Prediction of two-phase flow distribution in microchannel heat exchangers using artificial neural network

Prediction of two-phase flow distribution in microchannel heat exchangers using artificial neural network

Journal Pre-proof Prediction of Two-phase Flow Distribution in Microchannel Heat Exchangers using Artificial Neural Network Niccolo Giannetti , Mark ...

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Prediction of Two-phase Flow Distribution in Microchannel Heat Exchangers using Artificial Neural Network Niccolo Giannetti , Mark Anthony Redo , Sholahudin , Jongsoo Jeong , Seiichi Yamaguchi , Kiyoshi Saito , Hyunyoung Kim PII: DOI: Reference:

S0140-7007(19)30504-3 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrefrig.2019.11.028 JIJR 4595

To appear in:

International Journal of Refrigeration

Received date: Revised date: Accepted date:

13 July 2019 17 October 2019 23 November 2019

Please cite this article as: Niccolo Giannetti , Mark Anthony Redo , Sholahudin , Jongsoo Jeong , Seiichi Yamaguchi , Kiyoshi Saito , Hyunyoung Kim , Prediction of Two-phase Flow Distribution in Microchannel Heat Exchangers using Artificial Neural Network, International Journal of Refrigeration (2019), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrefrig.2019.11.028

This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2019 Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Highlights    

ANN is implemented for the prediction of two-phase refrigerant distribution; the possibility for substantially improved prediction accuracy is demonstrated; the optimized ANN model mostly achieves a ±5% deviation without overfitting; reverse ANN could define optimal values of design parameters to achieve a target take-offratio;

1

Prediction of Two-phase Flow Distribution in Microchannel Heat Exchangers using Artificial Neural Network

Niccolo Giannettia,b, Mark Anthony Redoc, Sholahudinc, Jongsoo Jeongc, Seiichi Yamaguchib,c, Kiyoshi Saitob,c, Hyunyoung Kimd

a

Waseda Institute for Advanced Study, Waseda University, 1-6-1 Nishiwaseda, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 169-8050, Japan

b

Interdisciplinary Institute for Thermal Energy Conversion Engineering and Mathematics, Waseda University, Tokyo, 169-8555, Japan

c

Department of Applied Mechanics and Aerospace Engineering, Waseda University, Tokyo 169-8555, Japan d

Samsung Research and Development Institute Japan, Osaka, 562-0036, Japan

ABSTRACT Due to the intrinsic complexity of two-phase flow distribution and the limited mathematical flexibility of conventional formulations of the

phenomenon,

previous

attempts

generally

fall

short

in

the

accuracy and applicability of their prediction. To address these issues,

this

flexibility.

study

focuses

Specifically,

on

methods

the

with

higher

construction

and

mathematical training

of

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is presented for the identification of this complex phenomenon. The interaction of the numerous physical phenomena, occurring at different scales, is thus represented by the network

structure,

offering

a

formulation

capable

of

achieving

higher accuracy. Experimental data from a full-scale heat exchanger of

an

air-conditioning

system

operating 2

over

a

wide

range

of

conditions

are

used

to

train

and

test

the

ANN.

The

network

optimization with Bayesian regularization against experimental data leads to a structure featuring 4 inputs, 3 hidden layers, and 3 neurons for each layer, which demonstrates deviations on the single output mostly lower than ±10% and a correlation index higher than 98%, when the whole data set is used for training the ANN. The analysis of the network optimisation for different shares of data used for the network testing, shows higher training and testing accuracy as the number of training data increases, along with no apparent overfittig.

Keywords: Artificial Neural Network, two-phase flow, microchannel heat exchanger, flow distribution

Nomenclature A,B,C,D

Coefficients (-)

R

Resistance (Ω)

b

Bias coefficients

Re

Reynolds number (-)

Ca

Capillary number (-)

S

Entropy rate (W K-1)

D

Diameter (m)

T

Temperature (°C)

f

Transfer function

u

Input

Fr

Froude number (-)

U

Data uncertainty

G

Mass flux (kg m-2s-1)

V

Volume (m3)

g

Gravity (m s-2)

w

Weight coefficients

h

Specific enthalpy (J K-1)

x

Vapour quality (-)

H

Height (m)

y

Output

i

Current (A)

Greek symbols



Mass flowrate (kg h-1)

β

Void fraction (-)

N

Number of branch tubes (-)



Geometrical parameter

p

Pressure (kPa)

ρ

Density (kg m-3)

P

Dissipated power (kW)

µ

Viscosity (Pa s)

Q

Heat transfer rate (kW)

σ

Surface tension (N m-1)

3

Г

j, k, n

Take-off ratio (-)

Subscripts

Indexes

l

Saturated liquid

m

Microchannel

1,2,3,4,5

Tube number

o

Outlet

e

Evaporation

p

Pre-heated

g

Entropy generation

s

Superheated

h

Header

v

Saturated vapour

i,j

Channel index

id

Ideal

Superscript

in

Inlet

a,b,c,d

exponents

1. INTRODUCTION

In the context of very demanding numerical targets in terms of carbon

dioxide

emissions

reduction

[1],

the

development

and

spreading of the heat pump technology was cited as one of the most promising elements to meet this objective. This technology includes vapour compression heat pumps [2], vapour sorption heat pumps [3-5], inverse Brayton heat pumps [6], chemical heat pumps [7], and combinations of these in cascade configurations [8-9], or

hybrid

systems

[10-12].

Heat

exchangers

are

the

main

components for ensuring efficient operation of these systems [1314]. The need for more efficient, smaller, and cheaper devices has

driven

the

development

of

microchannel

heat

exchangers

(MCHX). Miniaturization widens the application field ranging from small vehicles to aerospace systems [15]; it is also associated to higher heat transfer coefficients (resulting in thermal-energy savings,

smaller

systems,

and

less

refrigerant

charge

[16]),

along with higher pressure drop. Pressure drop can be reduced by implementing

multiple

parallel

channels

merging

in

a

common

header for flow distribution. However, during actual operation this component often encounter the occurrence of highly complex and

dynamic

properly

multiphase

accounted

for,

transport lead

to 4

phenomena, detrimental

which, effects

if

not

such

as

dryout of the transfer interfaces [17], poor phase separation or phase distribution. Flow maldistribution within the MCHX headers constitutes their

a

major

challenge

implementation

limiting

their

[18].

Kulkarni

potential

performance et

al.

and [19]

estimated a 20% degradation in the cooling capacity of a system employing MCHXs in relation to this type of flow maldistribution. Two-phase flow distributions within MCHX headers demonstrate complex characteristics under the influence of several parameters such as structural features, external force fields and/or heat transfer, operating conditions, and thermodynamic properties of the working fluid. Interactions between these parameters and the fluid

flow

induce

phase

mixing

and/or

separation,

along

with

momentum dissipations, thereby resulting in pressure drops. The relative

importance

of

these

dissipative

phenomena

is

then

influenced by variable operating conditions. Since an established formulation

for

these

phenomena

is

not

presently

available,

design and control methods of operative machineries has so far relied

on

empirical

rules

or

trial/error

procedures,

hence

leading to non-optimized operation. Interactions between multi-phase fluids and solid structures remain

a

computational

challenge

owing

to

moving

transfer

interfaces, time dependency and non-linearity [20]. The number of numerical

studies

related

to

the

accurate

treatment

of

such

interplays is still limited due to difficulties in modelling the phase interface [21] and defining an appropriate mesh size [22]. Therefore, calculations are computationally intensive and it is usually

impractical

to

establish

the

appropriate

set

of

information for defining the boundary conditions to be imposed and closing the problem. Li et al. (2018) [23] presents numerical results

of

gas–liquid

flow

characteristics

in

a

small

sized

reactor, stating that each calculation case, using coupled volume of fluid and Level Set method, required a computation time of approximately performed refrigerant

one

month.

computational distribution

Whereas, fluid

dynamics

within 5

Huang the

et (CFD)

common

al.

(2014)

[24]

simulations header

of

of a

microchannel

heat

fluid.

approach

This

analyses,

but

optimisation

exchanger is

by

considering

accordingly

cannot

be

procedures

or

suitable

effectively early

only for

used

predesign

single-phase

for

post-design iterative

simulations,

where

numerically lighter models, requiring fewer input parameters, are preferable.

On

needed

a

at

the

one

hand,

pre-design

simple

stage

when

analytical limited

equations

are

information

is

available; on the other hand, given the intrinsic complexity of these

phenomena,

necessary

to

advanced

achieve

the

mathematical target

formulations

prediction

become

accuracy.

As

a

consequence, most of the distribution correlations available in literature

are

establishing

based

on

their

the

Buckingham

analytical

Pi-theorem

formulation

for

[25–31],

conventionally, as the product of power laws of dimensionless groups summarizing the main influential parameters. For instance, Zou and Hrnjak [32] fitted their experimental data to such a kind of correlation dependent on vapour quality, dimensionless cross sectional

area,

and

vapour

Reynolds

number.

The

resulting

correlation exhibits deviations higher than ±40%. Redo et al. [25] designed and installed an experimental facility employing a large-sized MCHX, and performed experiments over a wider range of refrigerant mass flux. An empirical correlation was deduced. An improved ±25% deviation from experimental results was observed in the result prediction. This conventional type of formulation has been considered as a relatively “rigid” mathematical framework, which, hence, may fall short with regard to representing the target variable over a broad range of physical conditions and with sufficient accuracy. To address the issue of achieving an accurate prediction based on a limited amount of input information, in a previous work of the authors (Giannetti et al. 2019 [26]), a method for deriving an advanced mathematical form of the correlation equation has, therefore,

been

proposed.

The

analytical

formulation

of

the

steady state take-off ratio was obtained from Prigogine’s Theorem of

minimum

entropy

generation

6

[33-34]

by

considering

an

approximate representation based on the analogy between fluidflow networks and electric circuits. Alternatively, provided that a sufficient number of training data is available, Artificial neural network (ANN) method has the ability of mathematically reconstructing the interdependencies of complex phenomena while relying on a limited number of input parameters [35-37] with equivalent computational requirements of those necessary for calculating an analytical expression. In the last two decades, this method has been extensively applied to building

energy

optimisation

management

[40-41],

strategies

heat

exchanger

[38-39],

system

characterization

control [42-44],

and prediction of various phenomena [45-48]. Most recently, the advantage

of

ANN

over

conventional

methods

in

predicting

oscillatory heat transfer coefficient of one thermoacoustic heat exchanger was discussed by Rahman and Zhang (2018)[49]; Ricardo et

al.

(2016)[50]

used

this

method

to

characterize

the

convective heat transfer rate that occurs during the evaporation of a refrigerant flowing inside tubes of small diameter; Sablani et al. (2005) [51] proposed ANN to avoid the use of a timeconsuming, iterative procedures for the heat transfer coefficient for

a

solid/fluid

assembly

from

the

knowledge

of

the

inside

temperature; numerous other works presented several successful application

of

coefficients

ANN

[52-56].

for It

the has

estimation been

also

of

heat

recognised

transfer that

the

complex mathematical framework of an ANN model has the advantage of easily handling large number of data with high prediction accuracy,

thus

enabling

to

summarise

data

from

different

investigation to cover larger ranges and set of working fluids within one model [57]. Finally, ANN has been applied for flow pattern identification (e.g. [58]). However, the advantage of using this method for the prediction of two-phase refrigerant distribution has not been discussed in previous literature. By relying on this approach, this study focuses on a method with

higher

mathematical

flexibility,

presents

its

comparison

with conventional formulations, and suggests the possibility of a 7

new

advanced

common

representation

vertical

header

of

of a

flow

MCHX.

distribution In

this

within

respect,

it

the is

demonstrated that ANN provides a possibility for substantially improved

accuracy

Specifically, Artificial

for

an

equal

the

construction

Neural

Network

number

and

(ANN)

of

input

training is

of

parameters.

an

presented

optimized for

the

identification of this complex phenomenon. The interaction of the numerous physical phenomena, occurring at different scales, is thus represented by the network structure, offering a formulation capable of achieving higher accuracy.

2. System and experiments Experimental results reported by Redo et al. [25] obtained for a full-scale evaporating MCHX for an air-conditioning system are referred in this study to investigate the ability of different mathematical formulations to predict these results. Parameters representing the experimental range covered by this experiment are summarized in Table 1.

Table 1. Experimental conditions Inlet Total inlet flow rate ṁin -1

[kg·h ]

Inlet vapour saturation quality xin

temperature

[-]

Te

Tube protrusion depth [%]

[°C] 40, 50, 60, 80, 100, 150

0.1, 0.2

10

50

50, 100, 150, 200

0.1, 0.2

15

50

50, 100, 150

0.2

10

0

8

Figure

1

experimental

depicts

the

equipment

and

characterised.

The

schematic test

header

flow

section

comprises

diagram

where

20

flat

the

tubes

of

the

header

is

containing

microchannels branching out from the header. These are grouped together forming 5 measurement tubes (tube 1 to tube 5). Mass flow

rates

individually

exiting

from

measured

each

along

of

these

with

tubes

their

(ṁ1 to

ṁ5)

corresponding

were

vapour

qualities (x1 to x5).

rear header

test section RV51 RV

BV51 BV

front header

CV51 CV

ṁ5 tube tube5 ṁ 1 1

microchannels

xxx551

ṁ24 tube tube4 ṁ 2

xi x. i

ṁ3 tube3

. .

ṁ24 tube tube2 ṁ 4 T

T

vap. flow meter

condenser

F brine chiller

Tin

ṁ15 tube tube15 ṁ

P

control valve 2

Ts Ps

x1

xx15

Pin

Δp ṁin xin

vapor heater

Qs

T

T

bypass

Qp

subcooler

tank

Psub Tsub

T

F T

magnetic pump T

preheater

control liq. flow valve 1 meter

T

brine chiller

Figure 1. Schematic diagram of the experimental setup.

The instruments’ measurement ranges and accuracies are indicated in Table 2.

Table 2. Ranges and accuracies of instrumentation devices.

9

Instrument

Range

Pressure transmitter Differential pressure transmitter Platinum resistance thermometer sensor

Accuracy

0–3500 kPa

± 1.0% of full scale

0.75–100 kPa

± 0.1% of full scale

-200–500 ℃

±(0.3+0.005|t|), t: measurement

Liquid Coriolis flowmeter

0–200 kg h-1

Vapor Coriolis flowmeter

0–60 kg h-1

Clamp on power meter

0–6 kW

± 0.2% ± (0.09[kg/h] / Q[kg h-1] ×100[%])of reading ± 0.1% ± (0.036[kg/h] / Q[kg h-1] × 100[%])of reading ± (0.6% of reading + 0.4% of range)

The fluid flow within an MCHX header such as the one depicted in Fig. 2a, enters from the bottom of the vertical header and is distributed between multiple horizontally oriented microchannels. When

referring

to

elementary

control

volumes,

these

can

be

represented as one-inlet–two-outlet junctions (inset to Fig. 2b within dotted box). At each junction, a portion of the inlet flow is withdrawn through the branch tube; the remaining fluid within the header passes

through

along

the

vertical

direction

towards

the

successive junction. The flow partition between branch tubes is governed by the interaction between structural parameters of the junction, fluid momentum, and thermo-physical properties of the working fluid.

10

tube 5 ṁ5

x5

tube 4 ṁ4

x4

tube 3 ṁ3

x3

tube 2 ṁ2

x4

ṁo,2

tube 1 ṁl

x1

ṁo,1

ṁo,5 ṁh,5 ṁo,4 ṁh,j+1

ṁh,4 ṁo,3 ṁh,3 ṁo,j ṁh,2 ṁin xin

ṁh,1

tube protrusion

ṁh,j

ṁin xin

(a)

(b)

Figure 2. (a) Actual fluid flow; (b) Fluid-flow representation within MCHX

The total circulating flowrate (ṁin) and the inlet vapor quality before the header (xin) were first experimentally adjusted to the target condition, at saturation temperatures of 10 °C or 15 °C. Individual pressure drop (Δpi) was measured for each of the five measurement

tubes

at

a

steady

state

condition,

and

the

average

reading from the pressure gauge was taken as a reference. These recorded

values

individual

were

flowrate

used

(ṁ1 to

as

a

ṁ5).

reference

Individual

when flow

measuring rates

are

the then

bypassed to the measurement section mainly consisted of a cartridge heater and vapor Coriolis flowmeter. While targeting corresponding pressure drops Δpi by adjusting the control valve 2 (Fig. 1), a vapour heater was used to superheat the flow entering the vapour Coriolis flow meter. Once a fairly stable condition was maintained, the individual vapour flowrate was directly measured for a time span of 15 minutes. As this experiment was carried out under adiabatic conditions of the test section the evaluation of the individual inlet quality (xi) relied on a set of measured quantities, and refrigerant

properties

taken

from

the

NIST

standard

reference

database of thermodynamic and transport properties of refrigerants 11

[26]. Specifically, once the steady operative saturation pressure and the bypassed refrigerant flowrate (ṁi) were known, the heat input at the vapour heater in the bypass channel (Qs) to reach the target superheated condition (Ts) from the inlet conditions at the front

header

(measured).

Equation

1

describes

the

calculation

procedure adopted to obtain this parameter.

xi  The combined

mi  hs  hl   Qs mi  hv  hl  uncertainty uncertainties

Eq. 1

analysis of

the

of

the

collected

measurements,

data

which

gave

the

includes

the

theoretical uncertainty caused by sensor accuracy limitations and the uncertainty contribution due to experimental variability. An expanded uncertainty is subsequently calculated, providing a higher level of confidence with a coefficient value of 2. The range of the calculated uncertainties are presented in Table 3 [25].

Table 3. Combined expanded uncertainties. Total inlet flow rate Uṁin

Inlet vapour quality Uxin

[kg h-1]

0.16–0.24

[-]

0.009–0.012

Individual mass flow rate Uṁi

Individual vapour quality Uxi

Individual pressure drop UΔpi

[kg h-1]

[-]

[kPa]

0.05–0.80

0.02–0.14

0.10–0.47

This enables the calculation of the take-off ratio (Eq.3) as a derived quantity defined by eq. 2.

i 

mi 1  xi  i 1

Eq. 2

min 1  xin    m j 1  x j  j 1

i         2 2 U i   U  U   min   xin   j 1  m j  min   xin  2

2

12

2

2

i     2 2  U m j     U x j j 1  x j  

Eq. 3

The

range

of

the

take-off

ratio

uncertainty

extends

over

values of i between 0.0056 and 0.1997, whereas the individual values are plotted as error bars in Figures 3 and 7.

3. Analysis of the mathematical framework 3.1 Dimensionless groups Despite the limited applicability and accuracy of conventional formulations for characterizing fluid-flow distributions within MCHX, empirical correlations built up as the multiplication of power laws of selected dimensionless groups have been developed in numerous extant studies. This is the case of the pioneering work of Watanabe et al. [59], who performed modelling of twophase

flow

distributions

within

MCHX,

thereby

resulting

in

a

correlation to determine the ratio of the fluid mass flow rate exiting the branch tube (ṁo,i) to that immediately upstream of the header (ṁh,i). This same ratio was subsequently adopted in the study performed by Byun & Kim [31] and Zou and Hrnjak [32], who named it as the take-off ratio i. This was considered the same to

be

related

to

the

vapour-phase

Reynolds

number.

Other

researches have similarly tried to relate the said ratio to other dimensionless numbers, which they deemed significant. Similarly, in this study, the same set of plausibly influent dimensionless parameters is considered in different mathematical formulations mostly

of

fluid

considered

the

flow

within

Reynolds

MCHXs.

number

Extant

(Re)

studies

evaluated

have at

a

location immediately upstream of the branch tube [25,30-32]. The liquid

take-off

related

to

the

ratio

for

Reynolds

an

number

evaporator (Rel)

in

application accordance

can with

be the

following expression (Eq. 4).

Rel 

Gh,l ,i Dh

(4)

l

As the strong effect of gravitational forces was demonstrated in the occurrence of different flow-patterns, and liquid reach 13

[60]. The Froude number is hereby expressed as in Eq. (5) to represent the upwards liquid momentum against that of a liquid falling freely from height Hi in a saturated vapour environment [25]. Frl 

G 

2

h ,l ,i

(5)

l  l  v  gH i

Small channels result in generation of axisymmetric or nonstratified flow patterns with low Reynolds numbers along with high

wall-shear

stresses

and

surface

tension

[61].

Chung

and

Kawaji [62] exclusively observed slug-flow patterns generated by the balance between effects of viscosity and surface tension. Therefore, the capillary number expressed as the ratio of surface tension to viscous forces (Eq. 3) is assumed to play an important role in describing fluid-flow distribution within MCHXs. The mass flux in Eq. (6) is estimated with reference to the hydraulic diameter of the microchannel flat tube.

Cal  The

G 'h ,l ,i l

(6)

 l void

fraction



(Eq.

7)

is

also

an

important

factor

reflecting the flow regime and directly associated to the slip ratio of the average velocity of each phase, hence, critical with regard to the occurrence of pressure drop.



Vv V

(7)

Although other groups were considered in [63], in this study, this

set

of

4

dimensionless

groups

is

used

in

3

different

mathematical formulations to compare their ability of predicting this phenomenon.

3.2 Conventional formulation

14

The first direct possibility comes from the adoption of a conventional formulation, as the multiplication of power laws of the above-stated parameters (Eq. 8).

l , j  A Rel Frl (1   )c Cal a

b

d

(8)

The fitting to the data from Redo et al. [25] leads to Eq. (9), with a deviations mostly below ±30% and a correlation index higher than 83% (Figure 3).

1

+15

+30 +20

0.9

-15

0.8 -20

ṁo,l,i/ṁh,l,i

0.7 -30

0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2

R2 = 0.835

0.1 0

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

A[(B*Relb+C*Frlc+D*(1-β)d)Calα + N-j+1]-1 Figure 3. Predicted versus actual data results obtained using a conventional formulation [26]

l , j  10410000Rel 1.11 Frl 0.475 (1   )1.18 Cal1.81

(9)

3.3 ANN identification At present, artificial intelligence (AI) is being used and studied in

various

fields,

and

there

is 15

no

exception

in

the

field

of

refrigeration and air conditioning. In fact, several major phenomena at

play

in

this

complexity.

are

Accordingly,

encapsulated prediction

field

within of

characterized mathematically

when

explored

simplified

these by

characterized

at

deviations.

reconstructing

the

the As

a

over

mathematical

phenomena

large

by

ANN

high

wide

degree

of

ranges

and

formulations,

the

pre-design has

the

interdependencies

stage

is

ability

of

of

complex

phenomena while relying on a limited number of input parameters, this opens up to possibilities of advanced identifications of such complex phenomena. The interaction of the numerous forces, within different scales, during flow distribution within the common header can

hence

be

accurately

represented

by

an

optimised

network

structure. Figure 4 represents a possible schematic structure of the ANN used in this research, for the purpose of which, the output is the take-off ratio. Here, as an example for evaluating the potential of this method in predicting the flow distribution phenomenon, the set

of

4

dimensionless

parameters,

used

in

presented above, is selected as the input layer.

16

the

formulations

Input layer

Hidden layer

Output layer

Re Fr 

 Ca

Figure 4. Simplified ANN configuration

The correlation between input and output for one hidden layer can be conceptually represented by Fig. 5. The product of input elements u(k) and weight w1 is fed to summing junctions and is summed with bias b1 then passes through the transfer function f1 to generate n. Subsequently, the output from hidden layer n is multiplied by the weight coefficient w2 and summed with b2, the transformed by the transfer function f2 to generate output y(k).

Fig. 5 Mathematical representation of ANN model 17

Network optimization When developing an ANN model, the input and output training data is first normalized in the range [-1, 1] to facilitate the training process

towards

convergence

[64].

The

network

configuration

is

optimized by varying number of hidden layers H and neurons. The increase of number of neurons in one and two hidden layer shows no significant effect on the accuracy. This is because the increase of number

of

weight

coefficients

cannot

improve

the

structural

flexibility of ANN. Meanwhile, the increase of number of hidden layers can make the network to be more flexible.

Fig. 6 ANN model optimization

The accuracy achieved by the network with three hidden layers fluctuates

widely.

Conversely,

when

the

network

is

not

rigid,

convergence becomes non-trivial during the training process because the optimisation passes through a higher order of the number of parameters

to

be

modulated.

possibility

of

attaining

Nonetheless,

better

accuracy.

this Figure

expands

the

6

the

shows

training results using 100% data. Based on this results, the highest accuracy can be achieved by three hidden layers and three neurons for each hidden layer. Table 4 summarises network structure and 18

training accuracy as the RMSE between predicted take-off ratio and experimental data, as well as the correlation index R2.

Table 4 Network structure and training accuracy Network structure

Training

Correlation

(I-H-H-H-O)

accuracy (RMSE)

index (R2)

4-3-3-3-1

0.043

0.9802

Figure 7 illustrates the prediction ability of this model and makes evidence for obviously higher accuracy when compared to the previously discussed formulations. Most of the take-off ratio values are estimated within a ±10% deviation and a correlation index higher than 98% is achieved.

1 +5% +10

0.9

+20 -5%

0.8

-10

ṁo,l,i/ṁh,l,i

0.7 -20

0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3

0.2

R2 = 0.980

0.1 0 0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

ANN(Re,Fr,Ca,) Figure 7. Predicted versus actual data results obtained using proposed method 19

Network testing accuracy To ensure that the ANN model is not experiencing overfitting, which would lead to possible large deviation when tested on a set of data not included in the training data, the values of the take-off ratio measured by Redo et al. [25] is divided into two shares: one intended for training and the other for testing. The ANN model is optimised while targeting the best training accuracy for

4

different

training

and

subdivisions

testing

data

of

(Table

the

experimental

5).

Prediction

results results

in are

summarized in Table 5 in terms of network structure, testing and training accuracy.

Table 5 Optimised network structure and training/testing accuracy 50% testing

20% testing

10% testing

1% testing

Network

(I-H-H-H-O)

(I-H-H-H-O)

(I-H-H-H-O)

(I-H-H-H-

structure

4-2-2-2-1

4-3-3-3-1

4-4-4-4-1

O)

(RMSE)

4-4-4-4-1

Testing

0.081

0.047

0.044

0.036

0.052

0.059

0.039

0.035

0.929

0.949

0.973

0.980

accuracy (RMSE) Training accuracy (RMSE) Correlation 2

index (R )

As illustrated in Figure 8, in general, the optimised ANN model exhibits better testing (red markers) accuracy when more data are used for training (blue markers).

20

1 0.9

+20

+10

+5 -5

0.8

-10

ṁo,l,i/ṁh,l,i

0.7 -20

0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3

0.2 0.1 0 0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

a 1 +10

0.9

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

0.8

b

1

+5

+20

+10

0.9

-5

+5

+20 -5

0.8

-10

0.7

-10

0.7

ṁo,l,i/ṁh,l,i

-20

0.6 0.5 0.4

-20

0.6 0.5 0.4

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1

0

0

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

ANN(Re,Fr,Ca,)

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

ANN(Re,Fr,Ca,)

c

d

1 0.9

+20

+10

+5 -5

0.8

-10

0.7

ṁo,l,i/ṁh,l,i

ṁo,l,i/ṁh,l,i

0.6

ANN(Re,Fr,Ca,)

-20

0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

ANN(Re,Fr,Ca,)

Figure 8. Testing results for different sets [(a) 50%/50%; (b) 80%/20%; (c) 90%/10%; (d) 99%/1%] of training/testing data

However, considering the uncertainty of the experimental data [25], the improvement between 90% and 99% training data is quite 21

irrelevant. Accordingly, the set of experimental data used for training should stay within this range to achieve high prediction accuracy while ensuring that no overfitting is occurring in this process. The implementation of this same method is easily attainable from

the

user

by

performing

the

ANN

training

with

Bayesian

regularization of the ANN toolbox of MATlab®, referring to the optimized setting presented in Table 4 and Table 5.

3.4. Results comparison Table

6

compares

formulations

the

presented

ability

above

of

to

the

predict

2

mathematical

two-phase

flow

distribution in microchannel heat exchangers. More complex and flexible mathematical formulations yield better accuracy.

Table 4 Comparison between different formulations [26]

Correlation

Conventional

This study

0.835

0.980

index (R2)

Although,

the

implementation

of

ANN

does

not

provide

an

interpretation for physical understanding of the phenomenon, and, being a black-box approach, applied to a limited set of training data

related

to

a

specific

experimental

structure,

it

is

recommended not to extrapolate the ANN results outside the range of training. This method can be further extended to wider ranges of operation, different working fluids, and header structures. Namely, data from different set-ups and extensive sets of results from computational fluid dynamics could be summarised in a single ANN model to provide a general prediction tool for two-phase flow distribution in microchannel heat exchangers. However, this could 22

worsen the correlation index for a given set of input parameters, whereas it could be advantageous to improve the accuracy of all the correlations available in literature by individually applying this method to different set of data from different header types.

3.5. Reverse ANN By relying on the identification of flow distribution obtained in the previous section (summarised in Table 4), it is possible to calculate the values of Reynolds, Froude and capillary numbers as design parameters for approaching ideally uniform distribution with a constrained value of the liquid fraction (1-). These values can be referenced for re-establishing geometrical features such

as

vertical

position

of

the

branching

tubes

Hi ,

cross

sectional area of the header Ah,i, and hydraulic diameter Di on a local basis for target rated conditions. Figure 9 illustrates the results of this calculation procedure (numerically reported in Table 7). For instance, referring to the value of the Reynolds number in figure 9a, it is advantageous to have a quickly flowing fluid at the bottom of the header, to avoid excessive fluid stagnation at this location. At the third vertical position, a higher value of Reynolds than the second branch is required and can be obtained by means of a locally narrower cross sectional area of the header. In the same circumstance of an operative inlet liquid fraction (1-=0.247), a higher Capillary number at the second vertical position can be represented by a narrower hydraulic diameter of the access to the tubes branching at this location. Similar observation can be reported for the cases in Figures 9b and 9c, where results make evidence for different distribution characteristics at different operative conditions. In the design process

of

the

vertical

header

all

these

conditions

can

be

accounted for when evaluating the distribution performance on a comprehensive

operative

range.

Furthermore,

in

the

favourable

circumstance of the utilization of local actuators which enable 23

dynamic adjustments of structural features in relation to the operative condition, ideal distribution could be approached in the whole system operation range, with obvious possibilities for advanced energy saving control strategies.

1 0.9

1-=0.247  1/5

Fr Rel*10-5

Caid, Frid, Reid*10-5

0.8

 1/3

0.7

Ca

0.6 0.5  1/4

0.4

 1/2

0.3 0.2 0.1

1

0 1

2

3

4

5

Branch tube position

1-=0.127 0.9

 1/5

 1/3

1

 1/2

Caid, Frid, Reid*10-5

0.8

Fr Ca

0.7

 1/4

0.6

0.9

Rel*10-5

0.5 0.4

0.3 0.2

Fr

 1/3

Rel*10-5 Ca

0.7 0.6 0.5

 1/4

0.4 0.3

 1/2

0.2

0.1

1

2

3

4

1

0.1

1

0

(b)

1-=0.024  1/5

0.8

Caid, Frid, Reid*10-5

1

(a)

0

5

1

Branch tube position

2

3

4

5

Branch tube position

(c)

Figure 9. Values of Reynolds, Froude and Capillary numbers for approaching optimal take-off-ratio

However, the results from this design method are subject for verification, and it might be necessary to rely on a larger set of data to increase the level of confidence of the derivable design and operation strategies.

Table 7 Results from reverse ANN for approaching optimal take-offratio 24

Tube position

Target Achievable  

1-

Cal

Rel

Frl

(constrained)

1

0.2000

0.2573

0.2470

0.0475

90525

0.0577

2

0.2500

0.2746

0.2470

0.0841

35412

0.0547

3

0.3333

0.3551

0.2470

0.0517

70046

0.0132

4

0.5000

0.5164

0.2470

0.0169

24934

0.0656

5

1

1

0.2470

"

"

"

1

0.2000

0.2573

0.1270

0.0413

90519

0.0504

2

0.2500

0.2746

0.1270

0.0223

56605

0.1240

3

0.3333

0.3551

0.1270

0.0260

87492

0.0114

4

0.5000

0.5164

0.1270

0.0029

79852

0.0046

5

1

1

0.1270

"

"

"

1

0.2000

0.2573

0.0240

0.0363

90527

0.0442

2

0.2500

0.2746

0.0240

0.1002

34172

0.0932

3

0.3333

0.3551

0.0240

0.0805

84136

0.0190

4

0.5000

0.5164

0.0240

0.0196

20829

0.0461

5

1

1

0.0240

"

"

"

5. Conclusions The development of an alternative method for predicting twophase flow distribution in microchannel heat exchangers, via use of an optimised ANN model has been presented. Additionally, the model

prediction

mathematical

ability

formulations

has of

been

the

compared

phenomenon

with from

other

previous

literature. When tested on the same set of experimental data, and with the same

set

of

dimensionless

numbers

as

input

parameters,

conventional power laws formulation, semi-theoretical variational formulation from Prigogine’s theorem, and ANN model demonstrate prediction

deviations

mostly

within 25

±30%,

±15%,

and

±10%,

respectively.

The

ANN

model

exhibits

the

highest

correlation

index (above 98%), followed by the variational formulation (above 94%); the conventional formulation, with a correlation index of 84%, is characterized by the lowest accuracy. When

the

values

of

the

take-off

ratio

are

divided

into

different shares for training and testing, it has been concluded that,

to

achieve

overfitting,

the

high

set

of

prediction

accuracy

experimental

data

while

used

avoiding

for

training

should stay within 90% and 99% of the total data set. In

this

possibility

respect, for

it

is

demonstrated

substantially

improved

that

ANN

accuracy

provides

for

an

a

equal

number of input parameters. In this respect, this investigation brings along the possibility of improving the accuracy of other correlations available in literature by applying ANN to different set of data. Besides providing the highest prediction accuracy among the mathematical formulations available at present, this method can be

further

working

extended

fluids,

and

to

wider

header

ranges

structures

of by

operation, including

different data

from

different set-ups and results from computational fluid dynamics in a single ANN model - targeting a general prediction tool for two-phase flow distribution in microchannel heat exchangers. Finally, the possibility of reversing this ANN to define the optimal values of design parameters to achieve the target value of

take-off-ratio

is

suggested

and

could

open

up

to

new

guidelines for optimised header designs and operation strategies. Declaration of interests The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

26

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