Accepted Manuscript Optimal sizing of hybrid solar micro-CHP systems for the household sector Caterina Brandoni, Massimiliano Renzi PII:
S1359-4311(14)00894-1
DOI:
10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2014.10.023
Reference:
ATE 6037
To appear in:
Applied Thermal Engineering
Received Date: 7 July 2014 Accepted Date: 9 October 2014
Please cite this article as: C. Brandoni, M. Renzi, Optimal sizing of hybrid solar micro-CHP systems for the household sector, Applied Thermal Engineering (2014), doi: 10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2014.10.023. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1
Optimal sizing of hybrid solar micro-CHP systems for the household sector
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Caterina Brandonia, Massimiliano Renzib
3 *Corresponding author:
[email protected], T:+44 (0)28 903 68166;
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F:+44 (0) 28 903 68239
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a
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Ulster, Newtownabbey, Co Antrim BT370QB, UK
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b
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39100 Bolzano, Italy
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Centre for Sustainable Technologies, School of the Built Environment, University of
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Libera Università di Bolzano, Facoltà di Scienze e Tecnologie, Piazza Università 5,
Abstract
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The present paper addresses the importance of optimal sizing hybrid microgeneration
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systems for dwelling applications. Indeed, the parameters, the constraints and the
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criteria which must be considered in the sizing phase are several: i) energy prices,
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ii) ambient conditions, iii) energy demand, iv) units’ characteristics, v) electricity grid
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constraints. The hybrid renewable system under analysis is made up of an electrical
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solar device and a micro-Combined Heat and Power, micro-CHP unit coupled to a
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cooling device. In addition to traditional PhotoVoltaic, PV, technology the work
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considers a High Concentration PhotoVoltaic, HCPV, device, with the aim of
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understanding its potential application in the countries of the Mediterranean. Results point out the importance of optimal sizing hybrid renewable energy systems, in
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particular the micro-CHP unit, in order to maximize the economic and the energy
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savings with respect to conventional generation. Furthermore results point out the
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critical nature of electricity grid constraints, which can halve the achievable energy
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savings.
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Key words: micro-generation, optimal sizing; micro-CHP; PV; CPV; energy savings. 1
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Nomenclature
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A
Area [m2]
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c
Cost [€]
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e
Electric Energy [kWh]
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f
Fuel Consumption [kWh]
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G
Solar Radiation [W/m2]
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h
hours
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I
Current [Amp]
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P
Power [W]
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r
interest rate
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T
Temperature [°C]
38
V
Voltage [V]
39
Greek symbols
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α
Absorptivity
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β
PV panel efficiency loss coefficient [1/°C]
42
η
Efficiency
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τ
Transmisivity
44
Abbreviations
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AC
Alternating Current
AS
Alternative System
BOS
Balance of System
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CHP
Combined Heat and Power System
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COP
Coefficient of Performance
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CO2
Carbon Dioxide
51
CO2ER Carbon Dioxide Emission Reduction
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DC
46 47
Direct Current 2
DNI
Direct Normal Radiation
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EF
Emission Factor [gCO2eq/kWh]
55
EU
Europe
56
FC
Fuel cell
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fiT
Feed in Tariff
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GTI
Global Irradiation over a surface tilted at 30°
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HCPV High Concentration Photovoltaic
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ICE
Internal Combustion Engine
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IEA
International Energy Agency
62
LP
Linear Programming
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MGT
Microturbine
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MJ
Multi Junction
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MOLP Multi Objective Linear Optimization
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NOCT Nominal Operating Cell Temperature [°C]
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NCV
68
O&M Operation and Maintenance
69
PE
Primary Usage Factor [kWhPE/kWh]
70
PES
Primary Energy Savings [%]
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PV
Photovoltaic
SP
Separate Production
SPB
Simple Pay Back
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STC
Standard Test Condition
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TES
Thermal Energy Storage
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TMY
Typical Meteorological Year
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VER
Variable Energy Resources
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Subscripts
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Net Calorific Value [kJ/kg]
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a
Ambient
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AC
Annualized cost
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c
Cell
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cool
Cooling
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el
Electric
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fiT
Feed in Tariff
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h
Hour
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k
Day
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µCHP
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op
Operating
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p
peak
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n
Nominal
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sell
Sell
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th
Thermal
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Adscripts
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micro-Combined Heat and Power
Annualized 1. Introduction
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The building sector is a high energy-demanding sector in both developed and new
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developing countries. Due to the increasing urbanization, the number of people living in
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cities is expected to increase by up to 70% compared to the rural population [1]. In most IEA countries the building sector accounts for the 32% of the final demand for energy
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[2], of which an important share comes from dwellings. In EU-27, residential energy
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accounts for about 26% of the total consumption, second only to the transport sector in
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terms of usage [3].
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Buildings offer great potential for savings in energy usage as revealed by an IEA study
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[4] according to which the 25% of the reduction in emissions of CO2 will come from 4
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT buildings by 2030. The measures identified to reach this challenging target are:
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(i) minimum energy performance standards, (ii) construction of new buildings with net-
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zero energy consumption, (iii) improvement of energy efficiency in existing buildings,
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(iv) building certificates and (v) improvement of energy performance of building
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envelope.
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The introduction of decentralised energy generation is a further measure to meet this
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goal [5], necessarily required by recent building regulations which asks for “near-zero”
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energy buildings in the coming years [6].
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Distributed generation devices can be fed by renewable or fossil fuels, and can also be
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operated in combined heat and power production [7], providing important results in
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terms of energy savings and emission reduction [8].
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Among renewable generation, PhotoVoltaic, PV, systems are particularly suitable for
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building applications, due to: i) worldwide availability and potentiality of solar sources
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of energy iii) their easy integration into new and existing buildings, iv) the high
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temporal correlation of solar irradiation with electricity demand.
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Over the last few years, thanks to Government funding and supporting schemes, the PV
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market has experienced a rapid expansion, with a consequently remarkable reduction in
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the capital cost of technology. For instance, the cost of a 3-10 kWp PV system, thanks to
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both improvements in research and economies of scale, has decreased from
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14,000 €/kWp in 1990 down to 1,800 €/kWp in 2014 [9]. In addition to traditional PV
technologies, High Concentration PhotoVoltaic (HCPV) systems are attracting an
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increasing interest by industry, researchers and policy-maker [10], although the
127
reduction in PV capital cost is threatening their competitiveness.
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The main characteristic of this technology is that the amount of photosensitive material
129
is reduced and it is replaced with a cheaper optical system [11]; this means that an
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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT HCPV module is able to capture only the direct normal rays but with a higher efficiency
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and a lower area occupancy than traditional silicon systems [12].
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Consequently HCPV systems are really effective only in those countries where the solar
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radiation is more intense and constant [13].
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The main problem related to the integration of solar electrical systems into the national
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electricity grid comes from its intermittency and unpredictable nature [14], which it
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shares with wind generation [15]. Although variability and uncertainties are familiar
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features of all power systems, in order to achieve a greater impact from these sources an
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additional introduction of load will be required, following and ramping reserves in a
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time frame ranging from minutes to hours. In particular, this aspect is of great concern
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for the integration of these sources (solar and wind power) into the existing low voltage
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grid (as required by solar systems for building sector applications); in fact, in most cases
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they are not equipped with sophisticated protective relaying and control schemes such
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as a utility scale transmission line [16].
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A mid to long-term solution, widely studied in literature [17, 18], is the introduction of
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micro-grids, but currently they are at an early stage in development and most of them
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are pilot projects. The main problem is related to their higher initial cost, since they
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require power electronics and sophisticated coordination among consumers or areas.
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A promising opportunity in the short-term proposed by some of the authors in a
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previous paper [19] and studied further in the present work, is the introduction of hybrid systems, consisting of coupling solar systems with micro-CHP units fuelled by
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natural gas. Indeed developing hybrid PV systems with CHP devices enables additional
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PV deployment above what is possible with a conventional centralized electric
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generation system [20].
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The high cost in terms of investment in the technologies involved requires the
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optimization of the system size in order to be competitive with conventional generation. 6
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optimal sizing of the energy conversion systems is a tough issue due to several
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parameters that must be taken into account in the analysis, such as electricity and fuel
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price, energy loads and weather conditions [21].
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Solutions to this problem can be achieved via different techniques: i) maximum
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rectangle methodology [22-24] ii) linear programming, which was recently applied to
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the optimal sizing of residential micro-CHP systems [25] iii) mixed integer linear
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programming, which is widely considered in the optimal sizing and operation of
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medium size CHP plants [26], iv) fuzzy logic [27] and v) genetic algorithms, used in
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particular when a multi-objective optimization is followed [28].
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The present paper addresses the optimal sizing of hybrid micro-CHP systems defined on
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the basis of linear programming techniques, with the aim of taking advantage of rapid
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calculations even in the presence of a high number of variables. The novelty of the
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paper refers, in particular, to the hybrid solution proposed for satisfying the energy
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demand in dwellings, consisting of a micro-CHP unit (chosen in a set of available
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technologies) and a solar energy device. Moreover, the analysis of the advantages and
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limitations of introducing a high concentration solar energy system compared to silicon
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PV systems is presented.
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This paper is organised as follows: section 2 describes the systems modelled; section 3
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illustrates the algorithm developed; section 4 discusses the simulation results for a
residential case study located in a country on the Mediterranean coast. Finally some
conclusions and remarks are presented.
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2. Energy systems modelling
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Figure 1 shows the conceptual lay-out of the system under analysis, which is made up
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of : i) a solar electrical system that can be either a HCPV or a PV system, ii) a micro7
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT CHP device (the technologies considered are ICE, Stirling, microturbine and fuel cell),
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iii) a Thermal Energy Storage (TES) and iv) a cooling device (vapour compression
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chiller or water/LiBr absorption chiller modelled on the basis of their Coefficient of
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Performance of respectively, 0.6 and 3). The chief characteristics and performances of
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the main energy systems modelled are presented hereinafter.
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2.1 Solar systems modelling
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Figure 1. Conceptual lay-out of the system under analysis
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The solar radiation and the ambient condition required to evaluate the yield of the solar
systems, were obtained using a Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) database. For each
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of the locations studied, the hourly values of the following quantities are used: the
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Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI); the global solar irradiation over a south-oriented 30°
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tilted surface (GTI, which is the optimized tilt for the Italian latitudes); the ambient
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temperature.
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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Literature is rich of formulations and procedures to model the performance of grid
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connected commercial PV systems [29, 30]. The efficiency of a PV panel is strongly
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dependent on the ambient conditions, the most influential being the available solar
202
radiation and the solar cell temperature figures: the former can be obtained
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from specific databases representing a TMY of the location under analysis; the latter is
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defined in Celsius degrees using the correlation suggested by Mondol et al.[31] and
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Mattei et al.[32] for building integrated PV panels:
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G (NOCT − 20 )1 − η c 800 τα
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TC = T A +
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(1)
Tc represents the temperature of the cell, Ta is the ambient temperature, G is the solar
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radiation, NOCT is the panel nominal operating cell temperature, ηc is the cell
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efficiency, τ and α are the transmissivity and the absorptivity of the cell. The efficiency
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of the cell is:
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G 1000
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η c = η n ,c 1 − β (T − 25) + 0.12 log
(2)
where ηn,c is the nominal efficiency of the cell under standard test conditions, β is
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efficiency loss coefficient of the solar cell with increasing temperature, expressed in
214
1/°C. Using an iterative procedure it is possible to assess both the cell temperature and
215
the cell efficiency. In this work, the reference PV panel is a commercial poly-cristalline
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module manufactured by Sharp [33]: it has an effective aperture area of 1.47 m2 and its
nominal cell efficiency and its performance parameters are used in the abovementioned
218
formulas to evaluate the module performance under real working conditions; in
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Standard Test Conditions (STC) the efficiency of this module is 14.6%, its peak power
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production is 240 W and the efficiency temperature coefficient is 0.0044 °C-1 [24].
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The DC power produced by the solar module is:
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PDC = η c Aeff G
(3) 9
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Where Aeff is the effective net cell aperture. Besides the effect of the irradiation and the
224
cell temperature, PV systems performance is also affected by a series of other losses,
225
also referred as the Balance Of System, BOS. These losses take into account the
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effectiveness of all the components required to run a PV plant other than the PV panels.
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These include wirings, switches, support racks, inverters, and batteries in the case of
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off-grid systems. As a consequence, the value of the BOS losses is a result of a
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combination of several parameters; for a well-designed small scale system an overall
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value of 15% of BOS losses is normally assumed.
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Finally the AC power production can be evaluated as:
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PAC = PDCη BOS
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The HCPV modelled refers to a prototype designed and developed in collaboration with
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the authors [19]. It is characterized by an innovative design, since it uses a very compact
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and lightweight chassis, a low-encumbrance concentration optic, an accurate tracking
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mechanism and a very small triple junction solar cell. Its characteristics make it
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extremely interesting also for small-scale plants and, in particular, for building
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integration application.
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In order to achieve the goal of reducing the encumbrance of the module, a specific optic
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was developed to suite a circular triple junction solar cell having a diameter of only
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2.3 mm: a Fresnel lens is used as the primary optic and a reflective cone as the secondary optic. The secondary optic has a double aim: firstly to improve the concentrated solar flux homogeneity on the cell (which is a requirement to achieve
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higher cell fill factor, efficiency and reliability); secondly, to reduce the optical
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efficiency losses in case of tracking misalignment (the concentrated radiation from the
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primary optic that is not directed towards the cell is reflected by the secondary optics
247
and redirected onto the photosensitive material).
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The HCPV plant can be assembled according to the user needs, in terms of the
249
electrical power requirement and space availability. Table 1 shows the main
250
characteristics of a single module.
251 Table 1. Main performance parameters and efficiency data of the HCPV and PV module
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HCPV MODULE Parameter Power output (DNI 900 W/m2, ambient temp. 25°C) Cell Type Cell dimension Cell efficiency (flash test) Optics Optics efficiency (on axis) Dimensions
Value 70 W
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Monolithic Triple Junction Circular, 2.3 mm diam. 41% Fresnel lens and secondary optics 85 % 1.6x0.4x0.4 m
PV MODULE Parameter Cell Type Module model Module power (STC) Module electrical efficiency (STC) Module temperature coefficient
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Value Polycristalline silicon solar cell Sharp ND-R240A6 240W 14.6 % 0.0044 °C-1
For the simulation of the afore mentioned HCPV module, as described in previous
255
papers written by the authors [19], a simplified approach has been adopted: the profile
256
of the solar radiation spectrum is neglected and only the whole DNI flux is used as an
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input parameter. The main quantities affecting the HCPV performances that have been considered to simulate the present module are: i) the Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI) available to the module, ii) the optical system efficiency and iii) the solar cell response.
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The evaluation of the optical efficiency has been calculated using simulations made
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with a ray-tracing software. Its value is strongly influenced by the mechanical accuracy
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of the dual-axis tracking system: in fact, the optical efficiency falls if the tracking
263
accuracy is lower than the design acceptance angle of the optics. The long term tracking
264
accuracy can be evaluated by means of a probability function as reported in [34]. 11
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT The optics were designed to reach high levels of solar concentration: the prototype is
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equipped with a set of a primary Fresnel lens and a secondary optic that concentrate the
267
solar radiation by 1000 times (or 1000 suns). This very high value of optical
268
concentration can be achieved thanks to the adoption of small Multi Junction (MJ) solar
269
cells whose dimension and characteristics are reported in Table 1. The high
270
concentration level implies a very intense radiation flux on the solar cell receiver and,
271
therefore, a larger amount of thermal energy that must be dissipated (the energy that is
272
not converted to electric power). The use of smaller cells allows a better distribution of
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the hot spots on the module and thus the extra heat can be spread more easily.
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The design optical concentration ratio reaches up to 1000 suns in the presented
275
prototype. The use of a small MJ solar cell allows the adoption of high optical
276
concentration ratios: in fact, the hot spots on the solar cell receiver are smaller and
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better distributed on the module thus the extra heat can be spread more easily.
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The triple junction solar cell response has been simulated by means of a semi-empirical
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diode model. The model requires a series of parameters that have been obtained on the
280
basis of experimental measurements on the triple junction cell. A test bench with a solar
281
simulator has been used to acquire the I-V curve of the cell with varying concentration
282
levels and cell temperatures. The parameters to feed the diode model are obtained using
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a regression analysis that minimizes the difference between the experimental I-V curve
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data and the I-V curve from the analytical model. As has already been mentioned, the second parameter that affects the triple junction cell performance is the working
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temperature for which a specific model has been defined. The two main figures
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affecting the cell’s temperature are the ambient temperature and the optical
288
concentration ratio (a combination of the optical efficiency and the DNI). Experimental
289
data allowed the definition of an accurate model for the evaluation of the cell
290
temperature which is described in detail in [19]. 12
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then linked to an inverter that tracks the maximum power point of the HCPV string and
293
converts the DC power to AC power. Also in this case, as in the PV system, the BOS
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losses are taken into account for the figure of 15% of the total DC power produced by
295
the HCPV module.
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In order to appreciate the performances of the solar system modelled, Figure 2 shows
297
the electricity production of the HCPV system in the three selected locations (two in the
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centre and one in the south of Italy) compared with the PV performance. The graph also
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reports the available DNI and the global irradiation over a surface tilted at 30
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degrees (GTI). It is possible to see how the production of the solar power systems
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increases with higher solar radiation; another important outcome is that the HCPV
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performs better than a traditional PV system when the ratio of the DNI and the GTI is
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higher. On the basis of these results, an approximate limit for the application of an
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HCPV system should be a point where the DNI/GTI ratio is higher than 80%.
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2000
84%
HCPV
DNI
Global 30° 82%
1600
78%
1200
76%
1000
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74%
800
72%
600 400
70%
200
68%
0 PV HCPV DNI Global 30° DNI/GTI ratio
Ancona 1351 1137 923 1291 72%
Roma 1476 1391 1205 1638 74%
Palermo 1659 1705 1517 1855 82%
DNI/GTI ratio
80%
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Electric energy production [kWh/kWp]
1800
PV
66%
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Figure 2. PV and HCPV system performances for three different locations in the centre 13
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 307 308
(Ancona, Roma) and south of Italy (Palermo)
2.2 Micro-CHP modelling
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All the micro-CHP units were modelled on the basis of the main characteristic
311
parameters, such as electrical efficiency and power to heat ratio.
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The electrical efficiency of the system has been considered constant in order to take
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advantage of linear programming techniques. LP has been widely used in literature in
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the optimization of the energy systems, for instance for sizing residential micro-CHP
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systems [25] and for the system design and unit commitment of a micro-grid [35].
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Although the assumption is strong, since in off design condition and transient operation
317
the electrical efficiency decreases [36], the main aim of the paper is to highlight the
318
importance of properly sizing micro-CHP systems when coupled to solar electrical
319
devices, and to assess the influence of the main design parameters on sizing, rather than
320
optimize a particular lay out.
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Micro-generation technologies are characterised by an electrical output lower than
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50kW, as defined by the EU Cogeneration Directive 2004/8/EC [37].
323
As above-mentioned, the technologies considered in this work are four: ICE, Stirling
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engine, microturbine and fuel cell. Table 2 shows the main parameters used in the
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analysis which were derived from commercial units [38].
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Table 2. Main design parameters used for micro-CHP and chillers modelling Micro-CHP unit ICE
Electrical efficiency [%] Thermal efficiency [%] Power to heat ratio Specific cost [€/kWe] O&M COST Lifetime Chiller unit
Stirling
MGT
Fuel cell
24
15.8
20
40
64 0.38 3400 0.021
75 0.2 4500 0.017
60 0.33 3600 0.014 10 years
40 1 6700 0.019
14
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT COP Lifetime Specific cost [€/kW]
Compression chiller 3
Absorption chiller 0.7 10 year
250
300
ICEs are the most mature form of technology, taking advantage of research coming
330
from the automotive sector. For cogenerative applications, thermal power at both a low
331
and high temperature can be recovered, respectively from the engine cooling water and
332
the exhaust gas. They can be applied in dwellings and the service sector with good
333
results compared to separate energy production [39]. A 24% electrical efficiency has
334
been assumed for the analysis on the basis of parameters characterising small size
335
commercial units [40].
336
Stirling engines indicate an interesting application for the household sector, thanks to
337
their features of having a simple design, producing minimal noise and vibration and
338
allowing multi-fuel use. Emissions from current Stirling engines could even be ten
339
times lower than that of reciprocating engines and comparable with modern gas burner
340
technology. For dwelling applications free-piston Stirling engines appear to be a
341
competitive technology, the advantage of this technology increases as power range
342
decreases [41]. At present units from 1 kWel to 50 kWel have been developed and
343
commercialized for use in the household sector. Whispertec [42], for instance, has
344
developed 1 kWel unit based on a kinematic engine with a low electric conversion
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efficiency of 12%; Microgen [43] has developed a natural gas fuelled cogeneration free piston Stirling engine unit with an electric output of 1 kWel, (electric efficiency of
15%), a thermal output of 4.5 kWth and an overall efficiency of 92-96% [44]. In the
348
present analysis an electrical efficiency of 15% has been assumed.
349
Microturbines, MGT, are a promising technology for trigenerative applications, in
350
particular for the tertiary sector, since the minimum output of a commercial available
351
unit is of 15kWel [45]. All the thermal power recovered is at a high temperature, coming 15
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT from the exhaust gases; these machines require low maintenance, have a long lifetime,
353
due to few moving parts and a simpler design and they are characterised by very low
354
emissions [46].
355
According to the data available in literature for a prototype of a 3kW MGT, an electrical
356
efficiency of 20% has been considered [47]. Fuel cell systems are electrochemical
357
devices that directly convert chemical energy to electricity, the most important
358
applications are in the transport and power generation sectors [48].
359
They are the most promising technologies thanks to their high power to heat ratio, and
360
are particularly suitable for building loads. For single-dwelling stationary applications
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they show an electrical efficiency of 40%, with an overall efficiency of about 60% [38].
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At present, the main barrier to their widespread application is the high investment cost
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and their reliability (as a matter of fact, fuel cells exhibit performance decay after
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around one thousands hours operation) [49]. For the present analysis an electrical
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efficiency of 40% has been assumed [38].
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3. Optimal sizing of poly-generation systems
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As previously discussed, a linear program has been developed for the optimal sizing of
369
the hybrid system under analysis. The conceptual lay-out of the hybrid solar micro-CHP
370
system was designed for providing the highest flexibility (see Figure 1). Electricity
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needs can be satisfied by: i) the solar electrical system (PV/HCPV), ii) the micro-CHP unit and iii) the electricity bought from the grid, with the solar electrical system having
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the priority.
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The micro-CHP unit, the boiler or the TES can satisfy the thermal demand. Finally
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either the absorption chiller (fed by the micro-CHP unit and by the TES) or the vapour
376
compression chiller can satisfy the cooling needs. The TES that can be used in the
377
presented system is similar to commercial solar boilers. It consists of a vessel in which 16
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 378
hot water is collected at the temperature required by the user. The cooling water from
379
the micro-CHP device flows in the coil installed inside the boiler and warms up the
380
vessel content.
381
The main assumptions of the algorithm are: •
the minimum time step considered is an hour;
383
•
for each hour the energy needs can be satisfied by the hybrid combined heat and
RI PT
382
power systems or by Separate Production, SP, (i.e. electrical energy bought from
385
the grid, thermal power produced by a heating boiler, cooling demand satisfied
386
by a compression vapour chiller) on the basis of the minimum cost criteria; •
a typical day for each season has been considered in the analysis and results
M AN U
387
SC
384
have been extended for the entire year. As discussed by [50] the choice of
389
typical days to simulate the entire year can influence the results of the
390
optimization. The extraction of 288h (12 typical days x 24 hours) is in line with
391
[51], although for the case under analysis, being a residential end-user, a shorter
392
time step has been chosen and week-ends have not been considered. •
394
396 397 398
a working range from zero to the nominal power, ; •
the O&M costs of the Thermal Energy Storage have been omitted
AC C
395
each micro-CHP devices, belonging to four different technologies can be used in
EP
393
TE D
388
•
for the referenced case no supporting schemes have been considered.
The formulations of the objective functions and the constraints considered in the
analysis have been reported as follows.
399 400
3.1 Objective function
401
The aim of the procedure is to minimize the annualized cost derived from the
402
implementation of hybrid micro-CHP system, C A (Eq.5), given by the sum of the
17
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT A A annualized capital cost, CCC , the cost of all the devices (i.e. solar system, Csolar , micro-
404
A A CHP unit, CµACHP , thermal energy storage, CTES , vapor compression chiller, Ccomp_chill , and
405
A absorption chiller, Cabs_chill ) and the yearly cost to operate the hybrid micro-CHP
406
systems, Cop .
407
RI PT
403
A A A A A min C A = C AC + Cop = C solar + C µACHP + CTES + Ccomp _ chill + C abs _ chill + C op
(5)
The annualized capital cost of each device, C AAC (Eq.6), has been calculated on the basis
409
of the capacity recovery factor, considering an interest rate of 3% and the lifetime of
410
each device.
411
C ⋅ i ⋅ (1 + r ) = device lifetime (1 + r ) −1
M AN U
(C )
A AC device
SC
408
lifetime
(6)
The yearly operating cost, Cop , is calculated according to Eq.7 which is the hourly sum
413
(assessed on the basis of 12 typical days) of: i) the fuel cost of running the micro-CHP
414
unit (given by the fuel cost, cµfuel multiplied by the micro-CHP fuel consumption in the CHP
415
specific hour, f µCHP ); ii) the fuel cost for feeding the heating boiler (given by the
416
fuel specific cost of fuel, cboiler , multiplied by the boiler fuel consumption in the specific
417
hour, f boiler ); iii) the operating and maintenance cost for the micro-CHP unit (given by
419
EP
AC C
418
TE D
412
&M the specific micro-CHP operative cost, cµOCHP ); iv) the cost for purchasing the electric
energy from the grid (given by the specific selling price, celbuy , multiplied by the electric
420
energy bought from the grid in that hour, ebuy ). It is necessary to subtract from this
421
amount: i) the revenues coming from selling the electric energy produced by the solar
422
systems and the micro-CHP unit (given by the specific selling price, celsell , multiplied by
423
the electric energy sold to the grid in that hour, esell ). In the sensitivity analysis, 18
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 424
revenues derived by the feed-in mechanism have been also considered as the electricity
425
feed − in produced by the solar device, esolar , multiplied by the feed-in tariff, rsolar .
[
( ) (e ) − (c ) (e )
fuel O&M buy C op = ∑∑ c µfuel CHP ( f µCHP )h + c boiler ( f boiler )h + cµCHP (e µCHP )h + cel 12
24
k =1 h =1
426
sell el h
buy h
h
h
feed − in (esolar )h − rsolar
(7)
RI PT
427
sell
428 3.2 Constraints
430
The algorithm must respect the constraints derived from: i) hourly electricity, thermal
431
and cooling balances, ii) the operation of thermal energy storage and iii) the operation
432
of the micro-CHP devices.
433
In particular, the main constraints considered in the algorithm are:
434
•
of each typical day, k
) + (Pµ ) + (P ) ≥ (P
436
∀h,
(P
437
∀h,
(e ) + (e
438
∀h,
(P
439
•
th ,boiler h
buy h
CHP h
TES h
)
demand h
) + (e ) − (e ) − (e
µCHP h
solar h
) + (P
sell h
) ≥ (P
cool ,abs _ chill h
) ≥ (e
comp _ chill h
(8)
)
demand h
)
cool ,demand h
(9) (10)
EP
cool ,comp _ chill h
Inability of the energy produced by each device (solar system, µCHP, TES, vapour chiller and absorption chiller) to exceed its maximum ratings
AC C
440
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Electric (Eq.8), thermal (Eq.9) and cooling (Eq.10) energy balance for each hour, h,
TE D
435
SC
429
∀h,
(esolar )h ≤ Capsolar
(11)
∀h,
(e
≤ Cap µCHP
(12)
443
∀h,
(P
≤ CapTES
(13)
444
∀h,
(P
)
(14)
445
∀h,
(P
441 442
446
•
)
µCHP h
)
Th ,TES h
Cool ,Comp _ chill h
)
Cool , Abs _ chill h
≤ CapComp _ chill
≤ Cap Abs _ chill
(15)
From the second hour, the inability of the heat stored in that hour plus the heat 19
]
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 447
stored in the previous hours to exceed the TES capacity
448
∀h,
449
•
(P
) + (P
Th ,TES h
)
Th ,TES h −1
≤ CapTES
(16)
From the second hour, the total amount of the heat stored at the beginning of an hour is equal to the non-dissipated heat stored in the previous hours plus the heat
451
sent to the storage device in that hour minus the heat released to meet the end-use in
452
that hour
453
∀h,
(P
) = (P
)
Th ,TES h −1
(
+ PTh ,TESin
) − (P h
)
Th ,TES out h
(17)
SC
Th ,TES h
RI PT
450
454 4. Case study
456
The algorithm developed has been applied to a residential case study in Rome, central
457
Italy, with the aim of understanding the importance of the optimal sizing of the devices
458
used in the hybrid renewable system. Figure 3 shows the thermal, electricity and cooling
459
loads of the case under study. The thermal, electricity and cooling demand has been
460
calculated according to the procedure presented in [52] where inputs are geographic
461
location, electrical peak load, maximum thermal power for heating and domestic water,
462
and the maximum cooling power in summer. Other parameters used in the analysis are
463
shown in Table 3.
AC C
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455
20
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Pth, Jan
Pth, June
Pth, Dec
Pel
Pcool, June
16 14
10 8 6 4 2 0 3
5
7
9
11
13 hours
15
464
21
23
Figure 3. Energy loads for the case under study
466 467
19
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465
17
SC
1
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Power [kW]
12
Table 3. Techno-economic parameters assumed for the reference case analysis Electricity purchasing price [€/kWh]
TE D
Electricity selling price [€/kWh] Natural gas price [€/kWh] PV investment cost [€/kWel] HCPV investment cost [€/kWel] PV/HCPV lifetime
20 3000
EP
TES investment costs [€/m3] [53]
Salvage value of all the technologies considered
0
Emission Factor for thermal energy produced by CHP and heating boiler fuel µCHP
, EFboiler [gCO2/kWh]
Emission Factor electricity purchase Emission Factor electricity sold,
EFelbuy
[gCO2/kWh]
PE
fuel µCHP
520 520
EFelsell [gCO2/kWh]
Primary Energy Factor for thermal energy produced by CHP and heating boiler
235
fuel
AC C
EF
off peak 0.17 peak 0.18 60% of electricity purchasing price 0.046 1800 2500
1.1
fuel
, PE boiler [kWhPE/kWh]
Primary Energy Factor electricity purchased, Primary Energy Factor electricity sold,
PE elbuy
PE elsell
[kWhPE/kWh]
[kWhPE/kWh]
468
21
2.5 2.5
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 469
Besides the annualized cost of the systems and the size of each device, the achievable
470
Primary Energy Savings, PES (Eq. 18) and the CO2 Emissions Reduction, CO2ER, (Eq.
471
19) have been calculated on the basis of results coming from the algorithm developed:
PES =
Primary energySP − Primary energyhybrid _ system Primary energySP
[
(
fuel fuel O&M buy ( fboiler ) + PEelbuy (ebuy )year − ∑ ∑ PEµfuel PEboiler CHP ( f µCHP )h + PE boiler ( f boiler )h + PEµCHP (eµCHP )h + PEel 12
=
=
RI PT
472
24
k =1 h =1
fuel boiler
PE
473
( fboiler ) + PE (ebuy )year buy el
h
sell el h
buy h
sell h
(18)
CO2 ER =
CO2, SP − CO2, hybrid _ system CO2, SP
=
[
(
24
k =1 h =1
M AN U
fuel fuel O&M buy EFboiler ( fboiler ) + EFelbuy (ebuy )year − ∑ ∑ EFµfuel CHP ( f µCHP )h + EFboiler ( f boiler )h + EFµCHP (eµCHP )h + EFel 12
=
SC
474
) (e ) − (PE ) (e ) ]
fuel boiler
PE
475 476
( fboiler ) + PE (ebuy )year
) (e ) − (EF ) (e ) ] h
buy h
sell el h
sell h
buy el
(19)
where EF is the carbon dioxide Emission Factor, and PE is the Primary Energy factor,
478
which is based on the Italian electricity supply mix, shown in Table 3 [19]. The same
479
factor for both selling and purchasing electricity has been assumed.
TE D
477
480
5 Results and discussion
482
Simulation results for the case under study are shown in Table 4. A 16.7% energy
483
saving compared to conventional generation can be achieved at least, suggesting the
485
AC C
484
EP
481
possible profitability of the hybrid renewable system under analysis. The compression chiller represents the best solution to satisfy the cooling needs for all the configurations
486
analysed; as a consequence, its size depends only on the cooling peak load
487
(i.e.11.2 kWcool). The algorithm sets the size of the solar unit up to the maximum, which
488
has been defined by the authors as equal to the electrical peak load; this choice was
489
adopted in order to promote the self-consumption of the electricity produced by solar
490
technology. 22
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 491 Table 4. Simulation results ICE PV
SE
HCPV
PV
MGT HCPV
PV
FC
HCPV
PV
HCPV
0.3
0.3
0.03
0.06
0.09
0.18
0
0
PV [kW]
3.3 0
3.3 0
3.3 0
3.3 0
3.3 0
3.3 0
3.3 0
3.3 0
4,060
4,269
4,062
4,273
17.4%
18.2%
17.7%
17.7%
16.7%
17.2%
18.0%
17.4%
17.5%
16.5%
HCPV [kW] Comp. chiller cooling power [kW] Abs. chiller cooling power [kW] TES [kWh] CA[€]
11.2 0 0 4,186
4,061
20.7%
20%
17.9%
CO2ER [%]
20.4%
19.7%
17.7%
5,975 € 859
493
4,273
M AN U
4,032
PES [%] Operating hours of microgeneration [hours] Savings in operating costs [€]
RI PT
Micro-CHP [kW]
SC
492
5,975
5,975
5,975
6,037
6,037
0
0
€ 703
€ 729
€ 529
€ 754
€ 575
€ 720
€ 509
This outcome derives from both the low cost of solar technologies, and the reduction in
495
the energy bill due to the avoided cost of buying the electricity produced by the
496
renewable source.
497
Due to the higher capital cost of HCPV system compared to PV technology and its
498
lower production for the case analysed (see Figure 2), the lower annual total cost is
499
always achieved with the PV system. Since HCPV electricity production depends on the
501 502
EP
AC C
500
TE D
494
DNI component available in the specific geographic area, a sensitivity analysis will be presented in the next paragraph with the aim of better understanding its potential. As shown in Table 4, the optimal size of the micro-CHP unit coupled to PV/HCPV
503
technology is very small, suggesting the need to increase the energy loads by
504
considering the demand of more dwellings. For the case analysed, a minimum of 10
505
dwellings should be considered for using commercial micro-CHP devices.
506
The number of operating hours per year is about 6000, confirming the correctness of the
507
assumption of a lifetime of 10 years attributed to the technology. 23
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT The assumption for micro-CHP units of working between 0% and 100% of the nominal
509
power does not affect the results. It has been found out that, on average, the micro-CHP
510
unit works at loads lower than 50% of the nominal power only for 7% of the operating
511
hours.
512
ICE performs better than other technologies in terms of primary energy savings, thanks
513
to its higher electrical efficiency and lower investment cost. In contrast, fuel cells have
514
not been chosen by this algorithm due to their higher annual capital cost; only if a lower
515
investment cost of 4800 €/kWel is assumed as input parameter, a fuel cell is introduced
516
and a TES is added by the algorithm. This allows the exploitation of both the high fuel
517
cell electrical efficiency which is 40%, thus really competitive with centralised
518
electricity generation, and the thermal energy produced by the unit. In this case, the
519
hybrid system achieves a CO2 emission reduction of 18.6%, slightly higher than the
520
case with only PV technology. Since one of the main barriers to the widespread of
521
microgeneration technologies is electricity grid constraints [14], Figure 4 shows the
522
effect of setting a value for electricity sold to the grid equal to zero.
523
In this case the savings are halved, suggesting the importance of: i) improving the
524
current electricity grid infrastructure to support the widespread use of microgeneration
525
technologies, or ii) developing possible alternatives such as: microgrids, demand side
526
management techniques and electricity storage systems.
AC C
EP
TE D
M AN U
SC
RI PT
508
24
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
25%
€ 1,000
20%
€ 800
15%
€ 600
10%
€ 400
5%
Yearly savings
Savings, with grid constraints CO2 reduction, with grid constraints
RI PT
CO2 emissions reduction
Savings, without grid constraints CO2 reduction, without grid constraints
€ 200
0%
€0
SE
MGT
FC
SC
ICE 528
Figure 4. Comparison of savings and PEC reduction in case of Grid Constraints, GC,
529
M AN U
527
and no-GC
530 5.1 Sensitivity analysis
532
In order to understand the influence of the main design parameters on the optimal size
533
of hybrid renewable systems, a sensitivity analysis has been conducted taking the
534
previous results as a reference case.
535
First, it has been assumed, respectively, a 15% increase and reduction in the natural gas
536
price. Figure 5 shows that a lower NG price promotes the use of micro-CHP
537
technology, with a consequent increase in the size and CO2 emission reduction
539 540 541
EP
AC C
538
TE D
531
achievable with respect to the reference case. This effect can be observed for all the
technologies studied (i.e. ICE, Stirling and microturbines) except for fuel cells, for which a 15% reduction in the natural gas price is not enough to counterbalance the higher investment cost.
542
25
ICE, CO2 reduction
SE, CO2 reduction
size ICE
size SE
size MGT
0.6
30%
0.5
25%
0.4
20%
0.3
15%
0.2
10%
0.1
5%
0
CO2 emissions reduction
MGT, CO2 reduction
RI PT
micro-CHP [kW] TES [kWh]
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
0%
-15% NG price
+15%, NG price
SC
543
NG, ref value
Figure 5. Effect of a variation in the natural gas price on the size and the operation of
545
the internal combustion engine, of the Stirling engine and of the micro gas turbine
M AN U
544
546
Figure 6 shows the effect of a variation in the electricity purchase price. As in the
548
previous case, a 15% increase and reduction in the price has been considered. Results
549
show that a reduction in the electricity price largely rules out the use of micro-CHP
550
technologies.
551
In contrast to the previous analysis, an increase in the electricity price helps fuel cell
552
technology to be chosen by the algorithm, providing a further CO2 emission reduction
553
with respect to the single application of PV technology.
554
The result suggests that the profitability of hybrid renewable systems is more
556 557
EP
AC C
555
TE D
547
significantly influenced by a variation in the electricity price than by a variation in the natural gas price. Such a result can encourage the use of Time of Use, TOU tariffs, to promote the introduction of microgeneration systems in the dwelling sector.
558
26
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT ICE, CO2 reduction MGT, CO2 reduction size fuel cell
FC, CO2 reduction size ICE size MGT
SE, CO2 reduction size SE 30%
0.35
25% 20%
0.25 0.2
15%
0.15 0.1 0.05 ref value
10% 5%
0% +15% electricity purchasing price
SC
559
0 -15% electricity purchasing price
RI PT
Size [kW]
0.3
CO2 emissions reduction
0.4
Figure 6. Effect of the electric energy price variation on the size and the operation of the
561
internal combustion engine, of the Stirling engine and of the micro gas turbine
M AN U
560
562
Another important parameter to be considered is the investment cost of micro-CHP
564
technologies, which, in the case of small units lower than 5 kWel, ranges from 3500€
565
(ICE) to 6700€ per kWel (fuel cell). A 25% reduction in the investment cost, as shown
566
in Figure 7, promotes the introduction of such micro-CHP systems. In particular,
567
advantages can be observed for technologies characterised by a lower investment cost
568
and higher electrical efficiency, such as ICE.
569
Focusing on the use of a TES, as shown in Table 4, a TES is identified by the optimal
EP
AC C
570
TE D
563
algorithm in none of the analysed configurations.
27
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT size micro-CHP, reference
size micro-CHP, -25% capital cost
1
30%
0.8
25% 20%
0.6
RI PT
15% 0.4
10%
0.2
5%
0
CO2 emissions reduction
CO2 emissions reduction, -25% capital cost
Size [kW]
CO2 emissions reduction, reference
0%
ICE
SE
MGT
SC
571
FC
Figure 7. Effect of investment cost reduction on micro-CHP size and on CO2 emission
573
reduction
M AN U
572
If a lower capital cost of the unit is assumed, as shown in Figure 8, the algorithm
576
activates the storage unit for both ICE and fuel cell, increasing the CO2 emission
577
reduction achievable.
TE D
575
578
25%
micro-CHP [kW] TES [kWh]
AC C
2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0
CO2, CTES 1000€/m3 size micro-CHP, CTES 1000€/m3 size TES, CTES 1000€/m3 30%
EP
CO2, CTES 3000€/m3 size micro-CHP, CTES 3000€/m3 size TES, CTES CTES 3000€/m3
579
20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
ICE
SE
MGT
FC*
580
Figure 8. Effect of TES investment cost
581
(*A reduced capital cost of 4800€/kW has been considered for the fuel cell)
28
CO2 emissions reduction
574
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT The result points out that only in the case of higher electrical efficiency is it convenient
583
to use a TES to decouple the fulfilment of electrical and thermal loads and take
584
advantage of the combined heat and power technology.
585
In order to show the effect of a variation in the energy loads on the size of the hybrid
586
system, a 30% increase of the thermal and electrical loads respectively, has been
587
considered. As shown in Figure 9 the size of the micro-CHP device slightly increases in
588
both cases. A reduction in the energy savings achievable for the thermal load variation
589
case can be observed, demonstrating that a simple increase in the thermal loads does not
590
imply an increase in the savings. This is mainly due the smaller share of the renewable
591
energy production, which is not compensated by a higher capacity of the micro-CHP.
M AN U
SC
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582
CO2 emissions reduction
PV size
594 595
4.0
TE D
3.0
15%
2.5 2.0
10%
1.5 1.0
5%
0.5 0.0 Ref
Thermal +30%
Electrical +30%
AC C
593
4.5 3.5
20%
0%
592
5.0
Size [kW]
25%
EP
CO2 emissions reduction
30%
micro-CHP size
Figure 9. Effect of the increase of the electrical and the thermal load
Thus, a proper study is needed in order to improve the economic profitability of the
596
solution when increasing the thermal loads, as suggested by load-sharing applications
597
[48]. In case of a higher electrical load, energy savings increase, mainly driven by
598
higher revenues from a bigger size of the PV unit.
29
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Finally, in order to understand the potential for using a HCPV system, other
600
geographical areas characterised by a different value of the DNI have been analysed.
601
Figure 10 shows that the HCPV system provides higher CO2 emission reduction than
602
PV only in Palermo, which is the location characterised by the highest value of the DNI
603
component.
RI PT
599
605
20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Ancona
Roma
€ 4,000 € 3,000 € 2,000 € 1,000 €0
Palermo
Figure 10. Comparison between the PV and HCPV in locations characterised by
607
different solar irradiance
EP
TE D
606
608
Total annualised cost
HCPV, yearly savings HCPV, CO2 reduction HCPV, total annualised cost € 5,000
SC
25%
PV, yearly savings PV, CO2 reduction PV, total annualised cost
M AN U
CO2 emissions rediction [%]
604
In this city, the reduction in CO2 emissions of the hybrid system with the HCPV unit is
610
higher than the one using a traditional PV; nevertheless, since the initial investment cost
611 612 613
AC C
609
of the HCPV modules is higher, there is no economic advantage in adopting this
technology. The economic advantage over the PV technology is achieved only when the cost of the HCPV system is reduced down to 1,800 €/kW. Another possibility to
614
stimulate the use of HCPV systems, which proved to achieve higher CO2 emissions in
615
areas characterised by a high level of DNI, is the introduction of a dedicated feed-in
616
tariff. For the case under analysis, an incentive of 0.025€ for each kWh of electricity
30
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 617
produced would be enough to make them more convenient than the traditional PV
618
technology.
619 6 Conclusions
621
The analysis addresses the need for optimal sizing hybrid renewable systems made up
622
of solar technology and micro-CHP units.
623
At the current investment cost of solar technology, in the case of no grid constraints,
624
both PV and HCPV units can be sized on the basis of the electricity peak demand to
625
minimise the total annual costs, independently of the parameters considered and even if
626
no feed-in tariffs are taken into account.
627
Although in those regions characterised by a high DNI component, HCPV technology
628
provides a higher reduction in CO2 emissions than PV one, better results in terms of
629
minimisation of the total annualised cost are shown by PV, due to its lower investment
630
cost that actually threatens the market penetration of the HCPV technology. For the case
631
which has been analysed, a target capital cost of 1800 €/kW or a feed in tariff of
632
0.025 €/kW would be necessary to make HCPV more convenient than PV technology.
633
In contrast to solar technologies, the size of micro-CHP units is heavily influenced by
634
several factors and parameters, such as the investment costs, energy loads and tariffs.
635
Outcomes suggest that the use of micro-CHP technology combined with a solar device
637
SC
M AN U
TE D
EP
AC C
636
RI PT
620
can further reduce the primary energy consumption of dwellings more than single PV technology, but its size must be properly identified.
638
Results also indicate that manufacturers should develop small units, specifically
639
designed for the household sector, characterised by an investment cost lower than
640
3500 €/kWe with an electrical efficiency higher than 20%. Increase in the electrical
641
efficiency can derive from management and lay-out improvements. For example, ICEs
31
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT can operate at variable rotational speed instead of a fixed one and Stirling engines can
643
enhance their performance by pre-heating combustion air with the exhaust gases.
644
The TES was never selected by the optimal algorithm in the analysed configurations,
645
also due to its high capital cost. Results point out that only in the case of higher
646
electrical efficiency of the CHP units, is it convenient to use a TES to decouple the
647
fulfilment of electrical and thermal loads and exploit the advantage of the CHP
648
technology.
649
Finally it has been shown that grid constraints can dangerously halve the advantages
650
achievable with hybrid renewable energy systems. In such a case, sizing the solar unit
651
on the basis of the electrical peak load, does not constitute a good strategy. Since the
652
introduction of microgeneration system is widely recognised as a strategic tool to
653
reduce the dependence of the building sector on fossil fuels, the present work suggests
654
the need to either improve the current electricity grid or implement different solutions,
655
such as the development of microgrids, and the promotion of demand side management
656
techniques.
657
Acknowledgement
658
IEA/EBC Annex 54 “Integration of Micro-Generation and Related Energy
659
Technologies in Buildings” supported the work described in this paper. The Annex 54
660
was an international research program and the authors gratefully acknowledge the
SC
M AN U
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EP
AC C
661
RI PT
642
indirect and direct contributions of the other Annex participants.
32
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 662 663 664
Table caption
665
module
666
Table 2. Main design parameters used for micro-CHP and chillers modelling
667
Table 3. Techno-economic parameters assumed for the reference case analysis
668
Table 4. Simulation results
AC C
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Table 1. Main performance parameters and efficiency data of the HCPV and PV
33
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Figure captions
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Figure 2. PV and HCPV system performances for three different locations in the centre
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(Ancona, Roma) and south of Italy (Palermo)
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Figure 3. Energy loads for the case under study
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Figure 4. Comparison of savings and PEC reduction in case of Grid Constraints, GD,
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and no-GC
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Figure 5. Effect of a variation in the natural gas price on the size and the operation of
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the internal combustion engine, of the Stirling engine and of the micro gas turbine
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Figure 6. . Effect of the electric energy price variation on the size and the operation of
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the internal combustion engine, of the Stirling engine and of the micro gas turbine
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Figure 7. Effect of investment cost reduction on micro-CHP size and on CO2 emission
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reduction
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Figure 8. Effect of TES investment cost
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Figure 9. Effect of the increase of the electrical and the thermal load
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Figure 10. Comparison between the PV and HCPV in locations characterised by
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different solar irradiance
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Figure 1. Conceptual lay-out of the system under analysis
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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Highlights •
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• • • •
The importance of optimal sizing of renewable microgeneration systems is addressed. A hybrid system made up of solar and micro-CHP devices is considered. Both Photovoltaic and High Concentration PV technologies are analysed. Optimal sizing enhances savings in dwelling sector applications. Electricity grid constraints can halve the potential CO2 emissions reduction.