Factors Hindering Pakistani Farmers' Choices Towards Adoption of Crop Insurance

Factors Hindering Pakistani Farmers' Choices Towards Adoption of Crop Insurance

ScienceDirect June 2015Vol. 22No. 292-96 Journal of Northeast Agricultural University (English Edition) Available online at www.sciencedirect.c...

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ScienceDirect

June 2015Vol. 22No. 292-96 Journal of Northeast Agricultural University (English Edition)

Available online at www.sciencedirect.com

Factors Hindering Pakistani Farmers' Choices Towards Adoption of Crop Insurance Sidra Ghazanfar1, Zhang Qi-wen1*, Muhammad Abdullah1, Jaleel Ahmed2, Imran Khan3, and Zeeshan Ahmad1 1

College of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China

2

School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China

3

Department of Management Sciences, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China

Abstract: This study was conducted to analyze the factors that negatively influence Pakistani farmers' willingness to participate in crop insurance. Probit model was applied to identify the significant factors which influenced our dependent variable "not willing to participate". The results of the analyses showed that crop insurance premium was the most influencing factor which had positive and significant impact on dependent variable. Similarly dissatisfaction with crop loan insurance scheme, lacking of knowledge about crop insurance, believing of being against Islamic rules and time taking process was also found to be positive and significantly influenced the dependent variable. While limited decision power and limited perils were not found to be significant in the results. Key words: crop insurance, willingness to participate, Probit model, Premium CLC number: F310

Document code: A

Article ID: 1006-8104(2015)-02-0092-05

districts, 74 are food deficit, in terms of net availability

Introduction

(Abid and Sahib, 2009). Water-stressed condition had increased the condition of food insecurity by reducing

Pakistan is a highly climate sensitive agriculture

the agriculture productivity in arid and semi-arid areas

dependent country where development and growth

of Pakistan (Iqbal, 2013).

of the economy depend on the agriculture sector, as

  Hence, the analyses of the situation demand an

agriculture contributes about 21.4% to Gross Domestic

efficient crop insurance market in agriculture system

Product (GDP) and engages about 45% of labor in

which provides the security to agriculture production

agriculture sector (GOP, 2013). Situation of climate

and farmers' income. Although crop insurance market

uncertainty in Pakistan is getting worse and worse day

exists to protect farmers from these disasters, farmers

by day. Pakistan is exposed to a number of natural

seem to be not interested in participating in crop

disasters, including cyclones, floods, drought, intense

insurance. Most farmers in Pakistan, either ignored

rainfall, and earthquakes (TFCC, 2010). Almost one-

or overweighted low probability risks which showed

third of the households is living below the "food

that farmers were more sensitive about their current

poverty line" and the quantity of the food available

outcomes rather than future income risks. There were

to them is not enough to meet their nutritional

several factors for lowing crop insurance market

requirements (Arif and Khalid, 2007) and out of 120

penetration and lowing interest of farmers towards

Received 11 December 2014 Sidra Ghazanfar (1986-), female, researcher, Ph. D, engaged in the research of crop insurance in Pakistan. E-mail: [email protected] * Corresponding author. Zhang Qi-wen, professor, supervisor of Ph. D student, engaged in the research of financial theory and policy. E-mail: [email protected] &NBJMYVFCBPFOHMJTI!OFBVFEVDO

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Sidra Ghazanfar et al. Factors Hindering Pakistani Farmers' Choices Towards Adoption of Crop Insurance

crop insurance, so the purpose of this study was to

schemes. We had used not willing to participate

investigate the factors that negatively influenced, the

(NWTP) as our dependent variable. As not willing

farmers' willingness to participate for crop insurance

to participate was a qualitative dummy dependent

programs.

variable, hence, we could not use Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM). To avoid the problem

Materials and Methods

of linear probability model of having value beyond the range of zero and one, we could use the Logit and

We had collected the data from Punjab Province of

Probit models. As, these models solved the problems

Pakistan, three districts of Punjab were chosen to

of non-normality of the residuals, heteroskedasticity

conduct the study, namely Dera Gazi Khan, Rajan

and a smaller R-square. Logit and Probit models

Pur, and Bahawalpur. These districts were purposely

produced almost the same results for large samples.

chosen, as they were highly vulnerable to disasters

In this research paper, we had used Probit model,

of flood and drought. From each district, two tehsils

because Asteriou and Hall (2007) had mentioned that

were selected randomly to conduct the survey, among

Probit model was more sophisticated than that of Logit

the farmers of these tehsils. A total of 300 farmers

model. For the present study, the Probit model was

were selected by selecting randomly 50 farmers from

specified as the following:

each selected tehsil. Before they were asked to fill

 NWTPi=β0+β1AIRi+β2DISi+β3INAi+β4KISi+β5LDPi+

the questionnaire, a briefing was given to farmers

β6LPi+β7PCi+β8TTPi+β9Agei+εi

about crop insurance scheme, just to make farmers

 Where,

familiar with the mechanism and benefits of the crop

 NWTPi=Not Willing to Participate was a dummy va-

insurance program. A questionnaire was developed to

riable that was measured as 1 for not willing to parti-

collect the required data regarding the demographics

cipate and 0 otherwise.

of the farmers, their willingness to participate for a

  AIRi=Believe of being Against Islamic Rules. It

hypothetical crop insurance program and the factors

was measured as 1 for those who had mentioned it as

that influenced their decision of the participation.

against the Islamic rules and 0 otherwise.

Overall, 300 farmers were asked whether they were

 DISi=Dissatisfaction of the farmers was a dummy

willing to participate in the given crop insurance

variable. 1 for dissatisfied farmers and 0 otherwise.

scheme. Out of which 184 farmers responded that

  INAi=Inaccessibility was a dichotomous dummy

they were willing to participate in crop insurance

variable that was 1 for those farmers who had not

and 116 farmers replied that they were not willing

access to insurance schemes otherwise 0.

to participate. Those farmers, who refused to partici-

  KIS i=Knowledge about Insurance Schemes was

pate in the hypothetical crop insurance plan, were

a dichotomous dummy variable that was 1 for those

asked regarding the factors that influenced their

farmers who had knowledge about insurance schemes

decision of "not willing to participate" for the designed

otherwise 0.

hypothetical crop insurance scheme. This research was

 LDPi=Limited Decision Power was also a dummy

an attempt to explore those factors, among the farmers

variable.

in Pakistan.

 LPi=Limited Perils was a dummy variable.  PCi=Premium Cost was a dummy variable. 1 for

Probit model

those farmers who didn't want to involve/participate

In this research, we had tried to find out the key factors

in insurance schemes due to the high premium 0

which were associated with the decision of farmers

otherwise.

who were not willing to participate in crop insurance

 TTPi=Time Taking Process was a dummy variable. 1 IUUQQVCMJTIOFBVFEVDO

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Journal of Northeast Agricultural University (English Edition)

Vol. 22ǂNo. 2ǂ2015

for those farmers which had the opinion that insurance

70 years, with an average age of 43 years. Education

schemes had time taking processes 0 otherwise.

level was found to be low among our sample as the

 Agei=Age of a farmer.

average number of educational years was found to

 εi=An error term.

be eight years. Household size always remained a massive variable to measure in agricultural research. The household distribution of our sample ranged from

Results

two to nine family members, with an average size of Descriptive statistics

five members in a family. Farm income was calculated

In our study analysis, the age distribution scale of our

in Pakistani Rupees and average farm income was

selected sample ranged from minimum 22 to maximum

found to be 193 793.9 (Table 1).

Table 1 Descriptive statistics

Item

Mean

Median

Max

Min

Std. dev

Age

43.098

42.000

70.0000

23.0000

11.7670

Credit

0.1043

0.0000

1.0000

0.0000

0.3066

Education

7.7307

8.0000

14.0000

0.0000

2.7389

Non-farm income

0.1648

0.0000

1.0000

0.0000

0.3720

Crop diversity

0.2417

0.0000

1.0000

0.0000

0.4293

Farm income

193 793.9

178 192.0

690 000.0

47 301.00

95 570.30

Expected yield

0.1208

0.0000

1.0000

0.0000

0.3268

Land holding

7.8571

7.0000

20.000

3.0000

3.1114

Land tenure system

1.1978

1.0000

3.0000

1.0000

0.4130

 Land holding distribution ranged from 2-20 acres

one of the major reasons, which the farmers mentioned

for sample, with an average size of 7.8 acres of

during our survey was to consider insurance schemes

land. About 40% of respondents had 1-5 acres of

against the Islamic jurisprudence. Almost 45% of the

land, 47.6% of farmers had 6-10 acres of land, 6.8%

farmers replied that these insurance schemes were not

of responding famers had 11-15 acres and 5.6%

according to Islamic laws. Another important reason

of farmers had more than 15 acres of land. Most

was the price of the crop insurance, and 60% of the

responding farmers of sample were small farmers,

farmers considered that their participation in crop

because about 90% of farmers in Pakistan were small

insurance would result an increases in their total cost

farmers (GOP, 2010). And 23.6% of farmers had non-

of the production. Limited power to make decision

farm income sources, while the remaining farmers did

was also found to be a major influencing factor as in

not earn non-farm income.

Pakistan families were usually large and combine family

  The analysis showed that although majority of

system was common, so decisions were made under

farmers about 61.34% were willing to participate in

the consultancy of other family members. Decisions

crop insurance, but there still existed enough percentage

are made by seeking coordination from the other

of farmers, about 38.66% who were not willing to

family members who were usually senior in age and

participate, which was not a neglect able percentage of

experience, so the consent of other family members

the farmers that should be ignored. There could be a lot

was usually required to make decisions. Similarly,

of reasons for not to participate in insurance schemes,

lacking of proper information about the crop insurance

&NBJMYVFCBPFOHMJTI!OFBVFEVDO

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Sidra Ghazanfar et al. Factors Hindering Pakistani Farmers' Choices Towards Adoption of Crop Insurance

mechanism and benefits and time taking process were

in crop insurance. The frequency distribution of these

found to be important reasons behind not participating

factors is shown in Table 2.

Table 2 Frequency distribution

Variable

No. of observation

Yes

No

Percentage (Yes) (%)

Not willing to participate

300

116

184

38.6667

Against islamic rule

300

136

164

45.3333

Dissatisfaction

300

63

237

21.0000

Lacking of knowledge about insurance scheme

300

138

162

46.0000

Limited decision power

300

154

146

51.3333

Limited peril

300

103

197

34.3333

Premium cost

300

180

120

60.0000

Time taking process

300

163

137

54.3333

Table 3 Results of Probit model

Variable

Coefficient

Standard error

z-statistic

Probability

Constant Against islamic rule Dissatisfaction Lacking of knowledge about insurance scheme Limited decision power Limited perils Premium cost Time taking process McFadden R-square N

2.3762 0.3740 0.3646 0.5280 0.1011 –0.2360 0.9884 0.2791 0.2202 300

0.3921 0.1741 0.2054 0.1675 0.1731 0.1748 0.1805 0.1668

6.0602 2.1479 1.7746 3.1508 0.5841 –1.3493 5.4752 1.6728

0.0000 0.0317 0.0760 0.0016 0.5591 0.1772 0.0000 0.0944

 Table 3 represented the results of the estimated Probit

their farms got insured, under this crop loan insurance

model which was applied to analyze the influence of

scheme. Therefore, dissatisfaction with crop loan

above mentioned factors on farmers' decision of "not

insurance scheme was also found to be positively and

willing to participate" (NWTP) in crop insurance.

significantly related to not willing to participate in

Almost 98% population of Pakistan was Muslim. In

crop insurance.

the religion of Islam, the interest was strictly forbidden, so most of the farmers do not believe in conventional

Discussion

banking as well as in insurance schemes. We had found that our first independent variable "Against

Lacking of proper knowledge about crop insurance

Islamic Rule (AIR)" was positively and significantly

concepts, its features and benefits were found to be

related to our dependent variable "NWTP". This could

one of the important factors that negatively influenced

also be one of the reasons behind dissatisfaction of

farmers' willingness to participate in crop insurance

farmers with currently running crop loan insurance

program. Farmers perceived it was difficult to under-

scheme. Crop loan insurance scheme was a mandatory

stand about the procedures, policies and risk manage-

program, all the farmers whether they were interested

ment mechanism of crop insurance. Low literacy

or not, if avail agriculture credit loan from banks,

rate among farmers was one of the reasons that IUUQQVCMJTIOFBVFEVDO

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Journal of Northeast Agricultural University (English Edition)

made it was difficult for farmers to understand the

Vol. 22ǂNo. 2ǂ2015

dependent variable "not willing to pay".

concept of formal risk management measures, such as crop insurance schemes that was why lacking of

Conclusions

Knowledge about Insurance Schemes (KIS) was also positively and significantly related with not willing to

The analyses revealed that low literacy, improper

participate in crop insurance.

knowledge about crop insurance and premium were the

 A positive but insignificant relationship had been

major constraints in the way of adoption of crop insu-

found between Limited Decision Power (LDP) and

rance market in Pakistan. However, these issues could

not willing to participate in crop insurance. Limited

be handled efficiently by coordination of government,

Decision Power (LDP) and coverage to limited

insurance agencies and media. Government should

perils were found to be insignificantly related with

make efforts to promote crop insurance under provision

dependent variable (NWTP), not willing to participate.

of subsidy. Electronic media could be utilized to

 During our survey the main thing that we realized

disseminate the information regarding the functions/

was the hesitation of farmers to pay premium cost.

benefits of the crop insurance in the regional languages.

Premium Cost (PC) was the only independent varia-

Agricultural extension agents could also be a good

ble which had a massive impact on dependent varia-

source of not only creating awareness, among farmers

ble. Premium cost was positively and highly signi-

regarding crop insurance, but also to remove the disso-

ficantly related with not willing to participate in crop

nances about crop insurance in the minds of farmers.

insurance. Poverty was one of the reasons behind this attitude of the farmers towards premium cost.

References

Agriculture sector in Pakistan was dominated by

Abid Q S, Sahib H. 2009. Food insecurity in Pakistan. Sustainable

small farmers (less than 12.5 acres land holdings) and

Development Policy Institute, World Food Program and Swiss

almost 90% farmers were small (GOP, 2010). Large

Development Cooperation, Pakistan. pp. 103-104.

family size, dependence on single earning hand, high inflation rate, frequent natural hazards and income loss

Arif M, Khalid N. 2007. Agriculture and food security in Pakistan. South Asia Partnership, Pakistan. pp. 16-17.

and small farms were the reasons which usually forced

Asteriou D, Hall S G. 2007. Applied econometrics: a modern approach

the farmers to consider premium as an extra cost of

using eviews and microfit. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. pp.

production.

197-217.

  Farmers believed that processes of getting in-

GOP. 2010. Agriculture statistics of Pakistan, Ministry of Food

surance, claiming losses and receiving compensation

Agriculture: Islamabad, Pakistan. http://www.pbs.gov.pk/content/

were time consuming. Especially, the provision of

agriculture-statistics-pakistan-2010-11.

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GOP. 2013. Pakistan economic survey 2012–2013. http://www.finance. gov.pk/survey_1213.html.

an efficient way and they might not be able to get

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also believed that rich farmers would be served

climate change mitigation, Colombo Sri Lanka. http://www.adbi.org/

quickly and poor farmers would be ignored. That was

files/2013.08.29.cpp.sess7.7.country.ppr.pakistan.pdf.

why the variable "time taking process" was found to have a positive and significant influence on our

&NBJMYVFCBPFOHMJTI!OFBVFEVDO

TFCC. 2010. Task force on climate change. http://www.pc.gov.pk/ usefull%20links/Taskforces/TFCC%20Final%20Report.pdf.