Journal Pre-proof Simplifying Contraception Requirements for iPLEDGE: A Decision Analysis John S. Barbieri, MD, MBA, Andrea H. Roe, MD, MPH, Arash Mostaghimi, MD, MPA, MPH PII:
S0190-9622(20)30230-9
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaad.2020.02.022
Reference:
YMJD 14238
To appear in:
Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology
Received Date: 11 January 2020 Revised Date:
3 February 2020
Accepted Date: 5 February 2020
Please cite this article as: Barbieri JS, Roe AH, Mostaghimi A, Simplifying Contraception Requirements for iPLEDGE: A Decision Analysis, Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology (2020), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaad.2020.02.022. This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2020 Published by Elsevier on behalf of the American Academy of Dermatology, Inc.
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Simplifying Contraception Requirements for iPLEDGE: A Decision Analysis John S. Barbieri MD, MBA,1 Andrea H. Roe, MD, MPH,2 Arash Mostaghimi, MD, MPA, MPH3 1) Department of Dermatology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA 2) Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA 3) Department of Dermatology, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA Corresponding author: John Barbieri PCAM 7 South Pavilion, 3400 Civic Center Blvd Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA Phone: 215-662-2737; Fax: 215-349-8839 Email:
[email protected]
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Word count: 1,641
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Abstract: 196/200
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Capsule summary: 50/50
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Number of tables: 3
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Conflict of Interests Disclosures: Dr. Roe serves as a Nexplanon trainer for Merck and as a site principal investigator for an investigational contraceptive device developed by Sebela Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Mostaghimi receives consulting fees from Pfizer, hims, and 3derm. He has equity in Lucid and hims and receives licensing fees from Pfizer. He is on the medical advisory board for hims. He is a clinical trial investigator for Incyte, Lilly, Aclaris, and Concert. The authors have no other conflicts to declare. Funding/Support: Dr. Barbieri is supported by the National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases of the National Institutes of Health under award number T32AR-007465 and receives partial salary support through a Pfizer Fellowship in Dermatology Patient Oriented Research grant to the Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania. Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
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ABSTRACT
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Background: For persons of childbearing potential prescribed isotretinoin, the iPLEDGE
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program requires use of two simultaneous methods of contraception or commitment to
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abstinence.
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Objective: To model the relative effectiveness of a variety of contraception strategies for
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patients taking isotretinoin including those that are acceptable according to iPLEDGE.
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Methods: We performed a decision analysis modeling the estimated rate of pregnancy with
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various contraception strategies during a typical six-month course of isotretinoin.
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Results: Tier 1 contraception options (e.g. subdermal hormonal implant, intrauterine devices)
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each had effectiveness of greater than 99.5% alone. When combined with a secondary form of
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contraception, Tier 2 contraception options (e.g. depot medroxyprogesterone injections,
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combined oral contraceptives) each had effectiveness greater than 99%.
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Limitations: Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the impact of uncertain parameters
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on the results.
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Conclusion: There may be opportunities to simplify iPLEDGE by recognizing the high
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effectiveness of Tier 1 contraception options and increasing use of secondary forms of
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contraception among those using Tier 2 contraception options as their primary form of
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contraception. Future studies are needed to understand the most effective strategies in clinical
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practice to prevent unintended pregnancy for patients taking isotretinoin to improve outcomes
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and provide patient-centered care.
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Capsule Summary •
Effective contraception is essential during isotretinoin treatment and is required by
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iPLEDGE. Tier 1 contraceptives (e.g. intrauterine devices) alone and Tier 2 options (e.g.
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combined oral contraceptives) in combination with barrier methods each had estimated
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effectiveness of >99%.
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•
Tier 1 options are sufficient as monotherapy to prevent pregnancy while taking
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isotretinoin. Secondary forms of contraception should be emphasized among those using
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Tier 2 options.
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Introduction Isotretinoin is a highly effective treatment for acne that can reliably result in disease
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remission.1 However, it is also teratogenic, and retinoid embryopathy is a serious complication of
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systemic retinoid exposure during pregnancy.2 As a result of this teratogenicity, the Food and
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Drug Administration mandates that patients treated with isotretinoin enroll in the iPLEDGE
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pregnancy prevention program,3 which requires persons of childbearing potential either to use
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two methods of contraception simultaneously or to commit to continuous abstinence during the
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course of therapy.
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For patients using two methods of contraception, iPLEDGE requires both a primary and
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secondary method. Acceptable forms of primary contraception include: the subdermal hormonal
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implant, permanent surgical contraception (i.e. vasectomy, tubal ligation, or salpingectomy), the
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hormonal or non-hormonal intrauterine device (IUD), the depot medroxyprogesterone (DMPA)
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injection, and the hormonal contraceptive pill, patch, or ring. Acceptable forms of secondary
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contraception include barrier methods (i.e. male latex condom, diaphragm, cervical cap) and the
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vaginal sponge. Progestin-only contraceptive pills, female condoms, fertility awareness-based
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methods, and withdrawal are unacceptable methods of contraception under the iPLEDGE
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program.
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Given the potential differences in effectiveness of these contraception combinations, we
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undertook this study to model the relative effectiveness with typical use of different
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contraception strategies for patients being treated with isotretinoin.
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Methods
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Contraception identification
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This study was conducted in accordance with the CHEERS statement.4 Contraception options
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were classified according to the framework outlined by the Centers for Disease Control and
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Prevention: Tier 1 includes the subdermal hormonal implant, permanent surgical contraception,
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and the hormonal and non-hormonal intrauterine device (IUD). Tier 2 includes the depot
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medroxyprogesterone (DMPA) injection, and the combined hormonal (including both estrogen
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and progestin hormones) contraceptive pill, patch, and ring. Tier 3 includes barrier methods and
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fertility awareness-based methods.5,6 Abstinence was included as an additional category, and
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typical use estimates were derived from previous literature on abstinence compliance among
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patients using isotretinoin.7
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Effectiveness of contraceptive methods for pregnancy prevention.
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Rates of relative effectiveness with typical use were based on the iPLEDGE Prescriber
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Isotretinoin Educational Kit, which relies on United States population-based estimates of
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contraceptive effectiveness derived primarily from the National Survey of Family Growth.6,8 For
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barrier methods, the effectiveness of male condoms was used. We assumed that the effectiveness
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of each contraceptive method was independent. The relative effectiveness of each of these
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primary forms of contraception was modeled with potential secondary forms of contraception.
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Since the typical course of isotretinoin is approximately six months, rates of effectiveness with
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respect to prevention of unintended pregnancy are presented for a six-month treatment period
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(e.g. since the rate of failure of combined oral contraceptives with typical use is 9% annually, we
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used a failure rate of 4.5% for our model to reflect a typical six-month treatment period). In
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addition, we calculated the number needed to use a secondary form of contraception to prevent
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one additional unintended pregnancy compared to use of the primary form alone.
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Effectiveness of abstinence for pregnancy prevention.
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Given that approximately 20% of individuals reporting abstinence for the iPLEDGE program
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are in fact sexually active while on the medication, we also modeled the effectiveness of
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abstinence.7 It has been estimated that adults in the United States 18-29 years-old and 30-39
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years-old engage in sexual activity about 1.5 times per week.9 Due to the fact that rates of sexual
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activity among those taking isotretinoin may differ from the general population, we estimated the
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rate of unintended pregnancy among those choosing abstinence using four different frequencies
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of intercourse (twice per week, once per week, once per month, and once per year).10 Based on
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prior literature on fertility, the rate of pregnancy per act of unprotected intercourse was estimated
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to be 4.5%.11
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In addition, since some patients who report abstinence and are sexually active may use
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contraception, we accounted for the possibility of this contraception use in our models and
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performed sensitivity analyses varying the percentage of patients who were sexually active and
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the percentage who were using contraception.7 For these sensitivity analyses, the percentage
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reporting abstinence who are sexually active and not using contraception was varied between 5%
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and 30%. The percentage who were sexually active and using contraception was varied between
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10% and 30%. Since combined hormonal contraceptives and condoms are the most frequently
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chosen forms of contraception, the rate of pregnancy among those using contraception was based
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on the estimate for combined oral contraceptives and condoms from our primary analysis.7
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Results Without any secondary form of contraception, Tier 1 contraception options such as the
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subdermal hormonal implant (99.98%), the hormonal IUD (99.90%), and the non-hormonal IUD
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(99.60%) each had effectiveness of greater than 99.5% during the first six months of typical use.
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The effectiveness of most Tier 1 contraception options increased by less than 0.1% with the
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addition of a secondary form of contraception such as barrier methods. Without any secondary
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form of contraception, Tier 2 contraception options such as the DMPA injection (97.0%) and
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combined hormonal contraceptives (e.g. pill, patch, ring; 95.5%) each had a failure rate of 3% or
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greater during the first six months of typical use. However, adding a secondary form of
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contraception such as barrier methods increased the effectiveness to greater than 99% for DMPA
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injections (99.5%) and combined hormonal contraceptives (99.2%). Tier 3 options such as
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barrier methods (91.0%) and fertility awareness-based methods (88.0%) had low effectiveness
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alone (Table 1).
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Based on the increase in effectiveness with the addition of barrier methods to the primary
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forms of contraception, we estimated that 4,878, 1,220, 305, and 27 patients would need to use
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barrier methods to prevent one additional pregnancy for those using the subdermal implant,
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hormonal IUD, non-hormonal IUD, and combined hormonal contraceptives, respectively, over a
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6-month period (Table 2).
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Among patients reporting abstinence, in our base case scenario the effectiveness of this
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approach during a typical six-month course of isotretinoin would be 95.0%, 95.4%, 97.8% and
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99.7% with twice weekly, weekly, monthly, and yearly frequency of intercourse. This rate was
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entirely dependent on the percentage of those choosing abstinence who were sexually active
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(Table 3).
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Discussion In this study, we identify variation in effectiveness for contraception strategies approved by
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iPLEDGE for reduction of fetal exposure to isotretinoin. Tier 1 contraception options, including
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long-acting reversible contraception such as the subdermal hormonal implant and IUDs, are
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more effective alone than other acceptable contraception options in combination. As a result, for
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patients using Tier 1 contraception for >30 days prior to initiation of isotretinoin, it may be
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reasonable to abandon the requirement for a secondary form of contraception and the 30-day
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waiting period. In addition, to reduce unnecessary burdens on patients and clinicians, it may not
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be necessary to have monthly pregnancy testing and iPLEDGE attestation for patients using Tier
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1 contraception options, which typically require a clinical visit for removal or reversal.
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Tier 2 contraception options such as combined oral contraceptives are expected to have
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similar effectiveness to Tier 1 options when combined with a secondary form of contraception
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such as barrier methods. The importance of using a secondary form of contraception in this
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population is highlighted by the fact that the number needed to use barrier methods to prevent
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one additional unintended pregnancy is only 27 for those using combined oral contraceptives.
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For patients choosing Tier 2 options, reinforcing consistent use of a secondary form of
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contraception may be particularly valuable to reduce the incidence of unintended pregnancy. In
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addition, given the effectiveness of Tier 2 options when used in combination with a secondary
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form of contraception (similar to that of Tier 1 options), iPLEDGE should continue to allow for
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use of Tier 2 options as acceptable forms of contraception to ensure flexibility with respect to
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patient preferences and autonomy.
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Despite the implementation of iPLEDGE, fetal exposures to isotretinoin continue to occur.12,13 Emphasis on transparency and risk reduction around patients declaring abstinence is
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crucial. In addition, future research should evaluate patient perspectives regarding use of
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secondary forms of contraception, particularly among those using Tier 2 contraception options.
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Given the low cost and high effectiveness of combining secondary barrier methods with Tier 2
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contraception options, approaches to ease access to barrier methods should be explored,
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including advance provision to patients being treated with isotretinoin. There also may be
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opportunities to better educate patients about the role of emergency contraception in the setting
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of contraception failure or unprotected intercourse.14 Finally, efforts should be made to identify
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the risks and benefits of advance provision of emergency contraception, particularly as some
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patients on isotretinoin may not have an established relationship with a gynecologist or feel
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comfortable obtaining over-the-counter emergency contraception on their own.10,15,16
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The results of this study should be interpreted in the context of the study design. Although
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our models assumed that the effectiveness of each contraceptive method was independent, it is
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possible that adherence to the primary form of contraception may be correlated with adherence to
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the secondary form of contraception. In addition, given the contraception and pregnancy
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counseling associated with iPLEDGE, it is possible that rates of unintended pregnancy with
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typical use of contraception may be lower than in the general population. However, since this
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effect should be similar across all contraception options, the relative differences in contraception
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effectiveness would be expected to be unchanged. There is also uncertainty with respect to
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several important parameters of our models (i.e., percentage of those choosing abstinence who
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are sexually active, rate unprotected intercourse among those are sexually active). We have tried
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to account for this potential variation and uncertainty through several sensitivity analyses (Table
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3).
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This study highlights opportunities to improve iPLEDGE by recognizing the high
205
effectiveness of Tier 1 contraception options and increasing use of secondary forms of
206
contraception among those using Tier 2 contraception options as their primary form of
207
contraception.17 Future studies are needed to understand the most effective strategies in clinical
208
practice to prevent unintended pregnancy for patients taking isotretinoin to improve outcomes
209
and provide patient-centered care.
210
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Zaenglein AL, Pathy AL, Schlosser BJ, et al. Guidelines of care for the management of acne vulgaris. J Am Acad Dermatol. 2016;74(5):945-973.e33.
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2.
Lammer EJ, Chen DT, Hoar RM, et al. Retinoic acid embryopathy. N Engl J Med. 1985;313(14):837-841.
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3.
Prevost N, English JC. Isotretinoin: update on controversial issues. J Pediatr Adolesc Gynecol. 2013;26(5):290-293.
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4.
Husereau D, Drummond M, Petrou S, et al. Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) statement. BMJ. 2013;346:f1049. doi:10.1136/bmj.f1049
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Contraception | Reproductive Health. https://www.cdc.gov/reproductivehealth/contraception/index.htm. Published August 7, 2019. Accessed August 28, 2019.
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Trussell J. Contraceptive failure in the United States. Contraception. 2011;83(5):397-404.
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Collins M-K, Moreau JF, Opel D, et al. Compliance with pregnancy prevention measures during isotretinoin therapy. J Am Acad Dermatol. 2014;70(1):55-59.
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Prescriber Isotretinoin Educational Kit. https://www.ipledgeprogram.com/iPledgeUI/rems/pdf/resources/Prescriber%20Isotretinoin %20Educational%20Kit.pdf. Accessed August 28, 2019.
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Twenge JM, Sherman RA, Wells BE. Declines in Sexual Frequency among American Adults, 1989-2014. Arch Sex Behav. 2017;46(8):2389-2401.
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10. Foster DG, Raine TR, Brindis C, Rostovtseva DP, Darney PD. Should Providers Give Women Advance Provision of Emergency Contraceptive Pills? A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis. Womens Health Issues Off Publ Jacobs Inst Womens Health. 2010;20(4):242247.
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11. Li D, Wilcox AJ, Dunson DB. Benchmark Pregnancy Rates and the Assessment of Postcoital Contraceptives: An Update. Contraception. 2015;91(4):344-349.
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12. Tkachenko E, Singer S, Sharma P, Barbieri J, Mostaghimi A. US Food and Drug Administration Reports of Pregnancy and Pregnancy-Related Adverse Events Associated With Isotretinoin. JAMA Dermatol.
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13. Shin J, Cheetham TC, Wong L, et al. The impact of the iPLEDGE program on isotretinoin fetal exposure in an integrated health care system. J Am Acad Dermatol. 2011;65(6):11171125.
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14. Shen J, Che Y, Showell E, Chen K, Cheng L. Interventions for emergency contraception. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2017;8:CD001324. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD001324.pub5 11
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15. Glasier A, Baird D. The effects of self-administering emergency contraception. N Engl J Med. 1998;339(1):1-4. doi:10.1056/NEJM199807023390101
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16. Polis CB, Schaffer K, Blanchard K, Glasier A, Harper CC, Grimes DA. Advance provision of emergency contraception for pregnancy prevention (full review). Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2007;(2):CD005497.
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17. Barbieri JS, Frieden IJ, Nagler AR. Isotretinoin, Patient Safety, and Patient-Centered CareTime to Reform iPLEDGE. JAMA Dermatol. October 2019. doi:10.1001/jamadermatol.2019.3270
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Table 1. Contraceptive effectiveness during within first six months of (typical) use
Abstinence Tier 3 Tier 2
Tier 1
Secondary Forms
Subdermal hormonal implant Permanent surgical contraception (i.e. vasectomy) Permanent surgical contraception (i.e. tubal ligation) Hormonal IUD Non-hormonal IUD DMPA injection Combined hormonal pill/patch/ring Barrier methods (condoms, sponge, diaphragm) Fertility awareness-based methods Abstinence (twice weekly model) Abstinence (weekly model) Abstinence (monthly model) Abstinence (yearly model)
Alone 99.975% 99.925% 99.750% 99.900% 99.600% 97.000% 95.500% 91.000% 88.000% 97.571% 97.979% 99.201% 99.891%
COC, hormonal patch/ring 99.998% 99.993% 99.978% 99.991% 99.964% 99.190% 98.920% -
Barrier methods 99.996% 99.987% 99.955% 99.982% 99.928% 99.460% 99.190% 97.840% -
Fertility awareness 99.994% 99.982% 99.940% 99.976% 99.904% 99.280% 98.920% 97.840% -
257 258
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259 260
Table 2. Number needed to treat with secondary form to prevent one pregnancy during a typical six-month course of isotretinoin
Tier 3 Tier 2
Tier 1
Secondary Forms
261 262 263
Subdermal hormonal implant Permanent surgical contraception (i.e. vasectomy) Permanent surgical contraception (i.e. tubal ligation) Hormonal IUD Non-hormonal IUD DMPA injection Combined hormonal pill/patch/ring Barrier methods (condoms, sponge, diaphragm) Fertility awareness-based methods
Hormonal Patch/Pill/Ring 4396 1465
Barrier Methods (i.e. condoms) 4878 1626
440 1099 275
488 1220 305 41 27
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Fertility awareness 5263 1754 526 1316 329 44 29 15
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-
IUD: Intrauterine device; DMPA: depot medroxyprogesterone.
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264 265
Table 3. Estimated effectiveness of abstinence for pregnancy prevention during typical six-month course of isotretinoin
Frequency of intercourse
Percentage Sexually Active (no contraception) Percentage Sexually Active (COCs and condoms)
266 267 268 269
10%
5% 20%
30%
10%
10% 20%
30%
10%
20% 20%
30%
10%
30% 20%
30%
Twice weekly
97.4% 97.4% 97.3% 95.0% 94.9% 94.8% 90.0% 89.9% 89.8% 85.0% 85.0% 84.9%
Weekly
97.6% 97.6% 97.5% 95.4% 95.3% 95.2% 90.8% 90.8% 90.7% 86.3% 86.2% 86.1%
Monthly
98.9% 98.8% 98.7% 97.8% 97.7% 97.6% 95.7% 95.6% 95.5% 93.6% 93.5% 93.4%
Yearly
99.8% 99.7% 99.6% 99.7% 99.6% 99.5% 99.5% 99.4% 99.3% 99.2% 99.2% 99.1%
COCs: Combined oral contraceptives Bolded values are base case scenario
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