Little Insights from Big Data: Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak After Skull Base Surgery and the Limitations of Database Research

Little Insights from Big Data: Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak After Skull Base Surgery and the Limitations of Database Research

Original Article Little Insights from Big Data: Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak After Skull Base Surgery and the Limitations of Database Research Avital Per...

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Original Article

Little Insights from Big Data: Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak After Skull Base Surgery and the Limitations of Database Research Avital Perry1, Panagiotis Kerezoudis1,3, Christopher S. Graffeo1, Lucas P. Carlstrom1, Maria Peris-Celda1, Fredric B. Meyer1, Mohamad Bydon1,3, Michael J. Link1,2

BACKGROUND: Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leak is a frustrating complication of skull base surgery. Published methodologies using national surgical databases to assess CSF leak have not accounted for variability between skull base operations.

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OBJECTIVE: Our goal was to attempt the development of a novel framework for adapting big data techniques to skull base surgery and assess the reliability of corresponding data manipulations.

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METHODS: A retrospective nested case-control analysis was performed using patients from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) registry, 2012e2015. Current Procedural Terminology and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes identified possible skull base operations, which were systematically grouped by anatomic location. Meningioma, schwannoma, pituitary adenoma, and trigeminal neuralgia (TN) were included.

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RESULTS: Of 2918 patients, 84 (2.9%) were readmitted/ reoperated on within 30 days for CSF leak. Operations involving the anterior fossa, both middle/posterior fossas in 1 approach, or the orbitocranial zygomatic approach were significantly associated with CSF leak, as were schwannomas and meningiomas in any location (8.5%, 3.1%, 10.2%, 4.1%, and 3.0%; all P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis of only

middle/posterior fossa lesions identified schwannoma (odds ratio [OR], 2.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3e5.6; P [ 0.008), TN (OR, 5.4; 95% CI, 2e14.7; P [ 0.008), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR, 3.9; 95% CI, 1.1e14; P [ 0.03), and increased operative time (OR, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.7e9.5; P [ 0.009) as significant CSF leak risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Based on NSQIP data analyzed using a rational skull base/anatomic framework, risk factors for postoperative CSF leak include chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, operative time, anterior fossa meningioma, and middle/posterior fossa schwannoma or TN. Although databases such as NSQIP can be extensively manipulated to generate surrogate results that may provide limited insight, applications beyond their design should be approached carefully.

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Key words Big data - Cerebrospinal fluid leak - Meningioma - NSQIP - Pituitary adenoma - Schwannoma - Skull base surgery - Trigeminal neuralgia -

Abbreviations and Acronyms BMI: Body mass index CI: Confidence interval COPD: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease CPT: Current Procedural Terminology CSF: Cerebrospinal fluid ICP: Intracranial pressure NSQIP: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program

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INTRODUCTION

C

erebrospinal fluid leak (CSF) leak is a potentially morbid complication of skull base surgery. Although it has been widely studied, previously reported rates of CSF leak have been variable. For example, vestibular schwannoma resections are posterior fossa surgeries believed to carry moderate risk of

OR: Odds ratio OZ: Orbitocranial zygomatic SSI: Surgical site infection TN: Trigeminal neuralgia From the Departments of 1Neurologic Surgery and 2OtolaryngologyeHead and Neck Surgery and 3Mayo Clinic Neuro-Informatics Laboratory, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA To whom correspondence should be addressed: Michael J. Link, M.D. [E-mail: [email protected]] Avital Perry and Panagiotis Kerezoudis contributed equally to this article. Citation: World Neurosurg. (2019) 127:e561-e569. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wneu.2019.03.207 Journal homepage: www.journals.elsevier.com/world-neurosurgery Available online: www.sciencedirect.com 1878-8750/$ - see front matter ª 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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postoperative CSF leak, particularly compared with higher-risk expanded endonasal operations, yet the published leak rates overlap significantly, with ranges of 3%e13.4% and 0.5%e15%, respectively.1-10 Rigorous interrogation of this question is challenging, because of the low incidence of CSF leak, and differences in reporting practices between centers. Correspondingly, techniques using big data (data characterized by large volume/sample size, variety in collected variables, and velocity regarding analytical processing) to identify risk factors for CSF leak and stratify preoperative risk is of great interest, particularly given the associations between CSF leak and subsequent adverse events, including increased length of hospital stay, hospital readmission, and meningitis.11,12 This is especially the case given that most large series reporting CSF leak after skull base surgery have been either single-institution or single-surgeon series, which, although well executed, frequently lack the external validity required to provide community practice or younger neurosurgeons with a reliable benchmark.3,13-15 Most importantly, preceding big data analyses have not identified a methodology integrating the critical differences between the approach techniques and anatomic disease locations that are inherent to skull base diseases.3,6,12 Often, many operations are pooled without discriminating between potentially meaningful subpopulations (e.g., expectations for a skull base meningioma vary significantly between an olfactory groove vs. cerebellopontine angle tumor). Correspondingly, our key objective was to attempt to develop the first rational framework for adapting big data techniques to skull base surgery, and in doing so, show the limitations of databases when applied to skull base diseases.

nerve injury, cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction, sepsis, or septic shock. Minor complications included deep vein thrombosis without pulmonary embolism, urinary tract infection, or superficial SSI.

METHODS Data Source and End Points We queried the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP; American College of Surgeons, Chicago, Illinois, USA), 2012e2015. The primary study outcome was CSF leak requiring readmission/reoperation within 30 days, identified using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT; American Medical Association, Chicago, Illinois, USA) codes (61618, 61619, 62100, 62120, 62121, 62273, 63707, and 63709), and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth and Tenth Revisions (World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland) edition diagnosis codes (349, 349.31, 349.81, 388.6, 388.61, 998.13, G96.0). Secondary outcomes and covariates of interest included age, race, gender, body mass index (BMI), functional status, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, smoking status, diabetes, chronic corticosteroid use, index operative time, and index length of stay.16 Captured concomitant conditions included history of congestive heart failure, angina, myocardial infarction, or previous percutaneous coronary intervention; impaired sensorium, hemiplegia, paraplegia, or quadriplegia; cerebrovascular accident with or without residual neurologic deficit; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and/or ventilator dependency; chronic kidney disease and/or dialysis dependency; ascites or esophageal varices; and history of bleeding disorder. Major complications captured were deep surgical site infection (SSI), organ-space infection, pneumonia, reintubation, pulmonary embolism, failure to wean ventilatory support, renal failure/insufficiency, stroke, coma, cranial

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Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria Patients were identified using the CPT approach and procedure codes. Two authors (A.P. and C.S.G.) independently reviewed all possible approach CPTs to identify candidate codes designating skull base operations and sorted candidate codes by anatomic locations (e.g., anterior, middle, or posterior fossa, alone or in combination; Table 1). Disagreements were resolved via secondary review (M.J.L.). By convention, if a CPT code was ambiguous regarding which cranial fossa was accessed, the more inclusive designations would be selected. For example, although a code such as “60608: Resection or excision of neoplastic, vascular or infectious lesion of parasellar area, cavernous sinus, clivus or midline skull base; intradural, including dural repair, with or without graft” could be billed for an isolated cavernous sinus tumor (e.g., middle fossa), it could also be billed for a midclival or lower clival lesion (e.g., posterior fossa), and therefore it received a combined designation (“middle and/or posterior”). Only one code (“61592: Orbitocranial zygomatic approach”; OZ) was designated as potentially involving all 3 fossas. All patients with included codes were then sorted into mutually exclusive groups by anatomic location (Figure 1). We documented the placement of lumbar drainage system (CPT code 62272) as well as the use of skull base reconstruction techniques (CPT codes 20926, 61618, 61619) during the same odds ratio (OR) (Supplementary Table 1). International Classification of Diseases, Ninth and Tenth Revisions diagnosis codes were used to subgroup cases into 4 major diagnoses of interest: schwannoma, meningioma, pituitary tumor, or trigeminal neuralgia (TN; Supplementary Table 2). Exclusions included chemotherapy within 30 days, radiotherapy within 90 days, sepsis, disseminated cancer, emergent index operation, index surgeon other than neurosurgeon/otolaryngologist, or other previous

Table 1. Summary of Current Procedural Terminology Codes Identified as Candidate Codes for Skull Base Approaches, Sorted by Final Categorization Cranial Fossa

Code

Anterior

61330, 61580, 61581, 61582, 61583, 61584, 61585, 61586, 61600, 61601

Middle

61590, 69970, 61548

Posterior Anterior or middle

61305, 61518, 61519, 61520, 61521, 61524, 61526, 61575, 61576, 61595, 61596, 61597, 61615, 61616 Not applicable

Anterior or posterior

Not applicable

Middle or posterior

61598, 61605, 61606, 61607, 61608, 61450, 61458, 61460, 61530, 61591

Anterior or middle or posterior

61592

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Figure 1. Graphic representation of National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) search results and subsequent application of study inclusion/exclusion

operation within 30 days. Given the small cohort sizes, subgroups identified with anterior-middle (n ¼ 2) or anteroposterior (n ¼ 5) combinations of cranial fossa codes were excluded.

Statistical Analysis Descriptive statistics included means with standard deviations (continuous) and frequencies with proportions (categorical). Comparisons were conducted using unpaired 2-tailed Student t test for (continuous), or Pearson c2/Fisher exact test (categorical). American Society of Anesthesiologists class was dichotomized (low [I/II] vs. high [III/IV]). Multivariable logistic regression models could be fitted for CSF leak only after middle, posterior, or middle-posterior fossa surgery, because they were the only anatomic subgroups including instances of all 4 diseases. Variables included in the model were chosen a priori based on preceding literature and clinical significance. Model adjustments included BMI, operative time, COPD, procedure type, and diagnosis. Operative time and BMI were modeled using restricted cubic splines with 3 knots, to allow for a more flexible relationship with the binary outcome of interest. Collinearity was examined using the variance inflation factor. Model discrimination was assessed using the c statistic. Statistical analysis was performed using open-source software (R Core Team [2015]. R: A language and environment for statistical computing [R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria]; https://www.R-project.org/) and the rms package.17 STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines were used as appropriate (Supplementary Document 1). Statistical significance was determined using a threshold of a ¼ 0.05.

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BIG DATA ANALYSIS OF CSF LEAK AFTER SKULL BASE SURGERY

criteria, resulting in a definitive cohort of 2918 unique individual patients.

RESULTS Search Results, Baseline Demographics, and Clinical Characteristics A total of 6970 patients had 1 included CPT code (Table 1), of whom 2918 met inclusion/exclusion criteria (Figure 2). By our anatomic classification scheme, cases were coded as strictly anterior, middle, or posterior fossa operations in 130, 622, and 1,457 cases, respectively. An additional 611 patients were coded

Figure 2. Included patients were subgrouped by skull base anatomic location derived from Current Procedural Terminology code categorizations, as described in the Methods section (see also Table 1). Patients with anterior-middle or anteroposterior categorization were excluded, given the small n in these subgroups.

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as middle-posterior fossa approaches, whereas 98 operations were coded as OZ operations potentially involving all 3 cranial fossas. Diagnoses included 856 schwannomas, 1000 meningiomas, 670 pituitary tumors, and 412 TNs. Overall, 84 patients (2.9%) were identified with readmissions/ reoperations within 30 days for CSF leak; these patients were compared with the remaining 2834 control patients. Median times to readmission or reoperation were 13 and 11 days, respectively. Baseline demographics and comorbidities were nonsignificant between the 2 cohorts (Table 2). However, a significantly higher proportion of patients with CSF leak had a history of COPD (6% vs. 1.4%; P ¼ 0.009). Operative Variables and Postoperative Outcomes Mean index operative time was significantly longer in patients who later had a readmission/reoperation for CSF leak (Table 3; 283 vs. 385 minutes; P < 0.001). By diagnosis, CSF leak rates were schwannoma 4.1%, meningioma 3%, pituitary tumor 1.2%, and TN 2.7% (P < 0.001). By anatomic approach group, CSF leak rates were markedly higher in both cohorts involving the anterior fossa, with patients who underwent anterior-middleposterior surgery (10.2%) and anterior (8.5%) operations 2-fold to 3-fold more likely to have a CSF leak than those with index operations categorized as middle-posterior (3.1%), posterior (2.5%), or middle (1.3%; overall P < 0.001) fossa procedures. Furthermore, the CSF leak group had higher rates of lumbar drain placement (8% vs. 3%; P ¼ 0.02) as well as skull base reconstruction techniques (47% vs. 15%; P < 0.001). CSF leak was associated with other complications, which occurred in 19% of the CSF leak cases, compared with 6.3% in the controls (Table 4; P ¼ 0.007). In particular, cases complicated by CSF leak were significantly more likely to develop sepsis/septic shock (7.1% vs. 1.4%; P ¼ 0.007), deep SSI (4.8% vs. 0.7%; P ¼ 0.004), or organspace SSI (3.6% vs. 0.5%). Surprisingly, index length of stay was not significantly different between the groups (5.11 vs. 6.40 days; P ¼ 0.08). Subgroup Analysis and Multivariable Regression Subgroup analysis of CSF leaks by disease within each anatomic region showed that, among posterior fossa CSF leaks, 81% occurred in patients with schwannoma (Table 5; P ¼ 0.002). Within the other anatomic regions, the differences in CSF leak rates between diseases were not significant. Multivariable analysis included those patients with middle, posterior, or middle-posterior disease processes (Table 6). Within these subgroups, COPD (OR, 3.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13e 13.98; P ¼ 0.03), increased operative time (OR, 4.03; 95% CI, 1.71e 9.47; P ¼ 0.009), and schwannoma (OR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.30e5.57; P ¼ 0.008) or TN (OR, 5.42; 95% CI, 2e5.14.7; P ¼ 0.008) were associated with significantly higher odds of a postoperative CSF leak.

Table 2. Patient Demographics and Comorbidities No Cerebrospinal Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak Fluid Leak (n [ 2834) (n [ 84) P Value

Variable Age (years), mean (standard deviation)

54.4 (14.3)

52.0 (14.3)

0.14

Female sex

1820 (64.2)

50 (59.5)

0.44

White race

2023 (83.1)

61 (80.3)

0.61

Hispanic ethnicity

242 (9.63)

3 (4.00)

0.15

Body mass index (kg/m ), mean (standard deviation)

30.1 (6.96)

31.1 (6.86)

0.23

Body mass index >30 kg/m2 (obese)

1243 (44.2)

41 (48.8)

0.47

2

>0.99

Functional status Independent

2771 (98.1)

82 (98.8)

Partial dependent

51 (1.80)

1 (1.20)

Totally dependent

4 (0.14)

0 (0.00)

American Society of Anesthesiologists classification

0.92

Low

1382 (48.8)

40 (47.6)

High

1452 (51.2)

44 (52.4)

Smoker

367 (12.9)

14 (16.7)

0.41

326 (11.5)

10 (11.9)

>0.99

Comorbidities History of myocardial infarction

4 (0.14)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

1088 (38.4)

33 (39.3)

>0.99

Previous percutaneous coronary intervention

5 (2.16)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Peripheral vascular disease

2 (0.86)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

40 (1.41)

5 (5.95)

0.009

Ventilator dependent

2 (0.07)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Impaired sensorium

1 (0.43)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Congestive heart failure Hypertension

Stroke

2 (0.86)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

On dialysis

1 (0.04)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Bleeding diathesis

26 (0.92)

1 (1.19)

0.55

Need of chronic transfusion

1 (0.04)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Ascites

0 (0.00)

0 (0.00)

N/A

Esophageal varices

0 (0.00)

0 (0.00)

N/A

DISCUSSION

Diabetes mellitus

326 (11.5)

10 (11.9)

>0.99

CSF leak is a known complication in skull base surgery, inciting a range of significant and potentially morbid sequelae. CSF leak has also proved an elusive end point to characterize in a precise, accurate, and generalizable fashion. Whereas single-institution or

On chronic steroids

199 (7.02)

7 (8.33)

0.81

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Values are number (%) except where indicated otherwise. Bold values denote statistical significance.

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Table 3. Summary of Operative Variables

Variable

Table 4. Postoperative Outcomes

No Cerebrospinal Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak Fluid Leak (n [ 2834) (n [ 84) P Value

Diagnoses, row Meningioma

0.012 970 (97)

30 (3)

Pituitary adenoma

642 (98.8)

8 (1.2)

Schwannoma

821 (95.9)

35 (4.1)

Trigeminal neuralgia

401 (97.3)

11 (2.7) <0.001

Procedures, row Anterior

119 (91.5)

11 (8.5)

Middle

614 (98.7)

8 (1.3)

Posterior

1421 (97.5)

36 (2.5)

Middle-posterior

592 (96.9)

19 (3.1)

Anterior-middle-posterior

88 (89.8)

10 (10.2)

Operative time (minutes), mean (standard deviation)

283 (172)

385 (180)

<0.001

Lumbar drain placement

88 (3.11)

7 (8.33)

0.02

Skull base reconstruction

421 (14.9)

40 (47.6)

<0.001

Values are number (%) except where indicated otherwise. Bold values denote statistical significance.

single-surgeon series reflect selected outcomes and a small number of patients, preceding big data investigations may have been limited in the granularity of their inclusion criteria by the nature of the database, particularly in the context of highly complicated and individualized skull base operations. We initially sought to design a novel framework for mapping CPT codes to skull base anatomic locations, through which we studied 4 prevalent diseases at significant risk of postoperative CSF leak in almost 3000 patients using NSQIP. However, the lack of anatomic granularity in CPT coding for skull base tumors made using a CPT codeebased data set difficult. Although some useful indirect information may be derived from our analysis and similar frameworks in the future, our overarching conclusion is that big data may not offer more than a little insight for the skull base surgeon. Regarding the study results, we noted that operations involving the anterior fossa (in particular, anterior fossa meningiomas) were at highest risk for CSF leak overall, alongside any operations that included a code for the OZ approach. Within the subset of operations limited to the middle and posterior fossas, we identified COPD, increased operative time, and the diagnoses of schwannoma or TN as significant risk factors for CSF leak. This situation fits with typical dogma, although the 2.9% incidence of CSF is lower than expected.1-10 There are several potential explanations for this discrepancy. Chiefly, NSQIP does not capture readmissions/reoperations that occur beyond 30 days after the index operation. In addition, NSQIP coding procedures have been shown to be subject to inaccuracies that may affect the reliability of the database, particularly for analysis of skull base tumor

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Variable

No Cerebrospinal Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak Fluid Leak (n [ 2834) (n [ 84) P Value

Length of stay (days), mean (standard deviation)

5.11 (6.31)

6.40 (6.64)

0.08

Major complication

269 (9.49)

16 (19.0)

0.007

Sepsis/septic shock

39 (1.37)

6 (7.14)

<0.001

Stroke

39 (1.38)

1 (1.19)

>0.99

Organ-space SSI

19 (0.67)

4 (4.76)

0.004

Deep incisional SSI

14 (0.49)

3 (3.57)

0.012

Cardiac arrest

9 (0.32)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

On ventilation for >48 hours

61 (2.15)

2 (2.38)

0.25

Reintubation

57 (2.01)

3 (3.57)

0.25

Pneumonia

44 (1.55)

3 (3.57)

0.15

Pulmonary embolism

38 (1.34)

2 (2.38)

0.32

Bleeding requiring transfusion

123 (4.34)

5 (5.95)

0.42

Renal insufficiency

3 (0.11)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Myocardial infarction

2 (0.07)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Any minor complication

98 (3.46)

8 (9.52)

0.01

Urinary tract infection

46 (1.62)

0 (0.00)

0.642

Wound disruption

6 (0.21)

7 (8.33)

<0.001

Deep venous thrombosis

39 (1.38)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Superficial SSI

11 (0.39)

2 (2.38)

0.052

Values are number (%) except where indicated otherwise. Bold values denote statistical significance. SSI, surgical site infection.

cases.18-20 Spurious coding and billing documentation practices embedded within the medical record by clinicians or support staff may have introduced 2 additional sources of bias: application of a skull base approach code to a simpler, lower-risk operation for fiduciary gain or inaccurate coding of unplanned take-back operations, to falsely improve quality metrics. Big data are not able to give us granular results in this instance. However, they do have the ability to zoom out and provide an abstract perspective on trends that, although perhaps inaccurate for any given patient, would not have become apparent without the aid of a large patient sample. An interesting and novel finding of the present analysis is that COPD may be an independent risk factor for CSF leak: a pairing of morbidity and complication sufficiently rare to escape notice in even large single-institution series, but one that may provide some insight into the pathophysiology of CSF leak. We propose that, within this subset of patients, coughing is an important and underappreciated risk factor for the development of CSF leak. In the COPD population at large, chronic cough has a prevalence of at least 55%, a percentage that would be expected to

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Table 5. Incidence of Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak by Procedure Group

Diagnosis

No Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak, n (%)

Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak, n (%)

Anterior

n ¼ 119

n ¼ 11

Meningioma

103 (86.6)

11 (100)

Pituitary

15 (12.6)

0 (0.00)

Schwannoma

1 (0.84)

0 (0.00)

n ¼ 614

Middle Meningioma Pituitary

P Value

0.42

Table 6. Multivariable Logistic Regression Fitted for Occurrence of Cerebrospinal Fluid Leak after Surgery in the Middle and Posterior Cranial Fossae Odds Ratio

95% Confidence Interval

P Value

Body mass index

1.24

0.82e1.86

0.55

Presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

3.98

1.13e13.98

0.03

Operative time

4.03

1.71e9.47

0.009

Variable

Diagnosis

n¼8 0.17

Meningioma

7 (87.5)

Schwannoma

2.69

1.30e5.57

0.008

5.42

2.0e14.7

0.009

2.19

0.74e6.50

0.16

3 (0.49)

0 (0.00)

Trigeminal neuralgia

9 (1.47)

1 (12.5)

Pituitary tumor

n ¼ 1421 714 (50.2)

n ¼ 36 7 (19.4)

Pituitary

10 (0.70)

0 (0.00)

Schwannoma

684 (48.1)

29 (80.6)

Trigeminal neuralgia Middle-posterior Meningioma Pituitary Schwannoma Trigeminal neuralgia Anterior-middle-posterior Meningioma

13 (0.91) n ¼ 592 78 (13.2)

3 (15.8)

8 (1.35)

0 (0.00) 6 (31.6)

379 (64.0)

74 (84.1)

0.002

0 (0.00)

127 (21.5) n ¼ 88

Bold values denote statistical significance.

n ¼ 19 0.53

10 (52.6) n ¼ 10 9 (90.0)

Pituitary

8 (9.09)

1 (10.0)

Schwannoma

6 (6.82)

0 (0.00)

>0.99

Bold values denote statistical significance.

increase dramatically in a hospitalized or a postanesthesia cohort.21,22 Mechanistically, coughing is a well-described cause of transient intracranial pressure (ICP) increases, and one can easily imagine how relentless ICP spikes would strain the dural repair, potentially precipitating a CSF leak.23 Secondary mechanisms in addition to cough may also contribute to COPD-associated CSF leak. Previous investigators have investigated the relationship between chronic lung disease and ICP, postulating that venous obstruction and secondary polycythemia caused by chronic hypoxia increase arterial and venous pressures, and consequently the ICP.24 Alternatively, COPD may be a marker for another, more insidious process driving CSF leak in these patients. One such example is obstructive sleep apnea, a common comorbidity in COPD, independent of obesity status.25 These patients show an additive chronic hypoxia and are therefore expected to have amplified ICP derangements.

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Reference

601 (97.9)

Schwannoma

Meningioma

Reference

0 (0.00)

Trigeminal neuralgia

Posterior

Reference

1 (0.16)

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By contrast, where do big data perform poorly? They lack the ability to zoom in, whether on a particular observation or on a question that emerges from the analysis. Within our analysis, the nonsignificant difference in BMI is a curious wrinkle. In a preceding NSQIP study, Murphy et al.12 identified BMI as a predictor of 30-day postoperative complications after surgery for “benign cranial nerve neoplasms,” including CSF leak. Another recent study by Alattar et al.6 investigated almost 7000 cases of vestibular schwannoma surgery in the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development database and similarly identified BMI as a significant risk factor for CSF leak. Further still, in a large, single-institution series of 457 vestibular schwannoma cases operated on by the senior author (M.J.L.), Copeland et al.3 completed a risk-adjusted analysis that identified BMI, operative time, and translabyrinthine approach as independent risk factors for CSF leak. These results make a compelling case for the role of BMI as a key CSF leak risk factor, which accords with previously described BMI-induced pathophysiologic ICP changes, as well as anecdotal experience.26 That we did not reproduce this finding is likely attributable to above-average BMI in both groups (32 among CSF leak cases; 30 among controls), which is potentially an unintended consequence of our stringent inclusive/exclusion criteria. Without access to the medical records of these patients, that hypothesis will remain untested, and the question unanswered. Another example of the inability to drill down is our finding that operative time was significantly longer in the CSF leak group, by a mean 102 minutes. Numerous common and uncommon contributors to longer operative times can be imagined as motivating this finding, many of which would constitute major confounders (e.g., a larger tumor, a tumor that required more extensive bony removal to expose, an intraoperative complication or complex reconstruction that was not reflected in a specific billing code, and so on). This difficulty in measuring important confounders is reflected in the paradoxically higher rates of lumbar drain placement and use of skull base reconstruction methods in the CSF leak group. Both of these techniques have been reported to be

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associated with decreased rates of CSF leak based on anecdotal evidence and previous reports.27-29

specialists, who undergo training and periodic auditing, but their submissions are dependent on the source data coded by the operating physician or their administrative team, allowing for several additional sources of bias, as mentioned earlier.

Strengths and Limitations The core strengths of our study lie in its novel methodology. We developed a new and more comprehensive approach to classifying patients derived from large national data sets by categorizing CPT codes based on a strictly anatomic scheme. This approach was further strengthened by our meticulous and redundant review process built around consensus decision making, which is a level of internal validity not typically seen in preceding studies derived from administrative databases.30 Notwithstanding, our study is subject to several major limitations. First, as we described in detail earlier, NSQIP and other national surgical registries are not designed to assess skull base patients or diseases. For instance, variables that are highly relevant to an analysis of CSF leak are absent from NSQIP (histopathology, tumor size and characteristics, extent of resection, and disease laterality, to name only a few of the most notable absences). Second, the originating centers and surgeons are deliberately obscured, and so there is no way to measure or account for differences in CSF leak rates between providers, which may not follow a normal distribution. A recent study by Babadjouni et al. showed that increased procedural volume is associated with lower 30-day and 90-day readmission rate after microsurgical resection of vestibular schwannoma.31 This important observation might also reflect not only the ability of centers with greater cumulative experience to manage postoperative complications of skull base surgery in the outpatient rather than inpatient setting but also the critical role of the learning curve in the repair process.31 Third, NSQIP captures data only within a 30-day window, excluding late leaks, which are a rare but appreciable subgroup.32 Fourth, lumbar drain insertion rates were underestimated, because bedside procedures are not reported in the registry. NSQIP variables are captured and entered by nurse

REFERENCES 1. Rodgers GK, Luxford WM. Factors affecting the development of cerebrospinal fluid leak and meningitis after translabyrinthine acoustic tumor surgery. Laryngoscope. 1993;103:959-962. 2. Bryce GE, Nedzelski JM, Rowed DW, Rappaport JM. Cerebrospinal fluid leaks and meningitis in acoustic neuroma surgery. Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 1991;104:81-87. 3. Copeland WR, Mallory GW, Neff BA, Driscoll CLW, Link MJ. Are there modifiable risk factors to prevent a cerebrospinal fluid leak following vestibular schwannoma surgery? J Neurosurg. 2015;122:312-316. 4. Bani A, Gilsbach JM. Incidence of cerebrospinal fluid leak after microsurgical removal of vestibular schwannomas. Acta Neurochir (Wien). 2002;144: 979-982 [discussion: 982]. 5. Selesnick SH, Liu JC, Jen A, Newman J. The incidence of cerebrospinal fluid leak after

CONCLUSIONS Within the limited scope of our model, we identified anterior fossa operations and complex approaches as significantly associated with higher CSF leak rates. In addition, among operations in the middle or posterior fossas, patients with schwannoma were at markedly higher risk than were patients with TN, who were in turn significantly higher risk than patients with meningioma or pituitary adenoma. With respect to risk factors, COPD and increased operative time independently had a significant association with CSF leak and show the inherent strengths and weaknesses of big data analyses. The COPD association is a particularly interesting and potentially meaningful discovery, because it seems to be underrecognized clinically and may not have come to light without big data power. By contrast, the observation of an association between increased operative time and risk of CSF leak is almost certainly confounded by several variables and difficult to interpret without more closely scrutinizing the cases. At its core, our analysis was designed as an attempt to transform data from a pragmatic coding system that is built to describe the labor performed in a way that it accurately describes the tumors on which that work was performed. Although we have produced a more sophisticated extraction and parsing system that certainly constitutes a marked improvement on preceding big data practices in the skull base literature, we are still essentially left with an unsatisfying solution. Our assessment is that the degree of granularity needed to fully answer clinically meaningful questions about complex cranial operations is simply not accessible via the big data model.

vestibular schwannoma surgery. Otol Neurotol. 2004;25:387-393. 6. Alattar AA, Hirshman BR, McCutcheon BA, et al. Risk factors for readmission with cerebrospinal fluid leakage within 30 days of vestibular schwannoma surgery. Neurosurgery. 2018;82: 630-637. 7. Shiley SG, Limonadi F, Delashaw JB, et al. Incidence, etiology, and management of cerebrospinal fluid leaks following trans-sphenoidal surgery. Laryngoscope. 2003;113:1283-1288. 8. Seiler RW, Mariani L. Sellar reconstruction with resorbable vicryl patches, gelatin foam, and fibrin glue in transsphenoidal surgery: a 10-year experience with 376 patients. J Neurosurg. 2000;93: 762-765. 9. Ciric I, Ragin A, Baumgartner C, Pierce D. Complications of transsphenoidal surgery: results of a national survey, review of the literature, and personal experience. Neurosurgery. 1997;40:225-236 [discussion: 236-237].

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10. Black PM, Zervas NT, Candia GL. Incidence and management of complications of transsphenoidal operation for pituitary adenomas. Neurosurgery. 1987;20:920-924. 11. McCutcheon BA, Orosco RK, Chang DC, et al. Outcomes of isolated basilar skull fracture: readmission, meningitis, and cerebrospinal fluid leak. Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2013;149:931-939. 12. Murphy ME, McCutcheon BA, Kerezoudis P, et al. Morbid obesity increases risk of morbidity and reoperation in resection of benign cranial nerve neoplasms. Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2016;148:105-109. 13. Samii M, Matthies C. Management of 1000 vestibular schwannomas (acoustic neuromas): hearing function in 1000 tumor resections. Neurosurgery. 1997;40:248-260 [discussion: 260-262]. 14. Brackmann DE, Owens RM, Friedman RA, et al. Prognostic factors for hearing preservation in vestibular schwannoma surgery. Am J Otol. 2000; 21:417-424.

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15. Becker SS, Jackler RK, Pitts LH. Cerebrospinal fluid leak after acoustic neuroma surgery: a comparison of the translabyrinthine, middle fossa, and retrosigmoid approaches. Otol Neurotol. 2003;24: 107-112. 16. Murphy M, Gilder H, McCutcheon BA, et al. Increased operative time for benign cranial nerve tumor resection correlates with increased morbidity postoperatively. J Neurol Surg B Skull Base. 2016;77:350-357. 17. Harrell FE Jr. rms: Regression Modeling Strategies. R package version 4.0-0. Cityscape; 2013. Available at: https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rms. Accessed January 4, 2018. 18. Rolston JD, Han SJ, Chang EF. Systemic inaccuracies in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database: implications for accuracy and validity for neurosurgery outcomes research. J Clin Neurosci. 2017;37:44-47. 19. Bi WL, Mooney MA, Yoon S, et al. Variation in Coding Practices for Vestibular Schwannoma Surgery. J Neurol Surg B Skull Base. 2019;80:96-102. 20. Oravec CS, Motiwala M, Reed K, et al. In Reply: Big Data Research in Neurosurgery: A Critical Look at this Popular New Study Design. Neurosurgery. 2018;82:E188-E189. 21. Calverley PM. Cough in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: is it important and what are the effects of treatment? Cough. 2013;9:17. 22. Kessler R, Partridge MR, Miravitlles M, et al. Symptom variability in patients with severe COPD:

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a pan-European cross-sectional study. Eur Respir J. 2011;37:264-272. 23. Bloomfield GL, Ridings PC, Blocher CR, Marmarou A, Sugerman HJ. A proposed relationship between increased intra-abdominal, intrathoracic, and intracranial pressure. Crit Care Med. 1997;25:496-503. 24. Carter CC, Fuller TJ. Increased intracranial pressure in chronic lung disease. Neurology. 1957;7: 169-174. 25. Owens RL, Malhotra A. Sleep-disordered breathing and COPD: the overlap syndrome. Respir Care. 2010;55:1333-1344 [discussion: 1344-1346]. 26. Radhakrishnan K, Ahlskog JE, Cross SA, Kurland LT, O’Fallon WM. Idiopathic intracranial hypertension (pseudotumor cerebri). Descriptive epidemiology in Rochester, Minn, 1976 to 1990. Arch Neurol. 1993;50:78-80. 27. Mehta GU, Oldfield EH. Prevention of intraoperative cerebrospinal fluid leaks by lumbar cerebrospinal fluid drainage during surgery for pituitary macroadenomas. J Neurosurg. 2012;116: 1299-1303. 28. Zanation AM, Carrau RL, Snyderman CH, et al. Nasoseptal flap reconstruction of high flow intraoperative cerebral spinal fluid leaks during endoscopic skull base surgery. Am J Rhinol Allergy. 2009;23:518-521. 29. Snyderman CH, Janecka IP, Sekhar LN, Sen CN, Eibling DE. Anterior cranial base reconstruction: role of galeal and pericranial flaps. Laryngoscope. 1990;100:607-614.

30. Faciszewski T, Jensen R, Berg RL. Procedural coding of spinal surgeries (CPT-4 versus ICD-9CM) and decisions regarding standards: a multicenter study. Spine. 2003;28:502-507. 31. Babadjouni R, Wen T, Donoho DA, et al. Increased hospital surgical volume reduces rate of 30- and 90-day readmission after acoustic neuroma surgery. Neurosurgery. 2019;84:726-732. 32. Perry A, Graffeo CS, Copeland WR 3rd, et al. Delayed cerebrospinal fluid rhinorrhea after gamma knife radiosurgery with or without preceding transsphenoidal resection for pituitary pathology. World Neurosurg. 2017;100: 201-207.

Conflict of interest statement: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program and the hospitals participating it are the source of the data used herein; they have not verified and are not responsible for the statistical validity of the data analysis or the conclusions derived by the authors. Received 9 December 2018; accepted 20 March 2019 Citation: World Neurosurg. (2019) 127:e561-e569. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wneu.2019.03.207 Journal homepage: www.journals.elsevier.com/worldneurosurgery Available online: www.sciencedirect.com 1878-8750/$ - see front matter ª 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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SUPPLEMENTARY DATA

Supplementary Table 1. Skull Base Reconstruction Techniques and Corresponding Current Procedural Terminology Codes Code

Description

20926

Tissue grafts, other (e.g., paratenon, fat, dermis)

61618

Secondary repair of dura for cerebrospinal fluid leak, anterior, middle, or posterior cranial fossa after surgery of the skull base; by free tissue graft (e.g., pericranium, fascia, tensor fascia lata, adipose tissue, homologous, or synthetic grafts)

61619

Secondary repair of dura for cerebrospinal fluid leak, anterior, middle, or posterior cranial fossa after surgery of the skull base; by local or regionalized vascularized pedicle flap or myocutaneous flap (including galea, temporalis, frontalis, or occipitalis muscle)

Supplementary Table 2. Pertinent Diagnostic Codes. List of International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) and International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) Diagnosis Codes Used to Identify the Diagnoses of Interest Diagnosis

ICD-9 Code

ICD-10 Code

Meningioma

225.2, 237.6, 192.1

C70.0, C70.9, D32.0, D32.9, D42.0

Pituitary tumor

227.3, 237.0, 253.9, 237, 255

D35.2, D35.3, D44.3, D44.4

Schwannoma

225.1, 237.72, 237.73, 192.0

Trigeminal neuralgia

350.1

C72.50, D33.3 G50.0

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