Trajectories of Age-Related Arterial Stiffness in Chinese Men and Women

Trajectories of Age-Related Arterial Stiffness in Chinese Men and Women

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY VOL. 75, NO. 8, 2020 ª 2020 BY THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY FOUNDATION PUBLISHED BY ELSEVIER Tr...

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JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY

VOL. 75, NO. 8, 2020

ª 2020 BY THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY FOUNDATION PUBLISHED BY ELSEVIER

Trajectories of Age-Related Arterial Stiffness in Chinese Men and Women Yao Lu, MD, PHD,a,b,* Raimund Pechlaner, MD, PHD,c,* Jingjing Cai, MD, PHD,d,* Hong Yuan, MD, PHD,a,d,e Zhijun Huang, MD,a Guoping Yang, MD, PHD,a Jiangang Wang, MD, PHD,e Zhiheng Chen, MS,e Stefan Kiechl, MD,c,f Qingbo Xu, MD, PHDg,h

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND Arterial stiffening is central in the vascular aging process. Traditionally, vascular research has focused on atherosclerotic vascular disease, whereas arterial stiffness has not attracted similar attention. OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study was to assess lifetime trajectories of arterial stiffening in Chinese populations facing a high burden of cardiovascular disease, with a particular focus on age–sex interactions and potential determinants. METHODS This large-scale observational study comprised 2 independent cross-sectional population samples and 1 prospective cohort totaling 80,415 healthy subjects with brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurements available. Associations with potential risk conditions were analyzed using linear regression, linear random intercepts mixed models, and L1-regularized linear models. RESULTS The dynamics of age-dependent arterial stiffening differed in sexes, with stiffer vessel observed in men from adolescence to age 58 years and in women thereafter. The steeper increase in baPWV in women after menopause is partly explained by the fact that vascular risk factors are more strongly associated with arterial stiffness in women than in men. Age and systolic blood pressures were the strongest determinants of baPWV, whereas other vascular and metabolic risk factors, except low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, showed consistent associations of moderate strength. CONCLUSIONS The significant age–sex interaction in arterial stiffening provides an important clue of explanation for the heightened cardiovascular disease risk in postmenopausal women. Detailed knowledge on lifetime trajectories of arterial stiffening, and its potential risk factors is a prerequisite for the development of new prevention strategies counteracting vascular aging. (J Am Coll Cardiol 2020;75:870–80) © 2020 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

C

ardiovascular disease (CVD) has climbed to

of pathologies, including atherosclerosis, vascular

the number 1 cause of death worldwide (1).

calcification

Arterial stiffening is central in the vascular

end-stage renal disease, matrix degeneration, and

aging process underlying CVD and reflects a variety

genuine vascular aging featured by smooth muscle

and

inflammation,

vasculopathy

of

From the aCenter of Clinical Pharmacology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; bDepartment of Life Science and Medicine, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom; cDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria; dDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; eHealth Management Center, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China; fVASCage, Research Centre for Promoting Vascular Health in the Ageing Community, Innsbruck, Austria; gSchool of Cardiovascular Medicine and Sciences, King’s College London British Heart Foundation Centre, London, United Kingdom; and the hDepartment of Cardiology, Listen to this manuscript’s

the First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Zhejiang, China. *Drs. Lu, Pechlaner, and Cai contributed

audio summary by

equally to this work. This study was supported by the excellence initiative VASCage (Centre for Promoting Vascular Health in the

Editor-in-Chief

Ageing Community, project number 868624) of the Austrian Research Promotion Agency FFG (COMET program–Competence

Dr. Valentin Fuster on

Centers for Excellent Technologies) funded by the Austrian Ministry for Transport, Innovation and Technology; the Austrian

JACC.org.

Ministry for Digital and Economic Affairs; and the federal states Tyrol (via Standortagentur), Salzburg, and Vienna (via Vienna Business Agency); as well as by the National Science Foundation of China (81800393, 81870171, and 81570271) and the Science and Technology Planning Project of Hunan Province (2019RS2014). Dr. Kiechl is CSO of VASCage, a competence center of the Austrian Research Promotion Agency, with 50 university and company partners. All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose. Manuscript received September 23, 2019; revised manuscript received November 27, 2019, accepted December 10, 2019.

ISSN 0735-1097/$36.00

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2019.12.039

Lu et al.

JACC VOL. 75, NO. 8, 2020 MARCH 3, 2020:870–80

871

Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

cell senescence and stiffening, fragmentation and

cerebral microbleeds, cognitive impairment,

ABBREVIATIONS

degeneration of elastic fibers, and collagen accumula-

and dementia as well as lacunar stroke (2,18).

AND ACRONYMS

tion (Central Illustration) (2–6). The heightened CVD

A recent meta-analysis reported a 15% in-

risk related to preeclampsia and prematurity has

crease in all-cause mortality for each 1 m/s

also been tied to sustainable arterial stiffening

increase in aortic PWV (15), and PWV ranks

afforded by hypertensive damage to the vessel wall

among the strongest predictors for mortality

and inadequate elastin synthesis (5,7–9). On top of

independent of conventional vascular risk

structural changes in vessel wall composition, arterial

factors (15,19).

ABI = ankle-brachial index baPWV = brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity

BP = blood pressure CVD = cardiovascular disease LASSO = least absolute

stiffening commonly comprises a functional compo-

Despite the outstanding clinical relevance

nent potentially amenable to pharmacological and

of arterial stiffening, measurement of the

operator

lifestyle interventions (2,5).

PWV has not yet found broad access to clin-

NAFLD = nonalcoholic fatty

ical routine nor attracted adequate research

liver disease

interests. Only few and mainly small-scale

PWV = pulse wave velocity

SEE PAGE 881

Measurement of the pulse wave velocity (PWV) is a

shrinkage and selection

studies have compared PWVs in men and

validated approach to noninvasively quantify arterial

women and obtained inconsistent results (20–24).

stiffness (2,10). It represents the speed of the pressure

Here, we present lifetime trajectories of arterial

wave propagating along the artery and is directly

stiffness from adolescents to the elderly along with a

correlated to the rigidity of the vessel with a higher

comprehensive assessment of its predictors and spe-

velocity indicating stiffer vessels (2,10). Different

cial consideration of age–sex interactions, using 2

measurement techniques

carotid-

large cross-sectional studies and a longitudinal study

femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) (applanation

from China, which total an unprecedented 80,415

tonometry),

individuals.

brachial-ankle

focus

on

pulse

the

wave

velocity

(baPWV) (oscillometry), and segment-specific PWVs (11). cfPWV was the prime technique when distensi-

METHODS

bility measurements accessed published medical data in the mid-80s (12) and was recommended as a

STUDY

marker of asymptomatic organ damage by the 2013

population comprised 78,000 individuals from a

European Society of Hypertension guidelines for

mixed urban and rural area who visited the Health

the management of arterial hypertension. baPWV,

Management Center in the Third Xiangya Hospital of

which reflects the stiffness of both the central

Central South University (Changsha), the largest

conduit and peripheral arteries, was used more

medical institution in central China, between 2004

recently, but already offers the largest resource of

and 2016 (Online Figure 1). The participants came

PWV data. It is an inexpensive technique suitable

from hundreds of institutions in Changsha to check

for large-scale epidemiological studies and clinical

their health status and had a diverse socioeconomic

routine, and is less operator-dependent than cfPWV.

background (public services employees, workers,

Measurement of baPWV bears the advantages of

self-employed persons, farmers, and others). Partici-

high

simple

pation in the health examinations was on a voluntary

simultaneous

basis, but was encouraged by the employers and was

recording of the ankle-brachial index (10), and it

offered free of charge. A total of 9,899 individuals

correlates well with cfPWV in European and Asian

underwent a more detailed examination protocol and

populations (11,13,14).

formed the cross-sectional population I, and the

reproducibility, low

handling

in

obese

time

subjects,

demand, and

POPULATION. The

cross-sectional

study

The clinical sequela of arterial stiffening is sum-

remainder formed the cross-sectional population II.

marized in the Central Illustration. In brief, it is a main

The prospective cohort was enrolled at the same

cause of isolated systolic hypertension in the elderly

center (2012 to 2016) and comprised 2,415 individuals,

and increases left ventricular afterload, giving rise to

most with repeated annual measurements. The study

cardiac remodeling, ventricular hypertrophy, dia-

protocols were approved by the Ethics Committee of

stolic dysfunction, atrial fibrosis, and impaired coro-

the Central South University.

nary perfusion (2,5,6,15). Serious consequences are

CLINICAL CHARACTERISTICS. All participants un-

heart failure and aortic aneurysm development based

derwent

on local stiffness gradients (2,8,16,17). Arterial stiff-

completed detailed questionnaires. Age, sex, height,

ening also augments central blood and pulse pres-

weight, current medication from pill bottles, previous

sure, which damages the microcirculation of organs

medical diagnoses, exercise, smoking history, and

with low vascular resistance, especially the kidney

alcohol consumption were recorded according to

and brain, resulting in chronic kidney disease,

standard protocols. Assessment and definitions of

a

routine

clinical

examination

and

Lu et al.

JACC VOL. 75, NO. 8, 2020 MARCH 3, 2020:870–80

Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

C E NT R AL IL L U STR AT IO N Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness Extracellular matrix degeneration Elastic fiber fragmentation Collagen accumulation Smooth muscle cell senescence

End-organ damage: Chronic kidney disease Cerebral microangiopathy Cognitive impairment and dementia Lacunar stroke Cerebral microbleeds Arterial stiffness

Lifetime Trajectories of Arterial Stiffening Advanced atherosclerosis

Systolic hypertension Augmentation of central blood pressure

2,500 Pulse-Wave Velocity, cm/s

872

Vascular calcification and inflammation Vasculopathy of chronic kidney disease Diabetic macroangiopathy Contributors to arterial stiffness

Heart failure with and without preserved ejection fraction Cardiac remodeling Aortic aneurysm formation

2,000

Consequences of arterial stiffness

1,500

1,000 25

50 58

75

Age, Years Sex

Male

Female

Lu, Y. et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;75(8):870–80.

Contributors to and consequences of arterial stiffness and lifetime trajectories of arterial stiffness as measured by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) by age and sex in 80,415 healthy Chinese subjects. The vascular aging processes depicted on the left reduce arterial distensibility, causing hemodynamic changes that inflict damage on end organs, in particular the heart and organs with low vascular resistance like the kidney and brain, as summarized on the right. From adolescence to age 58 years, men featured higher baPWV than women, whereas a steeper increase in baPWV in women resulted in higher female baPWV afterwards.

the

clinical

characteristics

are

detailed

in

the

the brachial and posterior tibial artery waveforms.

Online Appendix.

Measurements

MEASUREMENT OF baPWV. The ankle-brachial index

average values of the left- and right-side assessments

(ABI) and baPWV and were measured simultaneously

was calculated. Two trained technicians performed

with an automatic waveform analyzer (BP-203 RPE

all measurements, and the interobserver and intra-

were

performed

twice,

and

the

III, Omron Health Medical, Dalian, China). After a

observer coefficients of variation were 4.9% and

minimum rest of 5 min in the supine position, 4 cuffs

7.8%, respectively, well within the range of 3.6% to

were wrapped around upper arms and ankles and

8.4% and 3.8% to 10.0%, respectively, reported in

connected to a plethysmographic sensor (volume

previous studies (10). baPWV measurements may be

pulse form) and oscillometric pressure sensor. ABI

biased in patients with severe atherosclerosis in the

was measured as the ratio of the ankle systolic blood

lower legs (10,25). Therefore, in case of an ABI <0.9,

pressure (BP) divided by the brachial systolic BP.

we only considered the baPWV of the other side. In

Pressure waveforms were recorded at both the

case of bilateral ABIs <0.9, subjects were excluded

brachial and tibial arteries to assess the transmission

from the analysis. Moreover, substantial side differ-

time between the initial rises in these waves. The

ences in the baPWV of more than 10 m/s indicate

baPWV was calculated using the formula (La  Lb)/

problems with measurement. Participants with such

OTba, in which La is the distance from the heart to

pronounced differences were excluded (w0.01%)

the ankle, Lb the distance from the heart to the

as

brachium, and OTba the transmission time between

55 m/s (<0.01%) or age younger than 10 years (10,25).

were

participants

with

a

baPWV

beyond

Lu et al.

JACC VOL. 75, NO. 8, 2020 MARCH 3, 2020:870–80

Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

T A B L E 1 Associations of Clinical and Laboratory Characteristics With Vessel Stiffness (baPWV) in 2 Cross-Sectional and 1 Longitudinal

Community-Based Study From Changsha, Adjusted for Age, Sex, and Age–Sex Interaction Cross-Sectional Study I Estimate

p Value

Cross-Sectional Study II

Longitudinal Study

n

Estimate

p Value

n

Estimate

p Value

n

5,430

Anthropometry Height, cm

37.2

<0.0001

5,514

37.7

<0.0001

40,718

0.2

0.285

Weight, kg

2.7

0.480

5,519

3.6

0.012

40,721

0.3

0.058

5,432

Body mass index, kg/m2

13.4

<0.0001

5,514

14.5

<0.0001

54,097

1.4

0.002

5,434

Obesity, yes/no

38.8

0.012

5,514

45.2

<0.0001

54,097

16.6

0.022

5,434

Waist circumference, cm

24.9

<0.0001

9,620

22.4

<0.0001

65,766

0.8

<0.0001

5,409

10.2

<0.0001

58,978

3.9

0.280

4,585

8.5

0.226

5,330

2.0

0.460

33,314

5.7

0.061

4,602

2.0

0.496

5,269

Lifestyle and social status Current smoking, yes/no

NA

Regular alcohol drinking, yes/no Physical activity, every day vs. other

30.6

<0.0001

5,405

20.2

<0.0001

34,717

Marriage, married vs. single/divorced

59.3

<0.0001

8,950

91.9

<0.0001

40,150

Occupation, worker vs. other

8.9

0.119

7,285

12.8

<0.0001

49,484

NA

Annual income, <50 KRMB vs. $50 KRMB

48.4

0.102

174

22.9

0.093

1,008

NA

Education, university degree vs. other

NA

NA 8.6

NA

0.003

5,489

Classic vascular risk factors Hypertension, yes/no

175.1

<0.0001

9,812

177.7

<0.0001

67,583

11.8

<0.0001

5,489

Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg

130.6

<0.0001

9,736

130.5

<0.0001

66,736

1.1

<0.0001

5,440

Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg

92.4

<0.0001

9,737

94.6

<0.0001

66,739

1.5

<0.0001

5,440

Pulse pressure, mm Hg

92.5

<0.0001

9,736

90.1

<0.0001

66,733

0.9

<0.0001

5,440

Heart rate, beats/min

72.8

<0.0001

9,879

67.4

<0.0001

67,916

0.7

<0.0001

3,449

Diabetes, yes/no

86.4

<0.0001

9,812

94.9

<0.0001

67,583

22.4

<0.0001

5,489 5,486

Fasting blood glucose, mmol/l

42.8

<0.0001

9,832

40.3

<0.0001

67,574

2.5

0.005

HDL cholesterol, mmol/l

13.2

<0.0001

9,833

7.6

<0.0001

67,611

5.6

0.123

5,486

LDL cholesterol, mmol/l

2.0

0.392

9,818

2.6

0.004

67,585

2.8

0.063

5,486

Triglycerides, mmol/l

28.9

<0.0001

9,837

26.0

<0.0001

67,618

0.3

0.796

5,486

5.3

0.802

9,879

1.4

0.872

67,231

Lipid-lowering drugs, yes/no

NA

Emerging risk factors and other Creatinine, mmol/l

8.0

0.004

9,836

8.3

<0.0001

67,607

0.0

0.709

Renal disease, yes/no

178.6

<0.0001

9,836

163.7

<0.0001

67,607

7.8

0.228

5,485

Uric acid, mmol/l

24.6

<0.0001

9,836

28.1

<0.0001

67,605

0.0

0.613

5,485

NAFLD, yes/no

50.7

<0.0001

9,812

45.5

<0.0001

67,583

ALT, U/l

14.8

<0.0001

9,833

13.6

<0.0001

67,545

0.2

0.039

AST, U/l

16.3

<0.0001

7,425

13.1

<0.0001

51,039

Albumin, g/l

24.2

<0.0001

9,834

26.8

<0.0001

67,560

5,485

NA 5,486

NA 1.0

0.037

5,486

WBC, 109/l

NA

NA

1.7

0.045

5,486

Hemoglobin, g/l

NA

NA

0.3

<0.001

5,486

Effects represent the difference in PWV associated with a 1-SD higher level of or versus reference category of each row variable. For longitudinal analyses, associations of baseline level of each row variable with change in PWV per year are shown. Analyses are adjusted for age, sex, and their interaction. Cross-sectional results are derived from linear regression, and longitudinal results from linear random intercepts mixed models. Variation in number of subjects used for each variable are due to missing data. 1 SD of PWV was 289 cm/s in cross-sectional study I, 287 cm/s in cross-sectional study II, and 358 cm/s in the longitudinal study. Smoking was not computed in cross-sectional study I because 100% were smokers in this population sample. ALT ¼ alanine transaminase; AST ¼ aspartate transaminase; baPWV ¼ brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity; HDL ¼ high-density lipoprotein; KRMB ¼ 1,000 Renminbi; LDL ¼ low-density lipoprotein; NA ¼ variable not available in this population; NAFLD ¼ nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; WBC ¼ white blood cell count.

In

100

individuals,

both

baPWV

and

cfPWV

were measured. LABORATORY

trajectories of baPWV by age for men and women MEASUREMENTS. Fasting

venous

blood samples were collected and were immediately processed and analyzed at the clinical laboratory of Third

density estimates using Gaussian kernels. Smooth

Xiangya

Hospital,

as

detailed

in

the

Online Appendix.

were calculated using generalized additive models with the smoothness of fit determined by generalized cross-validation. The crossing point of sex-specific age trajectories was defined as the point of minimal predicted difference of the generalized additive models fits along a finely spaced grid.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS. Distributions of baPWV by

Cross-sectional associations with baPWV were

age and sex groups were illustrated using kernel

analyzed using linear regression, adjusted for age,

873

874

Lu et al.

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Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

sex,

Multivariable

(Online Figure 1). In the prospective cohort, 5,489

(independent) associations were investigated using

and

age–sex

data points were available for analysis. Population

L1-regularized linear regression (LASSO) (26). The

characteristics are summarized in Online Table 1.

hyperparameter lambda governing model sparsity

AGE AND SEX TRAJECTORIES OF ARTERIAL STIFFNESS.

was determined by cross-validating mean squared

Figures 1A and 1B display absolute values and distri-

error along the regularization path. The 1-SE rule was

butions of baPWV for each decade of age in men and

used to select the model with the fewest nonzero

women. Whereas baPWV was low in adolescents, it

parameters whose error is within 1 SE of the error of

gradually increased and became more disperse

the

mean

throughout adulthood. Importantly, women had

squared error. The following variables featuring

more dispensable vessels than men until after

model

with

interaction.

minimal

cross-validated

>20% missing values were excluded from the LASSO

menopause, whereas elderly women exhibited stiffer

analysis to facilitate adequate numbers of subjects

vessels than men had. Generalized additive models

available for complete case analysis: height, weight,

suggest a crossing point of age trajectories at about 58

body mass index, obesity, aspartate transaminase,

years of age (Figure 1C). The age–sex interaction was

alcohol consumption, physical activity, marriage,

highly significant (p ¼ 4.46  10151 ).

education, occupation, income, white blood cell

ASSOCIATIONS BETWEEN POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS

count, and hemoglobin.

AND baPWV. Cross-sectional relationships are sum-

Longitudinal associations with baPWV in the pro-

marized in Table 1. Effects represent the difference in

spective cohort were analyzed using linear mixed

baPWV associated with a 1-SD higher level of each

models on change in baPWV. Adjustment variables

variable adjusted for age, sex, and the age–sex inter-

included were the same as used for cross-sectional

action. Findings were highly consistent in the 2 in-

analyses in addition to baseline baPWV and time

dependent

difference in years. The effect of each variable on

associations were observed for hypertension, blood

changes in baPWV per year from baseline was calcu-

and pulse pressure, heart rate, diabetes, renal disease

lated using an interaction effect of the variable of

and various components of the metabolic syndrome,

interest with time difference from baseline.

body mass index and central obesity, smoking, renal

cross-sectional

populations.

Positive

Associations with baPWV in age and sex subgroups

function, uric acid, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

were analyzed using linear regression. Age groups

(NAFLD), and albumin levels, whereas inverse asso-

were defined by a cut-off equivalent to the crossing

ciations emerged for height, physical activity, and

point of sex-specific age trajectories. Within both age

high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol as well as

groups, models included age as a continuous variable,

being married and pursuing an occupation with a high

sex, and appropriate terms for interaction by sex.

level of physical activity (workers). No consistent

Main effects for men and women as well as interac-

associations were found for regular alcohol drinking,

tion effects were extracted simultaneously using

low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and use of lipid-

linear combinations of parameters.

lowering drugs.

Continuous variables were scaled to unit variance

Most associations were successfully replicated in

before analysis to determine effects for a 1-SD dif-

the longitudinal cohort (Table 1, right-hand columns:

ference. Missing values were managed by performing

effects represent 1-year changes in baPWV associated

complete case analyses separately for each variable,

with a 1-SD–higher baseline level of population char-

and the respective numbers of subjects considered is

acteristics). This was true for hypertension, blood and

stated in Table 1.

pulse pressure, heart rate, diabetes, body mass index,

The p values are 2-sided, and an alpha level of 0.05

obesity and central obesity, HDL cholesterol, alanine

was used to define statistical significance. We did not

transaminase as a laboratory surrogate of NAFLD,

formally correct for multiple comparisons, but repli-

albumin, and social variables. Replication failed for

cated key findings in the independent population

smoking, physical activity, renal function and renal

samples. All analyses were conducted using R version

disease, and uric acid. These findings, however,

3.6.0

should be interpreted in view of a lower statistical

(R

Foundation

for

Statistical

Computing,

Vienna, Austria).

power in the longitudinal analyses.

RESULTS

LASSO based on a combined dataset of the 2 cross-

Multivariable associations were tested by means of sectional studies and baseline measurements of the STUDY POPULATION. The overall study population

longitudinal study (n ¼ 66,058 subjects with com-

comprised 80,415 individuals age 14 to 96 years

plete variable information). The final selection of

Lu et al.

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Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

F I G U R E 1 Distribution of Mean baPWV by Age and Sex

C Pulse-Wave Velocity, cm/s

Pulse-Wave Velocity, cm/s

A 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

-2 0, n -3 = 0, 74 30 n = -4 5, 0, 14 n 6 40 = -5 14 0, ,9 19 50 n = 27 -6 ,8 0, 46 n = 60 1 8, -7 67 0, 2 n 70 = 8, -8 74 0, 6 n 80 = -1 4 ,11 00 3 ,n = 69 5

25

Male

Female

20

10

Sex

50 58 75 Age, Years

Age Category Sex

Male

Female

B 10-20, n = 74

20-30, n = 5,146

30-40, n = 14,919

40-50, n = 27,846

50-60, n = 18,672

60-70, n = 8,746

70-80, n = 4,113

80-100, n = 695

0.003

0.002

Density

0.001

0.000

0.003

0.002

0.001

0.000 1,000 3,000 5,000 1,000 3,000 5,000 1,000 3,000 5,000 1,000 3,000 5,000 Pulse-Wave Velocity, cm/s Sex

Male

Female

(A) Box plots showing baPWV by sex and decades of age; (B) kernel density estimates using Gaussian kernels to display an overlay of female and male baPWV distributions by decades of age; (C) smooth trajectories of mean baPWV by age and sex with 95% confidence band, based on generalized additive model fits, with the crossing point of sex-specific baPWV curves marked. A steeper increase of baPWV in young adult men resulted in higher male than female baPWV up to middle age, but at age 58 years the curves crossed, with women featuring higher baPWV afterwards.

875

876

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Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

variables in the multivariable model is summarized in Table 2. Characteristics of the population sample used

T A B L E 2 Multivariable Associations Between Clinical/

Laboratory Characteristics and Vessel Stiffness (baPWV)

in this analysis closely matched those of the entire Coefficient (cm/s)

study population (Online Table 1). Intercept*

1,391.3

ASSOCIATIONS BETWEEN POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS

Systolic blood pressure

108.4

AND

Age

105.9

baPWV

ACCORDING

TO

AGE

AND

SEX.

Figures 2A and 2B plot effect sizes in women (x-axis)

Hypertension

59.5

against effect sizes in men (y-axis) in 2 age groups

Renal disease

46.7

according to the 58-year age cut-off. With few ex-

Heart rate

41.4

Fasting blood glucose

15.6

Age  female interaction

15.1

Smoking

8.6

Uric acid

4.8

ceptions, characteristics were more strongly associated with baPWV in women (indicated by blue dots in Figures 2A and 2B). Findings were almost identical if the analysis was confined to the LASSO cohort (Online

Diabetes

Figures 2A and 2B).

Female

3.4

Waist circumference

2.8

DISCUSSION Arterial stiffness represents a promising therapeutic

3.5

Pulse pressure

1.9

Creatinine

1.0

Triglycerides

0.9

target to counteract vascular aging (2,5). For quantification of arterial stiffness, we assessed the baPWV, a valuable alternative to the traditional cfPWV, applicable to large-scale epidemiological studies. Both measures are highly correlated (r ¼ 0.46 to 0.75 [13,27] and r ¼ 0.56 in a subsample of our own population), show consistent patterns of association with risk factors (11,13,27), and qualify as excellent predictors for mortality (15,19). This study is the first to present lifetime trajec-

Effects are for a 1-SD increase or versus reference category. This analysis uses a combined dataset (n ¼ 66,058, see the Methods section) with complete case analysis to estimate associations with PWV by an L1-regularized linear model (LASSO). The following variables were not considered because more than 20% of values were missing: height, weight, body mass index, obesity, alcohol consumption, physical activity, marriage, education, occupation, income, aspartate transaminase, white blood cell count, and hemoglobin. The following variables were not selected by LASSO: diastolic blood pressure, HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, lipid-lowering drugs, NAFLD, and alanine transaminase. *The intercept is different from the other variables listed because it does not reflect any association with PWV, but rather the estimated value of PWV when all the other variables are zero. Abbreviations as in Table 1.

tories of arterial stiffening from adolescents to the elderly in a very large community-derived dataset of

our study demonstrating a greater association with

80,415 individuals (Figure 1) with a particular focus on

baPWV

age–sex interactions (Figure 1C). As a key finding and

(Figures 2A and 2B). This finding accords with the

for

almost

all

risk

factors

in

women

in close agreement with previous studies, vessels

more injurious effects of several vascular risk factors

were stiffer in men from early adulthood onward with

like hypertension and diabetes in women compared

a near linear increase in PWV during life (5,20–24).

with men for heart failure (8) and CVD (32). Pre-

Women, in contrast, showed a substantial augmen-

clinical studies also suggest mechanistic differences

tation of the age-related increase in arterial stiffness

in vascular aging and arterial stiffening in men and

after menopause resulting in a curve-linear increase

women (5,29,33).

in baPWV and crossing of the male age trajectories at

As to the age–sex interaction, similarities exist

an age of about 58 years (Figure 1C). In line, a

with atherosclerosis, which, at the carotid level, starts

number of previous studies have demonstrated

about 10 years earlier in men compared with women

accelerated

menopause

(34). In the decade after menopause, the sex gap in

(5,10,20,24,28–30) and suggested a 6- to 10-year

atherosclerosis prevalence narrows; however, the

transition period to achieve an unfavorable post-

plaque burden remains lower in women throughout

menopausal vessel status (30), which fits well to the

life (34). Atherosclerosis is 1 and maybe not the most

crossing point of sex-specific age trajectories in our

compelling source of arterial stiffening in humans,

study (mean menopausal age in the survey area, 49

given its predilection site in the intima, whereas the

years). Potential reasons for the steeper increase in

tunica media is the vessel’s load-bearing structure

arterial stiffness after menopause include hormonal

mainly responsible for its biomechanical properties

changes, oxidative stress, and body iron accumula-

(2). Arterial stiffness is a comprehensive marker of

tion, as well as a higher susceptibility to conventional

vascular aging, subsuming the injurious effects of

vascular risk factors accumulating after menopause

diverse pathologies including vascular calcification

(5,8,29–31). The latter issue is directly supported by

and inflammation, vasculopathy of end-stage renal

vascular

stiffening

with

Lu et al.

JACC VOL. 75, NO. 8, 2020 MARCH 3, 2020:870–80

Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

F I G U R E 2 Associations Between Risk Factors and baPWV by Sex and Age

A 150

Hypertension

Stronger in males

Renal disease

Systolic blood pressure

100

Diastolic blood pressure

Effect in Males

Diabetes Heart rate Obesity

50

0

Pulse pressure

NAFLD

Fasting blood glucose Albumin Waist Uric acid Triglycerides Alcohol drinking BMI AST Lipid lowering drugs ALT Smoking Annual income (<50 vs. >50) Creatinine Weight LDL cholesterol HDL cholesterol Occupation (worker vs. other)

Stronger in females

Physical activity (everyday vs. other) Height

–50

Marriage (married vs. single/divorced)

–50

0

50

100 150 Effect in Females

200

250

B Systolic blood pressure

150

Stronger in males Diastolic blood pressure Pulse pressure

Hypertension

Renal disease

Annual income (<50 vs. >50)

Diabetes

100 Effect in Males

Heart rate

NAFLD

50

Triglycerides Fasting blood glucose

Alcohol drinking

0

Marriage (married vs. single/divorced) Albumin Uric acid Creatinine Waist ALT BMI AST Smoking Obesity LDL cholesterol

HDL C Physical activity (everyday vs. other)

Stronger in females

Weight

Occupation (worker vs. other)

–50

Height

–50

Lipid lowering drugs

0

50

100 150 Effect in Females

Significant Interaction by Sex

200

250

No Significant Interaction by Sex

(A) Individuals age <58 years; (B) individuals age $58 years. Dark blue dots indicate significantly stronger effects in women, and red dots in men. Within both age groups, models included age as a continuous variable, sex, and appropriate terms for interaction by sex. Effects represent difference in baPWV per 1-SD increase or versus reference group in cm/s. Effects of risk factors were stronger in female than male participants for most risk factors, both before and after the age of 58 years. ALT ¼ alanine aminotransferase; AST ¼ aspartate aminotransferase; BMI ¼ body-mass index; HDL ¼ high-density lipoprotein; LDL ¼ low-density lipoprotein; NAFLD ¼ nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; (<50 vs. >50) ¼ income greater than vs. less than 50,000 Renminbi.

877

878

Lu et al.

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Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

disease, matrix degeneration, and genuine vascular

glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 in our

aging (2–6).

study. Effect sizes related to diabetes, however, were

Overall, arterial stiffening may be a key driver of

more variable: þ7% (baPWV) in the current Chinese

the enhanced cardiovascular risk burden of women

population compared with þ20% and þ25% (cfPWV)

after menopause. On top of having stiffer vessels,

in studies from the United States and Brazil (40,41).

consequences of arterial stiffening have been re-

Potential explanations include differences in patient

ported to be more serious in women than in men.

characteristics and management as well as effects by

Women develop greater increases in pulse pressure,

ethnicity.

and the predictive capacity of PWV for all-cause

The extent to which each individual predictor of

mortality is up to 2-fold higher in women (5,22,35).

baPWV in this study generalizes to cfPWV measure-

Moreover, relevant consequences of arterial stiff-

ments is unclear, but in light of their strong correla-

ening like aortic aneurysm rupture, heart failure

tion, good agreement may be expected. Validation

with

coronary

studies from Europe and China yielded broadly

microvascular dysfunctions are more common in

consistent patterns of associations with vascular risk

women (5,8).

factors and outcomes for both techniques, even

preserved

ejection

fraction,

and

Absolute values of baPWV in our study are

though the strength of association may be higher for

strikingly similar to published reference values from

cfPWV regarding organ damage and for baPWV

Asia, but are higher than those observed in Euro-

regarding risk factors and coronary calcium, at least

pean populations (11,28,36). Our study is confirma-

in Europeans (11,14,42).

tory (2,6,10,11), in that: 1) age, hypertension, blood

Overall, our study adds significantly to the previ-

and pulse pressure, metabolic diseases (diabetes,

ous published data in that it reports associations from

glucose level, and central obesity), uric acid, and

a large dataset (for some risk predictors exceeding the

renal function all were positively related and regu-

size of the largest available meta-analysis) and repli-

lar physical activity, height, HDL cholesterol, and

cates risk factor associations in a prospective cohort

measures of higher social status all were inversely

with multiple measurements of baPWV. Only few

related to arterial stiffness; 2) low-density lipopro-

studies so far have presented longitudinal data on

tein cholesterol as a key risk factor of atheroscle-

baseline risk factor levels and changes of PWV over

rosis emerged as unrelated; and 3) age and systolic

time (36).

BP exhibited by far the strongest relationships STUDY

(Table 1).

STRENGTHS AND

LIMITATIONS. As

main

Uncertainties still surround the role of smoking in

strengths, high statistical power and inclusion of the

arterial stiffening, with some studies reporting pos-

entire relevant age range enabled thorough assess-

itive, null, or even negative associations (2,6,11). Our

ment of lifetime trajectories and age–sex interactions.

study yielded a positive cross-sectional association

Our study relies on by far the largest PWV dataset

of modest strength, which withstood multivariable

currently available and enables broad internal repli-

adjustment, but was not confirmed in the prospec-

cation by consideration of 3 independent population

tive analysis. Intriguingly, a strong and consistent

samples. Data accuracy for baPWV measurements was

association of NAFLD and its prime laboratory

high given very low numbers of implausible absolute

markers

amino-

baPWV values or side differences, demonstration of

transferase with arterial stiffness emerged. This

good in-house reproducibility, careful consideration

finding accords with a recent meta-analysis of 12

of heart rate and height as physical determinants of

studies (37,38). Insulin resistance, adipokine imbal-

PWV, and availability of ABI enabling exclusion of

ance, and chronic low-grade inflammation have been

individuals with severe peripheral artery disease.

suggested

Limitations include the number of missing values

alanine

as

transaminase/aspartate

potential

pathophysiological

links

(37,38).

(Table 1). It merits attention, however, that the char-

Renal disease and diabetes are key contributors to

acteristics of the subpopulation with complete vari-

vascular stiffness. In Australian patients, severely

able assessment and the entire population were

decreased kidney function (mean estimated glomer-

strikingly similar (Online Table 1, right-hand col-

ular filtration rate ¼ 19.5 ml/min/1.73 m 2) conferred an

umns).

approximately 20% higher cfPWV (39), which is in

community-derived (volunteers) but do not represent

good proportion to the 12% higher baPWV among

random samples, and study data may not necessarily

patients with any renal disease defined by estimated

apply

Moreover,

to

the

populations

study

of

populations

non-Chinese

were

heritage.

Lu et al.

JACC VOL. 75, NO. 8, 2020 MARCH 3, 2020:870–80

Lifetime Age Trajectories of Arterial Stiffness

Observational studies cannot infer causality for the

RAAS system (inhibition of angiotensin II) or with

associations obtained (Table 1). Finally, information

systemic inflammation (2,5).

on atrial fibrillation, which may affect PWV measurement and on the exact age of menopause were

ADDRESS

not available.

Kiechl, Department of Neurology, Medical Univer-

FOR

CORRESPONDENCE:

Dr.

Stefan

sity of Innsbruck, Anichstr. 35, A-6020 Innsbruck,

CONCLUSIONS

Austria. E-mail: [email protected]. Twitter: @imed_tweets. OR Dr. Qingbo Xu, Department of

The current study unraveled a significant age–sex

Cardiology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang

interaction in arterial stiffness with higher PWV in

University, 79 Qingchun Road, Hangzhou 310003,

men compared with premenopausal women but

Zhejiang, China. E-mail: [email protected].

higher PWV in postmenopausal women compared with men, which is partly explained by differential effects of risk factors on the vascular aging process in both sexes. These data provide a valuable clue for a

PERSPECTIVES

better understanding of the enhanced CVD risk in

COMPETENCY IN MEDICAL KNOWLEDGE: Arterial stiff-

women after menopause. Availability of age trajec-

ening is an inherent feature of vascular aging. Although men

tories of arterial stiffness and more detailed infor-

have stiffer vessels than women until about 58 years of age, the

mation on potential underlying risk factors sets the

opposite is true thereafter, due to accelerated stiffening in

groundwork for the future clinical use of PWV mea-

women after menopause.

surements as a surrogate of vascular and biological age (2,6,15,19) and as an appealing target for preventive pharmacological and lifestyle interventions. Potentially effective therapeutic measures include caloric restriction (weight loss and induction of autophagy) (5,43,44), special diets and supplements (e.g., low-sodium high-potassium diet, polyphenol supplements, curcumin, and nicotinamide) (5,45,46), exercise programs (e.g., 12 weeks of moderate aerobic

COMPETENCY IN PATIENT CARE AND PROCEDURAL SKILLS: Vascular stiffness, as assessed by measurement of PWV, responds favorably to lifestyle and pharmacological interventions. TRANSLATIONAL OUTLOOK: Future studies in large patient cohorts should incorporate PWV measurements as a potential target for therapeutic intervention to reduce atherosclerotic risk.

exercise) (5,47,48), and drugs interfering with the

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KEY WORDS arterial stiffening, gender, pulse wave velocity, risk factors, vascular aging

A PPE NDI X For an expanded Methods section as well as a supplemental table and figures, please see the online version of this paper.