1
1.09 ± 3.10
0.06 ± 0.41
0.05 ± 0.30
0.04 ± 0.12
2.96 ± 4.61
BghiP
Benzo(g,h,i)perylene
0.01
6.30 ± 13.6
0.75 ± 2.85
0.61 ± 2.27
0.67 ± 1.03
16.4 ± 18.6
5.60 ± 6.28
4.04 ± 7.23
4.51 ± 2.44
4.03 ± 4.39
8.13 ±7.10
∑HMW
60.6 ± 107
12.0 ± 27.2
7.94 ± 21.9
16.3 ± 16.1
148 ± 138
TPAH
66.2 ± 111
16.0 ± 29.9
12.5 ± 22.4
20.4 ± 17.7
156 ± 144
BaPeq
16.6 ± 34.6
2.45 ± 7.23
1.44 ± 6.25
2.84 ± 3.81
42.4 ± 47.3
PM2.5
104 ± 70.6
102 ± 72.4
62.1 ± 26.0
99.9 ± 79.8
134 ± 69.3
6
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∑LMW
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3
LMW: low molecular weight PAHs (2-3 rings).
4
HMW: high molecular weight PAHs (4-6rings).
5
TPAH: total 16 priority PAHs.
6
TEF: toxic equivalent factor (Nisbet and LaGoy, 1992). 1
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BaPeq: BaP equivalent concentration of 16 PAHs
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n.d: not detected.
9 Table 2 Source-attributed BaPeq (ng/m3) and cancer risk in different seasons
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petroleum volatilization, vehicle emission
coal combustion
natural gas and biomass combustion
Cancer risk
BaPeq
Cancer risk
Annual
11.2
2.8E-06
3.03
7.5E-07
1.54
3.8E-07
Spring
1.01
5.2E-08
1.11
5.7E-08
0.55
2.8E-08
Summer
0.29
1.8E-08
Autumn
0.51
2.6E-08
Heating
30.0
2.5E-06
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1.37
8.4E-08
1.07
5.5E-08
1.14
5.9E-08
7.05
5.8E-07
2.54
2.1E-07
EP AC C
11
Cancer risk
0.20
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season
BaPeq
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BaPeq
2
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Fig. 2. Diagnostic ratio plotting ANT/(ANT+PHE) vs FLA(FLA+PYR) (a), diagnostic ratios
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plotting BaA/(BaA+CHR) vs IcdP/(IcdP+BghiP) (b)
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Fig. 3. Source profiles of vehicle emission, coal combustion, petroleum volatilization and natural
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gas and biomass combustion, and their mass contribution on an annual basis
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Fig.4. Annual PSCF analysis for (a) vehicle emission, (b) coal combustion, (c) petroleum
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volatilization and natural gas and biomass combustion. The red star marks the location of the
20 21 22
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sampling site.
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NNW NE
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WNW
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SW
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WSW
E
ESE
SW
SSE
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SSW
SSE
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(a) factor 1: vehicle emission
(b) factor 2: coal combustion
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NW
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NNE
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WSW
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NE
0.2
WNW
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NNE
0.3
NE
0.2
WNW
ENE
0.1
0
W
WSW
E
ESE
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SW
SSW
SSE
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(c) factor 3: petroleum volatilization and natural gas and biomass combustion
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Fig. 5. Annual CPF plots for (a) vehicle emission, (b) coal combustion, (c) petroleum
28
volatilization and natural gas and biomass combustion. The blue lines indicate wind frequency,
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and the red lines indicate CPF values.
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Fig. 6. Source-attributed mass contribution and corresponding proportion in different seasons
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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT PAH concentrations were much higher in the heating season than in the other seasons Seasonal variations were related to meteorological conditions and source emissions The PMF-PSCF-CPF model improved source apportionment and provided the source region Three sources were identified, and vehicle emission contributed ¾ of the cancer risk
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Source-attributed cancer risk was suggested for ranking priority control sources.