Editorial
Left atrial thrombus, transient ischemic attack, and atrial fibrillation: Does left atrial thrombus predict? Does absence protect? Richard G. Sheahan, MD Chapel Hill, NC
See related article on page 676.
O body swayed to music, o brightening glance, How can we know the dancer from the dance? William Butler Yeats1 Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac rhythm disturbance. As our population ages, the prevalence of AF increases.2 Sustained AF results in hemodynamic impairment and impaired quality of life3,4 but the dreaded and disabling consequences of thromboembolic events also contribute to the increased morbidity and mortality associated with AF.5,6 The first report of left atrial (LA) thrombus was published in 1809.7 In 1933, the observation that AF in the presence of rheumatic mitral valve disease predisposed patients to LA thrombi and systemic embolism was published.8 However, it was not until more than 3 decades later that nonrheumatic AF was recognized as a powerful risk factor for stroke, accounting for 15% of all ischemic strokes.9,10 Autopsy series confirmed a high frequency of LA thrombus and systemic embolism in patients with nonvalvular AF.9-11 Whether AF reflects a systemic hypercoagulable state has not been clearly established.12-14 Approximately 35% of patients with nonrheumatic AF will sustain a stroke within 10 years.15 Patients with nonrheumatic AF and a prior minor stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) are at risk for developing a recurrent stroke.16 Pooled data from primary prevention trials showed that stroke or TIAs were independent risk factors for stroke.15 In 1972, Fisher suggested that stroke could be prevented in patients with AF with the use of warfarin anticoagulation before the first thromboembolic event.17 Since then, warfarin has been shown to prevent ischemic strokes caused by AF.15
From the Division of Cardiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC. Reprint requests: Richard G. Sheahan, MD, Associate Professor of Medicine, Director, Electrophysiology Laboratory, Division of Cardiology, 324 Burnett-Womack Building, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-7075. E-mail:
[email protected] Am Heart J 2003;145:582-5. Copyright 2003, Mosby, Inc. All rights reserved. 0002-8703/2003/$30.00 ⫹ 0 doi:10.1067/mhj.2003.92
With the introduction of transthoracic echocardiography, the pursuit of risk marker identification began. Echocardiographic parameters predictive of stroke included left ventricular dysfunction and LA size.18 In the Framingham study, of subjects aged 50 years or older, those with the largest left atrium were more likely in follow-up to have a stroke develop.19 Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) provides superior visualization of the left atrium, particularly the LA appendage. Patients with newly diagnosed AF in the setting of acute thromboembolism have a much higher prevalence of residual LA thrombi.20 TEE showed that 15% of patients with AF for longer than 48 hours had evidence of atrial thrombus; 80% were in the left atrium.21 The Assessment of Cardioversion Using Transesophageal Echocardiography (ACUTE) study reported the presence of thrombus in 13.8% of the patients undergoing TEE in a group of patients with AF for longer than 2 days who were not previously anticoagulated.22 Manning et al21 showed that after prolonged anticoagulation, 18 of 34 patients underwent an uneventful cardioversion, with most undergoing a repeat TEE before cardioversion. After a median of 4 weeks of anticoagulation, a repeat TEE showed that 89% of atrial thrombi had resolved.23 No new thrombi were identified and no clinical thromboembolic events occurred, confirming thrombus resolution and prevention of new thrombus formation.23 In recent years, the role of the TEE has become pivotal in the early management of newly diagnosed patients.22 TEE has allowed for the convenient and early detection of LA thrombus. Thus, a negative TEE for thrombus allows for the safe and early restoration of sinus rhythm in the symptomatic patient.22 The visualization of spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) or “smoke” within the body of the left atrium is believed to represent erythrocyte aggregation in low sheer rate conditions.24 SEC is a marker for LA stasis and increased LA thrombogenicity25 and was found to be associated with both LA thrombus26 and thromboembolism.27-29 However, SEC may be seen in ⬎50% of patients with AF and in ⬎80% of patients with AF and LA appendage thrombi.21,30 In this issue of the Journal, Stoddard et al31 report on their findings from a prospective observational study of patients with AF of at least 4 days duration
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who underwent a TEE at a single center. This study demonstrated an association between left atrial thrombus and TIA in patients with AF. Patients with prosthetic aortic or mitral valves, an estimated life expectancy of ⬍3 months, or atrial flutter at the time of enrollment were excluded. After a TEE was performed, 261 of 272 (96%) patients were followed up for a mean of 2.5 years. Follow-up data could not be obtained on 11 patients. The end points included TIA, stroke, peripheral embolism, or death. Left atrial thrombus was detected in 46 (17.6%) of 261 patients, predominately (43/46) isolated to the left atrial appendage. This prevalence was higher than the 13.8% observed in the larger ACUTE study.22 LA SEC was observed in 131 (50%) patients, similar to other studies.21,30 Of the 19 patients who had a TIA, significantly more occurred in patients with (10/46, 21.7%) than without (9/215, 4.2%) an LA thrombus. Combined embolic events occurred more frequently in patients with LA thrombus (15/46, 32.6% vs 28/215, 13%). Patients with an LA thrombus were more likely to be taking warfarin (76% vs 50%) and less likely to be using aspirin (26% vs 44%), compared with those patients without LA thrombus. Those patients with an LA thrombus had greater LA diameters (51.3 mm vs 44.3 mm), higher frequencies of persistent AF (91% vs 67%), lower left ventricular ejection fractions (41% vs 49%), and higher frequencies of LA SEC (72% vs 46%) than the patients without an LA thrombus. The presence of LA SEC and LA thrombus was similar to previously reported studies.21,30 For the entire group, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed congestive heart failure at baseline as the only independent predicator of TIA during follow-up (odds ratio 2.7). With the addition of TEE variables, LA thrombus was the only independent predicator of TIA (odds ratio 7.7). The TIA event rates were 9.2% per year with LA thrombus versus 1.9% without. The embolic events were 13.8% per year and 5.1% per year, respectively. With the exception of a more frequent history of stroke, TIA, or both (10/10 vs 14/36), patients with LA thrombus who had a TIA during follow-up did not differ in frequency of warfarin or aspirin usage in, respectively, congestive heart failure, mitral stenosis, or hypertension. Of note, 46 of 46 with and 201 of 215 without a thrombus were in AF during follow-up. In a subgroup of 203 patients without LA thrombus or mitral stenosis, LA SEC was the only independent predicator of subsequent TIA (odds ratio 4.9). Death rates during follow-up did not differ: 17.5% versus 13.3%. The death rates serve as a reminder that patients with AF have increased mortality.5,6 A rigorous and precise antiembolic strategy was not used in this study. Patients with LA thrombus had TIA develop even though many were identified as taking warfarin. This suggests that either the anticoagulation
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was subtherapeutic—INR ⬍2.0 — or the therapeutic INR range for those patients with LA thrombus is inadequate. Of the 46 patients with LA thrombus, more than half had a history of stroke or TIA.31 Perhaps a randomized clinical trial comparing standard INR with a higher INR therapeutic range should be considered in patients identified with LA thrombus who are at a higher risk for ischemic stroke. The presence of LA SEC identified patients with a trend for a higher embolic event rate, but the wide confidence intervals associated with LA SEC as a predictor of TIA suggest that SEC may be more of a marker for stasis rather than for embolism. Sinus rhythm does not protect against stroke, as confirmed by the preliminary results from the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) trial.32 This rhythm versus rate control study did not show a decreased stroke risk in those patients who were maintained in sinus rhythm.32 However, most strokes in both groups occurred in patients not taking warfarin or with a subtherapeutic INR.32 Is it possible that some of the embolic events in this study were noncardioembolic TIA or stroke? Observations on ischemic strokes from the Stroke Prevention in AF I-III clinical studies suggest that most ischemic strokes in AF patients are probably cardioembolic, and these are reduced by adjusted-dose warfarin.33 Aspirin in AF patients appeared to primarily reduce noncardioembolic strokes.33 Implications suggest that aspirin be considered in at-risk patients to prevent nonischemic strokes. The lipid profiles of these patients were not included. Statin therapy has been shown to decrease the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with established coronary artery disease.34,35 Nonarrhythmic primary and secondary risk factor modification also needs to be considered in these older at-risk populations.36,37 At present, there are few options for patients who cannot take warfarin. However, there may be hope on the horizon. The use of the percutaneous left atrial appendage transcatheter occlusion device (PLAATO) to prevent stroke in high-risk patients with AF who are poor candidates for long-term warfarin therapy was shown to be feasible in humans.38 One-month TEE revealed continued stable implant position with smooth atrial-facing surface and no evidence of thrombus.38 The PLAATO approach, if the data are replicated in randomized clinical trials, has the potential to be used in those patients who cannot take warfarin. Stoddard et al31 showed that more than half the patients who had an LA thrombus had a history of stroke or TIA, and many had a subsequent embolic event. These very-high-risk patients with LA thrombus should be considered for a randomized trial comparing the PLAATO approach with conventional warfarin therapy after thrombus resolution.
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This study reinforces the message that the dance is real, that AF and LA thrombus lead to TIAs. However, those with a negative TEE and AF are still at substantial risk for developing an embolic event—5.1% per year31—similar to the anticipated event rate.39 The current goal for high-risk patients is to carefully monitor and maintain the INR between 2 to 3.15,16,39 With aging or the onset of new cardiac comorbidities, patients who were once considered low risk for the development of thromboembolism transition to a higher risk profile. Now that the dance has been identified, the search to protect the dancer must proceed.
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