On the comparison of age determination methods based on dental development radiographic studies in a sample of Italian population

On the comparison of age determination methods based on dental development radiographic studies in a sample of Italian population

Legal medicine ORIGINAL ARTICLE On the comparison of age determination methods based on dental development radiographic studies in a sample of Itali...

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Legal medicine

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

On the comparison of age determination methods based on dental development radiographic studies in a sample of Italian population Analisi comparativa di metodi identificativi di età strutturati sullo studio della maturazione dentaria su un campione di popolazione italiana P. Di Lorenzoa,*, M. Niolaa, G. Pantaleob, C. Buccellia, M. Amatoc University of Naples Federico II, Department of Advanced Biomedical Science University of Naples Federico II, Department of Reproductive and Odontostomatological Sciences c University of Salerno, Department of Medicine and Surgery a

b

Received September 11, 2013 Accepted April 17, 2014 *Corresponding author Pierpaolo Di Lorenzo [email protected]

ABSTRACT

1 standard deviation (SD) was equal to

OBJECTIVES. This study investigated the

approximately 1.70 years, in the context

degree of reliability, complexity of use and

of which fell about 84.5% of the sample

possibility of further reȴnement of eight

investigated.

radiographic methods for the age determination of subjects in the growth phase,

CONCLUSIONS. The statistical analysis

applied on a sample of Italian population.

of the data obtained by applying on our sample the considered methods showed,

MATERIALS AND METHODS. Each con-

for each of them, the level of reliability in

sidered method was tested on a sample

terms of absolute error with the relative

of 178 digitized panoramic radiographs

SD (i.e., exact match between the age de-

(97 males and 81 females, aged 5 to 22

termined by the evaluators and the actual

years). The obtained data were processed

age, in terms of absolute value).

by statistical analysis. KEY WORDS RESULTS. The overall Absolute Mean Error (AME) was on average equal to 0.89 years; within this error range fell approximately 61% of the subjects in our sample. The overall average of AME plus

38 | DENTAL CADMOS

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` Age determination ` Dental development ` Panoramic radiographs ` Personal identiȴcation ` Forensic dentistry

© 2015 EDRA LSWR SpA. Tutti i diritti riservati

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

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1. INTRODUCTION

atomical structures studied, high reliabil-

them on a sample of digitized OPT, in or-

In the wide field of the generic identifi-

ity, wide reproducibility) [2]. They allow

der to verify, besides the aforementioned

cation, the age determination assumes

the study of the dental arches also in the

degree of reliability, the degree of com-

major importance especially for the eval-

case where the cadaveric inspection is

plexity of use and the possibility of fur-

uation of threshold of the fourteenth or

difficult due to the presence of important

ther refinement.

chronological age of eighteen (for the el-

transformative post-mortem phenomena

igibility and the civil capacity respective-

or carbonization [3].

ly). Sometimes, the age determination

Starting from the ’40s, in the medicole-

may represent the only valid element

gal and forensic dentistry field, several

to achieve, by exclusion, the individu-

methods for the age determination struc-

With this aim, it was conducted an ap-

al identification (e.g., in the case of un-

tured on the employment of different

plication of the above methods, all struc-

recognizable corpse findings).

kinds of dental radiography (e.g., ortho-

tured on the use of the OPT, on humans

The study of the stomatognathic appara-

pantomography, intraoral X-ray, cepha-

in growth phase, with anthropometric

tus, especially of the teeth, is very useful.

lometry) were proposed [4].

characteristics of our population (Cauca-

In fact, the teeth, considered individu-

However, most of them make use of or-

sian).

ally and/or totally, present quantitative

thopantomography (OPT): Schour et al.

Each method was therefore tested on a

and qualitative characteristics advanta-

[5]; Nolla [6]; Demirjian et al. [7]; Gus-

sample of 178 digitized OPT (178 OPT

geous for identification purposes (i.e.,

tafson et al. [8]; Ubelaker [9]; Portigliatti

Schour et al. [5] for a total of 9,256 ex-

differences in terms of number, shape,

Barbos et al. [10]; Robetti et al. [11], Kull-

amined teeth; 178 OPT Ubelaker [9] for

size, overall structure, relations with the

man et al. [12] (table I).

a total of 9,256 examined teeth; 157 Nolla

maxillary, high resistance to physical and

Since the methods, mainly developed

[6] for a total of 5,024 examined teeth;

chemical insults such as heat, putrefac-

by foreign authors, with the exception

129 OPT Gustafson et al. [8] for a total

tive phenomena, etc.) [1].

of that of Portigliatti Barbos et al. [10],

of 6,192 examined teeth; 137 OPT Robet-

The dental radiographic investigations

are devoid of stated reliability index, it

ti et al. [11] for a total of 1,096 examined

show advantages common to the other

seemed interesting to carry out a compar-

teeth; 129 OPT Demirjian et al. [7] for a

2.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

total of 903 examined teeth; 92 OPT Por-

ated with reference to the subjects with

In order to assess the difficulty of use of

tigliatti Barbos et al. [10] for a total of

the same chronological age of the method

each method and the level of examiner

276 examined teeth; 70 OPT Kullman et

proposed by the author.

subjectivity for the allocation of the de-

al. [12] for a total of 140 examined teeth).

The study protocol was approved by the

gree of tooth growth, the post-hoc test

The people were free from systemic dis-

Ethics Committee “Carlo Romano” of

(Bonferroni) on the AME was carried out.

eases and/or local accretion able to influ-

the University of Naples Federico II. The

Finally, the kurtosis of the AME was

ence the dental growth of each of them.

study was conducted according to the

evaluated, with the aim to establish an

The sample was composed of 97 people

ethical standards set by the Declaration

ordinal score about the reliability of the

(55%) males and 81 (45%) females, aged

of Helsinki.

methods investigated.

5 to 22 years.

The data were processed, obtaining as

For the evaluation of the AME the follow-

The distribution of the sample by age and

results the descriptive statistics (i.e., av-

ing parameters were involved:

gender is shown in table II.

erage and standard deviation). The reli-

Consent to the use of the personal data of

ability is expressed in terms of a param-

the subjects was acquired and their ano-

eter named Absolute Mean Error (AME)

`the actual age of the subject; `the age estimated by each examiner; `the gender of the subject (if required

nymity was guaranteed.

given by the average of the difference of

Each OPT has been interpreted in a

the absolute value between the actual age

`the degree of maturation of the teeth

blinded fashion by three different exam-

of the subject and the age determined by

evaluated with reference to each

iners with reference to the degree of min-

applying the method.

method.

eralization and eruption of one or more

In addition, for each method, we calcu-

Particular attention was paid to the selec-

dental elements, achieving the age esti-

lated the standard deviation (SD) of the

tion of the OPT, in order to eliminate the

mation by strictly applying all the steps

AME, the percentage of subjects falling

presence of errors due to “latent factors”

provided by each method.

within that error, as well as those falling

such as, for instance, the poor quality

For each method the OPTs were evalu-

within the AME plus 1 SD.

of the OPT, qualitative and quantitative

7DEOH,

Review of X-ray methods for the determination of age in childhood and adolescence

Authors

Examined teeth

Structure of the method

Schour et al., 1941 [5]

Deciduous and permanent upper and lower hemi-arch

Comparison between Rx and drawings related to 21 stages of development

Nolla, 1960 [6]

All permanents

Use of Rx, diagrams covering 10 stages of development and tables (di΍erentiated by sex) indicative of the standards of maturation of permanent teeth

Demirjian et al., 1973 [7]

Permanent upper hemi-arch with the exception of third molar

Use of Rx, descriptive scale of 8 stages of dental maturation, tables (di΍erentiated by sex) of the scores related to the 8 stages of maturation and conversion of such scores in the age

Gustafson et al., 1974 [8]

Deciduous and Deduce by Rx the phase of dental development reached permanent with exception in accordance with 4 predetermined parameters and of third molar comparison with the appropriate diagram

Ubelaker, 1978 [9]

Deciduous and permanent top and bottom hemi-arch

Comparison between Rx and drawings related to 21 stages of development

Portigliatti Barbos et al., 1982 [10]

45, 46, 47, 48

Comparison between Rx and diagrams covering 12 stages of development + correlation equations (di΍erentiated by sex)

Robetti et al., 1988 [11] Kullman et al., 1992 [12]

40 | DENTAL CADMOS

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Comparison between Rx and diagrams covering 18 stages of development + correlation equations (di΍erentiated by sex) Comparison between OPT and graphic scheme descriptive of development of 38/48

by the method);

7DEOH,, Distribution of the sample by age and sex Age (years)

# OPT

Females Males

5

1

1



6

2

1

1

7

3

2

1

8

3

1

2

9

4

2

2

10

3



3

11

4

2

2

12

28

15

13

13

35

13

22

14

22

8

14

15

10

3

7

16

14

6

8

17

16

8

8

18

12

6

6

19

8

6

2

20

10

5

5

21

2

1

1

22

1

1



Total

178

74

97

Legend: OPT = Orthopantomography.

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

mineralization and/or eruption of one

years (6 of the 8 methods considered)

orthodontic appliances capable of influ-

or more dental elements (i.e., deciduous

and 3 to 13 years (5 of the 8 methods con-

encing or prevent the identification of the

and/or permanent) of mandibular and/

sidered) (fig. 1).

maturation of the tooth.

or jawbone arch.

The methods of Schour et al. [5] and

The OPTs used in this study were ob-

Starting from the degree of dental mat-

Ubelaker [9] are based on the comparison

tained by means of modern digital X-ray

uration, it is possible to derive the age

of the radiographic image of the subject

equipment. The statistical analysis was

(in a complementary or even exclusive

to identify with a graphic scheme. Such

performed with the SPSS/PC+ V8.0 soft-

way) through tables or diagrams, graphs,

methods split in chronological phases

ware. The hardware was composed of a

charts, and equations, developed and

the tooth development; even if they are

workstation Intel I7, 8GRAM, NVIDIA

proposed by each author, indicative of

proved to be of easy applicability they,

GEForce 9800GT, Intel(R) Core™ i7 CPU,

specific dental ages.

show a significant discrepancy of the age

2.67 GHz, monitor ASUS VW198 21”.

All methods are based on the study of one

determination given by the examiners.

The aim of the present study is to check

or more dental permanent elements.

In fact, for these methods, post-hoc tests

for each method:

The methods of Schour et al. [5], Gus-

show significant differences in terms of

`the degree of complexity for its appli-

tafson et al. [8] and Ubelaker [9] also

evaluation. This is expression of a strong

include the analysis of the deciduous

subjectivity of interpretation of the eval-

dentition.

uator and, therefore, a concrete inter-in-

The methods of Demirjian et al. [7] and

dividual variability in the attribution of

Gustafson et al. [8] do not consider the

age identification.

development of third molar (lower and/

Such a phenomenon can be explained by

or upper).

observing the number of graphical repre-

In the 50% of methods (4/8) the attribu-

sentations. In fact, they are few (one de-

cation;

`the level of reliability; `the perspectives of upgrading and updating.

3. RESULTS

tion of age is differentiated by gender.

piction for each year) between 0 and 12

3.1 THE DEGREE OF COMPLEXITY FOR ITS APPLICATION

The overall age explored by methods ex-

years and inadequate around 14 and 18

tends from the 1 month of intrauterine

years, that is the most significant medi-

The radiographic methods adopted for

life [8] up to 21-35 years [5,9].

colegal range of age.

the age identification have a common

The age range most frequently investigat-

In fact, the above methods consider only

starting operative step, consisting on

ed is, in descending order, 14 to 16 years

two diagrams of the teeth in the range of

the a-priori evaluation of the degree of

(6 of the 8 methods analysed), 12 to 14

15 to 21 years, differentiated from each

st

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individual anomalies, the presence of

Fig. 1 Graphical representation of the range of age investigated by the methods

Kullman et al. Ubelaker Robetti et al. Portigliatti Barbos et al. Gustafson et al. Demirjian et al. Nolla Schour et al. -1

1

3

5

7

9

11

13

15

17

19

21

DENTAL CADMOS

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

other due to the different degree of de-

volves, for each element examined, the

of 95.45% and 99.73% when the SD is

velopment of the VIII. If such element is

achievement of one of the four stages of

doubled and tripled respectively.

missing in the arch (i.e., dysodontiasis,

growth provided (i.e., early mineraliza-

Last method in which there is a SD is

inclusion, avulsion, agenesis) they allow

tion, crown completion, eruption, root

that of Kullman et al. [12]. They studied

with certainty the only identification of

completion).

only the development of the mandibular

the minimum age of 15 years.

However, they are often observed, in the

third molar. In the aforesaid method the

Conversely, the easy applicability of these

same subject, one or more dental ele-

SD varies from a minimum value of 0.9

two methods can motivate to a prelimi-

ments with maturational stage not cor-

years for the first maturational stage to a

nary evaluation, by means of the OPT, of

responding to a single phase of growth

maximum of 1.8 years for the fifth mat-

the maturation of the dental elements. In

considered by the method (such as it is

urational stage, the same values in the

fact, in such a way, by emphasizing the

observed a partial eruption with com-

female sex.

qualitative and quantitative character-

plete formation of crown or a complete

The level of reliability of the methods ap-

istics of tooth, it seems possible to pro-

eruption with root in formation); all this

plied to our sample is shown in table III.

ceed to an immediate comparison with

made very difficult to stage the formation

Note that the method that best correlates

the graphic scheme provided by methods

degree and then the identification of age.

the AME with the percentage of subjects

and, consequently, to an almost instan-

falling within the above parameter is the

taneous identification of the respective

3.2 THE LEVEL OF RELIABILITY

one proposed by Robetti et al. [11]. In

stage of development.

Only a few methods of age determination

fact, the AME is equal to 0.96 years and

The sequence of graphical represen-

[8-12] achieve the dental age estimation

the percentage of subjects for which the

tations of the chronological phases of

by using a range of approximation, often

difference between the estimated age and

dental development should express, as

diversified by stage of growth and some-

the actual one is within ± 0.96 years is

a photographic sequence, the “norm” of

times for dental element studied.

approximately 68%.

growth of a correct toothing over time.

Gustafson et al. [8] report different SD

For this method the kurtosis is relatively

It should be noted, however, that this se-

depending on the assignment of the

high (leptokurtic), about 6.20, meaning

ries is purely ideal. In fact, it is indepen-

stage of tooth growth and on the element

that the distribution of the error is close

dent from individual variables, included

in the arch considered. It varies from a

to the average (AME).

in the context of normality, as well as

minimum value of 1 month (beginning of

Furthermore, this result is even more

growth time (formative and eruptive) of

the mineralization deciduous lower lat-

significant if one takes into account the

the teeth.

eral incisor) to a maximum of 2.5 years

fact that the post-hoc test showed a sig-

In the other methods the attribution of

(eruption of the upper permanent second

nificant difference of the absolute error

the dental maturational stage, consid-

premolar).

between the evaluators.

ered as a whole, was laborious, because

Ubelaker [9] assigned the SD to each

If we consider a range of dental age esti-

it is based on the sequential analysis of

graphic representation. It varies from a

mation of ± 1 SD compared to AME, we

each dental element considered by the

minimum of ± 2 months, for the repre-

arrive at an average value of reliability of

authors.

sentation on the 5 , 7 and 9 month in

approximately 88%.

The method of Nolla [6], due to the low

utero, to a maximum of ± 38 months for

The results for each method investigated

quality of the graphic representations,

that on the 15 years.

are summarized in table III.

made it a little difficult to identify the

In the method of Portigliatti Barbos et

Through an overall interpretation of the

corresponding stage of maturation on the

al. [10], the SD is varied according to the

results obtained, it can be stated that in

dental OPT.

gender corresponding to the value of ±

half of the investigated methods the sub-

Therefore, it was reached the correct de-

332 days for males and ± 312 days for

jective evaluation of the examiner does

gree of teeth development by referring al-

females.

not affect the final result of the attribu-

most exclusively to the descriptive com-

The same authors, considering the

tion of the degree of dental maturation.

ment of the formation stage.

above SD, achieved a confidence level of

Where this factor is significant, we be-

The method of Gustafson et al. [8] in-

68.29%, which increases reaching values

lieve that the cause should be sought in

42 | DENTAL CADMOS

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th

th

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Legal medicine

7DEOH,,, Level of reliability of the radiographic dental development methods for the age determination applied to our sample Method

# Evaluations

AME SD 237”$0( 237”$0( Post-hoc (years) (years) (%) + 1 SD (%) test

Kurtosis Remarks

Schour et al. [5]

534 (M 54%; F 46%)

0.94

0.82

316 (59%)

446 (83%)

Sig

2.20

5th month in uterus ± 35 years

Nolla [6]

355 (M 59%; F 41%)

0.81

0.68

212 (60%)

292 (82%)

No sig

3.55

3 ± 17 years

Demirjian et al. [7]

324 (M 60%; F 40%)

0.75

0.74

192 (59%)

276 (85%)

No sig

4.86

3 ± 16 years

Gustafson et al. [8]

312 (M 60%; F 40%)

0.70

0.63

195 (63%)

270 (86%)

No sig

3.39

1st month in uterus ± 16 years

Ubelaker [9]

534 (M 54%; F 46%)

0.95

0.82

322 (60%)

446 (84%)

Sig

2.15

5th month in uterus ± 35 years

Portigliatti Barbos et al. [10]

157 (M 60%; F 40%)

1.00

0.92

100 (64%)

131 (83%)

Sig

3.12

14 ± 18 years

Robetti et al. [11]

333 (M 60%; F 40%)

0.96

1.04

226 (68%)

294 (88%)

Sig

6.20

12 ± 18 years

Kullman et al. [12]

148 (M 55%; F 45%)

1.00

0.81

86 (58%)

126 (85%)

No sig

1.79

15 ± 20 years

Legend: AME = Absolute Mean Error; SD = Standard deviation; OPT = Orthopantomography; Sig = Signiȴcant; No sig = Not signiȴcant.

the objective inadequacy of graphical

would lead to the improvement of the re-

years [5,9], while others when reached

representations proposed by the authors

liability of the method with concomitant

the age of 16 yeras [7,8] or the 16 and a

[5,9] or in the difficulty in interpreting

reduction of the SD.

half years in the male subjects

the proposed diagrams [10,11]. The overall average of the AME is equal to 0.89 years; within this error falls approxi-

If there is a cranio-mandibular disjunc-

4. DISCUSSION

tion with loss of the lower jaw or inability to reconstruct a correct maxillofacial, it

mately 61% of subjects of our sample.

For the age determination, the radio-

is then impossible to reach the attribu-

The overall average of the AME plus 1 SD

graphic methods provide more reliable

tion of age using the methods [7,10-12]

is equal to approximately 1.70 years, in

results when applied to individuals

because such methods are structured on

the context of which fall about 84.5% of

growth up to a maximum of 14 years;

the analysis of the stages of maturation of

the sample investigated.

over that age the attribution of age den-

the mandibular elements only.

tal could be done through the use, where

The comparative application of the

3.3 THE PERSPECTIVES OF UPGRADING AND UPDATING

applicable, by the same method, almost

methods considered, shows that those of

exclusively, to the study of the stages of

Schour et al. [5] and Ubelaker [9] are less

The current multiparametric-statistical

development of the third molars.

reliable both for significant interindivid-

evaluation could be expanded by resort-

This element, however, is not very reli-

ual variability in the dental age determi-

ing to a subsequent multifactorial analy-

able for the assignment of age as it is sub-

nation (post-hoc tests show significant

sis in order to envisage a supplementary

ject to a number of individual variations

values for both methods) and distribu-

method for the dental age determination

(e.g., agenesis, malformations, oscilla-

tion of the error far from the average

through all the methods considered, with

tion period of formation and eruption,

(kurtosis index equal to 2.20 and 2.15

the advantage of being able to:

etc.).

respectively).

`apply on subjects with anthropomet-

The comparative analysis of the meth-

They, in fact, on the one hand are based

ric characteristics of our population

ods considered, highlights a significant

on comparison of the radiographic image

(Caucasian) and age included within

discrepancy, in the age determination,

of the subject to identify with diagrams,

the range of the sample analysed;

at the attainment of dental full maturity

differentiated by dental age, allowing,

`consider a smaller number of vari-

(excluding the third molar because it is

almost immediately, the reading of the

ables, in order to facilitate the task of

not studied by all authors).

value of the parameter to identify. On

reading the OPT by the expert.

In fact, some authors consider reached

the other hand, contrasts this advantage,

the dental full maturity at the age of 15

however, a small number of graphical

Moreover, the widening of the sample

DENTAL CADMOS

| 2015;83(1):38-45|

43

Legal medicine

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

representations (age 0 to 12 years) or in-

ference between the evaluation of opera-

the method of identification unsuitable

sufficient (age 14 to 21 years), which has

tors (post-hoc test is significant), it turns

[6,7,10-12] or, in case of absence of sev-

sometimes made extremely dubious the

out to be quite reliable showing an AME

eral teeth, the less reliable the dental age

age attribution.

equal to 0.96 years, with a deviation of

attributed [5,8,9].

The use of the remaining methods was

age attributed/actual equal to or less

As regards the methods of age determina-

complex because, with the exclusion of

than this value in the 68% of the sample

tion by gender, the method of Demirjian

the method of Kullman et al. [12], they

(in terms of percentage it is the highest

et al. [7] was found to be the most reliable.

are based on the radiographic evaluation

value reached in the present analysis).

This method is not affected by interpre-

of the sequential maturational stage of

A discrete reliability shows the method of

tation of the operator in identifying the

multiple dental elements.

Gustafson et al. [8]. It does not show a

degree of tooth development predicted by

Furthermore, in the method of Nolla [6]

significant evaluative difference interop-

the authors. Comparison of attributed age

the graphical representations are not of

erator (post-hoc tests are not significant),

ZLWK UHDO DJH VKRZV D GLYHUJHQFH ” 

optimal quality (compensated by the de-

shows an AME lower than that expressed

years in 59% of the sample.

scription of the relevant stage of tooth

by the method of Robetti et al. [11] (0.70

As regards the methods of age determi-

formation and maturation) and that of

years vs 0.96 years), however, presents

nation which do not consider the sex of

Gustafson et al. [8] where a superposition

an index of kurtosis lower than to this

the subject, the method of Robetti et al.

of two consecutive stages of tooth devel-

last (3.39 vs 6.20) and a lower percent-

[11] showed the highest reliability (with

opment makes difficult the attribution

age of subjects with age discrepancy (at-

the highest index of kurtosis among the

of degree of tooth development reached,

tributed/actual) equal to or less than the

methods considered). Comparison of at-

and then the identification of age.

AME (63% vs 68%).

tributed age with real age shows a diver-

The statistical analysis of data, obtained

The above is indicative of a major

gence to a maximum of 0.96 years in 68%

by applying to our sample the methods

non-uniform distribution of the error

of the sample.

considered, shows, for each of them, the

made with respect to AME in the appli-

level of reliability in terms of absolute

cation of the method of Gustafson et al.

error (i.e., exact match with the age de-

[8] compared to that of Robetti et al. [11].

termined by the evaluators and the actual

Moreover, the method of Gustafson et al.

age, in terms of absolute value) and with

[8], by exploring the age range between

relative SD.

the first month of intrauterine life and

Among the methods in which the attri-

the attainment of age 16, is not able to

bution of age is differentiated by sex,

provide any information with respect to

Demirjian et al. [7] shows the highest

go beyond or not the age of majority.

value of kurtosis (4.86). Considering, moreover, that there is no significant difference of evaluation between the exam-

5. CONCLUSIONS

iners (post-hoc tests are not significant),

The considered radiographic methods of

it also turns out to be the most reliable

age determination show a greater degree

method showing an AME equal to 0.75

of reliability in identifying the biological

years, with a deviation of attributed age

age of the subject to a maximum of 14

than the actual value equal or less in the

years.

59% of our sample.

However, there is disagreement regarding

Among the methods in which the attribu-

the auxoligical stage considered by the au-

tion of age shall not be differentiated by

thors for the complete maturation of teeth

sex, Robetti et al. [11] shows the highest

(excluding eighths) in the dental arch.

value of kurtosis, equal to 6.20. Further-

The absence of one or more dental ele-

more, although there is a significant dif-

ments considered by the authors makes

44 | DENTAL CADMOS

| 1/2015

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors would like to thank the RadMedica sas, Diagnostic Radiology Outpatient, Rome (Italy) for providing the digitized OPTs employed in the present study. The authors would like to thank the engineer Giuseppe Quaremba and dr Daniela Santonastaso for their valuable contribution. CONFLICT OF INTEREST The authors declare that they have not conȵict of interest. STUDY FINANCING The authors declare that they have not received funding for the present study. REFERENCES 1.

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