PROGNOSTIC ROLE OF COMBINED PLATELET COUNT AND NEUTROPHIL-TO-LYMPHOCYTE RATIO IN PREDICTING OUTCOME IN PATIENTS WITH CHRONIC HEART FAILURE

PROGNOSTIC ROLE OF COMBINED PLATELET COUNT AND NEUTROPHIL-TO-LYMPHOCYTE RATIO IN PREDICTING OUTCOME IN PATIENTS WITH CHRONIC HEART FAILURE

A1005 JACC March 17, 2015 Volume 65, Issue 10S Heart Failure and Cardiomyopathies Prognostic Role of Combined Platelet Count and Neutrophil-to-Lympho...

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A1005 JACC March 17, 2015 Volume 65, Issue 10S

Heart Failure and Cardiomyopathies Prognostic Role of Combined Platelet Count and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Predicting Outcome in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure Poster Contributions Poster Hall B1 Sunday, March 15, 2015, 3:45 p.m.-4:30 p.m. Session Title: Imaging and Biomarkers in Heart Failure Abstract Category: 14.  Heart Failure and Cardiomyopathies: Clinical Presentation Number: 1217-228 Authors: Chim C. Lang, Mohapradeep Mohan, Daniel Levin, Anna Maria Choy, Allan D. Struthers, University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom

Background: Inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-6 (IL-6) have been implicated in chronic heart failure (CHF) progression, mediating adverse cardiac remodelling. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and reactive thrombocytosis are cellular components of systemic inflammation that are regulated by cytokines especially IL-6. In this study, we investigated the prognostic significance of a novel inflammation-based system for CHF, collectively named the CPNR (combination of platelet count and NLR), in predicting outcome in CHF patients.

Methods: A total of 1,557 patients with CHF (mean age 76±11 y, 34% females, 65% IHD; 57% in NYHA III/IV) were recruited as part of the BIOSTAT-CHF Scotland study. Routine laboratory measurements including full blood count was performed at baseline from which NLR and platelet count was determined. The cut-off values of NLR and platelet count were chosen at 3 and 275 respectively so as to maximise model fit, backed up by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. A patient with both elevated NLR (>3) and platelet count (>275) was allocated a score of 2 (CPNR 2), and a patient shown one or neither was allocated a score of 1 (CPNR 1) or 0 (CPNR 0), respectively. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the prognostic impact of CPNR, adjusting for significant covariates. Results: During a median follow-up period of 1.4 years (IQR 0.6,2.2), there were 23% all-cause deaths, 10% CHF deaths and 12% CVD deaths. Mortality rates (95% CI) were higher in CPNR 2 (all-cause: 251, CHF: 129, & CVD: 116 deaths per 1000 person years) as compared to CPNR 1 (all-cause: 189, CHF: 86, & CVD: 99 deaths per 1000 person years) and CPNR 0 (all-cause: 76, CHF: 28 & CVD: 42 deaths per 1000 person years). A Cox proportional hazard model, adjusted for relevant covariates, showed that CPNR was a significant risk factor for mortality [all-cause, HR=1.5 CI=1.3-1.8; CHF, HR=1.65 CI=1.3-2.2; CVD, HR=1.5 CI=1.2-1.9] and CHF hospitalization (HR=1.3 CI=1.1-1.5). Conclusion: CPNR is a novel and readily available biomarker of inflammation that could potentially help in risk stratification of CHF patients.