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Overestimating the Risk of Intravenous Contrast Medium-Induced Nephropathy: A Pitfall in Imaging the Genitourinary System Lyndon Luk M.D., Jeffrey H. Newhouse M.D.
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Cite this article as: Lyndon Luk M.D., Jeffrey H. Newhouse M.D., Overestimating the Risk of Intravenous Contrast Medium-Induced Nephropathy: A Pitfall in Imaging the Genitourinary System, Seminar in Roentgenology, http://dx.doi.org/10.1053/j. ro.2016.01.003 This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting galley proof before it is published in its final citable form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
Overestimating the Risk of Intravenous Contrast Medium-Induced Nephropathy: A Pitfall in Imaging the Genitourinary System
Lyndon Luk1, M.D. Jeffrey H. Newhouse1, M.D. 1
Department of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, New York
Address for Correspondence
Lyndon Luk, MD Department of Radiology Columbia University Medical Center 622 West 168th Street, PB-1-301 New York, NY 10032 Tel: 201-562-2739 Email:
[email protected]
Abstract The overestimation of overall risk and consequences of intravenous contrast media-induced nephropathy has perpetuated an unwarranted avoidance of contrast-enhanced studies with consequent reduction in effectiveness of management of a number of genitourinary diseases. Properly assessing the risk of contrast nephropathy and avoiding this common imaging pitfall is critical in avoiding or misdiagnosing otherwise treatable genitourinary pathology.
History Iodinated contrast media (CM) were first discovered and used in diagnostic radiology nearly a century ago [1], leading to the first clinical pyelogram performed by Osborne, Southerland, Scholl and Roundtree in 1923 [2] and the first femoral arteriogram by Berberich and Hersch in 1924 [3]. Not long after, Wallingford, a chemist, created the first iodine-containing benzoic acid ring. [4]. The contributions of Wallingford, Swick [5] and Hoppe et al. [6] in the 1950s led to markedly improved contrast opacification as well as patient tolerance.
By the 1970s, annual consumption of contrast media surpassed 2,000 metric tons, fueled by the discovery of computer tomography (CT) [7]. At first, there was little thought given to the idea that iodinated CM were potentially nephrotoxic. Multiple publications documenting this phenomenon were published starting in the 1960s; Manitz and Matthes [8] and Ansell [9] documented transient anuria in renal failure patients after intravenous pyelography. The concept of acute renal dysfunction caused by intravenous CM has since become fundamental
and axiomatic in both practice and literature of modern medicine [10], with articles numbering in the thousands. Definition of Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is typically defined as an absolute or percentage increase in serum creatinine (SCr) level over baseline; 0.5 mg/dl is the commonest threshold for an absolute rise; 25%, 50% and 100% have all been used in published series dealing with CIN. With these thresholds, the risk of CIN in a cohort of patients receiving contrast ostensibly determined by clinical series has ranged from 0% to nearly 50%, and the decades-long flow of publications purporting to document CIN has led to a widespread conviction that the risk is considerable, both among practitioners who refer patients for various contrast-requiring examinations and among radiologists and interventional cardiologists. One of the most widely-cited quotes from papers dealing with CIN risk [11] states that contrast is the third-most-common cause of acute kidney injury (AKI) in hospitalized patients. Although the commonest course of CIN consists of a transient rise in serum creatinine [12], it has been claimed that in some cases renal function does not return to baseline, and may even require chronic dialysis [13]. It has also been found that patients who experience CIN are at risk for longer hospital stays than patients without it, and even run a higher risk of death [14]. Given these concerns, radiology departments and practices usually have established policies which preclude administering intravenous contrast in patients deemed to be at risk. Since the risk is felt to rise in proportion to degrees of chronic renal failure [15], thresholds of serum creatinine or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are usually used to identify patients for whom contrast administration is precluded. Patients may also have contrast withheld if serum
creatinine is below the threshold but is rising, despite lack of rigorous evidence that contrast is deleterious in this circumstance. Radiology practices and departments may establish policies requiring a recent creatinine or eGFR to be measured even for patients whose risk of renal disease is very small. Many also require that informed consent be formally obtained and documented [16, 17]. All of these practices (not to mention fear of litigation) have led to great reluctance to administer contrast to patients whose management requires information only available from its use. Discussion Our thesis is that the perception of risk of nephropathy from intravenous CM throughout the medical community is much higher than the real risk warrants. There are two major sources of this misconception: the overestimation of risk in nearly all publications due to the serious error of omitting controls, and the conflation of the risk of procedures requiring intravenous contrast administration with the administration of contrast during cardiac angiography. We will deal with each of these in order.
From the initial recognition that contrast may cause renal dysfunction, there has been an increasing rate of publications regarding the risk of CIN; literally hundreds of clinical series on the topics have appeared. The experiments detailed within these publications were performed with varying degrees of scientific rigor, but nearly all assumed that any renal dysfunction which was found after administration of contrast was caused by the contrast; control series of patients to estimate the incidence of renal dysfunction without contrast were, for decades, never provided. Studies performed by Cramer et al. in 1985 and Heller et al. in 1991 did include
such controls [18, 19]. Each found rates of post-contrast nephropathy within the ranges reported in previous publications; however, each also found that these rates did not exceed those assessed in their control groups, and concluded that, at least in the circumstances they reported, contrast-induced changes might not, in fact, occur.
Despite their potential importance, these two publications were rarely cited in subsequent reported experiments. In 2006, they were stressed in a critical review of the literature [20]. This review was shortly followed in 2009 by an experiment in which the incidence of short-term creatinine increases were assessed in a very large group of patients who had had no contrast [21]; these figures were strikingly similar to the rates of post-contrast nephropathy found in all of the previous literature involving intravenous contrast administration, further calling into question the validity of these experiments.
In the few years following this series, several additional clinical series appeared which did include control groups [22-26]. All but one found no excess cases of nephropathy after contrast beyond those which appeared in control patients; the one which did reported results from two contrast agents, with no difference from control groups found for one agent and a slight increase in nephropathy rates for the other [27].
Subsequently, these controlled studies were criticized since control patients were those receiving non-contrast CT scans, and the data from the two groups were compared retrospectively. Since many of the control patients were steered to non-contrast scans because
their referring physicians felt their renal function to be particularly at risk, a selection bias could well have arisen; a real tendency for contrast to cause renal dysfunction might have been masked by the control patients’ excess tendency to experience renal dysfunction for noncontrast-related reasons.
Multiple articles addressed possible selection bias by performing 1:1 propensity matching and propensity score analysis [15, 28, 29], a statistical technique intended to reduce the effects of differences between experimental and control groups in retrospective studies by evaluating variables that may predict either increased or decreased likelihood of receiving a particular treatment. One study identified low-contrast contrast material (LOCM) as a risk for CIN in patients with GFR less than 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 [15] after propensity score adjustment. Other studies found no significant difference in AKI risk between patients undergoing non-contrast or contrast studies in any risk subgroup after propensity score adjustment [28, 29] and identified AKI risk as independent of CM exposure, even in patients with eGFR less than 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 [30].
Angiocardiography has long been recognized as a procedure that can lead to AKI [31, 32]. In the past two decades, most of the literature regarding CIN reports studies involves angiocardiography, and much of the current consensus regarding increased morbidity and mortality of CIN has arisen from these publications. As an example, a study by Gruberg et al. of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention with baseline creatinine ≥1.8 mg/dL found a 37.7% rate of CIN, a 7.1% rate of CIN requiring hemodialysis and a 22.6% mortality rate
in patients requiring dialysis [33]. In the discussion sessions of these papers, and those dealing with intravenous contrast, CIN risk tends to be considered as a single entity, with little attention given to the differences in risk between the two types of procedures. Conflation of these study results has led to a serious overestimate of risk of intravenous contrast, as detailed by Katzberg and Newhouse in a detailed literature review published in 2010 [34].
The incidence of CIN with IV contrast media has been overstated not only because of extrapolation of angiocardiography experience despite the literature detailing the significantly safer profile of IV CM in comparison to contrast-enhanced cardiac studies which dates back to as early as 1979 [35]. In 1992, Moore et al. found a greater than two-fold increase in the rate of nephrotoxicity in patients undergoing angiocardiography versus those undergoing CE CT [36]. Review of more contemporary prospective studies investigating the use of LOCM and isoosmolar CM show an overall CIN rate of approximately 5.4 % [15, 37-43], including a post IV CM CIN rate of 5.2% in patients with renal insufficiency and diabetes mellitus [41]. In comparison, overall CIN rate in patients with chronic kidney disease and diabetes as depicted by the cardiology literature are upwards of 33%, noted by Rudnick et al. in the Iohexol Cooperative Study [44].
The overall difference in the rate of morbidity and mortality ostensibly caused by CIN in patients receiving IV CM and those receiving intraarterial CM during cardiac angiography and intervention is even more pronounced. The same CIN literature review in 2006 evaluating CE CT in patients with renal insufficiency [20] found no documented cases of CIN requiring dialysis or
death out of a total of 1,175 subjects. A 2015 study by McDonald evaluating rates of AKI, emergent dialysis and mortality in a large, propensity matched cohort with stage III-V CKD revealed no significant differences in morbidity or mortality between the noncontrast and contrast groups [45]. A recent systematic review and meta-analysis of over 25,000 patients demonstrated similar rates of AKI, dialysis and death between CE and control groups [46]
There is no doubt that nephropathy can be a serious condition; after all, it constitutes failure of an important organ system, which may in turn have effects on other systems. And nephropathy may not only be a primary event: it may be the result of, and act as a marker for, failure of other organs. These events would be expected to lengthen hospital stays, occasionally require dialysis and even increase mortality rates, but if they occur for reasons other than intravenous contrast, their temporal association with contrast administration does not imply causation.
In sum, recent investigations show that CIN, and any serious consequence of it, is much less of a risk than most physicians have believed for decades. The debate about its exact incidence may continue, but it is now evident that it is low. Use of contrast, therefore, must be reevaluated since the added value of CM in the cross-sectional imaging evaluation of numerous diseases affecting the genitourinary (GU) system is irrefutable.
The American College of Radiology (ACR) Appropriateness Criteria can serve as a good indicator of the fraction of cases dealing with GU issues which do or do not need contrast enhancement
for CT. In the urologic, womens' imaging and vascular sections of these criteria there are 43 variants of GU conditions for which CT is or may be indicated [47]. Among these, in 38 variants, CT with contrast is rated more appropriate than CT without contrast; in only 5 is CT without contrast more appropriate. Some conditions where contrast administration may either clinch or clarify the diagnosis include acute flank pain which may be due to pyelonephritis (figure 1) or acute renal ischemia (figure 2), identifying vasculitis, arteriovenous fistulae and venous thrombosis, demonstrating active bleeding and pseudo-aneurysms due to trauma, diagnosing enhancing urothelial tumors, screening for renal tumors in syndromes which may include them and assessing endometrial morphology.
It should be immediately obvious from the above that in the conditions which may be missed or mischaracterized if contrast is withheld, appropriate patient management can be severely impeded in a number of ways. And the problem is wider: a great deal of GU disease is discovered incidentally on CT scans initially performed for other problems. If contrast is unnecessarily withheld from abdominal CT performed for any reason, significant errors in GU diagnoses may ensue. Detecting renal cell carcinoma in patients in whom it is not suspected is only one example. As abdominal CT has become more frequently performed, an increasing fraction of these tumors are discovered serendipitously, and more often at a stage which permits cure [48-51]. And although rigorous demonstration that contrast is necessary for this diagnosis is lacking, any experienced abdominal radiologist would agree that small intrarenal masses are easy to miss on an examination performed without contrast. Furthermore, nearly all ACR Appropriateness Criteria that include CT as a possible imaging modality in addressing
various gastrointestinal issues advocate CM; of the 61 listed variants of gastrointestinal conditions with ACR imaging recommendations that include CT, all but 2 rate CT with contrast as more appropriate than CT without contrast.
The frequency with which contrast is unnecessarily withheld in CT examinations is not known, but the authors' experiences suggest that the problem occurs with regularity. Factors incorrectly felt to confer risk of CIN include mild chronic renal failure, diabetes without renal failure, congenital or surgical absence of one kidney with normal creatinine, transplanted kidneys and recent administration of contrast. (Mild prior systemic contrast reactions are also often cited as reasons to withhold contrast, but these circumstances are beyond the scope of this paper.) Discussions between radiologists and referring physicians intended to compare the risks of CIN with the risks of missing diagnoses which require contrast, are also frequently foregone at a rate which is also not known, but probably considerable.
We conclude, therefore, that many essential CT examinations requiring contrast are withheld due to an unwarranted fear of nephropathy and its associated risks with consequent reduction in effectiveness of management of a number of GU and other diseases. This practice constitutes a sufficient threat to health that serious attempts to correct it are warranted. Within radiology departments, policy constraints for intravenous contrast administration should be reviewed and liberalized where possible, and policies which strictly forbid contrast administration should be replaced by requirements for realistic comparisons of the risk of nephropathy with the risk
of incorrect diagnosis. Radiologists should also address the need to educate our referring colleagues about the real level of risk. We owe our patients nothing less.
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Figure Legends Fig. 1. Pyelonephritis. A: Non-contrast axial CT of the abdomen of a young patient presenting with abdominal pain. The kidneys are normal. B: Contrast-enhanced axial CT of the abdomen demonstrates a focal wedge-shaped region of decreased enhancement in the anterior right kidney extending to the periphery of the cortex.
Fig. 2. Multifocal renal infarct. A: Non-contrast axial CT of the abdomen in a patient with history of abdominal pain. The kidneys are normal. B: Contrast-enhanced axial CT demonstrates multiple wedgeshaped regions of decreased enhancement in the left kidney.