3
patient characteristics
For there is a wind or a ghost of wind in all books echoing the life there, a high wind that fills the tubes of the ear until we think we hear a wind, actual.
William Carlos Williams “The Library” American Journal of Kidney Diseases, Vol 49, Suppl 1 (January, 2007): pp S85–S98.
3
patient characteristics
88 | cardiovascular comorbidity in diabetic & non-diabetic patients with hypertension 90 | adherence to prescription drug therapy at or near initiation ACE-Is/ARBs || beta blockers || calcium channel blockers || diuretics || lipid lowering agents || antidiabetic drugs 92 | EPO use & anemia at initiation mean hemoglobin || EPO use || geographic variations in mean hemoglobin & in pre-ESRD EPO use 94 | biochemical characteristics BUN || serum creatinine || BUN/serum creatinine ratio 96 | predictors of eGFR eGFR at initiation || body mass index || eGFR, by diabetic status & cardiac comorbidity, & by number of comorbidities 98 | summary
contents
Figure 3.13 Patients who receive EPO prior to initiation are likely to have higher mean hemoglobins than those not on the therapy. Figure 3.16 Since 1999, blacks have experienced the largest increase in mean hemoglobin at initiation—approximately 0.5 g/dl. Figure 3.21 Native Americans had the largest decrease in BUN levels between 1995 and 2005, at 12.3 mg/dl, and in 2005 also had the lowest BUNs at initiation, at 79.6 mg/dl; the highest levels occurred in Asians and whites, at 85.2 and 83.9 mg/dl, respectively. Figure 3.29 In 2005, estimated glomerular filtration rates rose slightly compared to those in 2004, but the upward trend of these rates since 1995 appears to be leveling.
highlights
B
ecause patients with chronic kidney disease are more likely to die than to reach end-stage renal disease, incident ESRD patients—who have survived CKD—are unique. And it should not be surprising that they are affected by an increasing level of comorbidity. Þ Since diabetes is the leading cause of ESRD, we assessed the total burden of the disease at the initiation of ESRD therapy. As either a primary or secondary cause of ESRD, the occurrence of diabetes in new patients has grown, in whites, from 43.9 percent in 1995 to 49.8 percent in 2004, and in Asians from 45.6 to 52.9 percent. Over the same period the total diabetes burden assessed in those who survive the first year of ESRD treatment has increased from 59 to 66 percent in whites, 60.6 to 66.3 percent in blacks, 82.4 to 86.1 percent in Native Americans, and 57.4 to 66.9 percent in Asians. Increases in comorbidity at initiation had appeared to stabilize after 1996, but overall CVD comorbidity masks increases in CHF, ISHD, and PVD, most notably in the black population. Þ We look here also at the prescription drug therapy used to treat some of these diseases. Since medication adherence is an indicator of consistency of treatment, we report on the Medication Possession Ratio, a measure of gaps in the refilling of prescriptions. Among patients receiving ACE-Is or ARBs, almost one-third have missed a prescription in a six-month period, a number which reaches 45 percent for those with at least 12 months of treatment. This pattern is similar for those treated with beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, or diuretics. With these medications shown in clinical trials to influence outcomes, adherence to treatment is an area of concern for the ESRD population. Þ Over the last decade there has been a slow but steady increase in the mean hemoglobin level at initiation of ESRD treatment, from 9.2 to 10.3 g/dl between May, 1995, and May, 2005; the percent of patients receiving erythropoietin treatment prior to initiation has grown as well, but has remained at 33 percent for the last four years. As noted in previous ADRs, African-American patients entering treatment have lower hemoglobins, but it appears that the disparity between whites and blacks is narrowing. Interestingly, patients who enter ESRD with secondary glomerulonephritis have hemoglobin levels almost 0.5–1.0 g/dl lower than those with ESRD due to primary glomerular diseases, and their EPO use before initiation is lower. These data suggest that pre-ESRD anemia management needs to improve, using National Kidney Foundation guidelines. Þ Lower hemoglobin levels at initiation are, not surprisingly, associated with high BUNs and creatinines, or the most advanced stage of kidney failure, and with greater comorbidity, linked to earlier initiation of ESRD therapy and greater severity of disease. Þ Lower BUN and creatinine levels at initiation suggest that patients are starting dialysis earlier in their course of progression to ESRD. BUN/creatinine ratios increase with age, are
2006 annual data report || chapter three 100
White
Black
Native American
Asian
Percent of patients
80 60 40 20 0 100 80 60 40
New diabetes in first year of ESRD Secondary diagnosis Primary diagnosis
20 0 95
97
99
01
03
95
Patients with ƞincident 3.1 diabetes, by race ESRD patients || Figure 3.1 patients
with first or new Medical Evidence forms filed between May, 1995, & June, 2005, surviving at least one year, & with Medicare coverage. New diagnoses of diabetes identified from claims in the one year following the first service date.
97
lowest in blacks, and appear to reflect increasing comorbidity. Þ Using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula, which includes serum creatinine, age, gender, and race, we look at estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs). At initiation, eGFRs increased from 7.5 to 10.1 ml/min/1.73 m2 between 1995 and 2005, 99 01 03 and similar trends are noted across all racial and ethnic groups. While these estimates may be subject to variation due to differences in racial and ethnic groups (such as the Asian and Hispanic populations, in whom the MDRD formula has not been validated) and the lack of standardization in serum creatinine measurements, the increase is clear. Þ There appear to be only slight differences in eGFRs of diabetic and non-diabetic patients, based on overall cardiovascular disease and single cardiovascular conditions. There are differences, however, based on the number of comorbid conditions, particularly in non-diabetics. Individuals with the greatest number of comorbidities have the highest eGFRs, consistent with the idea that patients are initiating ESRD treatment earlier because of the increasing complexity of their comorbid conditions, and that congestive heart failure, fluid overload, hyperkalemia, acidosis, and uremic symptoms are indicating the need for therapy. Þ Body mass index continues to rise, increasing from 25.3 in 1995 to 28.2 in 2005, a trend consistent across all age, gender, racial and ethnic groups. Þ In conclusion, the incident population is becoming older and more complicated in its comorbidity, and appears to be starting ESRD therapy with higher glomerular filtration rates—a reflection of both the increasing disease burden and, in those with low BMIs, malnutrition as well. Hemoglobin levels at initiation have improved, but interventions with erythropoietin seem to have peaked in 2002, with only a third of patients now receiving this treatment. Almost 70 percent of patients starting ESRD therapy have hemoglobin levels less than 11 g/dl, the lower end of the target suggested by the National Kidney Foundation’s K/DOQI guidelines. Although patients appear to be initiating treatment with higher eGFRs, the level of comorbidity seems to be stabilizing in whites but continuing to increase among blacks. Þ Of continued concern is whether those patients who reach ESRD carry a growing burden of comorbidity, thereby increasing the burden of illness in the population that finally reaches end-stage renal disease and requires attention by providers and care delivery systems. The USRDS will analyze this trend in the future to determine whether the lowering of the incident rates in some subpopulations, noted in Chapter Two, might lead to a disproportional representation of patients in other groups who have greater burdens of disease.
S87
3
patient characteristics cardiovascular comorbidity
S88
terparts; among those with diabetes and hypertension, the percent hospitalized with
any cardiovascular disease increased from 29.3 in 1984 to 44.2 in 2003. Þ
Cardiovascular comorbidity in incident patients who survive 3.2 one year after ESRD initiation: DM patients with HTN, by race Percent of patients hospitalized
80
All
White
incident Medicare pts surviving 1 yr + 90 days after initiation Black
All cardiovascular disease CHF 60 ISHD PVD 40
20
0 84
3.3 100
88
92
96
00
84
88 92 96 00 Year of initiation
84
88
92
96
00
Cardiovascular comorbidity in incident pts who survive one year after ESRD initiation: DM pts with HTN, by age & race
incident Medicare pts surviving one year + 90 days after initiation
All CVD: all patients
Black
20-44 45-64
80
White 65-74 75+
60 40 20 0 50
CHF
40 30 Percent of patients hospitalized
P
rior to 1995, comorbid conditions were not included on the Medical Evidence form, making it difficult to assess long-term comorbidity. As an alternative, we again use inpatient hospitalization claims to assess comorbidity, looking here at the presence of cardiovascular disease since 1984 in diabetic and non-diabetic patients with hypertension. Among incident diabetic patients with hypertension, the proportion hospitalized with any cardiovascular disease in the first year of therapy increased from 41.0 percent in 1984 to 60.3 percent in 2003; most of this growth, however, occurred during the 1980s and early 1990s, and since 1997 the rate has remained stable at 59–60 percent (Figure 3.2). A similar pattern is seen among nondiabetic patients with hypertension (Figure 3.4). The proportion hospitalized with cardiovascular disease rose from 40 percent in 1984 to 55 percent in 2003, with rates remaining at 54–55 percent since 1997. The proportion of incident patients hospitalized with congestive heart failure has also increased—from 18 percent in 1984 to 36.4 percent in 2003 among diabetic patients with hypertension, and from 18 percent to 32 percent among those with hypertension only. Rates of ischemic heart disease, in contrast, have remained relatively steady, varying between 10 and 15 percent in diabetic patients, and 10 and 14 percent in non-diabetics. And since 1995, peripheral vascular disease has been found in 14–15 percent of hospitalized patients with diabetes and hypertension, and 9–11 percent of those with hypertension only. Cardiovascular comorbidity differs by race. In 2003, for example, among hospitalized diabetic patients with hypertension, 62.2 percent of whites had some form of cardiovascular disease, compared to 57.4 percent of blacks. Among hospitalized nondiabetic patients with hypertension, the numbers were 58.1 and 51.1, respectively. The presense of cardiovascular disease also varies by age (Figures 3.3 and 3.5). Regardless of diabetic status or race, patients age 65 and older are most likely to be hospitalized with the disease, and patients age 20–44 the least. These younger patients, however, have seen a greater increase in cardiovascular disease than their older coun-
20 10 0 30
ISHD
20
10
0 25
PVD
20 15 10 5 0 84
88
92
96
00
84
88 92 96 00 Year of initiation
84
88
92
96
00
2006 annual data report || chapter three
comorbidity in incident patients who survive 3.4 Cardiovascular 1 year after ESRD initiation: NDM patients with HTN, by race Percent of patients hospitalized
80
All
White
incident Medicare pts surviving 1 yr + 90 days after initiation Black
All cardiovascular disease CHF 60 ISHD PVD
40
20
0
84
88
92
96
00
84
88 92 96 00 Year of initiation
Cardiovascular comorbidity in incident pts who survive one 3.5 year after ESRD initiation: NDM pts with HTN, by age & race 100
All CVD: all patients 20-44 45-64
80
White
84
88
92
96
00
incident Medicare pts surviving one year + 90 days after initiation Black
65-74 75+
60 40 20 0 50
CHF
40
Percent of patients hospitalized
30 20 10 0 30
ISHD
S89
20
10
0 25
PVD
20 15 10 ||
5 0 84
88
92
96
00
84
88 92 96 00 Year of initiation
84
88
92
96
00
Figures 3.2–5 incident Medicare patients surviving one year + 90 days after initiation, with Medicare Parts A & B as primary payor. Hospitalization data, 1984–1990, from REBUS inpatient hospitalization diagnosis codes; 1991–2004 data from ESRD inpatient database.
3
patient characteristics adherence to prescription drug therapy at or near initiation to drug therapy: 3.7 Adherence beta blockers, by age
incident ESRD patients, 2000–2004 combined
84
84
68
68 MPR (%)
MPR (%)
to drug therapy: 3.6 AdherenceACE-Is/ARBs, by age
52 <65 65+
6
12
18 Months
Adherence to drug therapy: calcium channel blockers, by age
24
6
12+ mo.
incident ESRD patients, 2000–2004 combined
Dihydropyridine
84
24
12+ mo.
incident ESRD patients, 2000–2004 combined
Loop diuretic
52 <65 65+
<65 65+
36 MPR (%)
36 MPR (%)
18 Months
68
52
S90
12
to drug 3.9 therapy:Adherence diuretics, by age
68
20 84
<65 65+
20
20
84
52
36
36
3.8
incident ESRD patients, 2000–2004 combined
Non-dihydropyridine
20 84
68
68
52
52
36
36
20
Thiazide-like diuretic
20 6
12
18 Months
24
12+ mo.
6
12
18 Months
24
12+ mo.
2006 annual data report || chapter three
84
incident ESRD patients, 2000–2004 combined
Statins
68
52 <65 65+
MPR (%)
36
20 84
Non-statins
68
52
36
20 6
12
18 Months
to drug therapy: 3.11 oralAdherence anti-diabetic drugs, by age 84
24
12+ mo.
incident ESRD patients, 2000–2004 combined
Thiazolidinediones
68
52 <65 65+ 36
MPR (%)
T
he improvement of medication adherence, or compliance, has assumed a prominent role in various initiatives promoting quality care in the general population. As noted in our Chapter One spread on prescription drug therapy, to assess adherence there must be evidence that a medication was obtained and taken. Pharmacy prescription and refill records, obtained through acquisition of claims data, can provide information on patterns of drug prescribing and use. New end-stage renal disease patients have complex comorbidities that result in the prescribing of multiple medications. They are a vulnerable population, prone to cardiovascular and infectious complications and death. Numerous studies in the general population have assessed the relationship of medication adherence to various outcome measures, but none have done so for new ESRD patients. Medications are often the most cost-effective interventions that can be used to prevent, treat, or manage a medical condition. As in Chapters One and Five, we here evaluate pharmacy prescription claims data from the Medstat MarketScan Research Database, which contains data on EGHP patients. We use a widely adopted adherence measure called the medication possession ratio (MPR), described by Sikka et al. as “the sum of the days’ supply of medication divided by the number of days between the first fill and the last refill plus the days’ supply of the last refill.” The MPR is usually less than 1.0 if a patient does not refill a prescription. We calculate the MPR using set followup periods of 6, 12, 18, and 24 months to show the effect of this time across different medication classes. We also evaluate a followup period of at least 12 months (dots on graphs), allowing followup for as long as a patient is covered by insurance. Overall, adherence patterns for ESRD patients are not as uniform as for patients with CKD (see Chapter One, Figures 1.40–51). In every case, adherence is less for incident ESRD patients than for incident CKD patients at both 6 and 24 months. The more erratic patterns may be explained by a greater rate of hospitalization and less regular outpatient prescription filling behavior in the ESRD population. As in new CKD patients, medication adherence declines over time. As also seen in the CKD population, adherence is better, overall, in older compared to younger patients receiving beta blockers, nondihydropyridine calcium channel blockers (CCBs), loop diuretics, and statins, while there is little variation by age for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-Is). In contrast, however, to data in Chapter One, data on older ESRD patients show better adherence for non-statins and thiazolidinediones (e.g., pioglitazone and rosiglitazone), while adherence to dihydropyridine CCBs and secretagogues (e.g. glipizide, glyberide, and repaglinide) is similar by age. As with CKD patients, medication adherence in incident ESRD patients is best with statins, followed by ACE-Is/ARBs, beta-blockers, and thiazolidinediones. The low adherence with thiazide and loop diuretics is most likely is due to discontinuation of diuretics when kidney function is quite low and dialytic therapy is initiated.
Adherence to drug therapy: 3.10 lipid lowering agents, by age
20 84
Secretagogues
S91
68
52
36
20 6
12
18 Months
24
12+ mo.
Practitioners need to continue educating their patients—particularly the younger ones—about the importance of taking all medications as instructed. Þ || Figures 3.6–11 incident
database, 1999–2004.
ESRD patients, 2000–2004 combined, from the Medstat
3
patient characteristics EPO use & anemia at initiation Mean hemoglobin at initiation, by first modality
3.13
incident ESRD patients
Mean hemoglobin at initiation, by EPO treatment
10.6
12
36 % receiving EPO Hgb: with EPO
10.2
lys Peritoneal dia
is
All
10
Hemodialysis
9 96
97
98
99
00
01
by mean monthly 3.14 Patient distribution, hemoglobin (g/dl) at initiation
02
03
04
11-<12
10.0
60
10-<11
40
9-<10
20
Hemoglobin (g/dl)
Percent of patients
80
Hemoglobin & EPO at 3.16 initiation, by race/ethnicity 10.4
Mean hemoglobin: Male
00
01
02
03
04
05
incident ESRD patients Female
10.0
Percent of patients receiving EPO
99
9.2 8.8 8.4
EPO use 1999 2004
30 20 10 0 All
00
01
Black Asian All Black Asian White N Am Hispanic White N Am Hispanic
02
03
04
05
incident ESRD patients Female
9.6 9.2 8.8
50
EPO use 1999 2004
40 30 20 10 0 20-44 0-19
40
99
Mean hemoglobin: Male
All
9.6
50
98
8.4
0 98
20 97
Hemoglobin & EPO at 3.15 initiation, by age & gender
incident ESRD patients
24
9.0
10.4
97
Hgb: without EPO
9.4
12+
96
28 Hgb: Overall
96
<9
Hemoglobin (g/dl)
9.8
05
100
Percent of patients receiving EPO
32
11 Hemoglobin (g/dl)
Hemoglobin (g/dl)
Transplant
S92
incident ESRD patients
Percent receiving EPO
3.12
B
65-74 45-64 75+
All
20-44 0-19
65-74 45-64 75+
etween January of 1996 and January of 2005, the mean hemoglobin for all ESRD patients intiating therapy increased by nearly one g/dl (Figure 3.12). Transplant patients—usually the healthiest of new ESRD patients—showed the largest increase, of 1.7 g/dl, while in hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis patients levels rose 0.91 and 1.19 g/dl, respectively. Patients who receive EPO prior to initiation are likely to have higher mean hemoglobins than those not on the therapy; between 2004 and 2005, for example, this difference was as high as 0.47 g/dl (Figure 3.13). As of May, 2005, only one-third of ESRD patients were on EPO therapy prior to initiation of treatment—a fact somewhat alarming, since the benefits of higher hemoglobins are well documented in ESRD patient outcome studies. Recommendations from the National Kidney Foundation’s Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative (K/DOQI) set a target hemoglobin of 11 g/dl, i.e., a hematocrit greater than or equal to 33 percent. Approximately one-third of new ESRD patients have hemoglobins at this level when they begin therapy, more than double the number in 1995 (Figure 3.14). While this increase is encour-
2006 annual data report || chapter three Geographic variations in mean 3.17 hemoglobin (g/dl) at initiation, by HSA
variations in the percent of 3.18 patientsGeographic receiving EPO before initiation, by HSA
incident ESRD patients
1998–1999
incident ESRD patients
1998–1999
1998–1999: All patients
2003–2004
9.98 + (10.14) 9.82 to <9.98 9.72 to <9.82 9.55 to <9.72 below 9.55 (9.36)
35.8 + (41.8) 30.6 to <35.8 26.6 to <30.6 22.1 to <26.6 below 22.1 (17.0)
2003–2004
35.8 + (43.3) 30.6 to <35.8 26.6 to <30.6 22.1 to <26.6 below 22.1 (18.6)
10.48 + (10.63) 10.31 to <10.48 10.16 to <10.31 9.98 to <10.16 below 9.98 (9.81)
Mean hemoglobin & EPO use at 3.19 initiation, by primary diagnosis 10.2
incident ESRD patients
Mean hemoglobin
40
Percent receiving EPO
Percent of patients
10.0 Hemoglobin (g/dl)
aging, nearly 50 percent of new ESRD patients still begin therapy with a hemoglobin below 10 g/dl. Between 1999 and 2004, hemoglobin levels at initiation increased 0.42 and 0.45 g/dl overall in males and females, respectively, and they remain slightly higher in older patients of each gender (Figure 3.15). EPO use has grown by about 6 percent, but use in male children has decreased by nearly 2 percent. Since 1999, blacks have experienced the largest increase in mean hemoglobin levels at initiation—approximately 0.5 g/dl (Figure 3.16). It is important to note, however, that mean hemoglobins in this population tend to be the lowest compared to all other racial and ethnic groups, and that in 2004, blacks and Hispanics were the least likely to receive EPO therapy prior to initiation. Mean hemoglobins at initiation are highest in the Upper Midwest, the Rocky Mountains, and locales along the Pacific Coast (Figure 3.17). In 2003–2004, hemoglobins in patients residing in these areas averaged
9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2
30
20 Primary glomerulonephritis Secondary glomerulonephritis Cancer
10
S93
9.0 0
8.8 95
97
99
01
03
05
0.82 g/dl higher at initiation compared to those in patients living in areas represented by the bottom quintile. In many cases, the percent of patients receiving EPO prior to initiation is highest in these same areas (Figure 3.18). More than 43 percent of patients residing in areas represented by the upper quintile were given EPO prior to beginning ESRD therapy. When comparing patients who initiate ESRD therapy with either primary or sec-
95
97
99
01
03
05
ondary glomerulonephritis or cancer, those with primary glomerulonephritis have the highest mean hemoglobins, at 10.2 g/dl in 2005, and are the most likely to receive EPO prior to initiation (Figure 3.19). Þ || Figures 3.12–19 incident
ESRD patients with a first service date between May, 1995, & June, 2005; data from Medical Evidence form. Maps by HSA; exclude patients residing in Puerto Rico & the Territories.
3
patient characteristics biochemical characteristics BLOOD UREA NITROGEN (BUN) AT INITIATION
3.20 ageby
by race/ 3.21 ethnicity
incident ESRD patients
100
100 0-19 20-44 45-64 65-74 75+ All
90
White Black N Am
95 BUN (mg/dl)
BUN (mg/dl)
95
85
90 85 Asian Hispanic All
80
80
75
75 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
3.22 100
incident ESRD patients
by age & race/ethnicity
White
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
incident ESRD patients Black
Native American
Asian
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
Hispanic
BUN (mg/dl)
1999 2004 90
80
70 All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
SERUM CREATININE AT INITIATION
3.23 ageby
12
0-19 20-44 45-64
10
Serum creatinine (mg/dl)
Serum creatinine (mg/dl)
12
8 65-74 75+ All
6
4
Asian Hispanic All
8
6
4
3.25 12
incident ESRD patients White Black N Am
10
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
Serum creatinine (mg/dl)
S94
by race/ 3.24 ethnicity
incident ESRD patients
by age & race/ethnicity
White
incident ESRD patients Black
Native American
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
Asian
Hispanic
1999 2004 10
8
6
4
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
B
lood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels in ESRD patients initiating therapy are shown in Figures 3.20–22. These levels declined rapidly—1–2 mg/dl each year—during the mid-nineties and through the turn of the century (Figure 3.20). Since 2003, however, the overall mean BUN at initiation appears to have leveled off, and in 2005 stood at 83.3—representing a 10.7 mg/dl drop since 1995. In 2005 the mean BUN was lowest in children, at 79.7 mg/dl; in the remaining age groups it varied little by age. By race and ethnicity, Native Americans had the largest decrease in BUN levels between 1995 and 2005, at 12.3 mg/dl, and in 2005 also had the lowest BUN levels at initiation, at 79.6 mg/dl (Figure 3.21). The highest levels occurred in Asians and whites at 85.2 and 83.9 mg/dl, respectively. With the exception of Native American children, in whom levels increased at initiation by 11 mg/dl, levels for all other groups fell between 1999 and 2004 (Figure 3.22). The largest decrease, 11.4 mg/dl, occurred in Asian children. Levels appear to have increased with age in whites while falling in Hispanics. Serum creatinine levels fell steadily between 1995 and 2005, with an overall decrease of 1.7 mg/dl (Figure 3.23). Younger patients had the highest levels, most likely due to greater muscle mass. In 2005, blacks and Asians had the greatest serum creatinine levels by race, at 7.97 and 7.22 mg/dl, respectively, while the lowest, of 6.31 mg/dl, occurred in whites (Figure 3.24). As with BUN levels, initial serum creatinine levels in Native American children increased (3.04 mg/dl) between 1999 and 2004; levels also rose in Hispanic children, but far less dramatically (Figure 3.25). In all other instances, serum creatinine levels decrease with increasing age. The BUN/creatinine ratio, a biochemical marker, can be used by clinicians to predict potential catabolic states in patients. The ratio increased by 1.7 overall between 1995 and 2005, but since 2002 has remained relatively stable (Figure 3.26). Patients age 20–44 had the lowest ratio at initiation in 2005, at 10, which was 5.1 lower than in those age 65–74 and 6.6 lower than in those age 75 and older. BUN/creatinine ratios are noticeably higher in whites—in 2005, 1.8–3.6 greater—
2006 annual data report || chapter three
||
Figures 3.20–28 incident ESRD patients with a
first service date between May, 1995, & June, 2005; data from Medical Evidence form. || Table 3.a incident ESRD patients with a Medical Evidence form between January 1, 2000, & December 31, 2004.
Odds ratio of having a 3.a hemoglobin level <10 g/dl
BUN/SERUM CREATININE RATIO AT INITIATION
by age
BUN/creatinine ratio
20
0-19 20-44 45-64
18 16
by race/ 3.27 ethnicity
incident ESRD patients
20
65-74 75+ All
BUN/creatinine ratio
3.26
14 12 10 8
16
Asian Hispanic All
14 12 10 8
3.28 18
incident ESRD patients
White Black N Am
18
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
BUN/creatinine ratio
than in patients of all other racial and ethnic categories (Figure 3.27). In 2004, patients age 20–44 had the lowest initial BUN/creatinine ratios regardless of race or ethnicity; ratios show a clear pattern of increase by age (Figure 3.28). Table 3.a presents the odds ratio of having a hemoglobin level less than 10 g/dl. The odds have fallen overall since 2000, but the amount of decline varies by race—from 27 percent in Asian patients to only 8 percent in Native Americans. Rising levels of BUN and creatinine are indications of possible kidney damage. As these levels increase, the likelihood of having a hemoglobin level less than 10 g/dl increases as well. In white patients with a BUN of 105 mg/dl or greater and a creatinine of 9 mg/dl or greater, for example, the odds of a low hemoglobin are 68 and 21 percent higher, respectively, while those in blacks are 58 and 18 percent greater. Þ
by age & race/ethnicity
White
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
incident ESRD patients Black
Native American
Asian
Hispanic
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
1999 2004
16 14 12 10 8
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
incident ESRD patients, 2000–2004
White OR CI Age < . (.-.) -< . (.-.) -< reference -< . (.-.) + . (.-.) Gender Male . (.-.) Female reference Primary DM reference diagnosis HTN . (.-.) GN . (.-.) Cystic kid. . (.-.) Other . (.-.) Comorbidity ASHD . (.-.) CVA/TIA . (.-.) CHF . (.-.) PVD . (.-.) Card./other . (.-.) Cancer . (.-.) COPD . (.-.) Year of entry reference . (.-.) . (.-.) . (.-.) . (.-.) BUN < . (.-.) -< . (.-.) -< reference -< . (.-.) + . (.-.) Creatinine <. . (.-.) .-<. . (.-.) .-<. reference .-<. . (.-.) .+ . (.-.)
Black Native American Asian Hispanic p-value OR CI p-value OR CI p-value OR CI p-value OR CI p-value <. . (.-.) <. . (.-.) . . (.-.) . . (.-.) <. . . (.-.) <. . (.-.) . . (.-.) . . (.-.) . <. <. <.
. (.-.) <. . (.-.) . . (.-.) <.
. (.-.) . . (.-.) . . (.-.) <.
. (.-.) . . (.-.) . . (.-.) <.
. (.-.) <. . (.-.) <. . (.-.) <.
<. <. <. . <. . <. . . <. .
. . . . . . . . . . .
(.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.)
. <. <. <. <. . <. . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . .
(.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.) (.-.)
. . . . . . <. <. . . .
. . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . .
<. . <. . <. . <. . <. . <. .
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S95
3
patient characteristics predictors of eGFR ESTIMATED GLOMERULAR FILTRATION RATE (eGFR) AT INITIATION
3.29
by age
by race/ 3.30 ethnicity
incident ESRD patients
11 0-19 20-44 45-64
11
eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2)
eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2)
12
10 9 8 65-74 75+ All
7
White Black N Am
10 9 8
Asian Hispanic All
7 6
6
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
by age & 3.31 race/ethnicity
incident ESRD patients Black
12 White eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2)
incident ESRD patients
Asian
Native American
Hispanic 1999 2004
10
8
6
4
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
BODY MASS INDEX (BMI) AT INITIATION
by age
30
30
0-19 20-44 45-64
28 BMI (kg/m2)
by race/ 3.33 ethnicity
incident ESRD patients
26 65-74 75+ All
24 22
S96
26 24 Asian Hispanic All
22
20
20 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
3.34
by age & race/ethnicity
30 White
incident ESRD patients Black
Native American
Asian
Hispanic 1999 2004
28 BMI (kg/m2)
incident ESRD patients
White Black N Am
28 BMI (kg/m2)
3.32
26 24 22 20 18
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
All 20-44 65-74 0-19 45-64 75+
2006 annual data report || chapter three
Estimated GFR, by diabetic 3.35 status & cardiac comorbidity Diabetic
Non-diabetic
12
11
eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2)
eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2)
12
GFR, by diabetic status 3.36 Estimated & number of comorbidities
incident ESRD patients
10 9 All CV disease CHF ISHD PVD
8 7 6
Diabetic
incident ESRD patients
Non-diabetic
11 10 9
Zero 1 2 3 4-6
8 7 6
95
E
97
99
01
03
05
95
97
99
01
03
05
stimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) at initiation are shown in Figures 3.29–31. Rates increased slightly in 2005, but the upward trends evident since 1995 appear to be leveling off (Figure 3.29). Evidence of this phenomenon can be seen by comparing the increase in eGFR between 1995 and 2005 to that which occured between 1995 and 2002. Between 1995 and 2005, an increase of 2.3 ml/min/1.73 m2 is evident for all patients, while an increase of 2.17 ml/min/1.73 m2 occurred between 1995 and 2002, indicating that 94 pecent of the increase noted between 1995 and 2005 occurred prior to 2003. Children and those age 75 and older have the highest rates at initiation, at 11.4 and 11.2 ml/min/1.73 m2, respectively, and, beginning with patients age 20–44, rates increase with age regardless of race or ethnic background. Patients age 65–74 and 75 and older show the highest increases in rates since 1995—2.4 and 2.8 ml/min/1.73 m2, respectively. By race and ethnicity, eGFRs in 2005 are highest in whites, at 10.39, and lowest in Asians, at 9.07. And regardless of race or ethnicity, rates are highest in children. Body mass index (BMI) at initiation is depicted in Figures 3.32–34. Since 1995, BMIs have increased 2.4 kg/m2 for all patients. The largest growth between 1995 and 2005 was 2.7–2.8 kg/m2,
95
97
99
01
03
05
95
97
99
01
03
05
found in patients age 20–74. In 2005, the BMI for all patients initiating therapy stood at 28.2 kg/m2. Blacks and Native Americans have the highest BMIs at initiation, at 28.95 and 28.6 kg/m2, respectively, a factor that may be related to high rates of diabetes in each of these populations. BMI appears to decrease with age, regardless of racial or ethnic background. Estimated glomerular filtration rates at initiation do not appear to be influenced by cardiac comorbidity in either diabetic or nondiabetic patients (Figure 3.35). Diabetic status does, however, appear to have an influence on eGFR in that non-diabetics tend to have rates that are 0.25–0.51 ml/min/1.73 m2 lower than their diabetic counterparts, depending on the type of cardiac comorbidity being measured. The number of comorbidities appears to have a major influence on eGFR, particularly in non-diabetics. Compared to levels in patients with one listed comorbidity, eGFRs are approximately 2.7 ml/min/1.73 m2 (31 percent) higher in patients with 4–6 comorbidities, suggesting that sicker patients are now tending to begin ESRD therapy at an earlier point in the course of their disease. Þ || Figures 3.29–36 incident ESRD patients with a first service date between May, 1995, & June, 2005; data from Medical Evidence form. Estimated GFR for ages 0–18 from Schwartz et al., & for ages 19 & above from Levey et al.
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3
patient characteristics chapter summary Figures 3.2–3 Among incident diabetic patients with hypertension, the proportion hospitalized with any cardiovascular disease in the year after initiation increased from 41.0 percent in 1984 to 60.3 percent in 2003; rates have been steady at 59–60 percent since 1997. Among non-diabetic patients with hypertension, the proportion rose from 40 percent in 1984 to 55 percent in 2003, with rates remaining at 54–55 percent since 1997.
cardiovascular comorbidity
Figures 3.6–11 As seen with the CKD population, adherence to medication regimens in the incident ESRD population is better among those age 65 and older than among those younger than 65. Overall adherence patterns are not as uniform for ESRD as for CKD patients.
adherence to drug therapy at or near initiation
Figure 3.12 Between January, 1996, and January, 2005, the mean hemoglobin for all patients initiating therapy increased by nearly one g/dl. Figure 3.13 Patients who receive EPO prior to initiation are likely to have higher mean hemoglobins than those not on the therapy. Figure 3.14 Approximately one-third of new ESRD patients have hemoglobins meeting or exceeding the K/DOQI target when they begin ESRD therapy, more than double the number in 1995. Figure 3.15 Between 1999 and 2004, hemoglobin levels at initiation increased by 0.42 and 0.45 g/dl in males and females, respectively, and are slightly higher in older patients of each gender. Figure 3.16 Since 1999, blacks have experienced the largest increase in mean hemoglobin at initiation—approximately 0.5 g/dl. Figure 3.19 When comparing patients who initiate ESRD therapy with either primary or secondary glomerulonephritis or cancer, those with primary glomerulonephritis had the highest mean hemoglobins, 10.2 g/dl, in 2005.
EPO use & anemia at initiation
Figure 3.20 Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels declined rapidly during the mid1990s and through the turn of the century. Since 2003, however, the mean BUN at initiation for all patients appears to have leveled off, and in 2005 stood at 83.3—representing a 10.7 mg/dl drop since 1995. Figure 3.21 Native Americans had the largest decrease in BUN levels between 1995 and 2005, at 12.3 mg/dl, and in 2005 also had the lowest BUNs at initiation, at 79.6 mg/dl; the highest levels occurred in Asians and whites, at 85.2 and 83.9 mg/dl, respectively. Figure 3.23 Serum creatinine levels at initiation fell steadily between 1995 and 2005, with an overall decrease of 1.7 mg/dl. Figure 3.21 In 2005, blacks and Asians had the highest serum creatinine levels, at 7.97 and 7.22 mg/dl, respectively, while the lowest level, 6.84 mg/dl occurred in whites. Figure 3.26 Between 1995 and 2005, the BUN/creatinine ratio increased by 1.7 in all patients, but since 2002 it has remained relatively stable.
biochemical characteristics
Figure 3.29 In 2005, esti-
mated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) rose slightly compared to those in 2004, but the upward trend of these rates since 1995 appears to be leveling. Figure 3.30 Estimated glomerular filtration rates are highest in whites, at 10.39, and lowest in Asians, at 9.07 ml/min/1.73 m2. Figure 3.32 Since 1995, the mean BMI at initiation has increased by 2.4 kg/m2 for all patients. Figure 3.33 Blacks and Native Americans have the highest BMIs at initiation, at 29.0 and 28.6 kg/m2, respectively, a factor which may be related to high rates of diabetes in each of these populations. Figure 3.35 Diabetic status appears to have an influence on eGFR, with eGFRs in non-diabetics 0.25–0.51 ml/min/1.73 m2 lower than their diabetic counterparts, depending on the type of cardiac comorbidity being measured. predictors of eGFR
S98
maps: national means & patient populations Figure number Overall value for all pts Total patients Overall value for pts mapped Missing HSA/state: pts dropped
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