Peer review report 2 On “Simulating future trends in hydrological regimes in Western Switzerland”

Peer review report 2 On “Simulating future trends in hydrological regimes in Western Switzerland”

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 3S (2015) 103 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies journal homepa...

98KB Sizes 3 Downloads 42 Views

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 3S (2015) 103

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ejrh

Peer Review Report

Peer review report 2 On “Simulating future trends in hydrological regimes in Western Switzerland” Original Submission Recommendation: Major Revision Comments to Author: This paper is focusing on an interesting subject. Indeed, as well explained by authors, hydrologic regimes changes due to climate changes is of great interest considering the population living there and depending to these water resources. The paper makes use of interesting data on relevant catchments for the purpose of the paper. Introduction, bibliography, methods and discussions seem to me relevant. I have only one major remark that, unfortunately, leads me to accept this paper only with major revision. I will try to explain myself in what follows. - As far as I can read in the bibliography mentioned by authors, the hydrological model is composed with different water storage/hydrological components with a significant number of parameters. These parameters have to be tuned. This is acceptable. - But, in my sense, too little information is given regarding the calibration of these parameters. Of course, authors detailed the three criteria and the time periods used for the calibration and the corroboration (please use the term corroboration instead of “validation”). But nothing is really analysed in terms of equifinality of the calibration (neither in the cited paper of Viviroli). In such type of “storages” model, it is however highly expected that some parameters have interdependence. For example, it is often analysed in this type of model that 4 or 5 parameters embed the very large part of the sensitivity of scores to parameters values and that the supplementary parameters are often poorly constrained using the calibration procedure as described in this paper. - This can be of significant importance for this paper. For example, what is the equifinality of the snowmelt parameters and what is its impact on discharge simulations? Does the range of acceptable snowmelt temperature parameters from the equifinality point of view is larger or smaller than the changes of temperature due to climatic changes? - Same could be noticed for forcing data (meteorological input data): what is the impact of the uncertainties in the interpolation methods used to interpolate the meteorological weather station in comparison to the range of changes of the same meteorological data but in context of climate changes? - A deeper analysis of the uncertainties in interpolated meteorological data and calibrated hydrological model parameters would have help this interesting paper in evaluating the relevancy of simulated hydrological regimes changes. - Without this kind of uncertainties and equifinality analyses, I’m afraid this paper could be read as a “simple” run of pre-calibrated hydrological model, but I’m certain this paper is of larger interest. Anonymous Available online 20 December 2015

DOI of the original article:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.10.010. 2214-5818/$ – see front matter http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.12.022