Rapid Aspiration Screening for Suspected Stroke

Rapid Aspiration Screening for Suspected Stroke

Accepted Manuscript The Rapid Aspiration Screening in Suspected Stroke Part 1: Development and Validation Stephanie K. Daniels, PhD, Shweta Pathak, MP...

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Accepted Manuscript The Rapid Aspiration Screening in Suspected Stroke Part 1: Development and Validation Stephanie K. Daniels, PhD, Shweta Pathak, MPH, John C. Rosenbek, PhD, Robert O. Morgan, PhD, Jane A. Anderson, PhD PII:

S0003-9993(16)30076-4

DOI:

10.1016/j.apmr.2016.03.025

Reference:

YAPMR 56523

To appear in:

ARCHIVES OF PHYSICAL MEDICINE AND REHABILITATION

Received Date: 7 March 2016 Accepted Date: 29 March 2016

Please cite this article as: Daniels SK, Pathak S, Rosenbek JC, Morgan RO, Anderson JA, The Rapid Aspiration Screening in Suspected Stroke Part 1: Development and Validation, ARCHIVES OF PHYSICAL MEDICINE AND REHABILITATION (2016), doi: 10.1016/j.apmr.2016.03.025. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke The Rapid Aspiration Screening in Suspected Stroke Part 1: Development and Validation Stephanie K. Daniels, PhD,1,2 Shweta Pathak, MPH,3 John C. Rosenbek, PhD,4 Robert O.

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Morgan, PhD,3 Jane A. Anderson, PhD5,6

Research Service Line, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, Houston, TX; 2Department of

Communication Sciences and Disorders, University of Houston, Houston, TX; 3School of Public

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Health, University of Texas Health Sciences Center, Houston, TX; 4Department of

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Communication Sciences and Disorders, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; 5Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, Houston, TX; 6Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston TX; The authors would like to acknowledge the contribution of the research coordinators, speech pathologists, and neurologists who facilitated subject recruitment and data collection and also the

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nurses who participated in the study. The project was supported by a Merit Award (1I0RX00121) from Rehabilitation Research & Development of the VA Office of Research and Development Service. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not

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necessarily represent the views of the Department of Veterans Affairs or the University of Texas

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School of Public Health. The full study protocol can be accessed at the Department of Veterans Affairs.

Device Status: The manuscript submitted does not contain information about medical device(s). SKD, SP, JCR, and ROM received salary support from the Department of Veterans Affairs-Merit Award (1I0RX00121). JAA has no conflict of interest.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke For Correspondence and Reprints: Stephanie K. Daniels, PhD, Research Service (151), Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, 2002 Holcombe Blvd, Houston, TX 77030, Phone: 713-794-

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7152, FAX: 713-794-7786, Email: [email protected]

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke 1

The Rapid Aspiration Screening in Suspected Stroke

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Part 1: Development and Validation Abstract

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OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a nurse-administered screening tool to identify

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aspiration risk in patients with suspected stroke.

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DESIGN: Validity study comparing evidence-based swallowing screening items with

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videofluoroscopic swallowing study (VFSS).

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SETTINGS: The study was completed in a certified primary stroke center in a major

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metropolitan medical facility.

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PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive patients (N=250) admitted with suspected stroke.

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INTERVENTIONS: Patients were administered evidence-based swallowing screening items by

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nurses. A VFSS was completed within 2 hours of swallowing screening.

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MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Validity relative to identifying VFSS determined aspiration for

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each screening item and for various combinations of items.

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RESULTS: Aspiration was identified in 29 of the 250 participants. Logistic regression revealed

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age (p=0.012), dysarthria (p=0.001), abnormal volitional cough (p=0.030), and signs related to

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trial water swallow (p=0.021) to be significantly associated with aspiration. Validity was then

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determined based on the best combination of significant items for predicting aspiration. Results

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revealed that age >70, or dysarthria, or signs related to trial water swallow (i.e., cough, throat

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clear, wet vocal quality, and inability to continuously swallow 90ml water) yielded 93%

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sensitivity and 98% negative predictive value.

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke CONCLUSIONS: The final validated tool, Rapid Aspiration Screening for Suspected Stroke

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(RAS3), is a valid nurse-administered tool to detect risk of aspiration in patients presenting with

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suspected stroke.

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Key Words: Deglutition Disorders, Stroke, Screening, Validity

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke List of Abbreviations

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AUC

area under curve

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CI

confidence interval

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ED

emergency department

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LAR

legally authorized representative

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NPV

negative predictive value

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NIHSS

National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale

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PPV

positive predictive value

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RAS3

Rapid Aspiration Screening for Suspected Stroke

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ROC

receiver operating characteristic

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RN

registered nurse

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SLP

speech-language pathologist

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SSI

swallowing screening item

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SST

swallowing screening tool

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TIA

transient ischemic attack

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TVF

true vocal fold

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VFSS

videofluoroscopic swallowing study

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WS

water swallow

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke Early detection of aspiration risk in patients with suspected stroke is critical for immediate

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intervention to reduce mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs.1-3 These findings have led to

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the recommendation of screening swallowing, regardless of stroke severity, in individuals

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presenting with suspected stroke.4

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Swallowing screening tools (SSTs) administered by frontline healthcare providers such as

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registered nurses (RNs) have been developed in individuals with stroke;5-8 however, all are

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validated in patients with confirmed stroke, not individuals presenting with suspected stroke.

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This is a limitation as screening is completed early in the care process, either in the emergency

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department (ED) or upon hospital admission, frequently before confirmation of stroke diagnosis.

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Moreover, SST validation has been limited to studies in which individuals were referred for

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swallowing evaluation,7,8 or had specific National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS)

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scores.6 These factors limit generalization of SSTs to real-world application.

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Finally, most stroke SSTs have focused on identification of dysphagia, not aspiration.6,8 While

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the incidence of dysphagia in stroke is high,9 not all patients who have dysphagia aspirate.

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During the acute stroke workup, the focus should be on rapidly determining aspiration risk for

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patient safety in order to quickly provide oral medication and address patient needs such as fluid

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intake. After the emergent stroke workup, formal dysphagia evaluation by a speech-language

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pathologist (SLP) is necessary to fully evaluate oropharyngeal swallowing and determine if an

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instrumental swallowing evaluation is warranted. The aim of this study was to develop a valid

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nurse-administered screening tool for the rapid identification of aspiration risk in patients

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presenting with suspected stroke. The a priori hypothesis was that a combination of non-

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swallowing and swallowing screening items would provide the highest validity for identification

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of aspiration risk.

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Methods

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Participants

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Medical records of patients consecutively admitted for stroke workup to the Michael E. DeBakey

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Veterans Affairs Medical Center (MEDVAMC) or who had a suspected stroke during

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hospitalization between October 2012 and November 2014 were reviewed for eligibility. A

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clinical, non-validated swallowing screening was completed in the ED as part of the hospital’s

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stroke protocol.10 Patients were approached for participation regardless of the clinical screening

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results. Consented participants met all the inclusion/exclusion criteria with a total of 250 patients

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submitted for data analyses (Figure 1). RNs were recruited from MEDVAMC stroke wards to

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administer and interpret swallowing screening items (SSIs) on consented participants (see Part 2

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for RN details). The determination of sample size was based on the existing literature on

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prevalence of aspiration.11-13 The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board at the

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Baylor College of Medicine and the Research and Development Committee at MEDVAMC in

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Houston, TX, and all individuals provided written consent prior to participation.

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Screening items

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SSIs were obtained from a systematic literature review.14 Items were submitted to 10 content

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experts (SLPs and RNs who had greater than 10 years of experience working with stroke and/or

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dysphagia in VAMCs) who rated the items according to usefulness in detecting aspiration and

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke feasibility for nursing implementation. Content expert agreement was determined utilizing

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content validity index methodology.15 The final SSIs evaluated for validity were six non-

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swallowing items: male, age >70 years, lethargy, dysarthria, wet vocal quality, abnormal

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volitional cough and five swallowing items: cough after swallowing, throat clear after

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swallowing, wet vocal quality after swallowing, inability to continuously drink 90ml water

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without stopping, wet vocal quality after 1 minute. Most are similar to items on available SSTs.5-

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criteria assigned by the content experts.

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Other items from the literature review were not part of the tested SSIs as they did not meet

All non-swallowing items were assessed regardless of present or absent score. Non-swallowing items were followed by administration of at least one water swallow trial. The swallowing

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portion of the screening consisted of three water swallow trials (5ml twice, 90ml) administered

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via a cup or straw. If any sign of aspiration risk (cough, throat clear, wet voice) was present after

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either 5ml water swallow, the screening was stopped, and subsequent water swallow trials were

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not administered. If no aspiration sign was present for either 5ml trial, the 90ml trial was

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administered, and the patient was assessed for ability to continuously drink and vocal quality

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after 1 minute in addition to the same signs of aspiration risk identified on smaller water

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volumes.

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Screeners were blinded to the clinical ED screening results. They were instructed to score items

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as yes (present), no (not present), undecided, or no/limited response (Appendix 1; see Part 2 for

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details on training). For scoring of abnormal volitional cough, a weak or breathy cough was

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differentiated from other vocal responses (throat clear, verbalizes the word “cough”, or

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke production any other response that was not an actual cough) in order to determine differences in

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relationship to aspiration. Because individual screenings had variable numbers of swallowing

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items depending on whether screening was stopped, the water swallowing items were combined

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to a single dichotomous indicator coded “1” if any swallowing items were positive and “0”

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otherwise.

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Videofluoroscopic swallowing study (VFSS)

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A VFSS, which served as the reference standard for screening item comparison, was completed

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within 2 hours following the screening. Lateral radiographic views were obtained with the

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fluoroscopic tube focused on the oral cavity and cervical esophagus. Samples were video-

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recorded for later analysis. Participants completed two non-cued trials of self-administered

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Varibar thin liquid bariuma (5ml, self-regulated single cup sip), and 5ml of Varibar barium

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pudding.a A single trial of mastication and ingestion of 1/2 barium-coated cookie and sequential

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swallowing of 90ml thin liquid barium were also completed. The SLP facilitated bolus

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administration with hand-over-hand assistance if independent bolus delivery was impaired. The

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VFSS began with the 5ml thin liquid volume and advanced accordingly unless a participant

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demonstrated significant aspiration that could not be eliminated with therapeutic intervention.

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The presence and absence of aspiration was determined from the VFSS for each subject. The

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individuals analyzing the VFSS were blinded to the clinical ED and experimental swallowing

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screening results. Aspiration was identified when the bolus passed inferior to the true vocal folds

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(TVFs). A single instance of the bolus inferior to the TVFs was used to identify aspiration unless

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tracheal penetration was observed on the first swallow without subsequent evidence of

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aspiration. For these cases, aspiration was classified as absent unless the aspiration was so severe

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that it warranted implementation of therapeutic intervention.

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Inter-and intra-rater reliability measures for the presence or absence of aspiration on VFSS in a

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subset of 20% of randomly selected participants was obtained using Cohen’s kappa. Reliability

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was completed by two expert SLPs (SKD, JCR) each with extensive research experience in

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examining VFSS. After initial training to criteria, the two blinded raters completed separate,

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independent analysis of each VFSS with inter- and intra-rater reliability of k=1.00. One of these

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two individuals completed ratings for the remaining VFSS.

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Statistical analyses

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Demographic data were summarized using standard descriptive statistics. Logistic regression

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was used to identify SSIs that showed statistically significant higher odds for aspiration.

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Subsequently, sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), and positive predictive

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value (PPV) relative to identifying VFSS determined aspiration were estimated for each item as

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well as for the combination of items that were identified as statistically significant in predicting

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aspiration by the logistic model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were evaluated

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to determine the performance of the models in predicting aspiration. Analyses were completed

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using Stata 13.b

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Results

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Mean age of the sample (N=250) was 64±9.5 years with 243 males. Discharge diagnoses for the

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sample were confirmed stroke (n=156; 140-neuroimaging, 16 physician), transient ischemic

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Aspiration screening for suspected stroke attack (TIA, n=49), and non-stroke/TIA diagnosis (n=45). The prevalence of aspiration on VFSS

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was 12% (n=29). Prior stroke history was significantly higher in the aspiration group compared

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to the non-aspiration group. The two aspirators without a discharge diagnosis of stroke/TIA had

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a previous history of stroke, and five of the six aspirators with a TIA discharge diagnosis had a

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previous history of stroke. None of these individuals had a previous history of dysphagia

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associated with the prior stroke. No significant differences between aspirators and non-aspirators

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were identified for other demographic data (Table 1). Mean time from admission to screening

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was 43.0 ±25.8 hours. Screening and VFSS were completed within a 2 hour window (M=0.49±

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0.24 hours). Screening duration as measured from RN introduction through completion of

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assessment of wet voice after the 90ml bolus ingestion, or earlier if terminated due to positive

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water swallow finding was 5.22±1.69 min. No adverse events, i.e., pneumonia, were evident

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following testing.

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Only 1.6% (n=4) responses were undecided on the outcome of dysarthria and 0.8% (n=2) on the

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combined water swallow item. Approximately 3.2% (8 of 250) patients demonstrated “other

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vocal response” for cough (4 of 8 aspirated), which along with the undecided responses was

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recoded as positive to evaluate validity indicators in order to maintain a conservative approach to

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screening for aspiration. The final tally of positive and negative screens for all SSIs is included

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in Table 4.

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Reliability

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The inter-rater reliability between RNs and SLPs using Cohen’s kappa was measured for all the

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SSIs and showed a range of 0.39 for lethargy to 1.0 for 1 minute wet voice. See Part 2 for

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expanded reliability results. Inter- and intra-rater reliability for identification of aspiration on

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VFSS was k=1.00.

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Validity

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Logistic regression revealed age (p=0.012), dysarthria (p=0.001), abnormal volitional cough

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(p=0.030), and the combined positive water swallow finding (p=0.021) to be significantly

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associated with aspiration. Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV were estimated for the

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combination of these items. Abnormal volitional cough was dropped from the final set of SSIs as

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it did not contribute to improving validity after the rest of the items had been included (Table 3).

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Additionally, both lethargy and 1 minute wet voice were excluded from our final set of items due

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to their very small sample sizes (Table 4). The final validated tool, the Rapid Aspiration

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Screening for Suspected Stroke (RAS3), contained the following items: 1) age >70, 2) dysarthria

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(regardless of onset), 3) combined positive water swallow finding (cough, throat clear, wet voice,

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inability to continuously drink 90ml) and yielded sensitivity = 93%, specificity = 43%, PPV =

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18%, and NPV = 98% (Table 3, Appendix 2). Based on these results, the presence of any item

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would indicate a failed screen without need to administer subsequent items. ROC curves (Figure

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2) using predicted values (logits) from the logistic model without age and the logistic model with

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age showed no statistical difference in the area under the ROC curve (p=0.301).

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Discussion

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Screening is an essential first step in the provision of individualized, patient-centered stroke care

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to rapidly determine which patients presenting with suspected stroke are at risk of aspiration and

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aspiration and can resume oral intake. Through rigorous research using evidence-based SSIs, the

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objectives of our study were met by creating a valid nurse-administered aspiration screening tool

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for patients presenting with suspected stroke. The RAS3 provides high sensitivity (0.93) and high

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NPV (0.98) ensuring that aspiration risk is identified in the majority of patients yielding the

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potential to reduce the occurrence of aspiration-associated complications. Specificity for the

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aspiration screening tool was low but well within a range that is applied to most screenings with

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the design to err in over- versus under-identification of an impairment to prevent negative health

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outcomes.16

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To our knowledge, the RAS3 is the first aspiration screening tool validated in individuals

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presenting with suspected stroke, as opposed to persons with confirmed stroke or specific stroke

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severity level. As screening is frequently completed at the first point of contact in the ED, or

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soon after admission, confirmation of stroke is routinely unknown. The final discharge diagnosis

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in 45 of our participants was non-stroke/TIA; however, it was still part of the differential

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diagnosis during screening and VFSS, thus they were not excluded from analysis. Moreover,

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healthcare professionals have a tendency to selectively screen individuals based on stroke

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severity and to not perform swallowing screening with low NIHSS scores.17,18 The median

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NIHSS score is 3 in population-based studies.19 Our sample is representative of this mild stroke

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trend as the average NIHSS for our cohort was 2.6. Our data, however, indicate that aspiration

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can occur in individuals with a mild stroke. Indeed, pneumonia is not uncommon in unscreened

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patients with minimal stroke-related deficits,17 thus supporting a screening tool validated in all

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individuals for whom stroke/TIA is part of the differential diagnosis.

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The RAS3 is composed of only three items: age >70, dysarthria, and positive response to water

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swallowing with the two non-swallowing items administered first. Based on our findings, a

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positive response on any RAS3 item indicates a failed screen. The entire screening takes less than

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5 minutes given the average time of 5.22 minutes for completion of the more extensive set of

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evaluated items. The brevity for completing the RAS3 will promote adoption by nurses and

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supports recent research suggesting feasibility of screening swallowing in the ED.10 While

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previous history of stroke was significantly greater in aspirators versus non-aspirators, it was not

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analyzed as a screening item due to potential unreliability in a patient’s ability to provide this

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information as well as the associated time delay in retrieving this information from medical

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records.

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Notably, the area under ROC curve shows nearly equivalent performance in both logistic

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regression models without and with age. Because increased age is associated with sensorimotor

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changes and decreased physiological reserve both of which can increase risk of aspiration,17 the

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identification of age >70 informs our choice to include it as a valid screening item. Moreover,

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aging is inherently associated with processes than can increase the risk of pneumonia

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development.21 However, the decision to include age >70 in the final set of SSIs can be based on

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the acceptable trade-offs between true positive and false positive rates and the needs of the

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healthcare environment.

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Dysarthria was strongly associated with aspiration in our study which supports previous

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research.9,22 Although the incidence of chronic dysarthria was low, aspiration was evident in

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66% of the patients who presented with it suggesting that individuals with either chronic or new

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onset of dysarthria are at increased risk of aspiration.

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Most valid SSTs include a water swallow component as does the RAS3. Water protocols vary

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and may include multiple trials of small volumes or a single 90ml volume. We selected a

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progressive swallowing protocol as a safety measure as many stroke patients are unaware or

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unconcerned by their dysphagia, do not monitor rate or volume of ingestion, and continue to

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swallow even with overt signs such as coughing.23,24 These signs of aspiration risk related to the

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water swallow are supported by the literature9,22 and are typically used in most screening tools.

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Abnormal volitional cough demonstrated a high likelihood of aspiration risk but had the broadest

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standard error (Table 2) thus making it less reliable as a predictor. Notably, it did not improve

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the validity measures (Table 3) in our sample when combined with other items. It may be that

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our relatively small number of patients with aspiration (N=29, or 12% of our sample) limited the

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sensitivity of our validity endpoints to the predictive information shown in our logistic model for

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abnormal volitional cough. The low incidence of aspiration is likely related to the fact that

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patients in the sample included individuals without confirmed stroke as well as patients with

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mild stroke. Aspiration incidence is stroke is generally reported in patients with confirmed

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stroke.9 To our knowledge, the incidence of aspiration has not been published in patients with

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suspected stroke.

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It is also important to note that lethargy was present in only two patients, both of whom

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aspirated. Even though lethargy was excluded due to low occurrence, we strongly suggest that

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individuals with any reduction in alertness remain non-oral with no screening of swallowing

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until evidence of sustained wakefulness.

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While the RAS3 identifies aspiration risk, dysphagia is common following stroke and should be

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formally evaluated after the initial stroke workup. While not all individuals who aspirate develop

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pneumonia, early identification of individuals at risk of aspiration ensures implementation of

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safety measures until SLP evaluation is completed. Individuals without risk of aspiration are

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cleared of any immediate swallowing safety concern and can start oral intake. Dysphagia is more

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than aspiration. Even in the absence of aspiration, swallowing efficiency and pleasure in eating

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can be affected by dysphagia. Given the complexities of swallowing and the need to evaluate

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medical history, oral mechanism functioning, and swallowing of various consistencies, formal

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dysphagia evaluation by an SLP is warranted in this high incidence population.

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Limitations

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Limitations include the number of individuals who were excluded from participation. In the first

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stage of development of a stroke swallowing screening tool, it is important to have stringent

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inclusion/exclusion criteria to ensure that stroke-related aspiration is being measured. Stroke,

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however, rarely occurs in isolation. The next step is to determine the generalizability of the RAS3

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to all patients presenting with suspected stroke, including those who have co-morbid conditions

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that may produce aspiration. Also important is extending these findings outside VAMCs in order

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to include a greater number of females in the sample.

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workup in the ED, it was not feasible to consent participants as well as administer the SSIs and

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obtain the VFSS within two hours. As patients with stroke can improve or decline rapidly,

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obtaining a narrow timeline between screening and VFSS was critical for validity. Future studies

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will evaluate RN reliability administering the RAS3 in the ED.

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Conclusions

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Screening for aspiration risk is a well-established best practice in providing safe, high quality

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care for patients with suspected stroke. Early screening has the greatest potential to prevent

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unsafe administration of oral intake to patients who are at risk of aspiration and expedites referral

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to speech pathology for evaluation to reduce aspiration associated morbidity. The RAS3 provides

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a valid method to determine aspiration risk in patients presenting with suspected stroke. High

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sensitivity and NPV ensure that aspiration risk is identified in the majority of patients thus

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reducing the occurrence of aspiration associated complications.

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Suppliers

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a. Varibar barium sulfate Bracco Diagnostics Inc, 259 Prospect Plains Road, Building H, Monroe Township, NJ

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b. Stata Statistical Software: Release 13 (2013).

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StataCorp LP. 4905 Lakeway Drive, College Station, TX 77845-4512, USA

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Daniels SK, Anderson JA, Willson PC. Valid items for screening dysphagia risk in patients with stroke: a systematic review. Stroke 2012;43:892-897.

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Daniels SK, Anderson JA, Petersen NJ. Implementation of stroke dysphagia screening in

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Masrur S, Smith EE, Saver JL, Reeves MJ, Bhatt DL, Zhao X, et al. Dysphagia screening

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Reeves M, Khoury J, Alwell K, Moonmaw C, Flaherty M, Woo D, et al. Distribution of

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Nicosa MA, Hind JA, Roecker EB, Carnes M, Doyle J, Dengel GA, et al. Age effects on

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the temporal evolution of isometric and swallowing pressures. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med

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cognitive predictors of swallowing recovery in stroke. J Rehabil Res Develop 2006;43:301-

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Figure 1

Study recruitment and testing flow diagram

383

Figure 2

Comparison of ROC curves using the logistic regression models with and without

384

age in predicting aspiration.

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Table 1

Demographic data Total (N=250)

Aspirators (n=29)

Age, yr, mean (SD) Male, n (%)

64 (9.5) 243 (97)

66.8 (8.3) 29 (100)

NonAspirators (n=221) 63.9 (9.6) 214 (97)

Caucasian Race, n (%)

130 (52)

16 (55)

114 (52)

Previous stroke history, n (%) NIHSS score, mean (SD) Mild (0-5), n (%) Moderate (6-13), n (%) Severe (>13), n (%) Discharge Diagnosis, n (%) Imaging confirmed stroke Physician confirmed stroke Physician confirmed TIA Non-stroke/TIA

60 (24)

17 (59)

43 (19.5)

2.6 (2.9)

3.8 (3.9)

2.5 (2.7)

219 (88) 30 (12)

23 (79) 5 (17)

Stroke Type, n (%)

16 (6)

1 (3.5)

15 (7)

6 (21)

43 (19.5)

2 (7)

43 (19.5)

Total (N=140)

Aspirators (n=20)

NonAspirators (n=120)

RHD LHD Bilateral Posterior circulation *p-value<0.05

51 (36) 50 (36) 4 (3) 35 (25)

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137 (98) 3 (2)

20 (100) 0 (0)

5 (25) 7 (35) 0 (0) 8 (40)

0.082 0.417

SC 120 (54)

45 (18)

Ischemic Hemorrhagic Stroke location, n (%)

t-test Fisher’s Exact Pearson Chi-sq Pearson chi-sq t-test

0.716

<0.001* 0.091

0 (0)

20 (69)

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49 (20)

1 (3.5)

p-value

196 (87) 25 (11)

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140 (56)

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Imaging confirmed stroke (only)

1 (<1)

Test type

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Variable

Fisher’s Exact

0.318

Fisher’s Exact

0.627

Fisher’s Exact

0.379

117 (97.5) 3 (2.5)

46 (38) 43 (36) 4 (3) 27 (22.5)

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Table 2

Logistic regression results Odds Ratio

SE

z

p-value

Lower Limit Upper Limit

3.396

1.653 2.512 0.012*

1.308

8.815

Dysarthria

5.114

2.410 3.463 0.001**

2.031

12.878

Non-swallow Wet Voice

2.191

2.524 0.681

0.229

20.964

Abnormal Cough

4.094

2.664 2.166 0.030*

1.143

14.656

Water Swallow

3.034

1.454 2.316 0.021*

1.186

7.760

SC

0.496

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Age >70

N=250; Pseudo R-square = 0.233

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*p-value <0.05; **p-value <0.01

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Validity indicators for item combinations with significant odds ratios

Items

Negative Screen

VFSS (n=250) Abnormal

25

4

Normal

112

109

Abnormal

27

2

Normal

126

95

Normal

27

2

Abnormal

129

92

Dysarthria OR WS

Age >70 OR Dysarthria OR WS

Specificity (95% CI)

86.2 (68.3-96.1)

49.3 (42.6-56.1)

18.2 (12.2-25.7)

96.5 (91.2-99.0)

93.1 (77.2-99.2)

43.0 (36.4-49.8)

17.6 (12.0-24.6)

97.9 (92.7-99.7)

17.3 (11.7-24.2)

97.9 (92.7-99.7)

93.1 (77.2-99.2)

41.6 (35.1-48.4)

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Abnormal Cough OR Age >70 OR Dysarthria OR WS WS=water swallow

Sensitivity (95% CI)

PPV (95% CI)

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Positive Screen

SC

Table 3

NPV (95% CI)

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Table 4

Validity indicators for individual SSIs tested Positive Screen

Negative Screen

VFSS

Dysarthriaa

Non-swallow Wet Voice

Abnormal Cough

Combined Water Swallowa

Normal

38

183

Abnormal

1

28

Normal

1

220

Abnormal

18

11

Normal

43

178

Abnormal

3

26

Normal

3

Abnormal

8

Normal

9

Abnormal

21

Normal

89

132

Abnormal

9

20

Normal

17

204

Abnormal

12

17

Normal

62

159

Abnormal

8

21

Normal

15

206

Abnormal

2

13

Normal

13

158

Abnormal

0

15

Individual Water Swallow Items

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Throat Clear

EP

Cough

Wet Voice

Inability to Drink 90mlc

250

37.9

250

3.5

250

Specificity

218

PPV

NPV

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18

Sensitivity

62.1

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Lethargy

11

82.8

22.4

91.0

99.5

50.0

88.7

80.5

29.5

94.2

250

10.3

98.6

50.0

89.3

250

27.6

95.9

47.1

91.0

250

72.4

59.7

19.1

94.3

250

31.0

92.3

34.6

91.1

250

41.4

71.9

16.2

90.3

250

27.6

93.2

34.8

90.7

186

13.3

92.4

13.3

92.4

21

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Age >70a

Abnormal

n

SC

Items

Wet Voice after 1 minuteb,c Normal 2 166 183 0.0 98.8 0.0 91.7 a=Items in validated RAS3; b=Not part of final combined water swallow; c=n< 250 due to missing information on sequential swallows with a positive preceding WS item

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Figure 1

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Potentially eligible participants with suspected stroke n=1042

Eligible participants n=406

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Excluded (n=636) Non-stroke neurological disease (n=202) Head/neck structural changes (n=111) Dysphagia unrelated to stroke (n=88) TIA/stroke ruled out n= (51) Not competent/no legally authorized representative (n=47) Medically unstable (n=46) Repeat stroke, previously participated (n=43) >3 weeks from symptom onset (n=25) >5 days from admission (n=16) Child bearing potential female (n=4) Deceased (n=3)

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No Swallowing Screening Test (n=148) Declined consent (n=79) Discharged prior to approaching (n=58) Consented but discharged, medical procedure, unstable (n=11)

Swallowing Screening Test participants n=258

RAS3 negative n=100

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RAS3 positive n=158

VFSS completed n=158

Excluded from analyses (n=5) b

Aspiration present (n=27) Aspiration absent (n=126)

No VFSS n=2a

VFSS completed n=98

Excluded from analyses (n=1) b

Aspiration present (n=2) Aspiration absent (n=95)

Note: a=Reasons for no VFSS: C-spine surgery evident on x-ray (n=1), NPO for surgery (n=1); b=Reasons for exclusion from VFSS analyses: Dysphagia history prior to stroke (n=2), Equipment failure (n=1), C-spine damage (n=3)

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SC

0.50 0.00

0.25

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0.25 0.00

0.50 1-Specificity

Without age AUC= 0.77(0.048)* Reference

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*Area Under ROC Curve with Standard Error (SE)

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Sensitivity

0.75

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1.00

Figure 2

0.75

1.00

With age AUC=0.80(0.043)*

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Appendix 1. Tested Swallowing Screening Items

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Non-Swallowing Section 1. Male Yes No 2. Age >70 Yes No Ask patient his/her age. Confirm in medical records 3. Lethargy (Drowsy) Yes No Undecided Unarousable by minor stimulation (requires verbalization or intermittent tactile stimulation-touching/shaking to respond). If evident, score as YES. If awake and alert (regardless of orientation or correctness), score as NO. 4. Dysarthria (Slurred Speech) Yes No Undecided No/Limited Response Ask patient “Tell me, what happened to bring you here.” If speech is slurred or not precise, score as YES. If speech is clear and precise (regardless of content), score as NO. If the person makes no verbal response or response is too limited to judge, score as NO/LIMITED RESPONSE. If still unsure of how to score, score as UNDECIDED. 5. Wet Voice Yes No Undecided No/Limited Response Tell patient to “say AHHHH.” If the voice is wet or gurgly sounding, score as YES. If not, score as NO. If no vocal response, score as NO RESPONSE 6. Abnormal Volitional Cough* Yes No Undecided No Response Other Vocal Response Tell patient to “Cough as strongly as you can, like this…,” demonstrate an example of a strong, forceful cough. Score as YES if the cough is weak or breathy. Score as NO if the person produces a STRONG, FORCEFUL cough. Score as NO RESPONSE if no vocal response. Score as OTHER VOCAL RESPONSE if person says the word “Cough”, produces a throat clear or some other vocal response that is not an actual cough. Swallowing Section 1. 5 ml via cup. Tell patient to “Drink the small amount of water in one swallow.” After swallowing, have patient say “AHHHH”. Listen for presence of WET GURGLY VOICE when saying AHHHH, or COUGH or AUDIBLE THROAT CLEAR. Score as YES if any are present following swallow. A. Cough after Swallow Yes No Undecided B. Audible Throat Clear after Swallow Yes No Undecided C. Wet Voice with AHHHHH Yes No Undecided No Response If any item is YES, STOP screening. DO NOT administer any more water. 2. 5 ml via cup. If none are YES on the first swallow, repeat the 5 ml water swallow using same instructions. A. Cough after Swallow Yes No Undecided B. Audible Throat Clear after Swallow Yes No Undecided C. Wet Voice with AHHHHH Yes No Undecided No Response If any item is YES, STOP screening. DO NOT administer any more water. 3. 90 ml via cup. Tell patient “Drink this entire amount of water without stopping, Keep the cup up to your lips and keep drinking, swallow after swallow, until the water is gone or I tell you to stop.” After drinking have the patient say “AHHHH”. Listen for presence of WET GURGLY VOICE when saying AHHHH, or COUGH or THROAT CLEAR. Score as YES if any are present during or after the swallow. If the patient cannot continuously drink the water, even with encouragement, score as YES. A. Cough after Swallow Yes No Undecided B. Audible Throat Clear after Swallow Yes No Undecided C. Wet Voice with AHHHHH Yes No Undecided No Response D. Unable to Continuously Drink Yes No Undecided E. Wet Voice with AHHHHH after 1 min Yes No Undecided No Response

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Appendix 2. Rapid Aspiration Screening for Suspected Stroke (RAS3) If the patient has reduced level of consciousness cannot have the head of the bed elevated, or is currently receiving tube feeding, DONOT screen swallowing; patient remains nothing by mouth.

Non-Swallowing Section 1. Age >70*

Yes

No

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If any item below is YES, the screening is positive. STOP screening. Patient remains NPO and Speech Pathology is consulted

2. Dysarthria (Slurred Speech) Yes No Ask patient “Tell me, what happened to bring you here.” Prompt for more speech if limited verbalization. If speech is slurred or not precise, score as YES. If speech is clear and precise (regardless of content), score as NO. If undecided, score as YES. If either item is YES, STOP screening. DO NOT administer any water.

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Swallowing Section Need syringes to measure water, cup, and straw 1. 5ml via cup. Tell patient to “Drink the small amount of water in one swallow.” After swallowing, have patient say “AHHHH”. Listen for presence of WET GURGLY VOICE when saying AHHHH, or COUGH or AUDIBLE THROAT CLEAR. Score as YES if any item is present following swallow. A. Cough after Swallow Yes No B. Audible Throat Clear after Swallow Yes No C. Wet Voice with AHHHHH Yes No If any item is YES, STOP screening. DO NOT administer any more water. 2. 5ml via cup. Repeat the 5 ml water swallow using same instructions. A. Cough after Swallow Yes No B. Audible Throat Clear after Swallow Yes No C. Wet Voice with AHHHHH Yes No If any item is YES, STOP screening. DO NOT administer any more water. 3. 90ml via cup. Tell patient “Drink this entire amount of water without stopping. Keep the cup up to your lips and keep drinking, swallow after swallow, until the water is gone or I tell you to stop.” After drinking have the patient say “AHHHH”. Encourage patient to keep swallowing if is pausing between swallows is evident. Listen for presence of WET GURGLY VOICE when saying AHHHH, or COUGH or THROAT CLEAR. Stop screening and remove cup if coughing, throat clearing, wet voice, and/or inability to continuous drink during swallowing. Score as YES if any item is present during or after the swallow. If the patient cannot continuously drink the water, even with encouragement, score as YES. A. Cough after Swallow Yes No B. Audible Throat Clear after Swallow Yes No C. Wet Voice with AHHHHH Yes No D. Unable to Continuously Drink Yes No

AC C

*Denotes item than can be omitted from RAS3