The Effect of Treatment Sequence on Overall Survival for Men With Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

The Effect of Treatment Sequence on Overall Survival for Men With Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

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Journal Pre-proof The effect of treatment sequence on overall survival for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer: A multicenter retrospective study Kazutaka Okita, Shingo Hatakeyama, Shintaro Narita, Masahiro Takahashi, Toshihiko Sakurai, Sadafumi Kawamura, Senji Hoshi, Masanori Ishida, Toshiaki Kawaguchi, Shigeto Ishidoya, Jiro Shimoda, Hiromi Sato, Koji Mitsuzuka, Akihiro Ito, Norihiko Tsuchiya, Yoichi Arai, Tomonori Habuchi, Chikara Ohyama PII:

S1558-7673(19)30275-7

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clgc.2019.09.006

Reference:

CLGC 1347

To appear in:

Clinical Genitourinary Cancer

Received Date: 17 July 2019 Revised Date:

29 August 2019

Accepted Date: 10 September 2019

Please cite this article as: Okita K, Hatakeyama S, Narita S, Takahashi M, Sakurai T, Kawamura S, Hoshi S, Ishida M, Kawaguchi T, Ishidoya S, Shimoda J, Sato H, Mitsuzuka K, Ito A, Tsuchiya N, Arai Y, Habuchi T, Ohyama C, The effect of treatment sequence on overall survival for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer: A multicenter retrospective study, Clinical Genitourinary Cancer (2019), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clgc.2019.09.006. This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Graphical Abstract OS (Unadjusted n=146) ART → ART → DTX → DTX →

Percent survival

100 80 60

ART n=35 DTX n=33 ART n=68 CBZ n=10

40 20 0 0

12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120

Months

P=0.057 P=0.365

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The effect of treatment sequence on overall survival for men with metastatic

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castration-resistant prostate cancer: A multicenter retrospective study

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Kazutaka Okita1, Shingo Hatakeyama1*, Shintaro Narita2, Masahiro Takahashi3, Toshihiko Sakurai4, Sadafumi

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Kawamura5, Senji Hoshi6, Masanori Ishida7, Toshiaki Kawaguchi8, Shigeto Ishidoya9, Jiro Shimoda7, Hiromi

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Sato2, Koji Mitsuzuka3, Akihiro Ito3, Norihiko Tsuchiya4, Yoichi Arai5, Tomonori Habuchi2, Chikara Ohyama1

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1

Department of Urology, Hirosaki University School of Medicine, 5 Zaifu-cho, Hirosaki, Aomori, 036-8562, Japan.

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Department of Urology, Akita University School of Medicine, 1-1-1, Hondo, Akita, 010-8543, Japan.

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Department of Urology, Tohoku University School of Medicine, 2-1 Seiryo-machi, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi,

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980-8575, Japan.

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Japan.

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Department of Urology, Miyagi Cancer Center, 47-1, Nodayama, Shiote, Aijima, Natori, Miyagi, 981-1293, Japan.

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Department of Urology, Yamagata Prefectural Central Hospital, 1800, Aoyanagi, Yamagata, 990-2292, Japan.

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Department of Urology, Iwate Prefectural Isawa Hospital, 61, Ryugabaab, Mizusawa-ku, Oshu, Iwate, 023-0864,

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Japan.

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030-8553, Japan.

Department of Urology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, 2-2-2 Iida-Nishi, Yamagata, Yamagata, 990-9585,

Department of Urology, Aomori Prefectural Central Hospital, 2-1-1, Higashi-tsukurimichi, Aomori, Aomori,

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Japan.

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E-mail addresses: Kazutaka Okita: [email protected], Shingo Hatakeyama: [email protected], Shintaro

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Narita: [email protected], Masahiro Takahashi: [email protected], Toshihiko Sakurai:

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[email protected], Sadafumi Kawamura: [email protected], Senji Hoshi:

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[email protected], Masanori Ishida: [email protected], Toshiaki Kawaguchi:

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[email protected], Shigeto Ishidoya: [email protected], Jiro Shimoda:

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[email protected], Hiromi Sato: [email protected], Koji Mitsuzuka:

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[email protected], Akihito Ito: [email protected], Norihiko Tsuchiya:

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[email protected], Yoichi Arai: [email protected], Tomonori Habuchi:

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[email protected], Chikara Ohyama: [email protected]

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*, Corresponding author: Shingo Hatakeyama, M.D. (ORCID: 0000-0002-0026-4079), Department of Urology,

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Hirosaki University Graduate School of Medicine, 5 Zaifu-cho, Hirosaki 036-8562,

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Japan. E-mail address: [email protected], Tel. no.: 81-172-39-5091, Fax no.: 881-172-39-5092

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Short title: Treatment sequence in mCRPC patients

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Word count: abstract: 247; main text: 2653

Department of Urology, Sendai City Hospital, 1-1-1, Nagamachi, Asuto, Taihaku-ku, Sendai, Miyagi, 982-8502,

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Abstract 2

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Purpose: We aimed to evaluate the treatment sequence for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate

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cancer (mCRPC) in real-world practice and compare overall survival in each sequential therapy.

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Patients and Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 146 patients with mCRPC who were initially treated with

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androgen deprivation therapy as metastatic hormone-naïve prostate cancer in 14 hospitals between January 2010

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and March 2019. The agents for the sequential therapy included new androgen receptor-targeted agents (ART:

42

abiraterone acetate or enzalutamide), docetaxel, and/or cabazitaxel. We evaluated the treatment sequence for

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mCRPC and the effect of sequence patterns on overall survival.

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Results: The median age was 71 years. A total of 35 patients received ART-ART, 33 received ART-docetaxel, 68

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received docetaxel-ART, and 10 received docetaxel-cabazitaxel sequences. The most prescribed treatment

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sequence was docetaxel-ART (47%), followed by ART-ART (24%). Overall survival calculated from the initial

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diagnosis reached 83, 57, 79, 37 months in the ART-ART, ART-docetaxel, docetaxel-ART, and

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docetaxel-cabazitaxel, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed no significant difference in

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overall survival between the first-line ART (n = 68) and first-line docetaxel (n = 78) therapies (hazard ratio: HR

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0.84, P = 0.530), between the ART-ART (n = 35) and docetaxel-mixed (n = 111) sequences (HR 0.82, P = 0.650),

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and between the first-line abiraterone (n = 32) and first-line enzalutamide (n = 36) sequences (HR 1.58, P =

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0.384).

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Conclusion; The most prescribed treatment sequence was docetaxel followed by ART. No significant difference

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was observed in overall survival among the treatment sequences in real-world practice. 3

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Key words: castration-resistant prostate cancer; metastasis; patterns; sequence; survival

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Introduction Prostate cancer (PC) is one of the common malignancies worldwide.

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2-8

1-4

Approximately 10% of patients

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with PC have distant metastases in Japan.

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androgen deprivation therapy (ADT),

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castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), resulting in poor prognosis.

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agents (ART), such as abiraterone acetate (ABI) and enzalutamide (ENZ), improved survival in real-world

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practices

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mCRPC who develop resistance to a first-line ART are also resistant to subsequent ART therapy 19-26 as well as

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taxane-based chemotherapy (docetaxel: DTX and/or cabazitaxel: CBZ) . Despite the cross-resistance, sequential

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treatment with ART, DTX, and CBZ remains a therapeutic option. However, no randomized trial has directly

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compared the various systemic therapies for CRPC. In addition, limited evidence is available for the direct

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comparison of OS between the ABI and ENZ for mCRPC patients. Therefore, we conducted a retrospective study

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to evaluate the treatment sequence for patients with mCRPC in real-world practice and effect of sequence therapy

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on prognosis in with mCRPC.

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Patients and Methods

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Study population and patient selection

11-16

1-8

Although PC is highly androgen-dependent and sensitive to initial

men with metastatic hormone-naïve PC eventually develop metastatic

and large randomized phase III trials.

17, 18

4

1-14

New androgen receptor-targeted

However, clinical data suggested that patients with

73

The present multicenter retrospective study was performed in accordance with the ethical standards of the

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Declaration of Helsinki, and it was approved by the ethics review board of the Hirosaki University School of

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Medicine (authorization number: 2018–062) and all hospitals.

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We evaluated 837 patients with metastatic hormone-naïve PC (mHNPC) who were initially treated with ADT

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in the Michinoku Japan Urological Cancer Study Group database (n = 667) and Hirosaki University related

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hospitals (n = 170) between January 2001 and March 2019.

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proven prostate cancer, 2) patients with mCRPC after primary ADT, 3) patients who were treated sequential

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life-extending therapy greater than or equal to two lines including DTX, ABI, ENZ, and CBZ, and 4) minimum

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follow-up of 3 months after the second life-extending therapy. Exclusion criteria were 1) patients who did not

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develop mCRPC, 2) patients who had vintage agents alone (flutamide, estramustine phosphate, and/or

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ethinylestradiol) for mCRPC, and 3) insufficient data of baseline clinical information. Patients were classified into

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four groups: ART followed by another ART (ART-ART), ART followed by DTX (ART-DTX), DTX followed by

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ART (DTX-ART), and DTX followed by CBZ (DTX-CBZ).

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Indication of life-extending therapy for CRPC in Japan

5, 6, 8, 27-29

Inclusion criteria were 1) histologically

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Therapeutic agents of DTX, ENZ, ABI, and CBZ were approved for all patients with CRPC in February

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2007, June 2014, September 2014, and September 2014, respectively. We can select either ART or DTX as

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first-line therapy for mCRPC after June 2014. No limitation is available for ART-ART, ART-DTX, DTX-ART, and

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DTX-CBZ sequences. Cabazitaxel is approved to use the post-docetaxel setting. 5

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Evaluation of variables

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The following variables were analyzed at diagnosis: age, year of diagnosis, Eastern Cooperative

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Oncology Group (ECOG), Gleason score, serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), metastatic tumor burden,

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treatment era (ART era: after June 2014), time to CRPC, and PSA nadir. Tumor stage and grade were assigned

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based on the 2009 TNM classification of the Union of International Cancer Control. Metastatic status was

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evaluated via chest and body computed tomography and bone scintigraphy before initiating ADT. Bone metastatic

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volume was evaluated by the extent of disease on bone scintigraphy. High-volume disease was defined as the

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presence of visceral metastases and/or four more bone metastases with at least one outside of the vertebral column

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and pelvis according to the risk criteria of Chemohormonal Therapy Versus Androgen Ablation Randomized Trial 7, 30, 31

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for Extensive Disease in Prostate Cancer (CHAARTED) trial in PC.

Radium-223 and vintage agents were

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not included in the mCRPC treatment sequence in this study. Progression-free survival was not evaluated because

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there was no information in the database. Treatment sequences were evaluated from first-line to fourth-line

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therapies.

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Treatment protocol

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All patients were initially treated with ADT (medical or surgical castration with or without bicalutamide).

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Some patients received bone-modifying agents, such as bisphosphonate or denosumab, for bone pain or

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prophylactic use against skeletal-related events based on the decision of attending physicians. The CRPC

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definition was according to the recommendations of the Cancer Clinical Trials Working Group 2 6

32

. After the

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diagnosis of CRPC, some patients received subsequent treatments, such as vintage anti-androgen therapy

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(flutamide or estramustine), anti-androgen withdrawal therapy, and/or low-dose oral steroid therapy. Thereafter,

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patients underwent chemotherapy (DTX and/or CBZ) and/or ART therapy (ABI and/or ENZ) based on their

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attending physicians’ recommendations. We did not include radium-233 as an agent of sequential therapy in the

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analysis. We allowed administration of any bone protective agents, radium-233 and radiation therapy for pain

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control. The general impetus for changing CRPC therapeutic agents was disease progression including PSA

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increase and/or radiologic progression. Imaging tests (bone scan and CT) were performed when patients

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experienced PSA progression and/or any symptoms.

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Outcome evaluation

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We evaluated the treatment sequence for mCRPC in real-world practice. Treatment sequences were

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evaluated using a Sankey diagram and classified into four groups including the combination of first- and

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second-line therapies for mCRPC such as ART-ART, ART-DTX, DTX-ART, and DTX-CBZ groups. In addition,

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the effect of sequence patterns on OS between the first-line ART (ART-1st) vs first-line DTX (DTX-1st), between

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the, ART-ART sequences vs DTX-mixed sequences, and first-line ABI (ABI-1st) vs first-line ENZ (ENZ-1st)

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were compared.

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Statistical analysis

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Statistical analyses were performed using GraphPad Prism 5.03 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, CA,

126

USA), BellCurve for Excel (Social Survey Research Information Co., Ltd., Tokyo, Japan), and R 3.3.2 (The R 7

127

Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). Quantitative variables were expressed as mean with

128

standard deviation or median with interquartile range (IQR). Fisher’s exact test, χ2 test, Student’s t-test, or Mann–

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Whitney U-test were used to analyze the intergroup difference. The Kruskal–Wallis test is used to compare

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medians among four comparison groups. OS rates from initial treatment until any death were estimated using the

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Kaplan–Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. Background adjusted inverse probability of treatment

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weighting (IPTW) Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the effect of treatment patterns on OS and

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OS after diagnosis of CRPC. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were calculated after

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controlling for potential confounders, including patient age, ECOG PS, initial PSA at diagnosis, Gleason score,

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CHAARTED high-volume disease, visceral metastasis, time to mCRPC, and treatment era after the approval of

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enzalutamide in Japan (ART era: after June 2014). Values of P < 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

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Results

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Baseline characteristics of participants

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Of the 837 patients, 546 (65%) developed mCRPC. Of those, 400 patients were excluded because they

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had vintage agents alone (flutamide, estramustine phosphate, and/or ethinylestradiol) (n = 193), non-sequential (=

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single) life-extending therapy (n = 207). Finally, 146 patients who received sequential life-extending therapies for

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mCRPC were included (Fig. 1). There was no significant difference between the patients with non-sequential and

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sequential therapies in age (Fig. S1A; 70 versus 71, respectively: P = 0.620), initial PSA (Fig. S1B; 383 versus

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324 ng/mL, respectively: P = 0.996), GS (Fig. S1C; 9 versus 9, P = 0.070), CHAARTED-high volume (Fig. S1D; 8

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75% versus 73%, respectively: P = 0.621), PSA nadir (Fig. S1E; 0.783 versus 0.975 ng/mL, respectively: P =

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0.193), and time to CRPC (Fig. S1F; 14 versus 14 months, respectively: P = 0.720), except for ECOG PS >1 (Fig.

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S1G; 12% versus 2.1%, respectively: P < 0.001), and EOD (Fig. S1H; 2 versus 1, respectively: P < 0.001). Table

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1 shows the characteristics of the study participants at the initial diagnosis of metastatic hormone-naïve PC. The

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median age, PSA, and a follow-up period of all patients were 71 (IQR: 65–75) years, 324 (IQR: 80–1045) ng/mL,

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and 47 (IQR:30–66) months, respectively.

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Treatment sequence analysis

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A total of 35 patients received ART-ART, 33 received ART-DTX, 68 received DTX-ART, and 10 received

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DTX-CBZ sequences. There were significant difference in the median age (P = 0.037), high-volume disease (P =

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0.003), treatment era (P = 0.002), and use of DTX and CBZ (P <0.001) The median time to CRPC and PSA nadir

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were not significantly different among the groups (P = 0.052 and 0.475, respectively). A Sankey diagram showed

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treatment patterns of 146 patients in our medical area (Fig. 2A). Of the 146, 68 (47%) and 78 (53%) patients

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received first-line ART (ADT-1st) and first-line DTX (DTX-1st) therapies, respectively (Fig. 2B). The most

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prescribed treatment sequence was DTX-ART (47%), followed by ART-ART (24%), ART-DTX (23%), and

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DTX-CBZ (6.9%) (Fig. 2C). The use of ABI or ENZ for first-line ART therapy (n = 68) was 46 (47%) and 57

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(53%), respectively.

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Overall survival among the treatment patterns

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OS calculated from the initial diagnosis reached 83, 57, 79, 37 months in the ART-ART, ART-DTX, 9

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DTX-ART, and DTX-CBZ groups, respectively (Fig. 3A). The unadjusted OS was not significantly different

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between the ART-ART vs ART-DTX (P = 0.057), and between the ART-ART vs DTX-ART (P = 0.365). Among

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the sequences, no significant difference was observed in unadjusted OS between the ART-1st vs DTX-1st (Fig.

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3B; P = 0.461), between the ART-ART (n = 35) vs DTX-mixed (n = 111) sequences (Fig. 3C; P = 0.163), and

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between the first-line abiraterone (ABI-1st, n = 32) vs first-line enzalutamide (ENZ-1st, n=36) (Fig. 3D; P =

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0.246).

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The background (age, ECOG PS, initial PSA at diagnosis, Gleason score, CHAARTED high-volume

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disease, visceral metastasis, time to mCRPC, and treatment era) adjusted IPTW Cox regression analyses showed

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no significant difference was observed in OS between the ART-1st and DTX-1st therapies (P = 0.530, HR 0.84),

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between the ART-ART and DTX-mixed sequences (P = 0.650, HR 0.82), and between the ABI-1st and ENZ-1st

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therapies (P = 0.384, HR 1.58) (Fig. 4A, Table 2). Similarly, no significant difference was observed in OS after

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diagnosis of mCRPC between the ART-1st and DTX-1st therapies (P = 0.636, HR 0.88), between the ART-ART

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and DTX-mixed sequences (P = 0.866, HR 1.07), and between the ABI-1st and ENZ-1st therapies (P = 0.392, HR

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1.58) (Fig. 4B, Table 2).

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Discussion

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In this study, we evaluated the treatment sequence for patients with mCRPC in real-world practice and

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assessed the effect of treatment sequences on OS in patients with mCRPC. Our results showed the DTX-ART

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sequence was the most prescribed treatment sequence. This might be due to the difficulty in continuous 10

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administration of toxic chemotherapy for mCRPC patients even the patients receiving the first-line DTX were

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significantly younger than that of first-line ART (68 vs 73, respectively). As the median cycle of first-line DTX

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therapy for mCRPC was 6 (IQR: 4-11), less than 10 cycles of DTX might be optimal in the balance of effects and

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harms. The use of ABI or ENZ for first-line CRPC therapy was similar (47 vs 53%, respectively) in our cohort. In

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the second-line therapy, we found ART therapies (ABI: n = 46, ENZ: n = 57) was the most popular therapy for

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mCRPC. The administration of CBZ was increased in the third- or fourth-line therapies. In this cohort, the number

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of patients who treated third- or fourth-line therapy was 54 (36%) and 11 (7.5%), respectively. In addition, the

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number of patients who had the opportunity to use CBZ as one of the life-extending agents was 41 (28%) patients.

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These results suggested that it is not easy to receive all the treatable option in those patients.

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We found the association between treatment sequence and OS was not significant in our clinical practice

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regardless of the sequences. The first-line DTX may be more beneficial in patients with CRPC and poor

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prognostic features such as an early progression from the initial ADT.

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significant difference in OS and OS after CRPC diagnosis between the ART-1st vs DTX-1st groups. It was not

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significant even we adjusted tumor volume and time to CRPC in IPTW-adjusted analysis. Despite the existence of

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selection biases among these groups, no significant difference in OS may suggest a saturated efficacy of these

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sequence therapies. Our observations were supported by previous studies that OS after CRPC was not prolonged

197

significantly despite the short-term efficacy in progression-free survival.

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PROREPAIR-B cohort study evaluating treatment patterns and outcomes in 406 mCRPC patients suggested that 11

16, 19, 23, 24

19-24

However, our results showed no

More recently, the prospective

199

the choice of the first-line agent was associated with progression-free survival after the next line therapy (PFS2),

200

but not associated with OS. They found a significant difference in PFS2 between patients treated with initial

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ABI/ENZ vs DTX (20.6 vs 16.6m; HR:0.78; P = 0.006), but not OS (31.3 vs 29.9 m; HR:1.05; P = 0.725).

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Therefore, the OS might be similar despite treatment sequences for mCRPC. However, recent evidence suggested

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that early administration of new agents for non-metastatic CRPC (nmCRPC) have a significant benefit on

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prognosis.

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antigen (PSMA) ligand has remarkable diagnostic value for staging and detecting recurrence in many studies. 36-38

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Therefore, the new agents for nmCRPC and next-generation PET imaging make passible the treatment strategy

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shift from mCRPC to nmCRPC.

34, 35

33

Also, next-generation positron emission tomography (PET) using prostate-specific membrane

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There is not enough evidence to guide the decision for the appropriate use of these agents. Our finding

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of no significant difference in OS among the treatment patterns might be one of the best results of individualized

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sequences therapy in each patient based on general status, tolerability, economic condition, and disease

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aggressiveness. Although several studies suggested that consecutive use of ART may be not beneficial to patients

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with mCRPC,

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option in selected patients such as slow progression disease. As the outcomes of the first-line therapy itself are one

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of the biomarkers for efficacy, clinicians can modify the second-line sequence based on the outcomes of first-line

215

therapy. The other potential reason for no significant difference in OS among the treatment patterns might be a

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cross-resistance among those agents. 39-41 Although we could not prove this hypothesis in our study, a clinical and

16, 19-24

not all patients were feasible for toxic chemotherapy and ART-ART sequences might be an

12

217

molecular marker for the aggressiveness and response to therapies might guide the decision for the appropriate

218

selection of these agents in the future. The novel therapeutic strategy is needed to improve outcomes.

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This study had several limitations. First, our results should be interpreted with caution considering the

220

retrospective design, limited sample size, and possible selection bias. ECOG PS at the time of CRPC diagnosis

221

was not available in this study. Also, Information on local therapy for the oligometastatic disease was not

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available in this study. Second, very few men in this cohort (n = 8, 5.5%) received the current standard of care

223

(upfront DTX or ABI) when they had hormone-naïve PCa because of long-term periods of this study. Third, the

224

exclusion of more half of men with mCRPC who received vintage agents alone or non-sequence life-extending

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therapy (alive or dead after single therapy of ABI, ENZ or DTX) is strong selection bias in this study. However,

226

we observed no statistical difference in CRPC-free survival between the included and excluded patients and

227

confirmed the feasibility of patient selection. Fourth, we could not address the response rate and progression-free

228

survival after life-extending therapy in this study due to the lack of information in the database as the response to

229

first-line therapy for mCRPC may have a significant association with overall survival. Fifth, our results cannot be

230

generalized to non-Asian populations because of racial difference. Furthermore, limitation existed in quality of

231

life measures and side effects. Finally, we could not obtain information regarding baseline clinical data such as

232

comorbidities, and the influence of metastatic organs and PSA doubling time at the CRPC diagnosis, which are

233

significantly associated with mortality. Despite these limitations, our study revealed no significant difference in

234

OS in patients with mCRPC among the treatment sequences in real-world practice. 13

235

Conclusions

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The most prescribed treatment sequence was DTX followed by ART. No significant difference was

237

observed in OS among the treatment sequences in real-world practice. Further study is needed to validate our

238

observation.

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Acknowledgments We would like to thank Takuma Narita, Hirotake Kodama, Toshikazu Tanaka, Itsuto Hamano, Naoki

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Fujita, Hiromichi Iwamura, Teppei Okamoto, Yuki Fujita, Yukie Nishizawa, and the entire staff of the Department

243

of Urology in Hirosaki University for their invaluable help with the data collection. The authors would also like to

244

thank Enago (www.enago.jp) for the English language review.

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Funding: This work was supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (Grant Nos. 17K11119, 18K16681,

246

and 18K09157) from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science.

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Conflict of Interest: The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Ethics statement

249

The present retrospective, multicenter study was performed in accordance with the ethical standards of the

250

Declaration of Helsinki, and it was approved by the ethics review board of the Hirosaki University School of

251

Medicine (authorization number: 2018–062) and all hospitals. Pursuant to the provisions of the ethics committee

14

252

and the ethics guidelines in Japan, written informed consent is not required for public disclosure of study

253

information in the case of a retrospective and/or observational study using materials, such as existing documents

254

(opt-out approach).

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Authors’ Contribution

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Kazutaka Okita: Manuscript writing, data analysis, data collection

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S Hatakeyama: Manuscript editing, data analysis, data collection

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S Narita, M Takahashi, T Sakurai, S Kawamura, S Hoshi, M Ishida, T Kawaguchi, S Ishidoya, J Shimoda, H Sato,

259

K Mitsuzuka: Project development, data collection

260

A Ito, N Tsuchiya, Y Arai, T Habuchi, and C Ohyama: Project development, critical review and supervision

261

15

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383

prostate cancer (mCRPC). Journal of Clinical Oncology. 2017;35:5002-5002.

384

385

Figure legends

386

Figure 1. Patient selection

387

Of the 837 patients, 546 (65%) developed mCRPC. Of those, 400 patients were excluded because they 22

388

had vintage agents alone (flutamide, estramustine phosphate, and/or ethinylestradiol) (n = 193), non-sequential (=

389

single) life-extending therapy (n = 207). Finally, 146 patients who received sequential life-extending therapies for

390

mCRPC were included.

391

Figure 2. Treatment sequences in real-world patients

392

A sankey diagram showed treatment patterns of 146 patients in real-world setting (A). Treatment

393

patterns in the first-, second-, third-, and fourth-line therapy was evaluated (B). The number of patients who

394

received sequential therapy such as DTX followed by ART (DTX–ART), ART followed by another ART (ART –

395

ART), ART followed by DTX (ART–DTX), and DTX followed by CBZ (DTX–CBZ) was 68 (47%), 35 (24%),

396

33 (23%), and 10 (6.9%), respectively (C).

397

Figure 3. Overall survival (OS)

398

Unadjusted OS among the treatment sequences was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier method and

399

compared with the log-rank test (A). Unadjusted OS between the ART-1st vs DTX-1st (B), between the ART-ART

400

sequence vs DTX-mixed sequence (C), and between the first-line abiraterone acetate (ABI-1st) and enzalutamide

401

(ENZ-1st) (D) was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier method and compared with the log-rank test.

402

Figure 4. IPTW-adjusted Cox regression analysis for OS and OS after mCRPC diagnosis

403

An IPTW-adjusted multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses on OS (A) and OS after

404

mCRPC diagnosis (B) was performed. No significant difference was observed among the treatment sequences.

405

Variables included in the IPTW model were age, initial PSA at diagnosis, Gleason score, CHAARTED 23

406

high-volume disease, time to CRPC, and treatment era (ART era: after June 2014).

407

Figure S1. Background comparison between the non-sequential (excluded from the analysis) and sequential

408

therapies

409

As the patients with vintage agents alone were not targeted patients in this study, we evaluated baseline

410

data between the patients with non-sequential and sequential therapies. We observed no significant difference

411

between the patients with non-sequential and sequential therapies in age (A: 70 versus 71, respectively: P =

412

0.620), initial PSA (B: 383 versus 324 ng/mL, respectively: P = 0.996), GS (C: 9 versus 9, P = 0.070),

413

CHAARTED-high volume (D: 75% versus 73%, respectively: P = 0.621), PSA nadir (E: 0.783 versus 0.975

414

ng/mL, respectively: P = 0.193), and time to CRPC (F: 14 versus 14 months, respectively: P = 0.720), except for

415

ECOG PS >1 (G: 12% versus 2.1%, respectively: P < 0.001), and EOD (H: 2 versus 1, respectively: P < 0.001).

416

These results may suggest that clinical response might be similar between the groups while baseline data of

417

ECOG PS and EOD were significantly worse in the non-sequential patients.

24

Table 1 Background of patients at the diagnosis of metastatic hormone-naïve prostate cancer Treatment sequences ART-ART

ART-DTX

DTX-ART

DTX-CBZ

35

33

68

10

73 (67-77)

72 (66-77)

68 (63-75)

68 (66-73)

0.037*

ECOG PS 0/1/>1

33 / 1 / 1

30 / 2 / 1

66 / 1 / 1

9/1/0

0.400

Initial PSA (IQR)

181 (53-2828)

127 (43-478)

493 (119-1368)

256 (10-937)

0.087*

9 (8-9)

9 (8-10)

9 (9-9)

9 (9-9)

0.575*

32 (91%)

18 (55%)

47 (69%)

9 (90%)

0.003

5 (14%)

3 (9.1%)

8 (12%)

3 (30%)

0.346

1.2 (0.17-10)

0.96 (0.15-4.1)

0.97 (0.15-4.5)

0.94 (0.15-3.4)

0.475*

Number

P value

of

patients Age,

median

(IQR)

Gleason

score

(IQR) High-volume disease, n (%) Visceral metastasis PSA kinetics PSA nadir,

ng/dL Time to CRPC, median

21 (9-40)

11 (8-16)

15 (9-25)

10 (6-20)

0.052*

8 (23%)

7 (21%)

36 (53%)

2 (20%)

0.002

2 (2-3)

2 (2-3)

2 (2-3)

2 (2-2)

0.194

6 (17%)

26 (79%)

68 (100%)

10 (100%)

<0.001

4 (11%)

10 (30%)

17 (25%)

10 (100%)

<0.001

56 (37-77)

38 (26-56)

46 (33-79)

33 (25-59)

13 (37%)

12 (36%)

30 (44%)

7 (70%)

(IQR) CRPC diagnosis in ART era Number of sequence therapy Use of DTX, n (%) Use of CBZ, n (%) Median follow-up, months (IQR) Deceased, n (%) *, Kruskal–Wallis test ART, androgen receptor-targeted agents; CBZ, cabazitaxel; CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer;

DTX, docetaxel; CBZ, cabazitaxel; IQR, interquartile range; PSA, prostate-specific antigen

Table 2

IPTW-adjusted Cox regression analysis for OS and OS after mCRPC diagnosis

OS

HR

DTX-1st

1 (ref)

ART-1st

0.84

DXT-mixed sequences ART-ART sequences

95%CI

P value

0.475-1.44

0.530

0.35-1.94

0.650

1 (ref) 0.82

ABI-1st

1 (ref)

ENZ-1st

1.58

0.56-4.41

0.384

OS after mCRPC diagnosis

HR

95%CI

P value

0.52-1.50

0.636

0.51-2.25

0.866

DTX-1st

1 (ref)

ART-1st

0.88

DXT-mixed sequences ART-ART sequences

1 (ref) 1.07

ABI-1st

1 (ref)

ENZ-1st

1.58

0,56-4.46

0.392

IPTW, inverse probability of treatment weighting; ART, androgen receptor-targeted agents; CBZ, cabazitaxel; DTX, docetaxel; CBZ, cabazitaxel; ABI, abiraterone acetate; ENZ, enzalutamide

Fig. 1

mHNPC n=837 CRPC n=546

Vintage agents alone n=193

Non-sequential therapy n=207 (excluded from this study)

DTX, ABI, or ENZ n=353

Sequential therapy n=146 (included in this study)

Fig. 2

B

Treatment paterns

A

7%

100

2nd line

3rd line

4th line

% of patients

1st line

n=78 (53%)

ART DTX CBZ

35%

23%

53%

100%

18%

50

47%

70%

47%

0 1st line

2nd line

3rd line

4th line

Treatment line

C

Treatment sequence n=146 50

(1st → 2nd-line)

40

47%

30

24%

23%

20

6.9%

10

C B Z → TX D

R T→ D TX A

A R T R T→ A



A R T

0

TX

n=68 (47%)

% of patients

CRPC

D

mCRPC n=146

ART → ART → DTX → DTX →

100

Percent survival

B

OS (Unadjusted n=146)

80 60

ART n=35 DTX n=33 ART n=68 CBZ n=10

40 20

100

P=0.057 P=0.365

OS (Unadjusted n=146)

Percent survival

A

0

ART-1st n=68 DTX-1st n=78

80

P=0.461 60 40 20 0

0

12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120

0

Months

C

D OS (Unadjusted n=68)

ART-ART seq. n=35 DTX-mixed seq. n=111 P=0.163

60 40 20 0 0

12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120

Months

100

Percent survival

80

12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120

Months

OS (Unadjusted n=146) 100

Percent survival

Fig. 3

ABI-1st n=32 ENZ-1st n=36 P=0.246

80 60 40 20 0 0

12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120

Months

Fig. 4

A

IPTW-adjusted Cox regression model for OS DTX-1st

B

IPTW-adjusted Cox regression model for OS after CRPC diagnosis DTX-1st

ref.

ref.

0.84

0.88

ART-1st

ART-1st

ref.

DTX-mixed

ref.

DTX-mixed

0.82

1.07

ART-ART

ART-ART

ref.

ABI-1st

ref.

ABI-1st

1.58

1.58

ENZ-1st

ENZ-1st 0.3

1.0

HR

3.2

10.0

0.3

1.0

HR

3.2

10.0

Fig. S1

11

P=0.996

10000

years

ng/mL

80

1000 100

60 10 1

40 n=207

E

F

PSA nadir

100

P=0.193 Percent survival

ng/mL

1 0.1 0.01

0.001 non-sequencing Sequencing n=207

n=146

9 8 7

non-sequencing n=207 Sequencing n=146 Median: 14 vs 14 mo HR 0.96 (95%CI 0.78-1.19) P=0.720

40

40

0 non-sequencing Sequencing n=207

n=146

ECOG PS >1 15

60

60

20

n=207

G

P=0.621

80

6

n=146

CRPC-free survival

80

100

non-sequencing Sequencing

100

10

CHAARTED-high vol.

5 n=207

n=146

P=0.070

10

non-sequencing Sequencing

non-sequencing Sequencing

D

GS

% of patients

100000

P=0.620

H

EOD 5

P<0.001

n=146

P<0.001

4

% of patients

100

C

Initial PSA

score (0-4)

B

Age

Gleason score (6-10)

A

10

5

3 2 1

20

0

0

0 0

50

Months

100

non-sequencing Sequencing n=207

n=146

non-sequencing Sequencing n=207

n=146