Journal of Business Research 94 (2019) 1–17
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The effect of loan approval decentralization on microfinance institutions' outreach and loan portfolio quality☆
T
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Hubert Tchakoute-Tchuigouaa, , Issouf Soumaréb a
Department of Finance and Accounting, KEDGE Business School, 680 Cours de la Libération, 33 405 Talence cedex, France Department of Finance, Insurance & Real Estate, & Laboratory for Financial Engineering (LABIFUL), Faculty of Business Administration, Université Laval, Building Palasis-Prince, Office 1204, 2325, rue de la Terrasse, Quebec, Quebec G1V 0A6, Canada b
A R T I C LE I N FO
A B S T R A C T
JEL classifications: G21 G32 G39
We study the impact of loan approval decentralization on MFI portfolio quality and outreach, and the effects of alignment mechanisms when loan officers combine information production and decision functions. Using an independently pooled cross-section of 374 MFI-year observations for 280 MFIs in 70 countries, we find that effective incentive schemes and internal control systems help mitigate agency problems within MFIs, and thus increase the outreach of MFIs without altering the quality of their loan portfolio. Our results are robust after controlling for alternative portfolio risk and outreach measures, outreach threshold effect, crisis period, selection bias and endogeneity.
Keywords: Loan approval Decentralization Loan portfolio quality Loan portfolio risk Microfinance Outreach
1. Introduction Microfinance institutions (MFIs) are double-bottom-line organizations and hybrid organizations (Battilana & Dorado, 2010; D'Espallier, Hudon, & Szafarz, 2013). They are now part of the financial landscape of most developing and emerging countries, and their primary goal is to provide financial services to low income people and to small and informal businesses. As reported by some recent studies (Armendáriz de Aghion & Morduch, 2010; Dixon, Ritchie, & Siwale, 2007; Tchakoute Tchuigoua, 2012), decision-making authority is allocated to the loan officer in many MFIs. Merging resource allocation and information production functions provides the loan officer with incentives to produce and use soft information when approving loans (Stein, 2002). The loan officer, whose role in the loan approval process is now evidenced in microfinance literature (Agier, 2012; Agier & Szafarz, 2013), becomes more powerful when information production and loan approval decisions are concentrated in his or her hands. In this study, we first investigate whether allocating decisional authority to the loan officer improves outreach without deteriorating loan portfolio quality. However, a decentralized credit decision or a powerful loan officer can expose the MFI to a principal-agent problem and thus induce
agency conflicts between the loan officer and the lending organization (Berger & Udell, 2002; Stein, 2002). A loan officer may make credit decisions contrary to the interests of the MFI or without complying with current loan approval procedures. Implementing appropriate incentive schemes (better human resource management), strong internal controls, and audit procedures are thus crucial for microcredit portfolio performance and the overall financial health of MFIs (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS), 2010). Appropriate incentive mechanisms and internal control procedures may ensure that loan officers who approve loans undertake allocation decisions that improve MFI efficiency. The effect of loan approval decentralization on risk and outreach will be especially important if the agent who received authority is subject to incentive systems and controls that would tend to limit the risk associated with decentralization. The second objective of this study is to investigate whether incentive schemes and internal control systems are effective in reducing agency conflicts within an MFI. To date, the microfinance literature has not sufficiently addressed the issue of agency costs induced by delegation. More specifically, the question of whether well-designed incentives and an effective internal control system – whether perceived or assessed as such by a third party – could limit the risk associated with loan approval decentralization is
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We are grateful to participants at the seminar organized by the Department of Finance, Insurance and Real Estate and the Research Chair in Governance of Laval University in April 2016 for their helpful comments and suggestions, especially Jean Bédard. All errors and omissions are the authors' sole responsibilities. ⁎ Corresponding author. E-mail addresses:
[email protected] (H. Tchakoute-Tchuigoua),
[email protected] (I. Soumaré). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2018.09.021 Received 9 May 2017; Received in revised form 19 September 2018; Accepted 20 September 2018 0148-2963/ © 2018 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Journal of Business Research 94 (2019) 1–17
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not well documented.1 Some recent microfinance papers investigate the risk associated with decentralization in microfinance lending in developing countries, including subjective preferences of the loan officer and the impact of loan officer behaviors on risk and MFI outreach (Agier & Szafarz, 2013; Labie, Méon, Mersland, & Szafarz, 2015; Sagamba, Shchetinin, & Yusupov, 2013). Agier (2012) emphasizes the role of credit officers on microloan performance and Tchakoute Tchuigoua (2012) examines the effect of decentralization on loan contract terms. This empirical literature on microfinance then suggests a link between decentralization and adverse selection and provides evidence that granting authority to loan officers may bias the selection process because of subjective loan officer preferences. The effectiveness of existing alignment mechanisms in MFIs can therefore enable MFIs to overcome this principal-agent problem arising from decentralizing the loan decision, and also align loan officer interests with those of the MFI. To analyze the effectiveness of alignment mechanisms on the risk and outreach of MFIs, we study an independently pooled cross-sectional sample of 374 MFI-year observations for 280 MFIs from 2001 to 2012 across 70 countries and make at least two main contributions to the existing microfinance literature. First, we extend upon previous studies on loan officer role and behavior in MFIs. Contrary to Agier (2012) who limits the role of the loan officer to information production, we assume loan officer duality and the resulting principal-agent problem between the MFI and the loan officer who both produces information and allocates loans. By assessing the mitigating effect of incentive schemes and internal control mechanisms on loan officer behavior, our contribution also goes beyond the previous literature, which focuses on loan officer subjectivity (Agier & Szafarz, 2013; Labie et al., 2015; Sagamba et al., 2013). These studies assume or demonstrate that discriminatory behavior of a loan officer is partly because of inexistence of a control system or failures of existing internal control systems. The quality of the internal control system and the quality of incentive mechanisms are not taken into account from an empirical point of view. Our study accounts for this missing piece by considering the existence of effective internal control systems and incentive mechanisms. We measure the effectiveness of the internal control system and the incentive system using the rating scores produced by a rating agency, Planet Rating in this case, while controlling for the associated selection bias. Second, by focusing on loan officer-MFI agency problems and on the effectiveness of alignment mechanisms within MFIs, we extend upon the previously mentioned microfinance studies and contribute to the existing microfinance corporate governance literature. Indeed, some studies have focused on the agency conflicts between MFIs executives and owners and on the effectiveness of incentive schemes and control mechanisms implemented by MFIs in order to align the interests of these two groups (e.g., Hartarska, 2005; Hartarska & Mersland, 2012; Mersland & Strøm, 2009; Tchakoute Tchuigoua, 2014). Based on previous studies in nonfinancial organizations (Adams, Almeida, & Ferreira, 2005), MFIs (Galema, Lensink, & Mersland, 2012) and banks (Pathan, 2009), some others have placed particular emphasis on CEO power, that is, the merging of Chairman and CEO positions into a single position, and examined its impact on performance and risk. Other studies focus on agency problems between the interest of borrowers and the interest of MFIs, and assess the effectiveness of incentive design for aligning the borrower and MFI preferences (Armendáriz de Aghion &
Morduch, 2010; Stiglitz, 1990). However, except for a few theoretical studies that have examined the incentives designed for loan officers (Aubert, de Janvry, & Sadoulet, 2009; Besley & Ghatak, 2005; Conning, 1999), little is known from an empirical standpoint about a principalagent problem involving MFIs and loan officers, and the effectiveness of alignment mechanisms designed to avoid information problems within MFIs. Our empirical evidence supports the hypothesis that providing the loan officer with incentives such as performance-based pay and putting in place an effective internal control system may contribute to aligning the interest of the loan officer with that of the institution. Hence, implementation of human resource management practices and internal control systems, which are perceived as effective, mitigates the possible deterioration of loan portfolio quality following loan approval decentralization, without altering MFI outreach. This result links our study to the literature on organizational architecture (Berger & Udell, 2002; Stein, 2002) and to microfinance-specific literature which focuses on designing incentives for loan officers (Aubert et al., 2009; BCBS, 2010; Labie et al., 2015). We account for the effect of MFI ownership type, given that managerial discretion and profit distribution constraints are likely to vary across different types of ownership among MFIs. We find that incentive mechanisms and internal control system effectiveness increase MFI outreach without altering loan portfolio quality when loan approval is decentralized, in both not-for-profit and profit-oriented MFIs; the effects are much stronger in not-for-profit organizations and even tend to reduce risk. The remainder of the article is organized as follows. Part two gives an overview of prior literature and develops the research hypotheses. Part three explains the research design. Part four presents the results and robustness tests, and part five concludes with an acknowledgment of research limitations and avenues for future research. 2. Background 2.1. Why is loan approval decentralization an important issue for microlending? The corporate governance literature provides an explanation of why firms grant decision-making authority to agents (loan officers). Incentive-based theories (Aghion & Tirole, 1997; Stein, 2002) suggest that transferring the decision-making authority to agents who produce soft information is a way to recognize and reward their expertise in this field and enable the loan officers to make appropriate decisions. Sah and Stiglitz (1986) explain the choice of a decentralized decisionmaking structure in terms of the cost of acquiring and communicating information. Given information asymmetries between the person who gathers and processes information, and the one with the authority to make decisions, the data communicated by the former to the latter can be either partial or contaminated, thereby leading to flawed decision making. Investigating decentralization of the loan approval process is of particular interest in the microfinance sector for at least two reasons. First, close ties between MFIs and their clients are one of the main features of microfinance (Stiglitz, 1990). Close proximity to the poor not only makes it easier for MFIs to understand their clients' needs but also enables them to develop trust with the communities in which they operate and develop and offer products and services in line with the financial needs of their intended target markets (see, for example, Ledgerwood, Earne, & Nelson, 2013). Proximity also enables loan officers to produce soft information and to grant loans efficiently. Given that loan officers usually live in the same local community as their borrowers and maintain direct and personal contact with them, they may build privileged ties with other small businesses and individuals who hold relevant information about potential borrowers and their businesses in the local community (Berger & Udell, 2002). In addition, daily interactions and personal relations between loan officers and local
1 The existing banking literature emphasizes lending practices of large and small banks and their effects on credit availability, risk and profitability (Berger & Black, 2011; Berger, Cowan, & Frame, 2011; Berger, Miller, Petersen, Rajan, & Stein, 2005); loan officer's rotation policy in commercial banking and its effects on moral hazard, that is, the officers' reporting behaviors (Hertzberg, Liberti, & Paravisini, 2010); hierarchical distance of information use in large multinational banks (Liberti & Mian, 2009); and gender bias in bank lending markets (Beck, Behr, & Guettler, 2013; Bellucci, Borisov, & Zazzaro, 2010).
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qualitative information that could lead to the rejection of credit applications that he or she defends (Berger & Udell, 2002). The loan officer can thus voluntarily select borrowers with low ability to repay, which may result in nonperforming loans and thus deteriorate the MFI's loan portfolio quality. According to one stream of the governance literature (Berger & Udell, 2002; Brickley, Linck, & Smith, 2003; Stein, 2002) and the microfinance-specific literature (Aubert et al., 2009; Jeon & Menicucci, 2011; Labie et al., 2015), providing the loan officer with incentives such as performance-based pay and an effective internal control system may thus contribute to aligning the interests of the institution with the loan officer's interest, and thus avoid information asymmetry between the principal (the MFI's management or its credit committee) and the agent (the loan officer). Aubert et al. (2009) developed an ex ante information acquisition model and show that setting up an incentive mechanism will tend to align the interest of credit officer with that of the MFI. The credit officer will thus select borrowers adequately based on their ability to repay and their poverty levels. Assuming an agency conflict between the MFI and the biased loan officer with loan decision-making authority, Labie et al. (2015) show how designing wage incentives in a nonprofit MFI may deter its loan officers from discriminating. They document that offering incentives in socially oriented MFIs mitigates discrimination by loan officers. Jeon and Menicucci (2011) demonstrate how incentive schemes help avoid moral hazard and constrain loan officer behavior. Incentive schemes limit the loan officer's ability to embezzle borrower repayments. These theoretical studies suggest that well-designed incentive schemes allow an MFI to improve outreach, limit MFI discrimination against disabled micro-entrepreneurs, and help improve the MFI's loan portfolio quality. From an empirical standpoint, except for exploratory studies,2 analysis of the effectiveness of incentive mechanisms for loan officers and internal control systems in reducing agency conflicts within the MFI has received very little attention in the microfinance literature. Based on the previously described literature, we may expect that providing incentives to the loan officer and a better internal control system are likely to mitigate the effects of powerful loan officers on MFI performance. We thus expect that incentive schemes and internal control systems may ensure that loan officers who approve loans make allocation decisions that improve the MFI's outreach and the loan portfolio quality, hence the following Hypothesis 2.
borrowers provide easy access to soft information. Second, according to the BCBS (2010), most MFI failures stem from deterioration in the quality of loan portfolios. Christen, Lauer, Lyman, and Rosenberg (2012) suggest that there may be agency problems in loan allocation and that deterioration of an MFI's loan portfolio quality may result from the ineffectiveness of the allocation process and the internal governance system. The 2014 Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation (CSFI) survey, Microfinance Banana Skins, ranks credit risk (that is, risk that poor lending practices lead to loan losses) second among risks facing MFIs and finds strong links with weaknesses in management and internal control systems. In addition, the microcredit market has become increasingly competitive, and conclusions of the CSFI (2014) show that microfinance experts rank competition third among the risks facing MFIs. The increased competition among MFIs in the microcredit market pushes them to expand their credit portfolio and to increase their market share. Competition enables MFIs to expand their outreach but seems to exacerbate agency problems in loan allocation. Some recent empirical studies evidence the negative effect of competition on MFI loan portfolios (Assefa, Hermes, & Meesters, 2013; Baquero, Hamadi, & Heinen, 2018; Guha & Chowdhury, 2013; Tchakoute Tchuigoua, 2016). To address the loan portfolio effect of competition, MFIs implement human resource policies among which staff incentive systems to ensure that the lending activity will not jeopardize the sustainability and survival of the MFI. 2.2. Hypotheses development 2.2.1. The effect of Loan officer approval on MFI outreach and loan portfolio quality Recent studies using household survey data in developing and emerging countries document that proximity allows MFIs to produce soft information and improves access to finance (Allen et al., 2014; Allen, Demirgüc-Kunt, Klapper, & Martinez-Peria, 2016; Brown, Guin, & Kirschenmann, 2016). Lending decisions based on the use of soft and hard information enable MFIs to better screen borrowers. Simultaneous use of soft and hard information may lead to accepting loan applications that could have been rejected solely on the basis of hard information, which is not necessarily reliable or relevant in the microfinance sector. Decentralization thus helps to increase access to credit and improve loan conditions. We may thus expect that outreach increases when the loan officer approves loans, which leads to the following Hypothesis 1.a.
H2. The effects of loan approval decentralization on loan portfolio quality and outreach are attenuated when alignment mechanisms are effective.
H1a. Loan approval decentralization is positively associated with MFIs outreach. Using soft information as a complement to hard information thus reinforces the ability of MFIs to select borrowers efficiently based on their repayment capacity, which de facto limits the risk that the credit portfolio will deteriorate. Decentralization contributes to limiting the risk in the credit decision and may have a positive effect on the quality of the MFI loan portfolio. We may thus expect the riskiness of the loan portfolio to decrease when the loan officer approves loans (Hypothesis 1.b).
2.2.3. The effect of MFI ownership types MFIs offer financial services to the poor across several institutional forms including cooperatives, credit unions and non-governmental organizations (NGOs), usually grouped in the category of nonprofit MFIs, and banks and nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs), considered as privately owned and profit-oriented MFIs. Since the transformation movement of MFIs was initiated in the early 1990s, the debate over the impact of choosing an institutional form and the impact of the evolution of ownership type remains a subject of concern among practitioners and scholars in the field of microfinance. Some studies have attempted to answer the question of whether the financial and social performance of
H1b. Loan approval decentralization is positively associated with MFIs loan portfolio quality. 2.2.2. The mitigating effect of alignment mechanisms Decentralization of the credit decision is not a sufficient condition to overcome informational problems in MFIs. Indeed, a powerful loan officer can create a principal-agent problem. Strong relationships between the loan officer and the MFI's clients (borrowers) and the resulting lending decentralization gives considerable leeway to loan officers, especially when incentive schemes and internal control systems are lacking, and the existing ones ineffective. For subjective reasons, the loan officer may voluntarily grant non-performing loans by ignoring
2 An international survey on staff incentive scheme practices in the microfinance industry (McKim & Hughart, 2005) shows that the percentage of MFIs implementing staff incentive schemes increased for > 12 years. They show that the percentage of MFIs using staff incentive schemes grew from 6% to 63% between 1990 and 2003. In 2005, they found 72% of MFIs had an incentive scheme, with some differences across regions, by legal status and by MFI characteristics. Incentive schemes for loan officers are individual monetary schemes (bonuses) and are found in 83% of MFIs.
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MFIs varies across MFIs ownership type, and find consistent evidence. Results do not evidence differences in accounting performance across MFI ownership types and thus yield inconsistent evidence with the transformation thesis. Mersland and Strøm (2008) and Tchakoute Tchuigoua (2010), among others, show that NGOs are not more socially oriented than privately owned MFIs, nor are privately owned MFIs more profitable than NGOs. This is evidenced as well in a more recent study by D'Espallier, Goedecke, Hudon, and Mersland (2017), which applies an event study methodology to compare the performance of 66 transformed MFIs over the period 1993–2011, and investigates how transformation influences the MFI's overall business model, including the MFI's profit function, the mix of funding sources and the scope of services provided. MFIs clients' characteristics are one of the main distinctive features of microfinance ownership type (Jansson, Rosales, & Westley, 2004; Tchakoute Tchuigoua, 2010). As noted by Galema et al. (2012), microfinance NGOs borrowers tend to be low-income entrepreneurs, work in informal sectors, with no physical capital and have limited formal documentation. In these microfinance NGOs, loan approval is mostly decentralized and based on the use of soft lending technology and on a field evaluation of the client's ability to pay. Conversely, privately owned MFIs target wealthier clients with greater ability to repay their loans, and are more centered on the use of hard lending technology to assess risk and the borrower's ability to repay. This would result in better credit portfolio quality and larger average loan size in for-profit MFIs than in other institutional forms. This seems to be confirmed by some existing empirical studies. Indeed, D'Espallier et al. (2017) find a significant increase in average loan size, both in absolute terms and scaled by GNI per capita for transformed MFIs. Tchakoute Tchuigoua (2010) finds that private microfinance companies have better loan portfolio quality than nonprofit MFIs. He also finds no difference among nonprofit MFIs, that is, between cooperatives and NGOs. The existing differences between for-profit MFIs and not-for-profit ones may be explained by the fact that, privately owned MFIs adopt management procedures and practices similar to those of conventional banks, and they may be expected to implement similar sophisticated risk management practices, as opposed to those used by cooperatives and NGOs. This finding may also be driven by differences in staff incentives and internal control systems within MFIs. In addition, as documented by Galema et al. (2012) and Servin, Lensink, and Van den Berg (2012), each MFI ownership type is specific in terms of managerial discretion (the level of ties between ownership and control) and profit-distribution constraints (those who receive profits earned by MFIs). NGOs are characterized by a non-distribution constraint and cooperative/credit unions and privately owned MFIs distribute profits, respectively, to members and owners. Privately owned MFIs apply market-based principles that may enable them to implement mechanisms, such as market or corporate control or performance-based compensations, to effectively influence opportunistic behaviors of loan officers. Perilleux, Hudon, and Bloy (2012) and Hudon and Périlleux (2014) also provide supportive evidence for an existing difference in profit distribution constraints across MFIs ownership type. They use a stakeholder-centered approach and answer the question of how MFIs allocate their surplus to stakeholders and whether the allocation process varies depending on the MFI ownership type. They document that the surplus distribution is more in favor of providers and employees in cooperatives, whereas, NGOs and shareholderMFIs keep their surplus internally as a self-financing mechanism. Moreover, according to Aubert et al. (2009), designing incentives to align the interests of employees with the MFI's objectives is more costly in socially oriented MFIs than in for-profit oriented MFIs. This may even results in a trade-off between fighting discrimination against disabled borrowers and extending outreach to the poor in nonprofit MFIs (Labie et al., 2015). These latter two studies are consistent in the way that, in the presence of agency costs, introducing incentives improves social and financial performance in for-profit MFIs.
The above literature review allows us to conclude that for-profit MFIs have better outreach and better loan portfolio quality than nonprofit MFIs. However, as argued previously, allocating the loan decision-making authority to the loan officer can lead the loan officer to prioritize his subjective preferences and loan expansion can be seen as a result of the loan agent's subjective preferences. In this case, it can be expected that in for-profit MFIs, designing effective alignment mechanisms will help to mitigate the discretionary power of the loan officer and limits the effect of the loan officer managerial discretion on the loan portfolio quality and the outreach of the MFI. We thus formulate the following Hypothesis 3. H3. The attenuating effect of effective alignment mechanisms will be stronger for privately owned MFIs than for not-for-profit MFIs. 3. Research design 3.1. Model The main question addressed in this study is whether incentive schemes and internal control systems limit agency conflicts between the MFI and the loan officer when the loan approval process is decentralized. Incentive schemes and internal control systems will be effective if the riskiness of the loan portfolio decreases or remains the same while outreach increases. To address this research question, we first model MFI performance (risk and outreach) as a cross-sectional function of the credit approval decision, internal control effectiveness, and human resource management effectiveness after controlling for some MFI-level variables, country-level variables, year fixed effects and heteroscedasticity. The estimated model is as follows:
MFI performance = α0 + αi Xi + βi Yi + γj ICVj + δt + ε,
(1)
where i indexes MFIs, j indexes country and t indexes year. Xi is the vector of our main MFI-specific variables: Loan officer approval, Governance effectiveness, Internal control effectiveness, and the cross products “Loan officer approval ∗ Governance effectiveness” and “Loan officer approval ∗ Internal control effectiveness”; Yi is the vector of other MFI-level variables: Profitability, Loan portfolio growth, Individual lending, and the cross product “Loan officer approval ∗ Individual lending,” and MFI ownership type. ICVj is the vector of country-level variables: the Kaufmann, Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2010) corruption index and GDP growth. δt is the year fixed effects and ε is the error term. To answer the question of whether the effects of governance effectiveness and internal control effectiveness when MFIs decentralize the loan approval process vary by MFI ownership type, we split the sample into two subgroups (for-profit MFIs versus not-for-profit MFIs) and reestimated Eq. (1) for each subgroup. 3.2. Variables 3.2.1. Dependent variables Our first dependent variable is MFI loan portfolio risk, which we measure by three indicators. The main indicator is the Portfolio at risk at 30 days, which measures the portion of the loan portfolio that is 30 days past due. For a robustness test, we use two alternative measures to proxy loan portfolio risk, namely, Write-offs ratio and Loan loss provision expenses. We use three outreach indicators as dependent variables. The main indicator is the Breadth of outreach, measured by the number of active borrowers. The second outreach indicator is the Yield on loan portfolio (real) which proxies the annualized interest rate charged on loans by MFIs (Cozarenco, Hudon, & Szafarz, 2016; Cull, Demirgüç-Kunt, & Morduch, 2007; D'Espallier et al., 2013). The third measure of outreach is the Depth of outreach, which measures the outreach to the poor. 4
Journal of Business Research 94 (2019) 1–17
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Table 1 Description of variables. Identity of variable
Definition and measurement
Outreach
Breadth of outreach
Yield on loan portfolio
Loan portfolio quality indicators
Depth of outreach Portfolio at risk 30 days
Write-off ratio
Loan loss provision expense ratio Decentralization
Loan officer approval
Type of loan contract
Credit committee approval Governance effectiveness Internal control effectiveness Individual lending
Profitability MFIs growth Ownership type
Return on assets Loan portfolio growth For-profit MFIs
Country level variables
Country corruption index
Governance ratings Internal control ratings
Country economic growth
Natural logarithm of the number of active borrowers Number of active borrowers (NAB) If NAB > 30,000, high outreach; If 10,000 ≤ NAB ≤ 30,000, medium outreach; if NAB < 10,000, low outreach (Yield on Gross Portfolio (nominal) − Inflation Rate) / (1 + Inflation Rate) Yield on Gross Portfolio = Interest and Fees on Loan Portfolio / Loan Portfolio Average loan size per borrower scaled by the per capita gross national income (GNI). (Outstanding Balance on Arrears over 30 days + Total Gross Outstanding Refinanced (restructured) Portfolio)/ Total Gross Portfolio Measurement of portfolio quality. It shows the part of the portfolio affected by outstanding payments when there is a risk that they might not be repaid. The threshold is < 10% given that financial guarantees in microfinance are not always sufficient. Write Offs/Loan Portfolio, gross, average Total amount of loans written off during the period. A write-off is an accounting procedure that removes the outstanding balance of the loan from the Loan Portfolio and from the Impairment Loss Allowance when these loans are recognized as uncollectable. Net loan loss provision expense/Average gross outstanding portfolio Net loan loss provision expense = Loan loss provision expense and write-off minus Recovery from Loans written off Dummy: 1 if loans are approved by the loan officer, and zero otherwise (the credit decision is taken at the branch committee level or at headquarter). Dummy: 1 if loans are approved by the MFI credit committee, and zero otherwise. Value comprised between 1 and 5; 5 being the highest (better governance). Value comprised between 1 and 5; 5 being the highest (better internal control). Individual loans as a percentage of the outstanding loan portfolio. Loan is granted to a single borrower. Net Operating Income/Assets, average Relative change of the gross loan portfolio Privately owned MFIs included microfinance banks and non-bank financial institutions (NBFI), Binary variable: 1 if the MFI is a privately owned MFI; 0 otherwise. Control of corruption from the World Governance Indicators (WGI): The index reflects perceptions of the extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including both petty and grand forms of corruption, as well as “capture” of the state by elites and private interests. Estimate of governance (ranges from approximately −2.5 (weak) to 2.5 (strong) governance performance). Source: Kaufmann et al. (2010); World Bank. Annual growth rate of the real GDP per capita
Table 2 MFIs sample distribution by region and year. This table provides the distribution of MFIs sample by region and by year. Panel A: MFIs distribution by region Region
Number of MFIs
% of the sample
Africa & Middle East Europe & Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean South Asia, East Asia & the Pacific Total
149 56 141 28 374
39.84 14.97 37.70 7.49 100
Panel B: MFIs distribution by year Year
Number of MFIs
% of sample
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Total
2 11 24 28 54 60 46 36 33 37 30 13 374
0.53 2.94 6.42 7.49 14.44 16.04 12.30 9.63 8.82 9.89 8.02 3.48 100.00
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Table 3 Summary statistics. This table displays summary statistics for the variables used in the regressions. We provide definitions of the variables in Table 1.
Portfolio at risk 30 days Loan Loss provision expense Write-off ratio Breadth of outreach Depth of outreach Yield on loan portfolio Loan officer approval Credit committee approval Governance effectiveness Internal control effectiveness Individual lending Profitability: return on assets Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth
Number of observation
Mean
Standard deviation
Minimum
Maximum
Median
373 367 326 374 322 343 374 374 374 374 371 374 334 374 373 373
0.05 0.02 0.03 21,983 0.75 0.38 0.52 0.28 3.43 3.37 0.61 0.03 0.50 0.38 −0.46 0.06
0.06 0.04 0.06 44,882 1.28 0.19 0.50 0.45 0.82 1.00 0.41 0.09 0.97 0.49 0.43 0.03
0.00 −0.19 0.00 23.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 −0.68 −0.74 0.00 −1.51 −0.05
0.45 0.34 0.56 477,267 9.52 1.10 1.00 1.00 5.00 5.00 1.00 0.52 15.94 1.00 1.47 0.17
0.03 0.01 0.01 10,284 0.32 0.33 1.00 0.00 3.00 3.00 0.84 0.03 0.35 0.00 −0.46 0.05
approval takes a value of 1 if the loan approval decision is made by the branch credit committee and 0 otherwise.
3.2.2. Explanatory variables Loan officer approval: When the allocation decision is decentralized, MFIs face at least two agency conflicts: (1) one between the MFI and the loan officer when he or she approves loans and (2) another one between headquarters and the branch when loans are approved at the branch level. We initially focused on the first agency conflict, the one between the MFI and the loan officer. To build the variable Loan officer approval, we conduct an exploratory study of rating reports to answer the question of whether the loan officer has decision-making authority or not. The exploratory analysis of rating reports enabled us to identify three situations. In the first situation, the loan officer has the authority to make the final credit approval decision. Resource allocation and information production are associated. Some cases, such as Benefit and Mikrofin in Bosnia & Herzegovina, Miselini in Mali, JV MFO Microinvest in Moldova and MFO Alliance in Georgia, illustrate this situation. For example, in the case of JV MFO Microinvest in Moldova, the loan officer approves loans up to US$7000. The loan approval process in this case is fully decentralized and the loan officer is the decision maker. In the second situation, the branch-level credit committee that comprises the branch manager and loan officers approves loans. Loan officers who act as an interface between the credit committee and borrowers produce information, and the final authority to approve loans rests with the credit committee. By participating in the credit committee at the branch level, it is more likely that the loan officer influences the credit decision. The loan approval in this case is semidecentralized, and the loan officer is associated with the loan approval decision. The case of JV MFO Microinvest in Moldova illustrates this situation. The branch credit committee approves loan of between US $7000 and US$30,000. In the third situation, the headquarters approves loans. The loan approval decision is centralized, that is, all loan applications are first completed by loan officers, reviewed by the branch manager, and then sent to the relevant officer at headquarters toward credit committee approval. Nor Horizon in Armenia, Nachala in Bulgaria, Narodnyi Kredit in Russia and LEAD in Egypt are illustrative cases of this third situation. We code the variable Loan officer approval as 1 if the loan officer both uses information production and also approves credit, and 0 otherwise. This corresponds to the first case described. As a robustness test for the decentralization of the loan approval decision, we use the alternative measure Branch-level credit committee approval stemming from the second situation described above, where the loan officer is associated with the loan approval decision taken at the branch level. In this case, the variable Branch-credit committee
3.2.2.1. Internal control effectiveness. We proxy the internal control system effectiveness using the aggregate scores provided by Planet Rating. Indeed, Planet Rating uses a five-point alphabetical rating scale (from e to a) to assess each of the main areas of rating: governance, information, risk management, activity, funding and liquidity, and efficiency. We thus measure the effectiveness of MFI internal control systems using the risk management ratings provided by Planet Rating. The risk management ratings cover three main areas: risk management systems, internal controls and procedures, and internal audits. We match the ratings (e to a) with values between 1 and 5, with the value of 1 corresponding to grade e, 2 for grade d, 3 for grade c, 4 for grade b, and 5 for grade a. The higher the value the better the perceived effectiveness of the MFI's risk management and internal control system. 3.2.2.2. Governance effectiveness. Here also, we use Planet Rating governance effectiveness scores as a proxy for the effectiveness of human resource management. The corporate governance score provided by Planet Rating, in addition to the effectiveness of the governance structure and decision-making processes, captures the relevance of the strategy, the effectiveness of the management team and the effectiveness of human resource management practices (notably the recruitment process, training of loan officers and existence of a well-designed and motivating remuneration scheme). The governance effectiveness score is measured on the same scale as the internal control system and takes values between 1 and 5, with 5 being the highest value (better governance). 3.2.3. Other control variables MFIs use either individual loan contracts or joint liability contracts, which consist of group solidarity lending and village banking lending. Following previous studies that link the choice of joint liability contract to MFI social efficiency and loan portfolio quality (Cull et al., 2007; Mersland & Strøm, 2009; Tchakoute Tchuigoua, 2012), we account for the type of lending contract applied by the MFI. We include Individual lending as an indicator of MFI lending methodology, and the cross product “Individual lending ∗ Loan officer approval” to assess whether loan decentralization influences the effect of the lending methodology on MFIs' risk and outreach. We measure Individual lending as average loan size approved under individual loan contracts as a percentage of the overall gross loan portfolio. Because of the lack and insufficiency of data, we were unable to account for the loans granted by product type (consumption loans, micro-enterprise loans) or by industry (agricultural loans, services loans, trade loans and manufacturing loans). 6
Journal of Business Research 94 (2019) 1–17
1.00 −0.14⁎⁎
Corruption index
1.00 0.04 0.01
For profit MFIs Loan portfolio growth
Data used in this study comes from two different sources. Our main source of data is Planet Rating's website (www.planetrating.org). Organizational structure data, such as governance, internal control and loan approval decisions, and also other MFIs level variables, come from assessment reports produced by Planet Rating, a rating agency specialized in rating microfinance institutions. We chose Planet Rating data for at least two reasons. First, alternative data sources such as the Microfinance Information Exchange (MIX) database do not enable us to gather core and useful data to conduct this kind of study on the choice of decentralized versus centralized loan approval decisions, the effectiveness of internal MFI control systems, and the effectiveness of MFI governance practices. Planet Rating reports provide detailed information about the loan approval process and MFI organizational structure. Second, among rating agencies specialized in MFI ratings, Planet Rating seems to be the only rater that assigns scores to each of the areas assessed. Indeed, Planet Rating, through its GIRAFE (governance, information, risk management, activity, funding and liquidity, efficiency) methodology rates and assigns scores to internal MFI control systems (risk management) and governance practice effectiveness (including human resources management). Rating reports for rated MFIs between 2003 and 2015 are available on the Planet Rating website.3 During the 2003–2015 period, we count about 435 rating reports available on the Planet Rating website. However, we were unable to extract some of the reports because they remained confidential and were not freely available, specifically, recent rating reports published between 2013 and 2015. Additionally, some other rating reports by Planet Rating were not available on the website of Planet Rating. The Rating Fund website (www.ratingfund2.org) enables us to exploit assessment reports produced by Planet Rating but unavailable on the Planet Rating website, such as rating reports during the period 2001–2003, and thus complements data gathered from the Planet Rating website. We exclude rating reports in which precise information about the loan approval process was missing. We end up with a final sample comprised of 374 assessment reports for 280 MFIs in 70 countries from 2001 to 2012. Country-level data come from the World Bank's World Development Indicators (WDI)4 and Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI)5 databases. Table 2 presents the distributions of the sample by region (panel A) and by year (panel B). As panel A of the table shows, the sample includes MFIs from the following four main regions: Africa and the Middle East (149 rating reports); Eastern Europe and Central Asia (56 rating reports); Latin America and the Caribbean (141 rating reports); South Asia, East Asia, and the Pacific (28 rating reports).
1.00 0.02 −0.04 0.11⁎⁎ 0.03
Profitability
1.00 0.02 −0.06 0.16⁎⁎⁎
3.3. Sample
0.11⁎⁎ 0.10⁎⁎ −0.02 0.28⁎⁎⁎ 0.16⁎⁎⁎ −0.08
3
www.planetrating.com/FR/rating-girafe.html. http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators. 5 http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.asp. 4
⁎⁎
⁎
p < 0.10. p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
0.14 0.14⁎⁎⁎ −0.05 0.25⁎⁎⁎ 0.15⁎⁎⁎ −0.07 0.00 0.05 0.09 −0.04 0.10⁎ −0.15⁎⁎⁎
−0.08 −0.03 −0.04 0.01 −0.04 0.14⁎⁎⁎
⁎⁎⁎
1.00 0.04 0.09⁎
Loan officer approval Credit committee approval Governance effectiveness Internal control system effectiveness Individual lending profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth
1.00 −0.66⁎⁎⁎ 0.02 −0.02
1.00 0.69⁎⁎⁎
1.00
1.00 0.01 0.02 0.15⁎⁎⁎ 0.04 −0.03
Individual lending Internal control system effectiveness Governance effectiveness Credit committee approval Loan officer approval
Table 4 Correlation matrix. This table presents the Pearson matrix of the explanatory variables used in the regressions. We provide definitions of the variables in Table 1.
Ownership type: We measure Ownership type as a dummy that takes a value of 1 if the MFI is profit-oriented (for-profit) and zero otherwise. Profit-oriented MFIs include microfinance banks and nonbank financial institutions (NBFI) (Tchakoute Tchuigoua, 2010). We measure Profitability as the return on assets (ROA) and include Loan portfolio growth to account for the growth of the MFI. Country-specific variables: Based on previous country case studies (Patten, Rosengard, & Johnston Jr., 2001) and existing empirical papers such as Ahlin, Lin, and Maio (2011), who associated country macroeconomic conditions with MFI social performance and efficiency, we control for the country's economic growth or economic performance (GDP growth measured as the growth rate of the real per capita GDP). We also control for the institutional framework using the Country corruption index. Table 1 summarizes and describes the variables used in the study.
1.00
Annual GDP growth
H. Tchakoute-Tchuigoua, I. Soumaré
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Table 5a Baseline results. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with risk measures as dependent variables. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row. Governance effectiveness
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness
Internal control system effectiveness
Portfolio at risk at 30 days
Write-offs ratio
Loan loss provision
Portfolio at risk at 30 days
Write-offs ratio
Loan loss provision
−0.0762⁎⁎ (−2.041) −0.0315⁎⁎⁎ (−3.671) 0.0201⁎⁎ (2.062)
−0.0717⁎⁎ (−2.493) −0.0188⁎⁎⁎ (−2.973) 0.0200⁎⁎⁎ (2.755)
−0.00345 (−0.168) −0.00191 (−0.378) −0.000168 (−0.0308)
−0.0455⁎ (−1.693)
−0.0392 (−1.498)
−0.00160 (−0.0756)
−0.0210⁎⁎⁎ (−3.433) 0.0110 (1.599) 0.0168⁎⁎ (2.564) 0.000206 (0.925) −0.182⁎⁎⁎ (−5.325) 0.00585 (1.055) −0.000181 (−0.0305) 0.0111 (1.534) −0.138 (−1.419) 0.105⁎⁎⁎ (3.691) Yes 330 0.224 0.171 10.84
−0.0123⁎⁎⁎ (−2.909) 0.0107 (1.610) −0.00899 (−0.954) −0.000354 (−1.509) −0.165⁎⁎⁎ (−3.466) −0.00110 (−0.585) 0.00210 (0.329) 0.00789 (1.194) −0.134 (−0.865) 0.0720⁎⁎⁎ (3.304) Yes 319 0.193 0.136 .
−0.00715 (−1.633) −0.000808 (−0.147) 0.000516 (0.112) −0.0000129 (−0.0604) −0.139⁎⁎⁎ (−3.086) 0.00494⁎⁎⁎ (3.891) 0.0117⁎⁎ (2.399) 0.00891⁎ (1.801) −0.123 (−1.302) 0.0504⁎⁎ (2.495) Yes 328 0.202 0.147 5.069
Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons Year fixed effects Number of observations R-sq Adj. R-sq F
0.0181⁎⁎⁎ (2.743) 0.0000986 (0.405) −0.180⁎⁎⁎ (−5.604) 0.00513 (1.099) −0.000993 (−0.169) 0.0118 (1.555) −0.115 (−1.177) 0.142⁎⁎⁎ (3.928) Yes 330 0.241 0.189 10.55
−0.00842 (−0.923) −0.000374 (−1.629) −0.166⁎⁎⁎ (−3.504) −0.00155 (−0.896) 0.00162 (0.260) 0.00730 (1.057) −0.115 (−0.759) 0.0893⁎⁎⁎ (3.168) Yes 319 0.199 0.142 .
−0.000416 (−0.0861) −0.0000231 (−0.103) −0.144⁎⁎⁎ (−3.102) 0.00494⁎⁎⁎ (3.356) 0.00848⁎ (1.752) 0.00748 (1.524) −0.110 (−1.143) 0.0245 (1.131) Yes 328 0.173 0.117 10.25
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
4. Empirical results and discussion
4.2. Multivariate analysis
4.1. Summary statistics
The distribution of MFIs per year, given in panel B of Table 2, shows that the data structure looks like a panel in that the data is observed over 12 years (from 2001 to 2012). However, the sample size is not the same from one year to another, and the data contains different statistical units at different points in time. The data structure is thus an independently pooled cross-section (IPCS). No MFI renewed its rating 12 times during the sample period. Among the 280 MFIs in our sample, only two MFIs renewed their ratings four times; five MFIs renewed three times; nine MFIs renewed twice; and finally only 53 MFIs renewed once. Therefore, we use the pooled sample robust OLS estimation technique with controls for year effects as suggested by Wooldridge (2010). Tables 5a and 5b report the results of the pooled OLS with robust standard errors and control for year fixed effects for the whole sample. We assess whether governance effectiveness and a better internal control system mitigate agency problems within an MFI, especially when the MFI decentralizes the loan approval process. We assess the effect of these mitigating instruments on risk (portfolio at risk 30 days) and outreach (breadth of outreach). The table also presents results for the alternative risk measures (write-off ratio and loan loss provision) and the alternative outreach measures (yield on loan portfolio and depth of outreach). The results show that allowing the loan officer to have decisionmaking authority has a significant reducing effect on portfolio risk, and
Summary statistics presented in Table 3 show that the average value of loans over 30 days past due is 0.05, below the 0.1 threshold (Bruett, 2005). We can conclude that our sample loan portfolio is healthy. In 52% of the cases, the loan officer approves loans. Our sample average governance effectiveness exhibits a value of 3.43, indicating that the MFIs in our sample obtain a governance rating grade between c and b. The average value of internal control system ratings is 3.37, indicating that the average sample grade is also between c and b. On average, outstanding individual loans account for 61% of loans granted by MFIs. Privately owned MFIs (NBFIs and microfinance banks) represent 38% of the observations. Prior to estimations, we assessed the presence of multicollinearity among our explanatory variables by computing the correlation between our variables (Table 4). Our diagnostic reveals that, except for the correlation between ratings of governance effectiveness and the internal control effectiveness (r = 0.69; p < 0.01) and the correlation between loan officer approval and branch credit committee approval (r = −0.66; p < 0.01), the intensity of the relationship among the other explanatory variables is relatively weak. To avoid multicollinearity, we include the indicators of governance effectiveness and internal control effectiveness separately in the regressions.
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Table 5b Baseline results. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with outreach measures as dependent variables. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row. Governance effectiveness
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness
Internal control system effectiveness
Breadth of outreach
Yield on loan portfolio
Depth of outreach
Breadth of outreach
Yield on loan portfolio
Depth of outreach
2.978⁎⁎⁎ (4.626) 1.024⁎⁎⁎ (7.251) −0.656⁎⁎⁎ (−3.700)
−0.186⁎⁎ (−2.077) −0.0282 (−1.423) 0.0506⁎⁎ (2.109)
0.508 (0.655) −0.306⁎⁎ (−2.002) −0.102 (−0.515)
1.985⁎⁎⁎ (3.876)
−0.112 (−1.537)
0.176 (0.320)
0.736⁎⁎⁎ (6.163) −0.362⁎⁎ (−2.517) −1.049⁎⁎⁎ (−5.949) 0.00425 (0.729) 1.047 (1.518) −0.156⁎⁎⁎ (−2.839) −0.000421 (−0.00270) −0.270 (−1.490) −3.960 (−1.374) 7.116⁎⁎⁎ (12.74) Yes 331 0.299 0.251 9.765
−0.0202 (−1.315) 0.0300 (1.550) −0.113⁎⁎⁎ (−4.163) 0.00138⁎ (1.779) −0.0438 (−0.276) 0.0387⁎⁎⁎ (3.524) 0.0296 (1.391) 0.0299 (1.582) −0.806⁎⁎ (−2.077) 0.584⁎⁎⁎ (7.888) Yes 329 0.187 0.132 8.254
−0.219⁎⁎ (−2.103) −0.0153 (−0.109) 1.156⁎⁎⁎ (6.587) −0.00251 (−0.889) −0.564 (−0.580) −0.0308 (−0.888) 0.168 (1.243) −0.266 (−1.273) −1.395 (−0.499) 1.828⁎⁎⁎ (3.985) Yes 309 0.224 0.167 .
Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons Year fixed effects N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
−1.082⁎⁎⁎ (−6.134) 0.00776 (1.206) 1.039 (1.489) −0.133⁎⁎⁎ (−3.116) 0.0542 (0.356) −0.275 (−1.631) −4.825⁎ (−1.669) 6.172⁎⁎⁎ (9.593) Yes 331 0.303 0.256 12.09
−0.113⁎⁎⁎ (−4.178) 0.00145⁎ (1.872) −0.0492 (−0.311) 0.0379⁎⁎⁎ (3.214) 0.0282 (1.352) 0.0260 (1.383) −0.772⁎⁎ (−1.986) 0.598⁎⁎⁎ (6.662) Yes 329 0.192 0.137 7.961
1.181⁎⁎⁎ (6.740) −0.00519 (−1.613) −0.355 (−0.410) −0.0373 (−1.127) 0.178 (1.318) −0.218 (−1.045) −1.637 (−0.587) 2.389⁎⁎⁎ (3.945) Yes 309 0.246 0.191 .
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
adequately. The implementation of good governance (better human resource management) practices and internal control systems, perceived as effective, improves the social performance of the MFIs (outreach) while mitigating portfolio quality deterioration. Analyzing the cross product of the loan approval variable and governance or internal control indicators, our results show that better governance quality and internal control systems improve MFI efficiency in selecting borrowers, and hence improve outreach. Indeed, we observe that better governance and internal control systems have an attenuation effect on credit expansion when the loan officer approves loans, which explains why the effect on risk is non-significant or reducing. This result suggests that the implementation of appropriate performance pay, audits, and incentive schemes constrains the loan officer's behavior, limiting the risk of selecting bad borrowers, thereby improving the quality of screening. This evidence thus supports Hypothesis 2. Providing the loan officer with incentives such as performance-based pay and putting in place an effective internal control system may contribute to aligning the interest of the institution with the loan officer's interest when loan approval decisions are decentralized. This result is in line with the governance literature (Berger & Udell, 2002; Stein, 2002) and BCBS (2010) and Jeon and Menicucci (2011). For further analysis and to test Hypothesis 3, we divide our sample by ownership type to explore whether the effects differ depending on the commercial orientation of the MFIs. Tables 6a and 6b present the regression results by ownership type (profit-oriented MFIs versus not-
thus has a positive effect on the quality of the loan portfolio. However, this effect is only observed for two of those measures (portfolio at risk 30 days and write-offs ratio). The effect on the MFIs' outreach is positive and significant. Indeed, the relationship between decentralization of loan approval and the breadth of outreach is positive and significant in the governance and internal control models, suggesting that access to credit is greater in MFIs when the loan officer approves loans. This is confirmed when we use the alternative outreach measure, the yield on loan portfolio. This finding is consistent with Hypothesis 1a and seems to support the assumption that proximity improves financial inclusion and access to loan (Allen et al., 2014; Allen et al., 2016; Brown et al., 2016). In addition, the effect on the quality of the portfolio is positive for the two risk measures portfolio at risk 30 days and write-offs, and non-significant for the risk measure loan loss provision. Therefore, the quality of the loan portfolio is either not affected or improves, thus supporting Hypothesis 1.b. This result suggests that decentralizing loan approval decisions or allocating decision-making authority to the loan officer increases the outreach but does not necessarily alter the loan portfolio quality, especially when there are better governance mechanisms and internal control systems in place. The deterioration of the loan portfolio quality that may have resulted from credit expansion to more borrowers, in our sample, is mitigated by the effectiveness of the governance mechanism and the effectiveness of the internal control system. These findings support Aubert et al. (2009) and Labie et al. (2015), who show that setting up these incentives may enable loan officers to select borrowers 9
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Table 6a Ownership type results. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with the loan portfolio at risk at 30 days measures as dependent variable. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row.
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons Year fixed effects N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
For profit MFIs
Not for profit MFIs
−0.0109 (−0.179) −0.0148 (−1.026) 0.00512 (0.305)
−0.116⁎⁎ (−2.255) −0.0395⁎⁎⁎ (−3.603) 0.0345⁎⁎ (2.461)
−0.0201 (−0.305)
Table 6b Ownership type results. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with Breadth of outreach as dependent variable. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row.
−0.0566⁎ (−1.722)
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending
−0.0208⁎⁎⁎ (−3.018) 0.0170⁎ (1.957)
−0.0224 (−1.393) 0.00766 (0.430)
0.0211 (1.494) −0.0301 (−1.168)
0.0245⁎ (1.683) −0.0338 (−1.362)
0.0263⁎⁎⁎ (3.080) 0.000306⁎ (1.687)
0.0243⁎⁎⁎ (2.867) 0.000450⁎⁎⁎ (2.627)
−0.150⁎⁎ (−2.617) −0.00920 (−1.549) 0.0114 (0.961) −0.143 (−1.224) 0.149⁎⁎ (2.272) Yes 129 0.252 0.121 .
−0.155⁎⁎ (−2.345) −0.0105⁎ (−1.795) 0.0111 (0.961) −0.161 (−1.430) 0.196⁎⁎⁎ (2.673) Yes 129 0.295 0.172
−0.209⁎⁎⁎ (−4.706) 0.00740⁎⁎ (2.355) 0.0150⁎ (1.688) −0.0487 (−0.308) 0.151⁎⁎⁎ (3.319) Yes 201 0.311 0.235 17.74
−0.216⁎⁎⁎ (−4.657) 0.00862⁎⁎ (2.176) 0.0171⁎ (1.786) −0.0707 (−0.443) 0.0869⁎⁎⁎ (2.686) Yes 201 0.270 0.189 15.68
Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons Year fixed effects N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
For profit MFIs
Not for profit MFIs
3.685⁎⁎⁎ (3.855) 1.066⁎⁎⁎ (4.556) −1.027⁎⁎⁎ (−3.738)
2.062⁎⁎ (2.430) 0.988⁎⁎⁎ (5.305) −0.392 (−1.600)
0.452 (0.451)
2.266⁎⁎⁎ (3.580)
0.850⁎⁎⁎ (6.050) −0.464⁎⁎ (−2.494)
0.340 (1.596) −0.0788 (−0.287)
−1.395⁎⁎⁎ (−3.182) 0.974⁎ (1.682)
−1.235⁎⁎⁎ (−2.722) 0.636 (1.102)
−1.132⁎⁎⁎ (−5.055) 0.00513 (0.697)
−1.140⁎⁎⁎ (−5.096) −0.00120 (−0.179)
0.823 (0.857) −0.0531 (−0.235) −0.288 (−0.939) −2.240 (−0.556) 5.707⁎⁎⁎ (4.952) Yes 129 0.291 0.168 .
0.128 (0.117) −0.0422 (−0.175) −0.283 (−0.807) −0.730 (−0.175) 7.894⁎⁎⁎ (6.948) Yes 129 0.205 0.066 .
1.234 (1.091) −0.134⁎⁎⁎ (−2.997) −0.224 (−0.963) −9.587⁎ (−1.953) 6.307⁎⁎⁎ (8.061) Yes 202 0.386 0.318 14.04
1.238 (1.177) −0.172⁎⁎⁎ (−4.415) −0.314 (−1.248) −9.097⁎ (−1.949) 6.997⁎⁎⁎ (9.903) Yes 202 0.419 0.355 14.40
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
for-profit MFIs). This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with robust standard errors and controls for year fixed effects. We assess whether the effect of better internal control systems and better human resource management on MFI performance – in terms of loan portfolio quality (panel A) and outreach (panel B) – differ by ownership type when the loan approval process is decentralized. The results in this table show that loan approval decentralization has a positive effect on the outreach of not-for-profit as well as profitoriented MFIs (panel B). Moreover, as in the full sample case, having effective governance mechanisms and internal control systems in place has an attenuating effect on a powerful loan officer's impact on MFI outreach in both subgroups (profit-oriented MFIs and not-for-profit MFIs). However, the interaction effect between the loan officer approval and the governance effectiveness is significant only among profit-oriented MFIs, whereas the cross product loan officer approval ∗ Internal control effectiveness is significant only among notfor-profit oriented organizations. As for the loan portfolio quality (panel A), we find significant differences across MFI ownership types with respect to the direct impact of loan approval decentralization. Indeed, loan approval decentralization reduces risk only among the not-for-profit MFIs, whereas its coefficient is non-significant in the profit-oriented subgroup. Effective governance and internal control systems significantly improve not-for-profit MFIs' loan portfolio quality; the coefficients are not significant in the forprofit MFIs subgroup. Thus, in nonprofit-oriented MFIs and profit-
oriented MFIs, although loan approval decentralization increases MFI outreach, it does not alter the loan portfolio quality. The existence of effective governance mechanisms and internal control systems even contributes to significantly reducing loan portfolio risk in not-for-profit microfinance organizations. Hence, with respect to our third hypothesis (H3), we find the effectiveness of incentive controls and governance mechanisms to positively impact both nonprofit MFIs and for-profit MFIs, with no specific attenuating intensity for profit-oriented MFIs as posit by our hypothesis. The other control variables have the expected signs. For instance, individual lending, as opposed to joint liability contracts, reduces the outreach and the portfolio quality, and more so among not-for-profit MFIs. The presence of a loan officer with loan authorization power tends to slightly reduce (10% significance level) the negative impact of individual loan contracts on outreach in for-profit oriented MFIs. Therefore, joint liability contracts can be effective as risk management tools in MFIs. Profitability, measured by the return on assets (ROA), significantly reduces the loan portfolio risk and has no significant impact on outreach. High loan portfolio growth reduces portfolio quality and outreach in not-for-profit MFIs. High levels of corruption discourage the MFI from allocating credit to more borrowers and are detrimental to portfolio quality, especially among not-for-profit oriented MFIs. Finally, GDP growth improves the loan portfolio quality, and corruption worsens it.
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Table 7a Robustness checks. Analyzing the crisis effect. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with portfolio at risk at 30 days as dependent variable. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row.
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness
Pre-crisis period Y01–Y06
Crisis period Y07–Y09
Post-crisis period Y10–Y12
Pre-crisis period Y01–Y06
Crisis period Y07–Y09
Post-crisis period Y10–Y12
−0.0786 (−1.443) −0.0356⁎⁎⁎ (−2.644) 0.0209 (1.491)
0.0590 (1.177) -0.00593 (−0.570) −0.0172 (−1.359)
−0.214⁎⁎ (−2.288) −0.0543⁎⁎ (−2.151) 0.0553⁎⁎ (2.119)
−0.0540 (−1.343)
−0.0189 (−0.323)
−0.106 (−1.511)
−0.0189⁎⁎ (−2.257) 0.0126 (1.367) 0.0205 (1.419) −0.00179 (−0.100) −0.162⁎⁎⁎ (−3.518) 0.00838⁎⁎⁎ (2.911) −0.0136⁎⁎ (−2.149) 0.0129 (1.018) 0.0622 (0.395) 0.109⁎⁎ (2.403) 154 0.238 0.184 5.315
−0.0238 (−1.572) 0.00409 (0.264) 0.00812 (0.683) 0.000642⁎⁎⁎ (4.127) −0.190⁎⁎ (−2.517) −0.0158⁎ (−1.666) 0.0180 (1.477) 0.0159 (1.344) −0.194 (−1.372) 0.140⁎⁎ (2.374) 99 0.286 0.205 6.147
−0.0391⁎ (−1.788) 0.0267 (1.292) 0.0338 (1.136) 0.00532 (0.172) −0.0993⁎⁎ (−2.444) −0.0339 (−1.603) −0.000223 (−0.0194) −0.00488 (−0.389) −0.0779 (−0.346) 0.184⁎⁎⁎ (2.671) 76 0.224 0.104 5.486
Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
0.0269⁎⁎ (2.083) −0.00394 (−0.236) −0.145⁎⁎⁎ (−3.403) 0.00722⁎⁎⁎ (3.064) −0.0106⁎ (−1.660) 0.0171 (1.256) 0.127 (0.859) 0.157⁎⁎⁎ (2.699) 154 0.288 0.238 6.438
0.00605 (0.514) 0.000529⁎⁎⁎ (2.853) −0.188⁎⁎⁎ (−2.786) −0.0177 (−1.614) 0.0170 (1.330) 0.0201⁎ (1.663) −0.181 (−1.289) 0.0840⁎ (1.838) 99 0.253 0.168 4.978
0.0360 (1.227) 0.00722 (0.233) −0.0872⁎⁎ (−2.233) −0.0167 (−1.241) −0.00293 (−0.253) −0.00454 (−0.367) −0.0347 (−0.170) 0.236⁎⁎ (2.643) 76 0.294 0.186 4.379
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
(2010−2012). The results provided in Tables 7a and 7b show that there are differing results depending on the sub-period considered. Indeed, the results for the pre-crisis period and the post-crisis period are consistent with our findings above for the whole sample period. However, over the crisis period, effective governance mechanisms and internal control systems had positive impacts on outreach, and no significant effect on portfolio risk. Thus, overall, our results are robust even after controlling for the crisis effects, since the results show that loan officer approval and effective governance mechanisms and internal control systems increase outreach without reducing portfolio quality. We were expecting this, because no special behaviors were observed in terms of the coefficients of the year dummies for the crisis years in the full sample regressions presented in Tables 5a and 5b above.
4.3. Robustness checks 4.3.1. Use of alternative portfolio quality and outreach measures To strengthen the validity and robustness of our results, we conducted a number of robustness analyses. First, we use two alternative loan portfolio quality or risk measures in addition to our main risk measure, portfolio at risk 30 days, namely write-offs ratio and loan loss provisions. Using these two additional risk measures to run our regressions does not contradict our main findings mentioned above and shown in Tables 5a and 5b. Indeed, we find similar signs for the coefficients of the write-offs ratio measure as in the case of our main risk measure, portfolio at risk 30 days. With the loan loss provisions variable, although the coefficients of interest are not significant, the findings do not contradict our results. As alternative measures for outreach, we use the yield on loan portfolio, measured as the total interest and fees on the gross loan portfolio, and the depth of outreach, obtained as the average loan size per borrower scaled by the per capita gross national income (GNI). The results obtained and presented in Tables 5a and 5b are consistent with previous findings. In sum, granting loan approval authority to the loan officer combined with effective governance mechanisms and internal control systems increases MFI outreach without jeopardizing loan portfolio quality.
4.3.3. Controlling for selection bias and endogeneity Third, we control for the endogeneity of governance and internal control ratings, and of the loan approval decentralization. Indeed, only using data on rated MFIs in our study can create potential selection bias, in that ratings are only assigned if the MFI decides to be rated. The same holds for loan approval decentralization, as this can be a selfselection phenomenon. Hence one may argue that only MFIs that are confident about the indicators covered in the rating will go for a rating; and, those only feeling strongly about governance mechanisms and internal control will implement them effectively. Therefore, pooled OLS estimations may yield biased and inconsistent results. To address the selection bias and endogeneity issues, we implement the two-step procedure developed by Heckman (1979). In the first step of this procedure, we estimate two probit selection models (a rating
4.3.2. Controlling for the 2007–2009 crisis period effect Second, to control for the potential effect of the 2007–2009 crisis period, we split the sample into three subsamples: the pre-crisis period (2001–2006), the crisis period 2007–2009 and the post-crisis period 11
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Table 7b Analyzing the crisis effect. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with Breadth of outreach as dependent variable. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row.
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness
Pre-crisis period Y01–Y06
Crisis period Y07–Y09
Post-crisis period Y10–Y12
Pre-crisis period Y01–Y06
Crisis period Y07–Y09
Post-crisis period Y10–Y12
2.886⁎⁎⁎ (3.719) 1.102⁎⁎⁎ (5.944) −0.671⁎⁎⁎ (−2.847)
1.746 (1.440) 0.816⁎⁎⁎ (2.645) −0.342 (−0.944)
3.449⁎ (1.818) 1.198⁎⁎⁎ (3.934) −1.004⁎⁎ (−2.168)
1.857⁎⁎⁎ (2.682)
1.264 (1.228)
2.606 (1.616)
0.644⁎⁎⁎ (4.313) −0.338⁎ (−1.790) −0.663⁎ (−1.773) 0.111 (0.226) 0.0573 (0.0500) −0.165⁎⁎⁎ (−3.741) 0.220 (0.922) −0.0794 (−0.313) −5.290 (−1.253) 6.936⁎⁎⁎ (11.31) 154 0.314 0.266 11.19
0.662⁎⁎ (2.458) −0.168 (−0.501) −1.340⁎⁎⁎ (−4.564) 0.00558 (1.010) 1.439 (1.070) 0.0667 (0.318) −0.321 (−1.083) −0.144 (−0.411) 0.996 (0.270) 7.266⁎⁎⁎ (8.085) 100 0.308 0.230 9.740
1.128⁎⁎⁎ (3.976) −0.813⁎ (−1.954) −2.297⁎⁎⁎ (−4.477) 1.582⁎⁎ (2.079) 0.313 (0.174) −0.0255 (−0.0593) −0.143 (−0.421) −0.962⁎⁎ (−2.625) −3.963 (−0.621) 6.235⁎⁎⁎ (4.956) 76 0.356 0.256 7.645
Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
−0.861⁎⁎ (−2.247) 0.199 (0.398) −0.265 (−0.234) −0.127⁎⁎⁎ (−3.219) 0.188 (0.805) −0.170 (−0.806) −7.679⁎ (−1.778) 5.678⁎⁎⁎ (9.024) 154 0.358 0.313 16.44
−1.306⁎⁎⁎ (−4.314) 0.00848 (1.576) 1.635 (1.281) 0.111 (0.540) −0.225 (−0.816) −0.180 (−0.548) 0.668 (0.192) 6.606⁎⁎⁎ (5.544) 100 0.297 0.217 10.32
−2.191⁎⁎⁎ (−4.098) 1.453⁎ (1.838) 0.0587 (0.0277) −0.480 (−1.298) −0.0989 (−0.302) −0.973⁎⁎ (−2.586) −4.310 (−0.697) 5.907⁎⁎⁎ (4.557) 76 0.364 0.267 4.711
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
choice decision model and a loan approval decentralization decision model) with robust standard errors. Ideally, controlling for the endogeneity of corporate governance effectiveness and internal control systems requires building a control sample. To do that, we use a control sample of 561 MFI-year observations from 59 unrated MFIs with unbalanced and reliable data, over 2001–2012. This sample was extracted from the MIX database. Only MFIs rated four diamonds or higher by the MIX are considered. Financial statements in this category are certified by auditors, and for some of them, by the Big Four accounting firms (PwC, KPMG, Ernst & Young, and Deloitte). Based on the existing literature on rating choice (Adams, Burton, & Hardwick, 2003; Hartarska & Nadolnyak, 2008), we model the rating as a function of some MFI-specific characteristics, such as maturity (proxied by age), size of the loan portfolio, number of active borrowers, asset size, performance, ownership type and portfolio risk. The estimated probit rating decision model is as follows:
Loan approval decentralization decision = β0 + β1 ln(Assets) + β2 Average loan size per borrower + β3 Depth of outreach + β4 Cooperatives + β5 Privately owned + β6 Group lending + β7 Village banking lending + β8 Annual GDP growth + ε.
We use the results of Eqs. (2) and (3) to compute the inverse Mills ratios (IMR), which we introduced as control variables in Eq. (4) below to control for selection bias and endogeneity effects. We then obtain the following model:
MFI performance = α0 + αi Xi + βi Yi + γj ICVj + IMR + δt + ε,
(4)
where i indexes MFIs, j indexes country and t indexes year. Xi is the vector of our main MFI-specific variables and Yi is the vector of other MFI-level variables described previously in Section 3. ICVj is the vector of country-level variables, δt is the year fixed effects and ε is the error term. The results for Eqs. (2) and (3) are reported in Table 8 (stage 1). We observe that the chi-squared are statistically significant, which suggests that the decisions to seek the rating or to decentralize the loan approval decision are significantly associated with age of MFI, outstanding loans, MFI ownership type, number of active borrowers, asset size, ROA, portfolio risk, average loan size per borrower, depth of outreach and economic performance, and therefore support the findings of previous studies in microfinance (Hartarska & Nadolnyak, 2008; Tchakoute Tchuigoua, 2012). We use the results of Eqs. (2) and (3) to compute the inverse Mills ratios, which we introduced as control variables in Eq. (4)
Rating decision = β0 + β1 Age + β2 Gross loan portfolio + β3 Portfolio at risk 30 days + β4 ROA + β5 Cooperatives + β6 Privately owned + β7 ln(Active borrowers) + ε.
(3)
(2)
To estimate the loan approval decentralization decision model, we follow Berger and Udell (2002), Stein (2002), Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, and Martinez-Piera (2011) and Berger, Klapper, Martinez-Piera, and Zaidi (2008) who consider variables such as size and ownership type, and country macroeconomic variables, as determinants of the choice to decentralize the loan approval process. The estimated probit decentralization decision model is as follows: 12
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Table 8 Results of the Heckman two steps procedure estimation. Controlling for the endogeneity of ratings and Loan decentralization to the loan officer. Stage 1.A. Estimation of the probit rating decision model with robust standard errors. Dependent variable: rating decision
Coefficients
t-Stat
⁎⁎⁎
Constant Age (maturity) Gross loan portfolio Portfolio at risk at 30 days Return on assets (profitability) Ln (active borrowers) Cooperative Privately owned Pseudo R2 Chi2 Log-likelihood value Number of observations
9.50 −6.55 −4.53 −1.68 3.30 −5.41 3.68 −2.09
3.47 −0.49⁎⁎⁎ −1.51⁎⁎⁎ −0.97⁎ 2.09⁎⁎ −0.13⁎⁎⁎ 0.61⁎⁎⁎ −0.20⁎⁎ 14.15% 154.25⁎⁎⁎ −515.0896 881
Stage 1 B. Estimation of the probit loan approval decision model with robust standard errors. Dependent variable: the choice of decentralization
Coefficients
t-Stat
Constant Size Cooperative Privately-owned Average loan size per borrower Depth of outreach Group lending Village banking lending Annual GDP growth Pseudo R2 Chi2 Log-likelihood value Number of observations
0.28 0.31⁎⁎⁎ 0.76⁎⁎⁎ 0.23 −0.24⁎⁎ 0.02⁎⁎ 0.20 0.18 5.07⁎ 12.31% 44.79⁎⁎⁎ −191.51457 316
0.33 4.36 3.13 1.28 −2.07 2.38 0.65 0.62 1.79
Stage 2.A Governance effectiveness
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness
Internal control system effectiveness
Portfolio at risk at 30 days
Write-offs ratio
Loan loss provision
Portfolio at risk at 30 days
Write-offs ratio
Loan loss provision
−0.0220 (−0.690) −0.0187⁎⁎⁎ (−2.823) 0.00571 (0.685)
−0.0495 (−1.456) −0.0149⁎ (−1.907) 0.0137⁎ (1.658)
−0.00667 (−0.311) −0.00452 (−0.831) 0.000838 (0.147)
−0.00978 (−0.383)
−0.0208 (−0.726)
−0.00359 (−0.146)
−0.0126⁎⁎ (−2.253) 0.00171 (0.250) 0.0169⁎⁎⁎ (2.606) 0.000184 (0.892) −0.196⁎⁎⁎ (−4.373) 0.00695 (1.387) −0.0000913 (−0.0149) 0.00920 (1.313) −0.148 (−1.370) 0.00524 (0.552) 0.00100 (0.0825) 0.0683⁎⁎⁎ (3.083) Yes 304
−0.00955⁎ (−1.914) 0.00543 (0.784) −0.00641 (−0.685) −0.000327 (−1.200) −0.141⁎⁎⁎ (−3.227) −0.00138 (−0.611) 0.00290 (0.414) 0.00926 (1.458) −0.0947 (−0.516) 0.0121 (0.855) −0.00375 (−0.476) 0.0527⁎⁎ (2.158) Yes 292
−0.0108⁎⁎ (−2.037) −0.000459 (−0.0713) −0.000221 (−0.0441) 0.0000228 (0.122) −0.150⁎⁎⁎ (−2.976) 0.00634⁎⁎⁎ (4.054) 0.00973⁎ (1.957) 0.00950⁎⁎ (1.979) −0.126 (−1.209) 0.0166⁎ (1.955) 0.00277 (0.245) 0.0543⁎⁎⁎ (2.601) Yes 302
Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth Inverse Mills ratio 1 (rating) Inverse Mills ratio 2 (decentralization) _cons Year fixed effects N
0.0180⁎⁎⁎ (2.720) 0.0000903 (0.408) −0.190⁎⁎⁎ (−4.546) 0.00663 (1.472) −0.000776 (−0.129) 0.0108 (1.497) −0.143 (−1.323) 0.00625 (0.641) 0.00134 (0.105) 0.0898⁎⁎⁎ (3.483) Yes 304
−0.00566 (−0.621) −0.000364 (−1.322) −0.140⁎⁎⁎ (−3.310) −0.00175 (−0.897) 0.00228 (0.334) 0.00934 (1.423) −0.0826 (−0.453) 0.0117 (0.791) −0.00478 (−0.565) 0.0664⁎ (1.943) Yes 292
−0.00116 (−0.221) −0.0000368 (−0.192) −0.155⁎⁎⁎ (−2.901) 0.00588⁎⁎⁎ (3.210) 0.00684 (1.340) 0.00857⁎ (1.737) −0.117 (−1.068) 0.00959 (1.118) 0.00152 (0.127) 0.0282 (1.274) Yes 302
(continued on next page) 13
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Table 8 (continued) Stage 2.A Governance effectiveness
R-sq Adj. R-sq F
Internal control system effectiveness
Portfolio at risk at 30 days
Write-offs ratio
Loan loss provision
Portfolio at risk at 30 days
Write-offs ratio
Loan loss provision
0.221 0.157 8.541
0.159 0.087 .
0.191 0.124 5.528
0.213 0.148 9.238
0.156 0.084 .
0.236 0.172 10.18
Stage 2.B Governance effectiveness
Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness
Internal control system effectiveness
Breadth of outreach
Yield on loan portfolio
Depth of outreach
Breadth of outreach
Yield on loan portfolio
Depth of outreach
1.878⁎⁎⁎ (2.882) 0.680⁎⁎⁎ (4.623) −0.481⁎⁎⁎ (−2.701)
−0.208⁎ (−1.928) −0.0315 (−1.274) 0.0579⁎⁎ (2.055)
0.0333 (0.0417) −0.268⁎ (−1.746) 0.00215 (0.0107)
1.655⁎⁎⁎ (3.034)
−0.138 (−1.446)
−0.452 (−0.757)
0.540⁎⁎⁎ (4.449) −0.404⁎⁎⁎ (−2.741) −0.512⁎⁎⁎ (−2.910) 0.00136 (0.281) 2.456⁎⁎⁎ (3.743) −0.0715 (−0.987) −0.0962 (−0.728) −0.344⁎⁎ (−2.474) −7.886⁎⁎⁎ (−3.328) 1.971⁎⁎⁎ (9.369) −1.552⁎⁎⁎ (−6.188) 8.232⁎⁎⁎ (12.70) Yes 304 0.504 0.463 17.32
−0.0240 (−1.182) 0.0382 (1.564) −0.124⁎⁎⁎ (−4.158) 0.00119 (1.240) −0.128 (−0.690) 0.0368⁎⁎⁎ (3.556) 0.0443⁎⁎ (2.085) 0.0291 (1.540) −0.881⁎⁎ (−2.004) −0.0628⁎ (−1.750) 0.00671 (0.187) 0.634⁎⁎⁎ (6.761) Yes 302 0.214 0.148 7.782
−0.192⁎ (−1.655) 0.131 (0.885) 1.286⁎⁎⁎ (6.630) −0.0102⁎⁎⁎ (−2.868) −0.816 (−0.854) −0.0915⁎⁎ (−2.156) 0.205 (1.478) −0.279 (−1.406) −2.125 (−0.707) −0.779⁎⁎⁎ (−2.894) −0.645⁎⁎ (−2.592) 2.626⁎⁎⁎ (4.534) Yes 300 0.274 0.214 .
Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth Inverse Mills ratio 1 (rating) Inverse Mills ratio 1 (decentralization) _cons Year fixed effects N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
−0.539⁎⁎⁎ (−2.999) 0.00339 (0.688) 2.196⁎⁎⁎ (3.370) −0.0596 (−1.044) −0.0821 (−0.655) −0.364⁎⁎⁎ (−2.619) −8.017⁎⁎⁎ (−3.414) 1.899⁎⁎⁎ (8.729) −1.600⁎⁎⁎ (−6.471) 7.798⁎⁎⁎ (11.13) Yes 304 0.504 0.463 19.16
−0.124⁎⁎⁎ (−4.163) 0.00123 (1.316) −0.128 (−0.679) 0.0357⁎⁎⁎ (3.204) 0.0437⁎⁎ (2.081) 0.0254 (1.344) −0.846⁎ (−1.920) −0.0651⁎ (−1.853) 0.00671 (0.193) 0.647⁎⁎⁎ (6.210) Yes 302 0.218 0.153 7.425
1.305⁎⁎⁎ (6.755) −0.0113⁎⁎⁎ (−3.036) −0.547 (−0.615) −0.0899⁎⁎ (−2.231) 0.227 (1.645) −0.239 (−1.197) −2.345 (−0.774) −0.651⁎⁎⁎ (−2.663) −0.571⁎⁎ (−2.431) 3.035⁎⁎⁎ (4.344) Yes 300 0.287 0.228 .
Stage 1.A table reports the results of the rating decision model (probit). From this model, we generate the Inverse Mills ratio 1 (rating). Stage 1.B table reports the results of the decentralization decision model (probit). From this model, we generate the Inverse Mills ratio 2 (decentralization). t-Statistics are in parentheses. Stage 2.A reports the results of the second stage with risk measures as dependent variables. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row. t-Statistics are in parentheses. Stage 2.B reports the results of the second stage with outreach measures as dependent variables. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row. t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
internal control mechanisms have an attenuating effect on excessive credit growth. Overall, the results show that granting loan decisions to loan officers increases outreach without altering portfolio quality when more effective governance mechanisms and internal control systems are in place.
to control for selection bias and endogeneity effects. The results of the re-estimated models reported in Table 8 (stage 2) yield consistent evidence and improve the reliability of our previous results; that is, granting loan approval decision making to the loan officer increases the MFI's outreach without altering the loan portfolio quality. With this selection bias correction model, we observe that loan officer approval has a non-significant direct impact on portfolio risk, but a positive significant impact on outreach, in all the regressions. However, effective internal control systems and governance mechanisms have a risk-reducing effect. In addition, better governance and
4.3.4. Alternative measure of loan approval decentralization Fourth, as we have discussed above, it may be the case that the loan approval decision is made at the branch credit committee level with the participation of the loan officer in the decision process. Loan officers 14
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Table 9 The credit committee approved loans. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with loan portfolio at risk and Breadth of outreach as dependent variables. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row. Portfolio at risk at 30 days Credit committee approval Governance effectiveness Credit committee approval ∗ governance effectiveness
0.00178 (0.0515) −0.0185⁎⁎⁎ (−3.441) −0.00543 (−0.592)
Internal control system effectiveness Internal control system effectiveness ∗ credit committee approval Individual lending Individual lending ∗ credit committee approval Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons Year fixed effects N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
0.0129 (1.463) 0.0188 (1.213) −0.176⁎⁎⁎ (−5.635) 0.00560 (1.176) −0.00197 (−0.325) 0.0135⁎ (1.741) −0.164 (−1.588) 0.100⁎⁎⁎ (3.453) Yes 330 0.225 0.172 4.735
Breadth of outreach −0.00276 (−0.0811)
−0.0144⁎⁎⁎ (−3.729) −0.00279 (−0.302) 0.0134 (1.536) 0.0144 (0.957) −0.179⁎⁎⁎ (−5.183) 0.00607 (1.108) −0.000715 (−0.122) 0.0118 (1.583) −0.176⁎ (−1.716) 0.0809⁎⁎⁎ (3.710) Yes 330 0.215 0.161 4.999
−0.849 (−1.041) 0.614⁎⁎⁎ (5.080) 0.188 (0.820)
−1.105⁎⁎⁎ (−4.865) −0.229 (−0.615) 0.887 (1.226) −0.131⁎⁎⁎ (−2.964) 0.0681 (0.429) −0.269 (−1.505) −3.795 (−1.276) 8.000⁎⁎⁎ (12.42) Yes 331 0.235 0.183 9.912
−0.883 (−1.336)
0.530⁎⁎⁎ (6.172) 0.152 (0.831) −1.127⁎⁎⁎ (−4.968) −0.100 (−0.277) 0.924 (1.284) −0.146⁎⁎ (−2.467) −0.00520 (−0.0330) −0.233 (−1.250) −3.302 (−1.107) 8.381⁎⁎⁎ (17.10) Yes 331 0.243 0.192 8.639
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
5. Conclusion
who act as an interface between the credit committee and borrowers produce information, and the final authority to approve loans rests within the credit committee. However, by participating in the credit committee at the branch level, it is more likely that the loan officer influences the credit decision. The loan approval in this case is semidecentralized, and the loan officer is associated with the loan approval decision. We therefore use the branch-credit committee approval as an alternative measure of loan approval decentralization. The regression results given in Table 9 with this alternative loan approval decentralization indicator support our findings.
In this article, we examine the effect of powerful loan officers on MFI outreach and loan portfolio quality, and given that powerful loan officers may exacerbate a principal-agent problem, we also investigate whether alignment mechanisms—incentive schemes and internal control systems—in place are effective mitigating tools when loan officers combine information production and decision functions. We use an independently pooled cross-sectional sample of 374 MFIyear observations from 2001 to 2012 for 280 MFIs active in 70 countries. Our results suggest that decentralizing loan approval decisions or allocating decision-making authority to the loan officer increases the outreach but does not necessarily alter the loan portfolio quality, especially when there are better governance mechanisms and internal control systems in place. We also find that incentive schemes and internal control systems help avoid agency problems within MFIs and thus increase the outreach of MFIs without altering the quality of their credit portfolio. These findings remain valid irrespective of the MFI ownership type. These results are robust after controlling for alternative portfolio risk and outreach measures, outreach threshold effect, crisis period effect, selection bias and endogeneity. The results are also confirmed when we use branch-level credit committee approval as alternative measures of loan approval decentralization. Overall, we have shown empirically that the alignment mechanisms, namely, the effectiveness of the governance and internal control systems, are effective and tend to constrain the discretionary power of loan officers in MFIs. However, the results obtained must be interpreted with caution for at least two reasons. First, the analysis was based on MFI data, which did not allow us to explore whether the loan officer could,
4.3.5. Accounting for the non-linearity of outreach Fifth, above we have assumed outreach to be continuous, but it is possible that outreach is non-linear and there may be threshold effects. We control for possible threshold effects by first running a multinomial regression, where high outreach (NAB > 30,000) is coded 1, medium outreach (10,000 ≤ NAB ≤ 30,000) is coded 2 and low outreach (NAB < 10,000) is coded 3. The unreported results obtained do not show any significant differences relative to our main results.6 Additionally, we split the sample into subsamples of high outreach (NAB > 30,000), medium outreach (10,000 ≤ NAB ≤ 30,000) and low outreach (NAB < 10,000) and rerun the regressions on each subsample. The results provided in Table 10, although similar to the general trend observed with the whole sample, seem to indicate a much stronger effect in the low outreach subsample. 6 For conciseness, we do not report those results tables, but they are available from the authors upon request.
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Table 10 Threshold level of outreach. This table reports the results of the pooled OLS with Breadth of outreach as dependent variable. Standard errors are heteroskedastic robust. We control for year fixed effects. All independent variables are defined in Table 1. We report estimated coefficients in the first row. Governance effectiveness Low outreach Loan officer approval Governance effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ governance effectiveness
⁎
1.401 (1.940) 0.553⁎⁎⁎ (3.582) −0.350 (−1.637)
Internal control effectiveness
Medium outreach
High outreach
Low outreach
Medium outreach
High outreach
0.286 (0.864) 0.156⁎⁎ (2.210) −0.0622 (−0.682)
−1.528 (−0.826) −0.359 (−0.923) 0.252 (0.623)
0.729 (1.199)
0.337 (1.412)
−0.488 (−0.619)
0.252⁎ (1.903) −0.0913 (−0.532) −1.189⁎⁎⁎ (−4.682) 0.00379 (0.0111) 0.689 (0.907) −0.0735⁎ (−1.821) 0.0704 (0.381) 0.191 (1.017) −7.970⁎⁎ (−2.015) 8.940⁎⁎⁎ (12.96) Yes 159 0.344 0.249 5.502
0.118⁎ (1.943) −0.0745 (−1.121) 0.0133 (0.160) 0.00295 (1.504) 0.430 (1.507) −0.0199 (−0.292) 0.0000780 (0.00117) −0.0205 (−0.207) −1.856⁎⁎ (−2.109) 9.207⁎⁎⁎ (26.41) Yes 115 0.162 −0.016 3.214
0.134 (0.668) −0.0321 (−0.159) −0.557 (−0.827) 0.535 (0.751) 0.783 (0.445) 0.230 (0.790) −0.617⁎⁎ (−2.157) −0.113 (−0.777) −0.762 (−0.146) 10.57⁎⁎⁎ (11.12) Yes 57 0.389 0.050 2.628
Internal control system effectiveness Loan officer approval ∗ internal control system effectiveness Individual lending Loan officer approval ∗ individual lending Profitability Loan portfolio growth For profit MFIs Corruption index Annual GDP growth _cons Year fixed effects N R-sq Adj. R-sq F
−1.364⁎⁎⁎ (−5.195) 0.214 (0.609) 0.675 (0.964) −0.0621⁎⁎ (−2.064) 0.0682 (0.366) 0.180 (1.065) −7.334⁎ (−1.793) 7.839⁎⁎⁎ (9.293) Yes 159 0.386 0.297 8.918
0.0000673 (0.000866) 0.00407⁎⁎ (2.122) 0.270 (0.972) −0.0217 (−0.320) 0.00587 (0.0933) −0.0440 (−0.434) −1.885⁎⁎ (−2.097) 9.105⁎⁎⁎ (31.44) Yes 115 0.192 0.020 3.351
−0.245 (−0.516) 0.292 (0.546) 1.457 (0.851) −0.0331 (−0.123) −0.597⁎⁎ (−2.399) 0.0107 (0.0683) 0.760 (0.147) 12.65⁎⁎⁎ (6.583) Yes 57 0.405 0.074 12.34
t-Statistics are in parentheses. ⁎ p < 0.10. ⁎⁎ p < 0.05. ⁎⁎⁎ p < 0.01.
References
for subjective reasons, ration credit. Second, some MFIs seal the amounts when the credit decision rests with the loan officer. This limit varies from one MFI to another in our sample, so there could be some typologies/levels of credit allocation authority that we did not take into account. These limitations are good avenues for future research. Finally, another limitation is related to the measurement of the effectiveness of governance mechanisms and the effectiveness of internal control systems. We use ratings and assume them to be objective measures of alignment mechanisms. However, we were unable to control for raters' behavior (their independence) and thus assume zero collusion between rating agencies and rated MFIs, which is not always the case. The solution to that would have been to use ratings from other rating agencies. To that end, we investigated whether alternative aggregate measures of microfinance governance and internal control mechanisms exist. Unfortunately, such data is not available in the microfinance sector for at least two reasons: (1) Although governance and internal control are central in the rating process of most rating agencies specializing in microfinance, Planet Rating is to date the only one that assigns a score to each of the main rating areas. (2) Very few MFIs are rated by more than one rating agency during a year. For those who seek ratings from at least two different rating agencies, the governance and internal control scores were not available when the MFI rating was assigned by a rating agency other than Planet Rating. Unfortunately, these data are not available in the microfinance sector. The lack of data does not enable us to conduct additional sensitivity analyses.
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Hubert Tchakoute-Tchuigoua is Professor of corporate finance at KEDGE Business School. He holds a degree in economics and finance (Catholic University of Central Africa), a Ph.D. in management sciences (Bordeaux University), and an “Habilitation à Diriger des Recherches” (qualification to supervise doctoral dissertation) from Sorbonne Graduate Business School, University Paris 1-Panthéon-Sorbonne. His research activities are in the field of development finance with a specific focus on the offer side, that is, on very small banking organizations in developing and emerging countries also called microfinance institutions. He is the author or co-author of more than twenty articles published in national and international high quality journals. His current publications cover four main areas namely, financing policy, ratings, financial information quality, and loan contract. Issouf Soumaré is Professor of Finance and the Director of International Relations of the Faculty of Business Administration at Université Laval in Canada. He is also the Director of the Laboratory for Financial Engineering of Université Laval. His research and teaching interests include international finance, risk management, financial engineering and numerical methods in finance. His theoretical and applied financial economic works have been published in leading international economics and finance journals. He worked for the African Development Bank (ADB) at the former Risk Management Unit from 1996 to 1998. Prof. SOUMARÉ holds a PhD in Business Administration in Finance from the University of British Columbia (UBC, Canada) and an MSc in Financial Engineering from Université Laval (Canada).
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