Statistical analysis and inter-comparison of erythemal solar radiation for Athalassa and Larnaca, Cyprus

Statistical analysis and inter-comparison of erythemal solar radiation for Athalassa and Larnaca, Cyprus

Accepted Manuscript Statistical analysis and inter-comparison of erythemal solar radiation for Athalassa and Larnaca, Cyprus S.A. Kalogirou, S. Pashi...

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Accepted Manuscript Statistical analysis and inter-comparison of erythemal solar radiation for Athalassa and Larnaca, Cyprus

S.A. Kalogirou, S. Pashiardis, A. Pashiardi PII:

S0960-1481(17)30350-6

DOI:

10.1016/j.renene.2017.04.043

Reference:

RENE 8738

To appear in:

Renewable Energy

Received Date:

27 January 2017

Revised Date:

19 March 2017

Accepted Date:

22 April 2017

Please cite this article as: S.A. Kalogirou, S. Pashiardis, A. Pashiardi, Statistical analysis and intercomparison of erythemal solar radiation for Athalassa and Larnaca, Cyprus, Renewable Energy (2017), doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2017.04.043

This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Highlights 

Statistical analysis of ultraviolet erythemal radiation.



Monthly and diurnal variation of ultraviolet erythemal radiation.



Statistical relationships between ultraviolet erythemal and other radiation components, total ozone column, relative air mass, clearness index and solar zenith angle.



Calculation of UV Index.



Estimation of the cumulative doses during an average year for the four skin phototypes.



Comparison of ultraviolet erythemal radiation between two sites.



It is the first time that an analysis of this type is performed in Cyprus.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1

Statistical analysis and inter-comparison of erythemal solar radiation for

2

Athalassa and Larnaca, Cyprus.

3 4

S.A. KALOGIROU*, S. PASHIARDIS*, * and A. PASHIARDI**

5

* Department of Mechanical Engineering and Materials Science and Engineering

6

Cyprus University of Technology, P. O. Box 50329, 3603, Limassol, Cyprus

7

Tel: +357-2500-2621, Fax: +357-2500-2637, Email: [email protected]

8

** Cyprus Statistical Services Ministry of Finance, Michael Karaoli,

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1444 Nicosia, Cyprus

10

Abstract

11 12

A statistical analysis and inter-comparison of the erythemal ultraviolet radiation

13

(UVER) at two sites in Cyprus representing two different climate regimes of the

14

island (Athalassa-inland plain vs Larnaca-coastal location) covering the period

15

January 2013-December 2015 is presented. Mean annual and mean monthly daily

16

totals of the UVER irradiation and their frequency distribution at both sites are

17

computed and discussed. UVER irradiance fluctuates between 0.054 W m-2 in

18

December to 0.227 W m-2 in July at solar noon at Athalassa. The values at Larnaca

19

are lower than in Athalassa and they fluctuate between 0.043 W m-2 in December

20

and 0.172 W m-2 in July at solar noon. The total accumulated UVER irradiation along

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a mean year reaches 1142 kJ m-2 at Athalassa and 909 kJ m-2. Large fluctuations of

22

the daily UVER irradiation are observed in the spring months and November, which

23

are mainly due to unstable meteorological conditions during the transition from cold

24

to warm weather and vice versa. During summer the daily UVER radiation exceeds

25

the value of 6 kJ m-2 at Athalassa and 4.8 kJ m-2 at Larnaca, while during the winter

26

season the lowest is about 0.2 kJ m-2 at both sites. Statistical relationships between

27

UVER and other radiation components (UVA, global radiation, clearness index and

28

relative optical air mass) are established. The UV Index reaches high (6-7) or very

29

high (8-10) values in 58.1% of the cases in Athalassa, whereas in Larnaca these

30

values are reached in 38.8%. It is observed that the cumulative doses of UVER

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during an average year range from 9087 Standard Erythemal Dose (SEDs) in

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Larnaca to 11418 SEDs in Athalassa. The most common skin type in Cyprus,

33

phototype III (about 70% of the population), could receive an annual cumulative dose

1

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 34

between 2596 Minimum Erythemal Doses (MEDs) in Larnaca to 3262 MEDs in

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Athalassa.

36 37

Keywords: Ultraviolet erythemal irradiance, statistical analysis, clearness index,

38

frequency distribution, transparency, statistical relationships, UV Index, cumulative

39

doses, skin phototypes, Cyprus

40 41

1. Introduction

42 43

Ultraviolet (UV) radiation covers wavelengths of the electromagnetic spectrum

44

between 100 and 400 nm and it constitutes 8.73% of the total extraterrestrial solar

45

spectrum irradiance [1]. Within the UV radiation spectrum three zones are

46

distinguished in relation to the effects that the radiation produces on living

47

organisms: UVC (100-280 nm), UVB (280-315 nm) and UVA (315-400 nm) [2]. UVC

48

does not reach the Earth’s surface since it is absorbed completely by the ozone layer

49

in the stratosphere. In the upper atmosphere, the UVB irradiance amounts to 1.3% of

50

the solar constant [1]. UVB is mostly absorbed by the ozone layer. On the other

51

hand, UVA undergoes minimal absorption by the ozone layer and it is associated

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with photo ageing of the skin, immuno-suppression of the skin immune system and

53

potential enhancement of the negative effects of UVB exposure. UV radiation on the

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Earth’s surface varies widely and depends mainly on latitude, solar elevation, ozone

55

column and local atmospheric conditions. The emission of certain gases due to

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human activities is known to alter the composition of the atmosphere. Some of the

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most serious damage caused is the reduction of the ozone layer in the stratosphere,

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causing a corresponding increase in UV [3]. Measurements in Italy and England

59

indicate that UVB incidence increased with decreasing ozone amount at fixed solar

60

zenith angles [4-5].

61 62

Solar UV radiation, and particularly UVB, has an important influence on terrestrial

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and marine ecosystems, being in many cases an indicator of their development due

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to its impact over the physical and chemical conditions that allow ecosystems to

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evolve [6-8]. The effects of UV solar radiation on human beings are mostly observed

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on skin, the eyes (cataracts), the photo-ageing and the immune system. The effects

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over the skin depend on the duration of the exposure to sunlight. Chronic skin 2

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 68

exposure

produces

morphological

changes:

the

epidermis

turns

thicker,

69

disorganized, parakeratoric, and acanthotic [9]. Severe skin overexposure produces

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severe sunburn that causes heat, erythema and other symptoms approximately 16

71

hours after exposure to natural sunlight [10]. Epidemiological evidence also exists of

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the direct influence of sunlight over skin cancer in human beings [11-12]. On the

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other hand, the benefits of human exposure to UV radiation are few. The primary

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benefit is the need of UV for synthesizing vitamin D in the skin. This synthesis is

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achieved with very low doses of UV radiation, such that a daily exposure of 10-15

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min for the face, arms and hands at an intensity of the radiation received in Northern

77

Europe is sufficient [13].

78 79

The CIE (Commission Internationale de l’ Éclairage) adopted in 1987 a standard

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erythema action spectrum [14], marginally modified in 1998 [15], which is currently

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recommended for determining the UV erythemal radiation (UVER). UVER is

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calculated by weighting the spectral curve of the incident solar radiation at ground

83

level with the spectral action curve proposed by CIE. The CIE spectrum of human

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erythemal describes the energy efficiency at different wavelengths to produce the

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particular biological effect and shows an absolute maximum at 297 nm; the UVER

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irradiance consists of 17% UVA and 83% UVB, at the Earth’s surface [16].

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Therefore, small changes in UVB may produce strong biological effects.

88 89

The MED (Minimum Erythemal Dose) is the minimum dose of UVER that produces a

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noticeable reddening of a specific skin type (phototype) not exposed previously to

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solar radiation [17]. Most countries have adopted a skin classification, which

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considers four phototypes. Table 1 shows the main characteristics of these four

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phototypes as well as the dose needed to produce one MED. The CIE has also

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defined a Standard Erythemal Dose (SED) that corresponds to 100 J m-2 and does

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not depend on the skin type.

96 97

Table 1. Skin types defined by ISO 17166 CIE S 007/E [15] Skin

Tanning

Phototype ability I

None

Sunburn

Hair color Eye color

MED (J m-2)

susceptibility High

Blond/red

3

Blue

200

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT II

Poor

Moderate

Blond

Blue/green

250

III

Good

Low

Brown

Grey/brown

350

IV

Very good

Very Low

Black

Brown

450

98 99

The effects of UV on skin can be quantified by the UV Index (UVI). UVI is an

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estimation of the effectiveness of solar radiation to produce harmful effects on

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human skin, where one unit is equal to 25 mW m-2, i.e., the UVI is quantitavely

102

obtained by multiplying the UVER value (expressed in W m-2) by 40 [18].

103 104

In spite of the important role of UVER, few radiometric stations measure it

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systematically in the Mediterranean region. A network of UVER stations was

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established in Greece [19-20], Spain [21-23], Israel [24-25] and Egypt [26]. In

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Cyprus, UV (A&B) radiation is measured at Athalassa (inland) and recently at

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Larnaca (coastal place) [27]. UVER is measured at the above two sites since 2013.

109 110

Various authors have analyzed the relation between solar UVER and global radiation

111

[22-24, 28]. Moreno et al. [29] studied the effect of the relative optical air mass and

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the clearness index on UVER values in Valencia in the period 2003-2012. Kudish

113

and Evseev [30] analyzed UVB radiation as a function of solar global radiation,

114

ozone layer thickness and aerosol optical density in Beer Sheva (Israel). De Miguel

115

et al. [31] have studied the evolution of erythemal and total shortwave solar radiation

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as a function of atmospheric factors in Valladolid (Central Spain). Esteve et al. [32]

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have studied the influence of cloudiness over the values of UVER in Valencia

118

(Spain).

119 120

In recent decades, radiative transfer and theoretical models have been developed

121

that can be used to predict UVER radiation or UVI [e.g., 33-34]. Neural networks are

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also applied for the estimation of UV erythemal irradiance [35]. Some authors use

123

empirical models, which are simpler and more manageable and understandable [36-

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37]. The European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST)-Action 713 has

125

tested a number of models for UVB forecasting using multiple scattering models

126

rather than radiative transfer models [38]. The results of these simulations were also

127

published in the final report of that COST Action [39]. More recently, the CEAM 4

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 128

Foundation in Valencia (Spain) has developed an operational UVI forecasting

129

system based on the Santa Barbara DISORT Atmospheric Radiative Transfer

130

(SBDART) model [40].

131 132

An assessment of the solar radiation climate of the Cyprus environment was

133

presented by Jacovides et al. in 1993 [41]. Petrakis et al. [42] presented the ‘Typical

134

Meteorological Year’ for Nicosia. More recently, Kalogirou et al. [43] presented a

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statistical analysis and inter-comparison of the solar global radiation at the same

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sites as in this study, using measurements of 21 months at both sites. The common

137

feature of all the above studies is that they rely mostly on measurements of solar

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radiation carried out at the actinometric stations of Athalassa and Larnaca.

139 140

The interest of this paper is that similar data series (UVER) have not been recorded

141

before and no similar work has previously been done in Cyprus. This work

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constitutes the first UVER analysis in the island of Cyprus, which is also essential

143

because of the fact that the atmospheric conditions in the area favor dry summers

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and cold winters, high air temperatures and low vapor pressure values at midday in

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summer time, which affect the transmission of UVER through the atmosphere. In this

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work we analyze hourly UVER and global irradiance data on a horizontal plane and

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perform an inter-comparison study between the two locations in Cyprus as well as

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between other sites in the Mediterranean region. Additionally, UVER measurements

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have been used to estimate UVI and the cumulative doses for the four skin

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phototypes are also considered here.

151 152

2. Materials and methods

153 154

The radiation data on which this study is based are being monitored at two

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meteorological stations: one located at Athalassa, an inland plain location and the

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other one at Larnaca Airport near the coast. The site parameters of the two stations

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are listed in Table 2.

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Table 2. Site parameters for the two meteorological stations Site

Location

Latitude

Longitude

Altitude (m, m.s.l)

Athalassa

inland

35.1410 N

33.3960 E

165

Larnaca

coastal

34.8730 N

33.6310 E

1

163 164

The two sites are characterized by relatively high global horizontal and beam

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horizontal radiation intensities. The average annual sunshine duration is 3332 hours

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for Athalassa and slightly higher at Larnaca (3368 h). The annual average daily

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global radiation exceeds 18.5 MJ m-2 at the two sites, whereas the average beam

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horizontal radiation is 13.1 MJ m-2 for Athalassa and 14.2 MJ m-2 for Larnaca,

169

respectively. Consequently, the fraction of the beam component of the global

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radiation is relatively high at both sites, viz., the annual average daily fraction is

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>0.600 at the two sites. Comparing the two sites it seems that Larnaca has slightly

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higher rates of global radiation than Athalassa, since the average yearly cumulative

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global irradiation is 6835 MJ m-2 for Athalassa and 7183 MJ m-2 for Larnaca. The

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monthly average frequency of days according to the classification of the magnitude

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of the daily clearness index KT (daily global to daily extraterrestrial radiation), shows

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that both clear and partially cloudy days exceed 90% annually (KT >0.35) [43].

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The period for presenting the data at both stations is January 2013 to December

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2015 (i.e., 3 years), when both stations operated simultaneously, so as to allow for

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comparison of the different variables of solar and terrestrial radiation. Measurements

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of total solar irradiance on a horizontal surface were taken with Kipp & Zonen CM11

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pyranometers whose spectral range is from 285 to 2800 nm. Both stations are

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equipped with Kipp & Zonen UVS-E-T broadband radiometers with a spectral range

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of 280 to 315 nm (UVB) and 315 to 400 nm (UVA). The radiometers have directional

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response up to 70° solar zenith angle (θz) less than 2.5%. All the sensors are factory

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calibrated, in accordance with the World Radiometric Reference (WRR). Global

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radiation instruments were calibrated outdoor against standard references at

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irregular time intervals during the study period. The errors involved in the radiation

189

measurements were found to be no less than ±2% for the normal incidence beam

190

irradiance and ±3% for the global irradiance.

191 6

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A Campbell Scientific Instruments data-logger, located at each site (Model CR10),

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monitors and stores the data at 10-min intervals (the radiometers are scanned every

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10 seconds and average, maximum, minimum and instantaneous values at 10-min

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intervals are calculated and stored). The stored data are downloaded to a desktop

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computer periodically. The data refer to the Local Standard Time (LST=GMT+2).

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About 5% of the data values are missing because of some problems with the

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instruments and some defects and maintenance in the data acquisition systems. The

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validity of the individual measurements was checked in accordance with the WMO

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recommendations [44] and other tests proposed by various authors [45-47]. Details

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about the quality control procedures used in this study are given by Pashiardis and

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Kalogirou [48]. All data that do not meet the conditions specified by the suggested

203

tests were not used in the study.

204 205

Regarding the UVER irradiance the following upper limit was applied as suggested

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by de Miguel et al. [49] in a similar way as the UVB quality control process:

207 208

UVER  1.2*UVER0

(1)

209 210

where, UVER is the measured value and UVER0 is the horizontal extraterrestrial

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solar UVER irradiance ( GscUVER  9.89 W m-2 ), which was obtained from Tena et al.

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[22]. The measurements of both stations were less than the horizontal extraterrestrial

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solar UVER0 irradiance during the whole period of measurements. Occasionally,

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night values were detected, which were excluded from the database. No other errors

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were found. Long periods of missing data were detected during the period 1st

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January – 18th February 2013 at Larnaca due to instability of the recording system.

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However, only 10 missing days were recorded at Athalassa.

218 219

Regarding the quality control of the daily UVER radiation data, daily values were

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rejected in case of incomplete data during the day. The time series plots of the daily

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values of UVER irradiation for both stations are shown in Figure 1. The figure

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indicates that the ascent during the first months of each year is very irregular with

223

fluctuations, while the descent is smoother. During summer the daily UVER radiation

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exceeds the value of 6 kJ m-2 at Athalassa and 4.8 kJ m-2 at Larnaca, while during 7

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 225

the winter season the lowest is about 0.2 kJ m-2 at both stations. Slightly lower

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values were recorded in the year 2015 at both stations, which may be attributed to

227

higher amounts of aerosols in the atmosphere. The year 2015 is characterized as an

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extremely dry year with more frequent dust episodes over the island (dust from the

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deserts of Middle East and Sahara), increasing, therefore, the aerosols in the

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atmosphere, which affect the absorption of the UVER radiation. It should be noted

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that UV is mostly influenced by Rayleigh scattering than Mie one.

232

233 234

Fig. 1. Time series plot of daily UVER solar irradiation during the period 2013-2015

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at Athalassa and Larnaca. Days start counting from January 1, 2013.

236 237

3. Results and discussion

238 239

3.1 Daily values

240 241

Global solar radiation and total UVER radiation have been analyzed and compared

242

in this study. Figure 2a shows the temporal evolution of daily UVER and global solar

243

irradiation at Athalassa. A similar graph with slightly lower values was obtained at

244

Larnaca (Fig.2b). Data reveal a common evolution shape with maxima in summer 8

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 245

and minima in winter, mainly due to the daily minimum solar zenith angle and day-

246

length (astronomical factors) variation during the year. Large fluctuations in the

247

spring months and November are mainly due to unstable meteorological conditions

248

during the transition from cold to warm weather and vice versa. The maximum of

249

daily global solar horizontal irradiation is reached in June or July and it is around 31

250

MJ m-2 at Athalassa and around 32 MJ m-2 at Larnaca.

251 252

Fig. 2. Co-variability of daily measured UVER values (UVERd) and daily global

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horizontal solar irradiation (Gd) during the period 2013-2015 at a) Athalassa and b) at

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Larnaca. Days start counting from January 1, 2013.

255 256

The mean value of UVER for each day and the mean daily value of UVER over a

257

month have been calculated; Figure 3a shows the results for both stations. The

258

mean value of UVER was obtained by simply calculating the mean value for each

259

day of the year. Fourth order polynomial regression equations are fitted to describe

260

the relationship between the mean value of UVER for each day and Julian days (jd)

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(1..365) for Athalassa and Larnaca (Eqs. 2-3):

262 263 264 265

UVERd  1.44946  0.02694 jd  0.00083 jd 2  4.0967*106 jd 3  5.561*109 jd 4 (2) UVERd  1.10756  0.01745 jd  0.00062 jd 2  3.1396*106 jd 3  4.312*109 jd 4 (3) 9

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 266 267

The daily values present a greater fluctuation in spring. It can be seen that the

268

variation in the monthly mean values (continuous smooth line) is quite regular, with

269

the maximum values taking place in June/July and the minimum in December. Daily

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UVER increases in spring to summer at a lower rate than that of the decrease in

271

autumn. The different slopes can be explained by the total ozone effects. During the

272

summer months, when solar zenith angle (SZA) leads to high UVER irradiance, the

273

total ozone column (TOC) is declining; this effect causes UVER to get maximum

274

levels from June to July (Fig. 3b). The time series of the mean daily values of TOC

275

during the study period were obtained from the satellite instrument MODIS

276

(http://giovanni.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/giovanni/#service=ArAvTs). The peak TOC value is

277

recorded in April and its minimum in November, while the maximum of the midday

278

hour of cos(SZA) is observed in June and its minimum in December.

279

280 281

Fig. 3a. Annual evolution of daily and monthly UVER irradiation values (kJ m-2) at

282

Athalassa and Larnaca, during the period 2013-2015.

283 284

10

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285 286

Fig. 3b. Annual cycle of monthly mean TOC in Dobson Units (DU) and the mean of

287

the cosine of the midday SZA.

288 289

Table 3 shows the statistical characteristics of daily UVER data for all-sky conditions.

290

The Table shows the following statistical parameters: number of observations (N),

291

arithmetic mean (Mean), standard deviation (StDev), coefficient of variation in

292

percent (CoefVar), minimum (Min), the first and third quartiles (Q1 and Q3), median,

293

maximum (Max), inter quartile range (IQR), percentiles (P5 and P95), skewness and

294

kurtosis coefficients (As and K) and the type of distribution obtained from the last two

295

coefficients (Table 4) [25]. The median values are mainly slightly higher than the

296

average ones; the maximum of the standard deviation occurs in May, while the

297

coefficient of variation shows the lowest values in the summer months, which means

298

that higher stability is observed in these months. The differences between the Min

299

and P5 values are quite high, and therefore, the minimum values correspond to

300

unusually extreme values. On the other hand, the differences between the Max and

301

P95 values are small. The observed daily maximum occurs in June at both stations

302

(6.164 kJ m-2 at Athalassa and 4.863 kJ m-2 at Larnaca). The mean daily UVER for

303

the whole year is 3.126 kJ m-2 for Athalassa and 2.552 kJ m-2 for Larnaca. The

304

variability of the daily UVER irradiation is also demonstrated with the graph of 11

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 305

boxplots for each month of the year. The boxplot presents the Median and the IQR

306

as well as the outliers of the daily values of UVER irradiation for both stations (Fig.

307

4). The smooth line represents the mean daily values of each month. As indicated in

308

the graphs, the spring season shows the greatest variability. The presence of the

309

minimum values as outliers in most of the months of the year confirms the statement

310

that the minimum values correspond to unusually extreme ones.

311 312

Type I frequency distributions curves, i.e., normal distribution, characterize the daily

313

erythemal radiation intensities for the months of February, April, August and

314

November at Athalassa. The most frequent distribution at Athalassa is Type IV,

315

which is almost normal with negative tail (January, March, June, September, October

316

and December). May and July are of Type V, which is a distribution with narrow peak

317

and negative tail. Almost similar distributions are observed at Larnaca. Type I is

318

recorded in February, August and November and the most frequent distribution is

319

again Type IV (January, March, April, July and October). May, September and

320

December are of Type V, while June is Type VI (bimodal, symmetrical with flat

321

peak).

322 323

The monthly mean daily values of the two stations are compared to the respective

324

values of other Mediterranean sites (Fig. 5) [23-25, 50]. It is observed that the curves

325

of the monthly mean daily values follow a sinusoidal evolution, with a minimum in

326

December and a maximum in June or July. As indicated in the graph the highest

327

values are recorded in Beer Sheva (Israel) with the second ones at Athalassa, as

328

expected, since these stations are at lower latitude and have higher sunshine

329

duration comparing to other stations. The coastal sites (Larnaca, Kos, Athens,

330

Thesaloniki, Neve Zohar and Valencia) have almost similar levels of erythemal

331

irradiation, in contrast to the inland locations (Athalassa and Beer Sheva), which

332

have higher levels of UVER. The differences between the inland and coastal

333

locations are more pronounced during the summer period.

334 335

12

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336 337

338 339

Fig. 4. Boxplots of the daily UVER irradiation (kJ m-2) for each month of the year at

340

a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca. The boxplot shows the IQR and the Median values;

341

the asterisks denote the outliers. The smooth line represents the mean daily values

342

of each month. 13

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 343 344

Table 3. Statistical estimators of the daily UVER (kJ m-2) for the period 2013-2015 at

345

a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca

346

a) Athalassa

Month

N

Mean

StDev

CoefVar(%)

Min

Q1

1

93

1.186

0.360

30.33

0.224

0.891

2

84

1.806

0.494

27.38

0.788

3

93

2.641

0.692

26.20

4

90

3.542

0.836

23.60

5

90

4.252

0.976

6

89

5.254

7

92

8

93

9

Median

Q3

Max

IQR

P5

P95

As

K

Distr. Type

1.242

1.486

1.743

0.596

0.499

1.692

-0.46

-0.59

IV

1.532

1.765

2.152

2.894

0.620

0.890

2.613

-0.02

-0.36

I

0.353

2.144

2.677

3.169

3.969

1.026

1.375

3.748

-0.47

0.39

IV

1.613

2.987

3.628

4.118

5.103

1.131

1.885

4.808

-0.38

-0.40

I

22.95

0.848

3.777

4.512

4.886

5.712

1.109

2.203

5.359

-1.36

2.10

V

0.664

12.63

3.478

4.824

5.444

5.796

6.164

0.972

3.774

6.024

-0.86

0.03

IV

5.495

0.361

6.58

4.083

5.314

5.562

5.756

6.144

0.442

4.748

6.003

-1.04

1.88

V

4.805

0.419

8.71

3.731

4.515

4.871

5.043

5.669

0.528

3.966

5.552

-0.29

-0.03

I

90

3.523

0.575

16.32

1.666

3.186

3.597

3.980

4.646

0.793

2.403

4.312

-0.70

0.44

IV

10

93

2.441

0.537

21.99

1.003

2.058

2.559

2.842

3.322

0.783

1.431

3.192

-0.57

-0.21

IV

11

89

1.472

0.298

20.26

0.479

1.300

1.480

1.664

2.071

0.363

0.934

1.985

-0.34

0.67

I

12

91

1.036

0.282

27.25

0.221

0.935

1.112

1.240

1.438

0.304

0.427

1.350

-1.16

0.63

IV

Year

1087

3.126

1.631

52.18

0.221

1.574

2.968

4.632

6.164

3.057

0.890

5.706

0.16

-1.30

VI

Q3

Max

IQR

P5

P95

As

K

Distr. Type

347 348

b) Larnaca

Month

N

Mean

StDev

CoefVar(%)

Min

Q1

Median

1

62

0.956

0.244

25.56

0.316

0.836

0.993

1.137

1.371

0.301

0.417

1.289

-0.80

0.28

2

66

1.517

0.385

25.39

0.601

1.267

1.493

1.864

2.315

0.597

0.836

2.152

-0.05

-0.41

I

3

93

2.136

0.532

24.90

0.418

1.820

2.165

2.477

3.313

0.657

1.104

3.060

-0.47

0.66

IV

4

90

2.902

0.625

21.53

1.242

2.620

2.972

3.377

4.070

0.757

1.516

3.777

-0.77

0.44

IV

5

93

3.507

0.639

18.23

0.773

3.296

3.650

3.898

4.489

0.603

2.403

4.216

-1.97

5.79

V

6

90

4.187

0.432

10.33

3.335

3.898

4.201

4.581

4.825

0.683

3.371

4.773

-0.34

-0.94

VI

7

93

4.240

0.309

7.29

3.149

4.006

4.253

4.444

4.863

0.438

3.732

4.753

-0.47

0.64

IV

8

93

3.705

0.297

8.03

3.069

3.492

3.703

3.909

4.336

0.417

3.248

4.253

0.14

-0.58

I

9

90

2.855

0.542

18.97

0.364

2.605

2.820

3.266

3.743

0.661

1.830

3.594

-1.33

4.27

V

10

93

1.892

0.417

22.03

0.868

1.619

1.921

2.216

2.650

0.596

1.122

2.439

-0.44

-0.36

IV

11

90

1.093

0.221

20.20

0.462

0.932

1.083

1.266

1.499

0.335

0.720

1.449

-0.27

-0.12

I

12

93

0.826

0.183

22.11

0.224

0.754

0.872

0.940

1.089

0.186

0.391

1.045

-1.29

1.45

V

Year

1046

2.552

1.269

49.72

0.224

1.289

2.574

3.691

4.863

2.402

0.793

4.476

0.02

-1.35

VI

349 350

Table 4. Definition of the frequency distribution type as a function of the range of the

351

skewness and kurtosis values obtained from [25]. Distribution Distribution Curve

Skewness (As)

Kurtosis (K)

Type No. I

Normal

-0.4 < As < 0.4

-0.8 < K < 0.8

II

Almost normal with positive tail

As ≥ 0.4

-0.8 < K < 0.8

14

IV

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT III

Narrow peak with positive tail

As ≥ 0.4

K ≤ -0.8 K ≥ 0.8

IV

Almost normal with negative tail

As ≤ -0.4

-0.8 < K < 0.8

V

Narrow peak with negative tail

As ≤ -0.4

K ≥ 0.8

VI

Bimodal, symmetrical with flat -0.4 < As < 0.4

K ≤ -0.8

peak 352 353

354 355

Fig. 5. Monthly mean daily UVER (kJ m-2) at various sites in the Mediterranean area.

356 357

It is also interesting to know the statistics of the daily UVER radiation obtained from

358

different daily global radiation thresholds, since most of the actinometric stations

359

measure global radiation. Table 5 presents the results of the above classifications. At

360

Athalassa, the most frequent cases occurred in the bins of 10-12 MJ m-2 of daily

361

global irradiation followed by the bins of 26-28 and 28-30 MJ m-2. At Larnaca, the

362

most frequent cases occurred in the bins of the range 24-30 MJ m-2 of daily global

363

irradiation. The mean and the median values of UVER irradiation are almost similar

364

at both stations. It is estimated that the UVER irradiation is about 0.016% of the

15

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 365

global one at Athalassa (inland location) and about 0.012% at Larnaca (coastal

366

location).

367 368

Table 5. Statistics of daily UVER irradiation (kJ m-2) based on various thresholds of

369

daily global radiation (MJ m-2) for the period of measurements for a) Athalassa and

370

b) Larnaca.

371

a) Athalassa Ath_Daily Global Radiation Bin End (MJ m-2) Lower Upper 0 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 10 10 12 12 14 14 16 16 18 18 20 20 22 22 24 24 26 26 28 28 30 30 32

UVER (kJ m-2) Occurrences 4 14 25 41 59 119 90 72 81 64 76 79 91 110 106 18

Mean Median 0.258 0.503 0.770 0.964 1.187 1.445 1.730 2.161 2.623 3.031 3.520 4.036 4.511 5.018 5.523 5.866

0.234 0.479 0.788 0.951 1.159 1.383 1.684 2.081 2.595 3.030 3.586 4.063 4.632 5.103 5.631 5.904

Min

Max

Std. Dev.

0.221 0.395 0.568 0.677 0.935 1.000 1.320 1.605 2.119 2.021 2.637 3.010 3.226 3.629 4.011 5.330

0.353 0.848 1.156 1.236 1.693 2.251 2.847 2.944 3.625 3.906 4.487 4.996 5.206 5.672 6.023 6.164

0.064 0.119 0.137 0.124 0.161 0.256 0.287 0.345 0.300 0.320 0.416 0.470 0.471 0.441 0.399 0.239

Min

Max

Std. Dev.

0.224 0.362 0.470 0.620 0.364 0.798 0.871 1.191 1.417 1.589 2.069

0.316 0.566 0.892 1.200 1.242 1.660 2.013 2.134 2.650 2.980 3.274

0.051 0.062 0.155 0.109 0.128 0.169 0.217 0.226 0.268 0.278 0.251

372 373

b) Larnaca Lca_Daily Global Radiation Bin End (MJ m-2) Lower Upper 0 2 2 4 4 6 6 8 8 10 10 12 12 14 14 16 16 18 18 20 20 22

UVER (kJ m-2) Occurrences 3 12 11 37 52 88 94 60 58 64 77

Mean Median 0.282 0.440 0.631 0.786 0.886 1.044 1.245 1.581 1.910 2.226 2.527

16

0.307 0.429 0.601 0.772 0.875 1.006 1.211 1.541 1.921 2.175 2.532

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 22 24 26 28 30 32

24 26 28 30 32 34

62 91 114 137 85 1

2.934 3.331 3.661 4.027 4.362 4.436

2.912 3.361 3.685 3.987 4.361 4.436

2.306 2.455 2.654 3.087 3.466 4.436

3.650 3.895 4.418 4.808 4.863 4.436

0.329 0.285 0.357 0.364 0.313 0.000

374 375

3.2. Analysis of accumulated UVER irradiation

376 377

In studies on the biological effects of UVER, we require the accumulated UVER solar

378

irradiation (kJ m-2) through a period of time. The accumulated values of UVER

379

irradiation are also important for vitamin-D synthesis production. Figure 6 shows the

380

accumulated hourly UVER irradiation values for an average day of each month; the

381

last value is the daily total.

382 383

It can be seen that the highest value for UVER irradiation was produced in July, with

384

a daily average of 5.5 kJ m-2 for Athalassa, and 4.24 kJ m-2 for Larnaca. On the other

385

hand, in December the average irradiation received was minimal (1.04 kJ m-2 at

386

Athalassa and 0.85 kJ m-2 at Larnaca). The accumulated irradiation received in an

387

average year is 1142 kJ m-2 for Athalassa and 909 kJ m-2 for Larnaca (Fig. 7). The

388

seasonal distribution of UVER radiant exposure is shown in Table 6. The highest

389

values are recorded in summer with the second higher one in spring.

390

17

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

391 392 393

394 395

Fig.6. Accumulated UVER irradiation (kJ m-2) for an average day for the period 2013-

396

2015 at a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca.

397 18

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 398

Table 6. Seasonal totals of UVER radiant exposure (kJ m-2) for Athalassa and

399

Larnaca. Season

Athalassa

Larnaca

Spring

320.0

262.0

Summer

477.0

371.9

Autumn

225.5

177.1

Winter

119.4

97.7

Annual

1141.9

908.7

400 401

402 403

Fig.7. UVER radiant exposure accumulated during an average year (kJ m-2) at

404

Athalassa and Larnaca.

405 406

3.3 Frequency of daily UVER irradiation

407 408

The type of the frequency distribution of the daily UVER radiation was presented in

409

section 3.1. The cumulative density functions (CDF) of the daily UVER irradiation for

410

both stations are shown in Fig. 8. The figure indicates that in about 65% of the year,

411

the daily sums of UVER irradiation at Athalassa are below 4 kJ m-2, while at Larnaca 19

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 412

for the same value the probability is about 85%. It can also be estimated that about

413

30% of the days of the year have values of daily sum within the range of 3 to 5 kJ m-

414

2

at Athalassa and between 2 and 4 kJ m-2 at Larnaca.

415

416 417

Fig. 8. Annual cumulative frequency distribution of daily UVER irradiation at a)

418

Athalassa and b) Larnaca.

419 420

3.4. Statistical analysis of hourly UVER irradiance

421 422

A statistical study of the most representative UVER indices for each month of the

423

year has been carried out and the UVER accumulated values have been evaluated

424

because they are very useful in studies of effects on human beings.

425 426

Tables 7a and 7b show the hourly statistical estimators of mean hourly UVER

427

irradiance, for July for both stations, while Table 7c presents only the statistics of

428

December at local solar noon for both stations. These months usually present the

429

highest and lowest values of UVER, following the annual evolution of TOC, which

430

shows a maximum in the spring months (April-May) and a minimum in November

431

[51]. The peak at solar noon represents the maximum daily value and, therefore,

432

only the time of the solar noon is selected for the statistics of December (Table 7c)

433

(see section 3.9 on UVI). The statistical parameters presented in the Table are the

434

same as those used for daily statistics (Table 3). In order to understand the 20

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 435

behaviour of the maximum values of UVER, which will be used later to estimate UVI,

436

the most representative statistics of UVER, which were obtained mainly at local

437

noon, will be discussed. It can be observed that the median values are almost similar

438

to the average ones, which suggest that the average hourly UVER distribution is

439

approaching the normal curve.

440 441

In July, the absolute maxima of the UVER measured at local noon vary from 195.3

442

mW m-2 in Larnaca to 248.8 mW m-2 in Athalassa, whereas the absolute minima

443

range between 140.8 mW m-2 and 188.0 mW m-2, respectively. The difference (in

444

percentage) between the absolute maxima and the P95 percentiles is around 2% at

445

both locations. These values are systematically lower than the difference observed

446

between the absolute minima and the P5 percentiles, which varies between 7%

447

(Athalassa) and 8% (Larnaca). The absolute extreme values have also been

448

compared with their corresponding quartile values to verify if they are representative

449

of the UVER records for the measuring sites. The difference between the Q1

450

quartiles and the absolute minima is around 14% at both sites, whereas the

451

difference between the Q3 quartiles and the absolute maxima varies between 6%

452

(Athalassa) and 7% (Larnaca). Therefore, although the maximum values can be

453

considered representative of the UVER at local noon in July, the minimum values

454

represent unusual extreme values for this month. The maximum values of UVER

455

recorded in Cyprus are comparable with those in Israel [25], in Valladolid (Spain) [31]

456

and in Greece [50].

457 458

In December, the values of the absolute maximum measured at local noon range

459

from 57.0 mW m-2 in Larnaca to 77.3 mW m-2 in Athalassa, whereas the values of

460

the absolute minimum are almost similar at both stations (around 8 mW m-2) (Table

461

7c). As it happened for July, the difference between the absolute maxima and the P95

462

percentiles is systematically lower than that observed between the absolute minima

463

and the P5 percentiles. These differences vary between 4.2% (Larnaca) and 7.2%

464

(Athalassa) for the absolute maxima and P95 percentiles, and between 46%

465

(Athalassa) and 55% (Larnaca) for the absolute minima and the P5 percentiles. The

466

comparison of the extreme values with their corresponding quartiles shows a

467

variation between 81% (Larnaca) and 84% (Athalassa) for the difference between

468

the Q1 quartiles and the absolute minima, whereas the difference between the Q3 21

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 469

quartiles and the absolute maxima ranges from 13.7% (Larnaca) to 15.3%

470

(Athalassa). Thus, as it happened for July, the maximum values can be considered

471

representative of the UVER at local noon in December, while the minimum values

472

may be considered as unusual extreme values.

473 474

The UVER variability has been studied by means of the coefficient of variation

475

(CoefVar). As it can be seen in Table 7, the CVs in July are low during midday (5-

476

10%) at both stations, indicating a high stability along these hours in summer.

477

Furthermore, CoefVars fluctuate between 5 and 16% at Athalassa, while at Larnaca

478

they are slightly higher (5-27%). The standard deviation is higher along midday

479

hours and symmetrically distributed around solar noon during the summer months.

480

This could be explained by a minor presence of clouds in the summer months that

481

lead to a high stability of the atmosphere.

482 483

Table 7. Statistical estimators of the mean hourly UVER irradiance (mW m-2), in July,

484

under all-sky conditions for the period 2013-2015, at a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca.

485

a) Athalassa

Hour

N

Mean

StDev

CoefVar(%)

Min

Q1

Median

Q3

Max

IQR

As

K

P5

P95

Dly UVER (%)

6

93

9.46

1.31

13.80

5.33

8.67

9.33

10.33

12.25

1.67

-0.23

0.31

7.3

11.80

1

7

93

25.08

3.43

13.66

13.83

23.08

25.17

27.17

32.50

4.08

-0.26

0.42

19.7

31.30

2

8

92

59.49

5.97

10.03

42.50

55.67

59.92

63.67

71.50

8.00

-0.27

-0.08

49.1

69.80

4

9

92

107.87

7.86

7.29

84.67

102.87

108.25

113.46

124.17

10.58

-0.26

0.12

94.5

121.20

7

10

92

160.14

10.07

6.29

118.67

154.42

160.58

166.46

180.33

12.04

-0.72

2.12

143.5

176.10

10

11

92

203.55

10.68

5.25

166.00

196.87

203.92

210.92

226.17

14.04

-0.47

0.96

184.9

220.80

13

12

92

226.60

11.22

4.95

188.00

219.13

227.08

234.33

248.83

15.21

-0.63

0.91

202.9

243.70

15

13

92

222.37

15.40

6.93

155.17

217.17

226.08

232.00

247.50

14.83

-1.94

4.82

182.1

238.20

15

14

92

191.26

19.89

10.40

113.50

188.04

198.00

203.21

215.83

15.17

-2.09

4.43

146.5

209.40

13

15

92

142.50

23.72

16.65

55.00

140.88

150.83

156.42

164.00

15.54

-2.31

4.99

78.1

161.10

9

16

92

95.19

12.96

13.62

19.83

91.67

99.08

101.96

108.50

10.29

-3.10

13.18

67.2

106.20

6

17

92

52.32

4.75

9.08

29.17

50.54

53.33

55.00

58.83

4.46

-2.02

6.28

43

58.10

3

18

92

21.39

1.89

8.84

13.17

20.33

21.50

22.79

25.00

2.46

-1.04

2.81

18.3

24.00

1

19

92

9.23

0.98

10.64

6.00

8.63

9.00

10.00

11.00

1.38

-0.82

1.32

7.7

10.50

1

486 487

b) Larnaca

Hour

N

Mean

StDev

CoefVar(%)

Min

Q1

Median

Q3

Max

IQR

As

K

P5

P95

Dly UVER (%)

6

93

6.21

1.40

22.56

3.50

5.17

6.00

7.25

9.40

2.08

0.62

-0.45

4.5

9.2

1

7

93

16.88

4.64

27.46

10.50

13.17

15.17

21.58

27.67

8.42

0.72

-0.82

11.5

25.7

1

8

93

41.94

8.72

20.79

26.50

35.33

39.83

50.92

60.83

15.58

0.50

-0.94

31.1

57.4

4

9

93

77.81

12.08

15.52

49.67

68.92

74.50

89.67

102.00

20.75

0.32

-0.89

62.2

98.9

7

22

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 10

93

117.93

13.85

11.74

82.17

107.50

116.00

130.92

143.67

23.42

0.10

-0.83

98.2

141.2

10

11

93

152.13

13.87

9.12

113.33

140.83

151.17

164.08

177.83

23.25

-0.07

-0.67

131.5

174.5

13

12

93

172.02

12.08

7.02

140.83

162.17

172.33

181.33

195.33

19.17

-0.14

-0.69

153.2

191.5

15

13

93

172.47

9.10

5.28

151.33

165.83

174.00

178.67

190.83

12.83

-0.23

-0.65

156.3

186.3

15

14

93

153.50

7.22

4.70

134.17

149.00

153.83

159.00

169.50

10.00

-0.27

0.03

139.7

165.9

13

15

93

119.59

9.15

7.65

54.17

116.17

119.67

124.42

135.33

8.25

-3.98

27.82

108.8

129.5

10

16

93

79.42

7.74

9.74

40.00

76.00

80.00

84.58

92.00

8.58

-1.90

7.26

66.2

89.7

7

17

93

41.45

4.85

11.71

28.00

37.92

41.00

44.83

50.67

6.92

-0.02

-0.48

33.6

50.0

4

18

93

18.80

2.77

14.73

7.83

16.67

19.00

21.17

23.00

4.50

-0.75

1.13

14.6

25.0

2

19

84

8.53

0.97

11.42

6.00

8.00

8.50

9.00

11.00

1.00

-0.29

0.21

7.0

10.0

1

488 489

Table 7c. Statistical estimators of the mean hourly UVER irradiance (mW m-2), in

490

December at solar noon for each location.

Station

N

Mean

StDev

CoefVar(%)

Min

Q1

Q3

Max

IQR

As

K

P5

P95

Athalassa

91

54.34

17.07

31.41

8.00

49.67

Median 59.50

65.50

77.33

15.83

-1.24

0.58

14.80

71.60

Larnaca

93

42.67

10.39

24.35

7.67

39.58

45.83

49.17

57.00

9.58

-1.56

2.32

17.10

54.60

491 492

The sun’s UVER rays are strongest in the six-hour period (10 to 15) around local

493

noon when 75% of a summer day UVER is received. Tables 7a and 7b summarize

494

the percentage of UVER radiation present at different times during a summer day.

495 496

3.5 Analysis of monthly average hourly UVER irradiance

497 498

The daily variation of the average hourly UVER irradiance is shown in Fig. 9. The

499

figure shows that the hourly average UVER irradiance fluctuates between 0.054 W

500

m-2 in December and 0.227 W m-2 in July at solar noon at Athalassa. The values at

501

Larnaca are lower than in Athalassa and they fluctuate between 0.043 W m-2 in

502

December and 0.172 W m-2 in July at solar noon. A high symmetry is also observed

503

around the months of June or July when the irradiance reaches its maximum, while it

504

decreases in spring and autumn and reaches its minimum in winter months. The

505

results can be explained taking into account the symmetry relation between the

506

summer and winter solstices.

507 508

According to measurements obtained from instruments of MODIS, the TOC reaches

509

its maximum value at Athalassa in April (Monthly Mean TOC=345 D.U.) and its

510

minimum value in November (Monthly Mean TOC=285 D.U.) Similar results were

511

obtained by Zerefos et al. [19] and by Bilbao et al. [52], with the maximum occurring 23

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 512

in April in the Northern Hemisphere. Figure 9 shows that the results are quite in

513

accordance with ozone evolution; comparing March and September, when the solar

514

declination is about zero, it can be seen that the UVER hourly values, due to an

515

ozone decrease, are higher in September than in March.

516 517

Fig.9. Daily evolution of the monthly mean hourly UVER irradiance (W m-2) for the

518

period 2013-2015 at a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca.

519 520

3.6. Relationship between UVER and other radiation components

521 522

It can be useful to estimate UVER irradiance based on UVB, UVA and global

523

irradiances. The relationship between UVER and UVB is linear, since UVER consists

524

of 83% of UVB irradiance. The correlation between the data have been analysed by

525

assuming relations of the following empirical forms:

526 527 528

Y  aX b

(4)

529

Y  c  dX  eX 2

(5)

530 531

Table 8 shows the values of the fit parameters for Eqns. (4) and (5) as well as the

532

coefficient of determination, R 2 , for the hourly (W m-2) and daily values (kJ m-2) for 24

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 533

both stations. The characteristic of these relationships is that R2 are close to 1. For

534

the model of Eq. (4) the fit of the result is given by the parameter S, which is the

535

standard error of the regression. S is measured in the units of the response variable

536

and represents the standard distance about the regression line where the data

537

values fall within, or the standard deviation of the residuals. For a given study, higher

538

S values indicate lower performance of the fitted curves. From Table 8a, it is

539

indicated that the results are more satisfactory for estimating UVER from UVB and

540

UVA, rather than from the global irradiance, although they continue to be acceptable

541

in the latter case. Similar results were obtained for the estimation of the daily values

542

of UVER (Table 8b). Generally, the constants of the equations of the two stations are

543

comparable.

544 545

Table 8a. Relationships between hourly UVER irradiance (W m-2) and UVB, UVA

546

and global (G) irradiance (W m-2) at both stations. Variable y UVER_Ath

Variable x UVA_Ath

UVER_Lca

UVA_Lca

UVER_Ath UVER_Lca UVER_Ath

UVA_Ath UVA_Lca G_Ath

UVER_Lca

G_Lca

UVER_Ath

G_Ath

UVER_Lca

G_Lca

UVER_Ath UVER_Lca

UVB_Ath UVB_Lca

Equation

y  6.07*104 x1.448 y  3.02*104 x1.492 y  6.73*104  0.0015 x  3.9*105 x 2 y  3.026*10  7.52*10 x  2.4*10 x 3

4

5

2

y  2.752*106 x1.639 y  2.02*106 x1.637 y  0.0106  1.6*105 x  1.0*106 x 2 y  6.83*103  1.7*106 x  1*107 x 2 y  0.0027  0.107 x y  0.0032  0.067 x

R2 / S S=0.008 S=0.007 0.98 0.98 S=0.014 S=0.111 0.95 0.96 0.99 0.99

547 548

Table 8b. Relationships between daily UVERd irradiation (kJ m-2) and UVBd, UVAd

549

(kJ m-2) and Global (Gd) (MJ m-2) radiation at both stations. Variable y UVERd Ath

Variable x UVAd_Ath

UVERd_Lca

UVAd_Lca

UVERd_Ath

UVAd_Ath

UVERd_Lca

UVAd_Lca

UVERd Ath

Gd_Ath

UVERd Lca

Gd_Lca

UVERd Ath

Gd_Ath

Equation

y  3.85*104 x1.288 y  1.38*104 x1.361 y  0.133  0.0023x  1*106 x 2 y  0.026  0.0011x  1*106 x 2 y  0.053x1.382 y  0.0377 x1.388 y  0.1382  0.0831x  0.0036 x 2 25

R2 /S S=0.219 S=0.196 0.98 0.98 S=0.332 S=0.268 0.96

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT UVERd Lca

Gd_Lca

UVERd Ath UVERd_Lca

UVBd_Ath UVBd_Lca

y  0.1303  0.0587 x  0.00264 x 2 y  0.1379  0.1066 x y  0.1015  0.254 x

0.96 0.99 0.99

550 551

The relationships of the UVER variables between the two stations are shown below.

552

R2 is high for both equations as expected because of the co-variability of UVER at

553

both stations (Fig. 3a).

554 555

Hourly data (W m-2):

556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563

UVER _ Ath  0.00176  1.23*UVER _ Lca

R 2  0.93

(6)

R 2  0.95

(7)

Daily data (kJ m-2):

UVERd _ Ath  0.01136  1.253*UVERd _ Lca

3.7. Attenuation of the UVER radiation-Daily UVER ratios

564 565

In order to assess the attenuation of UVER solar radiation we have estimated the

566

potential UVER irradiation (UVERc), which is defined as the irradiation when the

567

clearness index (KT) is above 0.65, i.e., a clear day. KT is defined as the ratio of the

568

measured daily global solar radiation at the Earth’s surface to the extraterrestrial

569

radiation at the top of the atmosphere both measured on a horizontal surface. The

570

days are classified as cloudy when KT < 0.35, as partly cloudy when 0.35< KT <0.65

571

and clear days when KT > 0.65. The statistics of UVERd for different KT values are

572

presented in Table 9. The most frequent cases occur in the bins above 0.55 in both

573

stations, i.e. towards the clear-day classification. The averages in most cases are

574

higher than the median values. The numbers of clear days on a monthly basis, which

575

are based on the above criteria for the whole period of measurements (3 years), are

576

presented in Table 10. The total number of clear days is 541 for Athalassa and 708

577

for Larnaca. As it is indicated in Table 10, during the summer season most days are

578

defined as clear.

579 580

Figure 10 shows the monthly average daily values of extraterrestrial (UVER0),

581

UVERc and measured UVER irradiation at both stations. The graph shows that both 26

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 582

UVER and UVERc at Athalassa are higher than the respective values at Larnaca.

583

The difference between the UVERc and UVER measured values is greater in the

584

spring and winter time, while during the summer the difference is small. This is

585

attributed to the fact that during the summer almost all days are clear.

586 587

The UVER0 irradiation is estimated from the following equation:

588 589

UVER0  (24 /  ) GscUVER [sin  sin  ((s ) /180)  cos  cos  sin s ]

590 591

where ε is the eccentricity of the ecliptic path of the Earth around the Sun, φ is the

592

latitude, δ is the solar declination, ωs is the sunset hour angle and GscUVER=9.89 W

593

m-2, which it was obtained from Tena et al. [22].

594 595

Table 9. Statistics of daily UVER irradiation (kJ m-2) based on various daily values KT

596

in the period of measurements for a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca.

597

a) Athalassa Ath_ KT Bin End Lower 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75

Daily UVER (kJ m-2) Occurrences Mean Median Min Upper 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80

5 4 6 10 20 18 35 38 53 71 103 145 328 210 3

0.376 0.542 0.463 0.838 1.000 1.147 1.456 1.841 1.911 2.071 2.567 3.023 3.731 4.280 5.341

0.234 0.500 0.464 0.933 0.816 0.901 1.293 1.820 1.788 1.487 2.422 3.063 4.165 4.582 5.904

0.221 0.395 0.426 0.428 0.568 0.581 0.677 0.826 0.859 0.935 1.026 1.095 1.000 1.273 4.011

Max

Std. Dev.

0.848 0.865 0.529 1.233 1.979 2.710 2.902 3.626 3.731 4.576 4.996 5.348 5.972 6.164 6.107

0.270 0.220 0.037 0.300 0.454 0.558 0.649 0.789 0.750 1.089 1.107 1.282 1.529 1.426 1.156

598 599

b) Larnaca Lca_ KT Bin End Lower Upper 0.05 0.10

Occurrences 3

Daily UVER (kJ m-2) Mean Median Min Max 0.319

27

0.316

0.224 0.418

Std. Dev. 0.097

(8)

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80

0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85

6 8 7 7 14 17 26 34 52 70 94 222 419 66 1

0.515 0.488 0.856 0.802 0.969 1.030 1.075 1.337 1.540 1.692 1.976 2.523 3.283 3.396 1.054

0.395 0.492 0.887 0.868 0.841 0.795 0.879 1.174 1.510 1.355 1.762 2.643 3.564 3.461 1.054

0.307 0.403 0.429 0.364 0.530 0.620 0.668 0.632 0.730 0.774 0.798 0.802 0.871 1.436 1.054

0.892 0.601 1.242 1.524 2.013 1.727 2.650 2.903 2.962 3.895 4.236 4.531 4.808 4.863 1.054

0.250 0.071 0.312 0.405 0.441 0.393 0.473 0.645 0.619 0.868 0.907 1.127 1.060 0.884 0.000

600 601 602

Table 10. Number of clear days defined by KT>0.65 with UVER measurements in

603

Athalassa and Larnaca in the period 2013-2015. Station Athalassa Larnaca

Jan 24 22

Feb 32 36

Mar 40 51

Apr 46 62

May 42 69

Jun 61 79

Jul 80 91

Aug 74 91

Sep 39 72

Oct 45 64

Nov 26 29

Dec 32 42

Year 541 708

604 605

From the monthly mean values of UVERc, UVER0 and measured UVER radiation,

606

the ratios between these variables were estimated. The ratio UVER/UVERc

607

represents information about the percentage of radiation which, on the average, is

608

transmitted through the atmosphere and may be considered as the atmospheric

609

transparency under average conditions, i.e. including hydrometeors and aerosols.

610

The ratio UVERc/UVER0 gives information about the atmospheric transparency on

611

clear days, i.e, without clouds but with aerosols, though in low proportion. Figure 11

612

shows the monthly mean daily values of the above ratios for each station. The

613

greatest variability is shown in the ratio of UVER/UVERc. The other ratios show

614

similar variation, but the values are very low. The evolution of these ratios increases

615

from spring to summer and decreases from summer to winter.

616

28

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

617 618

Fig. 10. Annual variation of monthly mean values of UVER0, UVERc and measured

619

UVER irradiation at Athalassa and Larnaca.

620

621 622

Fig. 11. Monthly mean values of the ratios UVER/UVERc, UVERc/UVER0, and

623

UVER/UVER0 at Athalassa and Larnaca. 29

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 624 625

3.8. Relationship between hourly hemispherical transmittances ( ktUVER ) and

626

clearness index ( kt )

627 628

In this section the relationship between the clearness index (global hemispherical

629

transmittance) ( kt ) and the UVER hemispherical transmittance ( ktUVER ) is examined.

630

The clearness index is defined as: kt  G / G0 , G being the measured global

631

irradiance and G0 the extraterrestrial solar irradiance, both measured on horizontal

632

surface and in the same time interval. In the same way the UVER hemispherical

633

transmittance ( ktUVER ) is defined as: ktUVER  UVER / UVER0 , where UVER is the

634

measured variable and UVER0 is the extraterrestrial UVER irradiance, both

635

measured on a horizontal surface during the same time interval. The small ‘k’ refers

636

to hourly values, while the capital letter ‘K’ denotes daily values. The monthly mean

637

values of the daily UVER hemispherical transmittance ( KTUVER ) were given in the

638

previous section (Fig. 11).

639 640

Figure 12 shows the histograms with the hourly values of kt. Most of the data are

641

concentrated in the 0.7-0.8 range at both stations. The clearness index is mostly

642

affected by the presence of clouds. Figure 13 shows the histograms with the hourly

643

values of ktUVER. Most of the data are concentrated in the 0.7-1.5 (*102) range at both

644

stations. The above results suggest that is difficult to establish relationships of the

645

form of Eqs. (4) and (5) between the indexes kt and ktUVER . Tena et al. [22] have

646

established linear regressions between ktUVER and kt for the four central hours of the

647

day during the summer months.

648

30

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

649

650 651

Fig. 12. Frequency distribution of kt at a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca, in the period

652

2013-2015.

653 654

31

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

655 656

657 658

Fig. 13. Frequency distribution of hourly UVER hemispherical transmittance (ktUVER)

659

at a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca, in the period 2013-2015.

660 661 32

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 662

Moreno et al. [29] have proposed two models having the following forms:

663 664 665

ktUVER  exp(a  b *ln(kt ))

666

In Eq. (10), UVERx is the maximum value of UVER irradiance at a given hour.

667

Furthermore, they propose relationships of UVER irradiance and ktUVER with relative

668

optical air mass (m) of the form:

(9)

ktUVER  c  d *(kt *UVERx )

(10)

669 670

ktUVER  a * mb

(11)

UVER  a * mb

(12)

671 672

m depends on the solar altitude angle (γs) (in rad), and the site pressure and is

673

calculated using Eq. (13) (Kasten and Young [53]). The relative optical air mass was

674

estimated for the middle of each hour for solar altitude αs>7 deg.:

675 676 677

m  ( P / P0 ) / (sin( s )  0.50572*(57.29578* s  6.07995)1.6364 )

678

where P and P0 are the site and standard atmospheric pressure (P0 = 1013.25 hPa),

679

respectively; the ratio P / P0 is estimated using Eq. (14) from the elevation (z) (in m)

680

of the site:

(13)

681

P / P0  exp( z / 8435.2)

682 683 684 685

(14)

The above forms of relationships (Eqs. 9-12) were tested with the data of the two

686

stations in Cyprus and the results of fitting with the relevant regressions are shown in

687

Table 11. As indicated in this Table, the coefficients of the fitted equations show

688

similarities between the two stations. Additionally, the coefficients of the regressions

689

show similarities with those obtained by Moreno et al. [29] in Valencia (Spain).

690 691

Mateos et al. [54] have proposed an empirical model for the estimation of total UV

692

irradiance based on the UV extraterrestrial irradiance (UV0), the clearness index (kt)

693

and relative optical air mass (m) using the following form:

694 695 696

UV  a *UV0 * ktb * mc

(15) 33

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 697

If we extend the above equation by analogy for the estimation of UVER irradiance

698

we can estimate the coefficients of the equation as shown in Table 11. The

699

coefficients of the two stations are almost similar.

700 701

Table 11. Relationships between hourly UVER irradiance (W m-2) and ktUVER with kt ,

702

m and UVERx at both stations. Variable y ktUVER _Ath

Variable x kt_Ath

ktUVER _Lca ktUVER _Ath ktUVER _Lca ktUVER _Ath ktUVER _Lca

kt_Lca

UVER_Ath

kt_Ath

UVER_Lca

kt_Lca

UVER_Ath

kt&UVERx_Ath

UVER_Lca

kt&UVERx_Lca

UVER_Ath

m_Ath

UVER_Lca

m_Lca

UVER_Ath

kt, UVER0, m

UVER_Lca

kt, UVER0, m

kt&UVERx_Ath kt&UVERx_Lca m_Ath m_Lca

Equation

y  exp(3.51  0.981*ln(kt )) y  exp(3.71  1.239*ln(kt )) y  0.0066  0.147* kt *UVERx y  0.0079  0.155* kt *UVERx

S 0.0062 0.0049 0.0019 0.0020

y  0.0299* m0.939 y  0.0239* m0.949

0.0048

y  exp(1.634  1.892*ln(kt )) y  exp(1.807  2.396*ln(kt )) y  0.0014  1.206* kt *UVERx y  0.00055  1.194* kt *UVERx

0.0508

y  0.2079* m2.084 y  0.1669* m2.118

0.0229

y  0.043*UVER0 * kt0.826 m0.955 y  0.032*UVER0 * kt0.809 m0.933

0.0095

0.0036 0.0408 0.1029 0.0069 0.0151 0.0087

703 704

Extending the analysis of the relationships for different types of hours i.e., clear: kt

705

>0.65 and partly cloudy (0.35< kt <0.65), we have estimated the regression

706

coefficients of Eqs. (11) and (12). Table 12 presents these coefficients for the two

707

types of hours, while Fig. 14 shows the relationship of UVER and m for both stations.

708 709

Table 12. Regression coefficients of the functions of Eqs (11) and (12) on clear ( kt

710

>0.65) and partly cloudy hours (0.35< kt <0.65) at both stations. Station

Athalassa

kt kt >0.65

ktUVER /UVER ktUVER

34

Regression coefficients a

b

0.0334

0.967

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT Larnaca

kt >0.65

ktUVER

0.0255

0.957

Athalassa

0.35< kt <0.65

ktUVER

0.0224

0.605

Larnaca

0.35< kt <0.65

ktUVER

0.0244

0.480

Athalassa

kt >0.65

UVER

0.2227

1.931

Larnaca

kt >0.65

UVER

0.1714

1.983

Athalassa

0.35< kt <0.65

UVER

0.1576

1.764

Larnaca

0.35< kt <0.65

UVER

0.1134

1.657

711 712

713 714

35

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

715 716

Fig. 14. Relationship of UVER irradiance (W m-2) and m for a) Athalassa and b)

717

Larnaca, in the period 2013-2015.

718 719

Different authors have established relationships between UVER irradiance and a

720

number of other variables such as TOC, SZA, UV and global irradiance with high

721

coefficients of determination [23]. Equations 16 and 17 show the relationships

722

between UVER irradiance under cloud-free conditions at midday and the cosine of

723

SZA angle as well as the TOC at both stations:

724 725 726 727 728

Ath _ UVERc  0.243*cos( SZA)2.008 *(TOC / 300)0.851

(16)

Lca _ UVERc  0.188*cos( SZA)2.013 *(TOC / 300)0.704

(17)

729

The relationships between the UVER irradiance under cloud-free conditions for each

730

hour of the day and the cosine SZA are shown below:

731 732 733 734 735

Ath _ UVERc  0.231*cos( SZA)1.923

(18)

Lca _ UVERc  0.179*cos( SZA)2.018

(19)

36

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 736

Almost similar coefficients were obtained by Bilbao et al. [55] at Marsaxlokk in Malta.

737

The fitted line of Eq. (18) is shown in Fig. 15. Similar graph is obtained for Larnaca

738

(not shown).

739

740 741

Fig. 15. Relationship between UVERc and cos(SZA) at Athalassa in the period 2013-

742

2015.

743 744

3.9. UV Index

745 746

The UVI is estimated from the measured hourly UVER (in W m-2) by multiplying it by

747

40. The monthly average hourly UVI values throughout the day are reported in Fig.

748

16 for both stations. The UVI values on the ordinates have been separated into five

749

zones according to the WHO recommendations [17], viz., extreme ≥11; very high 8-

750

10; high 6-7; moderate 3-5 and low ≤2. In terms of Sun exposure time to achieve

751

incipient redness of skin type II, these five ranges of UVI values translate into 15, 20,

752

25, 35 min and more than 1 h, respectively [39]. The time taken ( tE in minutes) to

753

induce skin damage is calculated from the following formula [56]:

754 755 756

tE  (4000 / 60)*( MEDF * SPF ) / UVI

(20) 37

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 757

where the factor 4000/60 accounts for the conversion from UVER irradiance to UVI,

758

and seconds to minutes; MEDF is a factor to account for the different skin types and

759

it is expressed as a number of Standard Erythemal Dose

760

UVER) required to induce erythema; SPF is the Sun protection factor of any Sun

761

block applied. For unprotected skin SPF=1. For UVI=10 at midday in summer and

762

unprotected skin, the time taken to induce erythema for the four skin phototypes,

763

calculated from the above formula, would be 13.3, 16.7, 23.3 and 30 minutes,

764

respectively. For UVI=10 with a Sun block of SPF=10 the time required to induce

765

erythema for the four skin phototypes is about 10 times the estimated values given

766

above (i.e., ̴2.2, 2.8, 3.9 and 5.0 hours, respectively).

(1 SED=100 J m-2 of

767 768

The highest mean hourly UVI is 9 and is recorded at Athalassa, whereas the highest

769

at Larnaca is 7. If we use the hourly maximum values instead of the mean ones, then

770

the UV Indices higher than 10 are recorded at Athalassa and about 8 at Larnaca.

771

During the summer months the UVI is higher than 7 (very high) from about 10 to 15

772

LST, while at Larnaca the UVI is higher than 5 (high) for the same time interval. If we

773

use the maximum hourly values then the time interval is extended by one hour.

774

775 776 38

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

777 778

Fig. 16. Monthly average hourly UVI values at a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca in the

779

period 2013-2015.

780 781

The UV Index was also determined from the UVER measurements using two

782

different criteria: a) The value at solar noon and b) the maximum daily value [21].

783

Therefore, for the two stations the percentages were found for which the differences

784

in the results given by the differences of the above two criteria were 0, 1, 2 and 3 or

785

more units of UVI. The results of the deviations of the values of the UVI at solar noon

786

compared with the maximum daily UVI values are summarised in Table 13. It has to

787

be noted that at Larnaca 39 days are missing while at Athalassa only 10 days are

788

missing. The percentage coincidence (zero difference between the two criteria in

789

UVI) varied between 52% (Larnaca) and 66% (Athalassa). If we consider the cases

790

for which the difference was 0 or 1 unit, the coincidence is around 94% for both

791

stations. Therefore, it is reasonable to consider that estimating the UVI value at solar

792

noon is acceptable method. Similar results were obtained for 16 stations in Spain for

793

which the difference between the two criteria was zero or one UVI unit varying

794

between 89% and 95% with an average value of 92% [21].

795

39

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 796

Table 13. Deviations of the UVI values at solar noon compared with the maximum

797

daily UVI values for the two stations. The results are given as a percent of the

798

available daily values given in parenthesis for each station. Percentages Station

0

1

2

≥3

Athalassa (1085)

66

27

5

2

Larnaca

52

42

2

1

(1056)

799 800

Table 14 shows the percentage of the daily maximum values of the UVI for the two

801

sites classified according to the exposition categories recommended by WHO [18].

802

The UVI was rounded to the nearest integer value. The UVI reaches high (6-7) or

803

very high (8-10) values in 58.1% of the cases in Athalassa, whereas in Larnaca

804

these values are reached in 38.8%. Using the maximum hourly values of UVER, the

805

percentages of the high and very high cases of UVI are slightly higher in both

806

stations (Table 14 b cases), than using the maximum of the mean hourly values

807

(Table 14 a cases). It has to be noted that no extreme values are recorded. The

808

average annual number of hours with UVI>5 at Athalassa is 935 and 604 at Larnaca,

809

while the average annual number of hours with UVI>7 at Athalassa is 431 and only

810

61 at Larnaca. It has to be reminded that long missing records were detected in

811

Larnaca.

812 813

Table 14. Days (in % during the three years considered) in which the indicated

814

maximum value of the UV Index is reached at the two measuring sites. a) Value at

815

solar noon, b) maximum daily value. UV Index (%) Station

≤2

3-5

6-7

8-10

≥11

(low)

(moderate)

(high)

(very high)

(extreme)

Athalassa (a)

9.1

37.1

21.0

31.9

Athalassa (b)

4.1

36.0

20.6

38.6

Larnaca

(a)

20.9

35.8

36.9

1.9

Larnaca

(b)

16.6

36.2

38.8

4.0

816 817 40

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 818

3.10. Cumulative doses

819 820

Figure 17 shows the annual cumulative dose for each phototype and for Standard

821

Erythemal Dose obtained by dividing the daily UVER values by the corresponding

822

MED and SED values (Table 1) over an average year at the two measuring sites.

823

These values correspond to a continuous and uninterrupted exposure to the Sun, on

824

a horizontal position, throughout the year. It is observed that the cumulative doses

825

during an average year range from 9087 SEDs in Larnaca to 11418 SEDs in

826

Athalassa. The most common skin type in Cyprus is phototype III (about 70% of the

827

population, southern European type [56]), which could receive an annual cumulative

828

dose between 2596 MEDs in Larnaca to 3262 MEDs in Athalassa. The second

829

common skin type in Cyprus is phototype II (about 20% of the population, central

830

European type) that could receive an annual cumulative dose between 3635 MEDs

831

in Larnaca to 4568 MEDs in Athalassa. The third common skin type in Cyprus is

832

phototype IV (about 10% of the population, north African type) that could receive an

833

annual cumulative dose between 2019 MEDs in Larnaca to 2537 MEDs in

834

Athalassa. Regarding the phototype I (Scandinavian type), it could receive an annual

835

cumulative dose between 4544 MEDs in Larnaca to 5709 MEDs in Athalassa. The

836

annual cumulative doses are comparable with the respective values in 16

837

radiometric stations in Spain [21]. The curves of Fig. 17 show a clear change of

838

slope during the summer. The cumulative doses for the phototype III for summer is

839

41%, for spring 28%, for autumn 20% and for winter 11% of the annual cumulative

840

dose, for both stations.

841 842

It is estimated that schoolchildren received about 5% of the total daily solar UV

843

radiation, while outdoor workers received about 20-26% of the total daily solar UV

844

radiation levels [57-59].

845

41

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

846 847

848 849

Fig. 17. Annual cumulative dose for the skin types defined in Table1 and the

850

Standard Erythemal Dose (SED) at a) Athalassa and b) Larnaca.

851 852 42

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 853

4. Inter-comparison of the two sites

854 855

The inter-comparison of the broad-band solar radiation intensity measurements at

856

both sites are reported in Table 15 for the global and UVER radiation. The solar

857

radiation intensities are reported as monthly average daily values, the number of

858

days of each variable for the period of measurements and the relative attenuation

859

reported for each one, which is defined as:

860

Re lativeAttenuation(%)  (( X Lca  X Ath ) / X Ath ))*100

861 862 863

(21)

where X refers to the type of solar radiation, i.e., either global or UVER. The

864

subscripts refer to the particular site.

865 866

As indicated in Table 15, the magnitudes of the monthly average daily values of the

867

solar global radiation are higher at Larnaca than at Athalassa. Generally, the

868

percentages of relative attenuation are lower during the summer period. The

869

magnitudes of the monthly average daily solar global radiation intensity at the two

870

sites are very similar.

871

difference in altitude between the two stations is not significant and, therefore, the

872

daily values are almost similar. However, the UVER radiation at Larnaca is lower

873

than that at Athalassa; therefore, the relative attenuation of UVER is negative

874

(approximately about -20% throughout the year). The percent relative attenuation is

875

also presented graphically for the two solar radiation components in Figure 18. The

876

summary of the inter-comparison of the two sites is presented in Table 16.

The % relative attenuation is < 10% for all months. The

877 878

Table 15. Monthly average daily solar global and UVER at Athalassa and Larnaca in

879

the period 2013-2015 and their relative differences. Ath(Gd) Lca(Gd) Ath(UVERd) Month N Mean N Mean % Relative N Mean MJ/m2 MJ/m2 attenuation kJ/m2 1 93 9.36 92 10.01 6.99 93 1.19 2 84 13.27 66 14.35 8.13 84 1.81 3 93 17.54 93 18.57 5.92 93 2.64 4 90 22.27 90 23.92 7.40 90 3.54 5 77 24.05 93 26.38 9.69 90 4.25 6 82 27.78 90 29.53 6.29 89 5.25 7 92 27.96 93 29.26 4.65 92 5.50

43

Lca(UVERd) N Mean % Relative kJ/m2 attenuation 62 0.96 -19.38 66 1.52 -15.97 93 2.14 -19.12 90 2.90 -18.08 93 3.51 -17.53 90 4.19 -20.32 93 4.24 -22.84

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 8 9 10 11 12 Year

93 84 93 78 91 1050

24.91 20.09 15.51 11.37 8.78 18.53

93 90 93 90 93 1076

26.30 21.68 16.72 11.45 9.44 19.93

5.57 7.92 7.81 0.72 7.46 7.54

93 90 93 89 91 1087

4.81 3.52 2.44 1.47 1.04 3.13

93 90 93 90 93 1046

3.70 2.85 1.89 1.09 0.83 2.55

-22.90 -18.97 -22.48 -25.74 -20.27 -18.36

880

881 882

Fig. 18. Relative attenuation of solar global and UVER radiation for Athalassa and

883

Larnaca in the period 2013-2015.

884 885

The main factors which affect the levels of UVER and shortwave (SW) irradiances

886

are the solar zenith angle, clouds, ozone, water vapour and aerosols. UVER

887

irradiance on clear days depends on SZA cosine by a power law (Fig. 15) (Eqs. 18-

888

19), while SW irradiances on clear days show a linear trend with a high R2 for both

889

stations:

890 891 892 893 894 895

Measurements in Malta and Spain quantified the effects of the above factors on

896

UVER and SW irradiances on clear days [60-62]. According to these measurements,

Ath _ Gc  11.43  964*cos( SZA)

R 2  0.97

(22)

Lca _ Gc  7.102  1018*cos( SZA)

R 2  0.98

(23)

44

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 897

UVER is mostly affected by ozone which reduces UVER levels by around -0.31

898

%DU-1. However, the ozone effect on SW irradiance is negligible. The water vapour

899

effect on UVER is negligible, but SW depends on water vapour (̴ -3.36% cm-1). The

900

effect of aerosols is stronger on UVER irradiance than the SW one. The trends show

901

an average value of -37% for aerosol optical depth at 440 nm (AOD440), and for SW

902

irradiance this percentage falls up to -28.4% for AOD440 unity. Furthermore, Robaa

903

[26] found that the mean relative reduction of global and UV solar radiation in Cairo

904

(Egypt) were 17.4% and 27.4%, respectively. In dusty days, the reduction in the

905

received global and UV radiation due to dust particles effects ranged between 26%

906

and 45% for global and between 33% and 59% for UV. Jacovides et al. [27] have

907

demonstrated that high aerosol loads produce significant relative attenuations of

908

UVB to global solar radiation ratio in comparison to that for low aerosol loadings.

909 910

The global solar radiation at Larnaca exceeds that in Athalassa throughout the year.

911

This can be explained by the fact that there is much more number of clear days at

912

Larnaca than at Athalassa (Table 10). The attenuation of solar radiation within the

913

global spectral range due to the difference of altitude between the two sites by

914

scattering phenomena is negligible. The higher attenuation of UVER radiation can be

915

attributed to its shorter wavelengths, since the scattering process is inversely

916

proportional to the fourth power of its wavelength (λ-4). The scattering of solar

917

radiation by water molecules is a function of the amount of precipitable water above

918

the observation site. An empirical scattering coefficient for water vapour that varies

919

according to λ-2 has been proposed, while for aerosols, an empirical coefficient of

920

λ-0.75 was used [24]. In all cases, the degree of attenuation by scattering is an inverse

921

function of the wavelength, i.e., attenuation decreases with increasing wavelength.

922

The variation in the monthly percent of relative attenuation values for UVER is also

923

influenced by the local climatic conditions.

924 925

On the other hand, the aerosol load and the type of aerosols may also affect the

926

levels of UVER irradiance at the two locations. According to measurements of the

927

Department of Air Quality Control of the Ministry of Labour in Cyprus, in 2004, the

928

pollution load at Larnaca is much higher than that at Athalassa which is due to a

929

much larger vehicular and aeroplane traffic and the location of a number of industrial

930

plants in the vicinity of the station. The station at Athalassa is surrounded by a forest, 45

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 931

while the station at Larnaca is within the area of the Airport. The mean annual

932

particulate matter concentrations of PM10 at Larnaca station, is slightly higher than

933

60 μg m-3, while at the station of General Hospital in Nicosia, which is close to

934

Athalassa station, is around 48 μg m-3 [63]. Furthermore, there are more days with

935

hazy conditions at Larnaca due to dust episodes, which affect mostly the southern

936

parts of the island.

937 938

Table 16. Inter-comparison of the two sites with respect to global and UVER

939

radiation. Variable Location Annual daily average global irradiation (Gd) (MJ/m2) Annual total global irradiation (MJ/m2) Annual daily average UVER irradiation (UVERd) (kJ/m2) Daily average UVER irradiation in July (kJ/m2) Daily average UVER irradiation in December (kJ/m2) Accumulated daily UVER irradiation in Spring (kJ/m2) Accumulated daily UVER irradiation in Summer (kJ/m2) Accumulated daily UVER irradiation in Autumn (kJ/m2) Accumulated daily UVER irradiation in Winter (kJ/m2) Annual total UVER irradiation (kJ/m2) Maximum Hourly Average UVER irradiance in July (W/m2) Maximum Hourly Average UVER irradiance in December (W/m2) Maximum Mean Hourly UV Index Absolute Maximum UV Index Mean Annual Cumulative doses Phototype I (MEDs) Mean Annual Cumulative doses Phototype II (MEDs) Mean Annual Cumulative doses Phototype III (MEDs) Mean Annual Cumulative doses Phototype IV (MEDs) Mean Annual Cumulative doses (SEDs)

Athalassa inland 18.53 6835 3.126 5.50 1.04 320.0 477.0 225.5 119.4 1141.9 0.249 0.077 9 10 5709 4567 3262 2537 11418

Larnaca coastal 19.93 7183 2.552 4.24 0.83 262.0 371.9 177.1 97.7 908.7 0.195 0.057 7 8 4543 3635 2596 2019 9087

940 941

5. Conclusions

942 943

Measured data at 10 min intervals, obtained by UV Kipp & Zonen radiometers

944

installed at two locations in Cyprus, one at Athalassa (inland location) and the other

945

at Larnaca (coastal location) during the period January 2013 to December 2015

946

have been used to define the statistical characteristics of both hourly and daily

947

UVER radiation values. These measurements have also been used to estimate UVI

948

and the cumulative doses for the different skin types. The interest of this work

949

resides in the fact that it is the first thorough analysis of this type performed in the 46

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 950

island of Cyprus. Furthermore, the levels of UVER irradiation were compared with

951

other sites in the Mediterranean region. The highest values are recorded in Beer

952

Sheva (Israel) with the second ones at Athalassa, as expected, since these stations

953

are at lower latitude and have higher sunshine duration comparing to other stations.

954

The coastal sites (Larnaca, Kos, Athens, Thesaloniki, Neve Zohar and Valencia)

955

have almost similar levels of erythemal irradiation, in contrast to the inland locations

956

(Athalassa and Beer Sheva), which have higher levels of UVER. The differences

957

between the inland and coastal locations are more pronounced during the summer

958

period.

959 960

Large fluctuations in the spring months and November are mainly due to unstable

961

meteorological conditions during the transition from cold to warm weather and vice

962

versa. During summer the daily UVER radiation exceeds the value of 6 kJ m-2 at

963

Athalassa and 4.8 kJ m-2 at Larnaca, while during the winter season the lowest is

964

about 0.2 kJ m-2 at both sites. Slightly lower values were recorded in 2015 at both

965

stations, which can be attributed to higher amounts of aerosols in the atmosphere.

966

The year 2015 is characterized as an extremely dry year with more frequent dust

967

episodes over the island (dust from the deserts of Middle East and Sahara),

968

increasing, therefore, aerosols in the atmosphere that can affect the absorption of

969

UVER radiation. The accumulated UVER irradiation received in an average year is

970

1142 kJ m-2 for Athalassa and 909 kJ m-2 for Larnaca.

971 972

By analysing the daily evolution of the monthly average values of the UVER

973

irradiances a high degree of symmetry could be observed in the annual and

974

seasonal distributions of this radiation component. The UVER variability has been

975

studied by means of the coefficient of variation (CV). It was demonstrated that the

976

CVs in July are low during midday (5-10%) at both stations, indicating a high stability

977

along these hours in summer.

978 979

In July, the absolute maxima of the UVER irradiance measured at local noon varied

980

from 0.195 W m-2 in Larnaca to 0.248 W m-2 in Athalassa, whereas the absolute

981

minima ranges between 0.141 W m-2 and 0.188 W m-2, respectively. Since the

982

difference between the Q1 quartiles and the absolute minima was high, and the

983

difference between the Q3 quartiles and the absolute maxima was small, the 47

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 984

maximum values can be considered representative of UVER at local noon, but the

985

minimum values represent unusual extreme values.

986 987

With respect to the estimation of UVER irradiance, it is indicated that the results from

988

the expression that estimates UVER from UVA were more satisfactory than those

989

from the global irradiance, although they continued to be acceptable in the latter

990

case. Similar results were obtained for the estimation of the daily UVER values of.

991

Generally, the constants of the equations of the two sites are comparable.

992 993

The difference between the potential UVER (UVERp) and the measured UVER

994

values is greater in the spring and winter time due to the presence of clouds, while

995

during the summer the difference is small. This is attributed to the fact that during the

996

summer almost all days are cloud free. The clearness index kt at Larnaca is slightly

997

higher than that at Athalassa. On the other hand, kTUVER of Athalassa is higher than

998

that at Larnaca.

999 1000

Regarding the UV Index, this shows minimum differences between the value at solar

1001

noon and the maximum daily value, with more than 90% of the cases showing

1002

differences of one or less UVI units for both sites. The UVI reaches high (6-7) or very

1003

high (8-10) values in 58.1% of the cases in Athalassa, whereas in Larnaca these

1004

values are reached in 38.8%. During the summer months the UV Index is higher

1005

than 7 (very high) from about 10 to 15 LST, while at Larnaca it is higher than 5

1006

(high) for the same time interval. If we use the maximum hourly values then the time

1007

interval of high values is extended by one hour.

1008 1009

Finally, the cumulative doses for each phototype and for the StED over an average

1010

year have also been studied for the two sites. It is observed that the cumulative

1011

doses during an average year range from 9087 SEDs in Larnaca to 11418 SEDs in

1012

Athalassa. The most common skin type in Cyprus, phototype III (about 70% of the

1013

population, southern European type) could receive an annual cumulative dose

1014

between 2596 MEDs in Larnaca to 3262 MEDs in Athalassa.

1015

48

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1016

Based upon the above analysis, we conclude that the two sites in Cyprus are

1017

characterised by relatively high average-daily irradiation rates and a relatively high

1018

frequency of clear days. Comparing the two sites we may observe that Larnaca has

1019

slightly higher rates of global radiation than Athalassa. Regarding UVER irradiation

1020

and UV Index, Athalassa shows higher values than Larnaca.

1021 1022

In future studies, the radiation climate of the two sites will be further examined for the

1023

other UV solar radiation components (UVB, UVA and UV total radiation) as well as

1024

the long-wave radiation. Then, the net radiation balance will be estimated and the

1025

climate characteristics will be assessed at a given site based on the levels of each

1026

radiation component.

1027 1028

Nomenclature

1029 1030

As

Skewness coefficient

1031

CDF

Cumulative probability density function

1032

CV

Coefficient of variation (%) (CoefVar)

1033

D.U.

Dobson unit (thickness of ozone in units of 10 μm)

1034

G

Global solar irradiance [W m-2]

1035

G0

Extraterrestrial irradiance [W m-2]

1036

G0d

Daily extraterrestrial irradiation (ETR) [MJ m-2]

1037

Gd

Daily global irradiation [MJ m-2]

1038

Gsc

Solar constant [1367 W m-2]

1039

GscUVER

Solar constant of UVER irradiance [9.89 W m-2]

1040

IQR

Interquartile range

1041

jd

Julian day number (1..365)

1042

K

Kurtosis

1043

kt

Hourly clearness index ( kt  G / G0 )

1044

ktUVER

Hourly UVER transmittance ( ktUVER  UVER / UVER0 )

1045

KT

Daily clearness index ( KT  Gd / G0 d )

1046

m

Relative air mass

1047

MED

Minimum Erythemal Dose

1048

Max

Maximum 49

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1049

Min

Minimum

1050

N

Nonmissing observations

1051

N*

Missing observations

1052

P

Atmospheric pressure at the site [hPa]

1053

P0

Standard atmospheric pressure (1013.25 hPa)

1054

P5

Percentile 5%

1055

P95

Percentile 95%

1056

PDF

Probability density function

1057

PM10

Particulate matter concentration (μg m-3)

1058

Q1

First Quartile

1059

Q3

Third Quartile

1060

R2

Coefficient of determination

1061

S

Standard error of the regression or standard deviation of the residuals

1062

SED

Standard Erythemal Dose (1 SED=100 J m-2)

1063

StDev

Standard deviation

1064 1065

tE TOC

Time to induce erythema [minutes] Total Ozone column

1066

UV

UV irradiance [W m-2] / UV irradiation [kJ m-2] (UV(A+B))

1067

UVA

UVA irradiance [W m-2] / UVA irradiation [kJ m-2]

1068

UVAd

Daily UVA irradiation [kJ m-2]

1069

UVB

UVB irradiance [W m-2] / UVB irradiation [kJ m-2]

1070

UVBd

Daily UVB irradiation [kJ m-2]

1071

UVC

Ultraviolet radiation in the range of 100 to 280 nm

1072

UVER

UV erythema irradiance [W m-2] / UV erythema irradiation [kJ m-2]

1073

UVERd

Daily UVER irradiation [kJ m-2]

1074

UVER0

Extraterrestrial UVER irradiance [W m-2]

1075

UVERp

Potential UVER irradiance [W m-2]

1076

UVERx

Maximum hourly UVER irradiance [W m-2]

1077

UVI

UV Index

1078

z

Elevation [m]

1079 1080

Greek:

1081

αs

Solar altitude (degrees)

1082

δ

Solar declination [degrees] 50

tE

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT 1083

ε

eccentricity correction

1084

z

Solar zenith angle (SZA) [degrees]

1085

λ

Wavelength (nm)

1086

φ

Latitude [degrees]

1087

s

Sunset hour angle [degrees]

1088 1089

References

1090 1091

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1092 1093

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1094

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1095 1096

[3] WMO and UNEP, 2006. Executive Summary: WMO/UNEP Scientific Assessment

1097

of Ozone Depletion. Prepared by the Scientific Assessment Panel of the Montreal

1098

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1099 1100

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1101

irradiance and total ozone in Italy: fluctuations and trends. J. Geophys. Res. 105,

1102

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1103 1104

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1105

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1106 1107

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1108

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1109

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1110

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1111 1112

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1113

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1114

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1115

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1118

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1119

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1120 1121

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1122

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1123 1124

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1125

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1126 1127

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1128

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1129 1130

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1131

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1132 1133

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1134

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1135

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1136 1137

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1138

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1139 1140

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1141

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1142 1143

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1144

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1145

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1153

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1154 1155

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1156

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1157 1158

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1160

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1161 1162

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1163

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1165 1166

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1168

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1173 1174

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1175

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1176

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1177 1178

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1180 1181

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1182

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1185

Tsitouri M., 2009. Solar global UVB (280-315 nm) and UVA (315-380 nm) radiant

1186

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1187

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1188 1189

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1190

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1191 1192

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1202

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1203

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1204 1205

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1206

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1207

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1208 1209

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1210

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1211

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1212 1213

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