Surface pH, satellite imagery and vertical models in the tropical ocean

Surface pH, satellite imagery and vertical models in the tropical ocean

The Science of the Total Environment, 75 (1988) 285-300 Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam Printed in The Netherlands 285 S U R F A C E pH,...

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The Science of the Total Environment, 75 (1988) 285-300 Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam Printed in The Netherlands

285

S U R F A C E pH, S A T E L L I T E IMAGERY A N D VERTICAL MODELS IN THE TROPICAL OCEAN

ALBERTO ZIRINO, PAUL C. FIEDLEW and ROBIN S. KEIR2 Naval Ocean Systems Center, San Diego, San Diego, CA 92152 (U.S.A.) I National Marine Fisheries Center, La Jolla, CA 92093 (U.S.A.) 2Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla CA 92093 (U.S.A.)

ABSTRACT The relationships between surface pH, ocean color and surface temperature are discussed conceptually. As an example, log pigment and sea-surface temperature (SST) obtained from color and IR satellite imagery collected over the Gulf of California (Mexico) in November 1981 are compared with in situ pH and temperature measurements made 3 weeks later. Plots of log pigment vs. SST and pH vs. in situ temperature show a characteristic break in slope, suggesting that the area studied may be divided into a high productivity northern section and a southern section of correspondingly lower productivity. A multidisciplinary (physical-chemical biological), onedimensional (vertical) model is used to produce characteristic shapes of log pigment vs. SST and pH vs. in situ temperature plots.

INTRODUCTION The d e v e l o p m e n t of space-based systems for o c e a n e x p l o r a t i o n has p r e s e n t e d o c e a n o g r a p h e r s with the o p p o r t u n i t y to m o n i t o r the o c e a n ' s s u r f a c e synoptically over d i s t a n c e s from tens to t h o u s a n d s of kilometers. The two p r o p e r t i e s most c o m m o n l y observed with satellites are sea s u r f a c e t e m p e r a t u r e (SST) and upwelled color, c o m p u t e d as pigment, w h i c h in o c e a n i c w a t e r s is a m e a s u r e of the a b u n d a n c e of p h y t o p l a n k t o n in the u p p e r l ( ~ 4 0 m ( G o r d o n et al., 1980, 1983). In t r o p i c a l waters, the c o n c e n t r a t i o n of p h y t o p l a n k t o n is r e l a t e d to the q u a n t i t y of n u t r i e n t - r i c h s u b s u r f a c e w a t e r w h i c h p e n e t r a t e s the p h o t i c zone and the d u r a t i o n of its e x p o s u r e to s o l a r r a d i a t i o n . B e c a u s e these l a t t e r p a r a m e t e r s are c o n t r o l l e d by u p w e l l i n g and t u r b u l e n t mixing, complex relationships exist b e t w e e n h y d r o g r a p h y and satellite-measured t e m p e r a t u r e and color. K n o w l e d g e of s u r f a c e ~ s u b s u r f a c e r e l a t i o n s h i p s extends the usefulness of the i m a g e r y and provides the t h e o r e t i c a l f r a m e w o r k for o c e a n m o n i t o r i n g from space. S u c h m o n i t o r i n g is m u c h m o r e e c o n o m i c a l t h a n s u r v e y s by ship. A t present, d a t a bases for d e v e l o p i n g a l g o r i t h m s w h i c h link s u b s u r f a c e s t r u c t u r e to i m a g e r y are provided by o c e a n o g r a p h i c expeditions in w h i c h s u r f a c e (mixed layer) p r o p e r t i e s are c o n t i n u o u s l y sampled by u n d e r w a y ships as the i m a g e r y is collected (Zirino, 1985). Thus, the d i s t a n c e s t h a t c a n be s u r v e y e d by the ships

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in a few days approach these covered in the imagery. Ship's surface observations are also augmented with XBT drops and by frequent shallow sampling at discrete stations where full-scale hydrographic measurements (including pH and total carbon dioxide) are performed. Shallow casts can be executed quickly and do not significantly reduce horizontal coverage. Imagery and sea-truth data may be brought together in multidisciplinary (physical-chemical biological) simulation models which link the appropriate variables and provide a mechanistic interpretation for both surface and subsurface observations. Because the horizontal features of the surface volume of interest are already present in the imagery, one-dimensional vertical models provide the important link between surface, mixed layer, thermocline and deeper waters. Figure 1 provides an artist's rendition of this approach.

Pigment and surface temperature In upwelling areas, pigment, or chlorophyll-a concentration in the mixed layer computed from upwelled color, has been found to vary non-linearly with sea-surface temperature (Abbott and Zion, 1985). Pigment concentration appears to peak at an optimum temperature and is progressively less at lower and higher temperatures. For example, in waters off the coast of California, Abbott and Zion (1985) found t h a t pigment concentration peaked at ~ 12°C. The same-shaped plot was observed in October 1985 by Zirino et al. (1988) for a 700km transect of the Gulf of California, although the pigment maximum occurred at a temperature ~ 10° higher. The relationship can be explained as a series of states in a temporal u p w e l l i n ~ s t r a t i f i c a t i o n sequence. Initially, cold, chlorophyll-poor, nutrient-rich water is brought to the surface by upwelling. Solar radiation then heats the water and promotes phytoplankton growth. Growth continues until stratification of the water column and/or advection away from the upwelling site reduce the flux of nutrients into the mixed layer, thereby causing the plankton concentration to decrease while

VER,,OAL MODEl-

Fig. 1. A r t i s t ' s c o n c e p t i o n of s a t e l l i t e i m a g e r y as a r e s u l t of p h y s i c a l forcing.

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temperature continues to increase to some steady-state value. This progression of events is shown diagrammatically in Fig. 2A and is presumed to hold for all waters in which stratification is controlled by temperature rather than salinity. Figure 2A shows that pigment concentration increases exponentially from low to optimum temperatures and then decreases, again exponentially, at higher temperatures. Because of this exponential nature of the growth pattern, log pigment vs. temperature plots resemble the intersection of two straight lines with a sharp bend or "knee" at the intersection (Fig. 2B). In practice, however, the entire left-hand side of the plot is seldom, if ever, observed (new, cold water would need to surface extremely quickly) and the right-hand side of the plot predominates in most images. In a detailed study of northern California coastal waters, Abbott and Zion (1985) found t h a t a relatively linear, inverse, log pigment-SST relationship existed in imagery collected at the site over several days, and they used the relationship to map out areas of positive or negative "anomalies" (higher or lower pigment than predicted by the relationship). Both kinds of anomaly were associated with large plumes streaming from the coast for 200-300 km.

pH, total carbon dioxide (TC02) and temperature The pH of oceanic surface waters contains information which may be related to both temperature and chlorophyll-a concentration and thus to SST and pigment in imagery. In tropical waters, or in any waters where the density structure is determined by temperature, pH profiles tend to show the same A

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Fig. 2. D i a g r a m m a t i c r e p r e s e n t a t i o n of chlorophyll concentration, log pigment, and pH at the ocean's surface as a function of increasing surface temperature.

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features as temperature profiles (Zirino et al., 1986). Indeed, they are often linearly related, despite the fact that the pH profile contains both physical and biological information. The reason for this is as follows: in the absence of biological processes, the pH of ocean water with a salinity of 34-36 ppt, measured at 1 atm. pressure and 25°C, would be ~ 8.23 _+ 0.02 (Zirino et al., 1986). This is the value attained when carbon dioxide gas, carbonic acid, bicarbonate and carbonate ions in the water reach equilibrium with atmospheric CO2. In the euphotic zone, solar radiation warms the water and simultaneously drives photosynthesis which removes CO2 and raises the pH, viz., HCO~ --* CO2 + OH

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On the other hand, in colder, aphotic (subsurface) water, respiration releases CO2 and lowers the pH. Thus, warm surface waters tend to have a high pH, while deeper, colder waters have a pH < 8.2. When mixing masks in situ biological processes, temperature, pH, salinity, nutrients, etc., in the upper 100 m can be expected to be linearly related to each other, giving rise to similar (or mirror image) vertical profiles. However, this covariation is misleading because pH and temperature are not directly related (the effect of temperature on pH in the ocean is small (Zirino et al., 1986)). For instance, there is no a priori reason for the surface water to both heat and increase pH via photosynthesis at a proportional rate. In fact, while mixing processes may be identical for both variables, in situ processes at the end points may be unrelated, with pH and temperature changing within their respective biological and physical constraints. pH vs. temperature obtained from continuous measurements from underway ships may also produce characteristic plots, somewhat analogous to the pigment vs. temperature plots obtained from satellites. For example, consider the course of a ship from an area of newly upwelled water, through zones of increasing primary production but also progressive stratification, to a terminal area of high stratification and very low production. A plot of surface pH vs. surface temperature values collected on this transect could be represented by Fig. 2C. The lower, left-hand portion of the curve, that representing the "newest" upwelled water, is characterized by the lowest pH value, as well as the lowest temperature. The plot then shows a steep, positive slope as solar radiation heats the water and drives production. Finally, the slope decreases as productivity becomes limited by lack of nutrients, ultimately reaching a plateau where pH no longer increases, although temperature might still continue to increase. Implicit in this conceptual model (Fig. 2C) are two assumptions: (i) pH is proportional to TCO~ and changes in pH accurately reflect changes in TCO2, and (ii) that TCO2 is essentially conserved in the system, i.e. changes in TCO2 from loss or gain across the air sea boundary are small when compared with biologically produced effects. The first assumption appears well justified. Zirino et al. (1986) pointed out that a nearly linear relationship existed between

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pH and TCO~ if the specific alkalinity was held relatively constant. During the GEOSECS expeditions (Broecker et al., 1982) it was found that the specific alkalinity of Pacific surface waters was essentially constant at ~ 0.1197 and therefore pH and salinity could be used to predict TCO2 to within + 8 pM kg- 1. While specific alkalinity in Atlantic surface waters was slightly more variable, TCO~ could still be predicted from pH and salinity with high accuracy. Our own measurements in the North Atlantic and in the Gulf of California in 1985 substantiate this observation (Zirino et al., 1988). The second assumption also appears to be justified. The velocity with which CO2(g) exchanges across the air-sea boundary is approximately ten times smaller than that of other gases in seawater. Broecker and Peng (1982) estimate that ~ 1 year is required for CO2(g) in the upper 50m to reach atmospheric equilibrium. This period is much longer than the time required for a biological response to atmospheric forcing which occurs in periods of days or weeks. Since biological CO2 changes are directly correlated with pH changes, it follows that the pH of surface water is often different from the ~equilibrium pH" and much more indicative of in situ biological processes. It also follows that, because atmospheric exchange is slow, the pH of the surface water represents an integral of individual photosynthesis or respiration events occurring over days, weeks or, perhaps, months. This is not to say that there is no CO2(g) exchange across the air-sea boundary, but that CO2(g) loss or gain to the atmosphere must be considered as part of a TCO2 budget in which, generally, biological processes cause the greatest changes. Of course, where production is low, air sea exchange becomes a significant if not predominant component of the CO2 budget.

Multidisciplinary vertical models The complex relationships between physical, biological and chemical variables observed in the field can be better understood by means of models which simulate the important time-dependent processes occurring in the oceans. Such models are driven by physical forces (solar radiation, winds, currents) which cause biological responses (photosynthesis, grazing) which, in turn, result in measurable chemical and biological changes (nutrients, chlorophyll, oxygen, CO2). Unfortunately, while there are excellent working models in each discipline, there is, at present, no commonly accepted multidisciplinary vertical model. The desire to understand better the interactions among common oceanographic variables at and near the ocean's surface led us to develop a relatively simple, multidisciplinary, vertical model which incorporates many of the features found in the single discipline models. The model is of the differential type, in the sense that the equations for heat, momentum, plankton, nutrients (nitrogen), oxygen and CO2 are not integrated over the mixed layer. Rather, the surface layer is simulated by an arbitrary number of discrete layers with variable diffusivities between them. This type of model allows for high vertical

290 resolution, compatible with the resolution presently available with pump profiles of temperature, pH and chlorophyll (Fuhrm ann and Zirino, 1988). We have used the vertical model to understand better the shapes of pigment and pH vs. temperature plots for the Gulf of California. These plots were obtained from satellite imagery and horizontal transects sampled at sea during the Naval Ocean Systems Center's VARIFRONT III expedition to the Gulf of California during Nov.-Dec. 1981. This report presents and discusses our findings. METHODS Data collected at sea

pH and temp er a t ur e measurements were made aboard the USNS deSteiguer on 10-11 December 1981. W at er was obtained from a hull penet rat i on in the scientific sea chest, ~ 3 m below the water's surface, and pumped into the ship's laboratory, pH, t e m per a t ur e and chlorophyll were measured continuously during the transect as described in Zirino and Lieberman (1985) and Lieberman et al. (1987). pH at 25°C was computed from the mV readings of the glass electrode and the t e m per a t ur e readings of the adjoining thermistor (Zirino and Lieberman, 1985). Imagery

Color and thermal images were collected at the Scripps Satellite Oceanographic Facility (SSOF) of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, California, on 16 and 17 November 1981, and archived and processed thereafter. Daytime thermal infrared data from channel 4 (11#m) of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) on the NOAA-7 satellite were corrected for the effect of thin low clouds, using channel 2 (0.7-1.1 pm) near-infrared data (Gower, 1985), and then calibrated by an SSOF radiometric calibration procedure based on Lauritson et al. (1979). Multi-channel correction for absorption of sea-surface radiance by atmospheric water vapor was not employed because preserving the better signal-to-noise ratio of the single-channel data was more important t han an a c c ur at e temperature estimate. Visible radiance data from the Coastal Zone Color Scanner (CZCS, on the Nimbus-7 satellite) were processed with an algorithm based on Gordon et al. (1983) to remove effects of Rayleigh and aerosol scattering and to derive pigment concentrations from corrected blue/green ratios. Model

In the vertical model (Keir and Fiedler, 1988), heat and momentum are input by solar radiation and surface wind stress. Solar radiation is at t enuat ed at

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depth as a function of phytoplankton pigment concentration. Heat loss from the surface is a linear function of surface temperature. Nitrate flux is determined by upwelling and turbulent mixing. Phytoplankton growth is a function of light intensity, nitrate concentration and phytoplankton biomass. Light attenuation varies with phytoplankton biomass. Turbulent mixing is modeled as the product of the vertical gradient of a property and an eddy diffusion coefficient. Eddy diffusivity varies as a function of the gradient Richardson number (stratification/shear, Paconowski and Philander, 1981). Diffusion of oxygen and CO2 through the sea surface is represented by the stagnant film model (Liss, 1975). Grazing is assumed to be a constant fraction of phytoplankton carbon per unit time. Phytoplankton grazed at a particular depth is redistributed at depth according to an exponential function, and remineralized, utilizing oxygen. Changes in carbon, oxygen, and nitrogen are linked by the Redfield ratio (Redfield et al., 1963). A set of non-linear, partial differential equations represents conservation of mass, momentum and heat in the system. The Crank-Nicholson method is used to solve the set of equations in discrete form. The resulting set of algebraic equations takes on a tri-diagonal matrix form and the solution converges in one to three iterations at each time step. The user specifies the number of depth intervals and total depth of the water column to be modeled, as well as the time step, in days, for solution of the discrete equations. Initial concentrations of the variables upwelling velocity, surface wind speed, and surface light intensity are the inputs required at the start of a model run. The code is in QUICK BASIC and runs on an IBM personal computer or compatible instrument. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Figure 3A,B shows the processed SST and pigment images of the Gulf obtained from satellite data collected on November 16 and 17. Temperature decreases and pigment concentration increases with degree of whiteness. The line leading from north to south approximates the track of the USNS DeSteiguer 24 days later. From the southern portion of the basin to just south of the two major islands, the IR image displays progressively colder temperatures, with the coldest water occurring southwest of Tiburon Island, where the topography shoals from a depth of ~ 1800 to 200 m. This zone of cold water persists throughout the year and coincides with the boundary between the shallow, northern region of ~ 200 m depth, and a deeper southern region (Fig. 4). Four major basins of progressively increasing depth (Guaymas, Carmen, Farallon and Pescadero) are sequentially located along the length of the southern Gulf. Intense forcing by tides, winds, solar heating and exchanges with the Pacific Ocean promote a vigorous circulation, characterized in the south by large, deep, eddies and wind-driven coastal upwelling. Plumes of upwelled water

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Fig. 3. Satellite imagery of sea-surface temperature (SST) and color imagery of the Gulf of California, Nov. 1~17, 1981. s t r e a m f r o m the c o a s t s a l o n g t h e b o u n d a r i e s of the eddies. T h e d i r e c t i o n of r o t a t i o n of the eddies as well as the l o c a t i o n of c o a s t a l u p w e l l i n g (east, west) v a r i e s s e a s o n a l l y w i t h the d i r e c t i o n of t h e p r e v a i l i n g winds. F i g u r e 3A shows f e a t u r e s t y p i c a l of t h e s u r f a c e t h e r m a l s t r u c t u r e of l a t e fall, w i n t e r a n d e a r l y s p r i n g ( B a d a n - D a n g o n et al., 1985). T h i s s t r u c t u r e is n o t a b l e for large, a n t i c y c l o n i c eddies e x t e n d i n g a c r o s s the G u l f in t h e G u a y m a s a n d C a r m e n Basins. D r i v e n by a n o r t h w e s t e r l y wind, cold w a t e r upwells a l o n g the e a s t c o a s t a n d s t r e a m s a c r o s s the Gulf. On N o v e m b e r 17, the coldest w a t e r ( ~ 19°C) was f o u n d s o u t h of T u b u r o n Island, s t r e a m i n g t o w a r d s the west c o a s t and f o r m i n g t h e n o r t h e r n b o u n d a r y of the G u a y m a s eddy. T h e eddy itself is

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split into t w o s m a l l e r eddies s e p a r a t e d by a p l u m e of 20.5°C w a t e r w h i c h e m a n a t e s n o r t h o f G u a y m a s and r e a c h e s w e s t to S a n t a Rosalia. The s o u t h e r n b o u n d a r y o f t h e eddy is m a r k e d by a p l u m e of --~ 22°C w a t e r w h i c h l e a v e s the c o a s t just s o u t h o f G u a y m a s , r e a c h e s t h e c e n t e r of the Gulf and t h e n deflects s o u t h w a r d to form a small c y c l o n i c gyre. S e v e r a l s u c h s m a l l ( ~ 3 0 - 5 0 k m ) eddies m a r k t h e s u r f a c e w a t e r s o f the C a r m e n Basin, w h i c h h a v e a m e a n t e m p e r a t u r e o f ~ 23°C and w h i c h are s e p a r a t e d from m o r e s o u t h e r l y w a t e r s by a steep I°C front r a d i a t i n g w e s t w a r d o f T o p o l o b a m p o .

294 The pigment image, Fig. 3B, shows spatial structure similar to t hat found in the IR image, although the pat t er n is less intense. A major difference is a 10 km wide, high-pigment zone which hugs the mainland coast. This zone, which has no temperature counterpart, is also found in 1985 Gulf imagery (Zirino et al., 1988). From south to north, pigment increases by about an order of magnitude, but this is somewhat obscured in the image which, as customary, is log-transformed. Figure 5A displays log(pigment) along the n o r t h - s o u t h cruise t rack shown in Fig. 3. Pigment values range from ~0.3/~g 1 1 in the south to ~ 3 p g 1-1 in the north. Similarly, Fig. 5B displays SST along the same path. Figures 5C and D display the in-situ "surface" (actually 5 m) pH and t em perat ure measured along the track on December l(~-ll, 3.5 weeks later. For comparison, the graphs have been drawn to the same horizontal scale. It is evident from the temp e r atu r e plots that, despite some shifts in the relative positions of the eddies, the locations and temperatures of major features in the Gulf remained relatively unchanged during the 3.5 week period between the two data sets. While there is roughly a one degree absolute difference between the sets, they

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295 are in fact highly correlated, and a one degree difference between two such diverse measurements is not unexpected. Figure 6(A,B) shows plots of log pigment vs. SST and pH vs. "surface" temperature measured at sea. In both plots there is a major change in slope occurring at ~ 22°C. This temperature marks the southern boundary of the eddy which occupies the Guaymas Basin and divides the Gulf into a highpigment northern region and into a southern area of progressively lower pigment (and chlorophyll), pH is low in the high pigment region, increasing at a relatively rapid rate to -,-8.47 and then leveling off at this value, in the southern, low-pigment zone. Zirino and Lieberman (1985) suggested that the Log Chlorophyll Versus Temperature o

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296 i n c r e a s e in p H in the n o r t h e r l y r e g i o n w a s the r e s u l t of h i g h p r i m a r y p r o d u c t i o n . Indeed, B a u m g a r t n e r (1988) p o i n t e d o u t t h a t , in the Gulf, p r i m a r y p r o d u c t i o n a n d c h l o r o p h y l l c o n c e n t r a t i o n w e r e l i n e a r l y related. T h e c l e a r " b r e a k " in b o t h plots at ~ 22°C s u g g e s t s t h a t log p i g m e n t a n d p H a r e r e l a t e d to t e m p e r a t u r e in the m a n n e r discussed e a r l i e r (Fig. 2) a n d t h a t two different p r o d u c t i v i t y r e g i m e s exist w i t h i n the 800 k m t r a n s e c t studied. It is n o t p a r t i c u l a r l y clear, h o w e v e r , h o w t h e r a t e of c h a n g e of c h l o r o p h y l l s t a n d i n g s t o c k w i t h t e m p e r a t u r e r e l a t e s q u a n t i t a t i v e l y to the r a t e of c h a n g e of p H or TCO2 w i t h t e m p e r a t u r e , since we did n o t m e a s u r e a n y rates. I n s t e a d , the r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n the two d a t a sets w a s studied by m e a n s of the v e r t i c a l model w h i c h r e l a t e s all the t i m e - d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e s q u a n t i t a t i v e l y .

Vertical model F i g u r e 7 shows t i m e - d e p t h plots of two r u n s of the model w i t h 10 m l a y e r s (A)

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297 for 200 days: low mixing, with no upwelling and 2 m s i surface winds (Fig. 7A), and high mixing, 0.5m day -1 upwelling and 5m s 1 surface winds (Fig. 7B). Initial conditions are uniform profiles representing cold, deep water with low phytoplankton, low pH and high nitrate concentration. Low mixing, after 10 days, produces a mixed layer above a strong thermocline that continually deepens. A surface phytoplankton bloom peaks between 20 and 30 days and then declines, leaving a subsurface phytoplankton maximum, when nitrate is depleted in the mixed layer. High mixing produces a weaker thermocline which, because of upwelling, is more shallow than the first case. The surface phytoplankton bloom reaches a higher peak that declines more slowly. The vertical maximum phytoplankton biomass remains at the surface. Figure 8(A, B) shows phytoplankton-temperature and pH-temperature plots from the two model runs. Since the model run was arbitrarily set to start at 10°C, differences in absolute temperature between the model run and the waters of the Gulf are not important. Although the two plots represent covariability in time, the same relationships will be observed in the spatial domain (B) .

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Fig. 8. Results of model simulation for surface waters. (A) Plots of log pigment and pH vs. surface temperature for high mixing condition. (B) Plots of log pigment and pH vs. surface temperaturefor low mixing condition. if spatial variability is caused by asynchronous temporal cycling. Such asynchrony might be caused by upwelling at capes and banks or by local mixing events such as storms or breaking internal waves. The most obvious feature of both plots for both runs is the break at 1111.5°C. In this temperature range, nitrate drops to levels that significantly limit phytoplankton growth. Phytoplankton increases up to this temperature and then decreases above it. The negative slope of the phytoplankton-temperature plot above 11.5°C is much steeper in the low mixing run because mixed layer nitrate is lower and phytoplankton growth does not compensate for grazing and diffusion losses. Initial pH in these runs corresponds to oversaturation of CO2. Atmospheric equilibrium is not attained in either run. Phytoplankton growth accelerates the approach to equilibrium as the surface water warms. Thus, the different slopes of the pH-temperature plots above 11.5°C represent the different growth rates maintained after the initial surface bloom. In the high mixing run (Fig.

299 8A), pH continues to increase because nutrient input by upwelling and diffusion across the thermocline are sufficient to support continued net carbon fixation by photosynthesis. If the lapsed warming time of the water is substituted for the water temperature in Fig. 8, then the slope of the pH-time plot represents the net CO2 fixed over the 200 days (minus the CO2 lost by evasion). Of the two cases illustrated, the results produced by the low mixing case (Fig. 8B) more clearly resemble the plots obtained from the satellite imagery and underway data. The steep decrease in phytoplankton and leveling off of pH at higher temperatures suggest t h a t stratification in the southern Gulf is instrumental in controlling production. The satellite observation did not show the cold temperature (left) portion of t h e log pigment-temperature plot predicted by the model. This was as expected, since deep water, devoid of phytoplankton, does not instantaneously surface, as in the model. However, the imagery shows essentially constant phytoplankton over 4° of warming ( ~ 40~0 days). This suggests that the model does not fully simulate the observed conditions. Be that as it may, it is not our intention to model the Gulf of California accurately (a much more complete set of experimental data would be needed), but to point out that a comprehensive approach may serve to explore relationships among temperature, pH and chlorophyll on large spatial scales, with the ultimate purpose of assessing oceanic primary production remotely. Finally, the examples presented here qualitatively illustrate how productivity rates, relative to the rate of heating of the surface water, are represented by the slopes of the phytoplankton-temperature and pHtemperature curves. To the extent t h a t these surface variables change through biological responses to physical mixing, they can yield information about vertical movements within the near-surface water column. Thus satellite measurements of surface temperature and chlorophyll may also yield information about near-surface vertical structure. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We wish to t h a n k Angela Rebello for giving us the opportunity to present this paper at the second Rio Conference on the Chemistry of Tropical Marine Systems. We are also grateful to Saul A1varez-Borrego and Gilberto GaxiolaCastro of the Centro de Ivestigaciones Cientificas y Escuela Superior de Ensenada (CICESE) for making VARIFRONT III possible and for many years of fruitful, happy, collaboration. Our thanks also go to Dr Eugene P. Cooper and NOSCs Internal Research Program for continuing support of work on oceanic pH. P.C. Fiedler was supported at NOSC by an Office of Naval Technology (ONT) postdoctoral fellowship. R.S. Keir was supported at NOSC by an ONT Summer Faculty fellowship. Finally, we wish to t h a n k Susan Cola, Martha Stallard and Fabiola Rodriguez for their suggestions and support.

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