Pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma: Epidemiology and outcomes

Pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma: Epidemiology and outcomes

Accepted Manuscript Pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma: epidemiology and outcomes Ilias P. Doulamis, MD, Konstantinos S. Mylonas, MD, Christos E. ...

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Accepted Manuscript Pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma: epidemiology and outcomes Ilias P. Doulamis, MD, Konstantinos S. Mylonas, MD, Christos E. Kalfountzos, MS, Danny Mou, MD, Huzaifa Haj-Ibrahim, MD, Dimitrios Nasioudis, MD PII:

S1743-9191(16)30865-2

DOI:

10.1016/j.ijsu.2016.09.017

Reference:

IJSU 3063

To appear in:

International Journal of Surgery

Received Date: 8 June 2016 Revised Date:

30 August 2016

Accepted Date: 11 September 2016

Please cite this article as: Doulamis IP, Mylonas KS, Kalfountzos CE, Mou D, Haj-Ibrahim H, Nasioudis D, Pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma: epidemiology and outcomes, International Journal of Surgery (2016), doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2016.09.017. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT PANCREATIC MUCINOUS CYSTADENOCARCINOMA: EPIDEMIOLOGY AND OUTCOMES Ilias P. Doulamis MDa, Konstantinos S. Mylonas MDa,b, Christos E. Kalfountzos MSa,c, Danny Mou MDd, Huzaifa Haj-Ibrahim MDe, Dimitrios Nasioudis MDa Society of Junior Doctors, Athens, Greece

b

c

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a

Medical School, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece

Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Ioannina, Ioannina,

Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical

School, Boston, MA, USA e

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Greece

Department of Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical

School, Boston, MA, USA

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Corresponding author: Dimitrios Nasioudis MD

Society of Junior Doctors, Athens, Greece

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Address: Apollonos 9, Melissia, Greece, 15127

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Email: [email protected] Tel: 0010-6463017784

Running title: Pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma

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Abstract

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Background: Pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma is a rare malignancy. Our aim was to investi-

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gate the demographic, pathological characteristics, treatment modalities and survival of patients with

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mucinous cystadenocarcinoma via the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance Epidemiology and End

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Results (SEER) database analysis.

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Materials and methods: This was a retrospective population-based study of SEER database's records

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on patients with mucinous cystadenocarcinoma diagnosed from 1988 to 2012. Primary outcome

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measures were clinico-pathological characteristics, observed survival and disease-specific survival of

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patients.

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Results: A total of 507 patients were identified. Median age at diagnosis was 67 years and most patients

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were female (68.4%). The tumors were mainly low grade (82.9%, grade I-II) and frequently localized

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(42.8%) in the body/tail of the pancreas (45.6%). According to Kaplan-Meier curves observed survival

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was 111 months (95%CI: 82.5, 139.5) vs 14 months (95% CI: 10.9, 17.1) vs 4 months (95%CI: 2.9, 5.1)

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for patients with localized, regional and distant disease, respectively. One-year disease-specific survival

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for patients with localized disease was 90.1%, vs. 56.7% for those with regional and 18.7% with distant

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tumor spread.

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Conclusions: Mucinous cystadenocarcinomas tend to be low grade tumors, localized to the pancreatic

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body/tail. Surgery as the primary therapeutic intervention and tumor stage are independent predictors of

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disease-specific survival.

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Key words: pancreas, mucinous cystadenocarcinoma, neoplasms

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1. Introduction

26 Pancreatic cancer is currently the 4th most common malignancy in the United States. By the end of

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2016, 53,070 new cases of pancreatic cancer with 78.7% deaths are expected.[1] According to the WHO

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classification of tumors, ductal adenocarcinoma is the most prevalent malignant tumor of the exocrine

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pancreas while other less common histological subtypes are serous cystadenocarcinoma, mucinous

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cystadenocarcinoma, intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma and acinar cell carcinoma.[2] In 1978,

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Compagno and Oertel, classified cystic neoplasms, a subgroup of non-ductal neoplasms, into serum

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producing and mucus producing neoplasms.[3-5] Cystic neoplasms were consistently misdiagnosed as

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pancreatic pseudocysts until the end of the 1980's.[6] However, Warshaw et al. [7] conducted the first

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study on pancreatic cystic neoplasms in 1990, a step which facilitated the understanding of the clinical,

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radiographic and histopathological features of cystic neoplasms. Today, cystic pancreatic neoplasms are

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understood to be a separate subtype of pancreatic cancer. Advanced imaging modalities have increased

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the diagnostic accuracy and thus gradually led to a higher prevalence of cystic pancreatic neoplasms.[8-

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10]

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Serum producing neoplasms consist mainly of glycogen-rich epithelial cells and are usually benign.[2]

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Mucous producing neoplasms are classified into intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and

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mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs), which have distinct biological characteristics.[2] IPMNs arise in

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the main pancreatic duct or its major branches, whereas MCNs are large cysts with a thick, peripheral

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rim of calcifications that do not communicate with the pancreatic ductal system.[11] Particularly,

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MCNs are classified into mucinous cystadenomas, mucinous cystic neoplasms with moderate dysplasia,

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non-invasive and invasive mucinous cystadenocarcinomas, according to the degree of observed dyspla-

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sia. [11, 12]

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2. Theory

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For decades, MCNs were commonly misdiagnosed as IPMNs until 2006 when the International Asso-

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ciation of Pancreatology advocated that the presence of ovarian stroma supports the diagnosis of MCNs

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over IPMNs. [7, 11-15] Given the rarity of these neoplasms, current knowledge is based on small single

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT institutional case-series. Τhe aim of this retrospective population-based study was to investigate the

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clinico-pathological characteristics and survival of patients with pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarci-

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noma (MCAC).

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3. Material and methods

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3.1 The SEER database In this retrospective population-based study, a cohort of patients with pancreatic MCAC diagnosed be-

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tween 1988 and 2012 was drawn from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and

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End Results (SEER) database which incorporates 18 cancer registries (namely Detroit, Iowa, Kentucky,

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Louisiana, Utah, Connecticut, New Jersey, Atlanta, Rural and Greater Georgia, Alaska, California, Ha-

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waii, Los Angeles, New Mexico, San Francisco, San Jose, Seattle). These registries contain high quality

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data on the incidence and survival of patients with primary malignancies and cover approximately

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27.8% of the total US population based on the 2010 census.[16] Given that all patient data are de-

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identified and available to the public for research purposes, there was no need to obtain an approval by

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an institutional review board. 3.2 Eligibility criteria

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In order to identify all eligible cases, the following criteria were applied: (i) malignant tumor located at

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the pancreas (ICD-O-3/WHO 2008 site code C.25), (ii) ICD-O-3/WHO histology codes 8470/3 mucin-

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ous

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cystadenocarcinoma, [17] (iii) tumor diagnosed between January 1, 1988 and December 31, 2012, (iv)

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active follow-up of patients (diagnosis not obtained from autopsy or death certificate), (v) microscopi-

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cally confirmed malignant tumor.

otherwise

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cystadenocarcinoma

Data extracted

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Demographic parameters including patient’s age, race, gender, marital status and year of diagnosis, and

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clinicopathological parameters including tumor grade, location, management and outcome, were ex-

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tracted using the “case listing” option. Since staging information according to the American Joint

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Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system was not available for the whole study period we opted to

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extract the SEER-historic stage which is categorized as localized, regional or distant stage.[18] Local-

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT ized stage tumors included tumors limited to the pancreas, corresponding to the current AJCC stage I.

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Regional stage tumors included tumors that had spread to nearby lymph nodes, vessels or tissues, AJCC

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stage II and III, while distant stage included only cases with disease that had spread to distant lymph

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nodes or tissues, AJCC stage IV. Using the Extend of Disease (EOD)-10 and Collaborative Stage (CS)

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coding systems we identified any potentially misclassified cases. However, it should be noted that the

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EOD-10 coding system does not clearly discriminate between cases with tumor extension to the aorta,

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celiac artery and superior mesenteric artery and those with involvement of other vessels such as hepatic

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artery, portal vein and superior mesenteric vein. Tumors infiltrating the former are currently considered

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AJCC stage III while those infiltrating the latter are AJCC stage IIB. [19]

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Patients that could be potential "follow-up discards" were excluded from the calculation of ob-

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served survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). In the SEER database, survival represents the

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number of months from cancer diagnosis to the date of death. All patients were presumed alive at the

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time of the study cut-off (December 31st, 2012) and those that were alive at the last follow-up were

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censored. For the estimation of DSS, only patients with one tumor or the first of multiple primary ma-

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lignant tumors were included, however, those who died from causes other than pancreatic cancer were

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censored. 3.4 Statistical analysis

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Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to determine, median, 1-year, 2-year and 5-year survival rates

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while the log-rank test was employed to perform comparisons of survival between different groups. Fi-

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nally, a Cox hazard regression analysis was conducted in order to identify independent predictors of

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survival among patients with pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma. Patients with missing infor-

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mation for one or more variables were excluded from the multivariate model. All statistical analyses

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were performed using the SPSS v.22 statistical package and the alpha level of statistical significance

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was set at 0.05 and all p-values were two-sided.

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4. Results

A total of 507 patients that met the inclusion criteria were identified. In our study, patients with MCAC

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had a median age of 67 years; 68.4% were female and 78.3% were of white race. The majority presented

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with localized (42.8%), low grade (82.9% were grade I-II) tumors arising from the pancreatic body/tail

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(45.6%). Metastatic disease to distant lymph nodes or organs was noted in 17.9% of the patients. Medi-

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an tumor size was 5.5 cm (based on information deriving from 375 patients). A total of 368 patients un-

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derwent cancer-directed surgical treatment (combined with radiotherapy in 69 cases) and 294 of them

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had lymph node examination. Lymph nodes positive for metastatic disease were noted in 66 cases

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(22.5%). Patient demographic and clinico-pathological characteristics are summarized in Table 1.

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According to the Kaplan-Meier curves, the median observed survival for patients with localized disease

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was 111.0 months (95%CI: 82.5, 139.5) vs. 14.0 months (95% CI: 10.9, 17.1) and 4.0 months (95%CI:

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2.9, 5.1) for those with regional and distant disease, respectively (Figure 1). In addition, the 1-year DSS

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for patients with localized disease (n=186) was 90.1% vs. 56.7% for those with regional (n=134) and

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18.7% (n=74) with distant tumor spread (p<0.001 pairwise from log-rank test).

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The univariate analysis of the data obtained from patients with loco-regional tumor spread revealed that

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female gender, age <50 years, low-grade tumors, localized stage and negative lymph nodes were associ-

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ated with better DSS and OS (p< 0.001 in all cases) (Table 2). In addition, married patients had superior

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OS compared to single. Independent predictors of DSS were the performance of cancer directed surgery

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and tumor stage. Tables 2& 3 present DSS and OS among patients with locoregional MCAC. Figures 2

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& 3 depict the DSS stratified by stage and grade respectively.

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5. Discussion

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Treatment approaches and outcomes of MCACs are infrequently assessed as these neoplasms are exceeding-

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ly rare; they constitute only 2.4-14% of all pancreatic malignancies.[20] In this study we present the largest

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cohort of patients with MCAC and investigate their clinico-pathological characteristics and survival.

ACCEPTED According to a comprehensive review of literatureMANUSCRIPT which included original studies written in English,

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articles with more than ten patients and with availability of demographic or clinicopathologic data, a

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total of 11 were identified and presented data from 379 patients with MCAC (eTables1,2) [7, 8, 21-29].

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These studies were published between 1990 [7] and 2012 [21] and their data were retrospectively collected

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since 1970 [22]. Most case-series derived from the US (5/11), while the rest were equally distributed be-

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tween Europe (3/11) and Asia (3/11).

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MCACs are usually symptomatic at the time of diagnosis, with obstructive jaundice and palpable ab-

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dominal mass being commonly present (>25%). Notably, portal hypertension, hemobilia and diabetes

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mellitus constitute signs of aggressive malignancy.[23] Apart from clinical presentation and imaging

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techniques, cyst fluid analysis may be useful in the preoperative differential diagnosis of these patients,

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since detecting K-RAS mutations, carcinoembryonic antigen levels >400 ng/ml and CA19-9 >50,000

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U/ml may indicate malignancy over a benign lesion, such as a pseudocyst.[30, 31]

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Interestingly, MCAC development has been documented during hormone replacement therapy and

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pregnancy.[24] Moreover, immunohistochemical analyses of MCAC have confirmed the expression of

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proteins (tyrosine hydroxylase, alpha-inhibin, calretinin, progesterone- and estrogen-receptors) that are

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normally present in ovarian tissue, suggesting a possibly common tumorigenic pathway for both ovarian

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and pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma.[24]

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In the present study, median patient age at diagnosis was 67 years and the majority was white females.

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Findings from literature review indicated a similar age range (29-89 years), but over a decade younger

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with a mean age of 54.3 years. Only two studies [22, 25] reported data regarding patient race; in both

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studies white race dominated (87.6%). It should be noted that, before 2000, small case-series advocated

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that female predominance is less common in pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma compared with

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benign cystic tumors and some studies even found higher prevalence in males. [32, 33] With regard to

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tumor location, body/tail were the most frequently affected sites both in the SEER analysis (45.6%) and

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in accordance to literature, despite outdated reports implicating the head of the pancreas as the most

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common MCAC site.[23]

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT In our analysis, the 82.9% of MCACs were grade I-II tumors vs. 65% cumulatively estimated in previous

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publications. However, it should be noted that tumor grade data are infrequently reported in previous case-

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series.[21, 26] In our study, patients with low-grade tumors exhibited better survival rates than those

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with high-grade. Moreover, 22.5 % of the SEER patients had positive lymph nodes and negative find-

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ings were associated with better DSS and OS, as documented in previous population-based studies.[23]

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Tumor staging data showed that 42.8% vs. 69.9% (107/153) had a localized tumor, 34.1 (173) vs 11.3%

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(14/124) regional disease, while 17.9% (91) vs. 9.6% (12/124) presented with distant metastases, in the

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SEER analysis and literature review respectively. Consequently, it seems that patients treated in the

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SEER centers had more advanced disease, probably because they constitute high volume referral institu-

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tions or due to possible publication bias. The mean tumor size reported in previous studies was actually

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calculated to be equal to 7.34 cm (1.5 to 26 cm) compared to 5.5 cm in the SEER analysis. Regardless,

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the tumor size proved to have insignificant impact in the observed or disease-specific survival of pa-

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tients with loco-regional MCAC, unlike pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas.[34]

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Furthermore, the median observed survival ranged from 4 to 111 months in patients with distant and lo-

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calized disease respectively. Also, the 1-year DSS for patients with localized disease was 90.1% com-

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pared to 18.7% in distant tumor spread cases, which reflects the inefficacy of current treatment modali-

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ties in managing advanced stages of the disease. Independent predictors of DSS were performance of

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cancer-directed surgery and tumor stage. Similarly to our findings, according to literature, survival is

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excellent for patients with tumors localized to the panceas; Werner et al. [24] reported a 100% 2-year

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survival for patients with a resected tumor while Warshaw et al. reported a 76% 5- year survival for

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similarly treated patients. On the contrary, the lowest 2-year survival rates have been described for pa-

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tients with unresectable tumors.[23] Notably, Yamaguchi et al reported the lowest 5-year survival rates

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at 27%.[27] All in all, the prognosis of resectable MCAC seems to be significantly more favorable com-

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pared to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, and inoperability is associated with very poor outcomes.

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[35-37] To the best of our knowledge this is the largest population-based study specifically dedicated to

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the epidemiology and outcomes of patients with pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinomas. The major

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strength of our study is that it limits publication bias, which traditionally hinders the applicability of re-

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT sults generated by secondary research papers. It should be noted that 66.7 % of the SEER cases were

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diagnosed after 2000, whereas most of the studies identified were published before 2000 and mainly

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consisted of small case series (11-78 patients). Moreover, we were able to report both OS and DSS of

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patients with MCAC. Consequently, it stands to reason that the management of patients and overall out-

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comes in our study is more uniform and up to date.

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Intrinsic drawbacks of the SEER database namely the absence of information on patient risk factors

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(such as smoking or alcohol use), the administration of chemotherapy and the presence R0 margins pre-

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cluded us from analyzing such outcomes. Indisputably, superior mesenteric and portal vein reconstruc-

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tions have been proven to be safe and effective procedures when performed by experienced surgeons in

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high volume hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) surgical centers.[38, 39] Unfortunately, given that EOD-10

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coding system does not clearly discriminate tumor extension to major arteries between vein invasions,

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hence we were unable to study separately these two subgroups.

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6. Conclusions

Our study elaborates on the epidemiology of MCAC in a United States population. There was a trend

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towards localization to the body/tail of the pancreas and over 80% of the cases were low grade tumors.

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Acceptable survival rates were seen in early-stage patients, but distant spread was associated with ex-

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tremely poor survival. Surgery as primary treatment and tumor staging were independent predictive fac-

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tors of DSS. The limitations of the current study support the need for an international registry of rare

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pancreatic tumors.

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Acknowledgements

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None

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Funding

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This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-

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for-profit sectors.

212 Contributorship

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Study concept and design: Nasioudis, Doulamis, Mylonas, Kalfountzos

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Acquisition of data: Nasioudis, Doulamis, Mylonas

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Analysis and interpretation of data: Doulamis, Mylonas, Kalfountzos, Mou, Haj-Ibrahim, Nasioudis

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Drafting of the manuscript: Mylonas, Doulamis, Kalfountzos, Mou, Haj-Ibrahim, Nasioudis

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Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Doulamis, Mylonas, Kalfountzos,

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Nasioudis, Mou, Haj-Ibrahim

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Statistical analysis: Nasioudis, Doulamis, Mylonas

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Guarantor of the paper: Nasioudis

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ACCEPTED Figure 1. Observed survival of patients with MANUSCRIPT mucinous cystadenocarcinoma stratified by stage (n=475). Figure 2. Disease specific survival of patients with mucinous cystadenocarcinoma stratified by stage (n=394).

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Figure 3. Disease specific survival of patients with mucinous cystadenocarcinoma stratified by grade

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(n=217)

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Patient characteristics

Tumor characteristics

Age years

Tumor location

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RI PT

Table 1. Demographic and clinico-pathological characteristics of patients with pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma.

Management

Head

143 (28.2%)

No surgery

117 (23.1%)

92 (18.1%)

Body/tail

231 (45.6%)

Surgery only

299 (59%)

>=50 years

415 (81.9%)

Other

133 (26.2%)

Surgery & RT

69 (13.6%)

RT only

22 (4.3%)

Gender

Grade (n=269)

SC

<50 years

347 (68.4%)

Grade I

100 (37.2%)

Lymph node examination*

Male

160 (31.6)

Grade II

123 (45.7%)

Yes

293 (80.1%)

Grade III-IV

46 (17.1%)

No

73 (19.9%)

Marital Status

M AN U

Female

290 (57.2%)

Stage

Single

198 (39.1%)

Localized

217 (42.8%)

Negative

227 (77.5%)

Unknown

19 (3.7%)

Regional

173 (34.1%)

Positive

66 (22.5%)

Race

Lymph node status*

Distant

91 (17.9%)

397 (78.3%)

Unstaged

Black

58 (11.4%)

Tumor size cm

Other

52 (10.3%)

(n=375) Tumor size

169 (33.3%)

<=2cm

>=2000

338 (66.7%)

>2cm

AC C

<2000

26 (5.1%)

5.5 (0.1-70)

EP

White

Year of diagnosis

TE D

Married

333 (88.8%) 42 (11.2%)

*if cancer-directed surgery performed, RT: radiotherapy

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Univariate, p value

74 (38.8, 109.2) 28 (19.5, 36.5)

<0.001

54 (30.7, 77.3) 30 (17.9, 42.1)

0.167

45 (26.1, 63.9) 41 (20.1, 61.9)

0.706

58 (23.5, 92.6) 39 (24.2, 53.9)

0.318

AC C * if cancer-directed surgery performed

Univariate, p value

29 (21.6, 36.4) 97 (31.0, 163.0)

<0.001

60 (38.9, 81.0) 14 (9.7, 18.3)

<0.001

111 (82.5, 139.5) 14 (10.9, 17.1)

<0.001

75 (32.4, 117.7) 54 (33.0, 75.0)

0.987

9 (7.9, 10.1) 72 (46.5, 97.6)

<0.001

94 (44.8, 143.3) 66 (38.4, 93.6)

0.592

102 (74.2, 129.8) 12 (10.3, 13.7)

<0.001

SC

<0.001

Tumor location Head Body/tail Grade Grade I-II Grade III-IV Stage Localized Regional Tumor size cm <=2 cm >2cm Surgery No Yes Lymph node examination* Yes No Lymph node status Negative Positive

M AN U

n.a 29 (20.4, 37.6)

Median (months) (95% CI )

EP

Age <50 years >=50 years Gender Female Male Marital Status Married Single Race White Non-white Year of diagnosis <2000 >=2000

Tumor characteristics

TE D

Patient characteristics Median (months) (95% CI )

RI PT

Table 2. Observed survival of patients with loco-regional pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma.

Patient characteristics Univariate DSS HR (95%CI) 2-year p-value (n=260)

Tumor characteristics DSS Univariate HR (95%CI) 2-year p-value (n=260)

Multivariate p-value Tumor location

80.3%

>=50 years

62.6%

0.002

Referent

0.505

Head

Body/tail

1.2 (0.71, 2.02)

Gender

M AN U

<50 years

SC

Age

RI PT

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

61%

< 0.001

75%

Referent

Multivariate p-value 0.266

0.78 (0.5, 1.21)

Grade

Female

70.1%

Male

58.9%

< 0.001

Referent

0.083

1.45 (0.95, 2.2)

Marital Status

I-II

73%

III-IV

39.5%

< 0.001

Stage

68.5%

Single

63.5%

0.428

Race

Localized

TE D

Married

Regional

84.9%

< 0.001

41.6%

Referent

< 0.001

3.64 (2.3, 5.6)

Tumor size cm

Non-white

66.9%

Year of diagnosis <2000

68.1%

>=2000

66.6%

0.946

EP

67.1%

0.487

AC C

White

>2 cm

71.9%

<=2cm

70.9%

0.838

Surgery No

16.5%

Yes

74.6%

Lymph node examination* Yes

71%

No

93.1%

< 0.001

Referent 0.33 (0.2, 0.54)

0.006

< 0.001

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

< 0.001

80.6%

SC

Negative

34.2%

RI PT

Lymph node status Positive

Table 3. Disease specific survival of patients with loco-regional pancreatic mucinous cystadenocarcinoma

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

*if cancer directed surgery was performed

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

AC C

EP

TE D

M AN U

SC

RI PT

 Mucinous cystadenocarcinomas are usually low grade tumors  Surgical excision and tumor stage are independent predictors of survival  An international registry of rare pancreatic tumors is needed