- Email: [email protected]
Volume 25 contents and author index
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH
List of Contents and Author Index Volume 25B, 1991
PERGAMON NEW YORK
l
OXFORD
PRESS l
SEOUL
l
TOKYO
Transportation Research an international journal
Part B: Methodological
Editor-in-Chief FRANK A. HAIGHT Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Irvine, CA 92717, U.S.A. Associate Editors GEORGE H. WEISS National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20014, U.S.A. CARLOS DAGANZO Department of Civil Engineering and Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, U.S.A. MARc J. I. GAUDRY D~partment de sciences 6conomiques et Centre de recherche sur les transports, Universit~ de Montr6al, C.P. 6128-Succursale "A", Montreal, Canada H3C 3J7 FRANK S. KOPPELMAN Department of Civil Engineering and The Transportation Center Northwestern University, Evanston IL 60208 U.S.A. Editorial Advisory Board RICHARDE. ALLSOP,London, U.K. ANDREWF. DAUGHETY,Iowa City, IA, U.S.A. SVENERLANDER,Link6ping, Sweden TERRYL. FRIESZ,Fairfax, VA, U.S.A. NATHANH. GARTNER,Lowell, MA, U.S.A. ALI E. HAGHANI,College Park, MD, U.S.A PATRICKT. HARKER, Philadelphia, PA, U.S.A. DONALDW. HEARN, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A. CHRIS HENDRICKSON,Pittsburgh, PA, U.S.A. BENJAMING. HEYDECKER,London, U.K. GENNAROIMPROTA,Napoli, Italy JOEL HOROWITZ,Iowa City, IA, U.S.A. SERGIOJARA-DIAZ,Santiago, Chile WILLIAMC. JORDAN,Warren, MI, U.S.A.
LARRYJ. LE BLANC,Nashville, TN, U.S.A. FENG-BORLIN, Potsdam, NY, U.S.A. MIKE MAHER, Crowthorne, U.K. HANI S. MAHMASSANI,Austin, TX, U.S.A. FRED L. MANNERINO,Seattle, WA, U.S.A. WARRENB. POWELL,Princeton, N J, U.S.A. V. V. SILYANOV,MOSCOW,U.S.S.R. TONYE. SMITH,Philadelphia, PA, U.S.A. ROGERL. TOBIN,Waltham, MA, U.S.A. KENNETHTRAIN,Berkeley, CA, U.S.A. Huw C. W. L. W~LtAMS,Cardiff, U.K. NIGELH. M. WILSON,Cambridge, MA, U.S.A. S. C. WI~S~GHE, Calgary, Canada H. NATHANYAGODA,Hackensack, N J, U.S.A.
Publishing, Subscription, and Advertising Offices." Pergamon Press, Inc., 395 Saw Mill River Road, Elmsford, NY 10523, U.S.A., INTERNET "[email protected]", and Pergamon Press pie, Headington Hill Hall, Oxford OX3 0BW, England.
Published Bi-Monthly. Annual institutional subscription rate (1992): £215.00 (US$345.00). Two-year institutional rate (1992/93): £408.50 (US$655.50). Sterling prices are definitive. US dollar prices are quoted for convenience only, and are subject to exchange rate fluctuation. Prices include postage and insurance and are subject to change without notice. Notify 8 weeks in advance of address change with a copy of the subscription label. Back issues of all previously published volumes, in both hard copy and on microform, are available direct from Pergamon Press. Subscription rates for Japan are available on request. Copyright © 1991 Pergamon Press pie It is a condition of publication that manuscripts submitted to this journal have not been published and will not be simultaneously submitted or published elsewhere. By submitting a manuscript, the authors agree that the copyright for their article is transferred to the publisher if and when the article is accepted for publication. The copyright covers the exclusive rights to reproduce and distribute the article, including reprints, photographic reproductions, microform or any other reproductions of similar nature and translations. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, electrostatic, magnetic tape, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without permission in writing from the copyright holder. PHOTOCOPYING INFORMATION FOR USERS IN THE U.S.A. The hem-Fee Code for this publication indicates that authorization to photocopy items for internal or personal use is granted by the copyright holder for libraries and other users registered with the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC) Transactional Reporting Service provided the stated fee for copying, beyond that permitted by Section 107 or 108 of the United States Copyright Law, is paid. The appropriate remittance of $3.00 per copy per article is paid directly to the Copyright Clearance Center Inc., 27 Congress Street, Salem, MA 01970. PERMISSION FOR OTHER USE
The copyright owner's consent does not extend to copying for general distribution, for promotion, for creating new works, or for resale. Specific written permission must be obtained from the publisher for copying. Please contact the Subsidiary Rights Manager, Publishing Services Dept. at either Pergamon Press plc or Pergamon Press, Inc.
The Item-Fee Code for thispublication is: 0191-2615/91
$3,00 + .00
Cover design by Edward Ruscha
PERGAMON PRESS HEADINGTON HILL HALL, OXFORD OX3 0BW, ENGLAND 395 SAW MILL RIVER ROAD, ELMSFORD, NY 10523, U.S.A.
LIST OF CONTENTS Vol. 25B, No. 1, February 1991 David S. Bunch
1
Estimability in the multinomial probit model
Michael G. H. Bell
13
The estimation of origin-destination matrices by constrained generalised least squares
Dennis E. Blumenfeld, Lawrence D. Burns and Carlos E Daganzo
23
Synchronizing production and transportation schedules
Moshe E Friedman
39
Decision analysis and optimality in air traffic control conflict resolution: II. Optimal heading (vectoring) control in a linear planar configuration
Nathan H. Gartner, Susan F. Assmann, Fernando Lasaga and Dennis L. Hout
55
A multi-band approach to arterial traffic signal optimization
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, Nos. 2/3, April-June 1991 J. Gerken
75
Generalized logit model
C. S. Fisk
89
Traffic performance analysis at roundabouts
C. S. Fisk
103
Link travel time functions for traffic assignment
Michael G. H. Bell
115
The real time estimation of origin-destination flows in the presence of platoon dispersion
Andrew E Seila and
127
Deadweight loss in highway toll collection
143
Dynamic traffic assignment for urban road networks
Paul W. Wilson Bruce N. Janson
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, No. 4, August 1991 D. Heidemann
163
Queue length and waiting-time distributions at priority intersections
R. W. Hall
175
Route selection on freight networks with weight and volume constraints IX
List of Contents for Vol. 25B
x A. Kanafani and H. AI-Deek
191
A simple model for route guidance benefits
C. Lim and K.-G. Lim
203
Scrap car pricing and welfare implications
M. Yadlin-Weintraub
215
Some procedures for the statistical and empirical analyses of probabilistic discrete decisions models
K. Datta and R. M. Oliver
237
Predicting risk of near midair collisions in controlled airspace
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, No. 5, October 1991 H. C. W. L. Williams and W. M. Lain
253
Transport policy appraisal with equilibrium models I: Generated traffic and highway investment benefits
H. C. W. L. Williams and H. S. Lai
281
Transport policy appraisal with equilibrium models II: Model dependence of highway investment benefits
H. C. W. L. Williams, W. M. Lam, J. Austin, and K. S. Kim
293
Transport policy appraisal with equilibrium models III: Investment benefits in multi-modal systems
Omar Drissi-Ka'itouni
317
Solution approaches for multimode multiproduct assignment problems
Sergio R. Jara-Diaz, Pedro P. Donoso, and J. Araneda
329
Best partial flow aggregation in transportation cost functions
Sergio R. Jara-Diaz
341
Income and taste in mode choice models: Are they surrogates?
Hai Yang, Yasunori lida, and Tsuna Sasaki
351
An analysis of the reliability of an origin-destination trip matrix estimated from traffic counts
M. N. Islam and P. C. Consul
365
The consul distribution as a bunching model in traffic flow
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, No. 6, December 1991 J. MacGregor Smith
373
State-dependent queueing models in emergency evacuation networks
Randolph W. Hall
391
Characteristics of multi-stop/multi-terminal delivery routes, with backhauls and unique items
Mingyuan Chen and Attahiru Sule Alfa
405
Algorithms for solving Fisk's stochastic traffic assignment model
List of Contents for Vol. 25B
XI
Amihai Glazer and Esko Niskanen
413
Measuring the benefits derived from a transportation investment- A comment
Edmond L. d'Ouville and John F. McDonald
421
Optimal road capacity and the "uneconomic" region of production
Joel L. Horowitz
433
Reconsidering the multinomial probit model
Hanif D. Sherali, Todd B. Carter, and Antoine G. Hobeika
439
A location-allocation model and algorithm for evacuation planning under hurricane/flood conditions
Shyue Koong Chang and Paul M. Schonfeld
453
Multiple period optimization of bus transit systems
I VII
Forthcoming Papers Volume 25 Contents and Author Index
AUTHOR INDEX A1-Deek, H., 191 Alfa, A. S., 405 Araneda, J., 329 Assmann, S. F., 55 Austin, J., 293
Horowitz, J. L., 433 Hou, D. L., 55 Iida, Y., 351 Islam, M. N., 365 Janson, B. N., 143 Jara Diaz, S. R., 329, 341
Bell, M. G. H., 13,115 Blumenfeld, D. E., 23 Bunch, D. S., 1 Burns, L. D., 23
Kanafani, A., 191 Kim, K. S., 293 Lai, H. S., 281 Lam, W. M., 253,293 Lasaga, F., 55 Lim, C., 203 Lim, K.-G., 203
Carter, T. B., 439 Chang, S. K., 453 Chen, M., 405 Consul, P. C., 365 d'Ouville, E. L., 421 Daganzo, C. F., 23 Datta, K., 237 Donoso, P. P., 329 Drissi-Kai'touni, O., 317
MacGregor Smith, J., 373 McDonald, J. F., 421 Niskanen, E., 413 Oliver, R. M., 237
Fisk, C. S., 89, 103 Friedman, M. F., 39
Sasaki. T., 351 Schonfeld, P. M., 453 Seila, A. F., 127 Sherali, H. D., 439
Gartner, N. H., 55 Gerken, J., 75 Glazer, A., 413
Williams, H. C. W. L., 253,281,293 Wilson, P. W., 127
Hall, R. W., 175,391 Heidemann, D., 163 Hobeika, A. G., 439
Yadlin-Weintraub, M., 215 Yang, H., 351
XII
List of Contents and Author Index Volume 25B, 1991
PERGAMON NEW YORK
l
OXFORD
PRESS l
SEOUL
l
TOKYO
Transportation Research an international journal
Part B: Methodological
Editor-in-Chief FRANK A. HAIGHT Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Irvine, CA 92717, U.S.A. Associate Editors GEORGE H. WEISS National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20014, U.S.A. CARLOS DAGANZO Department of Civil Engineering and Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, U.S.A. MARc J. I. GAUDRY D~partment de sciences 6conomiques et Centre de recherche sur les transports, Universit~ de Montr6al, C.P. 6128-Succursale "A", Montreal, Canada H3C 3J7 FRANK S. KOPPELMAN Department of Civil Engineering and The Transportation Center Northwestern University, Evanston IL 60208 U.S.A. Editorial Advisory Board RICHARDE. ALLSOP,London, U.K. ANDREWF. DAUGHETY,Iowa City, IA, U.S.A. SVENERLANDER,Link6ping, Sweden TERRYL. FRIESZ,Fairfax, VA, U.S.A. NATHANH. GARTNER,Lowell, MA, U.S.A. ALI E. HAGHANI,College Park, MD, U.S.A PATRICKT. HARKER, Philadelphia, PA, U.S.A. DONALDW. HEARN, Gainesville, FL, U.S.A. CHRIS HENDRICKSON,Pittsburgh, PA, U.S.A. BENJAMING. HEYDECKER,London, U.K. GENNAROIMPROTA,Napoli, Italy JOEL HOROWITZ,Iowa City, IA, U.S.A. SERGIOJARA-DIAZ,Santiago, Chile WILLIAMC. JORDAN,Warren, MI, U.S.A.
LARRYJ. LE BLANC,Nashville, TN, U.S.A. FENG-BORLIN, Potsdam, NY, U.S.A. MIKE MAHER, Crowthorne, U.K. HANI S. MAHMASSANI,Austin, TX, U.S.A. FRED L. MANNERINO,Seattle, WA, U.S.A. WARRENB. POWELL,Princeton, N J, U.S.A. V. V. SILYANOV,MOSCOW,U.S.S.R. TONYE. SMITH,Philadelphia, PA, U.S.A. ROGERL. TOBIN,Waltham, MA, U.S.A. KENNETHTRAIN,Berkeley, CA, U.S.A. Huw C. W. L. W~LtAMS,Cardiff, U.K. NIGELH. M. WILSON,Cambridge, MA, U.S.A. S. C. WI~S~GHE, Calgary, Canada H. NATHANYAGODA,Hackensack, N J, U.S.A.
Publishing, Subscription, and Advertising Offices." Pergamon Press, Inc., 395 Saw Mill River Road, Elmsford, NY 10523, U.S.A., INTERNET "[email protected]", and Pergamon Press pie, Headington Hill Hall, Oxford OX3 0BW, England.
Published Bi-Monthly. Annual institutional subscription rate (1992): £215.00 (US$345.00). Two-year institutional rate (1992/93): £408.50 (US$655.50). Sterling prices are definitive. US dollar prices are quoted for convenience only, and are subject to exchange rate fluctuation. Prices include postage and insurance and are subject to change without notice. Notify 8 weeks in advance of address change with a copy of the subscription label. Back issues of all previously published volumes, in both hard copy and on microform, are available direct from Pergamon Press. Subscription rates for Japan are available on request. Copyright © 1991 Pergamon Press pie It is a condition of publication that manuscripts submitted to this journal have not been published and will not be simultaneously submitted or published elsewhere. By submitting a manuscript, the authors agree that the copyright for their article is transferred to the publisher if and when the article is accepted for publication. The copyright covers the exclusive rights to reproduce and distribute the article, including reprints, photographic reproductions, microform or any other reproductions of similar nature and translations. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, electrostatic, magnetic tape, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without permission in writing from the copyright holder. PHOTOCOPYING INFORMATION FOR USERS IN THE U.S.A. The hem-Fee Code for this publication indicates that authorization to photocopy items for internal or personal use is granted by the copyright holder for libraries and other users registered with the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC) Transactional Reporting Service provided the stated fee for copying, beyond that permitted by Section 107 or 108 of the United States Copyright Law, is paid. The appropriate remittance of $3.00 per copy per article is paid directly to the Copyright Clearance Center Inc., 27 Congress Street, Salem, MA 01970. PERMISSION FOR OTHER USE
The copyright owner's consent does not extend to copying for general distribution, for promotion, for creating new works, or for resale. Specific written permission must be obtained from the publisher for copying. Please contact the Subsidiary Rights Manager, Publishing Services Dept. at either Pergamon Press plc or Pergamon Press, Inc.
The Item-Fee Code for thispublication is: 0191-2615/91
$3,00 + .00
Cover design by Edward Ruscha
PERGAMON PRESS HEADINGTON HILL HALL, OXFORD OX3 0BW, ENGLAND 395 SAW MILL RIVER ROAD, ELMSFORD, NY 10523, U.S.A.
LIST OF CONTENTS Vol. 25B, No. 1, February 1991 David S. Bunch
1
Estimability in the multinomial probit model
Michael G. H. Bell
13
The estimation of origin-destination matrices by constrained generalised least squares
Dennis E. Blumenfeld, Lawrence D. Burns and Carlos E Daganzo
23
Synchronizing production and transportation schedules
Moshe E Friedman
39
Decision analysis and optimality in air traffic control conflict resolution: II. Optimal heading (vectoring) control in a linear planar configuration
Nathan H. Gartner, Susan F. Assmann, Fernando Lasaga and Dennis L. Hout
55
A multi-band approach to arterial traffic signal optimization
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, Nos. 2/3, April-June 1991 J. Gerken
75
Generalized logit model
C. S. Fisk
89
Traffic performance analysis at roundabouts
C. S. Fisk
103
Link travel time functions for traffic assignment
Michael G. H. Bell
115
The real time estimation of origin-destination flows in the presence of platoon dispersion
Andrew E Seila and
127
Deadweight loss in highway toll collection
143
Dynamic traffic assignment for urban road networks
Paul W. Wilson Bruce N. Janson
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, No. 4, August 1991 D. Heidemann
163
Queue length and waiting-time distributions at priority intersections
R. W. Hall
175
Route selection on freight networks with weight and volume constraints IX
List of Contents for Vol. 25B
x A. Kanafani and H. AI-Deek
191
A simple model for route guidance benefits
C. Lim and K.-G. Lim
203
Scrap car pricing and welfare implications
M. Yadlin-Weintraub
215
Some procedures for the statistical and empirical analyses of probabilistic discrete decisions models
K. Datta and R. M. Oliver
237
Predicting risk of near midair collisions in controlled airspace
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, No. 5, October 1991 H. C. W. L. Williams and W. M. Lain
253
Transport policy appraisal with equilibrium models I: Generated traffic and highway investment benefits
H. C. W. L. Williams and H. S. Lai
281
Transport policy appraisal with equilibrium models II: Model dependence of highway investment benefits
H. C. W. L. Williams, W. M. Lam, J. Austin, and K. S. Kim
293
Transport policy appraisal with equilibrium models III: Investment benefits in multi-modal systems
Omar Drissi-Ka'itouni
317
Solution approaches for multimode multiproduct assignment problems
Sergio R. Jara-Diaz, Pedro P. Donoso, and J. Araneda
329
Best partial flow aggregation in transportation cost functions
Sergio R. Jara-Diaz
341
Income and taste in mode choice models: Are they surrogates?
Hai Yang, Yasunori lida, and Tsuna Sasaki
351
An analysis of the reliability of an origin-destination trip matrix estimated from traffic counts
M. N. Islam and P. C. Consul
365
The consul distribution as a bunching model in traffic flow
I
Forthcoming Papers
Vol. 25B, No. 6, December 1991 J. MacGregor Smith
373
State-dependent queueing models in emergency evacuation networks
Randolph W. Hall
391
Characteristics of multi-stop/multi-terminal delivery routes, with backhauls and unique items
Mingyuan Chen and Attahiru Sule Alfa
405
Algorithms for solving Fisk's stochastic traffic assignment model
List of Contents for Vol. 25B
XI
Amihai Glazer and Esko Niskanen
413
Measuring the benefits derived from a transportation investment- A comment
Edmond L. d'Ouville and John F. McDonald
421
Optimal road capacity and the "uneconomic" region of production
Joel L. Horowitz
433
Reconsidering the multinomial probit model
Hanif D. Sherali, Todd B. Carter, and Antoine G. Hobeika
439
A location-allocation model and algorithm for evacuation planning under hurricane/flood conditions
Shyue Koong Chang and Paul M. Schonfeld
453
Multiple period optimization of bus transit systems
I VII
Forthcoming Papers Volume 25 Contents and Author Index
AUTHOR INDEX A1-Deek, H., 191 Alfa, A. S., 405 Araneda, J., 329 Assmann, S. F., 55 Austin, J., 293
Horowitz, J. L., 433 Hou, D. L., 55 Iida, Y., 351 Islam, M. N., 365 Janson, B. N., 143 Jara Diaz, S. R., 329, 341
Bell, M. G. H., 13,115 Blumenfeld, D. E., 23 Bunch, D. S., 1 Burns, L. D., 23
Kanafani, A., 191 Kim, K. S., 293 Lai, H. S., 281 Lam, W. M., 253,293 Lasaga, F., 55 Lim, C., 203 Lim, K.-G., 203
Carter, T. B., 439 Chang, S. K., 453 Chen, M., 405 Consul, P. C., 365 d'Ouville, E. L., 421 Daganzo, C. F., 23 Datta, K., 237 Donoso, P. P., 329 Drissi-Kai'touni, O., 317
MacGregor Smith, J., 373 McDonald, J. F., 421 Niskanen, E., 413 Oliver, R. M., 237
Fisk, C. S., 89, 103 Friedman, M. F., 39
Sasaki. T., 351 Schonfeld, P. M., 453 Seila, A. F., 127 Sherali, H. D., 439
Gartner, N. H., 55 Gerken, J., 75 Glazer, A., 413
Williams, H. C. W. L., 253,281,293 Wilson, P. W., 127
Hall, R. W., 175,391 Heidemann, D., 163 Hobeika, A. G., 439
Yadlin-Weintraub, M., 215 Yang, H., 351
XII