Sarcopenia is a risk factor for complications and an independent predictor of hospital length of stay in trauma patients

Sarcopenia is a risk factor for complications and an independent predictor of hospital length of stay in trauma patients

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Sarcopenia is a risk factor for complications and an independent predictor of hospital length of stay in trauma patients James DeAndrade, MD, Mark Pedersen, MD, MPH, Luis Garcia, MD, and Peter Nau, MD, MS* The University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, Iowa

article info

abstract

Article history:

Background: Sarcopenia is an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes in critically

Received 10 November 2016

ill patients. The impact of sarcopenia on morbidity and length of stay in a trauma popu-

Received in revised form

lation has not been completely defined. This project evaluated the influence of sarcopenia

28 June 2017

on patients admitted to the trauma service.

Accepted 10 August 2017

Materials and methods: A retrospective review of 778 patients presenting as a trauma alert at a

Available online xxx

single institution from 2012-2014 was completed. Records were abstracted for comorbidities and hospital complications. The Hounsfield Unit Area Calculation was collected from

Keywords:

admission computed tomography scans. Criteria for sarcopenia were based on the lowest 25th

Sarcopenia

percentile of muscle density measurements. Relationships to patient outcomes were evalu-

Length of stay

ated by univariate and multivariable regression or analyses of variance, when applicable.

Hospital outcomes

Results: A total of 432 (55.6%) patients suffered a complication. Sarcopenia was associated

Trauma

with overall complications (P < 0.0001, relative risk 2.54, confidence interval 1.78-3.61) and was an independent risk factor for catheter-associated urinary tract infections (P ¼ 0.011), wound infections (P ¼ 0.011), need for reintubation (P ¼ 0.0062), and length of hospitalization (P ¼ 0.0007). Incorporating sarcopenia into a novel length of stay calculator showed increased prognostic ability for prolonged length of stay over Abbreviated Injury Scale alone (P ¼ 0.0002). Conclusions: Sarcopenia is an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes and increased length of stay in trauma patients. Prognostic algorithms incorporating sarcopenia better predict hospital length of stay. Identification of patients at risk may allow for targeted interventions early in the patient’s hospital course. ª 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Introduction Sarcopenia is the quantifiable loss of muscle mass that accompanies a deconditioned state of health.1 Often characterized as a progressive syndrome that accompanies aging and catabolism, the relevance of sarcopenia is not limited to

medical outcomes in cachectic elderly cohorts. In fact, sarcopenia is often an insidious process with few outward indicators of the disease.2-4 Sarcopenia correlates with adverse outcomes in several populations including patients with cancer, the critically ill, and those undergoing a diversity of surgical procedures.5-7

* Corresponding author. The University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, 4626 JCP, 200 Hawkins Drive, Iowa City, IA 52242-1086. Tel.: þ319 356-7675; fax: þ319 356-4609. E-mail address: [email protected] (P. Nau). 0022-4804/$ e see front matter ª 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2017.08.018

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After elective operations, sarcopenic patients are more likely to incur higher payer costs even after adjusting for patient and procedural factors.6 While less well defined, sarcopenia appears to play an important role in the outcomes of patients who suffer traumatic injuries or require emergent surgery. In elderly trauma patients, sarcopenia is a strong risk factor for loss of independence upon hospital discharge. One study noted that each additional 1 cm2 of psoas area predicted a 20% increase in functional independence.8 It is hypothesized that there is a pathologic sarcopenia distinct from that which is seen with aging alone and that this state is predictive of posttrauma morbidity. Furthermore, due to the significance of this finding on a patient’s overall wellbeing, it is postulated that sarcopenia is predictive of length of stay in this population.

Methods Patients and sarcopenia quantification A retrospective study of hospital charts of 778 patients presenting as a trauma alert at a single institution from 2012-2014 who underwent abdominal computed tomography (CT) scans was completed. CT scan measurements were recorded, and sarcopenia quantification was done using the validated method described by Joglekar et al.5 In short, sarcopenia was defined using a mean Hounsfield Unit Area Calculation within the lowest gender quartile as measured at the third lumbar vertebrae. Patient charts were also reviewed for clinical assessment data and complications. Appropriate approval from the University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics (UIHC) institutional review board was obtained. A waiver of informed consent was obtained due to the retrospective nature of this research.

Statistical analysis Univariate logistic regression was used for categorical outcome variables and linear regression was used for continuous outcome variables to determine which predictor variables were significantly associated with complications. Patient variables abstracted as potential predictors for poor outcomes included the following factors: age, body mass index, comorbid conditions, smoking status, history of venous thrombosis, abdominal wall fat, hip girdle fat, visceral fat, and admission laboratory values including complete blood count, blood urea nitrogen, liver function tests, albumin, pre-albumin, and international normalized ratio. Trauma-related characteristics collected included Glasgow Coma Scale and the injury severity score. In addition, head, chest, abdomen, and extremity abbreviated injury scale (AIS) scores were recorded. The maximum AIS score was noted as its own variable. Additional variables included receipt of transfusion of any kind, total products transfused, total red blood cell transfusion, receipt of platelets, total platelet transfusion, receipt of fresh frozen plasma, and total fresh frozen plasma transfusion. Complications abstracted from records included the following factors: time in intensive care unit (ICU), length of stay, readmission, organ space infection, central lineeassociated blood stream infections (CLABSIs), catheterassociated urinary tract infections (CAUTIs), hospital-acquired pneumonia, sepsis, venous thrombosis requiring treatment,

discharge disposition, death while hospitalized, death within 30 d, death within 90 d, and total mortality. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were constructed using all predictor variables found to be significantly associated with complications.

Length-of-stay prediction The finding of sarcopenia as a predictor of morbidity in a trauma cohort is not unexpected, given the available data in surgical populations. To date, its roll in a nongeriatric trauma population has not been completely defined. Having established the significance of sarcopenia in this group, it was thought to be critical to develop a scoring system that would evaluate the predictive capacity of sarcopenia on length of stay. To do this, the variables significantly associated with prolonged length of stay from the multivariate analysis were aggregated with the presence of sarcopenia. These variables included admission white blood cell count, maximum AIS value, and a diagnosis of congestive heart failure and hypertension. When linear regression was performed on these variables, an aspect of the data produced was the parameter estimate of the coefficients for these variables. These parameter estimates of coefficients served as the relative weights of each variable when creating the final calculator predicting the length of stay. In this way, each variable would have the appropriately weighted influence on the length of stay estimate. For continuous variables, the result that gave the greatest sensitivity for prolonged length of stay (>10 d) on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used as a cutoff point. Patient data for said variable, which was above and below this set point was assigned a number. In this way, a continuous variable such as white blood cell (WBC) count was translated into a categorical variable. A score was derived from this value multiplied by the respective linear regression coefficient parameter estimates to achieve the variable’s contribution to the composite score. For categorical variables, no translation was necessary. In this case, the calculation was derived from the weight defined by the linear regression analysis multiplied by the categorical value. Each of these results were then combined into a composite score predicting the length of stay. This final score did not include the injury severity score, as it was noted to be redundant with a patient’s maximum AIS score and did not add any significant prognostic power. These scores and the overall composite scoring system were developed using a random sampling of half of the patient population and then tested for prognostic power using the entire population. This assessment of prognostic power was done through ROC analysis of the scoring system for discrete lengths of stay.

Results A total of 978 patients presented as a trauma alert and also underwent CT imaging from 2012-2014 at the UIHC. Two hundred patients were excluded from the analysis due to missing data points for a total of 778 enrolled. Seventy-one percent of patients were male. The average age of those with sarcopenia was older than those without (63 versus 42 years). Sarcopenic patients were more likely to suffer from numerous medical comorbidities including obesity (Table 1).

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Table 1 e Comorbidities of patients included in study based on the presence or absence of sarcopenia.

Table 2 e Univariate relationship between sarcopenia and in-hospital morbidity.

Comorbidities

Complications

Hypertension

N (%) 238 (31%)

Sarcopenic? N (%)

P Value

Yes: 88 (45%)

<0.0001

No: 150 (26%) Dyslipidemia

73 (9.4%)

Yes: 36 (18.6%)

Diabetes

64 (8.2%)

Yes: 36 (18.5%)

<0.0001

No: 37 (6.4%) <0.0001

No: 28 (4.8%) Congestive heart failure

26 (3.4%)

Yes: 15 (7.7%)

0.0003

OR (CI)

P Value

Acute renal failure

1.11 (1.057-1.175)

<0.0001

Reintubation

1.09 (1.023-1.157)

0.0075

CLABSI

1.09 (1.001-1.193)

0.0485

HAP

1.05 (1.009-1.094)

0.0157

Wound infection

1.09 (1.019-1.167)

0.0128

CAUTI

1.10 (1.050-1.145)

<0.0001

OR ¼ odds ratio; CI ¼ confidence interval; HAP ¼ hospital-acquired pneumonia.

No: 11 (1.9%) Coronary artery disease

39 (5.0%)

Yes: 24 (12%)

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

24 (3.1%)

Yes: 11 (5.6%)

<0.0001

No: 15 (2.6%) 0.0136

Discussion

No: 13 (2.2%) Body mass index

Yes: 31.1 kg/m2

model of the three (area under the curve of 0.73 for UIHC calculator).

<0.0001

No: 28.2 kg/m2

Univariate analysis revealed that sarcopenia was associated with multiple complications. This included new onset acute renal failure, necessity of reintubation, CLABSI, hospital-acquired pneumonia, wound infection, and CAUTI (Table 2). Sarcopenia also correlated with the time spent in the ICU (P value ¼ 0.0026) as well as overall increased length of stay (P value ¼ 0.0007). Discharge disposition was related to the presence of sarcopenia. The loss of lean mass was also associated with discharge to an acute rehab facility and inversely related with freedom of assistance at home after hospital discharge (P value ¼ 0.0018 and < 0.0001, respectively). Finally, on univariate analysis, the presence of sarcopenia was predictive of 90 d mortality (P value ¼ 0.009; Table 3). On multivariable analysis several in-hospital complications remained independently associated with sarcopenia including CAUTI, the need for reintubation, CLABSI, and wound infections (Table 4). Additional independent variables such as age and comorbidities were also associated with these outcomes, but sarcopenia remained as an independent risk factor for these outcomes. When evaluating for the relationship between sarcopenia and length of stay, it was noted that the presence of hypertension and congestive heart failure as well as the maximum AIS score and WBC count on admission were independently associated with an increased time spent in the hospital (Table 5). The length of stay calculator was developed based on the aforementioned significant variables in the multivariable linear regression model for length of stay. The calculator was tested on the entire cohort of 778 patients at specified time points during the patient’s hospitalization. This score was compared to max AIS, as well as max AIS with the addition of sarcopenia using ROC analysis. It was found that the UIHC model was more predictive that max AIS or max AIS plus sarcopenia at 5, 10 and 20 d (Fig. 1). By 30 d, all three scoring systems became less accurate at predicting the length of stay. Notably, the UIHC calculator persisted as the most accurate

Cross-sectional imaging is a readily available and important element of the diagnostic algorithm for patients who suffer traumatic injuries. CT scans allow for prompt, highly accurate identification of pathology for nonelife-threatening and lifethreatening injuries.9,10 It has been noted that, in patients suffering blunt trauma without overt findings, CT imaging may identify occult management-altering injuries in 18.9% of cases.9 These images can also provide objective markers of sarcopenia. Synthesizing this data with specific patient characteristics provides the practitioner with the information that can aid in risk stratification for experiencing negative outcomes.11-13 Sarcopenia is defined as the loss of skeletal muscle mass, which occurs with aging.14 This relative deconditioning is pervasive and distinct from that which is seen in a persistently ill population. Sarcopenia associated with chronic medical conditions is an insidious finding that may be missed on subjective evaluation. In addition, it is often noted in obese cohorts and has been given the title of osteosarcopenic obesity.3 The loss of muscle quality and quantity has been associated with an increased risk of disability.15 It has also been shown to be a predictor of postoperative morbidity in numerous surgical populations.5,16,17 With the increasing emphasis on improving hospital outcomes and the well-defined correlation between sarcopenia and morbidity, defining the presence of sarcopenia will only become increasingly important in the future.

Table 3 e Univariate analysis identifying the association between discharge disposition and sarcopenia. Discharge disposition Time spent in ICU Length of stay Home without assistance

OR (CI) 0.94 (0.913-0.962)

P Value 0.0026 0.0007 <0.0001

Discharge to a facility

1.04 (1.015-1.068)

0.0018

90-d mortality

1.11 (1.026-1.206)

0.0094

OR ¼ odds ratio; CI ¼ confidence interval.

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Table 4 e Multivariable relationship between sarcopenia and the incidence of in-hospital complications. Complications

OR (CI)

P Value

CAUTI

1.06 (1.021-1.170)

0.0201

Reintubation

1.10 (1.028-1.180)

0.0062

CLABSI

1.09 (1.001-1.193)

0.0485

Wound infection

1.12 (1.026-1.221)

0.0111

OR ¼ Odds ratio; CI ¼ confidence interval.

It is clear that sarcopenia is independently associated with poor outcomes in surgical cohorts. It has also been identified as a risk factor for adverse discharge disposition in ICU patients.18 To date, there are little data pertaining to the relevance of this finding in a trauma population. The Canadian Study of Health and Aging Frailty Index and a modified frailty index have been used to identify patients at risk for inhospital complications.19,20 Frailty, as defined by the presence of sarcopenia and osteopenia, has been shown to be associated with traumatic thoracic and spine injuries.21 Muscle atrophy of the vastus lateralis was shown to be more prominent in patients who had suffered fall-related hip fractures versus healthy young or age-matched healthy controls.22 Owing to the relative void in the literature, this project was designed to investigate the effects of sarcopenia in a trauma population as it relates to clinical outcomes. Furthermore, given the prominent association between sarcopenia and morbidity in surgical cohorts, this study sought to create a predictive length-of-stay model in this unique population incorporating patient characteristics in addition to sarcopenia for a lengthof-stay calculator. In this cohort, patients with sarcopenia were noted to be older and suffer from more medical comorbidities (Table 1). The loss of lean muscle mass correlated with increased overall length of stay as well as time spent in the ICU. The presence of sarcopenia was associated with adverse discharge disposition and, perhaps most importantly, was predictive of mortality (Table 3). In line with the current literature, this population was more likely to be obese than nonsarcopenic individuals. These finding are significant in that sarcopenia is an occult process that is challenging to recognize on physical examination. This disease is not restricted to a frail, cachectic patient but rather can be identified in patients who appear vigorous and healthy. In the absence of an objective measurement for this disease, the identification of an at-risk population and a potential opportunity to intervene would be missed. Using readily available data in routinely ordered CT

Table 5 e Admission factors associated with length of stay on multivariable analysis. Variable

Parameter estimate

P Value

Sarcopenia

0.152

0.0038

Maximum AIS score

þ3.085

<0.0001

Admission WBC count

þ0.249

<0.0001

Congestive heart failure

þ5.971

0.0002

Hypertension

þ1.936

0.0027

Fig. 1 e Ability of UIHC model to predict 10 d length of stay (blue line e 0.79) versus max AIS D sarcopenia (red line e 0.76) and max AIS (brown line e 0.75).

imaging, sarcopenia can be identified, and this group flagged early in the hospital course. Multivariable analysis of the correlation between sarcopenia and the incidence of complications identified CAUTI, the need for reintubation, CLABSI, and wound infections as all being independently related to decreased lean mass. Previous studies have found that sarcopenia is more important than chronological age when considering perioperative morbidity. Englesbe et al.23 developed the theory of morphometric age, showing that it was able to more accurately predict the length of stay and postoperative mortality than chronological age. While novel in that there is a paucity of data on sarcopenia in a trauma setting, this was not altogether unexpected, given the available information in operative and ICU populations. Given this, the relationship between sarcopenia and length of stay was evaluated. On linear regression of the length of stay, it was noted that there were five statistically significant, independently predictive variables including sarcopenia, maximum AIS score, admission WBC count, and the presence or absence of congestive heart failure and hypertension. Using this data, a novel length-of-stay calculator was created using a random sampling of half of the cohort. This calculator was then validated for prognostic power using the entire population by means of an ROC analysis. The UIHC calculator was found to be more predictive than max AIS and max AIS with the addition of sarcopenia at 5-, 10- and 20-d hospital stays (Figs. 1-3). As the length of hospitalization increased, the prognostic capabilities decreased, while still remaining more accurate than max AIS. This is significant in that trauma patients with prolonged lengths of stay can be fiscally challenging for hospital systems. A retrospective review from a single academic institution found that its trauma center posted financial losses in caring for over half of patients with

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outcomes. The significance of these two findings in the ability to risk stratify for complications and also with discharge planning cannot be overstated. There are limitations to this research. This is a single institution, retrospective review of a trauma service with predominantly nonpenetrating admissions. Institutions with a preponderance of penetrating trauma with the attendant change in demographic make-up may find this calculator to be less accurate. Furthermore, in-hospital mortalities with a concomitant max AIS score of 6 were excluded, as those patients all sustained nonsurvivable injuries. This was done because the mortality of this population was likely secondary to severity of injury and less influenced by patient comorbidities including sarcopenia. Future directions of study would include a prospective assessment of the role of sarcopenia and the accuracy of this calculator across multiple centers.

Conclusion Fig. 2 e Ability of UIHC model to predict 5 d length of stay (blue line e 0.79) versus Max AIS D Sarcopenia (red e 0.76) and Max AIS (brown e 0.75).

hospitalizations of greater than 50 d.24 Targeting surgical patients with sarcopenia, early in admission with clinical resources, has been shown to not only reduce costs but also to shorten hospital lengths of stay.25 The UIHC calculator provides the traumatologist with an instrument that more accurately predicts the length of stay than any currently available tool. The identification of sarcopenia in a trauma patient also categorizes that person for an increased possibility of adverse

Sarcopenia is an insidious disease, which is difficult to identify on subjective examination alone. The loss of lean muscle is associated with multiple medical comorbidities and impaired perioperative outcomes. In a trauma population, it is an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes and increased length of stay. Incorporating an objective evaluation for lean mass, the UIHC calculator can accurately predict the length of stay. This allows for the identification of patients for early, targeted therapy and appropriate discharge planning.

Acknowledgment Author contributions De Andrade was responsible for data collection and manuscript drafting; Pedersen performed the data evaluation and study design; Garcia was responsible for study design and manuscript editing; Nau was responsible for data collection, study design, manuscript drafting and editing.

Disclosure The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

references

Fig. 3 e Ability of UIHC model to predict 20 d length of stay (blue line e 0.78) versus Max AIS D Sarcopenia (red e 0.76) and Max AIS (brown e 0.72).

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