Accepted Manuscript The Truth about Trauma Readmissions Olubode A. Olufajo, MD, MPH, Zara R. Cooper, MD, MSc, Brian K. Yorkgitis, DO, Peter A. Najjar, MD, David Metcalfe, LLB, MBChB, Joaquim M. Havens, MD, Reza Askari, MD, Gabriel A. Brat, MD, MSc, Adil H. Haider, MD, MPH, Ali Salim, MD PII:
S0002-9610(15)30047-7
DOI:
10.1016/j.amjsurg.2015.09.018
Reference:
AJS 11784
To appear in:
The American Journal of Surgery
Received Date: 12 May 2015 Accepted Date: 14 September 2015
Please cite this article as: Olufajo OA, Cooper ZR, Yorkgitis BK, Najjar PA, Metcalfe D, Havens JM, Askari R, Brat GA, Haider AH, Salim A, The Truth about Trauma Readmissions, The American Journal of Surgery (2016), doi: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2015.09.018. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.
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Introduction: There is a paucity of data on the causes and associated patient factors for unplanned readmissions among trauma patients.
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Methods: We examined patients admitted for traumatic injuries between 2007 and 2011 in the California State Inpatient Database. Using Chi square tests and multivariate logistic regression models, we determined rates, reasons, locations and patient factors associated with 30-day readmissions.
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Results: Among 252,752 trauma discharges, the overall readmission rate was 7.56%, with 36% of readmissions occurring at a hospital different from the hospital of initial admission. Predictors of readmissions included being discharged against medical advice [Odds Ratio (OR): 2.56(2.352.76)]; Charlson Scores ≥2 [OR: 2.00(1.91-2.10)]; and age ≥45 [OR: 1.29(1.25-1.33)]. Major reasons for readmissions were musculoskeletal complaints (22.29%), psychiatric conditions (9.40%), and surgical infections (6.69%). Conclusion: Health and social vulnerabilities influence readmission among trauma patients, with many readmitted at other hospitals. Targeted interventions among high-risk patients may reduce readmissions after traumatic injuries.
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Keywords: Injury; Readmission; Reason; Risk Factors; Trauma
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Summary: Using a statewide inpatient database, we determined rates, reasons, locations and patient factors associated with 30-day readmissions among patients with traumatic injuries.
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The Truth about Trauma Readmissions
Authors:
Olubode A. Olufajo, MD, MPH a, b –
[email protected] Zara R. Cooper, MD, MSc a, b –
[email protected] Brian K. Yorkgitis, DO a –
[email protected] Peter A. Najjar, MD b –
[email protected] David Metcalfe, LLB, MBChB b –
[email protected] Joaquim M. Havens, MD a, b –
[email protected] Reza Askari, MD a, b –
[email protected] Gabriel A. Brat, MD, MSc a –
[email protected] Adil H. Haider, MD, MPH a, b –
[email protected] Ali Salim, MD a, b –
[email protected]
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Title:
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a. Division of Trauma, Burn and Surgical Critical Care Department of Surgery Brigham and Women’s Hospital 75 Francis Street Boston, MA 02115, USA
Olubode A. Olufajo, MD, MPH Division of Trauma, Burn and Surgical Critical Care Department of Surgery Brigham and Women’s Hospital 75 Francis Street Boston, MA 02115, USA Tel: (617) 525-7300, Fax: (617) 566-9549 Email:
[email protected]
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Corresponding Author:
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b. Center for Surgery and Public Health Brigham and Women’s Hospital Harvard Medical School and Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health 1620 Tremont Street Boston, MA 02121, USA
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INTRODUCTION Traumatic injuries exert an economic burden of more than $406 billion annually in the United States.(1) Up to 2.3 million hospital admissions are primarily due to trauma,(2) which is higher
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than admissions due to stroke and cancer combined.(3, 4) The increased efficiency of trauma systems and the advancement of medical technology have led to consistent decreases in mortality in these patients over the last few years and up to 6% decrease in mortality was seen between
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2002 and 2010.(5) With improved survival of trauma patients has come the attendant focus on reducing morbidity in these patients. This has led to increasing interest in various metrics to
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assess the quality of care patients receive other than hospital mortality.(6-8) These metrics include complication rates, length of hospital stay, and hospital readmission. Hospital readmission has been commonly used as a quality measure by hospitals and government agencies over the past decade. The popularity of this measure increased with the Hospital
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Readmission Reduction Program (HRRP) introduced by the Affordable Care Act of 2010.(9) This program penalized hospitals with excess readmissions for certain conditions by reducing their Medicare reimbursements, with an aim to encourage improvements. The obvious financial
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implications of this triggered the creation of numerous strategies to reduce avoidable
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readmissions to individual hospitals. An example of this is the recommendation based on costeffectiveness analysis that more surgical patients should be treated on out-patient bases instead of being readmitted.(10) Although the HRRP is restricted to few non-surgical conditions, there is a possibility that it will involve surgical conditions in the near future.(11) This highlights the need for pro-active measures to reduce readmissions in trauma patients. Despite the fact that some efforts are being made to reduce readmissions among trauma patients, there is little that is known about the actual readmission rates in these patients. Most of the 2
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estimates commonly referenced are among patients with specific injuries or age ranges and cannot be applied to the general trauma population.(12, 13) In addition, most studies assess readmissions to their own institutions alone or to a small network of hospitals.(14-16) Because
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patients may be readmitted at other hospitals, these studies do not accurately assess
readmissions.(17) Furthermore, in order to identify areas to target interventions and to stratify patients based on their risk of readmission, it is important to assess the patient factors that are
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associated with readmission among trauma patients. Some studies have highlighted these factors among other patient populations.(18) However, information on US trauma patients is lacking.
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Therefore, to accurately determine the readmission rates and characteristics of readmission among a representative sample of trauma patients, we examined hospital discharge records from
METHODS
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a statewide database.
Selection of Study Population
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We examined hospital discharge records from 2007 – 2011 in the California State Inpatient
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Database (SID), Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. This database contains hospital records from up 98% of the hospitals in the state.(19) It also contains unique patient identifiers which are independent of the hospitals that patients are admitted enabling patient records to be linked over time. We identified patients of age 18 – 64 years that had the International Classification of Disease-9th revision (ICD-9) diagnosis codes corresponding to traumatic injuries. ICD-9 diagnosis codes 800 – 904, 910 – 929, and 950 – 959 were used to define the study cohort. Patients that died during 3
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admission, those that were transferred to other hospitals, those with isolated hip fractures, and those that were admitted or discharged in the last month of available data were not included in
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the final cohort. Patient Characteristics
We included data on patients’ age (18-44, ≥45), sex, and race (White, Black, Hispanic,
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Asian/Pacific Islander, Native American and Others). Insurance type was classified as public, private, self-pay, and others. “Others” included Worker’s Compensation, County Indigent
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Programs, Other Government aids and Other Indigent funds.(20)
The Charlson Co-morbidity Index, which is a weighted score ranging from 0 to 37 with a higher score indicating greater co-morbidity,(21) was used to assess the degree of co-morbidity of the patients. We calculated this using the CHARLSON command in Stata.(22) Charlson scores were
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classified as <2 and ≥2. Injury and Admission Characteristics
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Injury Severity Scores (ISS) derived from ICD-9 diagnosis codes were calculated for the patients. The method of estimation has been previously described and validated.(23, 24) We used
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the ICDPIC program in Stata to calculate the scores.(25) Scores were classified as <9, 9-15, 1624, and ≥25. Using the Abbreviated Injury Scale for each body region, which is an anatomicalbased injury severity measure,(26) we determined the region of maximum injury severity. We classified regions as Head/Neck/Face, Thorax, Abdomen/pelvic organs, Extremities/Limb girdles, and External.
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Diagnoses made during admission that were not present at the time of admission were classified as complications during admission. The length of hospital stay was categorized as 0-3, 4-7, and >7. Patients’ discharge dispositions were categorized as Home, Home Health Care, Skilled
Advice (AMA).
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Readmission Rates and Readmission Characteristics
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Nursing Facility (SNF)/Intermediate Care Facility (ICF)/Other Facilities, and Against Medical
The 30-day readmission rate was defined as the proportion of patients that had unplanned
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readmissions within 30 days after discharge among the patients that were discharged. The reasons for readmission were determined by the primary admitting ICD-9 diagnosis codes. These reasons were classified using categories previously described.(27) We included two other categories in order to capture more diagnoses; musculoskeletal conditions and psychiatric
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conditions.
Among the patients that were readmitted, we determined those that returned to the same hospitals and those that went to other hospitals. Then, we evaluated some common measures of
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patient outcomes during their readmission such as in-hospital mortality, complication rate and length of stay. We also determined the proportion of patients that were readmitted within 30 days
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of discharge from their first readmission. Statistical Analysis
The proportions of patients in the different patient groups were determined. Patient, injury and admission characteristics were compared among different groups using Chi-square tests for categorical variables and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests for continuous variables. The risk factors for readmission were evaluated by univariate logistic regression models. Factors that met the P <0.1 5
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level of significance on univariate analyses were used in building a multivariate logistic regression model to determine independent risk factors for 30-day readmission. All analyses were done using Stata Statistical Software: Release 13 (College Station, TX: StataCorp LP) and
RESULTS
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Patient, Injury and Admission Characteristics
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the significance level was set as P <0.05.
Our final cohort consisted of 252,752 patients admitted with diagnoses of traumatic injuries. They were mostly male (66.79%), white (58.12%), and less than 45 years old (53.15%) (Table 1). The predominant insurance type was private insurance (40.77%) and only 6.36% had Charlson Scores ≥2. The injury pattern was mostly mild with 11.76% of patients having ISS >15.
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The regions of maximum severity were more frequently the extremities/limb girdles (44.87%) and the head/neck/face (28.92%).
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Majority of the patients had hospital lengths of stay less than 4 days (86.10%) and complications during admission were seen in 14.47% of patients. Patients were discharged home in most cases
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(80.87%) and 1.78% left AMA.
Readmission Rates and Risk of Readmission The overall 30-day readmission rate was 7.56%. There were wide variations seen in readmission rates among the different patient groups (Table 1). Patients with Charlson Scores ≥2 (17.75%), those discharged AMA (17.12%), and those on public insurance (11.74%) had significantly higher readmission rates than other patients. Other groups with high readmission rates were those 6
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with hospital lengths of stay greater than 3 days, those discharged to SNF, ICF or Home Health Care, and those of Native American descent.
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On multivariate analyses, the strongest independent predictors of 30-day readmission were being discharged AMA [adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR): 2.56 (95% Confidence Interval, 2.35 – 2.78)] and Charlson Scores ≥2 [aOR: 2.05 (1.96 – 2.16)] (Table 2). Male patients [aOR: 1.14 (1.10 –
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1.18)], patients ≥ 45 years old [aOR: 1.32 (1.27 – 1.36)], and those that were not on private
insurance had higher risks of readmission. Compared to patients with head/neck/face injuries,
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patients with maximum injury severity in the abdomino-pelvic region [aOR: 1.28 (1.21 – 1.36)] and extremities/limb girdles [aOR: 1.22 (1.17 – 1.27)] were more likely to be readmitted within 30 days.
Reasons for Readmission and Readmission Characteristics
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Most patients that were readmitted had primary readmission diagnoses of musculoskeletal complaints as defined by ICD-9 diagnosis codes (22.29%). Significant proportions were readmitted for psychiatric conditions (9.40%) and surgical infections (6.69%). Other major
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reasons for readmission were pulmonary, gastrointestinal and genitourinary conditions (Figure
Among patients that were readmitted, 34.5% were readmitted to hospitals different from the hospitals they received their initial care. There were significant differences in the outcomes among patients that were readmitted to the same hospital and those that were readmitted to different hospitals (Table 3). The in-hospital mortality (0.78% vs. 1.21%, P=0.003), mean lengths of stay (5.38 days vs. 5.99 days, P<0.005) and probability of second readmissions (16.27% vs. 20.74%, P<0.005) were better in those that were readmitted to the same hospital 7
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compared to those that were readmitted to different hospitals. There were no significant
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differences in the complication rates based on where patients were readmitted (P=0.875).
DISCUSSION
Benchmarking of trauma outcomes including readmissions is essential for comparing hospitals
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based on their measured performance.(6) In an era where public reporting of outcomes is fast becoming the standard practice, it is important to accurately estimate the expected outcomes for
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the care of unique patient groups.(28) Our study showed that 7.56% of trauma patients had unplanned readmissions within 30 days of discharge. Given the large amount of resources that go into every hospitalization and the higher morbidity associated with readmissions,(29, 30) this proportion of patients represents a potential area for improvement in the care of trauma patients.
address them.
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Identification of factors that lead to these readmissions is a key to formulating strategies to
Prior studies in subsets of trauma patients found risk factors for readmission similar to those seen
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in our study.(13, 14, 16, 31, 32) Significant risk factors for readmission including male sex, older
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age, being on public insurance, having higher injury scores, longer hospital stays, higher comorbidity scores, and being discharged AMA have also been shown in other studies. These factors indicate that apart from the care patients receive, specific patient characteristics may be involved in their readmissions. This is particularly noteworthy in the light of hospital comparisons based on patient outcomes. The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services only adjusts for limited patient characteristics when making comparisons of hospital performance.(9) If these sorts of comparisons become the standards for examining trauma readmission, it will be 8
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important to consider the patient mix in order not to unfairly blacklist hospitals that care for disadvantaged patients.(11, 33)
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Although one-fifth of the patients were readmitted for musculoskeletal reasons likely directly related to their initial injury, a large proportion of patients had diagnoses that may represent some underlying vulnerabilities. Psychiatric conditions are diagnoses that have been cited as
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major reasons for readmission in trauma patients.(18) The fact that these conditions can often be assessed before discharge and that they may have been associated with the initial injury
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highlights the need for increased surveillance for these conditions among trauma patients prior to discharge. Early interventions including multidisciplinary approaches may help to reduce these preventable readmissions and improve patients’ wellbeing. Like other studies,(15, 31) surgical infections formed a significant proportion of readmissions in our cohort. A study of readmissions due to surgical site infections (SSIs) showed that more than half of patients diagnosed with SSIs
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after discharge were readmitted and that the readmission rates in patients diagnosed after discharge was up to 7 times higher than the rates in patients diagnosed before discharge.(34) The use of checklists prior to discharge, early follow up calls by dedicated health workers, and
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scheduling of early clinic visits are ways that have been suggested to reduce readmissions due to
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surgical infections.(34)
One of the advantages of our study is that we included hospital readmission to hospitals other than where index hospitalizations occurred. The finding that 34.5% of readmitted patients were readmitted to different hospitals brings to fore the inaccuracies in same-hospital readmission rates. This may explain why the readmission rates we found were slightly higher than that seen in other studies.(15, 31) It also highlights the level of fragmentation of patient care seen in trauma surgery. Fragmentation of care has been previously associated with poorer patient 9
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outcomes.(35) Our study showed that patients that were readmitted to different hospitals had higher in-hospital mortality rates, longer lengths of stay, and higher rates of subsequent readmissions. This is indicative of the need for efforts directed towards continuity and
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integration of patient care including increased communication between care providers.
Our study has some limitations. First, we used an administrative database and had only limited
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details of patients’ clinical characteristics. Because some of these characteristics may be related to hospital readmission, we may have not have fully captured the risk factors for hospital
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readmission. However, it is unlikely that these characteristics will be relevant for risk-adjustment in programs that compare hospitals based on their readmission rates. In addition, we did not include patients older than 64 years in our analyses meaning the results of our study are not generalizable to older patients. Because the physiology and mechanisms of injury differ significantly in older patients compared to younger patients,(36-38) we decided it will be more
Conclusion
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appropriate to analyze this group of patients separately.
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Hospital readmission among trauma patients has immense clinical and cost implications. The efforts currently being made to reduce readmissions will be more successful with an in-depth
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understanding of the factors that surround readmissions in this group of patients. Providing assistance to socially vulnerable patients, early identification of potential complications that could lead to readmission and increasing integration of patient care are areas that could be focused on to reduce readmissions among trauma patients.
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Table 1: Characteristics of Patients discharged after Trauma admissions and associated Readmission Rates; California State Inpatient Database, 2007 – 2011
Insurance Type
Injury Severity Score Category
Region of Maximum Severity
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Length of Stay (days) Charlson Score
Complications during admission Discharge disposition
ICF, Intermediate Care Facility; SNF, Skilled Nursing Facility
Readmission Rate, %
P-value
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Percentage of total population, % 100.0 53.15 46.85 33.21 66.79 58.12 9.55 26.18 3.74 0.12 2.29 23.74 40.77 14.32 21.17 63.85 24.48 9.35 2.32 28.92 12.21 9.09 44.87 4.92 86.10 8.39 5.50 93.64 6.36 85.53 14.47 80.87 10.66 6.70 1.78
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Race
252,752 134,330 118,422 80,536 161,999 130,902 21,513 58,961 8,424 276 5,152 60,001 103,029 36,178 53,510 161,391 61,867 23,642 5,852 73,086 30,851 22,973 113,398 12,444 217,612 21,214 13,910 236,689 16,063 216,196 36,556 203,756 26,861 16,870 4,480
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Sex
18 – 44 45 – 64 Female Male White Black Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander Native American Other Public Private Self-pay Other <9 9 – 15 16 – 24 ≥25 Head/Face/Neck Thorax Abdomen/Pelvic contents Extremities/Girdles External 0–3 4–7 >7 <2 ≥2 Absent Present Home SNF, ICF, Other facility Home Health Care Against Medical Advice
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Overall Age (years)
No. of Patients
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Characteristics
7.56 6.13 9.19 7.86 7.75 8.20 9.50 7.52 7.18 10.14 7.16 11.74 6.09 6.17 6.66 7.47 7.06 9.27 8.37 7.24 6.38 8.49 7.85 7.98 7.03 10.94 10.70 6.87 17.75 7.18 9.82 6.75 10.14 10.83 17.12
< 0.001 0.337
< 0.001
< 0.001
< 0.001
< 0.001
< 0.001
< 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001
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Characteristics
Odds Ratio (95% CI) 1.14 (1.10 – 1.18) 1.32 (1.27 – 1.36)
Male sex Age ≥45 years Black Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander Native American Other
1.06 (1.00 – 1.11) 0.91 (0.88 – 0.95) 0.89 (0.82 – 0.97) 1.10 (0.74 – 1.64) 0.88 (0.79 – 0.98)
Insurance Status*
Public Self-pay Other
1.73 (1.67 – 1.80) 1.07 (1.02 – 1.13) 1.15 (1.10 – 1.21)
Injury Severity Score Category† Charlson Score ≥2 Complications during index admission Length of index admission Category† Thorax Abdomino-pelvic Extremities/girdles External
Discharge Disposition*
SNF, ICF, Other facility Home Health Care Against Medical Advice
1.06 (1.04 – 1.09) 2.05 (1.96 – 2.16) 1.06 (1.01 – 1.10) 1.16 (1.12 – 1.19) 0.89 (0.85 – 0.94) 1.28 (1.21 – 1.36) 1.22 (1.17 – 1.27) 1.17 (1.08 – 1.26)
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Region of Maximum Severity*
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Race*
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Table 2: Multivariate analyses of Factors Associated with 30-day Readmissions in Trauma patients; California State Inpatient Database, 2007 – 2011
0.94 (0.89 – 0.99) 1.28 (1.21 – 1.35) 2.56 (2.35 – 2.78)
AC C
CI, Confidence Interval; ICF, Intermediate Care Facility; SNF, Skilled Nursing Facility *Reference categories not shown include: Race (White); Insurance Status (Private); Region of maximum severity (Head and neck); Discharge disposition (Home) †Injury Severity Score categorized as <9 (reference), 9-15, 16-25, ≥25; Length of stay categorized as 0-3 (reference), 4-7, ≥7.
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Table 3: Differences in Patient Outcomes based on Hospital of Readmission; California State Inpatient Database, 2007 – 2011
AC C
EP
TE D
M AN U
SC
In-hospital mortality Complication Rate Mean Length of stay (days) 30-day readmission post-discharge
Hospital of Readmission Same Hospital, % Different Hospital, % 0.78 1.21 13.16 13.08 5.38 5.99 16.27 20.74
P-value 0.003 0.875 < 0.001 < 0.001
RI PT
Outcome
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Figure 1: Major Reasons for Readmissions* in Trauma patients; California State Inpatient Database, 2007 – 2011
Proportion of total readmissions, %
0
M AN U
SC
RI PT
Pain Cardiac Neurologic Wound complication Genitourinary Gastrointestinal Pulmonary Surgical Infections Psychiatric Musculoskeletal
5
10
15
20
25
AC C
EP
TE D
*Diagnoses categorized based on ICD-9 diagnosis codes used by Kassin et al.27 except musculoskeletal (malunion, nonunion, stress fractures, pathologic fractures, fracture of face bones, vertebral column, pelvis, upper limbs, and lower limbs) and psychiatric (alcohol- and drug-related conditions, schizophrenia, mood disorders, delusional disorders, nonpsychotic disorders due to brain damage) conditions.